RESUMO
In this past decade alone, the Philippines has made major strides in increasing the price of cigarettes. This study estimated the cost-effectiveness of the most recent cigarette price increase of about 29% brought about by Republic Act (RA) 11346 in 2019. A static or a single cohort model was populated with locally-sourced inputs whenever possible. Public payer and societal perspectives were taken wherein the former only considered direct costs and tax revenue gained earmarked for the health sector while the latter adds indirect costs in the form of productivity losses. A 7% discount rate was applied. Increasing the price of cigarettes by about 29% was found to prevent about 1961 tobacco-related deaths which translate to about 34,571 disability adjusted life years (DALYs) saved. Savings incurred from hospitalizations prevented and additional excise tax revenues for health was about USD 367 Million. But when productivity losses averted due to the lives saved and the higher cost of hospitalizations were accounted for in the societal perspective, the excise tax reform yielded USD 415 Million net gain. It would save the public payer USD 10,612 per DALY averted while society at large stand to save USD 11,955 per DALY averted. Tax increases like RA 11346 yield significant revenue that can be used towards public health programs.
Assuntos
Impostos , Produtos do Tabaco , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Filipinas , NicotianaRESUMO
The Philippine tobacco excise tax reform law passed in 2012 drastically increased cigarette prices which were historically low. A pack of 20 cigarettes costing nine cents (US Dollar) or less was taxed five cents in 2011. When the reform took effect in 2013, each pack was taxed 24 cents which is almost five times the 2011 rate. Alongside the increase in tax is a decline in the prevalence of tobacco use from 28.3% in 2009 to 23.8% in 2015. Seven years since the reform took effect, policymakers are still debating whether the tax introduced was high enough to significantly reduce smoking prevalence. This study estimated the total price elasticity of cigarette demand using regression analyses on the pooled Philippine 2009 and 2015 Global Adult Tobacco Survey data with the excise tax as an instrumental variable. Information from both tax regimes provided the variation in cigarette prices that allowed for the estimation of the price elasticity of smoking participation and intensity. Age, sex, urban residence, educational attainment, employment status, wealth quintile, and media exposure were used as control variables. Results confirm that cigarette demand is inelastic, given that total cigarette price elasticity of demand ranges from -0.56 to -1.10 which means that for every 10% price increase, total cigarette demand declines by 5.6% to 11.0%. This study also provides total price elasticities for different subpopulations. Future studies can use these elasticity estimates to forecast smoking prevalence and provide policy recommendations.
Assuntos
Fumar Cigarros , Comércio/estatística & dados numéricos , Custos e Análise de Custo/tendências , Impostos/economia , Adulto , Fumar Cigarros/economia , Fumar Cigarros/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Econômicos , Filipinas/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Fumantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
Objective: This research examined mental and physical health differences by (1) potential upward and downward care recipients and (2) heterogenous time and money transfer arrangements among working-age adults aged 35-64 in the U.S. who are considered to belong to the 'sandwich generation'. Methods: Data for this study came from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics 2013 Family File and Rosters and Transfers module (n = 4609). For the second study objective, we restricted the analytic sample to individuals with at least one living parent/parent-in-law and at least one child (n = 2228). We varied the sandwich generation experience by whether upward (i.e., to parent), downward (i.e., to children), or transfers at both directions occurred. We then fit a series of logistic regression models to study psychological distress and self-rated health status differences among various classifications of sandwich generation, controlling for basic sociodemographic factors and living arrangements. For both samples, we ran separate models for those without underaged coresident children. Results: Compared to respondents without potential care recipients, sandwiched individuals do not differ concerning severe psychological distress or poor/fair health. Conditional on being sandwiched between parents/parents-in-law and adult children, providers of both upward and downward time transfers have almost twice the odds of having severe psychological distress while money providers to parents/parents-in-law have about 1.6 times higher odds of reporting poor/fair health status. Conclusion: This study dispels the notion that being part of the sandwich generation is automatically deleterious to mental and physical health. Rather, it is the provision of certain transfers whilst being sandwiched that is associated with worse health outcomes.
RESUMO
The Philippine government significantly raised cigarette excise taxes in 2013, following passage of the landmark Sin Tax Reform Act of 2012. As a result, cigarette prices increased substantially. Given varying smokers' responses to the price increase, we examined underlying typologies of Filipino smokers and assessed how these typologies determine smoking intensity. We used cross-sectional data from the 2015 wave of the Philippine Global Adult Tobacco Survey (N = 1,651). To uncover typologies, random effects latent class modelling was used on six individual smoker responses (attempting to stop, thinking about quitting, decreasing sticks smoked, switching to cheaper brands, buying in bulk, and asking from others). Bivariate and multivariate analyses were employed to uncover determinants of typologies and smoking intensity. We found two typologies based on smokers' response. The first group, called "potential quitters" (62.62%), is composed of smokers who are more likely to consider quitting and decrease sticks smoked. The second group, called "unlikely to quit" (37.38%), have smokers who opt for price-minimization strategies like switching to cheaper brands, buying in bulk, or asking cigarettes from others. Potential quitters tend to be female, a student, and less nicotine dependent. They smoke up to three fewer sticks than those unlikely to quit, controlling for other factors. Nicotine dependence stood out as the most important predictor of being in the unlikely to quit group. The dominant role of nicotine dependence in determining a smoker's typology points to the need for non-price based measures, such as those targeted towards highly-nicotine dependent smokers, to complement tax-induced price increases and comprehensively address the smoking problem.
Assuntos
Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Produtos do Tabaco , Tabagismo , Adulto , Comércio , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Nicotina , Filipinas , Impostos , NicotianaRESUMO
Activity limitations can diminish life satisfaction. This study explored the role of optimism on the relationship between changes in activities of daily living and instrumental activities of daily living (ADL/IADL) limitations and life satisfaction over time among middle-aged and older adults. Growth curve modeling accounting for intra- and inter-individual changes in life satisfaction was applied to the 2008-2018 waves of the Health and Retirement Study Leave Behind Survey subsample (n = 39,122 person-years). After controlling for sociodemographic factors, physical functioning decline adversely affected life satisfaction (ßADL = -0.12, ßIADL = -0.13, p < 0.001), but the negative consequences reduced slightly through optimism (ßADL = -0.11, ßIADL = -0.12, ßoptimism = 0.47, p < 0.001). Increasing optimism could reduce the negative consequences of ADL/IADL limitations on life satisfaction among middle-aged to older adults.
Assuntos
Atividades Cotidianas , Satisfação Pessoal , Idoso , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Aposentadoria , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estados UnidosRESUMO
Influenza-associated mortality has not been quantified in the Philippines. Here, we constructed multiple negative binomial regression models to estimate the overall and age-specific excess mortality rates (EMRs) associated with influenza in the Philippines from 2006 to 2015. The regression analyses used all-cause mortality as the dependent variable and meteorological controls, time, influenza A and B positivity rates (lagged for up to two time periods), and annual and semiannual cyclical seasonality controls as independent variables. The regression models closely matched observed all-cause mortality. Influenza was estimated to account for a mean of 5,347 excess deaths per year (1.1% of annual all-cause deaths) in the Philippines, most of which (67.1%) occurred in adults aged ≥60 years. Influenza A accounted for 85.7% of all estimated excess influenza deaths. The annual estimated influenza-attributable EMR was 5.09 (95% CI: 2.20-5.09) per 100,000 individuals. The EMR was highest for individuals aged ≥60 years (44.63 [95% CI: 4.51-44.69] per 100,000), second highest for children aged less than 5 years (2.14 [95% CI: 0.44-2.19] per 100,000), and lowest for individuals aged 10 to 19 years (0.48 [95% CI: 0.10-0.50] per 100,000). Estimated numbers of excess influenza-associated deaths were considerably higher than the numbers of influenza deaths registered nationally. Our results suggest that influenza causes considerable mortality in the Philippines-to an extent far greater than observed from national statistics-especially among older adults and young children.