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1.
Scand J Gastroenterol ; 57(4): 424-431, 2022 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34932423

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To understand current thinking and clinical decision-making in the treatment and management of patients with mild-to-moderate ulcerative colitis (UC). METHODS: This multinational, survey-based study was conducted in 2021. Two meetings were held, involving 11 IBD specialists, that used a series of questions and discussion to identify all factors possibly related to the management of UC. The importance of identified factors was assessed using an online questionnaire covering three scenarios - active disease, remission and patient empowerment. Each factor was scored on a scale of 0 (very-unimportant) to 100 (very-important) within each scenario, by a separate group of healthcare professionals working in IBD. RESULTS: A total of 157 individual factors were identified by the 11 IBD specialists and scored in the three scenarios by 56 respondents (52; 93% specialist gastroenterologists) from Europe and North America (25; 45%), South America (19; 34%) and the Middle East, Asia and Australia (12; 21%). For all scenarios, factors related to educating patients regarding UC and its treatment and understanding of patient goals ranked highest, ahead of clinical considerations regarding disease activity and treatment history. Setting realistic short-term treatment targets was a key consideration. 5-ASA optimisation and use of faecal calprotectin monitoring were core strategies across the three scenarios tested. Support for patients during longer-term management of their disease, starting from initial flare, was an important recurring theme. CONCLUSION: The current management approach for mild-to-moderate UC was found to be guided primarily by the patient's perspectives and goals, alongside assessment of their medical and disease history.


Assuntos
Colite Ulcerativa , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Colite Ulcerativa/tratamento farmacológico , Colite Ulcerativa/terapia , Humanos , Complexo Antígeno L1 Leucocitário , Mesalamina/uso terapêutico , Mutação , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
2.
Eur J Pediatr ; 179(5): 791-799, 2020 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31912234

RESUMO

National data from Scotland (all births from 2000 to 2011) were used to estimate the burden associated with respiratory syncytial virus hospitalisation (RSVH) during the first 2 years of life. RSVHs were identified using the International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision codes. Of 623,770 children, 13,362 (2.1%) had ≥ 1 RSVH by 2 years, with the overall rate being 27.2/1000 (16,946 total RSVHs). Median age at first RSVH was 137 days (interquartile range [IQR] 62-264), with 84.3% of admissions occurring by 1 year. Median length of stay was 2 (IQR 1-4) days and intensive care unit (ICU) admission was required by 4.3% (727) for a median 5 (IQR 2-8) days. RSVHs accounted for 6.9% (5089/73,525) of ICU bed days and 6.2% (64,395/1,033,121) of overall bed days (5370/year). RSVHs represented 8.5% (14,243/168,205) of all admissions between October and March and 14.2% (8470/59,535) between December and January. RSVH incidence ranged from 1.7 to 2.5%/year over the study period. Preterms (RSVH incidence 5.2%), and those with congenital heart disease (10.5%), congenital lung disease (11.2%), Down syndrome (14.8%), cerebral palsy (15.5%), cystic fibrosis (12.6%), and neuromuscular disorders (17.0%) were at increased risk of RSVH.Conclusions: RSV causes a substantial burden on Scottish paediatric services during the winter months.What is known:• Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of childhood hospitalisation.What is new:• This 12-year study is the first to estimate the burden of RSV hospitalisation (RSVH) in Scotland and included all live births from 2000 to 2011 and followed > 600,000 children until 2 years old.• The overall RSVH rate was 27.2/1000 children, with 2.1% being hospitalised ≥ 1 times.• RSVHs accounted for 6.2% of all inpatient bed days, which rose to 14.2% during the peak months of the RSV season (December-January), equating to over 1400 hospitalisations and nearly 5500 bed days each year.


Assuntos
Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica/estatística & dados numéricos , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Adulto , Comorbidade , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Mães/estatística & dados numéricos , Gravidez , Escócia/epidemiologia
4.
Acta Paediatr ; 107(5): 854-860, 2018 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29341239

RESUMO

AIM: We characterised the distress that parents experienced when their child was hospitalised for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection. METHODS: This survey-based, observational study was conducted during 2014-2015. Meetings were held in Spain and Italy, with 24 parents of RSV hospitalised infants and 11 healthcare professionals experienced in RSV, which identified 110 factors related to parental distress. The resulting questionnaire was completed by another 105 Spanish and Italian parents and 56 healthcare professionals, to assess the impact these factors had on parental distress, using a scale from 0 to 10 (very unimportant to very important). RESULTS: The five most important factors for parents were: healthcare professionals' awareness of the latest developments, readmission, reinfections, painful procedures and positive experiences with healthcare professionals. Healthcare professionals associated only medical factors with a meaningful impact on parents. Half of the six medical factors were given similar importance by both groups and the overall scoring for the 110 factors was comparable, with a correlation coefficient of 0.80. A primary concern on discharge was ongoing support. CONCLUSION: The relationship between parents and healthcare professionals was a significant factor in determining parental distress. Healthcare professionals appeared to have a good understanding of the overall impact on parents, particularly the key medical factors.


Assuntos
Criança Hospitalizada , Pais/psicologia , Pneumonia Viral , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Estresse Psicológico/etiologia , Adulto , Atitude do Pessoal de Saúde , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Itália , Masculino , Espanha , Inquéritos e Questionários
5.
JGH Open ; 7(7): 516-519, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37496812

RESUMO

New meta-analyses are presented that provide further evidence supporting the effectiveness of oral prolonged-release mesalazine compared to other oral mesalazines as induction therapy in patients with moderately active ulcerative colitis.

6.
J Med Econ ; 26(1): 630-643, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37067826

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-utility of palivizumab versus no prophylaxis in preventing severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in Canadian moderate-to-late preterm (32-35 weeks' gestational age) infants using an (i) International Risk Scoring Tool (IRST) and (ii) Canadian RST (CRST). METHODS: A decision tree was developed to assess cost-utility. Infants assessed at moderate- and high-risk of RSV-related hospitalization (RSVH) by the IRST or CRST received palivizumab or no prophylaxis and then progressed to either (i) RSVH; (ii) emergency room/outpatient medically attended RSV-infection (MARI) or (iii) were uninfected/non-medically attended. Infants admitted to intensive care could incur mortality (0.43%). Respiratory morbidity was accounted in all uninfected surviving infants for 6 years or 18 years (RSVH/MARI). Palivizumab efficacy (72.2% RSVH reduction) and hospital outcomes were from the Canadian CARESS, PICNIC and RSV-Quebec studies. Palivizumab costs (50 mg: CAN$752; 100 mg: $1,505) were calculated from Canadian birth statistics combined with a growth algorithm. Healthcare/payer and societal costs (May 2022; 1.5% discounting) were included. RESULTS: Cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) was $29,789 with the IRST (0.79 probability of being <$50,000) and $15,833 with the CRST (0.96 probability). The model was most sensitive to utility scores, long-term sequelae and palivizumab cost. Vial sharing improved the incremental cost-utility ratio (IRST: $22,319; CRST: $9,231). CONCLUSIONS: Palivizumab was highly cost-effective (vs no prophylaxis) in Canadian moderate-to-late preterm infants using either the IRST or CRST. The IRST has fewer risk factors than the CRST (3 vs 7, respectively), captures more potential RSVHs (85% vs 54%) and provides another option to guide cost-effective RSV prophylaxis in Canada.


Assuntos
Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Humanos , Palivizumab/uso terapêutico , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/prevenção & controle , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Canadá , Fatores de Risco , Hospitalização
7.
PLoS One ; 18(8): e0289828, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37561741

RESUMO

Since the last Italian cost-utility assessment of palivizumab in 2009, new data on the burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and an International Risk Scoring Tool (IRST) have become available. The objective of this study was to provide an up-to-date cost-utility assessment of palivizumab versus no prophylaxis for the prevention of severe RSV infection in otherwise healthy Italian infants born at 29-31 weeks' gestational age (wGA) infants and those 32-35wGA infants categorized as either moderate- or high-risk of RSV-hospitalization (RSVH) by the IRST. A decision tree was constructed in which infants received palivizumab or no prophylaxis and then could experience: i) RSVH; ii) emergency room medically-attended RSV-infection (MARI); or, iii) remain uninfected/non-medically attended. RSVH cases that required intensive care unit admission could die (0.43%). Respiratory morbidity was considered in all surviving infants up to 18 years of age. Hospitalization rates were derived from Italian data combined with efficacy from the IMpact-RSV trial. Palivizumab costs were calculated from vial prices (50mg: €490.37 100mg: €814.34) and Italian birth statistics combined with a growth algorithm. A lifetime horizon and healthcare and societal costs were included. The incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) was €14814 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained in the whole population (mean: €15430; probability of ICUR being <€40000: 0.90). The equivalent ICURs were €15139 per QALY gained (€15915; 0.89) for 29-31wGA infants and €14719 per QALY gained (€15230; 0.89) for 32-35wGA infants. The model was most sensitive to rates of long-term sequelae, utility scores, palivizumab cost, and palivizumab efficacy. Palivizumab remained cost-effective in all scenario analyses, including a scenario wherein RSVH infants received palivizumab without a reduction in long-term sequelae and experienced a 6-year duration of respiratory morbidity (ICUR: €27948 per QALY gained). In conclusion, palivizumab remains cost-effective versus no prophylaxis in otherwise healthy Italian preterm infants born 29-35wGA. The IRST can help guide cost-effective use of palivizumab in 32-35wGA infants.


Assuntos
Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Recém-Nascido , Lactente , Humanos , Palivizumab/uso terapêutico , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Idade Gestacional , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/uso terapêutico , Fatores de Risco , Hospitalização , Itália/epidemiologia
8.
J Perinat Med ; 40(6): 685-91, 2012 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23093079

RESUMO

AIM: The aim of this study was to examine whether the risk for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-related hospitalisation changes through the first year of life in infants of 32-35 weeks' gestational age (wGA). METHODS: Risk factors from the FLIP-2 study (190 cases/4566 age-matched controls) were included in a Cox regression analysis wherein time slices were taken at 1-month intervals from birth. RESULTS: Half of all RSV hospitalisations occurred in the first 68 days after birth, with 56% occurring within 90 days. The time taken for 50% of hospitalisations to occur was 148 days for those born outside the RSV season and 58 days for those born within the season. By 90 days old, 84% of infants born in the season and 20% of those born outside the season were hospitalised. In both groups, hospitalisations occurred ≥5 months after birth. Male sex, smoking whilst pregnant, month of birth, duration of breastfeeding, number of siblings at school, and number of smokers in household all contributed to the risk of RSV hospitalisation beyond the age of 90 days. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of RSV hospitalisation appears to persist to at least 5-6 months old in 32-35 wGA infants, which has implications for the optimal management of disease prevention.


Assuntos
Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Vírus Sinciciais Respiratórios , Idade Gestacional , Hospitalização , Humanos , Lactente , Fatores de Risco
9.
Front Pediatr ; 10: 1033125, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36440349

RESUMO

Introduction: The high burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in young children disproportionately occurs in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The PROUD (Preventing RespiratOry syncytial virUs in unDerdeveloped countries) Taskforce of 24 RSV worldwide experts assessed key needs for RSV prevention in LMICs, including vaccine and newer preventive measures. Methods: A global, survey-based study was undertaken in 2021. An online questionnaire was developed following three meetings of the Taskforce panellists wherein factors related to RSV infection, its prevention and management were identified using iterative questioning. Each factor was scored, by non-panellists interested in RSV, on a scale of zero (very-low-relevance) to 100 (very-high-relevance) within two scenarios: (1) Current and (2) Future expectations for RSV management. Results: Ninety questionnaires were completed: 70 by respondents (71.4% physicians; 27.1% researchers/scientists) from 16 LMICs and 20 from nine high-income (HI) countries (90.0% physicians; 5.0% researchers/scientists), as a reference group. Within LMICs, RSV awareness was perceived to be low, and management was not prioritised. Of the 100 factors scored, those related to improved diagnosis particularly access to affordable point-of-care diagnostics, disease burden data generation, clinical and general education, prompt access to new interventions, and engagement with policymakers/payers were identified of paramount importance. There was a strong need for clinical education and local data generation in the lowest economies, whereas upper-middle income countries were more closely aligned with HI countries in terms of current RSV service provision. Conclusion: Seven key actions for improving RSV prevention and management in LMICs are proposed.

10.
Curr Med Res Opin ; 37(11): 1891-1900, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34404286

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Pentasa (prolonged-release mesalazine [5-ASA]) has been available for >30 years as an effective treatment for mild-to-moderate ulcerative colitis (UC). A systematic literature review and meta-analysis was undertaken to provide an up-to-date evaluation of oral Pentasa efficacy and safety for induction and maintenance of remission. METHODS: Literature searches were conducted in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases, from inception to 02 December 2020. Unpublished studies were also sourced. Meta-analyses using a random-effects model and Bayesian inference compared Pentasa (tablets, granules, capsules) against placebo and other 5-ASAs. RESULTS: Twelve studies involving 3674 patients treated with Pentasa were identified. Pentasa 2-4 g/day was superior to placebo at inducing (absolute risk difference [ARD] at 8 weeks 0.14, 95% CI 0.07‒0.21; p < .001) and maintaining (ARD 6-12 months 0.18, 95% CI 0.04‒0.33; p < .05) remission (clinical/endoscopic). Against other 5-ASAs, Pentasa had similar efficacy for induction (ARD <0.001, 95% CI -0.05‒0.05) and maintenance (ARD 0.01, 95% CI -0.07‒0.08) treatment using randomized controlled trial data. Upon inclusion of real-world study data, Pentasa was significantly better at maintaining remission compared both to Eudragit-S mesalazine and sulfasalazine (ARD 0.04, 95% CI 0.02‒0.06; p < .001). Pentasa (1-4 g/day) had similar treatment-related adverse event rates to placebo (ARD 0.02, 95% CI -0.03‒0.06) and Eudragit-L/S mesalazines (2.25-3 vs 2.4-3 g/day, respectively; ARD -0.03, 95% CI -0.12‒0.05), but was better tolerated than sulfasalazine (3 g/day) (ARD 0.07, 95% CI 0.003‒0.14; p < .05). CONCLUSION: This study confirms oral Pentasa is efficacious and well-tolerated in treating active UC and maintaining remission. The availability of multiple forms of Pentasa supports physicians' ability to individualize treatment and optimize dosing to improve outcomes.


Assuntos
Colite Ulcerativa , Mesalamina , Administração Oral , Anti-Inflamatórios não Esteroides/efeitos adversos , Teorema de Bayes , Colite Ulcerativa/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Mesalamina/uso terapêutico
11.
Curr Med Res Opin ; 37(7): 1149-1153, 2021 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33813989

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The advisory board to the Ontario Ministry of Health considered adopting the new three-variable international risk scoring tool (IRST) to guide prophylaxis against respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization (RSVH) in moderate-to-late preterm infants born 32-35 weeks' gestational age (wGA). Canada currently uses a nationally validated, seven-variable RST, to predict RSVH in 33-35 wGA infants. We explored the potential implications of switching from the Canadian to the IRST. METHODS: Predictive accuracy (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) of the two RSTs and correlations (Spearman rank) and number needed to treat (NNT) between cut-off scores for low-, moderate- and high-risk subjects were assessed. RESULTS: The RSTs contain many of the same risk factors (birth proximity to the RSV season, smoking, siblings, daycare), with the Canadian RST also including sex, small for GA and familial eczema. Predictive accuracy was similar (AUROC, IRST: 0.773 [sensitivity: 68.9%; specificity: 73.0%] vs Canadian: 0.762 [68.2%; 71.9%]). Significant correlations between cut-off scores (p < .001) and risk categories (p < .001) were apparent, although the correlation coefficients were weak for both (scores: 0.217; categories: 0.055). While the proportion of high-risk infants was similar (IRST: 0.7% vs Canadian: 0.6%), the NNT was lower for the Canadian RST (7.5 vs 14.3), and more infants were assigned moderate risk by the IRST (19.9% vs 9.8%). CONCLUSIONS: The IRST can be considered simpler (fewer risk factors) than the Canadian RST and its adoption may reduce the number of RSVHs among moderate-to-late preterm infants; however, the cost-effective implications for RSV prophylaxis warrant further investigation.


Assuntos
Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Canadá/epidemiologia , Idade Gestacional , Hospitalização , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/diagnóstico , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco
12.
J Perinat Med ; 38(4): 411-7, 2010 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20297901

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A model to predict hospitalization due to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) of infants born at 33- 35 weeks' gestation was developed using seven risk factors from the Spanish FLIP study "birth +/-10 weeks from the beginning of the RSV season", "birth weight", "breast fed or=2 years", "number of family members with atopy", "number of family members with wheezing", and "gender". The aim of this study was to validate the model using French data. METHODS: The FLIP model [predictive accuracy 71%, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) 0.791] was tested against the French data (77 hospitalized infants with RSV born at 33-35 weeks and 154 age-matched controls) using discriminatory function analysis by applying the FLIP coefficients to the French data and by generating the seven variable model from the French data. RESULTS: Applying the FLIP coefficients to the French dataset, the model correctly classified 69% of cases (ROC 0.627). The predictive power increased to 73% (ROC 0.654) when "number of siblings >or=2 years" was substituted for "number of children at school". The number needed to treat (NNT) in order to prevent 70% of hospitalizations was 18. The model derived using French data could correctly classify 62% of cases in the French data (ROC 0.658). CONCLUSIONS: The model was successfully validated and may potentially optimize immunoprophylaxis in French infants born at 33-35 week's gestation.


Assuntos
Hospitalização , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/terapia , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , França , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Modelos Biológicos , Gravidez , Fatores de Risco
13.
Pediatr Pulmonol ; 55(5): 1104-1110, 2020 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32040885

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory syncytial virus infection in early childhood has been linked to longer-term respiratory morbidity; however, debate persists around its impact on asthma. The objective was to assess the association between respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization and childhood asthma. METHODS: Asthma hospital admissions and medication use through 18 years were compared in children with (cases) and without (controls) respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization in the first 2 years of life. All children born in National Health Service Scotland between 1996 and 2011 were included. RESULTS: Of 740 418 children (median follow-up: 10.6 years), 15 795 (2.1%) had a respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization at ≤2 years (median age: 143 days). Asthma hospitalizations were three-fold higher in cases than controls (8.4% vs 2.4%; relative risk: 3.3, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.1-3.5; P < .0001) and admission rates were four-fold higher (193.2 vs 46.0/1000). Cases had two-fold higher asthma medication usage (25.5% vs 14.7%; relative risk: 1.7, 95% CI: 1.7-1.8; P < .0001) and a three-fold higher rate of having both an asthma admission and medication (4.8% vs 1.5%; relative risk 3.1, 95% CI: 2.9-3.3; P < .0001). Admission rates and medication use remained significantly (P < .001) higher for cases than controls throughout childhood (admissions: ≥2-fold higher; medication: ≥1.5-fold higher). Respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization was the most significant risk factor for asthma hospitalizations±medication use (odds ratio: 1.9-2.8; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization was associated with significantly increased rates and severity of asthma throughout childhood, which has important implications for preventive strategies.


Assuntos
Asma/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Razão de Chances , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Fatores de Risco , Escócia/epidemiologia
14.
Ann Gastroenterol ; 33(5): 500-507, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32879597

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There are few recent studies on the use of 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASA) as therapy for Crohn's disease (CD) in routine clinical practice. The aim of this database investigation was to provide real-world evidence on 5-ASA use in CD. METHODS: Patients with CD, aged ≥18 years when first prescribed 5-ASA (index date) and having received 5-ASA at any time between 01 January 2006 and 07 May 2018, were included for analysis. Outcomes included treatment patterns and resource use. RESULTS: Of 21,456 patients with CD, 9492 (44.2%) had been prescribed 5-ASA, with the majority (5606; 59.1%) starting on oral 5-ASA as monotherapy. 58.3% (5537) of patients on 5-ASA did not require dose change, 67.6% (6416) did not require supplementary treatment (e.g., corticosteroids, immunosuppressants, etc.), and 4.6% (436) required a switch to another treatment. Resource use was significantly decreased in the year after vs. year before 5-ASA initiation (including: specialist referrals, hospitalizations and hospital days; all P<0.001). Patients remained on 5-ASA for a median of 4.7 years (interquartile range 1.2-10.1). 25.3% (2406) of patients were still on 5-ASA at 10 years. There was a significant correlation between earlier use of 5-ASA following diagnosis and longer 5-ASA retention (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: 5-ASA is widely used as a long-term treatment for CD, as evidenced by continuation rates extending beyond 10 years in a quarter of patients. CD-related healthcare resource use decreased significantly in the year following 5-ASA initiation. Earlier use was associated with longer retention.

16.
Respir Res ; 9: 78, 2008 Dec 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19063742

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study, conducted in Europe, was to develop a validated risk factor based model to predict RSV-related hospitalisation in premature infants born 33-35 weeks' gestational age (GA). METHODS: The predictive model was developed using risk factors captured in the Spanish FLIP dataset, a case-control study of 183 premature infants born between 33-35 weeks' GA who were hospitalised with RSV, and 371 age-matched controls. The model was validated internally by 100-fold bootstrapping. Discriminant function analysis was used to analyse combinations of risk factors to predict RSV hospitalisation. Successive models were chosen that had the highest probability for discriminating between hospitalised and non-hospitalised infants. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted. RESULTS: An initial 15 variable model was produced with a discriminant function of 72% and an area under the ROC curve of 0.795. A step-wise reduction exercise, alongside recalculations of some variables, produced a final model consisting of 7 variables: birth +/- 10 weeks of start of season, birth weight, breast feeding for < or = 2 months, siblings > or = 2 years, family members with atopy, family members with wheeze, and gender. The discrimination of this model was 71% and the area under the ROC curve was 0.791. At the 0.75 sensitivity intercept, the false positive fraction was 0.33. The 100-fold bootstrapping resulted in a mean discriminant function of 72% (standard deviation: 2.18) and a median area under the ROC curve of 0.785 (range: 0.768-0.790), indicating a good internal validation. The calculated NNT for intervention to treat all at risk patients with a 75% level of protection was 11.7 (95% confidence interval: 9.5-13.6). CONCLUSION: A robust model based on seven risk factors was developed, which is able to predict which premature infants born between 33-35 weeks' GA are at highest risk of hospitalisation from RSV. The model could be used to optimise prophylaxis with palivizumab across Europe.


Assuntos
Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtornos da Nutrição do Lactente/epidemiologia , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco/métodos , Feminino , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Incidência , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Espanha/epidemiologia
17.
Intest Res ; 16(4): 537-545, 2018 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30301341

RESUMO

BACKGROUND/AIMS: IBD2020 is a global forum for standards of care in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). The aim of the IBD2020 survey was to identify and describe variations in quality care of IBD. METHODS: Patients with IBD from Finland, Italy, France, Canada, Germany, UK, Spain and Sweden were surveyed during 2013 to 2014, covering: disease characteristics; impact on life and work; organization and perceived quality of care. RESULTS: Seven thousand five hundred and seven patients participated (median age, 39 years [range, 10-103 years]; 2,354 male [31.4%]), including 4,097 (54.6%) with Crohn's disease (CD) and 3,410 (45.4%) with ulcerative colitis (UC). Median time from symptom onset to diagnosis was 1 year for both CD (range, 0-47 years) and UC (range, 0-46 years), with no clear evidence of improvement in diagnostic delay over the preceding 24 years. Half of the patients (3,429; 50.0%) rated their care as "excellent" or "very good," with similar results for CD and UC across countries. Five factors were significantly (P<0.01) associated with perceived good quality of care: quality of specialist communication; review consultation being long enough; failure to share information; no access to a dietician; speed of advice. CONCLUSIONS: The IBD2020 survey has highlighted areas related to quality of care of IBD from the patients' perspective, with scope for improvement.

18.
Pediatr Pulmonol ; 53(5): 605-612, 2018 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29405612

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The objective was to develop a risk scoring tool which predicts respiratory syncytial virus hospitalisation (RSVH) in moderate-late preterm infants (32-35 weeks' gestational age) in the Northern Hemisphere. METHODS: Risk factors for RSVH were pooled from six observational studies of infants born 32 weeks and 0 days to 35 weeks and 6 days without comorbidity from 2000 to 2014. Of 13 475 infants, 484 had RSVH in the first year of life. Logistic regression was used to identify the most predictive risk factors, based on area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The model was validated internally by 100-fold bootstrapping and externally with data from a seventh observational study. The model coefficients were converted into rounded multipliers, stratified into risk groups, and number needed to treat (NNT) calculated. RESULTS: The risk factors identified in the model included (i) proximity of birth to the RSV season; (ii) second-hand smoke exposure; and (iii) siblings and/or daycare. The AUROC was 0.773 (sensitivity: 68.9%; specificity: 73.0%). The mean AUROC from internal bootstrapping was 0.773. For external validation with data from Ireland, the AUROC was 0.707 using Irish coefficients and 0.681 using source model coefficients. Cut-off scores for RSVH were ≤19 for low- (1.0%), 20-45 for moderate- (3.3%), and 50-56 (9.5%) for high-risk infants. The high-risk group captured 62.0% of RSVHs within 23.6% of the total population (NNT 15.3). CONCLUSIONS: This risk scoring tool has good predictive accuracy and can improve targeting for RSVH prevention in moderate-late preterm infants.


Assuntos
Hospitalização , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial , Área Sob a Curva , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Modelos Logísticos , Curva ROC , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano , Fatores de Risco , Estações do Ano , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Poluição por Fumaça de Tabaco
20.
J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med ; 30(2): 134-140, 2017 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26965584

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between birth weight and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalisation during the first year of life in 33°-356 weeks' gestational age (wGA) infants. STUDY DESIGN: Pooled analysis of data (n = 1218) from Spain, Germany, France and Italy. RESULT: RSV hospitalised infants overall had a significantly higher birth weight than non-hospitalised infants (2.24 versus 2.14 kg; p < 0.001) for both males (2.25 versus 2.18 kg; p = 0.049) and females (2.22 versus 2.11 kg, p = 0.007). The effect was significant only in 34 wGA infants (33 wGA: hospitalised 1.95 kg versus non-hospitalised 1.95 kg, p = 0.976; 34 wGA: 2.26 versus 2.14 kg, p = 0.007; 35 wGA: 2.37 versus 2.29 kg, p = 0.070), particularly female 34 wGA infants (female: 2.24 versus 2.08 kg, p = 0.019; male: 2.27 versus 2.20, p = 0.191). Birth weight was shown to be an independent risk factor for RSV hospitalisation. CONCLUSIONS: In 33-35 wGA infants, a higher birth weight appeared independently associated with an increased risk of RSV hospitalisation.


Assuntos
Peso ao Nascer , Idade Gestacional , Hospitalização , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/terapia , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Masculino , Fatores de Risco
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