Prognostic model for advanced breast carcinoma with luminal subtype and impact of hormonal maintenance: Implications for post-progression and conditional survival.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this analysis was to develop and validate a prognostic model for advanced breast cancer (ABC) with luminal subtype based on the combination of clinical, pathological and therapeutic predictors to provide a practical tool to evaluate patients' prognosis. METHODS: Clinical and pathological data were retrospectively correlated to progression-free and overall survival (PFS/OS) using a Cox model. Significant treatment variables were adjusted with the propensity score analysis. A continuous score to identify risk classes was derived according to model ratios. The performance of the risk-class model was tested for post-progression survival (PPS) and conditional survival (CS) as well. RESULTS: Data from 335 patients (3 institutions) were gathered (median follow-up 58 months). At multivariate analysis Ki67, Performance Status (PS) and number of metastatic sites were significant predictors for PFS, whereas Ki67, PS, brain metastases, PFS after 1st-line therapy, number of chemotherapy lines, hormonal therapy and maintenance were significant predictors for OS. The hormonal maintenance resulted to be prognostic after adjustment with propensity score analysis. A two-class model significantly differentiated low-risk and high-risk patients for 2-year PFS (31.5% and 11.0%, p < 0.0001), and 3-years OS (57.1% and 4.8%, p < 0.0001). A three-class model separated low risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk patients for 2-year PFS (40.8%, 24.4%, and 11.0%, p < 0.0001) and 3-year OS (68.1%, 24.8%, and 4.8%, p < 0.0001). Both models equally discriminate the luminal ABC prognosis in terms of PPS and CS. CONCLUSIONS: A risk stratification model including 'easy-to-obtain' clinical, pathological and therapeutic parameters accurately separates luminal ABC patients into different risk classes.

Clinical outcomes and cardiac safety of continuous antiHer2 therapy in c-erbB2-positive metastatic breast cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: To explore clinical outcomes and cardiac safety of continuous antiHer2 therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This retrospective study evaluates overall survival (OS), time to treatment failure (TTF), and cardiac safety of 80 consecutive Her2-positive metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients that received ≥ 12 months of therapy with trastuzumab, followed by lapatinib-based or trastuzumab-based therapy. RESULTS: All patients received trastuzumab as first antiHer2 therapy; 54% received lapatinib in the second or subsequent line. Median OS was 34 months (12-120 months). Median OS was 48 months in the subgroup of 43 patients who received lapatinib and 26 months in the 37 patients who did not. Median TTF was shorter for lapatinib. There were three cardiac events and trastuzumab-based chemotherapy (CT) was interrupted in one patient because left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) decreased to ≤ 40%. CONCLUSION: Continuous antiHer2 therapy provides good clinical outcomes, especially in those patients who received lapatinib. Cardiac dysfunction was a rare event, reversible, associated to trastuzumab and not related to treatment duration.