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1.
N Engl J Med ; 386(2): 105-115, 2022 01 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34942066

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The messenger RNA (mRNA)-based vaccines BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 are more than 90% effective against coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19). However, their comparative effectiveness for a range of outcomes across diverse populations is unknown. METHODS: We emulated a target trial using the electronic health records of U.S. veterans who received a first dose of the BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 vaccine between January 4 and May 14, 2021, during a period marked by predominance of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 (alpha) variant. We matched recipients of each vaccine in a 1:1 ratio according to their risk factors. Outcomes included documented severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, symptomatic Covid-19, hospitalization for Covid-19, admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) for Covid-19, and death from Covid-19. We estimated risks using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. To assess the influence of the B.1.617.2 (delta) variant, we emulated a second target trial that involved veterans vaccinated between July 1 and September 20, 2021. RESULTS: Each vaccine group included 219,842 persons. Over 24 weeks of follow-up in a period marked by alpha-variant predominance, the estimated risk of documented infection was 5.75 events per 1000 persons (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.39 to 6.23) in the BNT162b2 group and 4.52 events per 1000 persons (95% CI, 4.17 to 4.84) in the mRNA-1273 group. The excess number of events per 1000 persons for BNT162b2 as compared with mRNA-1273 was 1.23 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.81) for documented infection, 0.44 (95% CI, 0.25 to 0.70) for symptomatic Covid-19, 0.55 (95% CI, 0.36 to 0.83) for hospitalization for Covid-19, 0.10 (95% CI, 0.00 to 0.26) for ICU admission for Covid-19, and 0.02 (95% CI, -0.06 to 0.12) for death from Covid-19. The corresponding excess risk (BNT162b2 vs. mRNA-1273) of documented infection over 12 weeks of follow-up in a period marked by delta-variant predominance was 6.54 events per 1000 persons (95% CI, -2.58 to 11.82). CONCLUSIONS: The 24-week risk of Covid-19 outcomes was low after vaccination with mRNA-1273 or BNT162b2, although risks were lower with mRNA-1273 than with BNT162b2. This pattern was consistent across periods marked by alpha- and delta-variant predominance. (Funded by the Department of Veterans Affairs and others.).


Assuntos
Vacina de mRNA-1273 contra 2019-nCoV , Vacina BNT162 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Eficácia de Vacinas/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Veteranos
2.
Epidemiology ; 2024 Jul 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39024034

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Observational studies have estimated strongly protective effects of bariatric surgery on cardiovascular disease, but with oversimplified definitions of the intervention, eligibility criteria, and follow-up, which deviate from those in a randomized trial. We describe studying the effect of bariatric surgery on cardiovascular disease without introducing these sources of bias, which may not be entirely possible with existing observational data. METHODS: We propose target trials among persons with diabetes: (1) bariatric operation (vs. no operation) among individuals who have undergone pre-operative preparation (lifestyle modifications, screening) and (2) pre-operative preparation and bariatric surgery (vs. neither pre-operative nor operative component). RESULTS: We emulated both target trials using observational data of U.S. veterans. Comparing bariatric surgery with no surgery (target trial #1; 8,087 individuals), the 7-year cardiovascular risk was 18.0% (95% CI, 6.9 to 32.7) in the surgery group and 18.9% (95% CI, 17.7 to 20.1) in the no surgery group (risk difference -0.9, 95% CI -12.0 to 14.0). Comparing pre-operative components plus surgery vs. neither (target trial #2; 10,065 individuals), the 7-year cardiovascular risk was 17.4% (95% CI, 13.6 to 22.0) in the surgery group and 18.8% (95% CI, 17.8 to 19.9) in the no surgery group (risk difference -1.4, 95% CI -5.1 to 3.2). Body mass index and hemoglobin A1c were reduced with bariatric interventions in both emulations. CONCLUSIONS: Within limitations of available observational data, our estimates do not provide evidence that bariatric surgery reduces cardiovascular disease and support equipoise for a randomized trial of bariatric surgery for cardiovascular disease prevention.

3.
Cytokine ; 176: 156536, 2024 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38325139

RESUMO

Chemokines, a family of chemotactic cytokines, mediate leukocyte migration to and entrance into inflamed tissue, contributing to the intensity of local inflammation. We performed an analysis of chemokine and immune cell responses to cardiac arrest (CA). Forty-two patients resuscitated from cardiac arrest were analyzed, and twenty-two patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery were enrolled. Quantitative antibody array, chemokines, and endotoxin quantification were performed using the patients blood. Analysis of CCL23 production in neutrophils obtained from CA patients and injected into immunodeficient mice after CA and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) were done using flow cytometry. The levels of CCL2, CCL4, and CCL23 are increased in CA patients. Temporal dynamics were different for each chemokine, with early increases in CCL2 and CCL4, followed by a delayed elevation in CCL23 at forty-eight hours after CA. A high level of CCL23 was associated with an increased number of neutrophils, neuron-specific enolase (NSE), worse cerebral performance category (CPC) score, and higher mortality. To investigate the role of neutrophil activation locally in injured brain tissue, we used a mouse model of CA/CPR. CCL23 production was increased in human neutrophils that infiltrated mouse brains compared to those in the peripheral circulation. It is known that an early intense inflammatory response (within hours) is associated with poor outcomes after CA. Our data indicate that late activation of neutrophils in brain tissue may also promote ongoing injury via the production of CCL23 and impair recovery after cardiac arrest.


Assuntos
Parada Cardíaca , Humanos , Camundongos , Animais , Parada Cardíaca/complicações , Quimiocinas , Quimiocinas CC
4.
Ann Pharmacother ; : 10600280241254528, 2024 May 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38755998

RESUMO

The removal of the X-waiver in the Mainstreaming Addiction Treatment (MAT) Act of 2023 has substantial implications for buprenorphine prescribing as one of the options to treat opioid use disorder. The purpose of this commentary is to discuss the unanswered questions regarding buprenorphine in the intensive care unit (ICU) including how the passage of the MAT Act will affect ICU providers, which patients should receive buprenorphine, what is the most appropriate route of administration and dose of buprenorphine, what medications interact with buprenorphine, and how can transitions of care be optimized for these patients.

5.
Child Adolesc Ment Health ; 29(1): 101-103, 2024 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38049933

RESUMO

Following Green (Child and Adolescent Mental Health, 2023, 28, 438) the emergence of a manifest autistic phenotype, during preschool years, represents a discontinuity from preclinical or subclinical states. We propose that this discontinuity suggests that autistic children experience superior interest for, and processing of non-social information, whereas children without autism favor social information processing. This is produced by perceptual over-functioning, still allowing self-taught non-social language learning in a substantial fraction of prototypical autistic children. A new set of rigorous intervention studies using Pediatric Autism Communication Therapy (PACT), based on the synchrony principle, brought autistic children below the ADOS diagnostic threshold (Whitehouse et al., JAMA Pediatrics, 2021, 175, e213298). We now know that adaptation of the child's social environment can produce changes in the manifestations of autism in the pre-school period and later. However, the limitation of these changes, combine with evidence of non-social learning of language suggests that clinicians should combine lateral tutorship (the parallel, unsynchronous exposure of information) with the synchrony (early dyadic communication and engagement) principle to create a new generation of strength-based interventions.


Assuntos
Transtorno Autístico , Adolescente , Criança , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Transtorno Autístico/diagnóstico , Transtorno Autístico/psicologia , Transtorno Autístico/terapia , Comunicação , Desenvolvimento da Linguagem
6.
Cytometry A ; 103(2): 153-161, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35246910

RESUMO

We evaluated the number of CD26 expressing cells in peripheral blood of patients with COVID-19 within 72 h of admission and on day 4 and day 7 after enrollment. The majority of CD26 expressing cells were presented by CD3+ CD4+ lymphocytes. A low number of CD26 expressing cells were found to be associated with critical-severity COVID-19 disease. Conversely, increasing numbers of CD26 expressing T cells over the first week of standard treatment was associated with good outcomes. Clinically, the number of circulating CD26 cells might be a marker of recovery or the therapeutic efficacy of anti-COVID-19 treatment. New therapies aimed at preserving and increasing the level of CD26 expressing T cells may prove useful in the treatment of COVID-19 disease.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Dipeptidil Peptidase 4 , Humanos , Linfócitos
7.
Arch Phys Med Rehabil ; 104(4): 541-546, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36513122

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: (1) To estimate the association between social engagement (SE) and falls; (2) To examine the relation between mild neurocognitive disorder (MNCD) and falls by different levels of SE. DESIGN: We performed a secondary data analysis using prospective cohort study design. SETTING: Primary care. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 425 older adult primary care patients at risk for mobility decline (N=425). As previously reported, at baseline, 42% of participants exhibit MNCD. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcome variable was the number of falls during 2 years of follow-up. Exposure variables at baseline included (1) MNCD identified using a cut-off of 1.5 SD below the age-adjusted mean on at least 2 measures within a cognitive performance battery and (2) SE, which was assessed using the social component of the Late-Life Function and Disability Instrument. High SE was defined as having a score ≥ median value (≥49 out of 100). All models were adjusted for age, sex, education, marital status, comorbidities, and pain status. RESULTS: Over 2 years of follow-up, 48% of participants fell at least once. MNCD was associated with a higher rate of falls, adjusting for the covariates (Incidence Rate Ratio=1.6, 95% confidence interval: 1.1-2.3). There was no significant association between MNCD and the rate of falls among people with high SE. In participants with low SE (having a score less than 49.5 out 100), MNCD was associated with a higher rate of falls as compared with participants with no neurocognitive disorder (No-NCD). CONCLUSIONS: Among participants with low SE, MNCD was associated with a higher rate of falls, but not among participants with high SE. The findings suggest that high SE may be protective against falls among older primary care patients with MNCD.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas , Participação Social , Humanos , Idoso , Estudos Prospectivos , Transtornos Neurocognitivos , Atenção Primária à Saúde
8.
Eur Heart J ; 43(8): 818-826, 2022 Feb 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34907422

RESUMO

AIMS: Frailty is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events. Limited data exist from the modern era of CV prevention on the relationship between frailty and CV mortality. We hypothesized that frailty is associated with an increased risk of CV mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: All US Veterans aged ≥65 years who were regular users of Veteran Affairs care from 2002 to 2017 were included. Frailty was defined using a 31-item previously validated frailty index, ranging from 0 to 1. The primary outcome was CV mortality with secondary analyses examining the relationship between frailty and CV events (myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization). Survival analysis models were adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, geographic region, smoking, hyperlipidaemia, statin use, and blood pressure medication use. There were 3 068 439 US Veterans included in the analysis. Mean age was 74.1 ± 5.8 years in 2002, 76.0 ± 8.3 years in 2014, 98% male, and 87.5% White. In 2002, the median (interquartile range) frailty score was 0.16 (0.10-0.23). This increased and stabilized to 0.19 (0.10-0.32) for 2006-14. The presence of frailty was associated with an increased risk of CV mortality at every stage of frailty. Frailty was associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction and stroke, but not revascularization. CONCLUSION: In this population, both the presence and severity of frailty are tightly correlated with CV death, independent of underlying CV disease. This study is the largest and most contemporary evaluation of the relationship between frailty and CV mortality to date. Further work is needed to understand how this risk can be diminished. KEY QUESTION: Can an electronic frailty index identify adults aged 65 and older who are at risk of CV mortality and major CV events? KEY FINDING: Among 3 068 439 US Veterans aged 65 and older, frailty was associated with an increased risk of CV mortality at every level of frailty. Frailty was also associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction and stroke, but not revascularization. TAKE HOME MESSAGE: Both the presence and severity of frailty are associated with CV mortality and major CV events, independent of underlying CV disease.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Fragilidade , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases , Infarto do Miocárdio , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Veteranos , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Fragilidade/complicações , Fragilidade/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/complicações , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia
9.
J Am Pharm Assoc (2003) ; 63(1): 178-181, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36123250

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There are approximately 352,000 pharmacists practicing in the United States, with most (59%) being female. Editorial board membership and publications with a female as the first author in selected pharmacy journals has increased in the past 2 decades. This study determined whether these positive trends are also occurring in critical care pharmacy. OBJECTIVE: To report publication rate and publication impact stratified by male and female gender among pharmacists designated Fellow of Critical Care Medicine (FCCM). METHODS: Pharmacists designated FCCM from inception through the 2020 convocation year were identified in January 2021 using a list provided by the Society of Critical Care Medicine. Pharmacists were excluded if they were designated Master of Critical Care Medicine, did not have an active pharmacist license, or did not have data in the Scopus database. Data were collected in February 2021 including year of first publication, total number of publications, citations, and Hirsch index (h-index). RESULTS: A total of 134 pharmacists were evaluable, including 76 males (57%) and 58 females (43%). Males had an earlier first publication year than females (2005 vs. 2010; P < 0.001). Males have produced a higher number of publications per individual pharmacist (29 vs. 13; P = 0.002) and a similar number of publications per year (2 vs. 1; P = 0.05). When comparing publication impact, males generated more citations (384 vs. 139; P = 0.001) and had a higher h-index (10 vs. 6, P < 0.001). These trends persisted when data from only the past 5 years were used. CONCLUSION: There is statistically significant gender disparity in publication rate and impact. However, this disparity seems to be decreasing with time as the rate of females designated FCCM is increasing. This is consistent with an overall increase in the proportion of pharmacists who are female and deserves further exploration.


Assuntos
Assistência Farmacêutica , Farmacêuticos , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Masculino , Feminino , Cuidados Críticos , Bases de Dados Factuais
10.
J Infect Dis ; 226(12): 2113-2117, 2022 12 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35512327

RESUMO

In this retrospective cohort study of 94 595 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2-positive cases, we developed and validated an algorithm to assess the association between coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and long-term complications (stroke, myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism/deep vein thrombosis, heart failure, and mortality). COVID-19 severity was associated with a greater risk of experiencing a long-term complication 31-120 days postinfection. Most incident events occurred 31-60 days postinfection and diminished after day 91, except heart failure for severe patients and death for moderate patients, which peaked on days 91-120. Understanding the differential impact of COVID-19 severity on long-term events provides insight into possible intervention modalities and critical prevention strategies.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Veteranos , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
11.
Stroke ; 53(3): 886-894, 2022 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34727740

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Low blood pressure (BP) is associated with higher stroke mortality, although the factors underlying this association have not been fully explored. We investigated prestroke BP and long-term mortality after ischemic stroke in a national sample of US veterans. METHODS: Using a retrospective cohort study design of veterans hospitalized between 2002 and 2007 with a first ischemic stroke and with ≥1 outpatient BP measurements 1 to 18 months before admission, we defined 6 categories each of average prestroke systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP, and 7 categories of pulse pressure. Patients were followed-up to 12 years for primary outcomes of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. We used Cox models to relate prestroke BP indices to mortality and stratified analyses by the presence of preexisting comorbidities (smoking, myocardial infarction, heart failure, atrial fibrillation/flutter, cancer, and dementia), race and ethnicity. RESULTS: Of 29 690 eligible veterans with stroke (mean±SD age 67±12 years, 98% men, 67% White), 2989 (10%) had average prestroke SBP<120 mm Hg. During a follow-up of 4.1±3.3 years, patients with SBP<120 mm Hg experienced 61% all-cause and 27% cardiovascular mortality. In multivariable analyses, patients with the lowest SBP, lowest diastolic BP, and highest pulse pressure had the highest mortality risk: SBP<120 versus 130 to 139 mm Hg (hazard ratio=1.26 [95% CI, 1.19-1.34]); diastolic BP <60 versus 70 to 79 mm Hg (hazard ratio=1.35 [95% CI, 1.23-1.49]); and pulse pressure ≥90 versus 60 to 69 mm Hg (hazard ratio=1.24 [95% CI, 1.15-1.35]). Patients with average SBP<120 mm Hg and at least one comorbidity (smoking, heart disease, cancer, or dementia) had the highest mortality risk (hazard ratio=1.45 [95% CI, 1.37-1.53]). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with normotension, low prestroke BP was associated with mortality after stroke, particularly among patients with at least one comorbidity.


Assuntos
Hipotensão , AVC Isquêmico , Veteranos , Idoso , Comorbidade , Feminino , Humanos , Hipotensão/mortalidade , Hipotensão/fisiopatologia , AVC Isquêmico/mortalidade , AVC Isquêmico/fisiopatologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos
12.
J Biomed Inform ; 132: 104109, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35660521

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Accurately assigning phenotype information to individual patients via computational phenotyping using Electronic Health Records (EHRs) has been seen as the first step towards enabling EHRs for precision medicine research. Chart review labels annotated by clinical experts, also known as "gold standard" labels, are essential for the development and validation of computational phenotyping algorithms. However, given the complexity of EHR systems, the process of chart review is both labor intensive and time consuming. We propose a fully automated algorithm, referred to as pGUESS, to rank EHR notes according to their relevance to a given phenotype. By identifying the most relevant notes, pGUESS can greatly improve the efficiency and accuracy of chart reviews. METHOD: pGUESS uses prior guided semantic similarity to measure the informativeness of a clinical note to a given phenotype. We first select candidate clinical concepts from a pool of comprehensive medical concepts using public knowledge sources and then derive the semantic embedding vector (SEV) for a reference article (SEVref) and each note (SEVnote). The algorithm scores the relevance of a note as the cosine similarity between SEVnote and SEVref. RESULTS: The algorithm was validated against four sets of 200 notes that were manually annotated by clinical experts to assess their informativeness to one of three disease phenotypes. pGUESS algorithm substantially outperforms existing unsupervised approaches for classifying the relevance status with respect to both accuracy and scalability across phenotypes. Averaging over the three phenotypes, the rank correlation between the algorithm ranking and gold standard label was 0.64 for pGUESS, but only 0.47 and 0.35 for the next two best performing algorithms. pGUESS is also much more computationally scalable compared to existing algorithms. CONCLUSION: pGUESS algorithm can substantially reduce the burden of chart review and holds potential in improving the efficiency and accuracy of human annotation.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Semântica , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Humanos , Processamento de Linguagem Natural , Fenótipo , Medicina de Precisão
13.
J Infect Dis ; 224(6): 967-975, 2021 09 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34153099

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Early convalescent plasma transfusion may reduce mortality in patients with nonsevere coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: This study emulates a (hypothetical) target trial using observational data from a cohort of US veterans admitted to a Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) facility between 1 May and 17 November 2020 with nonsevere COVID-19. The intervention was convalescent plasma initiated within 2 days of eligibility. Thirty-day mortality was compared using cumulative incidence curves, risk differences, and hazard ratios estimated from pooled logistic models with inverse probability weighting to adjust for confounding. RESULTS: Of 11 269 eligible person-trials contributed by 4755 patients, 402 trials were assigned to the convalescent plasma group. Forty and 671 deaths occurred within the plasma and nonplasma groups, respectively. The estimated 30-day mortality risk was 6.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.0%-9.7%) in the plasma group and 6.2% (95% CI, 5.6%-7.0%) in the nonplasma group. The associated risk difference was 0.30% (95% CI, -2.30% to 3.60%) and the hazard ratio was 1.04 (95% CI, .64-1.62). CONCLUSIONS: Our target trial emulation estimated no meaningful differences in 30-day mortality between nonsevere COVID-19 patients treated and untreated with convalescent plasma. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT04545047.


Assuntos
Transfusão de Componentes Sanguíneos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/terapia , Imunização Passiva , Plasma , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Veteranos , Adulto Jovem , Soroterapia para COVID-19
14.
Am J Epidemiol ; 190(11): 2405-2419, 2021 11 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34165150

RESUMO

Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) was proposed as an early therapy for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) after in vitro studies indicated possible benefit. Previous in vivo observational studies have presented conflicting results, though recent randomized clinical trials have reported no benefit from HCQ among patients hospitalized with COVID-19. We examined the effects of HCQ alone and in combination with azithromycin in a hospitalized population of US veterans with COVID-19, using a propensity score-adjusted survival analysis with imputation of missing data. According to electronic health record data from the US Department of Veterans Affairs health care system, 64,055 US Veterans were tested for the virus that causes COVID-19 between March 1, 2020 and April 30, 2020. Of the 7,193 veterans who tested positive, 2,809 were hospitalized, and 657 individuals were prescribed HCQ within the first 48-hours of hospitalization for the treatment of COVID-19. There was no apparent benefit associated with HCQ receipt, alone or in combination with azithromycin, and there was an increased risk of intubation when HCQ was used in combination with azithromycin (hazard ratio = 1.55; 95% confidence interval: 1.07, 2.24). In conclusion, we assessed the effectiveness of HCQ with or without azithromycin in treatment of patients hospitalized with COVID-19, using a national sample of the US veteran population. Using rigorous study design and analytic methods to reduce confounding and bias, we found no evidence of a survival benefit from the administration of HCQ.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Azitromicina/uso terapêutico , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Hidroxicloroquina/uso terapêutico , Veteranos/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antibacterianos/efeitos adversos , Azitromicina/efeitos adversos , COVID-19/mortalidade , Quimioterapia Combinada , Feminino , Humanos , Hidroxicloroquina/efeitos adversos , Análise de Intenção de Tratamento , Aprendizado de Máquina , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Farmacoepidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
15.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 21(1): 29, 2021 02 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33568059

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Statistical methods for modeling longitudinal and time-to-event data has received much attention in medical research and is becoming increasingly useful. In clinical studies, such as cancer and AIDS, longitudinal biomarkers are used to monitor disease progression and to predict survival. These longitudinal measures are often missing at failure times and may be prone to measurement errors. More importantly, time-dependent survival models that include the raw longitudinal measurements may lead to biased results. In previous studies these two types of data are frequently analyzed separately where a mixed effects model is used for the longitudinal data and a survival model is applied to the event outcome. METHODS: In this paper we compare joint maximum likelihood methods, a two-step approach and a time dependent covariate method that link longitudinal data to survival data with emphasis on using longitudinal measures to predict survival. We apply a Bayesian semi-parametric joint method and maximum likelihood joint method that maximizes the joint likelihood of the time-to-event and longitudinal measures. We also implement the Two-Step approach, which estimates random effects separately, and a classic Time Dependent Covariate Model. We use simulation studies to assess bias, accuracy, and coverage probabilities for the estimates of the link parameter that connects the longitudinal measures to survival times. RESULTS: Simulation results demonstrate that the Two-Step approach performed best at estimating the link parameter when variability in the longitudinal measure is low but is somewhat biased downwards when the variability is high. Bayesian semi-parametric and maximum likelihood joint methods yield higher link parameter estimates with low and high variability in the longitudinal measure. The Time Dependent Covariate method resulted in consistent underestimation of the link parameter. We illustrate these methods using data from the Framingham Heart Study in which lipid measurements and Myocardial Infarction data were collected over a period of 26 years. CONCLUSIONS: Traditional methods for modeling longitudinal and survival data, such as the time dependent covariate method, that use the observed longitudinal data, tend to provide downwardly biased estimates. The two-step approach and joint models provide better estimates, although a comparison of these methods may depend on the underlying residual variance.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Teorema de Bayes , Viés , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Análise de Sobrevida
16.
Cardiology ; 146(2): 179-186, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33524973

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Worsening renal function (WRF) predicts poor prognosis in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction. The effect of WRF in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine whether WRF during index hospitalization for HFpEF is associated with increased death or readmission for heart failure. METHODS: National Veterans Affairs electronic medical data recorded between January 1, 2002, and December 31, 2014, were screened to identify index hospitalizations for HFpEF using an iterative algorithm. Patients were divided into 3 groups based on changes in serum Cr (sCr) during this admission. WRF was defined as a rise in sCr ≥0.3 mg/dL. Group 1 had no evidence of WRF, group 2 had transient WRF, and group 3 had persistent WRF at the time of discharge. RESULTS: A total of 10,902 patients with index hospitalizations for HFpEF were identified (mean age 72, 97% male). Twenty-nine percent had WRF during this hospital admission, with 48% showing recovery of sCr and 52% with no recovery at discharge. The mortality rate over a mean follow-up duration of 3.26 years was 72%. Compared to group 1, groups 2 and 3 showed no significant difference in risk of death from any cause (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.95 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.87, 1.03] and 1.02 [95% CI: 0.93, 1.11], respectively), days hospitalized for any cause (incidence density ratio [IDR] = 1.01 [95% CI: 0.92, 1.11] and 1.01 [95% CI: 0.93, 1.11], respectively), or days hospitalized for heart failure (IDR = 0.94 [95% CI: 0.80, 1.10] and 0.94 [95% CI: 0.81, 1.09], respectively) in analyses adjusted for covariates affecting renal function and outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: While there is a high incidence of WRF during index hospitalizations for HFpEF, WRF is not associated with an increased risk of death or hospitalization. This suggests that WRF alone should not influence decisions regarding heart failure management.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Idoso , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Rim/fisiologia , Masculino , Prognóstico , Volume Sistólico
17.
Neurocrit Care ; 34(1): 102-111, 2021 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32435964

RESUMO

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Neurostimulants may improve or accelerate cognitive and functional recovery after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), ischemic stroke (IS), or subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), but few studies have described their safety and effectiveness in the intensive care unit (ICU). The objective of this study was to describe amantadine and modafinil administration practices during acute stroke care starting in the ICU and to evaluate safety and effectiveness. METHODS: Consecutive adult ICU patients treated with amantadine and/or modafinil following acute non-traumatic IS, ICH, or SAH were evaluated. Neurostimulant administration data were extracted from the electronic medication administration record, including medication (amantadine, modafinil, or both), starting dose, time from stroke to initiation, and whether the neurostimulant was continued at hospital discharge. Patients were considered responders if they met two of three criteria within 9 days of neurostimulant initiation: increase in Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score ≥ 3 points from pre-treatment baseline, improved wakefulness or participation documented in caregiver notes, or clinical improvement documented in physical or occupational therapy notes. Potential confounders of the effectiveness assessment and adverse drug effects were also recorded. RESULTS: A total of 87 patients were evaluable during the 3.7-year study period, including 41 (47%) with ICH, 29 (33%) with IS, and 17 (20%) with SAH. The initial neurostimulant administered was amantadine in 71 (82%) patients, modafinil in 13 (15%), or both in 3 (3%) patients. Neurostimulants were initiated a median of 7 (4.25, 12.75) days post-stroke (range 1-27 days) for somnolence (77%), not following commands (32%), lack of eye opening (28%), or low GCS (17%). The most common starting dose was 100 mg twice daily for both amantadine (86%) and modafinil (54%). Of the 79 patients included in the effectiveness evaluation, 42 (53%) were considered responders, including 34/62 (55%) receiving amantadine monotherapy and 8/24 (33%) receiving both amantadine and modafinil at the time they met the definition of a responder. No patient receiving modafinil monotherapy was considered a responder. The median time from initiation to response was 3 (2, 5) days. Responders were more frequently discharged home or to acute rehabilitation compared to non-responders (90% vs 62%, p = 0.006). Among survivors, 63/72 (88%) were prescribed a neurostimulant at hospital discharge. The most common potential adverse drug effect was sleep disruption (16%). CONCLUSIONS: Neurostimulant administration during acute stroke care may improve wakefulness. Future controlled studies with a neurostimulant administration protocol, prospective evaluation, and discretely defined response and safety criteria are needed to confirm these encouraging findings.


Assuntos
Estimulantes do Sistema Nervoso Central , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Adulto , Amantadina , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Modafinila , Estudos Retrospectivos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/tratamento farmacológico
18.
Phys Rev Lett ; 125(17): 178003, 2020 Oct 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33156652

RESUMO

An enticing feature of active materials is the possibility of controlling macroscale rheological properties through the activity of the microscopic constituents. Using a unique combination of microscopy and rheology we study three dimensional microtubule-based active materials whose autonomous flows are powered by a continually rearranging connected network. We quantify the relationship between the microscopic dynamics and the bulk mechanical properties of these nonequilibrium networks. Experiments reveal a surprising nonmonotonic viscosity that strongly depends on the relative magnitude of the rate of internally generated activity and the externally applied shear. A simple two-state mechanical model that accounts for both the solidlike and yielded fluidlike elements of the network accurately describes the rheological measurements.

19.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 20(1): 92, 2020 02 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32101141

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In a real-world setting, the effect of pulse rate measured at the time of diagnosis and serially during follow-up and management, on outcomes in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), has not been well-studied. Furthermore, how beta-blockade use in a real-world situation modifies this relation between pulse rate and outcomes in HFrEF is not well-known. Hence, we identified a large, national, real-world cohort of HFrEF to examine the association of pulse rate and outcomes. METHODS: Using Veterans Affairs (VA) national electronic health records we identified incident HFrEF cases between 2006 and 2012. We examined the associations of both baseline and serially measured pulse rates, with mortality and days hospitalized per year for heart failure and for any cause, using crude and multivariable Cox proportional hazards and Poisson or negative binomial models, respectively. The exposure was examined as continuous, dichotomous, and categorical. Post-hoc analyses addressed the interaction of pulse rate and beta-blocker target dose. RESULTS: We identified 51,194 incident HFrEF cases (67 ± 12 years, 98% male, 77% white. A significant positive, near linear relationship was observed for both baseline and serially measured pulse rates with all-cause mortality, all-cause hospitalization and heart failure hospitalization after adjusting for covariates including beta-blocker use. Patients who had a pulse rate ≥ 70 bpm in the past 6 months had 36% (95% CI: 31-42%), 25% (95% CI: 19-32%), and 51% (95% CI: 33-72%) increased rates of mortality, all-cause hospitalization, and heart failure hospitalization, respectively, compared to patients with pulse rates < 70 bpm. A minority of subjects (15%) were treated with guideline directed beta blockade ≥50% of recommended target dose, among whom better outcomes were seen compared to those who did not achieve target dose in patients with pulse rates both above and below 70 beats per minute. CONCLUSIONS: High pulse rate, both at the time of diagnosis and during follow-up, is strongly associated with increased risk of adverse outcomes in HFrEF patients, independent of the use of beta-blockers. In a real-world setting, the majority of HFrEF patients do not achieve target dose of beta-blockade; greater use of strategies to reduce heart rate may improve outcomes in HFrEF.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Frequência Cardíaca , Volume Sistólico , Função Ventricular Esquerda , Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Frequência Cardíaca/efeitos dos fármacos , Hospitalização , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Volume Sistólico/efeitos dos fármacos , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , United States Department of Veterans Affairs , Função Ventricular Esquerda/efeitos dos fármacos
20.
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