Predictors of death following ICU discharge.

In order to study possible predictors of early after-discharge mortality (EADM), 700 consecutive patients discharged alive from three intensive care units (ICUs) were followed up 2 months after their admission. The observed mortality was 7.3%. Univariate analysis indicated a strong statistically significant association of the following variables with mortality: initial simplified acute physiological score (SAPS) greater than 10, therapeutic intervention score in the first 24 h of admission greater than 20, age greater than or equal to 65, length of stay in the ICU greater than 10 days, and low educational level. The multiple logistic regression analysis included as predictive independent variables the SAPS, organs or systems failure, age, and length of stay. The model built upon these four variables was able to identify a group of patients at high risk (21-46%) of EADM. We conclude that some simple variables can be used as useful markers of patients groups at high risk of EADM.

[Prognosis of myocardial infarction in women. Effect of the therapeutic effort and the socioeconomic status]. / Pronóstico del infarto de miocardio en mujeres. Efecto del esfuerzo terapéutico y del nivel socioeconómico.

The causes of the high mortality of acute myocardial infarction in women as compared with men are controversial. The objective of this study is to assess the role of the therapeutic effort and socioeconomic factors on the genesis of this excess of mortality. We studied, using a retrospective cohort design, 491 men and 124 women admitted with the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction. As a group, women were older (69 versus 61 years of age, p < 0.00001), showed a higher prevalence of cardiac failure on admission (44% versus 26%; p = 0.00008) and a higher mortality in the coronary care unit (29.3% versus 12.9%; p = 0.00002). In addition, the women showed an unfavorable socioeconomic profile and received a lower relative therapeutic effort, as assessed by the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System. There was statistical interaction between gender and marital status, with a higher mortality in the unmarried male, comparable to that of women. Within the married group, the excess of mortality in women persisted after adjusting for age and Killip group (adjusted odds ratio = 2.48, 95% confidence interval between 1.26 and 4.89). None of the studied socioeconomic variables was independently associated to mortality, once age, Killip group and marital status were taken into account. After adjusting for therapeutic effort, the differences between men and women increased. Women admitted with acute myocardial infarction show a poor short-term prognosis that is not explained by their socioeconomic profile nor by the differences in therapeutic effort.