Semiparametric pseudo-score and pseudo-likelihood for evaluating correlate of protection in vaccine trials.

In vaccine clinical trials, vaccine efficacy endpoint analysis is usually associated with in high cost or extended study duration, due to the generally low infection rate. Correlate of protection (CoP), which refers to surrogate endpoint, usually immunological response, that can reliably predict the treatment effect, provides a more efficient and less costly approach to evaluate the vaccine. To handle the challenge of the missingness in the unobserved surrogate immune biomarker, the pseudo-score (PS) method, semiparametric method and pseudo-likelihood (PL) method demonstrated their advantages on different aspects. In this article, we propose new methodologies to combine the advantages of PS and PL with semiparametric methods respectively, to achieve higher estimate efficiency, allow continuous baseline predictor variable, and handle multiple surrogate markers. The advantage of our methodologies are demonstrated by a simulation study in different settings and applied to a case study, which eventually can improve the chance of a successful trial.

Three-year Efficacy and Safety of Takeda's Dengue Vaccine Candidate (TAK-003).

BACKGROUND: Takeda's live attenuated tetravalent dengue vaccine candidate (TAK-003) is under evaluation in a long-term clinical trial across 8 dengue-endemic countries. Previously, we have reported its efficacy and safety in both seronegative and seropositive participants and that its performance varies by serotype, with some decline in efficacy from first to second year postvaccination. This exploratory analysis provides an update with cumulative and third-year data. METHODS: Healthy 4-16 year olds (n = 20099) were randomized 2:1 to receive TAK-003 or placebo (0, 3 month schedule). The protocol included baseline serostatus testing of all participants and detection of all symptomatic dengue throughout the trial with a serotype specific reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS: Cumulative efficacy after 3 years was 62.0% (95% confidence interval, 56.6-66.7) against virologically confirmed dengue (VCD) and 83.6% (76.8-88.4) against hospitalized VCD. Efficacy was 54.3% (41.9-64.1) against VCD and 77.1% (58.6-87.3) against hospitalized VCD in baseline seronegatives, and 65.0% (58.9-70.1) against VCD and 86.0% (78.4-91.0) against hospitalized VCD in baseline seropositives. Efficacy against VCD during the third year declined to 44.7% (32.5-54.7), whereas efficacy against hospitalized VCD was sustained at 70.8% (49.6-83.0). Rates of serious adverse events were 2.9% in TAK-003 group and 3.5% in placebo group during the ongoing long-term follow-up (ie, second half of the 3 years following vaccination), but none were related. No important safety risks were identified. CONCLUSIONS: TAK-003 was efficacious against symptomatic dengue over 3 years. Efficacy declined over time but remained robust against hospitalized dengue. A booster dose evaluation is planned.

Saxagliptin and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: The cardiovascular safety and efficacy of many current antihyperglycemic agents, including saxagliptin, a dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitor, are unclear. METHODS: We randomly assigned 16,492 patients with type 2 diabetes who had a history of, or were at risk for, cardiovascular events to receive saxagliptin or placebo and followed them for a median of 2.1 years. Physicians were permitted to adjust other medications, including antihyperglycemic agents. The primary end point was a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or ischemic stroke. RESULTS: A primary end-point event occurred in 613 patients in the saxagliptin group and in 609 patients in the placebo group (7.3% and 7.2%, respectively, according to 2-year Kaplan-Meier estimates; hazard ratio with saxagliptin, 1.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89 to 1.12; P=0.99 for superiority; P<0.001 for noninferiority); the results were similar in the "on-treatment" analysis (hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.91 to 1.17). The major secondary end point of a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina, coronary revascularization, or heart failure occurred in 1059 patients in the saxagliptin group and in 1034 patients in the placebo group (12.8% and 12.4%, respectively, according to 2-year Kaplan-Meier estimates; hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.11; P=0.66). More patients in the saxagliptin group than in the placebo group were hospitalized for heart failure (3.5% vs. 2.8%; hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.51; P=0.007). Rates of adjudicated cases of acute and chronic pancreatitis were similar in the two groups (acute pancreatitis, 0.3% in the saxagliptin group and 0.2% in the placebo group; chronic pancreatitis, <0.1% and 0.1% in the two groups, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: DPP-4 inhibition with saxagliptin did not increase or decrease the rate of ischemic events, though the rate of hospitalization for heart failure was increased. Although saxagliptin improves glycemic control, other approaches are necessary to reduce cardiovascular risk in patients with diabetes. (Funded by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb; SAVOR-TIMI 53 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01107886.).

Comparison of the efficacy and safety of new oral anticoagulants with warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation: a meta-analysis of randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: Four new oral anticoagulants compare favourably with warfarin for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation; however, the balance between efficacy and safety in subgroups needs better definition. We aimed to assess the relative benefit of new oral anticoagulants in key subgroups, and the effects on important secondary outcomes. METHODS: We searched Medline from Jan 1, 2009, to Nov 19, 2013, limiting searches to phase 3, randomised trials of patients with atrial fibrillation who were randomised to receive new oral anticoagulants or warfarin, and trials in which both efficacy and safety outcomes were reported. We did a prespecified meta-analysis of all 71,683 participants included in the RE-LY, ROCKET AF, ARISTOTLE, and ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trials. The main outcomes were stroke and systemic embolic events, ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke, all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, major bleeding, intracranial haemorrhage, and gastrointestinal bleeding. We calculated relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs for each outcome. We did subgroup analyses to assess whether differences in patient and trial characteristics affected outcomes. We used a random-effects model to compare pooled outcomes and tested for heterogeneity. FINDINGS: 42,411 participants received a new oral anticoagulant and 29,272 participants received warfarin. New oral anticoagulants significantly reduced stroke or systemic embolic events by 19% compared with warfarin (RR 0·81, 95% CI 0·73-0·91; p<0·0001), mainly driven by a reduction in haemorrhagic stroke (0·49, 0·38-0·64; p<0·0001). New oral anticoagulants also significantly reduced all-cause mortality (0·90, 0·85-0·95; p=0·0003) and intracranial haemorrhage (0·48, 0·39-0·59; p<0·0001), but increased gastrointestinal bleeding (1·25, 1·01-1·55; p=0·04). We noted no heterogeneity for stroke or systemic embolic events in important subgroups, but there was a greater relative reduction in major bleeding with new oral anticoagulants when the centre-based time in therapeutic range was less than 66% than when it was 66% or more (0·69, 0·59-0·81 vs 0·93, 0·76-1·13; p for interaction 0·022). Low-dose new oral anticoagulant regimens showed similar overall reductions in stroke or systemic embolic events to warfarin (1·03, 0·84-1·27; p=0·74), and a more favourable bleeding profile (0·65, 0·43-1·00; p=0·05), but significantly more ischaemic strokes (1·28, 1·02-1·60; p=0·045). INTERPRETATION: This meta-analysis is the first to include data for all four new oral anticoagulants studied in the pivotal phase 3 clinical trials for stroke prevention or systemic embolic events in patients with atrial fibrillation. New oral anticoagulants had a favourable risk-benefit profile, with significant reductions in stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and mortality, and with similar major bleeding as for warfarin, but increased gastrointestinal bleeding. The relative efficacy and safety of new oral anticoagulants was consistent across a wide range of patients. Our findings offer clinicians a more comprehensive picture of the new oral anticoagulants as a therapeutic option to reduce the risk of stroke in this patient population. FUNDING: None.

Left atrial structure and function in atrial fibrillation: ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48.

AIMS: The complex relationship between left atrial (LA) structure and function, electrical burden of atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke risk is not well understood. We aimed to describe LA structure and function in AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Left atrial structure and function was assessed in 971 subjects enrolled in the echocardiographic substudy of ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48. Left atrial size, emptying fraction (LAEF), and contractile function were compared across AF types (paroxysmal, persistent, or permanent) and CHADS2 scores as an estimate of stroke risk. The majority of AF patients (55%) had both LA enlargement and reduced LAEF, with an inverse relationship between LA size and LAEF (R = -0.57, P < 0.001). With an increasing electrical burden of AF and higher CHADS2 scores, LA size increased and LAEF declined. Moreover, 19% of AF subjects had impaired LAEF despite normal LA size, and LA contractile dysfunction was present even among the subset of AF subjects in sinus rhythm at the time of echocardiography. CONCLUSIONS: In a contemporary AF population, LA structure and function were increasingly abnormal with a greater electrical burden of AF and higher stroke risk estimated by the CHADS2 score. Moreover, LA dysfunction was present despite normal LA size and sinus rhythm, suggesting that the assessment of LA function may add important incremental information in the evaluation of AF patients. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov; ID = NCT00781391.

AMG145, a monoclonal antibody against proprotein convertase subtilisin kexin type 9, significantly reduces lipoprotein(a) in hypercholesterolemic patients receiving statin therapy: an analysis from the LDL-C Assessment with Proprotein Convertase Subtilisin Kexin Type 9 Monoclonal Antibody Inhibition Combined with Statin Therapy (LAPLACE)-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) 57 trial.

BACKGROUND: Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is an emerging risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Currently, there are few available therapies to lower Lp(a). We sought to evaluate the impact of AMG145, a monoclonal antibody against proprotein convertase subtilisin kexin type 9 (PCSK9), on Lp(a). METHODS AND RESULTS: As part of the LDL-C Assessment With PCSK9 Monoclonal Antibody Inhibition Combined With Statin Therapy (LAPLACE)-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) 57 trial, 631 patients with hypercholesterolemia receiving statin therapy were randomized to receive AMG145 at 1 of 3 different doses every 2 weeks or 1 of 3 different doses every 4 weeks versus placebo. Lp(a) and other lipid parameters were measured at baseline and at week 12. Compared with placebo, AMG145 70 mg, 105 mg, and 140 mg every 2 weeks reduced Lp(a) at 12 weeks by 18%, 32%, and 32%, respectively (P<0.001 for each dose versus placebo). Likewise, AMG145 280 mg, 350 mg, and 420 mg every 4 weeks reduced Lp(a) by 18%, 23%, and 23%, respectively (P<0.001 for each dose versus placebo). The reduction in Lp(a) correlated with the reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (ρ=0.33, P<0.001). The effect of AMG145 on Lp(a) was consistent regardless of age, sex, race, history of diabetes mellitus, and background statin regimen. Patients with higher levels of Lp(a) at baseline had larger absolute reductions but comparatively smaller percent reductions in Lp(a) with AMG145 compared with those with lower baseline Lp(a) values. CONCLUSIONS: AMG145 significantly reduces Lp(a), by up to 32%, among subjects with hypercholesterolemia receiving statin therapy, offering an additional, complementary benefit beyond robust low-density lipoprotein cholesterol reduction with regard to a patient's atherogenic lipid profile.

Autoantibodies to phosphorylcholine and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndromes in the ATLAS ACS-TIMI 46 trial.

Atherogenesis is a complex inflammatory process stemming from the accumulation and oxidation of low density lipoproteins (LDL). IgM autoantibodies against phosphorylcholine (anti-PC) bind to the PC epitope on oxidized LDL (OxLDL), inhibiting the uptake of oxLDL by macrophages in atherosclerotic lesions. Anti-PC autoantibodies have been reported to be protective against atherothrombosis. We investigated the relationship of anti-PC concentrations with cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). We measured anti-PC levels within 7 days of an ACS in 3,356 patients enrolled in the ATLAS ACS-TIMI 46 trial, a randomized dose ranging study of rivaroxaban versus placebo. The primary endpoint was death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, or severe recurrent ischemia (SRI) requiring revascularization during 6 months. The median baseline anti-PC concentration was 40.9 U/mL (25th, 75th percentiles: 25.4, 67.4). There was no significant association between anti-PC levels and the primary endpoint (Q1: 6.8 %, Q2: 4.2 %, Q3: 7.8 %, Q4: 5.4 %, p-trend = 0.87), all-cause mortality (Q1: 1.4 %, Q2: 0.7 %, Q3: 2.4 %, Q4: 0.9 %, p-trend = 0. 96), or any of the other individual endpoint components (MI: p-trend = 0.87, Stroke: p-trend = 0.43, SRI: p-trend = 0.66). Using the previously reported anti-PC cutpoint of 17 U/mL did not reveal a significant relationship between anti-PC concentrations and cardiovascular outcomes (<17 U/mL: 8.1 % vs. ≥17 U/mL: 5.8 %; p = 0.11). Similarly, evaluation of anti-PC as a continuous variable did not reveal a significant association (p = 0.30). In this study of patients early after ACS undergoing intensive secondary preventive therapy, IgM anti-PC titers did not exhibit a significant relationship with cardiovascular outcomes.

Diagnostic accuracy of the bronchodilator response in children.

BACKGROUND: The bronchodilator response (BDR) reflects the reversibility of airflow obstruction and is recommended as an adjunctive test to diagnose asthma. The validity of the commonly used definition of BDR, a 12% or greater change in FEV1 from baseline, has been questioned in childhood. OBJECTIVES: We sought to examine the diagnostic accuracy of the BDR test by using 3 large pediatric cohorts. METHODS: Cases include 1041 children with mild-to-moderate asthma from the Childhood Asthma Management Program. Control subjects (nonasthmatic and nonwheezing) were chosen from Project Viva and Home Allergens, 2 population-based pediatric cohorts. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed, and areas under the curve were calculated for different BDR cutoffs. RESULTS: A total of 1041 cases (59.7% male; mean age, 8.9 ± 2.1 years) and 250 control subjects (46.8% male; mean age, 8.7 ± 1.7 years) were analyzed, with mean BDRs of 10.7% ± 10.2% and 2.7% ± 8.4%, respectively. The BDR test differentiated asthmatic patients from nonasthmatic patients with a moderate accuracy (area under the curve, 73.3%). Despite good specificity, a cutoff of 12% was associated with poor sensitivity (35.6%). A cutoff of less than 8% performed significantly better than a cutoff of 12% (P = .03, 8% vs 12%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight the poor sensitivity associated with the commonly used 12% cutoff for BDR. Although our data show that a threshold of less than 8% performs better than 12%, given the variability of this test in children, we conclude that it might be not be appropriate to choose a specific BDR cutoff as a criterion for the diagnosis of asthma.

Association of low to moderate levels of arsenic exposure with risk of type 2 diabetes in Bangladesh.

Chronic exposure to high levels of arsenic in drinking water is associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but the association between lower levels of arsenic and T2DM is more controversial. Therefore, this study evaluated the association between low to moderate arsenic exposure and T2DM. In 2009-2011, we conducted a study of 957 Bangladeshi adults who participated in a case-control study of skin lesions in 2001-2003. The odds ratio of T2DM was evaluated in relationship to arsenic exposure measured in drinking water and in subjects' toenails (in 2001-2003) prior to the diagnosis of T2DM (in 2009-2011). Compared with those exposed to the lowest quartile of arsenic in water (≤ 1.7 µg/L), the adjusted odds ratio for T2DM was 1.92 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.82, 4.35) for those in the second quartile, 3.07 (95% CI: 1.38, 6.85) for those in the third quartile, and 4.51 (95% CI: 2.01, 10.09) for those in the fourth quartile. The relative excess risk of T2DM was 4.78 for individuals who smoked and 8.93 for people who had a body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m)(2)) greater than 25. These findings suggest that exposure to modest levels of arsenic in drinking water was associated with increased risk of T2DM in Bangladesh. Being overweight or smoking was also associated with increased risk of T2DM.

Efficacy, safety, and tolerability of a monoclonal antibody to proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 in combination with a statin in patients with hypercholesterolaemia (LAPLACE-TIMI 57): a randomised, placebo-controlled, dose-ranging, phase 2 study.

BACKGROUND: LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) is a well established risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) binds LDL receptors, targeting them for degradation. We therefore assessed the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of AMG 145, a human monoclonal IgG2 antibody against PCSK9, in stable patients with hypercholesterolemia on a statin. METHODS: In a phase 2, dose-ranging study done in 78 centres in the USA, Canada, Denmark, Hungary, and Czech Republic, patients (aged 18-80 years) with LDL-C greater than 2·2 mmol/L on a stable dose of statin (with or without ezetimibe), were randomly assigned equally, through an interactive voice response system, to subcutaneous injections of AMG 145 70 mg, 105 mg, or 140 mg, or matching placebo every 2 weeks; or subcutaneous injections of AMG 145 280 mg, 350 mg, or 420 mg, or matching placebo every 4 weeks. Everyone was masked to treatment assignment within the every 2 weeks and every 4 weeks schedules. The primary endpoint was the percentage change in LDL-C concentration from baseline after 12 weeks. Analysis was by modified intention to treat. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01380730. FINDINGS: 631 patients with hypercholesterolaemia were randomly assigned to AMG 145 70 mg (n=79), 105 mg (n=79), or 140 mg (n=78), or matching placebo (n=78) every 2 weeks; or AMG 145 280 mg (n=79), 350 mg (n=79), and 420 mg (n=80), and matching placebo (n=79) every 4 weeks. At the end of the dosing interval at week 12, the mean LDL-C concentrations were reduced generally dose dependently by AMG 145 every 2 weeks (ranging from 41·8% to 66·1%; p<0·0001 for each dose vs placebo) and AMG 145 every 4 weeks (ranging from 41·8% to 50·3%; p<0·0001). No treatment-related serious adverse events occurred. The frequencies of treatment-related adverse events were similar in the AMG 145 and placebo groups (39 [8%] of 474 vs 11 [7%] of 155); none of these events were severe or life-threatening. INTERPRETATION: The results suggest that PCSK9 inhibition could be a new model in lipid management. Inhibition of PCSK9 warrants assessment in phase 3 clinical trials. FUNDING: Amgen.

Inhibition of the renin-angiotensin system reduces the rise in serum aldosterone in acute coronary syndrome patients with preserved left ventricular function: observations from the AVANT GARDE-TIMI 43 trial.

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) activates neurohormonal pathways, including elevations in circulating aldosterone, with deleterious cardiovascular effects. We aimed to determine if early, more complete renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibition (RAASI) in post-ACS patients without ventricular dysfunction or heart failure would result in a graded reduction in aldosterone concentrations. METHODS: We performed serial measurement of serum aldosterone within the Aliskiren and Valsartan to Reduce NT-proBNP via Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone-System Blockade (AVANT GARDE)-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) 43 trial, a randomized double-blind, placebo controlled trial of RAASI by valsartan, aliskiren, or both in post-ACS patients with preserved ventricular function but increased natriuretic peptides. Aldosterone was measured at randomization and week 8. RESULTS: Median aldosterone concentrations were comparable across treatment arms at baseline (9.26 ng/dL; interquartile range 7.12-12.76; n = 1073). In the placebo group, there was a significant increase in aldosterone over 8 weeks (19.7% rise, 2.20 (0.36) ng/dL, P < 0.0001) that was significantly reduced across active RAASI therapies (1.36 (0.39) ng/dL with aliskiren; 1.02 (0.37) ng/dL with valsartan; and 0.85 (0.37) ng/dL with combination therapy, P trend = 0.008). Compared to placebo, RAASI monotherapy resulted in a pooled relative absolute aldosterone change of -1.01 (0.45) ng/dL (P = 0.026 vs placebo), and combination therapy resulted in a relative absolute aldosterone change of -1.35 (0.52) ng/dL (P = 0.01 vs placebo). No significant difference in aldosterone concentrations was achieved between dual vs single RAASI (P = 0.47). CONCLUSIONS: In ACS patients with preserved ventricular function but increased natriuretic peptides, serum aldosterone rises over time and is blunted by more complete RAASI. The clinical implications and role for RAASI in this population warrant further investigation.

Association between influenza vaccination and cardiovascular outcomes in high-risk patients: a meta-analysis.

IMPORTANCE: Among nontraditional cardiovascular risk factors, recent influenzalike infection is associated with fatal and nonfatal atherothrombotic events. OBJECTIVES: To determine if influenza vaccination is associated with prevention of cardiovascular events. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: A systematic review and meta-analysis of MEDLINE (1946-August 2013), EMBASE (1947-August 2013), and the Cochrane Library Central Register of Controlled Trials (inception-August 2013) for randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing influenza vaccine vs placebo or control in patients at high risk of cardiovascular disease, reporting cardiovascular outcomes either as efficacy or safety events. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two investigators extracted data independently on trial design, baseline characteristics, outcomes, and safety events from published manuscripts and unpublished supplemental data. High-quality studies were considered those that described an appropriate method of randomization, allocation concealment, blinding, and completeness of follow-up. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Random-effects Mantel-Haenszel risk ratios (RRs) and 95% CIs were derived for composite cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, and individual cardiovascular events. Analyses were stratified by subgroups of patients with and without a history of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) within 1 year of randomization. RESULTS: Five published and 1 unpublished randomized clinical trials of 6735 patients (mean age, 67 years; 51.3% women; 36.2% with a cardiac history; mean follow-up time, 7.9 months) were included. Influenza vaccine was associated with a lower risk of composite cardiovascular events (2.9% vs 4.7%; RR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.48-0.86], P = .003) in published trials. A treatment interaction was detected between patients with (RR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.32-0.63]) and without (RR, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.55-1.61]) recent ACS (P for interaction = .02). Results were similar with the addition of unpublished data. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In a meta-analysis of RCTs, the use of influenza vaccine was associated with a lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events. The greatest treatment effect was seen among the highest-risk patients with more active coronary disease. A large, adequately powered, multicenter trial is warranted to address these findings and assess individual cardiovascular end points.

Anticoagulation with otamixaban and ischemic events in non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes: the TAO randomized clinical trial.

IMPORTANCE: The optimal anticoagulant for patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS) managed with an invasive strategy remains controversial. OBJECTIVE: To compare the clinical efficacy and safety of otamixaban, a novel intravenous direct factor Xa inhibitor, with that of unfractionated heparin plus downstream eptifibatide in patients with NSTE-ACS undergoing a planned early invasive strategy. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Randomized, double-blind, active-controlled superiority trial that enrolled 13,229 patients with NSTE-ACS and a planned early invasive strategy, at 568 active sites in 55 countries and conducted between April 2010 and February 2013. A planned interim analysis was conducted for otamixaban dose selection. INTERVENTIONS: Eligible participants were randomized to otamixaban (bolus and infusion, at 1 of 2 doses) or unfractionated heparin plus, at the time of percutaneous coronary intervention, eptifibatide. The otamixaban dose selected at interim analysis was an intravenous bolus of 0.080 mg/kg followed by an infusion of 0.140 mg/kg per hour. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary efficacy outcome was the composite of all-cause death or new myocardial infarction through day 7. RESULTS: Rates of the primary efficacy outcome were 5.5% (279 of 5105 patients) randomized to receive otamixaban and 5.7% (310 of 5466 patients) randomized to receive unfractionated heparin plus eptifibatide (adjusted relative risk, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.85-1.16]; P = .93). There were no differences for the secondary end points, including procedural thrombotic complications. The primary safety outcome of Thrombosis in Myocardial Infarction major or minor bleeding through day 7 was increased by otamixaban (3.1% vs 1.5%; relative risk, 2.13 [95% CI, 1.63-2.78]; P < .001). Results were consistent across prespecified subgroups. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Otamixaban did not reduce the rate of ischemic events relative to unfractionated heparin plus eptifibatide but did increase bleeding. These findings do not support the use of otamixaban for patients with NSTE-ACS undergoing planned early percutaneous coronary intervention. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01076764.

Consistency of immunogenicity in three consecutive lots of a tetravalent dengue vaccine candidate (TAK-003): A randomized placebo-controlled trial in US adults.

BACKGROUND: We conducted a trial to demonstrate immunogenic equivalence of three consecutive manufacturing lots of Takeda's tetravalent dengue vaccine candidate, TAK-003, and further assessed its safety and reactogenicity. METHODS: Healthy US adults (n = 923) randomized 2:2:2:1 to four groups received two doses of one of three TAK-003 lots or placebo on Days 0 and 90, with follow-up to Day 270. Primary endpoint evaluated lot-to-lot equivalence of geometric mean neutralizing titers at Day 120 against each of 4 dengue serotypes in baseline seronegative participants. Solicited local and systemic, and unsolicited adverse events (AEs) were assessed for 7, 14 and 28 days after each dose, respectively. Serious AEs (SAE) were monitored throughout the study. RESULTS: Eight of 12 prespecified equivalence comparisons were met in the per-protocol set but failed marginally in the other 4 mainly due to loss of statistical power following higher than anticipated baseline seropositivity and drop-out rates. All three TAK-003 lots elicited high rates of tetravalent dengue seropositivity (96.7 %, 93.0 % and 97.5 % at Day 120; 91.0 %, 80.5 % and 85.7 % at Day 270) and had similar reactogenicity profiles with no vaccine-related SAEs. CONCLUSIONS: The three lots of TAK-003 were immunogenic for all four dengue serotypes and well tolerated in healthy adults. Despite not meeting all equivalence comparisons, no major differences were observed between lots and the data support acceptable consistency of the manufacturing process. Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03423173.

Allergens in urban schools and homes of children with asthma.

BACKGROUND: Most studies of indoor allergens have focused on the home environment. However, schools may be an important site of allergen exposure for children with asthma. We compared school allergen exposure to home exposure in a cohort of children with asthma. Correlations between settled dust and airborne allergen levels in classrooms were examined. METHODS: Settled dust and airborne samples from 12 inner-city schools were analyzed for indoor allergens using multiplex array technology (MARIA). School samples were linked to students with asthma enrolled in the School Inner-City Asthma Study (SICAS). Settled dust samples from students' bedrooms were analyzed similarly. RESULTS: From schools, 229 settled dust and 197 airborne samples were obtained. From homes, 118 settled dust samples were obtained. Linear mixed regression models of log-transformed variables showed significantly higher settled dust levels of mouse, cat and dog allergens in schools than homes (545% higher for Mus m 1, estimated absolute difference 0.55 µg/g, p < 0.0001; 198% higher for Fel d 1, estimated absolute difference 0.13 µg/g, p = 0.0033; and 144% higher for Can f 1, estimated absolute difference 0.05 µg/g, p = 0.0008). Airborne and settled dust Mus m 1 levels in classrooms were moderately correlated (r = 0.48; p < 0.0001). There were undetectable to very low levels of cockroach and dust mite allergens in both homes and schools. CONCLUSION: Mouse allergen levels in schools were substantial. In general, cat and dog allergen levels were low, but detectable, and were higher in schools. Aerosolization of mouse allergen in classrooms may be a significant exposure for students. Further studies are needed to evaluate the effect of indoor allergen exposure in schools on asthma morbidity in students with asthma.

GSTO and AS3MT genetic polymorphisms and differences in urinary arsenic concentrations among residents in Bangladesh.

We determined whether single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the glutathione S-transferase omega (GSTO) and arsenic(III)methyltransferase (AS3MT) genes were associated with concentrations of urinary arsenic metabolites among 900 individuals without skin lesions in Bangladesh. Four SNPs were assessed in these genes. A pathway analysis evaluated the association between urinary arsenic metabolites and SNPs. GSTO1 rs4925 homozygous wild type was significantly associated with higher monomethylarsonic acid (MMA) and dimethylarsinic acid urinary concentrations, whereas wild-type AS3MT rs11191439 had significantly lower levels of As(III) and MMA. Genetic polymorphisms GSTO and As3MT modify arsenic metabolism as evidenced by altered urinary arsenic excretion.

Endotoxin exposure in inner-city schools and homes of children with asthma.

BACKGROUND: Endotoxins are stimulators of the immune system and, despite their potential to protect against allergy, have been associated with early wheezing and asthma morbidity. OBJECTIVE: To compare inner-city school endotoxin exposure with home endotoxin exposure in children with asthma. METHODS: Students with asthma were recruited from 12 urban elementary schools. Settled and airborne dust samples, linked to enrolled students, were collected from school classrooms, gymnasiums, and cafeterias twice during the academic year. For comparison, settled dust was collected once from the bedrooms of students with asthma. RESULTS: Two hundred twenty-nine school settled dust samples and 118 bedroom settled dust samples were collected and analyzed for endotoxin. The median endotoxin concentration for school samples was 13.4 EU/mg (range, 0.7-360.7 EU/mg) and for home samples was 7.0 EU/mg (range = LLOD-843.0 EU/mg). The median concentration within each individual school varied from 6.6 EU/mg to 24.0 EU/mg. One hundred four students with asthma had matched classroom and bedroom endotoxin exposure measurements performed in the same season and demonstrated significantly higher concentrations of endotoxin in the students' classrooms (mean log value, 1.13 vs 0.99, P = .04). The median of the classrooms was 12.5 EU/mg compared with their bedrooms, with a median of 7.0 EU/mg. Within the school environment, no significant difference was seen between the fall and spring samples (mean log value 1.14 vs 1.09; P = .35). CONCLUSION: Inner-city children with asthma were exposed to higher concentrations of endotoxin in their classrooms as compared with their bedrooms. Further studies are needed to evaluate school endotoxin exposure as a factor in asthma morbidity.

Predicting food challenge outcomes for baked milk: role of specific IgE and skin prick testing.

BACKGROUND: Cow's milk allergy is the most common food allergy in childhood. Many children with IgE-mediated cow's milk allergy may tolerate baked milk products, but few data exist on predictors of outcomes of baked milk challenges. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relation of milk protein allergen specific IgE (sIgE) levels and skin prick test (SPT) wheal size with baked milk challenge outcomes. METHODS: A retrospective medical record review was conducted of 35 baked milk challenges. SPT results, sIgE levels, demographic characteristics, and food challenge results were analyzed. RESULTS: Thirty-five children underwent open challenges to baked milk and 29 (83%) passed. Of those who failed, 3 (50%) passed the initial clinic challenge but developed symptoms to ongoing exposure at home, days to months later. One child who ultimately failed at home required epinephrine. Compared with those who passed, children who failed were younger (median age, 8.9 and 3.7 years, respectively; P = .02). Children with a milk SPT wheal less than 12 mm were more than 90% likely to pass a baked milk challenge, and no child with a milk SPT wheal less than 7 mm failed a baked milk challenge. We were also able to establish more than 90% predictive values for passing baked milk challenges with a casein SPT wheal of 9 mm, a milk sIgE level of 1.0 kU/L, and a casein sIgE level of 0.9 kU/L. CONCLUSION: Most children allergic to cow's milk tolerated baked milk. Milk protein SPT wheal may be more reliable than sIgE level in predicting outcomes of baked milk challenges. It is important to be aware of the possibility of late reactions to ongoing baked milk exposure.

The utility of forced expiratory flow between 25% and 75% of vital capacity in predicting childhood asthma morbidity and severity.

OBJECTIVES: The forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV(1)) felt to be an objective measure of airway obstruction is often normal in asthmatic children. The forced expiratory flow between 25% and 75% of vital capacity (FEF(25-75)) reflects small airway patency and has been found to be reduced in children with asthma. The aim of this study was to determine whether FEF(25-75) is associated with increased childhood asthma severity and morbidity in the setting of a normal FEV(1), and to determine whether bronchodilator responsiveness (BDR) as defined by FEF(25-75) identifies more childhood asthmatics than does BDR defined by FEV(1). METHODS: The Boston Children's Hospital Pulmonary Function Test database was queried and the most recent spirometry result was retrieved for 744 children diagnosed with asthma between 10 and 18 years of age between October 2000 and October 2010. Electronic medical records in the 1 year prior and the 1 year following the date of spirometry were examined for asthma severity (mild, moderate, or severe) and morbidity outcomes for the three age, race, and gender-matched subgroups: Group A (n = 35) had a normal FEV(1), FEV(1)/forced vital capacity (FVC), and FEF(25-75); Group B (n = 36) had solely a diminished FEV(1)/FVC; and Group C (n = 37) had a normal FEV(1), low FEV(1)/FVC, and low FEF(25-75). Morbidity outcomes analyzed included the presence of hospitalization, emergency department visit, intensive care unit admission, asthma exacerbation, and systemic steroid use. RESULTS: Subjects with a low FEF(25-75) (Group C) had nearly 3 times the odds ratio (OR) (OR = 2.8, p < .01) of systemic corticosteroid use and 6 times the OR of asthma exacerbations (OR = 6.3, p > .01) compared with those who had normal spirometry (Group A). Using FEF(25-75) to define BDR identified 53% more subjects with asthma than did using a definition based on FEV(1). CONCLUSIONS: A low FEF(25-75) in the setting of a normal FEV(1) is associated with increased asthma severity, systemic steroid use, and asthma exacerbations in children. In addition, using the percent change in FEF(25-75) from baseline may be helpful in identifying BDR in asthmatic children with a normal FEV(1).

Role of specific IgE and skin-prick testing in predicting food challenge results to baked egg.

Previous studies suggest that children with egg allergy may be able to tolerate baked egg. Reliable predictors of a successful baked egg challenge are not well established. We examined egg white-specific IgE levels, skin-prick test (SPT) results, and age as predictors of baked egg oral food challenge (OFC) outcomes. We conducted a retrospective chart review of children, aged 2-18 years, receiving an egg white-specific IgE level, SPT, and OFC to baked egg from 2008 to 2010. Fifty-two oral baked egg challenges were conducted. Of the 52 challenges, 83% (n = 43) passed and 17% (n = 9) failed, including 2 having anaphylaxis. Median SPT wheal size was 12 mm (range, 0-35 mm) for passed challenges and 17 mm (range, 10-30 mm) for failed challenges (p = 0.091). The negative predictive value for passing the OFC was 100% (9 of 9) if SPT wheal size was <10 mm. Median egg white-specific IgE was 2.02 kU/L (range, <0.35-13.00 kU/L) for passed challenges and 1.52 kU/L (range, 0.51-6.10 kU/L) for failed challenges (p = 0.660). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for SPT revealed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.64. ROC curve analysis for egg white-specific IgE revealed an AUC of 0.63. There was no significant difference in age between patients who failed and those who passed (median = 8.8 years versus 7.0 years; p = 0.721). Based on our sample, SPT, egg white-specific IgE and age are not good predictors of passing a baked egg challenge. However, there was a trend for more predictability with SPT wheal size.