Evaluating the Desirability of Outcome Ranking (DOOR) and Response Adjusted for Duration of Antibiotic Risk (RADAR) for Clinical Trials of Antibiotics in Pediatric Pneumonia.

Objective outcomes for pediatric community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) are lacking. The desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR) and response adjusted for duration of antibiotic risk (RADAR) outcome encompass clinical benefit and adverse effects, while also accounting for antibiotic exposure. We evaluated DOOR/RADAR through simulations and compared sample size considerations to non-inferiority designs in a hypothetical trial comparing antibiotics to no antibiotics (i.e., placebo) for children with mild CAP. We also evaluated a trial comparing different durations of antibiotics. Three scenarios were considered - one with no difference in DOOR between the two groups, one in which placebo is more efficacious, and another in which amoxicillin is more efficacious than placebo. Power to detect a difference between arms was greater using DOOR/RADAR compared to DOOR. Assuming a sample size of 200, DOOR had 2.5%, 50%, and 65% power to detect a statistical difference between arms for Scenarios 1-3, respectively, significantly less than DOOR/RADAR. Importantly, DOOR/RADAR incorrectly identified placebo as superior in Scenario 3 where amoxicillin was truly efficacious. Sample size requirements for non-inferiority designs were larger to achieve similar levels of power as DOOR and DOOR/RADAR. DOOR/RADAR has the potential to lead to an incorrect conclusion declaring placebo superior when amoxicillin is efficacious.

Gene-environment interactions: Epstein-Barr virus infection and risk of pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Prior Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection is associated with an increased risk of pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) and adult-onset multiple sclerosis (MS). It has been challenging to elucidate the biological mechanisms underlying this association. We examined the interactions between candidate human leukocyte antigen (HLA) and non-HLA variants and childhood EBV infection as it may provide mechanistic insights into EBV-associated MS. METHODS: Cases and controls were enrolled in the Environmental and Genetic Risk Factors for Pediatric MS study of the US Network of Pediatric MS Centers. Participants were categorized as seropositive and seronegative for EBV-viral capsid antigen (VCA). The association between prior EBV infection and having POMS was estimated with logistic regression. Interactions between EBV serostatus, major HLA MS risk factors, and non-HLA POMS risk variants associated with response to EBV infection were also evaluated with logistic regression. Models were adjusted for sex, age, genetic ancestry, and the mother's education. Additive interactions were calculated using relative risk due to interaction (RERI) and attributable proportions (APs). RESULTS: A total of 473 POMS cases and 702 controls contributed to the analyses. Anti-VCA seropositivity was significantly higher in POMS cases compared to controls (94.6% vs 60.7%, p < 0.001). There was evidence for additive interaction between childhood EBV infection and the presence of the HLA-DRB1*15 allele (RERI = 10.25, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.78 to 16.72; AP = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.47 to 0.75). There was evidence for multiplicative interaction (p < 0.05) between childhood EBV infection and the presence of DRB1*15 alleles (odds ratio (OR) = 3.43, 95% CI = 1.06 to 11.07). Among the pediatric MS variants also associated with EBV infection, we detected evidence for additive interaction (p = 0.02) between prior EBV infection and the presence of the GG genotype in risk variant (rs2255214) within CD86 (AP = 0.30, 95% CI = 0.03 to 0.58). CONCLUSION: We report evidence for interactions between childhood EBV infection and DRB1*15 and the GG genotype of CD86 POMS risk variant. Our results suggest an important role of antigen-presenting cells (APCs) in EBV-associated POMS risk.

Association of nutritional intake with clinical and imaging activity in pediatric multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Understanding nutrition's role in multiple sclerosis (MS) can guide recommendations and intervention-based studies. OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the association between nutrition and pediatric-onset MS outcomes. METHODS: Prospective longitudinal multicenter study conducted as part of the US Network of Pediatric MS centers. Predictors were collected using a food screener estimating intake of various dietary food groups (e.g. dairy and fruits) and additional calculated indices (e.g. Healthy Eating Index (HEI)). Outcomes included time-from-enrollment to clinical relapse, new magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T2 lesions, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) increase. RESULTS: 353 children with MS were enrolled (mean ± SD age 15.4 ± 2.9, follow-up 3.9 ± 2.6 years). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that increased dairy by 50% of recommended intake was associated with increased relapse risk by 41% (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.41, 95% CI 1.07-1.86), and risk of T2 progression by 40% (1.40, 1.12-1.74). Increased intake of fruit or vegetable above recommended, and every five-point HEI increase decreased relapse risk by 25% (0.75, 0.60-0.95), 45% (0.55, 0.32-0.96), and 15% (0.84, 0.74-0.96), respectively. No associations were found with EDSS. CONCLUSION: This work supports the influence of dietary intake on MS course, particularly with dairy intake. Future prospective study is required to establish causation.

A Prospective Examination of the Interpersonal-Psychological Theory of Suicidal Behavior in Adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: Given the large and complex array of suicide risk factors, theoretical frameworks are critical to furthering our understanding of risk. This study prospectively examined several key constructs of the interpersonal-psychological theory of suicidal behavior (IPTS) in a large, geographically diverse sample of U.S. adolescents. METHOD: Conducted in collaboration with the Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network, adolescents, ages 12 to 17, were recruited from emergency departments. Baseline and 6-month follow-up samples were comprised of 6,448 (59% female sex) and 2,009 (64% female sex) adolescents, with self-identified race/ethnicity as follows (baseline/follow-up): White (52%/54%), Black (22%/23%), Multiracial (6%/6%), American Indian (3%/3%), other/unknown race (15%/14%), and Latinx (25%/23%). Youth and parents completed adolescent suicide risk surveys at baseline and 6-month follow-up (retention, 69%). Latent class analysis was used to identify classes of painful and provocative events (PPE), considered a precursor to acquired capability. RESULTS: In keeping with IPTS tenets, thwarted belongingness (TB), perceived burdensomeness (PB), and the interaction between TB and PB were each significant predictors of suicidal ideation at baseline and follow-up. However, only PB and PPE were significant predictors of cross-sectional suicide attempts and only TB and PPE were significant predictors of prospective suicide attempts in models that adjusted for baseline suicidal ideation. The three-way interaction among PB, TB and PPE was nonsignificant. CONCLUSIONS: Results from this large-scale prospective study suggest the importance of TB, PB, and PPE to our understanding of suicidal thoughts and suicide attempts among adolescents, pointing to promising prevention and intervention targets.

A risk-based monitoring approach to source data monitoring and documenting monitoring findings.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trial monitoring is evolving from labor-intensive to targeted approaches. The traditional 100% Source Data Monitoring (SDM) approach fails to prioritize data by significance, diverting attention from critical elements. Despite regulatory guidance on Risk-Based Monitoring (RBM), its widespread implementation has been slow. METHODS: Our study teams assess the study's overall risk, document heightened and critical risks, and create a study-specific risk-based monitoring plan, integrating SDM and Central Data Monitoring (CDM). SDM combines a fixed list of pre-identified variables and a list of randomly identified variables to monitor. Identifying variables follows a two-step approach: first, a random sample of participants is selected, second, a random set of variables for each participant selected is identified. Sampling weights prioritize critical variables. Regular team meetings are held to discuss and compile significant findings into a Study Monitoring Report. RESULTS: We present a random SDM sample and a Study Monitoring Report. The random SDM output includes a look-up table for selected database elements. The report provides a holistic view of the study issues and overall health. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed random sampling method is used to monitor a representative set of critical variables, while the Study Monitoring Report is written to summarize significant monitoring findings and data trends. The report allows the sponsor to assess the current status of the study and data effectively. Communicating and sharing emerging insights facilitates timely adjustments of future monitoring activities, optimizing efficiencies, and study outcomes.

Leukopenia, neutropenia, and procalcitonin levels in young febrile infants with invasive bacterial infections.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Serum procalcitonin (PCT) is a highly accurate biomarker for stratifying the risk of invasive bacterial infections (IBIs) in febrile infants ≤60 days old. However, PCT is unavailable in some settings. We explored the association of leukopenia and neutropenia with IBIs in non-critically ill febrile infants ≤60 days old, with and without PCT. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of a prospective observational cohort consisting of 7407 non-critically ill infants ≤60 days old with temperatures ≥38°C. We focused on the risk of IBIs in patients with leukopenia (white blood cell [WBC] count <5000 cells/µL) or neutropenia (absolute neutrophil count [ANC] <1000 cells/µL), categorized to extremes of lower values, and the impact of PCT on these associations. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of IBIs. RESULTS: Final analysis included 6865 infants with complete data; 45% (3098) had PCT data available. Of the 6865, a total of 111 (1.6%) had bacteremia without bacterial meningitis, 18 (0.3%) had bacterial meningitis without bacteremia, and 19 (0.3%) had both bacteremia and bacterial meningitis. IBI was present in four of 20 (20%) infants with WBC counts ≤2500 cells/µL and four of 311 (1.3%) with ANC <1000 cells/µL. In multivariable logistic regression analysis not including PCT, a WBC count <2500 cells/µL was significantly associated with IBI (OR 13.48, 95% CI 2.92-45.35). However, no patients with leukopenia or neutropenia and PCT ≤0.5 ng/mL had IBIs. CONCLUSIONS: Leukopenia ≤2500 cells/µL in febrile infants ≤60 days old is associated with IBIs. However, in the presence of normal PCT levels, no patients with leukopenia had IBIs. While this suggests leukopenia ≤2500 cells/µL is a risk factor for IBIs in non-critically ill young febrile infants only when PCT is unavailable or elevated, the overall low frequency of leukopenia in this cohort warrants caution in interpretation, with future validation required.

Increased intraindividual variability (IIV) in reaction time is the earliest indicator of cognitive change in MS: A two-year observational study.

Background: Cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis (MS) is common, but unpredictable, and increases with disease duration. As such, early detection of cognitive decline may improve the effectiveness of interventions. To that end, the Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT) is effective in detecting slow processing speed as it relates to cognitive impairment, and intraindividual variability (IIV) observed in trials assessing continuous reaction time (RT) may be a useful indicator of early cognitive changes. Here, we will assess cognitive IIV changes in adults with early MS. Methods: Adults with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), <11 years since diagnosis, were recruited nationally. Baseline and two-year follow-up assessments included Brief International Cognitive Assessment in MS (BICAMS) and Cogstate computerized tests. Intraindividual variability in RT was calculated from psychomotor tasks and data were age-normalized. Results: A total of 44 of the 66 participants completed follow-up (mean age, 34.0 ± 5.5 years; 66 % female; mean disease duration, 4.1 ± 2.9 years; median Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, 1.5 [0 to 6.0]). Participants were grouped by SDMT z-score median split. Groups did not differ in demographics or clinical features. The higher baseline SDMT group was faster (p = 0.05) in RT and less variable (lower IIV, p = 0.001). At the two-year follow-up, the higher SDMT group showed increased variability (p = 0.05) compared to the lower SDMT group, with no significant RT or BICAMS changes. Conclusions: In early MS, higher SDMT performance at baseline is associated with less cognitive variability but may indicate susceptibility to increased variability over time, highlighting the importance of monitoring IIV for early cognitive changes.

Contraception Use and Pregnancy Risk Among Adolescents in Pediatric Emergency Departments.

Importance: Unintended pregnancy is a major health risk for adolescents in the US, and adolescents face many barriers to obtaining effective and reliable contraception. Objective: To measure and describe the use of contraception, pregnancy risk index (PRI), and emergency contraception (EC) prescriptions among female adolescents accessing the emergency department (ED) for care. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study is a planned secondary analysis of a multicenter trial from April 2021 through April 2022 that used a tablet-based, content-validated, confidential sexual health survey at 6 urban, pediatric tertiary care EDs affiliated with the Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network. Participants were individuals aged 15 to 21 years presenting to the ED who completed the confidential sexual health survey and indicated female sex assigned at birth and prior penile-vaginal sexual intercourse. Data analysis was performed from January 2023 to February 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were the type and proportion of contraception use, the PRI, and provision of EC. Separate multivariable logistic regression models were performed to identify sociodemographic factors associated with these outcomes. Results: A total of 1063 participants (median [IQR] age, 17.5 [16.5-18.3] years) were included in this analysis; 219 (20.8%) identified as Hispanic, 464 (44.1%) identified as non-Hispanic Black, 308 (29.3%) identified as non-Hispanic White, and 61 (5.8%) identified as other races and ethnicities. In total, 756 participants (71.1%) reported contraception use during their last sexual encounter. Long-acting reversible contraception use (LARC) was the least used (164 participants [15.4%]), and 307 (28.9%) reported no contraception use. Sociodemographic factors associated with overall contraception use, and LARC use specifically, included insurance and race and ethnicity. The overall PRI was 7.89, or an expected 8 pregnancies per 100 female individuals per year. Although 108 participants (10.2%) were eligible for EC, EC was ordered for only 6 (5.6%) of those eligible. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of sexually active adolescents presenting to the ED, the majority of participants reported using at least 1 form of contraception; however, LARCs were the least used option, and 28.9% of participants reported no contraceptive use. The unintended pregnancy risk was almost 8% in the study population. Few patients eligible for EC received it. These data suggest a high need and potential opportunity for provision of contraception services in the ED setting.

Assessing Needs and Perceptions of Research Participation in Pediatric-Onset Multiple Sclerosis: A Multistakeholder Survey.

BACKGROUND: Patient-powered research networks (PPRNs) for autoimmune disease are widely used in the adult population to recruit patients and drive patient-centered research, but few have included pediatric patients. We aimed to characterize viewpoints regarding research needs and participation in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) via a PPRN-disseminated survey. METHODS: This is an exploratory, cross-sectional study. The study period was February 1, 2022, to February 9, 2023. Three questionnaires were disseminated to (1) patients with POMS (PwPOMS), (2) caregivers of PwPOMS (C-PwPOMS), and (3) health care providers/researchers in POMS (HR-POMS). RESULTS: A total of 88 participants were included for analysis; 44% (n = 39) were PwPOMS, 42% (n = 37) were C-PwPOMS, and 14% (n = 12) were HR-POMS. Some PwPOMS (18%) and C-PwPOMS (9%) expressed research hesitancy, but more, 69% of PwPOMS and 68% of C-PwPOMS, were interested in research participation. Nevertheless, less than half of PwPOMS (38%) and C-PwPOMS (38%) reported previous research involvement. HR-POMS reported difficulties in funding (100%) and recruiting participants (58%). PwPOMS (67%), C-PwPOMS (62%), and HR-POMS (67%) were open to future involvement in PPRNs. CONCLUSIONS: Participants with POMS in this study expressed strong interest in research involvement but also expressed participation hesitancy, which may contribute to recruiting challenges expressed by researchers. Although the exploratory design limits generalizability to the larger POMS population, this study shows PPRNs are well-suited to soliciting attitudes and opinions of key stakeholders in POMS. Future studies utilizing PPRNs for POMS should prioritize diverse, representative cohorts and focus on understanding and mitigating issues hindering research participation.

Clinical and magnetic resonance imaging outcomes in pediatric-onset MS patients on fingolimod and ocrelizumab.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies looking at clinical a++nd MRI outcomes of treatments in pediatric MS, could assess current treatment algorithms, and provide insights for designing future clinical trials. OBJECTIVE: To describe baseline characteristics and clinical and MRI outcomes in MS patients initiating ocrelizumab and fingolimod under 18 years of age. METHODS: MS patients seen at 12 centers of US Network of Pediatric MS were included in this study if they had clinical and MRI follow-up and started treatment with either ocrelizumab or fingolimod prior to the age of 18. RESULTS: Eighty-seven patients initiating fingolimod and 52 initiating ocrelizumab met the inclusion criteria. Before starting fingolimod, mean annualized relapse rate was 0.43 (95 % CI: 0.29 - 0.65) and 78 % developed new T2 lesions while during treatment it was 0.12 (95 % CI: 0.08 - 1.9) and 47 % developed new T2 lesions. In the ocrelizumab group, the mean annualized relapse rate prior to initiation of treatment was 0.64 (95 % CI: 0.38-1.09) and a total of 83 % of patients developed new T2 lesions while during treatment it was 0.09 (95 % CI: 0.04-0.21) and none developed new T2 lesions. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the importance of evaluating current treatment methods and provides insights about the agents in the ongoing phase III trial comparing fingolimod and ocrelizumab.

Gene-environment interactions and risk of pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis associated with time spent outdoors.

BACKGROUND: Our previous study identified a significant association between lower time spent outdoors, as a proxy of sun exposure, and a higher risk of pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS). UV radiation modulates the expression of several genes, but it is unknown whether these genes modify the effect of sun exposure on POMS risk. METHODS: In an age- and sex-matched case-control study, we evaluated the additive and multiplicative interactions between time spent outdoors and genetic non-HLA risk variants for developing POMS within the metabolic pathways of UV radiation, including CD28(rs6435203), CD86(rs9282641), and NFkB1(rs7665090) and the top two HLA risk factors (presence of DRB1×15 and absence of A*02). RESULTS: In an adjusted model (332 POMS cases, 534 healthy controls), greater time compared to <30 min/day spent outdoors during the prior summer and higher UV radiation dose were associated with decreased odds of POMS (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.56-0.78, p < 0.001; OR 0.78, 95 % CI 0.62-0.98, p = 0.04, respectively). No significant additive or multiplicative interactions were found between risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: The exploration of gene-environment interactions in the risk of developing MS can unravel the underlying mechanisms involved. Although we do not have evidence that our candidate genes contribute to interactions, other genes may.