Predicting future state for adaptive clinical pathway management.

Clinical decision support systems are assisting physicians in providing care to patients. However, in the context of clinical pathway management such systems are rather limited as they only take the current state of the patient into account and ignore the possible evolvement of that state in the future. In the past decade, the availability of big data in the healthcare domain did open a new era for clinical decision support. Machine learning technologies are now widely used in the clinical domain, nevertheless, mostly as a tool for disease prediction. A tool that not only predicts future states, but also enables adaptive clinical pathway management based on these predictions is still in need. This paper introduces weighted state transition logic, a logic to model state changes based on actions planned in clinical pathways. Weighted state transition logic extends linear logic by taking weights - numerical values indicating the quality of an action or an entire clinical pathway - into account. It allows us to predict the future states of a patient and it enables adaptive clinical pathway management based on these predictions. We provide an implementation of weighted state transition logic using semantic web technologies, which makes it easy to integrate semantic data and rules as background knowledge. Executed by a semantic reasoner, it is possible to generate a clinical pathway towards a target state, as well as to detect potential conflicts in the future when multiple pathways are coexisting. The transitions from the current state to the predicted future state are traceable, which builds trust from human users on the generated pathway.

A scalable approach for developing clinical risk prediction applications in different hospitals.

OBJECTIVE: Machine learning (ML) algorithms are now widely used in predicting acute events for clinical applications. While most of such prediction applications are developed to predict the risk of a particular acute event at one hospital, few efforts have been made in extending the developed solutions to other events or to different hospitals. We provide a scalable solution to extend the process of clinical risk prediction model development of multiple diseases and their deployment in different Electronic Health Records (EHR) systems. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We defined a generic process for clinical risk prediction model development. A calibration tool has been created to automate the model generation process. We applied the model calibration process at four hospitals, and generated risk prediction models for delirium, sepsis and acute kidney injury (AKI) respectively at each of these hospitals. RESULTS: The delirium risk prediction models have on average an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.82 at admission and 0.95 at discharge on the test datasets of the four hospitals. The sepsis models have on average an AUROC of 0.88 and 0.95, and the AKI models have on average an AUROC of 0.85 and 0.92, at the day of admission and discharge respectively. DISCUSSION: The scalability discussed in this paper is based on building common data representations (syntactic interoperability) between EHRs stored in different hospitals. Semantic interoperability, a more challenging requirement that different EHRs share the same meaning of data, e.g. a same lab coding system, is not mandated with our approach. CONCLUSIONS: Our study describes a method to develop and deploy clinical risk prediction models in a scalable way. We demonstrate its feasibility by developing risk prediction models for three diseases across four hospitals.

Semantic processing of EHR data for clinical research.

There is a growing need to semantically process and integrate clinical data from different sources for clinical research. This paper presents an approach to integrate EHRs from heterogeneous resources and generate integrated data in different data formats or semantics to support various clinical research applications. The proposed approach builds semantic data virtualization layers on top of data sources, which generate data in the requested semantics or formats on demand. This approach avoids upfront dumping to and synchronizing of the data with various representations. Data from different EHR systems are first mapped to RDF data with source semantics, and then converted to representations with harmonized domain semantics where domain ontologies and terminologies are used to improve reusability. It is also possible to further convert data to application semantics and store the converted results in clinical research databases, e.g. i2b2, OMOP, to support different clinical research settings. Semantic conversions between different representations are explicitly expressed using N3 rules and executed by an N3 Reasoner (EYE), which can also generate proofs of the conversion processes. The solution presented in this paper has been applied to real-world applications that process large scale EHR data.

Clinical diagnosis support system based on case based fuzzy cognitive maps and semantic web.

Incorrect or improper diagnostic tests uses have important implications for health outcomes and costs. Clinical Decision Support Systems purports to optimize the use of diagnostic tests in clinical practice. The computerized medical reasoning should not only focus on existing medical knowledge but also on physician's previous experiences and new knowledge. Such medical knowledge is vague and defines uncertain relationships between facts and diagnosis, in this paper, Case Based Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (CBFCM) are proposed as an evolution of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps. They allow more complete representation of knowledge since case-based fuzzy rules are introduced to improve diagnosis decision. We have developed a framework for interacting with patient's data and formalizing knowledge from Guidelines in the domain of Urinary Tract Infection. The conducted study allowed us to test cognitive approaches for implementing Guidelines with Semantic Web tools. The advantage of this approach is to enable the sharing and reuse of knowledge from Guidelines, physicians experiences and simplify maintenance.

Decision support system based semantic web for personalized patient care.

Personalized medicine may be considered an extension of traditional approaches to understanding and treating diseases, but with greater precision. A profile of a patient's genetic variation can guide the selection of drugs or treatment protocols that minimize harmful side effects or ensure a more successful outcome. In this paper we describe a decision support system designed to assist physicians for personalized care, and methodology for integration in the clinical workflow. A reasoning method for interacting heterogeneous knowledge and data is a necessity in the context of personalized medicine. Development of clinical decision support based semantic web for personalized patient care is to achieve its potential and improve the quality, safety and efficiency of healthcare.

An Interoperability Platform Enabling Reuse of Electronic Health Records for Signal Verification Studies.

Depending mostly on voluntarily sent spontaneous reports, pharmacovigilance studies are hampered by low quantity and quality of patient data. Our objective is to improve postmarket safety studies by enabling safety analysts to seamlessly access a wide range of EHR sources for collecting deidentified medical data sets of selected patient populations and tracing the reported incidents back to original EHRs. We have developed an ontological framework where EHR sources and target clinical research systems can continue using their own local data models, interfaces, and terminology systems, while structural interoperability and Semantic Interoperability are handled through rule-based reasoning on formal representations of different models and terminology systems maintained in the SALUS Semantic Resource Set. SALUS Common Information Model at the core of this set acts as the common mediator. We demonstrate the capabilities of our framework through one of the SALUS safety analysis tools, namely, the Case Series Characterization Tool, which have been deployed on top of regional EHR Data Warehouse of the Lombardy Region containing about 1 billion records from 16 million patients and validated by several pharmacovigilance researchers with real-life cases. The results confirm significant improvements in signal detection and evaluation compared to traditional methods with the missing background information.

Personalized decision support system based on clinical practice guidelines.

Personalized medicine is a broad and rapidly advancing field of health care that is informed by each person's unique clinical, genetic, genomic, and environmental information. Health care that embraces personalized medicine is an integrated, coordinated, evidence based approach to individualizing patient care across the continuum. It is very important to make the right treatment decision but before that to obtain a good diagnosis. There are several clinical forms of disease whose symptoms vary depending on the age and etiology. In this study, we investigated and evaluated a model framework, for personalized diagnostic decisions, based on Case Based Fuzzy Cognitive Map (CBFCM, a cognitive process applying the main features of fuzzy logic and neural processors to situations involving imprecision and uncertain descriptions, in a similar way to intuitive human reasoning. We explored the use of this method for modelling clinical practice guidelines.

Diagnosis support system based on clinical guidelines: comparison between case-based fuzzy cognitive maps and Bayesian networks.

Several studies have described the prevalence and severity of diagnostic errors. Diagnostic errors can arise from cognitive, training, educational and other issues. Examples of cognitive issues include flawed reasoning, incomplete knowledge, faulty information gathering or interpretation, and inappropriate use of decision-making heuristics. We describe a new approach, case-based fuzzy cognitive maps, for medical diagnosis and evaluate it by comparison with Bayesian belief networks. We created a semantic web framework that supports the two reasoning methods. We used database of 174 anonymous patients from several European hospitals: 80 of the patients were female and 94 male with an average age 45±16 (average±stdev). Thirty of the 80 female patients were pregnant. For each patient, signs/symptoms/observables/age/sex were taken into account by the system. We used a statistical approach to compare the two methods.

Application of probabilistic and fuzzy cognitive approaches in semantic web framework for medical decision support.

This study aimed to focus on medical knowledge representation and reasoning using the probabilistic and fuzzy influence processes, implemented in the semantic web, for decision support tasks. Bayesian belief networks (BBNs) and fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs), as dynamic influence graphs, were applied to handle the task of medical knowledge formalization for decision support. In order to perform reasoning on these knowledge models, a general purpose reasoning engine, EYE, with the necessary plug-ins was developed in the semantic web. The two formal approaches constitute the proposed decision support system (DSS) aiming to recognize the appropriate guidelines of a medical problem, and to propose easily understandable course of actions to guide the practitioners. The urinary tract infection (UTI) problem was selected as the proof-of-concept example to examine the proposed formalization techniques implemented in the semantic web. The medical guidelines for UTI treatment were formalized into BBN and FCM knowledge models. To assess the formal models' performance, 55 patient cases were extracted from a database and analyzed. The results showed that the suggested approaches formalized medical knowledge efficiently in the semantic web, and gave a front-end decision on antibiotics' suggestion for UTI.

Semantic patient information aggregation and medicinal decision support.

Although the health care sector has already been subjected to a major computerization effort, this effort is often limited to the implementation of standalone systems which do not communicate with each other. Interoperability problems limit health care applications from achieving their full potential. In this paper, we propose the use of Semantic Web technologies to solve interoperability problems between data providers. Through the development of unifying health care ontologies, data from multiple health care providers can be aggregated, which can then be used as input for a decision support system. This way, more data is taken into account than a single health care provider possesses in his local setting. The feasibility of our approach is demonstrated by the creation of an end-to-end proof of concept, focusing on Belgian health care providers and medicinal decision support.