Large-scale calibration and simulation of COVID-19 epidemiologic scenarios to support healthcare planning.

The COVID-19 pandemic has provided stiff challenges for planning and resourcing in health services in the UK and worldwide. Epidemiological models can provide simulations of how infectious disease might progress in a population given certain parameters. We adapted an agent-based model of COVID-19 to inform planning and decision-making within a healthcare setting, and created a software framework that automates processes for calibrating the model parameters to health data and allows the model to be run at national population scale on National Health Service (NHS) infrastructure. We developed a method for calibrating the model to three daily data streams (hospital admissions, intensive care occupancy, and deaths), and demonstrate that on cross-validation the model fits acceptably to unseen data streams including official estimates of COVID-19 incidence. Once calibrated, we use the model to simulate future scenarios of the spread of COVID-19 in England and show that the simulations provide useful projections of future COVID-19 clinical demand. These simulations were used to support operational planning in the NHS in England, and we present the example of the use of these simulations in projecting future clinical demand during the rollout of the national COVID-19 vaccination programme. Being able to investigate uncertainty and test sensitivities was particularly important to the operational planning team. This epidemiological model operates within an ecosystem of data technologies, drawing on a range of NHS, government and academic data sources, and provides results to strategists, planners and downstream data systems. We discuss the data resources that enabled this work and the data challenges that were faced.

Using Semantic Web Technologies to Enable Cancer Genomics Discovery at Petabyte Scale.

Increased efforts in cancer genomics research and bioinformatics are producing tremendous amounts of data. These data are diverse in origin, format, and content. As the amount of available sequencing data increase, technologies that make them discoverable and usable are critically needed. In response, we have developed a Semantic Web-based Data Browser, a tool allowing users to visually build and execute ontology-driven queries. This approach simplifies access to available data and improves the process of using them in analyses on the Seven Bridges Cancer Genomics Cloud (CGC; www.cancergenomicscloud.org). The Data Browser makes large data sets easily explorable and simplifies the retrieval of specific data of interest. Although initially implemented on top of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data set, the Data Browser's architecture allows for seamless integration of other data sets. By deploying it on the CGC, we have enabled remote researchers to access data and perform collaborative investigations.

The Cancer Genomics Cloud: Collaborative, Reproducible, and Democratized-A New Paradigm in Large-Scale Computational Research.

The Seven Bridges Cancer Genomics Cloud (CGC; www.cancergenomicscloud.org) enables researchers to rapidly access and collaborate on massive public cancer genomic datasets, including The Cancer Genome Atlas. It provides secure on-demand access to data, analysis tools, and computing resources. Researchers from diverse backgrounds can easily visualize, query, and explore cancer genomic datasets visually or programmatically. Data of interest can be immediately analyzed in the cloud using more than 200 preinstalled, curated bioinformatics tools and workflows. Researchers can also extend the functionality of the platform by adding their own data and tools via an intuitive software development kit. By colocalizing these resources in the cloud, the CGC enables scalable, reproducible analyses. Researchers worldwide can use the CGC to investigate key questions in cancer genomics. Cancer Res; 77(21); e3-6. ©2017 AACR.