Balloon catheters versus vaginal prostaglandins for labour induction (CPI Collaborative): an individual participant data meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: Induction of labour is one of the most common obstetric interventions globally. Balloon catheters and vaginal prostaglandins are widely used to ripen the cervix in labour induction. We aimed to compare the effectiveness and safety profiles of these two induction methods. METHODS: We did an individual participant data meta-analysis comparing balloon catheters and vaginal prostaglandins for cervical ripening before labour induction. We systematically identified published and unpublished randomised controlled trials that completed data collection between March 19, 2019, and May 1, 2021, by searching the Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrials.gov, WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and PubMed. Further trials done before March 19, 2019, were identified through a recent Cochrane review. Data relating to the combined use of the two methods were not included, only data from women with a viable, singleton pregnancy were analysed, and no exclusion was made based on parity or membrane status. We contacted authors of individuals trials and participant-level data were harmonised and recoded according to predefined definitions of variables. Risk of bias was assessed with the ROB2 tool. The primary outcomes were caesarean delivery, indication for caesarean delivery, a composite adverse perinatal outcome, and a composite adverse maternal outcome. We followed the intention-to-treat principle for the main analysis. The primary meta-analysis used two-stage random-effects models and the sensitivity analysis used one-stage mixed models. All models were adjusted for maternal age and parity. This meta-analysis is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020179924). FINDINGS: Individual participant data were available from 12 studies with a total of 5460 participants. Balloon catheters, compared with vaginal prostaglandins, did not lead to a significantly different rate of caesarean delivery (12 trials, 5414 women; crude incidence 27·0%; adjusted OR [aOR] 1·09, 95% CI 0·95-1·24; I2=0%), caesarean delivery for failure to progress (11 trials, 4601 women; aOR 1·20, 95% CI 0·91-1·58; I2=39%), or caesarean delivery for fetal distress (10 trials, 4441 women; aOR 0·86, 95% CI 0·71-1·04; I2=0%). The composite adverse perinatal outcome was lower in women who were allocated to balloon catheters than in those allocated to vaginal prostaglandins (ten trials, 4452 neonates, crude incidence 13·6%; aOR 0·80, 95% CI 0·70-0·92; I2=0%). There was no significant difference in the composite adverse maternal outcome (ten trials, 4326 women, crude incidence 22·7%; aOR 1·02, 95% CI 0·89-1·18; I2=0%). INTERPRETATION: In induction of labour, balloon catheters and vaginal prostaglandins have comparable caesarean delivery rates and maternal safety profiles, but balloon catheters lead to fewer adverse perinatal events. FUNDING: Australian National Health and Medical Research Council and Monash Health Emerging Researcher Fellowship.

Early detection of colorectal neoplasia: application of a blood-based serological protein test on subjects undergoing population-based screening.

BACKGROUND: Blood-based biomarkers used for colorectal cancer screening need to be developed and validated in appropriate screening populations. We aimed to develop a cancer-associated protein biomarker test for the detection of colorectal cancer in a screening population. METHODS: Participants from the Danish Colorectal Cancer Screening Program were recruited. Blood samples were collected prior to colonoscopy. The cohort was divided into training and validation sets. We present the results of model development using the training set. Age, sex, and the serological proteins CEA, hsCRP, TIMP-1, Pepsinogen-2, HE4, CyFra21-1, Galectin-3, ferritin and B2M were used to develop a signature test to discriminate between participants with colorectal cancer versus all other findings at colonoscopy. RESULTS: The training set included 4048 FIT-positive participants of whom 242 had a colorectal cancer. The final model for discriminating colorectal cancer versus all other findings at colonoscopy had an AUC of 0.70 (95% CI: 0.66-0.74) and included age, sex, CEA, hsCRP, HE4 and ferritin. CONCLUSION: The performance of the biomarker signature in this FIT-positive screening population did not reflect the positive performance of biomarker signatures seen in symptomatic populations. Additional biomarkers are needed if the serological biomarkers are to be used as a frontline screening test.

Serological cancer-associated protein biomarker levels at bowel endoscopy: Increased risk of subsequent primary malignancy.

BACKGROUND: It was previously shown in three subpopulations that subjects not identified with colorectal cancer (CRC) at bowel endoscopy, but with increased serological cancer-associated protein biomarker levels had an increased risk of being diagnosed with subsequent malignant diseases. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to perform a pooled analysis of subjects from the three subpopulations and subsequently validate the results in an independent study. The study population denoted the training set includes N = 4,076 subjects with symptoms attributable to CRC and the independent validation set N = 3,774 similar subjects. METHODS: Levels of CEA, CA19-9, TIMP-1 and YKL-40 were determined in blood samples collected prior to diagnostic bowel endoscopy. Follow-up of subjects not diagnosed with CRC at endoscopy, was ten years and identified subjects diagnosed with primary intra- or extra-colonic malignant diseases. The primary analysis was time to a newly diagnosed malignant disease and was analyzed with death as a competing risk in the training set. Subjects with HNPCC or FAP were excluded. The cumulated incidence was estimated for each biomarker and in a multivariate model. The resulting model was then validated on the second study population. RESULTS: In the training set primary malignancies were identified in 515 (12.6%) of the 4,076 subjects, who had a colorectal endoscopy with non-malignant findings. In detail, 33 subjects were subsequently diagnosed with CRC and 482 subjects with various extra-colonic cancers. Multivariate additive analysis of the dichotomized biomarkers demonstrated that CEA (HR = 1.50, 95% CI:1.21-1.86, p < 0.001), CA19-9 (HR = 1.41, 95% CI:1.10-1.81, p = 0.007) and TIMP-1 (HR = 1.25 95% CI: 1.01-1.54, p = 0.041) were significant predictors of subsequent malignancy. The cumulated incidence at 5 years landmark time was 17% for those subjects with elevated CEA, CA19-9 and TIMP-1 versus 6.7% for those with low levels of all. When the model was applied to the validation set the cumulated 5-year incidence was 10.5% for subjects with elevated CEA, CA19-9 and TIMP-1 and 5.6% for subjects with low levels of all biomarkers. Further analysis demonstrated a significant interaction between TIMP-1 and age in the training set. The age dependency of TIMP-1 indicated a greater risk of malignancy in younger subjects if the biomarker was elevated. This observation was validated in the second set. CONCLUSION: Elevated cancer-associated protein biomarker levels in subjects with non-malignant findings at large bowel endoscopy identifies subjects at increased risk of being diagnosed with subsequent primary malignancy. CEA, CA19-9 and TIMP-1 were significant predictors of malignant disease in this analysis. TIMP-1 was found dependent on age. The results were validated in an independent symptomatic population.

Age-stratified reference intervals unlock the clinical potential of circulating cell-free DNA as a biomarker of poor outcome for healthy individuals and patients with colorectal cancer.

Circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) has spurred much interest as a biomarker in oncology. However, inter- and intra-individual cfDNA levels vary greatly. Consequently, in order to base clinical decisions on cfDNA measurements, normal reference intervals are essential to avoid that ordinary variation is confused with clinically relevant change. The lack of reference intervals may potentially explain the ambiguous results reported in the field. Our study aimed to establish reference intervals and to evaluate the association between cfDNA and demographic and clinical variables, including colorectal cancer (CRC). Plasma samples and clinical data from 2817 subjects were collected including 1930 noncancer individuals and 887 CRC patients. cfDNA was measured using droplet digital polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The large cohort combined with robust cfDNA quantification enabled establishment of reference intervals (<67 years: 775-4860 copies/mL; ≥67 years: 807-6561 copies/mL). A cfDNA level above the age-stratified 90% percentile was prognostic of reduced survival in both noncancer individuals and CRC patients, with HR values of 2.56 and 2.01, respectively. Moreover, cfDNA levels increased significantly with age, elevated BMI and chronic diseases. In CRC, the cfDNA level was increased for Stage IV, but not Stage I to Stage III cancer. In summary, the use of reference intervals revealed that high cfDNA levels were predictive of shorter survival in both noncancer individuals and CRC patients, and that CRC development did not affect the cfDNA level until metastatic dissemination. Furthermore, cfDNA levels were impacted by age and chronic diseases. Conclusively, our study presents reference intervals that will help pave the way for clinical utilization of cfDNA.

Prognostic utility of serum YKL-40 in patients with cervical cancer.

Inflammation is one of the hallmarks of cancer and plays a crucial role in the development and progression. The objective of the present study was to investigate if high serum YKL-40 is related to poor prognosis in cervical cancer (CC) patients. A prospective biomarker study of 116 patients with CC (FIGO stage Ia: n = 4; Ib: n = 55; II: n = 26; III: n = 26; IV: n = 5) and 152 patients with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN). The patients received primary surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy according to standard guidelines during the period 2001-2004. Seventy patients died during the follow-up period (median 117 months, range 104-131). Serum concentrations of YKL-40 were measured by ELISA. Serum concentrations of YKL-40 were increased (p < .001) in CC patients (median 76 µg/L, IQR 45-148) compared to CIN patients (44 µg/L, IQR 30-61) and healthy women (41 µg/L, IQR 29-58). YKL-40 was elevated (>age-corrected 95th percentile of YKL-40 in healthy women) in 30 (26%) of the CC patients. Univariate Cox analysis demonstrated that YKL-40 (included as a log-transformed continuous variable (base 2)) was associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.11-1.98, p = .008) and overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.74, 1.44-2.10, p < .0001). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that stage (II + III vs. I: HR = 2.92, 1.37-6.20, p = .005), YKL-40 (HR = 1.35, 1.06-1.73, p = .018) and age (HR = 1.56, 1.21-1.99, p = .0005) were independent prognostic variables of OS. During treatment, a 2-fold increase in YKL-40 compared to baseline level was associated with short RFS (HR = 1.87, 1.27-2.77, p = .0016) and OS (HR = 1.78, 1.26-2.50, p = .0010). Serum YKL-40 is an independent biomarker of OS in patients with cervical cancer.

ABCG2 Protein Levels and Association to Response to First-Line Irinotecan-Based Therapy for Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

In this study we investigated the use of cancer cell protein expression of ABCG2 to predict efficacy of systemic first-line irinotecan containing therapy in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). From a Danish national cohort, we identified 119 mCRC patients treated with irinotecan containing therapy in first-line setting. Among these, 108 were eligible for analyses. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) analyses were performed on the primary tumor tissue in order to classify samples as high or low presence of ABCG2 protein. Data were then associated with patient outcome (objective response (OR), progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS)). ABCG2 protein expression in the basolateral membrane was high (score 3+) in 33% of the patients. Exploratory analyses revealed a significant interaction between ABCG2 score, adjuvant treatment and OR (p = 0.041) in the 101 patients with evaluable disease. Patients with low ABCG2 (score 0-2) and no prior adjuvant therapy had a significantly higher odds ratio of 5.6 (Confidence Interval (CI) 1.68-18.7; p = 0.005) for obtaining OR. In contrast, no significant associations between ABCG2 expression and PFS or OS were found. These results suggest that measurement of the ABCG2 drug efflux pump might be used to select patients with mCRC for irinotecan treatment. However, additional studies are warranted before conclusions regarding a clinical use can be made. Moreover, patients with high ABCG2 immunoreactivity could be candidates for specific ABCG2 inhibition treatment in combination with irinotecan.

The wound inflammatory response exacerbates growth of pre-neoplastic cells and progression to cancer.

There is a long-standing association between wound healing and cancer, with cancer often described as a "wound that does not heal". However, little is known about how wounding, such as following surgery, biopsy collection or ulceration, might impact on cancer progression. Here, we use a translucent zebrafish larval model of Ras(G12V)-driven neoplasia to image the interactions between inflammatory cells drawn to a wound, and to adjacent pre-neoplastic cells. We show that neutrophils are rapidly diverted from a wound to pre-neoplastic cells and these interactions lead to increased proliferation of the pre-neoplastic cells. One of the wound-inflammation-induced trophic signals is prostaglandin E2 (PGE2). In an adult model of chronic wounding in zebrafish, we show that repeated wounding with subsequent inflammation leads to a greater incidence of local melanoma formation. Our zebrafish studies led us to investigate the innate immune cell associations in ulcerated melanomas in human patients. We find a strong correlation between neutrophil presence at sites of melanoma ulceration and cell proliferation at these sites, which is associated with poor prognostic outcome.

Risk of recurrence, prognosis, and follow-up for Danish women with cervical cancer in 2005-2013: A national cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In developed countries, women attend follow-up after treatment for cervical cancer to detect recurrence. The aim of this study was to describe the Danish population of women with early-stage cervical cancer at risk for recurrence and death due to recurrence. METHODS: Data were extracted from 3 nationwide databases to find women diagnosed with stage 1A1 to 1B1 cervical cancer in 2005-2013. Recurrences were determined from data on oncological or surgical treatment more than 3 months after the initial diagnosis and were cross-checked with patient journals. RESULTS: In all, 1523 patients were diagnosed with stage 1A1 to 1B1 cervical cancer. Eighty women experienced recurrences: 8 at International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage 1A1, 0 at FIGO stage 1A2, and 72 at FIGO stage 1B1. The 5-year recurrence rate was 6.4%; 67.5% of the women had symptomatic recurrences, and 28.8% had asymptomatic recurrences. At significantly greater risk for recurrence were women at stage 1B1, regardless of their lymph node (LN) status at diagnosis (hazard ratio with a positive LN, 5.10; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.65-15.76; P = .0047; hazard ratio with a negative LN, 3.14; 95% CI, 1.25-7.93; P = .0153; hazard ratio with LN data missing, 6.33; 95% CI, 1.80-22.26; P = .004), women older than 50 years (hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.12-2.94; P = .0158), and women with lymphatic and lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI; hazard ratio, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.11-3.30; P = .0188). In a multivariate analysis, significantly inferior survival was found after recurrence for patients with lymphatic LVSI (hazard ratio, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.04-4.80; P = .0401), a symptomatic diagnosis of recurrence (hazard ratio, 2.52; 95% CI, 1.08-5.90; P = .0332), and multiple sites of recurrence (hazard ratio, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.32-5.61; P = .0066). CONCLUSIONS: This study has identified a group of women at FIGO stage 1A1 in no need of specialized, hospital-based follow-up. Many of the recurrences at FIGO stage 1B1 are asymptomatic, and this may show a need for follow-up in this group. Further prospective investigation is needed. Cancer 2018;124:943-51. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Soluble Interleukin-7 receptor levels and risk of acute graft-versus-host disease after allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

Interleukin-7 is a cytokine essential for T cell homeostasis. IL-7 binds to cellular IL-7 receptors in competition with a soluble form of the receptor (sIL-7Rα). We hypothesized that altered sIL-7Rα levels may cause adverse outcomes in patients undergoing HSCT. In parallel, we investigated the impact of the IL-7Rα SNP rs6897932, which has been associated with release of IL-7R. The sIL-7Rα levels decreased during HSCT (from 114ng/ml before to 48ng/ml at day +14 (P<0.0001)). This pattern was inversely mirrored by IL-7. The IL-7/sIL-7Rα ratio at day +14 was significantly higher in patients developing grades II-IV aGVHD (OR=4.3, P=0.026). Furthermore, donor carriage of the rs6897932 T allele was associated with reduced sIL-7Rα levels, increased risk of grades II-IV aGVHD (OR=2.4, P=0.055) and increased transplant-related mortality (CC=4.5%, CT=21.4% and TT=27.3%, P=0.0037). In conclusion, this study suggests an impact of sIL-7Rα levels and rs6897932 donor genotype on alloreactivity and outcome after HSCT.

Predicting efficacy of epirubicin by a multigene assay in advanced breast cancer within a Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group (DBCG) cohort: a retrospective-prospective blinded study.

PURPOSE: Anthracyclines remain a cornerstone in the treatment of primary and advanced breast cancer (BC). This study has evaluated the predictive value of a multigene mRNA-based drug response predictor (DRP) in the treatment of advanced BC with epirubicin. The DRP is a mathematical method combining in vitro sensitivity and gene expression with clinical genetic information from > 3000 clinical tumor samples. METHODS: From a DBCG cohort, 140 consecutive patients were treated with epirubicin between May 1997 and November 2016. After patient informed consent, mRNA was isolated from archival formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded primary breast tumor tissue and analyzed using Affymetrix arrays. Using time to progression (TTP) as primary endpoint, the efficacy of epirubicin was analyzed according to DRP combined with clinicopathological data collected retrospectively from patients' medical records. Statistical analysis was done using Cox proportional hazards model stratified by treatment line. RESULTS: Median TTP was 9.3 months. The DRP was significantly associated to TTP (P = 0.03). The hazard ratio for DRP scores differing by 50 percentage points was 0.55 (95% CI -0.93, one-sided). A 75% DRP was associated with a median TTP of 13 months compared to 7 months following a 25% DRP. Multivariate analysis showed that DRP was independent of age and number of metastases. CONCLUSION: The current study prospectively validates the predictive capability of DRP regarding epirubicin previously shown retrospectively allowing the patients predicted to be poor responders to choose more effective alternatives. Randomized prospective studies are needed to demonstrate if such an approach will lead to increased overall survival.

Outcome of Bevacizumab Therapy in Patients with Recurrent Glioblastoma Treated with Angiotensin System Inhibitors.

PURPOSE: Antihypertensive therapy may improve bevacizumab efficacy in cancer patients. We examined efficacy and toxicity of angiotensin system inhibitors (ASI) and other antihypertensive drugs in bevacizumab treated recurrent glioblastoma patients. METHODS: We retrospectively combined a national prescription registry with a clinical database with recurrent glioblastoma patients (n = 243). RESULTS: Patients who initiated ASI after bevacizumab (n = 26) showed a tendency towards improved progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) with hazard rate (HR) reductions (HR = 0.70 and HR = 0.79, respectively). Calcium antagonists during bevacizumab therapy significantly improved OS (HR = 0.57). CONCLUSIONS: Overall the study supports a potential beneficial effect of antihypertensive treatment on prognosis of bevacizumab treated glioblastoma patients.

Biomarkers in Recurrent Grade III Glioma Patients Treated with Bevacizumab and Irinotecan.

Predictive biomarkers and prognostic models are required to identify recurrent grade III glioma patients who benefit from existing treatment. In this study of 62 recurrent grade III glioma patients, a range of clinical and paraclinical factors are tested for association with progression-free survival, overall survival, and response to bevacizumab and irinotecan therapy. Significant factors from univariate screening are included in multivariate analysis. Biomarkers previously advanced as predictive or prognostic in the first-line setting did not affect outcome in this patient cohort. Based on the optimized model for overall survival, comprising performance status and p53 expression, a prognostic index is established.

Type I Versus Type II Endometrial Cancer: Differential Impact of Comorbidity.

OBJECTIVE: Two distinct types of endometrial carcinoma (EC) with different etiology, tumor characteristics, and prognosis are recognized. We investigated if the prognostic impact of comorbidity varies between these 2 types of EC. Furthermore, we studied if the recently developed ovarian cancer comorbidity index (OCCI) is useful for prediction of survival in EC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This nationwide register-based cohort study was based on data from 6487 EC patients diagnosed in Denmark between 2005 and 2015. Patients were assigned a comorbidity index score according to the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and the OCCI. Kaplan-Meier survival statistics and adjusted multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to investigate the differential association between comorbidity and overall survival in types I and II EC. RESULTS: The distribution of comorbidities varied between the 2 EC types. A consistent association between increasing levels of comorbidity and poorer survival was observed for both types. Cox regression analyses revealed a significant interaction between cancer stage and comorbidity indicating that the impact of comorbidity varied with stage. In contrast, the interaction between comorbidity and EC type was not significant. Both the CCI and the OCCI were useful measurements of comorbidity, but the CCI was the strongest predictor in this patient population. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidity is an important prognostic factor in type I as well as in type II EC although the overall prognosis differs significantly between the 2 types of EC. The prognostic impact of comorbidity varies with stage but not with type of EC.

The prognostic value of FET PET at radiotherapy planning in newly diagnosed glioblastoma.

BACKGROUND: Glioblastoma patients show a great variability in progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). To gain additional pretherapeutic information, we explored the potential of O-(2-18F-fluoroethyl)-L-tyrosine (FET) PET as an independent prognostic biomarker. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 146 consecutively treated, newly diagnosed glioblastoma patients. All patients were treated with temozolomide and radiation therapy (RT). CT/MR and FET PET scans were obtained postoperatively for RT planning. We used Cox proportional hazards models with OS and PFS as endpoints, to test the prognostic value of FET PET biological tumor volume (BTV). RESULTS: Median follow-up time was 14 months, and median OS and PFS were 16.5 and 6.5 months, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, increasing BTV (HR = 1.17, P < 0.001), poor performance status (HR = 2.35, P < 0.001), O(6)-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase protein status (HR = 1.61, P = 0.024) and higher age (HR = 1.32, P = 0.013) were independent prognostic factors of poor OS. For poor PFS, only increasing BTV (HR = 1.18; P = 0.002) was prognostic. A prognostic index for OS was created based on the identified prognostic factors. CONCLUSION: Large BTV on FET PET is an independent prognostic factor of poor OS and PFS in glioblastoma patients. With the introduction of FET PET, we obtain a prognostic index that can help in glioblastoma treatment planning.

Serological biomarkers in triage of FIT-positive subjects?

FIT-based colorectal cancer screening has been implemented in many countries including Denmark, where 916 colorectal cancer and 4468 high- or medium-risk adenoma patients were identified within April-December 2014, among 16,806 subjects with a positive FIT test. Screening increases the overall requirements for colonoscopy, which may challenge the current capacity. Some countries have increased their initial FIT cut-off level in order to comply with lack of colonoscopy capacity. Many patients with neoplasia will not be detected, however, by using increased FIT cut-off levels. The number of patients with neoplastic lesions missed by increased cut-off levels appears to be much higher than expected. Therefore, tests that identify those patients missed by increased FIT cut-off levels must be developed. Preliminary results of determination of one of several biomarker entities currently under investigation show that nucleosome blood tests may be one option for identifying some of these patients. Implementation of a triage test consisting of FIT, blood-based biomarkers and plus/minus colonoscopy is suggested to identify subjects with FIT levels between the initial and the increased cut-off level that must be offered colonoscopy. In addition, triage may reduce the frequency of unnecessary colonoscopies by 25%.

Risk factors for brain metastases in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Brain metastases (BM) from colorectal cancer (CRC) are rare, but the incidence is suspected to rise as treatment of metastatic (m) CRC improves. The aim of this study was to identify possible biological and clinical characteristics at initial presentation of mCRC that could predict later risk of developing BM. Furthermore, we wished to estimate the incidence of BM in long-term surviving patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study on a Danish multicenter cohort of patients with mCRC who received cetuximab and irinotecan (CetIri) as third-line treatment. All patients had previously progression on 5-FU, irinotecan and oxaliplatin containing regimens and received CetIri treatment independent of RAS mutations status. We subsequently performed KRAS, NRAS, BRAF, PIK3CA, PTEN, ERBB2 and EGFR sequencing of DNA extracted from primary tumor tissue. RESULTS: Totally, 480 patients were included in our study. BM were diagnosed in 42 [8.8%; 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.4-11.6%] patients. Patients with BM had a significantly longer survival from mCRC diagnosis than non-BM patients (median = 32 versus 28 months, p = 0.001). On univariate cox regression analysis, the risk of developing BM was significantly increased in patients with rectal cancer (HR = 3.9; 95% CI = 1.2-13.3), metachronous metastatic disease (HR = 2.3; 95% CI = 1.2-4.4) and lung metastases (HR = 4.2; 95% CI = 2.2-7.9). On multivariate cox regression analysis only lung metastases were significantly associated BM (HR = 3.5; 95% CI = 1.8-6.8). None of the investigated mutations were associated with BM. CONCLUSION: The incidence of BM was 8.8% in patients with mCRC who received third-line therapy. The most important risk factor for developing BM was lung metastases. Furthermore, rectal cancer, metachronous metastatic disease and long survival were linked to BM development.

Ovarian Cancer and Comorbidity: Is Poor Survival Explained by Choice of Primary Treatment or System Delay?

OBJECTIVES: Comorbidity influences survival in ovarian cancer, but the causal relations between prognosis and comorbidity are not well characterized. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between comorbidity, system delay, the choice of primary treatment, and survival in Danish ovarian cancer patients. METHODS: This population-based study was conducted on data from 5317 ovarian cancer patients registered in the Danish Gynecological Cancer Database. Comorbidity was classified according to the Charlson Comorbidity Index and the Ovarian Cancer Comorbidity Index. Pearson χ test and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to investigate the association between comorbidity and primary outcome measures: primary treatment ("primary debulking surgery" vs "no primary surgery") and system delay (more vs less than required by the National Cancer Patient Pathways [NCPPs]). Cox regression analyses, including hypothesized mediators stepwise, were used to investigate if the impact of comorbidity on overall survival is mediated by the choice of treatment or system delay. RESULTS: A total of 3945 patients (74.2%) underwent primary debulking surgery, whereas 1160 (21.8%) received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. When adjusting for confounders, comorbidity was not significantly associated to the choice of treatment. Surgically treated patients with moderate/severe comorbidity were more often experiencing system delay longer than required by the NCPP. No association between comorbidity and system delay was observed for patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Survival analyses demonstrated that system delay longer than NCPP requirement positively impacts survival (hazard ratio, 0.90 [95% confidence interval, 0.82-0.98]), whereas primary treatment modality has no significant impact on survival. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with moderate/severe comorbidity experience often a longer system delay than patients with no or mild comorbidity. Age, stage, and comorbidity are factors influencing the choice of treatment, with stage being the most important factor and comorbidity of lesser importance. The impact of comorbidity on survival does not seem to be mediated by the choice of treatment or system delay.

Classification of Ovarian Cancer Surgery Facilitates Treatment Decisions in a Gynecological Multidisciplinary Team.

OBJECTIVE: Proper planning of intervention and care of ovarian cancer surgery is of outmost importance and involves a wide range of personnel at the departments involved. The aim of this study is to evaluate the introduction of an ovarian surgery classification (COVA) system for facilitating multidisciplinary team (MDT) decisions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Four hundred eighteen women diagnosed with ovarian cancers (n = 351) or borderline tumors (n = 66) were selected for primary debulking surgery from January 2008 to July 2013. At an MDT meeting, women were allocated into 3 groups named "pre-COVA" 1 to 3 classifying the expected extent of the primary surgery and need for postoperative care. On the basis of the operative procedures performed, women were allocated into 1 of the 3 corresponding COVA 1 to 3 groups. The outcome measure was the predictive value of the pre-COVA score compared with the actual COVA performed. RESULTS: The MDT meeting allocated 213 women (51%) to pre-COVA 1, 136 (33%) to pre-COVA 2, and 52 (12%) to pre-COVA 3. At the end of surgery, 168 (40%) were classified as COVA 1, 158 (38%) were classified as COVA 2, and 28 (7%) were classified as COVA 3. Traced individually, 212 (51%) patients were correctly preclassified at the MDT meeting and distributed into 110 (52%) COVA 1, 71 (52%) COVA 2, and 17 (32%) COVA 3. Analyzing the subgroup of patients with cancer, 164 (47%) were correctly preclassified. Regarding the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stages, the pre-COVA classification predicted the actual COVA group in 79 (49%) FIGO stages I to IIIB and in 85 (45%) FIGO stages IIIC to IV. CONCLUSIONS: The COVA classification system is a simple and useful tool in the MDT setting where specialists make treatment decisions based on advanced technology. The use of pre-COVA classification facilitates well-organized patient care-relevant procedures to be undertaken. Pre-COVA accurately predicts the final COVA in 51% classified women.

Microvessel density and endothelial cell proliferation levels in colorectal liver metastases from patients given neo-adjuvant cytotoxic chemotherapy and bevacizumab.

The treatment of patients with colorectal liver metastasis has improved significantly and first line therapy is often combined chemotherapy and bevacizumab, although it is unknown who responds to this regimen. Colorectal liver metastases grow in different histological growth patterns showing differences in angiogenesis. To identify possible response markers, histological markers of angiogenesis were assessed. Patients who underwent resection of colorectal liver metastasis at Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark from 2007 to 2011 were included (n = 254) including untreated and patients treated with chemotherapy or chemotherapy plus bevacizumab. The resected liver metastases were characterised with respect to growth pattern, endothelial and tumour cell proliferation as well as microvessel density and tumour regression. Tumour regression grade of liver metastases differed significantly between untreated/chemotherapy treated patients in comparison to chemotherapy plus bevacizumab treated patients (both p < 0.0001). Microvessel density was decreased in liver metastases from patients treated with bevacizumab in comparison to those from untreated/chemotherapy-treated patients (p = 0.006/p = 0.002). Tumour cell proliferation assessed by Ki67 expression correlated to a shorter recurrence free survival in the total patient cohort. In conclusion, liver metastases from patients treated with neo-adjuvant chemotherapy and bevacizumab had significantly lower microvessel densities and tumour regression grades when compared to liver metastases from untreated or chemotherapy treated patients. This may indicate that bevacizumab treatment results in altered vascular biology and tumour viability, with possible tumour reducing effect.

A novel index for preoperative, non-invasive prediction of macro-radical primary surgery in patients with stage IIIC-IV ovarian cancer-a part of the Danish prospective pelvic mass study.

The purpose of this study was to develop a novel index for preoperative, non-invasive prediction of complete primary cytoreduction in patients with FIGO stage IIIC-IV epithelial ovarian cancer. Prospectively collected clinical data was registered in the Danish Gynecologic Cancer Database. Blood samples were collected within 14 days of surgery and stored by the Danish CancerBiobank. Serum human epididymis protein 4 (HE4), serum cancer antigen 125 (CA125), age, performance status, and presence/absence of ascites at ultrasonography were evaluated individually and combined to predict complete tumor removal. One hundred fifty patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer were treated with primary debulking surgery (PDS). Complete PDS was achieved in 41 cases (27 %). The receiver operating characteristic curves demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.785 for HE4, 0.678 for CA125, and 0.688 for age. The multivariate model (Cancer Ovarii Non-invasive Assessment of Treatment Strategy (CONATS) index), consisting of HE4, age, and performance status, demonstrated an AUC of 0.853. According to the Danish indicator level, macro-radical PDS should be achieved in 60 % of patients admitted to primary surgery (positive predictive value of 60 %), resulting in a negative predictive value of 87.5 %, sensitivity of 68.3 %, specificity of 83.5 %, and cutoff of 0.63 for the CONATS index. Non-invasive prediction of complete PDS is possible with the CONATS index. The CONATS index is meant as a supplement to the standard preoperative evaluation of each patient. Evaluation of the CONATS index combined with radiological and/or laparoscopic findings may improve the assessment of the optimal treatment strategy in patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer.