Economic evaluation of diagnostic localization following biochemical prostate cancer recurrence.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess potential cost-effectiveness of using a prostate cancer specific functional imaging technology capable of identifying residual localized disease versus small volume metastatic disease for asymptomatic men with low but detectable prostate specific antigen (PSA) elevation following radical prostatectomy. METHODS: Markov modeling was used to estimate the incremental impact on healthcare system costs (2012 USD) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of two alternative strategies: (i) using the new diagnostic to guide therapy versus (ii) current usual care-using a combination of computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, and bone scan to guide therapy. Costs were based on estimates from literature and Medicare reimbursement. Prostate cancer progression, survival, utilities, and background risk of all-cause mortality were obtained from literature. Base-case diagnostic sensitivity (75 percent), specificity (90 percent), and cost (USD 2,500) were provided by our industry partner GE Healthcare. RESULTS: The new diagnostic strategy provided an average gain of 1.83 (95 percent uncertainty interval [UI]: 1.24-2.64) QALYs with added costs of USD 15,595 (95 percent UI: USD -6,330-44,402) over 35 years. The resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was USD 8,516/QALY (95 percent UI: USD -2,947-22,372). RESULTS were most influenced by the utility discounting rate and test performance characteristics; however, the new diagnostic provided clinical benefits over a wide range of sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSION: This analysis suggests a diagnostic technology capable of identifying whether men with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy have localized versus metastatic disease would be a cost-effective alternative to current standard work-up. The results support additional investment in development and validation of such a diagnostic.

Budget impact analysis of the DiviTum TKa assay in postmenopausal women with hormone receptor positive metastatic breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: DiviTum TKa, a blood-based biomarker assay developed to monitor and predict treatment response in hormone receptor positive metastatic breast cancer (HR + mBC), may decrease traditional disease monitoring assessments and avoid prolongation of futile treatments. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the diagnostic and treatment budget impact of the assay on a postmenopausal HR + HER2- mBC population in a one-million-member U.S. health plan. METHODS: We developed a budget impact model comparing inclusion and exclusion of DiviTum TKa to standard care under which DiviTum TKa (1) reduces the frequency of traditional mBC monitoring tools, and (2) predicts treatment futility in advance of radiological disease progression. Traditional disease monitoring assessment schedules were based on guidelines and expert opinions. DiviTum TKa's impact on therapy utilization was based on published literature and expert opinion. Modeled costs included DiviTum TKa, NCCN-recommended treatments, imaging, biomarker testing, and adverse events. We calculated total and per-member per-month (PMPM) costs with a 3-year time horizon. RESULTS: The inclusion of 416 DiviTum TKa assays ($166,400) was largely offset by 193 fewer CT scans, 88 fewer bone scans, and 55 fewer biomarker tests over 3 years, a savings of -$128,400, resulting in a PMPM of $0.001. In scenario analyses, adding DiviTum TKa resulted in additional treatment-related cost-savings (-$465,600), resulting in a PMPM cost-savings of -$0.013, or an average savings of -$7,400 per each patient initiating first-line cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitor plus aromatase inhibitor therapy. Expected savings approached 3× the spend on the new test. Results were most sensitive to DiviTum TKa cost, population parameters, and treatment costs. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical use of the DiviTum TKa assay is expected to decrease traditional imaging and monitoring and may reduce the overall cost of managing mBC if it leads to clinical decisions to avoid futile therapy. Post-coverage, real-world monitoring of palliative therapies among post-menopausal mBC populations is needed to better categorize cost savings over time.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARYWhat is already known about this subject Current monitoring of therapy for hormone receptor positive metastatic breast cancer involves a combination of tumor marker testing, imaging, and other tools. Monitoring is variable in practice, and therefore relatively insensitive to evidence of tumor progression.What this study adds DiviTum TKa is a novel biomarker that may offer a more convenient and sensitive alternative to traditional monitoring of metastatic breast cancer. Factoring in cost offsets due to reduced monitoring and earlier discontinuation of futile therapies may be cost-saving to health plans that cover this technology.

Costs of Diagnostic Assessment for Lung Cancer: A Medicare Claims Analysis.

PURPOSE: To assess the diagnostic costs leading up to a lung cancer diagnosis in patients with abnormal computed tomography (CT) scans. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using the 5% Medicare claims data (January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2011) was conducted. Patients aged 65 to 74 years with an abnormal chest CT scan were identified. Index was defined as the date of the abnormal chest CT scan. Outcomes assessed over a 12-month follow-up after index included lung cancer diagnosis rate and the use and associated costs of follow-up diagnostic tests up to diagnosis of lung cancer. RESULTS: Of 8979 patients identified with an abnormal chest CT scan (mean age, 69.3 ± 2.9 years), 13.9% were diagnosed with lung cancer over 12 months. Chest x-rays were the most common diagnostic test. Of the 19% who underwent a biopsy, 43.6% were not diagnosed with lung cancer during follow-up. The average total diagnostic assessment cost per patient was higher for those with versus without lung cancer ($7567 vs. $3558). Among patients not diagnosed with lung cancer, the median diagnostic cost per patient for those with versus without biopsy was ∼ 28 times higher. Adverse events significantly increased the average cost per biopsy (approximately 4-fold). CONCLUSION: Total lung cancer diagnostic cost was $38.3M in the defined study sample, of which 43.1% was accounted for by biopsied patients without a lung cancer diagnosis. Additional risk stratification is required to decrease unnecessary biopsy referrals and costs. Further, adverse events significantly increased costs.

Performance Goals for an Adjunct Diagnostic Test to Reduce Unnecessary Biopsies After Screening Mammography: Analysis of Costs, Benefits, and Consequences.

PURPOSE: Because benign biopsies resulting from false-positive mammographic findings are a known harm of breast cancer screening, physicians and test manufacturers are searching for ways to reduce their frequency. The aim of this study was to estimate potential costs and consequences associated with using an adjunct diagnostic test for triaging women with suspicious mammographic findings before biopsy. METHODS: A decision model was developed to compare the use of an adjunct test before biopsy to the current standard of care for suspicious mammographic findings. The decision analysis was performed from the perspective of a national health payer, with a 1-year time horizon among women representative of the US screening population aged 40 to 79 years. Three primary outcomes were assessed: (1) incremental costs, (2) number of benign biopsies avoided, and (3) number of missed opportunities for diagnosing cancer per million women screened. Input parameters were obtained from the medical literature and expert opinion. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the effects of uncertainty in parameter estimates. RESULTS: The base-case analysis demonstrated that the use of an adjunct diagnostic test with 95% sensitivity, 75% specificity, and a cost of $1,000 would eliminate 8,127 unnecessary breast biopsies per million women screened. However, this would cost the US health care system an additional $6,462,977 and result in 255 missed opportunities for diagnosing cancer per million women screened. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of an adjunct test for triaging women for breast biopsy after abnormal findings on screening mammography would likely eliminate many unnecessary biopsies but also increase overall health care costs. This exploratory analysis highlights the fact that mammography remains a relatively inexpensive and effective breast cancer screening and diagnostic modality.

A simplified interventional mapping system (SIMS) for the selection of combinations of targeted treatments in non-small cell lung cancer.

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is a leading cause of death worldwide. Targeted monotherapies produce high regression rates, albeit for limited patient subgroups, who inevitably succumb. We present a novel strategy for identifying customized combinations of triplets of targeted agents, utilizing a simplified interventional mapping system (SIMS) that merges knowledge about existent drugs and their impact on the hallmarks of cancer. Based on interrogation of matched lung tumor and normal tissue using targeted genomic sequencing, copy number variation, transcriptomics, and miRNA expression, the activation status of 24 interventional nodes was elucidated. An algorithm was developed to create a scoring system that enables ranking of the activated interventional nodes for each patient. Based on the trends of co-activation at interventional points, combinations of drug triplets were defined in order to overcome resistance. This methodology will inform a prospective trial to be conducted by the WIN consortium, aiming to significantly impact survival in metastatic NSCLC and other malignancies.

Performance goals for an adjunct diagnostic test to reduce unnecessary biopsies after screening mammography: analysis of costs, benefits, and consequences.

PURPOSE: Because benign biopsies resulting from false-positive mammographic findings are a known harm of breast cancer screening, physicians and test manufacturers are searching for ways to reduce their frequency. The aim of this study was to estimate potential costs and consequences associated with using an adjunct diagnostic test for triaging women with suspicious mammographic findings before biopsy. METHODS: A decision model was developed to compare the use of an adjunct test before biopsy to the current standard of care for suspicious mammographic findings. The decision analysis was performed from the perspective of a national health payer, with a 1-year time horizon among women representative of the US screening population aged 40 to 79 years. Three primary outcomes were assessed: (1) incremental costs, (2) number of benign biopsies avoided, and (3) number of missed opportunities for diagnosing cancer per million women screened. Input parameters were obtained from the medical literature and expert opinion. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the effects of uncertainty in parameter estimates. RESULTS: The base-case analysis demonstrated that the use of an adjunct diagnostic test with 95% sensitivity, 75% specificity, and a cost of $1,000 would eliminate 8,127 unnecessary breast biopsies per million women screened. However, this would cost the US health care system an additional $6,462,977 and result in 255 missed opportunities for diagnosing cancer per million women screened. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of an adjunct test for triaging women for breast biopsy after abnormal findings on screening mammography would likely eliminate many unnecessary biopsies but also increase overall health care costs. This exploratory analysis highlights the fact that mammography remains a relatively inexpensive and effective breast cancer screening and diagnostic modality.

Gallbladder Visualization on I-131 Post-Ablative Whole Body Imaging Mimicking Hepatic Metastases.

A 52-year-old woman with follicular thyroid carcinoma presented for ablative radioiodide and whole body I-131 imaging following subtotal thyroidectomy. An abnormal focus of increased activity was present in the region of the gallbladder fossa, persistent on delayed imaging. Subsequent CT revealed no hepatic metastases. Contemporaneously, the patient described right upper quadrant abdominal pain. Abdominal ultrasound demonstrated cholelithiasis. Cholecystectomy revealed extensive cholelithiasis and evidence of chronic cholecystitis; no hepatic metastases were identified. This case demonstrates the potential pitfall of gallbladder activity on I-131 whole body imaging secondary to cholecystitis mimicking hepatic metastases.