The relative importance of maternal body mass index and glucose levels for prediction of large-for-gestational-age births.

BACKGROUND: The risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) increases substantially with increasing maternal body mass index (BMI). The aim of the present study was to evaluate the relative importance of maternal BMI and glucose levels in prediction of large-for-gestational-age (LGA) births. METHOD: This observational cohort study was based on women giving birth in southern Sweden during the years 2003-2005. Information on 10,974 pregnancies was retrieved from a population-based perinatal register. A 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) was performed in the 28 week of pregnancy for determination of the 2-h plasma glucose concentration. BMI was obtained during the first trimester. The dataset was divided into a development set and a validation set. Using the development set, multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify maternal characteristics associated with LGA. The prediction of LGA was assessed by receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves, with LGA defined as birth weight > +2 standard deviations of the mean. RESULTS: In the final multivariable model including BMI, 2-h glucose level and maternal demographics, the factor most strongly associated with LGA was BMI (odds ratio 1.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.30). Based on the total dataset, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 2-h glucose level to predict LGA was 0.54 (95% CI 0.48-0.60), indicating poor performance. Using the validation database, the AUC for the final multiple model was 0.69 (95% CI 0.66-0.72), which was identical to the AUC retrieved from a model not including 2-h glucose (0.69, 95% CI 0.66-0.72), and larger than from a model including 2-h glucose but not BMI (0.63, 95% CI 0.60-0.67). CONCLUSIONS: Both the 2-h glucose level of the OGTT and maternal BMI had a significant effect on the risk of LGA births, but the relative contribution was higher for BMI. The findings highlight the importance of concentrating on healthy body weight in pregnant women and closer monitoring of weight during pregnancy as a strategy for reducing the risk of excessive fetal growth.

Trends in the prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus in southern Sweden, 2003-2012.

There is accumulating evidence that gestational diabetes is a growing problem. The lack of internationally standardized diagnostic procedures prevents consistent diagnosis and the burden of gestational diabetes must be determined in country-specific studies. In southern Sweden, gestational diabetes is defined as a 2-h capillary plasma glucose concentration of ≥10.0 mmol/L during a universal 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. We report the crude prevalence of gestational diabetes during the years 2003-2012. Of 156 144 women who gave birth, 2.2% were diagnosed with gestational diabetes. When the effect of time on the prevalence of gestational diabetes was assessed in a log-linear Poisson model, an overall increase in prevalence of 35% was predicted, corresponding to an average annual increase of 3.4%. Predicted prevalence was 1.9 (95% CI 1.8-2.0) in 2003 and 2.6 (95% CI 2.4-2.7) in 2012 (p < 0.0001). Due to a simultaneous rise in birth rate, the number of women diagnosed with gestational diabetes increased by 64%.

The potential impact of new diagnostic criteria on the frequency of gestational diabetes mellitus in Sweden.

The International Association of Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups (IADPSG) has suggested new diagnostic criteria for gestational diabetes mellitus. Many centers in Europe still use the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. In southern Sweden we use the 2-h threshold of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes criteria based on universal screening with a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. We have retrospectively scrutinized oral glucose tolerance tests in a subset of 174 women included in a previous study, diagnosed with gestational diabetes mellitus 1996-1999. A complete repeat oral glucose tolerance test was performed directly after diagnosis in 120 women. When applying the current Swedish criteria, and the IADPSG and the WHO criteria to the material, gestational diabetes mellitus was confirmed in 67% (80/120), 84% (101/120), and 80% (96/120), respectively. Hence, 26% (101/80) more women were identified by the IADPSG criteria and 20% (96/80) more women by the WHO criteria, compared with the criteria presently in use.

[Tubal pregnancy with fetus in situ in the 17th gestational week, a case report]. / Tubargraviditet med levande foster i vecka 17.

An ectopic pregnancy occurs when a blastocyst implants outside the uterus cavity. It is a condition with increased morbidity and mortality for women in reproductive age. Most of the ectopic pregnancies (95.5%) are located in the fallopian tube. We report a case of an ectopic pregnancy that progressed unruptured and with fetus in situ up to 17 gestational weeks. This case is rare, especially in developed countries where patients have access to healthcare. With this case report we would like to emphasize that ectopic pregnancy should be among the differential diagnoses of abdominal pain even in the second trimester of pregnancy but also the importance of an early vaginal ultrasound examination in its diagnosis.

HbA1c as a predictor of diabetes after gestational diabetes mellitus.

AIM: We wanted to investigate third-trimester HbA1c as a predictor of diabetes after gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). METHODS: Women with GDM were followed up prospectively for five years from pregnancy to detect the development of diabetes. The ability of HbA1c to predict diabetes was evaluated with receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: By five years, 73 of 196 women had been diagnosed with diabetes. An optimal cut-off point for HbA1c of 36mmol/mol (5.4%) could predict diabetes with 45% sensitivity and 92% specificity. For HbA1c ≥39mmol/mol (≥5.7%), sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value were 30%, 97%, and 91%, respectively. In logistic regression analysis, adjusting for the diagnostic glucose concentration during pregnancy, HbA1c levels in the upper quartile (≥36mmol/mol) were associated with a 5.5-fold increased risk of diabetes. CONCLUSION: Third-trimester HbA1c levels in the pre-diabetes range revealed women with post-partum diabetes with high specificity and high positive predictive value. HbA1c testing could be used as a strategy to select high-risk women for lifestyle interventions aimed at prevention of diabetes starting during pregnancy. The results should encourage further validation in other populations using new diagnostic criteria for GDM.

Seasonal Pattern in the Diagnosis of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus in Southern Sweden.

Aim. The aim of this study was to examine seasonal patterns in glucose tolerance and in the diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Methods. Altogether, 11 538 women underwent a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in the twenty-eighth week of pregnancy during the years 2003-2005 in southern Sweden. GDM was defined by the 2-h capillary glucose concentration in the OGTT (≥8.9 mmol/L). Chi-squared test, analysis of variance, and regression analyses were used for statistical evaluations. Results. The seasonal frequency of GDM ranged from 3.3% in spring to 5.5% in summer (p < 0.0001). Mean 2-h glucose concentrations followed the same seasonal trend, with a difference of 0.15 mmol/L between winter and summer (p < 0.0001). The 2-h glucose level increased by 0.009 mmol/L for every degree increase in temperature (p < 0.0001). In regression analysis, summer (June-August) was associated with increased 2-h glucose level (p < 0.001) and increased frequency of GDM compared to the other seasons (odds ratio 1.51, 95% confidence interval 1.24-1.83, and p < 0.001). Conclusions. Our findings suggest seasonal variation in the 2-h glucose concentration in the OGTT and in the proportion of women diagnosed with GDM, with a peak in the summer.

Role of HbA1c in post-partum screening of women with gestational diabetes mellitus.

AIM: To compare the performance of HbA1c with established glucose criteria during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and to assess HbA1c as a screening test for undiagnosed diabetes and pre-diabetes after gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). METHODS: Glucose homeostasis was re-evaluated 1-5 years after delivery in 140 women with previous GDM, by means of OGTT and simultaneous HbA1c measurement. Glucose tolerance was defined according to World Health Organisation criteria. HbA1c ≥6.5% (≥48 mmol/mol) was used for diabetes diagnosis and HbA1c ≥5.7% (≥39 mmol/mol) to define abnormal glucose homeostasis. RESULTS: HbA1c had low sensitivity (14.3%) and high specificity (99.1%) in diabetes diagnosis. Sensitivity and specificity of HbA1c to detect abnormal glucose tolerance were 29.5% and 95.2%, respectively. The consistency in classifying abnormal glucose tolerance between HbA1c and OGTT criteria was 59% (κ = 0.227) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.708. The combined use of HbA1c and fasting glucose criteria showed similar performance to that of fasting glucose criteria alone. The latter identified 63% of the women with pre-diabetes or diabetes in the study cohort. However, by lowering the cut-point of HbA1c to ≥5.0% (≥31 mmol/mol), an additional proportion (27%) with isolated post-glucose load hyperglycaemia was identified. CONCLUSION: Proposed thresholds of HbA1c had low diagnostic sensitivity. Combined with a fasting glucose test, the performance was no better than with using a fasting glucose test alone. Combining a fasting glucose test with a lower HbA1c cut-point may be an alternative approach for selection of women for an OGTT.