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BACKGROUND: Nonmalignant pleural effusion (NMPE) is common and remains a definite health care problem. Pleural effusion was supposed to be a risk factor for acute kidney injury (AKI). Incidence of AKI in NMPE patients and whether there is correlation between the size of effusions and AKI is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence of AKI in NMPE inpatients and its association with effusion size. STUDY DESIGN AND METHOD: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of inpatients admitted to the Chinese PLA General Hospital with pleural effusion from 2018-2021. All patients with pleural effusions confirmed by chest radiography (CT or X-ray) were included, excluding patients with diagnosis of malignancy, chronic dialysis, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), community-acquired AKI, hospital-acquired AKI before chest radiography, and fewer than two serum creatinine tests during hospitalization. Multivariate logistic regression and LASSO logistic regression models were used to identify risk factors associated with AKI. Subgroup analyses and interaction tests for effusion volume were performed adjusted for the variables selected by LASSO. Causal mediation analysis was used to estimate the mediating effect of heart failure, pneumonia, and eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 on AKI through effusion volume. RESULTS: NMPE was present in 7.8% of internal medicine inpatients. Of the 3047 patients included, 360 (11.8%) developed AKI during hospitalization. After adjustment by covariates selected by LASSO, moderate and large effusions increased the risk of AKI compared with small effusions (moderate: OR 1.47, 95%CI 1.11-1.94 p = 0.006; large: OR 1.86, 95%CI 1.05-3.20 p = 0.028). No significant modification effect was observed among age, gender, diabetes, bilateral effusions, and eGFR. Volume of effusions mediated 6.8% (p = 0.005), 4.0% (p = 0.046) and 4.6% (p < 0.001) of the effect of heart failure, pneumonia and low eGFR on the development of AKI respectively. CONCLUSION: The incidence of AKI is high among NMPE patients. Moderate and large effusion volume is independently associated with AKI compared to small size. The effusion size acts as a mediator in heart failure, pneumonia, and eGFR.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Derrame Pleural , Pneumonia , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Derrame Pleural/diagnóstico por imagem , Derrame Pleural/epidemiologia , Pneumonia/epidemiologia , Injúria Renal Aguda/epidemiologia , Injúria Renal Aguda/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicaçõesRESUMO
We aimed to test whether red blood cell distribution width (RDW) to monocyte percentage ratio (RMR) was associated with the acute-phase prognosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. Prospective enrollment and 90-day follow-up of CKD patients with COVID-19 were conducted from December 1, 2022 to January 31, 2023. Demographics, clinical data, and laboratory and radiographic findings were collected, and multiple logistic regression, subgroup analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were performed. A total of 218 patients were enrolled, with a mean age of 59 years and 69.7% being male. The 90-day mortality rate was 24.8%. The lnRMR level was 5.18 (4.91-5.43) and emerged as an independent risk factor (OR: 3.01, 95% CI: 1.72-5.85). The lnRMR-mortality association was consistent across sex, age, CKD stage, COVID-19 vaccination, and comorbidity subgroups. The area under the ROC curve of lnRMR was 0.737 (95% CI: 0.655-0.819). Our findings indicate that lnRMR is a simple and practical predictor for identifying high-risk CKD patients during the acute phase of COVID-19.
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COVID-19 , Índices de Eritrócitos , Monócitos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/sangue , COVID-19/complicações , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/sangue , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/mortalidade , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/complicações , Idoso , Prognóstico , SARS-CoV-2 , Curva ROC , Fatores de Risco , AdultoRESUMO
Accurate prognostic prediction is crucial for treatment decision-making in lung papillary adenocarcinoma (LPADC). The aim of this study was to predict cancer-specific survival in LPADC using ensemble machine learning and classical Cox regression models. Moreover, models were evaluated to provide recommendations based on quantitative data for personalized treatment of LPADC. Data of patients diagnosed with LPADC (2004-2018) were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The set of samples was randomly divided into the training and validation sets at a ratio of 7:3. Three ensemble models were selected, namely gradient boosting survival (GBS), random survival forest (RSF), and extra survival trees (EST). In addition, Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) regression was used to construct the prognostic models. The Harrell's concordance index (C-index), integrated Brier score (IBS), and area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC) were used to evaluate the performance of the predictive models. A user-friendly web access panel was provided to easily evaluate the model for the prediction of survival and treatment recommendations. A total of 3615 patients were randomly divided into the training and validation cohorts (n = 2530 and 1085, respectively). The extra survival trees, RSF, GBS, and CoxPH models showed good discriminative ability and calibration in both the training and validation cohorts (mean of time-dependent AUC: > 0.84 and > 0.82; C-index: > 0.79 and > 0.77; IBS: < 0.16 and < 0.17, respectively). The RSF and GBS models were more consistent than the CoxPH model in predicting long-term survival. We implemented the developed models as web applications for deployment into clinical practice (accessible through https://shinyshine-820-lpaprediction-model-z3ubbu.streamlit.app/ ). All four prognostic models showed good discriminative ability and calibration. The RSF and GBS models exhibited the highest effectiveness among all models in predicting the long-term cancer-specific survival of patients with LPADC. This approach may facilitate the development of personalized treatment plans and prediction of prognosis for LPADC.
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Adenocarcinoma de Pulmão , Adenocarcinoma Papilar , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Pulmão , Aprendizado de MáquinaRESUMO
Aim: We performed a systematic review and network meta-analysis evaluating the safety and efficacy of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitors (HIF-PHIs) among dialysis chronic kidney disease patients. Methods: Safety was evaluated with any adverse events (AEs), serious adverse events (SAEs), and 12 common events. Efficacy was mainly analyzed with hemoglobin response. All reported results were summarized using mean difference and risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Publication bias was assessed through funnel plots. Results: Twenty trials (19 studies) with 14,947 participants were included, comparing six HIF-PHIs with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs). No significant differences were indicated in overall AEs and SAEs between each HIF-PHI and ESA. The occurrence of gastrointestinal disorder was higher in enarodustat and roxadustat than in ESAs (RR: 6.92, 95% CI: 1.52-31.40, p = 0.01; RR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.04-1.61, p = 0.02). The occurrence of hypertension was lower in vadadustat than in ESAs (RR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.69-0.96, p = 0.01). The occurrence of vascular-access complications was higher in roxadustat (RR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.04-1.27, p<0.01) and lower in daprodustat (RR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.66-0.92, p<0.01) than in ESAs. In the risk of the other nine events, including cardiovascular events, no significant differences were observed between HIF-PHIs and ESAs. For hemoglobin response, network meta-analysis showed that compared with ESAs, significant increases were shown in roxadustat (RR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01-1.07, p<0.01) and desidustat (RR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.01-1.48, p = 0.04), whereas noticeable reductions were indicated in vadadustat (RR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.82-0.94, p<0.01) and molidustat (RR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.70-0.98, p = 0.02). There was no significant difference between daprodustat and ESAs (RR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.89-1.06, p = 0.47). Conclusion: Although HIF-PHIs did not show significant differences from ESAs in terms of overall AEs and SAEs, statistical differences in gastrointestinal disorder, hypertension, and vascular-access complications were observed between HIF-PHIs, which deserved to be noted in clinical decision making. Systematic review registration: This study is registered with PROSPERO (registration number CRD42022312252).
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INTRODUCTION: Roxadustat is a first-in-class oral therapy that treats chronic kidney disease (CKD) anaemia with the benefit of a novel mechanism of action that consistently corrects and maintains haemoglobin (Hb) across the spectrum of non-dialysis-dependent (NDD) CKD anaemia with an acceptable safety profile. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a randomised, control, open-label, multicentre trial. About 250 adult Chinese participants with stage 3-5 CKD NDD in approximately 30 centres will be enrolled, randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio, to receive a 16-week treatment and 4-week follow-up. The interventions for study arm are <60 kg: 50 mg TIW and ≥60 kg: 70 mg TIW; for control arm, <60 kg: 70 mg TIW and ≥60 kg: 100 mg TIW. The primary endpoint is the mean change in haemoglobin level from baseline to average over weeks 12-16. Secondary endpoints are to assess the proportion of subjects achieving an average Hb level of 100 to 120 g/L over weeks 12-16, the Hb variability, the rescue therapy requirement between two groups and the safety in two groups. The exploratory objectives are expected to evaluate the rate and time of Hb response, times of dose adjustment, the proportion of subjects with rapid Hb rise, overshooting during the treatment between two different starting dose groups, and subgroup analyses. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The Medical Ethics Committee of Chinese PLA General Hospital has approved this study (No. S2020-523-05) and will be performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. Participant consent will be obtained in writing. Results will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ChiCTR2100045359.
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Anemia , Falência Renal Crônica , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Adulto , Humanos , Diálise Renal , Resultado do Tratamento , Anemia/etiologia , Anemia/complicações , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/complicações , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/terapia , Hemoglobinas , Falência Renal Crônica/complicações , Doença Crônica , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Estudos Multicêntricos como AssuntoRESUMO
With the development and introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in cancer patients, immune-related side effects have increasingly attracted attention. However, the risks of immune-related renal toxicity are poorly characterized. In this study, we performed a network meta-analysis (NMA) of ICI-related randomized clinical trials (RCTs) to elucidate the comparative risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) in cancer patients receiving different ICIs. We also sought to identify other factors potentially affecting the risk of AKI. PubMed and EMBASE were searched for peer-reviewed trial reports published between January 2000 and May 2021. Eligible studies were RCTs studying ICIs in cancer patients and reporting AKI data. We performed a frequentist NMA to evaluate the risk ratios for grade 1-5 and grade 3-5 AKI between the treatment groups. We also assessed the absolute incidence of AKI in the ICI-containing arm using traditional direct meta-analysis. Once significant heterogeneity was detected in a traditional direct meta-analysis, multivariable meta-regression analysis was applied to identify factors that significantly affected the absolute incidence of AKI. A total of 85 RCTs were included in this study. In the NMA for the risk of grade 1-5 and 3-5 AKI, ipilimumab showed a significantly higher risk than avelumab and durvalumab, whereas 1 mg/kg nivolumab plus 3 mg/kg ipilimumab (N1I3) showed a significantly higher risk than other groups. In terms of treatment ranking, durvalumab ± low-dose tremelimumab and avelumab were consistently among the top three safest treatments for grade 1-5 or 3-5 AKI, whereas N1I3, ipilimumab and tremelimumab were consistently among the top three treatments with the highest risk for grade 1-5 or 3-5 AKI. Compared with other cancers, renal cell carcinoma and urothelial carcinoma showed a significantly higher risk of AKI. The incidence of AKI was significantly higher with ICI+chemotherapy than with ICI monotherapy. In this NMA involving large-scale up-to-date ICI trials, we demonstrated the comparative safety of existing ICI drugs for grade 1-5 and grade 3-5 AKI. Based on data from the ICI arms of these trials, we also revealed several potential risk factors for immune-related AKI, including tumor type and treatment paradigm.