No change in incidence and prevalence of HIV among intravenous drug users in Copenhagen from 1985 to 1990.

During the years 1984 to 1990, 1,029 intravenous drug users (IVDU), equalling approximately one-third of the estimated total IVDU population in the study area, attended the outpatient venereal disease clinic of Copenhagen for an HIV antibody test. Neglecting samples on HIV-positive persons after the first positive test, 665 IVDU were only tested once, whereas 364 IVDU had 613 tests performed after their first HIV antibody negative result. HIV prevalences calculated for each year showed that the prevalence of 20% in 1985 was significantly higher than those of the following years, varying between 9% and 12% without any statistical differences between these years or evidence of an increase or a decrease. HIV incidence was calculated from the results of the 364 IVDU with an initially negative HIV test, from whom 613 subsequent test results were available and of which 20 showed HIV antibodies. The total risk period was 837 years, and the overall incidence 2.4 per 100 person years without any difference between male and female IVDU, but with a tendency of a decreasing incidence with increasing age. The incidence rates per 100 person years were 2.82 in 1984-1987 and 2.38 in 1988-1990, which is not significantly different. A seroconversion rate of 2.42 (1.51-3.65) per 100 IVDU per year was calculated. With an estimated IVDU population of 3,000 persons in Copenhagen, the yearly number of new HIV infected IVDU can then be estimated to 72 persons (45-110), a figure that is 100% higher than that known from the anonymous national HIV reporting system.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

HIV-2 infection in Bissau, West Africa, 1987-1989: incidence, prevalences, and routes of transmission.

In a community study, the HIV-1 and HIV-2 antibody status of the inhabitants of 100 randomly chosen houses in Bissau, West Africa, were followed from 1987 to 1989. There was no HIV-1 infection alone, while the HIV-2 seroprevalence in adults was 8.9% (58 of 652) in 1987 and 10.1% (61 of 603) in 1989. HIV-2 seroprevalence in 15- to 39-year-olds was 6.1% in 1987 and 11.3% in newcomers in 1989 [the Mantel-Haentzel weighted relative risk (RRMH) = 1.86; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-3.24]. Three hundred thirty adults who were HIV-2 seronegative in 1987 were reexamined in 1989; seven had seroconverted. Follow-up time was 700 person years, giving an incidence of HIV-2 infection of 1 per 100 person years. With a history of sexually transmitted disease (STD), the RR of seroconverting was 9.95 (2.31-42.80). Blood transfusions received since 1987 did not result in seroconversions. No case of vertical transmission of HIV-2 was seen. There was an excess mortality in those who were HIV-2 seropositive; however, it was statistically significant only for children (RR = 22.27; 95% CI: 6.92-71.70; p < 0.0001), not for adults (RR = 2.16; 95% CI: 0.81-5.76; p = 0.23), when considering death from disease only.

Lack of evidence of vertical transmission of human immunodeficiency virus type 2 in a sample of the general population in Bissau.

Twenty-nine human immunodeficiency virus type 2 (HIV-2) seropositive women identified in a cross-sectional study in Bissau in 1987 participated in a follow-up study in 1988, where each was matched for age and marital status with two HIV-2 seronegative women. Detailed information about all pregnancies was obtained. The HIV-2 seropositive women and their controls had similar mean numbers of pregnancies, live children, children who died, and abortions. The HIV-2 seropositive women did not have a greater risk of having had an abortion or a child who died than did the HIV-2 seronegative women. No difference in survival was seen between children born to HIV-2 seropositive and HIV-2 seronegative women. The H/S-ratios and CD4 numbers were lower in the seropositive group, but none had values lower than 0.4 and 0.4 x 10(9)/L, respectively. Seven prospectively observed children born to HIV-2 seropositive mothers showed no sign of infection. The lack of evidence of transmission of HIV-2 from mother to child is suggested to be due to the absence of marked immunodeficiency in this random sample of the general population.

Detection of mycobacteria from blood and bone marrow: a decade of experience.

This study reports our experience with methods used at our department from 1981 through 1990 for detection of mycobacteria in blood and bone marrow specimens. Direct inoculation on Lowenstein Jensen media was replaced by Isolator lysis-centrifugation followed by inoculation on conventional solid media, and the Bactec 12B and Bactec 13A systems. A total of 3033 specimens were analyzed. A total of 137 mycobacterial isolates were obtained from 42 patients, all HIV-positive except one. Mycobacteremia caused by M. avium-intracellulare (83%), M. tuberculosis, M. scrofulaceum and M. kansasii was found. Of 680 blood specimens tested by the last three methods, 7.6% were found to be positive by at least one method and revealed recovery rates of 6.8% for the Isolator-solid media system, 3.4% for the Isolator-12B system and 6.9% for the 13A system (all isolates MOTT). Mean detection times for 21 cultures found positive by all three methods were 23.6, 23.3 and 17.7 days for the Isolator-solid media, Isolator-12B and 13A systems, respectively, with a significantly shorter detection time for the 13A system. Low degree (less than 1 cfu/ml) mycobacteremia (MOTT) caused delay in the Isolator-solid media and the 13A systems and no detection in the Isolator-12B system. Antituberculous therapy significantly prolonged the detection times for MOTT in the 13A system in contrast to the other systems.

Evaluation of the E-test for susceptibility testing of the Bacteroides fragilis group. Danish study group.

The susceptibilities of 100 clinical isolates belonging to the Bacteroides fragilis group to 9 antibiotics, i.e. ampicillin, piperacillin, ceftriaxone, cefotaxime, cefoxitin, imipenem, erythromycin, clindamycin, and metronidazole, were tested using a standard agar dilution method and the E-test. Overall, 81% of the E-test MICs were within one log2 dilution step of the agar dilution MICs and 95% were within two log2 dilution steps. The E-test showed significantly lower MIC values than the agar dilution method for ampicillin, cefotaxime, and imipenem, and significantly higher MIC values for piperacillin, ceftriaxone, erythromycin, clindamycin, and metronidazole. However, this only resulted in minor discrepancies that did not change the susceptibility status. The E-test is easy to perform and read, and the MIC values correlated well with the MICs obtained by the agar dilution method when testing susceptibility of the Bacteroides fragilis group.

Impact of the agar medium and disc type on disc diffusion susceptibility testing against teicoplanin and vancomycin.

Susceptibility to teicoplanin and vancomycin was assessed by three disc types: two commercially available discs (NeoSensitabs and PDM disc (30 micrograms)) and one locally prepared 30 micrograms disc (SS disc) on four different medium types: Mueller-Hinton agar (MH medium), MH medium and PDM agar II supplemented with 5% horse blood (HMB medium and PDM medium, respectively), and Danish blood agar (DBA medium). Two previously studied groups of Gram-positive bacteria were tested: group B (N = 75) comprised miscellaneous cocci, and group C (N = 59) mostly rods. With NeoSensitabs, mean zone diameters were larger than with PDM and SS discs on all medium types, and mean zone diameters were larger on DBA medium than on MHB and PDM medium with all disc types. The impact of the medium type on the zone diameter was evaluated for 121 strains growing on MHB medium, PDM medium, and DBA medium. Bacterial groups B and C each divided into three MIC groups were analysed separately. We compared mean zone diameters for each specific group with the average zone diameter, i.e. the mean value for all zone diameters obtained. The smallest deviations from the average zone diameters were observed on PDM medium for both teicoplanin and vancomycin. Thirty-seven percent of strains failed to grow on MH medium, but supplementation of MH medium with horse blood significantly reduced the zone diameter for group B strains both for teicoplanin and vancomycin. Poor predictability of MIC from the zone diameter was found especially for strains with MICs < or = 1 microgram/ml. The medium type hardly affected the results of regression analysis. In contrast, the medium type markedly affected the results of error-rate bounded analysis. No errors were recorded with the SS disc on MHB medium for either teicoplanin or vancomycin, but no strains with MICs of vancomycin within the intermediate group could be correctly classified on DBA medium.

In vitro susceptibility of 124 Xanthomonas maltophilia (Stenotrophomonas maltophilia) isolates: comparison of the agar dilution method with the E-test and two agar diffusion methods.

The in vitro susceptibility of 124 Xanthomonas maltophilia isolates was tested by four methods: Agar dilution (reference method), E-test, a disk diffusion and a tablet diffusion method. Trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole had the highest activity against X. maltophilia, followed by a combination of aztreonam-clavulanic acid at different ratios, the ratio 1:1 being the most active with a susceptibility rate of 85% as compared to 2% for aztreonam alone. Addition of the beta-lactamase inhibitor tazobactam to piperacillin enhanced the rate of susceptible isolates from 31% to 53%, Relatively few isolates were susceptible to ciprofloxacin (27%) and gentamicin (9%). Generally, the disk diffusion method had a considerably higher frequency of "very major" discrepancies when compared with the agar dilution method than with the other methods. The susceptibility of X. maltophilia to trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole and ciprofloxacin could reliably be determined by all the diffusion methods tested, but otherwise the agar dilution method is to be preferred. A standardized and reliable diffusion method for susceptibility testing of X. maltophilia remains to be found. Trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole must be considered the drug of choice in the treatment of severe X. maltophilia infections. The combination aztreonam-clavulanic acid is promising, but must be proved in a clinical setting.

Antibiotic sensitivity of the Bacteroides fragilis group in Denmark. Danish Study Group.

Resistance rates to 9 antibiotics were determined for 370 isolates of the Bacteroides fragilis group submitted during a 5-month period in 1990-91 from 6 laboratories in Denmark. There was no resistance to imipenem (MIC > 8 mg/l) or metronidazole (MIC > 16 mg/l), while resistance to ampicillin was the rule (97% at > 4 mg/l) and to ceftriaxone rather common (19% at > 32 mg/l). Resistance was uncommon to cefoxitin (0.5% at > 32 mg/l), cefotaxime (6% at > 32 mg/l), piperacillin (7% at > 64 mg/l), ampicillin/sulbactam (1% at > 16 mg/l), and clindamycin (3% at > 4 mg/l). Two hundred and thirty-nine strains were Bacteroides fragilis. The 131 other strains were generally more resistant than the Bacteroides fragilis strains. For 5 antibiotics the Bacteroides fragilis had a significantly lower MIC in western than in eastern laboratories. For the group with other strains there was no significant difference.

Tobacco smoking and risk of hip fracture in men and women.

BACKGROUND: Previous findings suggest that tobacco smoking increases the risk of hip fracture in women. A similar adverse effect of smoking is suspected to be present in men, but bone mineral density studies have raised the concern that men may be more sensitive to the deleterious effect of smoking on bone than women. In this study we prospectively determined the influence of current, previous, and cumulative smoking history on risk of hip fracture in men and women and addressed the issue of possible gender difference in the susceptibility to tobacco smoking. METHODS: Pooled data from three population studies conducted in Copenhagen with detailed information on smoking habit. A total of 13,393 women and 17,379 men, initially examined between 1964 and 1992, were followed until 1997 for first admission due to hip fracture. The relative risks (RR) of hip fracture associated with smoking were estimated by means of multiplicative Poisson regression models. RESULTS: During follow-up, 722 hip fractures were identified in women, and 447 in men. After adjustment for potential confounders, including body mass index, female current smokers had an RR of hip fracture of 1.36 (95% CI: 1.12-1.65) and male smokers 1.59 (95% CI: 1.04-2.43) relative to never smokers. In both sexes, the RR of hip fracture gradually increased by current and accumulated tobacco consumption. The RR were consistently higher in men than in women, but the test for interaction between sex and tobacco smoking was insignificant. After 5 years, male ex-smokers had an adjusted RR of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.55-0.98) relative to current smokers, while no significant decrease in risk was observed in female ex-smokers (RR = 0.91; 95% CI: 0.72-1.17)). Approximately 19% of all hip fractures in the present study population were attributable to tobacco smoking. CONCLUSION: Tobacco smoking is an independent risk factor for hip fracture in men and women, and there appears to be no gender differences in smoking related risk. Smoking cessation reduces the risk of hip fracture in men after 5 years, while the deleterious effect of smoking seems to be more long-lasting in female ex-smokers.

Comparison of two methods for enumerating malaria parasites in thick blood films.

Calculation of parasite densities is important for estimating herd immunity to malaria, and for determining end points in field trials for interventions such as malaria vaccines, impregnated bed nets, and chemosuppression. Two methods of enumeration were compared: method 1, in which 100 consecutive high-power fields (HPFs) are examined, and if they all contain at least one parasite, the number per field is then counted in 10-100 of these fields according to density; and method 2, in which the actual number of parasites present in 100 consecutive fields are counted. The first method significantly underestimates parasite density in samples in which less than all high-power fields are parasite-positive. A correction of method 1 is suggested, which results in a parasite density, which is comparable with that obtained using method 2. The correction factor estimated was 2(-In(1 - p)), where p is the proportion of positive HPFs. The correction factor presented will allow accurate estimate of parasite densities per volume of blood even if only the proportion of parasite-positive high-power fields containing at least one parasite are counted.

Epidemiology of Klebsiella bacteraemia: a case control study using Escherichia coli bacteraemia as control.

Epidemiological data from 117 episodes of Klebsiella bacteraemia were compared with those from matched controls with Escherichia coli bacteraemia. Cases and controls were obtained from 20,631 blood cultures taken from patients in Hvidovre Hospital between 1990 and 1992. The data studied included: sex and age, risk factors, portal of entry, outcome, nosocomial acquisition and distribution within the hospital. The incidence of Klebsiella bacteraemia was 9.3/10,000 admissions (76% Klebsiella pneumoniae; 24% Klebsiella oxytoca). Patients with Klebsiella and E. coli bacteraemia had many common features, including a high incidence of neoplastic disease, biliary tract disease, and renal failure. Many had undergone surgery or received therapy with steroids, antacids or antibiotics. Klebsiella bacteraemia was more often found in males, in patients with hospital contact within the previous month, and polymicrobial infection. Logistic regression analysis showed that use of invasive plastic devices and diabetes were significantly associated with Klebsiella bacteraemia. The urinary tract was the commonest source, followed by the biliary tract; 27% of patients had no obvious focus of infection, and in many of these an invasive device may have been involved. Forty-five K-serotypes were found--the largest number being nine strains of type K3; only a few strains had acquired resistance characters to antimicrobial agents. There were no differences between community- and hospital-acquired strains; indicating that our hospital does not have a resident strain of Klebsiella.

Evolution of Staphylococcus aureus resistance to erythromycin in Denmark, 1959 to 1988: comparison with erythromycin-susceptible strains.

Between 1959 and 1988, all Staphylococcus aureus strains (15 168 patients) isolated from blood in Denmark have been collected, investigated and stored, and clinical data has been obtained. Erythromycin resistance was found in 4.9% of these strains. The frequency of erythromycin resistance peaked at 25% in 1966, due to the spread in hospitals of multiresistant strains of the 83A complex. When these strains dominated, an increased mortality rate was seen in patients infected with erythromycin-resistant S. aureus. In contrast to most countries, erythromycin resistance in S. aureus declined to less than 5% in 1971, continued to fall to 1.3% in 1983, and has increased slowly to 2.4% in 1988. The decline was only due to a decrease of multiresistant strains. Erythromycin-resistant strains isolated in recent years are predominantly resistant only to penicillin and erythromycin and belong to many different phage type patterns. In Denmark, inducible resistance has occurred at a stable high frequency of approximately 90% of the erythromycin-resistant strains during the last 30 years. Erythromycin-resistant strains isolated today, however, have higher minimum inhibitory concentrations, and are rarely resistant to spectinomycin, in contrast to the strains isolated in the first half of the observation period.

Evolution of Staphylococcus aureus resistance to erythromycin in Denmark, 1959 to 1988: correlations between characteristics of erythromycin-resistant bacteraemia strains.

In an attempt to characterize erythromycin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus we present the intricate relationships between the following factors: phage type, period of isolation, antibiogram, minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) to erythromycin, inducible or constitutive resistance, spectinomycin susceptibility, hospital- or community-acquired infection, and mortality rate. We studied 718 cases of bacteraemia with erythromycin-resistant S. aureus, occurring between 1959 and 1988. Central factors were phage type pattern, period of isolation, and antibiogram. Between 1959 and 1973 the majority of the erythromycin-resistant strains were multiresistant and belonged to the 83A complex and the related group III. They were mainly inducibly resistant, spectinomycin resistant, and had intermediate MICs (1-4 mg l-1) to erythromycin. The majority of these strains came from hospital-acquired infections and still exist today, although in decreased numbers. By contrast, erythromycin-resistant S. aureus isolated in recent years are usually co-resistant only to penicillin and more rarely also to tetracycline. These strains have inducible resistance, are spectinomycin susceptible, and have a high erythromycin MIC. They are isolated both from hospital- and community-acquired infections. Strains with constitutive resistance to macrolides occurred at a stable low level (13%) during the whole observation period and always had high MICs to erythromycin. The mortality rate among patients with S. aureus bacteraemia due to an erythromycin-resistant strain was only associated with the year of infection and decreased from 61% in the first 15-year period to 40% in the subsequent 15 years.

Persistent and acute diarrhoea as the leading causes of child mortality in urban Guinea Bissau.

An investigation of child mortality in a semi-urban community, Bandim II, in the capital of Guinea Bissau was carried out from April 1987 to March 1990. 153 deaths were recorded among 1426 live-born children who were followed for 2753 child-years. The under-five mortality risk was 215 per 1000 children (95% confidence interval [CI] 176-264), infant mortality 94 per 1000 (95% CI 73-115), and perinatal mortality 52 per 1000 (95% CI 41-63). By prospective registration of morbidity, post-mortem interviews, and examination of available hospital records, a presumptive cause of death was established in 86% of the deaths. Persistent and acute diarrhoea were the most frequent causes of death, accounting for 43 and 31 deaths per 1000 children, respectively. Fever deaths (possibly malaria), neonatal deaths, acute respiratory infections, and measles were other frequent causes. The access to health services was relatively easy: 75% of the children who died had attended for treatment at a hospital or a health centre. It is important to find ways of preventing and managing persistent diarrhoea, the major cause of death, and to improve the control of acute diarrhoea by a targeted approach.

The influence of Maloprim chemoprophylaxis on cellular and humoral immune responses to Plasmodium falciparum asexual blood stage antigens in schoolchildren living in a malaria endemic area of Mozambique.

We examined the impact of chemoprophylaxis on the cellular and humoral immune responses to polypeptides of the asexual Plasmodium falciparum blood stage antigens, the glutamate rich protein GLURP and Pf155/RESA, both of which in previous field studies have been identified as potentially protective antigens. The study was carried out in the Escola Primária de Lingamo, a primary school in a suburban area of Maputo, Mozambique. A cohort of 392 schoolchildren (aged 7-12 years) was randomly allocated to two equal groups, one receiving chemoprophylaxis with dapsone/pyrimethamine (Maloprim), the other receiving placebo every week from December 1989 to November 1990. The groups were then followed until November 1991 without chemoprophylaxis. Cellular responses to immunodominant epitopes from Pf155/RESA and GLURP, and to non malaria antigens C. albicans and PPD, were assessed by lymphocyte proliferation assays in vitro. Anti-GLURP and anti-Pf155/RESA antibodies were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and erythrocyte membrane immunofluorescence (EMIF), and total anti-P. falciparum antibodies were measured by indirect fluorescent antibody test (IFAT). Immunological reactivities were evaluated every six months, at the end of the rainy season and at the end of the dry season, both during the period of chemoprophylaxis and during the follow-up. The antibody response rate to the GLURP was lower in the Maloprim group than in the placebo group during the intervention phase. The lymphoproliferative response rate to the malaria antigens was significantly lower at the end of the rainy season than at the end of the dry season, but the difference between the experimental group and the control group of schoolchildren was not statistically significant. These results suggest that the antibody responses to the GLURP molecule and partly to the Pf155/RESA antigen in this study population were shortlived and dependent on frequent boostering, but whether these antigens play a role in the development of natural clinical immunity remains open. In the experimental group of schoolchildren weekly chemoprophylaxis successfully reduced the parasite rate during the rainy season from 43% to 4%, and during the dry season from 18% to 0%. Chemoprophylaxis may therefore have a useful role in combination with another partially effective malaria control measure such as insecticide-impregnated bed nets or a malaria vaccine.

Classification of clinical falciparum malaria and its use for the evaluation of chemosuppression in children under six years of age in Liberia, west Africa.

The possible role of malaria as cause of morbidity was assessed during one year in 262 children aged 6 months to 6 years living in two villages in a rural area of Liberia. The study population was followed by weekly clinics and three-monthly surveys and the children were randomly allocated to receive either chloroquine or placebo every 3 weeks. The morbidity of the children was evaluated by criteria based on the history and the clinical condition into four different stages, in order to describe the probability that an observed clinical event could be attributed to malaria infection, based on the presence of detectable parasites in the blood, the history the previous week, and the clinical status of the child. The level of anaemia, splenomegaly and measured body temperature supported that malaria was the major contributor to the overall morbidity observed. Based on the stage classification of clinical illness, children were classified as having 'possible clinical malaria' or 'probable clinical malaria'. Malaria appeared to be an important cause of febrile episodes during both dry and rainy seasons. During the rainy season more than 60% of the children experienced at least one clinical malaria episode, and during the dry season more than 50% of the children experienced at least one clinical attack of malaria. Children receiving chemosuppression had overall fewer clinical malaria attacks, and the effect of the chemosuppression was most pronounced in the dry season, the odds ratio comparing children receiving regular chemosuppression with children receiving presumptive treatment only was estimated to 0.39 (0.25-0.62).

Prolonged breast feeding, diarrhoeal disease, and survival of children in Guinea-Bissau.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the impact of breast feeding on diarrhoeal disease and survival in children above 1 year of age in Guinea-Bissau, west Africa. DESIGN: A community study of an open cohort followed up weekly by interviews over 15 months. Data on feeding practices, anthropometry, and survival were recorded for three years. SETTING: 301 randomly selected houses in a semiurban area in the capital, Bissau. SUBJECTS: 849 children aged less than 3 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence and duration of diarrhoea, weight for age, and death of a child. RESULTS: The incidence of diarrhoea was higher in weaned children than in partially breast fed children, both in 1 year olds (relative risk 1.41; 95% confidence interval 1.23 to 1.62) and in 2 year olds (1.67; 1.29 to 2.15). The mean duration of an episode of diarrhoea was 5.3 days in breast fed children compared with 6.3 days in weaned children (P = 0.001). Independent of the age of weaning, a similar increase was found in an analysis comparing, for each child, the rate and duration of diarrhoea one month before and one month after weaning. Children with low weight for age were breast fed longer than the better nourished children (P = 0.02). Children aged 12-35 months who were not breast fed had a 3.5 times higher mortality (1.4 to 8.3) than breast fed children. CONCLUSIONS: The beneficial effects of breast feeding are not restricted to infancy. Though children who are partially breast fed after infancy may have a lower state of nutrition than the weaned ones, the benefit in terms of lower morbidity may be more important for child survival in places with a high morbidity from diarrhoea and with high mortality.

Cryptosporidiosis in infancy and childhood mortality in Guinea Bissau, west Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the epidemiology of and mortality from cryptosporidiosis in young children in Guinea Bissau, West Africa. DESIGN: Three year community study of an open cohort followed up weekly. SETTING: 301 randomly selected houses in a semi-urban area in the capital, Bissau. SUBJECTS: 1315 children aged less than 4 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cryptosporidium infection detected by examination of stools during episode of diarrhoea and death of a child. RESULTS: Cryptosporidium spp were found in 239 (7.4%) out of 3215 episodes of diarrhoea. The parasite was most common in younger children (median age 12 months) and at the beginning of the rainy seasons. The prevalence of cryptosporidiosis was 15% (77/513) in cases of persistent diarrhoea compared with 6.1% (148/2428) in diarrhoea lasting less than two weeks (p < 0.0001). Cryptosporidiosis was associated with excess mortality in children who had the infection in infancy, and this excess mortality persisted into the second year of life (relative mortality 2.9 (95% confidence interval 1.7 to 4.9)). The excess mortality could not be explained by malnutrition, or by socioeconomic factors, hygienic conditions, or breast feeding. CONCLUSIONS: Cryptosporidiosis is an important cause of death in otherwise healthy children in developing countries.

Changing remuneration systems: effects on activity in general practice.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects on general practitioners' activities of a change in their remuneration from a capitation based system to a mixed fee per item and capitation based system. DESIGN: Follow up study with data collected from contact sheets completed by general practitioners in one period before (March 1987) a change in their remuneration system and two periods after (March 1988, November 1988), with a control group of general practitioners with a mixed fee per item and capitation based system throughout. SETTING: General practices in Copenhagen city (index group) and Copenhagen county (control group). SUBJECTS: 265 General practitioners in Copenhagen city, of whom 100 were selected randomly from the 130 who agreed to participate (10 exclusions) and 326 general practitioners in Copenhagen county. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Number of consultations (face to face and by telephone) and renewals of prescriptions, diagnostic and curative services, and specialist and hospital referrals per 1000 enlisted patients in one week. RESULTS: Of the 75 general practitioners who completed all three sheets, four were excluded for incomplete data. Total contact rates per 1000 patients listed rose significantly compared with the rates before the change index in the city (100.0 before the change v 111.7 (95% confidence interval 106.4 to 117.4 after the change) and over the same time in the control group (100.0 v 106.0), but within a year these rates fell (to 104.2(99.1 to 109.6) and 104.0 respectively). There was an increase in consultations by telephone initially but not thereafter. Rates of examinations and treatments that attracted specific additional remuneration after the change rose significantly compared with those before (diagnostic services, 138.1 (118.7 to 160.5) and 159.5 (137.8 to 184.7) and curative services 194.6 (152.2 to 248.9) and 194.8(152.3 to 249.2) for second and third data collections respectively) and with the control group (diagnostic services 105.3, 107.6 and curative services 106.0, 115.0) whereas referral rates to secondary care fell (specialist referrals 90.1 (80.7 to 100.6) and 77.0 (68.6 to 86.4) and hospital referrals 87.4 (71.1 to 107.5) and 68.4 (54.7 to 85.4] in doctors in the city. CONCLUSIONS: Introducing a partial fee for service system seemed to stimulate the provision of services by general practitioners, resulting in reduced referral rates. The concept of a "target income" which doctors aim at, rather than maximising their income seemed to play a part in adjustment to changing the system of remuneration.

[Beer, wine, spirits and mortality]. / Øl, vin, spiritus og dØdelighed.

A population based cohort study investigates the association between alcohol intake and mortality from all causes, coronary heart disease and cancer. The design is prospective with baseline assessment of intake of beer, wine and spirits, smoking habits, educational level, physical activity, and body mass index and a total of 257,859 person-years follow-up on mortality. A total of 4,833 participants died, of these 1,075 from coronary heart disease and 1,552 of cancer. Compared with non-drinkers, light drinkers who avoided wine, had a relative risk of death from all causes of 0.90 (0.82-0.99) and those who drank wine had a relative risk of 0.66 (0.55-0.77). Heavy drinkers who avoided wine were at higher risk of death from all causes than were heavy drinkers who included wine in their alcohol intake. Wine drinkers had significantly lower mortality from both coronary heart disease and cancer than did non-wine drinkers (p = 0.007 and p = 0.004, respectively). In conclusion, wine intake may have a beneficial effect on all cause mortality that is additive to that of alcohol. This effect may be attributable to a reduction in death from both coronary heart disease and cancer.