Machine-learning-based plasma metabolomic profiles for predicting long-term complications of cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The complications of liver cirrhosis occur after long asymptomatic stages of progressive fibrosis and are generally diagnosed late. We aimed to develop a plasma metabolomic-based score tool to predict these events. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We enrolled 64,005 UK biobank participants with metabolomic profiles. Participants were randomly divided into the training (n=43,734) and validation cohorts (n=20,271). Liver cirrhosis complications were defined as hospitalization for liver cirrhosis or presentation with HCC. An interpretable machine-learning framework was applied to learn the metabolomic states extracted from 168 circulating metabolites in the training cohort. An integrated nomogram was developed and compared to conventional and genetic risk scores. We created 3 groups: low-risk, middle-risk, and high-risk through selected cutoffs of the nomogram. The predictive performance was validated through the area under a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. The metabolomic state model could accurately predict the 10-year risk of liver cirrhosis complications in the training cohort (time-dependent AUC: 0.84 [95% CI: 0.82-0.86]), and outperform the fibrosis-4 index (time-dependent AUC difference: 0.06 [0.03-0.10]) and polygenic risk score (0.25 [0.21-0.29]). The nomogram, integrating metabolomic state, aspartate aminotransferase, platelet count, waist/hip ratio, and smoking status showed a time-dependent AUC of 0.930 at 3 years, 0.889 at 5 years, and 0.861 at 10 years in the validation cohort, respectively. The HR in the high-risk group was 43.58 (95% CI: 27.08-70.12) compared with the low-risk group. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a metabolomic state-integrated nomogram, which enables risk stratification and personalized administration of liver-related events.

Protein truncating variants in mitochondrial-related nuclear genes and the risk of chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Mitochondrial (MT) dysfunction is a hallmark of liver diseases. However, the effects of functional variants such as protein truncating variants (PTVs) in MT-related genes on the risk of liver diseases have not been extensively explored. METHODS: We extracted 60,928 PTVs across 2466 MT-related nucleus genes using whole-exome sequencing data obtained from 442,603 participants in the UK Biobank. We examined their associations with liver dysfunction that represented by the liver-related biomarkers and the risks of chronic liver diseases and liver-related mortality. RESULTS: 96.10% of the total participants carried at least one PTV. We identified 866 PTVs that were positively associated with liver dysfunction at the threshold of P value < 8.21e - 07. The coding genes of these PTVs were mainly enriched in pathways related to lipid, fatty acid, amino acid, and carbohydrate metabolisms. The 866 PTVs were presented in 1.07% (4721) of participants. Compared with participants who did not carry any of the PTVs, the carriers had a 5.33-fold (95% CI 4.15-6.85), 2.82-fold (1.69-4.72), and 4.41-fold (3.04-6.41) increased risk for fibrosis and cirrhosis of liver, liver cancer, and liver disease-related mortality, respectively. These adverse effects were consistent across subgroups based on age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, and presence of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings revealed a significant impact of PTVs in MT-related genes on liver disease risk, highlighting the importance of these variants in identifying populations at risk of liver diseases and facilitating early clinical interventions.

Lipid metabolism mediates the association between body mass index change and bone mineral density: The Taizhou imaging study.

BACKGROUND: Limited research explores the impact of body mass index (BMI) change on osteoporosis, regarding the role of lipid metabolism. We aimed to cross-sectionally investigate these relationships in 820 Chinese participants aged 55-65 from the Taizhou Imaging Study. METHODS: We used the baseline data collected between 2013 and 2018. T-score was calculated by standardizing bone mineral density and was used for osteoporosis and osteopenia diagnosis. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the effect of BMI change on bone health status. Multivariable linear regression was employed to identify the metabolites corrected with BMI change and T-score. Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and mediation analysis were conducted to ascertain the involvement of the metabolites. RESULTS: BMI increase served as a protective factor against osteoporosis (OR = 0.79[0.71-0.88], P-value<0.001) and osteopenia (OR = 0.88[0.82-0.95], P-value<0.001). Eighteen serum metabolites were associated with both BMI change and T-score. Specifically, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) substructures demonstrated negative correlations (ß = -0.08 to -0.06 and - 0.12 to -0.08, respectively), while very low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) substructions showed positive correlations (ß = 0.09 to 0.10 and 0.10 to 0.11, respectively). The two lipid factors (HDL and VLDL) extracted by EFA acted as mediators between BMI change and T-score (Prop. Mediated = 8.16% and 10.51%, all P-value<0.01). CONCLUSION: BMI gain among Chinese aged 55-65 is beneficial for reducing the risk of osteoporosis. The metabolism of HDL and VLDL partially mediates the effect of BMI change on bone loss. Our research offers novel insights into the prevention of osteoporosis, approached from the perspective of weight management and lipid metabolomics.

Disease trajectory of high neuroticism and the relevance to psychiatric disorders: A retro-prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Neuroticism is a psychological personality trait that has a significant impact on public health and is also a potential predisposing factor for adverse disease outcomes; however, comprehensive studies of the subsequently developed conditions are lacking. The starting point of disease trajectory in terms of genetic variation remains unclear. METHOD: Our study included 344,609 adult participants from the UK Biobank cohort who were virtually followed up from January 1, 1997. Neuroticism levels were assessed using 12 items from the Eysenck Personality Questionnaire. We performed a phenome-wide association analysis of neuroticism and subsequent diseases. Binomial tests and logistic regression models were used to test the temporal directionality and association between disease pairs to construct disease trajectories. We also investigated the association between polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for five psychiatric traits and high neuroticism. RESULTS: The risk for 59 diseases was significantly associated with high neuroticism. Depression, anxiety, irritable bowel syndrome, migraine, spondylosis, and sleep disorders were the most likely to develop, with hazard ratios of 6.13, 3.66, 2.28, 1.74, 1.74, and 1.71, respectively. The disease trajectory network revealed two major disease clusters: cardiometabolic and chronic inflammatory diseases. Medium/high genetic risk groups stratified by the PRSs of four psychiatric traits were associated with an elevated risk of high neuroticism. We further identified eight complete phenotypic trajectory clusters of medium or high genetic risk for psychotic, anxiety-, depression-, and stress-related disorders. CONCLUSION: Neuroticism plays an important role in the development of somatic and mental disorders. The full picture of disease trajectories from the genetic risk of psychiatric traits and neuroticism in early life to a series of diseases later provides evidence for future research to explore the etiological mechanisms and precision management.

Mobility-related brain regions linking carotid intima-media thickness to specific gait performances in old age.

BACKGROUND: Gait disturbance is common in older adults with vascular diseases. However, how carotid atherosclerosis affects gait remains poorly understood. The objectives were to investigate the associations between carotid intima-media thickness and specific gait performances and explore the potential role of brain structure in mediating these associations. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of data from the Taizhou Imaging Study was conducted, including 707 individuals who underwent both gait and carotid ultrasound examinations. Gait assessments include the Timed-Up-and-Go test, the Tinetti test, and quantitative gait assessment using a wearable device. Quantitative parameters were summarized into independent gait domains with factor analysis. Magnetic resonance images were obtained on a 3.0-Tesla scanner, and the volumes of fifteen brain regions related to motor function (primary motor, sensorimotor), visuospatial attention (inferior posterior parietal lobules, superior posterior parietal lobules), executive control function (dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, anterior cingulate), memory (hippocampus, entorhinal cortex), motor imagery (precuneus, parahippocampus, posterior cingulated cortex), and balance (basal ganglia: pallidum, putamen, caudate, thalamus) were computed using FreeSurfer and the Desikan-Killiany atlas. Mediation analysis was conducted with carotid intima-media thickness as the predictor and mobility-related brain regions as mediators. RESULTS: Carotid intima-media thickness was found to be associated with the Timed-Up-and-Go performance (ß = 0.129, p = 0.010) as well as gait performances related to pace (ß=-0.213, p < 0.001) and symmetry (ß = 0.096, p = 0.045). Besides, gait performances were correlated with mobility-related brain regions responsible for motor, visuospatial attention, executive control, memory, and balance (all FDR < 0.05). Notably, significant regions differed depending on the gait outcomes measured. The primary motor (41.9%), sensorimotor (29.3%), visuospatial attention (inferior posterior parietal lobules, superior posterior parietal lobules) (13.8%), entorhinal cortex (36.4%), and motor imagery (precuneus, parahippocampus, posterior cingulated cortex) (27.3%) mediated the association between increased carotid intima-media thickness and poorer Timed-Up-and-Go performance. For the pace domain, the primary motor (37.5%), sensorimotor (25.8%), visuospatial attention (12.3%), entorhinal cortex (20.7%), motor imagery (24.9%), and balance (basal ganglia: pallidum, putamen, caudate, thalamus) (11.6%) acted as mediators. CONCLUSIONS: Carotid intima-media thickness is associated with gait performances, and mobility-related brain volume mediates these associations. Moreover, the distribution of brain regions regulating mobility varies in the different gait domains. Our study adds value in exploring the underlying mechanisms of gait disturbance in the aging population.

Changing prevalence of chronic hepatitis B virus infection in China between 1973 and 2021: a systematic literature review and meta-analysis of 3740 studies and 231 million people.

OBJECTIVE: China concentrates a large part of the global burden of HBV infection, playing a pivotal role in achieving the WHO 2030 global hepatitis elimination target. METHODS: We searched for studies reporting HBV surface antigen (HBsAg) seroprevalence in five databases until January 2023. Eligible data were pooled using a generalised linear mixed model with random effects to obtain summary HBsAg seroprevalence. Linear regression was used to estimate annual percentage change (APC) and HBsAg prevalence in 2021. RESULTS: 3740 studies, including 231 million subjects, were meta-analysed. HBsAg seroprevalence for the general population decreased from 9.6% (95% CI 8.4 to 10.9%) in 1973-1984 to 3.0% (95% CI 2.1 to 3.9%) in 2021 (APC=-3.77; p<0.0001). Decreases were more pronounced in children <5 years (APC=-7.72; p<0.0001) and 5-18 years (-7.58; p<0.0001), than in people aged 19-59 years (-2.44; p<0.0001), whereas HBsAg seroprevalence increased in persons ≥60 years (2.84; p=0.0007). Significant decreases were observed in all six major Chinese regions, in both men (APC=-3.90; p<0.0001) and women (-1.82; p<0.0001) and in high-risk populations. An estimated 43.3 million (95% uncertainty interval 30.7-55.9) persons remained infected with HBV in China in 2021 (3.0%), with notable heterogeneity by region (<1.5% in North China to>6% in Taiwan and Hong Kong) and age (0.3%, 1.0%, 4.7% and 5.6% for <5 years, 5-18 years, 19-59 years and ≥60 years, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: China has experienced remarkable decreases in HBV infection over the last four decades, but variations in HBsAg prevalence persist in subpopulations. Ongoing prevention of HBV transmission is needed to meet HBV elimination targets by 2030. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: PROSPERO (CRD42021284217).

Metagenomic association analysis of cognitive impairment in community-dwelling older adults.

The gut microbiota is reportedly involved in neurodegenerative disorders, and exploration of differences in the gut microbiota in different cognitive status could provide clues for early detection and intervention in cognitive impairment. Here, we used data from the Taizhou Imaging Study (N = 516), a community-based cohort, to compare the overall structure of the gut microbiota at the species level through metagenomic sequencing, and to explore associations with cognition. Interestingly, bacteria capable of producing short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), such as Bacteroides massiliensis, Bifidobacterium pseudocatenulatum, Fusicatenibacter saccharivorans and Eggerthella lenta, that can biotransform polyphenols, were positively associated with better cognitive performance (p < 0.05). Although Diallister invisus and Streptococcus gordonii were not obviously related to cognition, the former was dominant in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), while the later was more abundant in cognitively normal (CN) than MCI groups, and positively associated with cognitive performance (p < 0.05). Functional analysis further supported a potential role of SCFAs and lactic acid in the association between the gut microbiota and cognition. The significant associations persisted after accounting for dietary patterns. Collectively, our results demonstrate an association between the gut microbiota and cognition in the general population, indicating a potential role in cognitive impairment. The findings provide clues for microbiome biomarkers of dementia, and insight for the prevention and treatment of dementia.

BMI trajectory of rapid and excessive weight gain during adulthood is associated with bone loss: a cross-sectional study from NHANES 2005-2018.

BACKGROUND: Studies have examined the effect of weight change on osteoporosis, but the results were controversial. Among them, few had looked at weight change over the life span. This study aimed to fill this gap and investigate the association between lifetime body mass index (BMI) trajectories and bone loss. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, participants at age 50 and above were selected from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005-2018. Dual-energy X-ray Absorptiometry was used to measure the bone mineral density at the femoral neck and lumbar spine. Standard BMI criteria were used, with < 25 kg/m2 for normal, 25-29.9 kg/m2 for overweight, and ≥ 30 kg/m2 for obesity. The latent class trajectory model (LCTM) was used to identify BMI trajectories. Multinomial logistic regression models were fitted to evaluate the association between different BMI trajectories and osteoporosis or osteopenia. RESULTS: For the 9,706 eligible participants, we identified four BMI trajectories, including stable (n = 7,681, 70.14%), slight increase (n = 1253, 12.91%), increase to decrease (n = 195, 2.01%), and rapid increase (n = 577, 5.94%). Compared with individuals in the stable trajectory, individuals in the rapid increase trajectory had higher odds of osteoporosis (OR = 2.25, 95% CI 1.19-4.23) and osteopenia (OR = 1.49, 95% CI 1.02-2.17). This association was only found in the lumbar spine (OR = 2.11, 95% CI 1.06-4.2) but not in the femoral neck. In early-stage (age 25-10 years ago) weight change, staying an obesity and stable weight seemed to have protective effects on osteoporosis (OR = 0.26, 95% CI 0.08-0.77) and osteopenia (OR = 0.46, 95% CI 0.25-0.84). Meanwhile, keeping an early-stage stable and overweight was related to lower odds of osteopenia (OR = 0.53, 95% CI 0.34-0.83). No statistically significant association between recent (10 years ago to baseline) weight change and osteoporosis was found. CONCLUSIONS: Rapid and excess weight gain during adulthood is associated with a higher risk of osteoporosis. But this association varies by skeletal sites. Maintaining stable overweight and obesity at an early stage may have potentially beneficial effects on bone health.

Global Burden of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease, 1990 to 2019: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver diseases worldwide. We provided a comprehensive description regarding the disease burden of NAFLD in 204 countries and territories. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We reported the deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) related to NAFLD in the Global Burden of Disease database by sex, age, specific causes, and regions. Estimated annual percentage change was applied to describe the changing trends. RESULTS: Globally, the NAFLD-related deaths and DALYs in 2019 were 0.17 million [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 0.13 to 0.21] and 4.42 million (95% UI: 3.35 to 5.67), increased by 80.2% and 62.9% compared with 1990, respectively. The overall age-standardized rate of mortality and DALYs (ASMR and ASDR) showed a downward trend from 1990 to 2019, the estimated annual percentage change were -0.67 (95% confidence interval: -0.76, -0.57) and -0.82 (95% confidence interval: -0.93, -0.7), respectively. NAFLD-related deaths due to cirrhosis and liver cancer increased by 76.7% and 95.1% between 1990 and 2019. The ASMR and ASDR were the highest in the middle and low sociodemographical index regions in 2019, respectively. Of the 21 Global Burden of Disease regions, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, High-income North America, and Australasia experienced an increase in both ASMR and ASDR. CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD imposes heavy disease burden on humankind worldwide, especially in countries with low-to-middle sociodemographical index level. More potent measures are urgently needed in regions with rising age-standardized rate to forestall the increase of NAFLD disease burden.

Low thyroid function is associated with an increased risk of advanced fibrosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease.

AIMS: Observational studies showed that low thyroid function may perturb liver function. We aimed to evaluate the association of low thyroid function with both metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and advanced hepatic fibrosis. METHODS: Participants who underwent abdominal ultrasonography and thyroid function test in a Chinese hospital from 2015 to 2021were enrolled. Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) > 2.67 and/or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) > 0.676 were used to define advanced fibrosis. Descriptive analyses were performed to characterize the epidemiology of MAFLD according to levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH). The logistic regression model was applied to estimate the association of low thyroid function with MAFLD and advanced fibrosis. RESULTS: A total of 19,946 participants (52.78% males, mean age: 47.31 years, 27.55% MAFLD) were included, among which 14,789 were strict-normal thyroid function, 4,328 were low-normal thyroid function, 829 were subclinical hypothyroidism. TSH levels were significantly higher in MAFLD patients with a FIB-4 > 2.67 and /or NFS > 0.676 than their counterparts. The logistic regression model adjusted for age and sex showed that low-normal thyroid function increased the risk of MAFLD (odds ratio [OR] = 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.18). Multivariable regression model adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, type 2 diabetes, and hypertension showed low-normal thyroid function increased the risk of advanced fibrosis in patients with MAFLD (FIB-4 > 2.67: OR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.02-1.93; NFS > 0.676: OR = 1.72, 95% CI 1.08-2.72). CONCLUSION: Elevated TSH concentrations are associated with advanced hepatic fibrosis, even in the euthyroid state.

Education, neighborhood environment, and cognitive decline: Findings from two prospective cohort studies of older adults in China.

INTRODUCTION: The impacts of education on cognitive decline across different neighborhood environments (NEs) have rarely been studied. METHODS: We investigated and compared the associations between educational attainment and cognitive decline using data of 1286 participants from the Taizhou Imaging Study (TIS) and the Shanghai Aging Study (SAS). RESULTS: Compared with low-educated participants, in TIS with disadvantaged NE, high-educated participants manifested a significantly slower decline in global cognition (.062 Z score per year, P < .001), memory (.054 Z score per year, P < .05), and attention (.065 Z score per year, P < .01), whereas in SAS with advanced NE, highly educated individuals exhibited a slower decline only in attention (.028 Z score per year, P < .05). DISCUSSION: We observed the additive effect of educational attainment and NE on cognitive decline in older adults. Education is especially important for maintaining cognitive health in a disadvantaged environment.

The Regulatory Axis of PD-L1 Isoform 2/TNF/T Cell Proliferation Is Required for the Canonical Immune-Suppressive Effects of PD-L1 Isoform 1 in Liver Cancer.

Despite the well-studied effects of the full-length membrane-locating isoform Iso1 of Programmed Cell Death Protein-Ligand 1 (PD-L1) on immunosuppression, little is known about another membrane-locating isoform, Iso2. While expressional and survival analysis of liver cancer patients indicated that Iso2 plays a tumor-suppressive role, our results also indicated that the tumor-promoting and immune-suppressive effects of Iso1 depended on the positive expression of Iso2. Through mediation analysis, we discovered several downstream genes or pathways of Iso2 and investigated their effects on the Iso1-regulating survival. Among all potential downstream immune factors, Iso2 was inclined to activate the proliferation of T cells by regulating chemokine activity and increasing CD3 levels by promoting TNF expression. Similar results were confirmed in the Mongolian liver cancer cohort, and the Iso2/TNF/T-cell axis was verified in several other cancers in the TCGA cohort. Finally, we demonstrated the promoting effects of Iso2 in terms of producing TNF and increasing T cells both in vitro and in vivo. Our findings illustrate that PD-L1 Iso2 can increase the number of T cells in the tumor microenvironment by elevating TNF levels, which is a necessary part of the tumor-suppressive effects of Iso1 in liver cancer.

Association between oral health and cognitive function among Chinese older adults: the Taizhou imaging study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to investigate the association between oral health and cognitive function in a sample of older adults from a Chinese rural community. METHODS: The cross-sectional cognitive function of 677 individuals were assessed by Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). A comprehensive profile of the oral health status was evaluated by questionnaire and clinical examination. RESULTS: Multiple covariates-adjusted regression models demonstrated decayed teeth (DT) and decayed/missing/filled teeth (DMFT) were negatively associated with MoCA score (all p < 0.05). Calculus index (CI) and clinical attachment loss (CAL) were significantly associated with the lower MoCA, short-term memory and executive function score, respectively (all p < 0.05). Additionally, participants with missing teeth unrestored tend to get lower MMSE and MoCA scores (p < 0.05). The results also showed that increased DT and CI were modestly associated with higher odds of cognitive impairment (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: There is an association between oral health and global cognition. Poor periodontal status was strongly associated with worse global cognition performance, especially in the short-term memory and executive domain for the aging population.

Association of Helicobacter pylori and gastric atrophy with adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction in Taixing, China.

Gastric atrophy caused by Helicobacter pylori infection was suggested to influence the risk of adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEGJ), however, the evidence remains limited. We aimed to examine the associations of H. pylori infection and gastric atrophy (defined using serum pepsinogen [PG] I to PGII ratio) with AEGJ risk, based on a population-based case-control study in Taixing, China (2010-2014), with 349 histopathologically confirmed AEGJ cases and 1859 controls. We explored the potential effect modification by H. pylori serostatus and sex on the association of serum PGs with AEGJ risk. We used unconditional logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). H. pylori seropositivity was associated with an elevated AEGJ risk (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.47-2.63). Neither CagA-positive nor VacA-positive strains dramatically changed this association. Gastric atrophy (PGI/PGII ratio ≤4) was positively associated with AEGJ risk (OR = 2.36, 95% CI: 1.72-3.22). The fully adjusted ORs for AEGJ progressively increased with the increasing levels of PGII (P-trend <.001). H. pylori showed nonsignificant effect modification (P-interaction = .385) on the association of gastric atrophy with AEGJ. In conclusion, H. pylori and gastric atrophy were positively associated with AEGJ risk. These results may contribute evidence to the ongoing research on gastric atrophy-related cancers and guide the prevention and control of AEGJ.

The Health Impact of MAFLD, a Novel Disease Cluster of NAFLD, Is Amplified by the Integrated Effect of Fatty Liver Disease-Related Genetic Variants.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a newly proposed disease category that derived from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. The impact of MAFLD on health events has not been investigated. METHODS: UK Biobank participants were diagnosed for whether MAFLD presented at baseline. Five genetic variants (PNPLA3 rs738409 C/G, TM6SF2 rs58542926 C/T, GCKR rs1260326 T/C, MBOAT7 rs641738 C/T, and HSD17B13 rs72613567 T/TA) were integrated into a genetic risk score (GRS). Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine the association of MAFLD with incident diseases. RESULTS: A total of 160 979 (38.0%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 37.9%, 38.2%) participants out of 423 252 were diagnosed as MAFLD. Compared with participants without MAFLD, MAFLD cases had multivariate adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for liver cancer of 1.59 (95% CI, 1.28, 1.98), cirrhosis of 2.77 (2.29, 3.36), other liver diseases of 2.09 (1.95, 2.24), cardiovascular diseases of 1.39 (1.34, 1.44), renal diseases of 1.56 (1.48, 1.65), and cancers of 1.07 (1.05, 1.10). The impact of MAFLD, especially on hepatic events, was amplified by high GRS, of which the genetic variations in PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and MBOAT7 play the principal roles. MAFLD case with normal body weight is also associated with an increased risk of hepatic outcomes, but the genetic factor seems do not influence the risk in this subpopulation. CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD is independently associated with an increased risk of both intrahepatic and extrahepatic events. Fatty liver disease related genetic variants amplify the effect of MAFLD on disease outcomes.

Alcohol consumption and hepatocellular carcinoma: novel insights from a prospective cohort study and nonlinear Mendelian randomization analysis.

BACKGROUND: Heavy drinking was well associated with an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), whereas the effect of low-to-moderate drinking on HCC remains under debate. METHODS: Participants from the UK Biobank with detailed information on alcohol use and free of common diseases were included. Daily pure alcohol intake (g/day) was calculated, and the predominant alcoholic beverage type was assigned for each participant. Additive Cox regression model and nonlinear Mendelian randomization (NLMR) analyses were performed to evaluate the association of alcohol intake with HCC. RESULTS: Of 329,164 participants (52.3% females, mean [SD] age = 56.7 [8.0] years), 201 incident HCC cases were recorded during the median follow-up of 12.6 years. The best-fitted Cox regression model suggested a J-shaped relationship between daily alcohol intake level and HCC risk. However, NLMR analysis did not detect a nonlinear correlation between alcohol use and HCC (nonlinearity P-value: 0.386). The J-shaped correlation pattern was detected only in subjects who mainly drank wine but not in those who mainly drank beer, spirits, or fortified wine. Moderate wine drinking showed a significant alanine transaminase (ALT)- and aspartate aminotransferase-lowering effect compared to that of the nondrinkers. In low-risk populations of HCC including women, people aged < 60 years, subjects with normal ALT levels, and those carrying non-risk genotypes of PNPLA3 rs738409 and TM6SF2 rs58542926, we observed a J-shaped correlation between alcohol use and HCC; however, a positive dose-response correlation was found in their respective counterparts, even in those predominantly drinking wine. CONCLUSIONS: Low-to-moderate drinking may be inversely associated with the risk of HCC in low-risk populations, which may be largely driven by wine drinking. However, those in high-risk populations of HCC, such as men and older people, and those with abnormal ALT levels and carry genetic risk variants, should abstain from drinking alcohol. Given the small HCC case number, further validations with larger case numbers are warranted in future works.

World-wide Prevalence of Substitutions in HCV Genome Associated With Resistance to Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The efficacy of direct-acting antiviral agents against hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection can be compromised by substitutions in the HCV genome that occur before treatment (resistance-associated substitutions [RASs]). We performed a meta-analysis to determine the prevalence of RASs and their effects. METHODS: We searched publication databases for studies of HCV RNA substitutions that mediate resistance to direct-acting antiviral agents. Findings from 50 studies of the prevalence of RAS in HCV, from 32 countries, were used in a meta-analysis. We retrieved the HCV RNA sequence from the Los Alamos HCV sequence database to estimate the prevalence of the RASs. The degree of resistance to treatment conferred by each RAS was determined based on fold-change in the 50% effective concentration of the drugs. RESULTS: Our final analysis included data from 49,744 patients with HCV infection and 12,612 HCV sequences. We estimated the prevalence of 56 RASs that encoded amino acids and 114 specific RASs. The average prevalence of RASs was highest in HCV genotype (GT) 6, followed by HCV GT1a, GT2, GT1b, GT3, and GT4. The highest prevalence of RASs observed encoded Q80K in NS3 to NS4A of HCV GT1a, Y93T in NS5A of GT1a, and C316N in NS5B of GT1b. The greatest number of RASs were observed at D168 in NS3 to NS4A, at Y93 in NS5A, and at C316 in NS5B. The prevalence of RASs and mutation burdens were high in Japan, the United States, Germany, Thailand, and the United Kingdom; low in Russia, Brazil, Egypt, and India; and intermediate in China, Canada, Australia, Spain, and France. CONCLUSIONS: In a meta-analysis, we found evidence for 114 RASs in HCV of different genotypes. Patients with HCV infection should be tested for RASs before treatment is selected, especially in regions with a high prevalence of RASs.

The gut microbiome in subclinical atherosclerosis: a population-based multiphenotype analysis.

OBJECTIVES: An altered microbiota, which can be described quantitatively, has been identified as playing a pivotal role in host vascular physiology, and it may contribute to various diseases. The aim of this study was to better understand the role of the gut microbiota in vascular physiology in a subclinical elderly population, and to investigate how lifestyle affects the composition of host gut microbiota to further impact the pathogenesis of vascular diseases. METHODS: We performed a population-based faecal metagenomic study over 569 elderly asymptomatic subclinical individuals in rural China. An association network was built based on clinical measurements and detailed epidemiologic questionnaires, including blood chemistry, arterial stiffness, carotid ultrasonography, and metagenomic datasets. RESULTS: By analyzing the breadth, depth and impact of each node of the association network, we found carotid arterial atherosclerosis indices, including intima-media thickness (IMT), were essential in the network, and were significantly associated with living habits, socio-economic status, and diet. Using mediation analysis, we found that higher frequency of eating fresh fruits and vegetables, and more exercise significantly reduced carotid atherosclerosis in terms of IMT, peak systolic velocity and end-diastolic velocity values through the mediation of Alistepes, Oligella and Prevotella. Gut microbes explained 16.5% of the mediation effect of lifestyle on the pathogenesis of carotid atherosclerosis. After adjustment, Faecalicatena [odds ratio (OR) = 0.12 ∼0.65] was shown to be protective against the formation of carotid atherosclerosis, independently, while Libanicoccus (OR = 1.46 ∼4.20 ) was associated with increased carotid arterial IMT. KEGG/KO Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes/ KEGG Orthology (KEGG/KO) analyses revealed a loss of anti-inflammation function in IMT subjects. CONCLUSION: Our study revealed a Chinese population-wide phenotype-metagenomic association network and a mediation effect of gut microbiota on carotid artery atherosclerosis, hinting at potential therapeutic and preventive uses for microbiota in vascular diseases.

A nomogram for screening esophageal squamous cell carcinoma based on environmental risk factors in a high-incidence area of China: a population-based case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Selection of high-risk subjects for endoscopic screening of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) lacks individual predictive tools based on environmental risk factors. METHODS: We performed a large population-based case-control study of 1418 ESCC cases and 1992 controls in a high-risk area of China. Information on potential risk factors was collected via face-to-face interview using an electronic structured questionnaire. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using unconditional logistic regression models, and predictive nomograms were established accordingly. A weighted analysis was further conducted to introduce age into predictive nomograms due to frequency matching study design. RESULTS: Most cases were usually exposed to 4 to 6 risk factors, but most controls were usually exposed to 3 to 5 risk factors. The AUCs of male and female predictive nomograms were 0.75 (95%CI: 0.72, 0.77) and 0.76 (95%CI: 0.73, 0.79), respectively. The weighted analysis adding age in the predictive model improved the AUC in both men and women (0.81 (95%CI: 0.79, 0.84) and 0.88 (95%CI: 0.85, 0.90), respectively). CONCLUSIONS: An easy-to-use preclinical predictive tool is provided to select candidate population with high ESCC risk for endoscopic screening. Its usefulness needs to be further evaluated in future screening practice.

MRI-Based Investigation of Association Between Cerebrovascular Structural Alteration and White Matter Hyperintensity Induced by High Blood Pressure.

BACKGROUND: High blood pressure (BP) is a common risk factor for cerebral small vessel disease including white matter hyperintensity (WMH). Whether increased BP exacerbates WMH by impacting cerebral vascular morphologies remains poorly studied. PURPOSE: To determine the relationships among high BP, cerebrovascular morphologies, and WMH in elderly individuals. STUDY TYPE: Cohort. SUBJECTS: Eight hundred sixty-three participants (54.2% female) from the Taizhou Imaging Study without clinical evidence of neurologic disorders were included in the analyses. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3.0 T; time-of-flight magnetic resonance angiography (TOF MRA); T2 fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR); T1 magnetization-prepared rapid gradient-echo; gradient echo T2*-weighted; diffusion tensor imaging; pulsed arterial spin labeling. ASSESSMENT: Cerebrovascular morphologic measurements were quantified based on the TOF MRA images, including vessel density, radius, tortuosity, and branch number. WMH lesion volumes (WMHV) and WMH lesion counts (WMHC) were calculated automatically based on the T2 FLAIR images. STATISTICAL TESTS: Multivariable linear regression analysis and path analysis with a linear single-mediator model were employed. A P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Higher BP, especially diastolic BP, was significantly correlated with lower cerebrovascular density (ß = -104) and lower branch numbers (ß = -0.02). Although decreased tortuosity (ß = -1.25) and increased radius (ß = 93.8) were correlated with BP, no significant relationship of tortuosity (ß = -4.6 × 10-4 , P = 0.58) or radius (ß = 0.03, P = 0.08) with BP in small vessels was found. The proportion of small vessels decreased as BP increased (SBP: ß = -6.6 × 10-4 ; DBP: ß = -9.0 × 10-4 ). Similarly, increased WMHV and WMHC were associated with decreased vessel density (volumes: ß = -24, counts: ß = -127), decreased tortuosity (volumes: ß = -0.08, counts: ß = -0.53), and increased radius (volumes: ß = 12.6, counts: ß = 86.6). Path analyses suggested an association between high BP and WMHs that were mediated by cerebrovascular morphologic changes. DATA CONCLUSION: Structural alterations of cerebral vessels induced by high BP are correlated with WMH. This result suggested that elevated BP might be one of the pathophysiological mechanisms involving in the co-occurrence of cerebrovascular alteration and small vessel disease. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 1 Technical Efficacy Stage: 1.