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BACKGROUND: Metabolic risk factors, such as obesity, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia are independent risk factors for the development of various complications in acute pancreatitis (AP). Hypertriglyceridemia dose-dependently elicits pancreatotoxicity and worsens the outcomes of AP. The role of hyperglycemia, as a toxic metabolic factor in the clinical course of AP, has not been examined yet. METHODS: We analyzed a prospective, international cohort of 2250 AP patients, examining associations between (1) glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), (2) on-admission glucose, (3) peak in-hospital glucose and clinically important outcomes (mortality, severity, complications, length of hospitalization (LOH), maximal C-reactive protein (CRP)). We conducted a binary logistic regression accounting for age, gender, etiology, diabetes, and our examined variables. Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) was applied to detect the diagnostic accuracy of the three variables. RESULTS: Both on-admission and peak serum glucose are independently associated with AP severity and mortality, accounting for age, gender, known diabetes and AP etiology. They show a dose-dependent association with severity (p < 0.001 in both), mortality (p < 0.001), LOH (p < 0.001), maximal CRP (p < 0.001), systemic (p < 0.001) and local complications (p < 0.001). Patients with peak glucose >7 mmol/l had a 15 times higher odds for severe AP and a five times higher odds for mortality. We found a trend of increasing HbA1c with increasing LOH (p < 0.001), severity and local complications. CONCLUSIONS: On-admission and peak in-hospital glucose are independently and dose-dependently associated with increasing AP severity and mortality. In-hospital laboratory control of glucose and adequate treatment of hyperglycemia are crucial in the management of AP.
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Glicemia/análise , Hiperglicemia , Pancreatite , Adulto , Idoso , Progressão da Doença , Feminino , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Humanos , Hiperglicemia/sangue , Hiperglicemia/complicações , Hiperglicemia/terapia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatite/sangue , Pancreatite/complicações , Pancreatite/mortalidade , Pancreatite/terapia , Estudos Prospectivos , Sistema de Registros , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Pseudocysts being the most frequent local complications of acute pancreatitis (AP) have substantial effect on the disease course, hospitalization and quality of life of the patient. Our study aimed to understand the effects of pre-existing (OLD-P) and newly developed (NEW-P) pseudocysts on AP. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Acute Pancreatitis Registry organized by the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group (HPSG). 2275 of 2461 patients had uploaded information concerning pancreatic morphology assessed by imaging technique. Patients were divided into "no pseudocyst" (NO-P) group, "old pseudocyst" (OLD-P) group, or "newly developed pseudocyst" (NEW-P) groups. RESULTS: The median time of new pseudocyst development was nine days from hospital admission and eleven days from the beginning of the abdominal pain. More NEW-P cases were severe (15.9% vs 4.7% in the NO-P group p < 0.001), with longer length of hospitalization (LoH) (median: 14 days versus 8 days, p < 0.001), and were associated with several changed laboratory parameters. OLD-P was associated with male gender (72.2% vs. 56.1%, p = 0.0014), alcoholic etiology (35.2% vs. 19.8% in the NO-P group), longer hospitalization (median: 10 days, p < 0.001), a previous episode of AP (p < 0.001), pre-existing diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis (CP) (p < 0.001), current smoking (p < 0.001), and increased alcohol consumption (unit/week) (p = 0.014). CONCLUSION: Most of the new pseudocysts develop within two weeks. Newly developing pseudocysts are associated with a more severe disease course and increased length of hospitalization. Pre-existing pseudocysts are associated with higher alcohol consumption and smoking. Because CP is more frequently associated with a pre-existing pseudocyst, these patients need closer attention after AP.
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BACKGROUND: Disturbance of consciousness (DOC) may develop in acute pancreatitis (AP). In clinical practice, it is known that DOC may worsen the patient's condition, but we have no exact data on how DOC affects the outcome of AP. METHODS: From the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Groups' AP registry, 1220 prospectively collected cases were analyzed, which contained exact data on DOC, included patients with confusion, delirium, convulsion, and alcohol withdrawal, answering a post hoc defined research question. Patients were separated to Non-DOC and DOC, whereas DOC was further divided into non-alcohol related DOC (Non-ALC DOC) and ALC DOC groups. For statistical analysis, independent sample t-test, Mann-Whitney, Chi-squared, or Fisher exact test were used. RESULTS: From the 1220 patients, 47 (3.9%) developed DOC, 23 (48.9%) cases were ALC DOC vs. 24 (51.1%) Non-ALC DOC. Analysis between the DOC and Non-DOC groups showed a higher incidence of severe AP (19.2% vs. 5.3%, p < 0.001), higher mortality (14.9% vs. 1.7%, p < 0.001), and a longer length of hospitalization (LOH) (Me = 11; IQR: 8-17 days vs. Me = 9; IQR: 6-13 days, p = 0.049) respectively. Patients with ALC DOC developed more frequently moderate AP vs. Non-ALC DOC (43.5% vs. 12.5%), while the incidence of severe AP was higher in Non-ALC vs. ALC DOC group (33.3% vs. 4.4%) (p < 0.001). LOH showed a tendency to be longer in Non-ALC DOC compared to ALC DOC, respectively (Me:13; IQR:7-20 days vs. Me:9.5; IQR:8-15.5 days, p = 0.119). CONCLUSION: DOC during AP is associated with a higher rate of moderate and severe AP and increases the risk of mortality.
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Transtornos da Consciência/etiologia , Pancreatite/complicações , Doença Aguda , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Convulsões por Abstinência de Álcool/complicações , Estudos de Coortes , Transtornos da Consciência/epidemiologia , Delírio/epidemiologia , Delírio/etiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hungria , Incidência , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatite/epidemiologia , Pancreatite/mortalidade , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Hypertriglyceridemia is the third most common cause of acute pancreatitis (AP). It has been shown that hypertriglyceridemia aggravates the severity and related complications of AP; however, detailed analyses of large cohorts are contradictory. Our aim was to investigate the dose-dependent effect of hypertriglyceridemia on AP. METHODS: AP patients over 18 years old who underwent triglyceride measurement within the initial three days were included into our cohort analysis from a prospective international, multicenter AP registry operated by the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Data on 716 AP cases were analyzed. Six groups were created based on the highest triglyceride level (<1.7 mmol/l, 1.7-2.19 mmol/l, 2.2-5.59 mmol/l, 5.6-11.29 mmol/l, 11.3-22.59 mmol/l, ≥22.6 mmol/l). RESULTS: Hypertriglyceridemia (≥1.7 mmol/l) presented in 30.6% of the patients and was significantly and dose-dependently associated with younger age and male gender. In 7.7% of AP cases, hypertriglyceridemia was considered as a causative etiological factor (≥11.3 mmol/l); however, 43.6% of these cases were associated with other etiologies (alcohol and biliary). Hypertriglyceridemia was significantly and dose-dependently related to obesity and diabetes. The rates of local complications and organ failure and maximum CRP level were significantly and dose-dependently raised by hypertriglyceridemia. Triglyceride above 11.3 mmol/l was linked to a significantly higher incidence of moderately severe AP and longer hospital stay, whereas triglyceride over 22.6 mmol/l was significantly associated with severe AP as well. CONCLUSION: Hypertriglyceridemia dose-dependently aggravates the severity and related complications of AP. Diagnostic workup for hypertriglyceridemia requires better awareness regardless of the etiology of AP.
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Hipertrigliceridemia/complicações , Pancreatite/etiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Internacionalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Acid suppressing drugs (ASD) are generally used in acute pancreatitis (AP); however, large cohorts are not available to understand their efficiency and safety. Therefore, our aims were to evaluate the association between the administration of ASDs, the outcome of AP, the frequency of gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding and GI infection in patients with AP. METHODS: We initiated an international survey and performed retrospective data analysis on AP patients hospitalized between January 2013 and December 2018. RESULTS: Data of 17,422 adult patients with AP were collected from 59 centers of 23 countries. We found that 23.3% of patients received ASDs before and 86.6% during the course of AP. ASDs were prescribed to 57.6% of patients at discharge. ASD administration was associated with more severe AP and higher mortality. GI bleeding was reported in 4.7% of patients, and it was associated with pancreatitis severity, mortality and ASD therapy. Stool culture test was performed in 6.3% of the patients with 28.4% positive results. Clostridium difficile was the cause of GI infection in 60.5% of cases. Among the patients with GI infections, 28.9% received ASDs, whereas 24.1% were without any acid suppression treatment. GI infection was associated with more severe pancreatitis and higher mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Although ASD therapy is widely used, it is unlikely to have beneficial effects either on the outcome of AP or on the prevention of GI bleeding during AP. Therefore, ASD therapy should be substantially decreased in the therapeutic management of AP.
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Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/tratamento farmacológico , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Infecções/complicações , Pancreatite/complicações , Pancreatite/tratamento farmacológico , Inibidores da Bomba de Prótons/efeitos adversos , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Clostridioides difficile , Estudos de Coortes , Enterocolite Pseudomembranosa/complicações , Enterocolite Pseudomembranosa/mortalidade , Fezes/microbiologia , Feminino , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/mortalidade , Hospitalização , Humanos , Infecções/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatite/mortalidade , Inibidores da Bomba de Prótons/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Unwarranted administration of antibiotics in acute pancreatitis presents a global challenge. The clinical reasoning behind the misuse is poorly understood. Our aim was to investigate current clinical practices and develop recommendations that guide clinicians in prescribing antibiotic treatment in acute pancreatitis. METHODS: Four methods were used. 1) Systematic data collection was performed to summarize current evidence; 2) a retrospective questionnaire was developed to understand the current global clinical practice; 3) five years of prospectively collected data were analysed to identify the clinical parameters used by medical teams in the decision making process, and finally; 4) the UpToDate Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system was applied to provide evidence based recommendations for healthcare professionals. RESULTS: The systematic literature search revealed no consensus on the start of AB therapy in patients with no bacterial culture test. Retrospective data collection on 9728 patients from 22 countries indicated a wide range (31-82%) of antibiotic use frequency in AP. Analysis of 56 variables from 962 patients showed that clinicians initiate antibiotic therapy based on increased WBC and/or elevated CRP, lipase and amylase levels. The above mentioned four laboratory parameters showed no association with infection in the early phase of acute pancreatitis. Instead, procalcitonin levels proved to be a better biomarker of early infection. Patients with suspected infection because of fever had no benefit from antibiotic therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The authors formulated four consensus statements to urge reduction of unjustified antibiotic treatment in acute pancreatitis and to use procalcitonin rather than WBC or CRP as biomarkers to guide decision-making.
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Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Gestão de Antimicrobianos , Pancreatite/tratamento farmacológico , Doença Aguda , Infecções Bacterianas/complicações , Infecções Bacterianas/tratamento farmacológico , Biomarcadores , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Consenso , Medicina Baseada em Evidências , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Humanos , Pancreatite/complicações , Pancreatite/microbiologia , Padrões de Prática Médica , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Pancreatic ductal HCO3(-) secretion is critically dependent on the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator chloride channel (CFTR) and the solute-linked carrier 26 member 6 anion transporter (SLC26A6). Deterioration of HCO3(-) secretion is observed in chronic pancreatitis (CP), and CFTR mutations increase CP risk. Therefore, SLC26A6 is a reasonable candidate for a CP susceptibility gene, which has not been investigated in CP patients so far. METHODS: As a first screening cohort, 106 subjects with CP and 99 control subjects with no pancreatic disease were recruited from the Hungarian National Pancreas Registry. In 60 non-alcoholic CP cases the entire SLC26A6 coding region was sequenced. In the Hungarian cohort variants c.616G > A (p.V206M) and c.1191C > A (p.P397=) were further genotyped by restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis. In a German replication cohort all exons were sequenced in 40 non-alcoholic CP cases and variant c.616G > A (p.V206M) was further analyzed by sequencing in 321 CP cases and 171 controls. RESULTS: Sequencing of the entire coding region revealed four common variants: intronic variants c.23 + 78_110del, c.183-4C > A, c.1134 + 32C > A, and missense variant c.616G > A (p.V206M) which were found in linkage disequilibrium indicating a conserved haplotype. The distribution of the haplotype did not show a significant difference between patients and controls in the two cohorts. A synonymous variant c.1191C > A (p.P397=) and two intronic variants c.1248 + 9_20del and c.-10C > T were detected in single cases. CONCLUSION: Our data show that SLC26A6 variants do not alter the risk for the development of CP.
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Predisposição Genética para Doença , Proteínas de Membrana Transportadoras/genética , Pancreatite Crônica/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Marcadores Genéticos , Haplótipos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mutação , Polimorfismo de Fragmento de Restrição , Análise de Sequência de DNA , Transportadores de SulfatoRESUMO
The association between nutrition and intestinal function is based on facts. The main function of the gut is to digest and absorb nutrients in order to maintain life. Consequently, chronic gastrointestinal diseases commonly result in malnutrition and increased morbidity and mortality. Chronic malnutrition impairs digestive and absorptive function. Parenteral and enteral nutritions are effective therapeutic modalities in several diseases. In cases of gastrointestinal malfunctions, nutrition has a direct therapeutic role. The benefit of nutrition therapy is similar to medical treatment in patients with pancreatitis, Crohn disease, hepatic failure, and in those with gastrointestinal fistulas. Nutrition has both supportive and therapeutic roles in the management of chronic gastrointestinal diseases. With the development of modern techniques of nutritional support, the morbidity and mortality associated with chronic gastrointestinal diseases can be reduced.
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Doenças do Sistema Digestório/terapia , Nutrição Enteral/métodos , Nutrição Parenteral/métodos , Doenças do Sistema Digestório/imunologia , Doenças do Esôfago/terapia , Gastroenteropatias/terapia , Trato Gastrointestinal/imunologia , Humanos , Jejuno , Hepatopatias/terapia , Pancreatite/terapia , Gastropatias/terapiaRESUMO
Endoscopic ultrasound is one of those diagnostic methods in gastrointestinal endoscopy which has developed rapidly in the last decade and has became exceedingly available to visualize the walls of the internal organs in details corresponding to histological layers, or analyze the adjacent structures. Fine needles and other endoscopic accessories can be introduced into the neighbouring tissues under the guidance of endoscopic ultrasound, and diagnostic and minimally invasive therapeutic interventions can be performed. The endoscopic ultrasound became more widely available in Hungary in recent years. This review focuses on the indications, benefits and complications of diagnostic and therapeutic endoscopic ultrasound. We recommend this article to gastroenterologists, surgeons, internists, pulmonologists, and to specialists in oncology and radiology. This recommendation was based on the consensus of the Board members of the Endoscopic Ultrasound Section of the Hungarian Gastroenterological Society.
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Doenças do Sistema Digestório/diagnóstico por imagem , Doenças do Sistema Digestório/terapia , Aspiração por Agulha Fina Guiada por Ultrassom Endoscópico , Endoscopia Gastrointestinal , Endossonografia , Competência Clínica , Simulação por Computador , Neoplasias do Sistema Digestório/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias do Sistema Digestório/terapia , Humanos , Hungria , Doenças do Mediastino/diagnóstico por imagem , Doenças do Mediastino/terapiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a proven risk factor for acute pancreatitis (AP). However, NAFLD has recently been redefined as metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). In this post hoc analysis, we quantified the effect of MAFLD on the outcomes of AP. METHODS: We identified our patients from the multicentric, prospective International Acute Pancreatitis Registry of the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Next, we compared AP patients with and without MAFLD and the individual components of MAFLD regarding in-hospital mortality and AP severity based on the revised Atlanta classification. Lastly, we calculated odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: MAFLD had a high prevalence in AP, 39% (801/2053). MAFLD increased the odds of moderate-to-severe AP (OR = 1.43, CI: 1.09-1.89). However, the odds of in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.89, CI: 0.42-1.89) and severe AP (OR = 1.70, CI: 0.97-3.01) were not higher in the MAFLD group. Out of the three diagnostic criteria of MAFLD, the highest odds of severe AP was in the group based on metabolic risk abnormalities (OR = 2.68, CI: 1.39-5.09). In addition, the presence of one, two, and three diagnostic criteria dose-dependently increased the odds of moderate-to-severe AP (OR = 1.23, CI: 0.88-1.70, OR = 1.38, CI: 0.93-2.04, and OR = 3.04, CI: 1.63-5.70, respectively) and severe AP (OR = 1.13, CI: 0.54-2.27, OR = 2.08, CI: 0.97-4.35, and OR = 4.76, CI: 1.50-15.4, respectively). Furthermore, in patients with alcohol abuse and aged ≥60 years, the effect of MAFLD became insignificant. CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD is associated with AP severity, which varies based on the components of its diagnostic criteria. Furthermore, MAFLD shows a dose-dependent effect on the outcomes of AP.
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Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Pancreatite , Humanos , Pancreatite/diagnóstico , Pancreatite/epidemiologia , Pancreatite/etiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/complicações , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/diagnóstico , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Doença Aguda , Estudos Prospectivos , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMO
There are several causes of small bowel contamination. The effects of the long-term proton pump inhibitor treatment on the development of bowel symptoms and/or small intestinal bacterial overgrowth have been highlighted only in the past decade. The main diagnostic method is the hydrogen breath test that gives quantitative results with a simple, non-invasive procedure. There is a limited number of publications in the literature about the effects of proton pump inhibitor drugs on bowel bacterial milieau. Our results based on the investigations of two medical centres in Budapest show consistency with international data: the positive hydrogen breath test was present in 21% of the population using long-term proton pump inhibitors. In uncomplicated cases, symptom-free condition could be reached with probiotics, whereas in long lasting, chronic small intestinal bacterial overgrowth, antibiotic treatment should be considered. Rifaximin, a non-absorbable antibiotic showed high efficacy in the treatment of small intestinal bacterial overgrowth, with fewer side effects compared to systemic antibiotics.
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Infecções Bacterianas/etiologia , Fármacos Gastrointestinais/efeitos adversos , Intestino Delgado/microbiologia , Inibidores da Bomba de Prótons/efeitos adversos , Anti-Infecciosos/uso terapêutico , Infecções Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Infecções Bacterianas/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções Bacterianas/prevenção & controle , Testes Respiratórios , Esquema de Medicação , Fármacos Gastrointestinais/administração & dosagem , Humanos , Probióticos/administração & dosagem , Inibidores da Bomba de Prótons/administração & dosagem , Rifamicinas/uso terapêutico , Rifaximina , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
Laparoscopic surgery gained significant popularity in the last two decades. In our department, laparoscopic gall bladder, hernia and large bowel surgeries are the most frequent ones. Recently we started to do laparoscopic surgery for early gastric cancer, too. Initially, wedge resections, distal gastrectomy and laparoscopically asssisted periventricular lymphadenectomies were carried out. Later on, laparoscopic subtotal gastrectomy was also done. Therefore, we can provide three different ways of surgical treatment for gastric malignancies by now: wedge resection, intramucosal resection as well as subtotal gastrectomy. Four laparoscopic gastrectomies were carried out with D1 or D2 lypmhadenectomy - in case it was needed - in our department by the end of 2010. All patients' gastric cancer was less than 3 cm in size, and it was verified by preoperative histology (adenocarcinoma, T1b/N0/M0 or T2/N0/M0). The cancers were localized in the antrum or distally in the peripyloric region, and were ulcerated frequently. Subtotal gastrectomy with retrocolic gastroentero anastomosis was carried out in every case.Patient's age was not considered in patient selection. Surgical time was between two and four hours. We discuss our experience with laparoscopic gastric surgery and recommend its incorporation into practice.
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Adenocarcinoma/cirurgia , Gastrectomia/métodos , Intestino Delgado/cirurgia , Laparoscopia , Neoplasias Gástricas/cirurgia , Adenocarcinoma/patologia , Idoso , Anastomose Cirúrgica , Feminino , Gastrectomia/instrumentação , Humanos , Excisão de Linfonodo , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Duração da Cirurgia , Neoplasias Gástricas/patologia , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Pain is the most common symptom in acute pancreatitis (AP) and is among the diagnostic criteria. Therefore, we aimed to characterize acute abdominal pain in AP. METHODS: The Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group prospectively collected multicentre clinical data on 1435 adult AP patients between 2012 and 2017. Pain was characterized by its intensity (mild or intense), duration prior to admission (hours), localization (nine regions of the abdomen) and type (sharp, dull or cramping). RESULTS: 97.3% of patients (n = 1394) had pain on admission. Of the initial population with acute abdominal pain, 727 patients answered questions about pain intensity, 1148 about pain type, 1134 about pain localization and 1202 about pain duration. Pain was mostly intense (70%, n = 511/727), characterized by cramping (61%, n = 705/1148), mostly starting less than 24 h prior to admission (56.7%, n = 682/1202). Interestingly, 50.9% of the patients (n = 577/1134) had atypical pain, which means pain other than epigastric or belt-like upper abdominal pain. We observed a higher proportion of peripancreatic fluid collection (19.5% vs. 11.0%; p = 0.009) and oedematous pancreas (8.4% vs. 3.1%; p = 0.016) with intense pain. Sharp pain was associated with AP severity (OR = 2.481 95% CI: 1.550-3.969) and increased mortality (OR = 2.263, 95% CI: 1.199-4.059) compared to other types. Longstanding pain (>72 h) on admission was not associated with outcomes. Pain characteristics showed little association with the patient's baseline characteristics. CONCLUSION: A comprehensive patient interview should include questions about pain characteristics, including pain type. Patients with sharp and intense pain might need special monitoring and tailored pain management. SIGNIFICANCE: Acute abdominal pain is the leading presenting symptom in acute pancreatitis; however, we currently lack specific guidelines for pain assessment and management. In our cohort analysis, intense and sharp pain on admission was associated with higher odds for severe AP and several systemic and local complications. Therefore, a comprehensive patient interview should include questions about pain characteristics and patients with intense and sharp pain might need closer monitoring.
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Pancreatite , Dor Abdominal/diagnóstico , Dor Abdominal/epidemiologia , Dor Abdominal/etiologia , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Pancreatite/complicações , Pancreatite/diagnóstico , Prognóstico , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
Pancreatic necrosis is a consistent prognostic factor in acute pancreatitis (AP). However, the clinical scores currently in use are either too complicated or require data that are unavailable on admission or lack sufficient predictive value. We therefore aimed to develop a tool to aid in necrosis prediction. The XGBoost machine learning algorithm processed data from 2387 patients with AP. The confidence of the model was estimated by a bootstrapping method and interpreted via the 10th and the 90th percentiles of the prediction scores. Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were calculated to quantify the contribution of each variable provided. Finally, the model was implemented as an online application using the Streamlit Python-based framework. The XGBoost classifier provided an AUC value of 0.757. Glucose, C-reactive protein, alkaline phosphatase, gender and total white blood cell count have the most impact on prediction based on the SHAP values. The relationship between the size of the training dataset and model performance shows that prediction performance can be improved. This study combines necrosis prediction and artificial intelligence. The predictive potential of this model is comparable to the current clinical scoring systems and has several advantages over them.
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Inteligência Artificial , Pancreatite Necrosante Aguda , Doença Aguda , Humanos , Necrose , Pancreatite Necrosante Aguda/diagnóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Background: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a life-threatening disease. We aimed to explore the prognostic relevance of renal function based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Methods: A prospective registry of AP patients was established by the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Data of 1,224 consecutive patients were collected between 2012 and 2017. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to their eGFR measured within 24 h of hospitalization: normal renal function: >90 mL/min, mild to moderate renal functional impairment: 30-90 mL/min and severe renal dysfunction: <30 mL/min. Associations of eGFR with outcome (survival, length of hospitalization, AP severity, blood glucose), inflammatory markers (erythrocyte sedimentation rate, white blood cell count), anemia and organ failure (heart, kidney, liver) were analyzed. Results: Death, longer hospitalization and severe AP, but not the cause of AP, were significantly associated with lower eGFR. The inflammatory markers (CRP, WBC count) but not anemia (Hb, Htk) were closely associated with severe renal dysfunction. Renal function was associated with heart and renal failure but not with other complications of AP such as respiratory failure, local pancreatic complications, diabetes or peptic ulcer. eGFR was not associated with liver damage (ALAT, γ-GT) or liver function (serum bilirubin) although biliary complications, alcohol and metabolic syndrome were the most common etiologies of AP. Conclusions: Our study suggests a useful prognostic value of initial eGFR in AP patients. Even mild eGFR reduction predicted mortality, severity of AP and the length of hospitalization. Thus, precise evaluation of renal function should be considered for assessing AP severity and outcome.
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The incidence and medical costs of acute pancreatitis (AP) are on the rise, and severe cases still have a 30% mortality rate. We aimed to evaluate hypoalbuminemia as a risk factor and the prognostic value of human serum albumin in AP. Data from 2461 patients were extracted from the international, prospective, multicentre AP registry operated by the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Data from patients with albumin measurement in the first 48 h (n = 1149) and anytime during hospitalization (n = 1272) were analysed. Multivariate binary logistic regression and Receiver Operator Characteristic curve analysis were used. The prevalence of hypoalbuminemia (< 35 g/L) was 19% on admission and 35.7% during hospitalization. Hypoalbuminemia dose-dependently increased the risk of severity, mortality, local complications and organ failure and is associated with longer hospital stay. The predictive value of hypoalbuminemia on admission was poor for severity and mortality. Severe hypoalbuminemia (< 25 g/L) represented an independent risk factor for severity (OR 48.761; CI 25.276-98.908) and mortality (OR 16.83; CI 8.32-35.13). Albumin loss during AP was strongly associated with severity (p < 0.001) and mortality (p = 0.002). Hypoalbuminemia represents an independent risk factor for severity and mortality in AP, and it shows a dose-dependent relationship with local complications, organ failure and length of stay.
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Hipoalbuminemia , Tempo de Internação , Pancreatite , Gravidade do Paciente , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Hipoalbuminemia/sangue , Hipoalbuminemia/mortalidade , Hipoalbuminemia/terapia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatite/sangue , Pancreatite/mortalidade , Pancreatite/terapia , Prevalência , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is an end-stage disease with no specific therapy; therefore, an early diagnosis is of crucial importance. In this study, data from 1315 and 318 patients were analysed from acute pancreatitis (AP) and CP registries, respectively. The population from the AP registry was divided into AP (n = 983), recurrent AP (RAP, n = 270) and CP (n = 62) groups. The prevalence of CP in combination with AP, RAP2, RAP3, RAP4 and RAP5 + was 0%, 1%, 16%, 50% and 47%, respectively, suggesting that three or more episodes of AP is a strong risk factor for CP. Laboratory, imaging and clinical biomarkers highlighted that patients with RAP3 + do not show a significant difference between RAPs and CP. Data from CP registries showed 98% of patients had at least one AP and the average number of episodes was four. We mimicked the human RAPs in a mouse model and found that three or more episodes of AP cause early chronic-like morphological changes in the pancreas. We concluded that three or more attacks of AP with no morphological changes to the pancreas could be considered as early CP (ECP).The new diagnostic criteria for ECP allow the majority of CP patients to be diagnosed earlier. They can be used in hospitals with no additional costs in healthcare.
Assuntos
Pancreatite Crônica/diagnóstico , Pancreatite/diagnóstico , Sistema de Registros , Animais , Estudos Transversais , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Diagnóstico Precoce , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Camundongos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatite/epidemiologia , Pancreatite Crônica/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Indication of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) is challenging. AIMS: In this retrospective study, we analyzed real-world data to understand the ERCP practice in ABP in Hungarian centers. METHODS: Clinical data on ABP patients (2013-2015) were extracted from our large multicentric database. Outcomes, quality indicators and the role of early timing of ERCP (<24 h from admission) were analyzed. RESULTS: There were 356 patients with ABP. ERCP was performed in 267 (75%). Performance indicators of ERCP proved to be suboptimal with a biliary cannulation rate of 84%. Successful vs unsuccessful cannulation of naïve papilla resulted in lower rates of local [22.9% vs 40.9%, (P = 0.012)] and systemic [4.9% vs 13.6%, (P = 0.042)] complications. Successful vs unsuccessful clearance resulted in lower rates of local complications [22.5% vs 40.8%, (P = 0.008)]. Successful cannulation and drainage correlated with less severe course of ABP [3.6% vs 15.9%, (P = 0.001) and 4.1% vs 12.2%, (P = 0.033)] respectively. A tendency of an increased rate of local complications was observed if ERCP was performed later [<24 h: 21.1% (35/166); between 24-48 h: 23.4% (11/47); >48h: 37.2% (16/43) (P = 0.088)]. CONCLUSION: Optimization of ERCP indication in ABP patients is critical as suboptimal ERCP practices in ABP without definitive stone detection are associated with poorer clinical outcomes.
Assuntos
Doenças Biliares/diagnóstico , Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica/métodos , Pancreatite/diagnóstico , Adulto , Idoso , Doenças Biliares/complicações , Cateterismo/métodos , Feminino , Cálculos Biliares/complicações , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatite/etiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The incidence of acute pancreatitis (AP) and the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) are growing worldwide. Several studies have confirmed that obesity (OB), hyperlipidemia (HL), or diabetes mellitus (DM) can increase severity, mortality, and complications in AP. However, there is no comprehensive information on the independent or joint effect of MetS components on the outcome of AP. Our aims were (1) to understand whether the components of MetS have an independent effect on the outcome of AP and (2) to examine the joint effect of their combinations. METHODS: From 2012 to 2017, 1435 AP cases from 28 centers were included in the prospective AP Registry. Patient groups were formed retrospectively based on the presence of OB, HL, DM, and hypertension (HT). The primary endpoints were mortality, severity, complications of AP, and length of hospital stay. Odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. RESULTS: 1257 patients (55.7 ± 17.0 years) were included in the analysis. The presence of OB was an independent predictive factor for renal failure [OR: 2.98 (CI: 1.33-6.66)] and obese patients spent a longer time in hospital compared to non-obese patients (12.1 vs. 10.4 days, p = 0.008). HT increased the risk of severe AP [OR: 3.41 (CI: 1.39-8.37)], renal failure [OR: 7.46 (CI: 1.61-34.49)], and the length of hospitalization (11.8 vs. 10.5 days, p = 0.020). HL increased the risk of local complications [OR: 1.51 (CI: 1.10-2.07)], renal failure [OR: 6.4 (CI: 1.93-21.17)], and the incidence of newly diagnosed DM [OR: 2.55 (CI: 1.26-5.19)]. No relation was found between the presence of DM and the outcome of AP. 906 cases (mean age ± SD: 56.9 ± 16.7 years) had data on all four components of MetS available. The presence of two, three, or four MetS factors increased the incidence of an unfavorable outcome compared to patients with no MetS factors. CONCLUSION: OB, HT, and HL are independent risk factors for a number of complications. HT is an independent risk factor for severity as well. Components of MetS strongly synergize each other's detrimental effect. It is important to search for and follow up on the components of MetS in AP.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: C-reactive protein level (CRP) and white blood cell count (WBC) have been variably used in clinical trials on acute pancreatitis (AP). We assessed their potential role. METHODS: First, we investigated studies which have used CRP or WBC, to describe their current role in trials on AP. Second, we extracted the data of 1435 episodes of AP from our registry. CRP and WBC on admission, within 24 h from the onset of pain and their highest values were analyzed. Descriptive statistical tools as Kruskal-Wallis, Mann-Whitney U, Levene's F tests, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and AUC (Area Under the Curve) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were performed. RESULTS: Our literature review showed extreme variability of CRP used as an inclusion criterion or as a primary outcome or both in past and current trials on AP. In our cohort, CRP levels on admission poorly predicted mortality and severe cases of AP; AUC: 0.669 (CI:0.569-0.770); AUC:0.681 (CI: 0.601-0.761), respectively. CRP levels measured within 24 h from the onset of pain failed to predict mortality or severity; AUC: 0.741 (CI:0.627-0.854); AUC:0.690 (CI:0.586-0.793), respectively. The highest CRP during hospitalization had equally poor predictive accuracy for mortality and severity AUC:0.656 (CI:0.544-0.768); AUC:0.705 (CI:0.640-0.769) respectively. CRP within 24 h from the onset of pain used as an inclusion criterion markedly increased the combined event rate of mortality and severe AP (13% for CRP > 25 mg/l and 28% for CRP > 200 mg/l). CONCLUSION: CRP within 24 h from the onset of pain as an inclusion criterion elevates event rates and reduces the number of patients required in trials on AP.