Data-driven inverse design of flexible pressure sensors.

Artificial skins or flexible pressure sensors that mimic human cutaneous mechanoreceptors transduce tactile stimuli to quantitative electrical signals. Conventional trial-and-error designs for such devices follow a forward structure-to-property routine, which is usually time-consuming and determines one possible solution in one run. Data-driven inverse design can precisely target desired functions while showing far higher productivity, however, it is still absent for flexible pressure sensors because of the difficulties in acquiring a large amount of data. Here, we report a property-to-structure inverse design of flexible pressure sensors, exhibiting a significantly greater efficiency than the conventional routine. We use a reduced-order model that analytically constrains the design scope and an iterative "jumping-selection" method together with a surrogate model that enhances data screening. As an exemplary scenario, hundreds of solutions that overcome the intrinsic signal saturation have been predicted by the inverse method, validating for a variety of material systems. The success in property design on multiple indicators demonstrates that the proposed inverse design is an efficient and powerful tool to target multifarious applications of flexible pressure sensors, which can potentially advance the fields of intelligent robots, advanced healthcare, and human-machine interfaces.

HLA-C*07:01 and HLA-DQB1*02:01 protect against white matter hyperintensities and deterioration of cognitive function: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Neuroinflammation and aberrant immune regulation are increasingly implicated in the pathophysiology of white matter hyperintensities (WMH), an imaging marker of cerebrovascular pathologies and predictor of cognitive impairment. The role of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genes, critical in immunoregulation and associated with susceptibility to neurodegenerative diseases, in WMH pathophysiology remains unexplored. METHODS: We performed association analyses between classical HLA alleles and WMH volume, derived from MRI scans of 38 302 participants in the UK Biobank. To identify independent functional alleles driving these associations, we conducted conditional forward stepwise regression and lasso regression. We further investigated whether these functional alleles showed consistent associations with WMH across subgroups characterized by varying levels of clinical determinants. Additionally, we validated the clinical relevance of the identified alleles by examining their association with cognitive function (n = 147 549) and dementia (n = 460 029) in a larger cohort. FINDINGS: Four HLA alleles (DQB1*02:01, DRB1*03:01, C*07:01, and B*08:01) showed an association with reduced WMH volume after Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons. Among these alleles, DQB1*02:01 exhibited the most significant association (ß = -0.041, 95 % CI: -0.060 to -0.023, p = 1.04 × 10-5). Forward selection and lasso regression analyses indicated that DQB1*02:01 and C*07:01 primarily drove this association. The protective effect against WMH conferred by DQB1*02:01 and C*07:01 persisted in clinically relevant subgroups, with a stronger effect observed in older participants. Carrying DQB1*02:01 and C*07:01 was associated with higher cognitive function, but no association with dementia was found. INTERPRETATION: Our population-based findings support the involvement of immune-associated mechanisms, particularly both HLA class I and class II genes, in the pathogenesis of WMH and subsequent consequence of cognitive functions.

Association of Regular Opioid Use With Incident Dementia and Neuroimaging Markers of Brain Health in Chronic Pain Patients: Analysis of UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate the association of regular opioid use, compared with non-opioid analgesics, with incident dementia and neuroimaging outcomes among chronic pain patients. DESIGN: The primary design is a prospective cohort study. To triangulate evidence, we also conducted a nested case-control study analyzing opioid prescriptions and a cross-sectional study analyzing neuroimaging outcomes. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Dementia-free UK Biobank participants with chronic pain and regular analgesic use. MEASUREMENTS: Chronic pain status and regular analgesic use were captured using self-reported questionnaires and verbal interviews. Opioid prescription data were obtained from primary care records. Dementia cases were ascertained using primary care, hospital, and death registry records. Propensity score-matched Cox proportional hazards analysis, conditional logistic regression, and linear regression were applied to the data in the prospective cohort, nested case-control, and cross-sectional studies, respectively. RESULTS: Prospective analyses revealed that regular opioid use, compared with non-opioid analgesics, was associated with an increased dementia risk over the 15-year follow-up (Hazard ratio [HR], 1.18 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08-1.30]; Absolute rate difference [ARD], 0.44 [95% CI: 0.19-0.71] per 1000 person-years; Wald χ2 = 3.65; df = 1; p <0.001). The nested case-control study suggested that a higher number of opioid prescriptions was associated with an increased risk of dementia (1 to 5 prescriptions: OR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.07-1.37, Wald χ2 = 3.02, df = 1, p = 0.003; 6 to 20: OR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08-1.50, Wald χ2 = 2.93, df = 1, p = 0.003; more than 20: OR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.23-1.67, Wald χ2 = 4.57, df = 1, p < 0.001). Finally, neuroimaging analyses revealed that regular opioid use was associated with lower total grey matter and hippocampal volumes, and higher white matter hyperintensities volumes. CONCLUSION: Regular opioid use in chronic pain patients was associated with an increased risk of dementia and poorer brain health when compared to non-opioid analgesic use. These findings imply a need for re-evaluation of opioid prescription practices for chronic pain patients and, if further evidence supports causality, provide insights into strategies to mitigate the burden of dementia.

Application of artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and treatment of cardiac arrhythmia.

The rapid growth in computational power, sensor technology, and wearable devices has provided a solid foundation for all aspects of cardiac arrhythmia care. Artificial intelligence (AI) has been instrumental in bringing about significant changes in the prevention, risk assessment, diagnosis, and treatment of arrhythmia. This review examines the current state of AI in the diagnosis and treatment of atrial fibrillation, supraventricular arrhythmia, ventricular arrhythmia, hereditary channelopathies, and cardiac pacing. Furthermore, ChatGPT, which has gained attention recently, is addressed in this paper along with its potential applications in the field of arrhythmia. Additionally, the accuracy of arrhythmia diagnosis can be improved by identifying electrode misplacement or erroneous swapping of electrode position using AI. Remote monitoring has expanded greatly due to the emergence of contactless monitoring technology as wearable devices continue to develop and flourish. Parallel advances in AI computing power, ChatGPT, availability of large data sets, and more have greatly expanded applications in arrhythmia diagnosis, risk assessment, and treatment. More precise algorithms based on big data, personalized risk assessment, telemedicine and mobile health, smart hardware and wearables, and the exploration of rare or complex types of arrhythmia are the future direction.

Trajectory of worst pain within the first two weeks following pelvic and sacral tumor surgery and long-term outcome: a pilot observational prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Pain management after pelvic and sacral tumor surgery is challenging and requires a multidisciplinary and multimodal approach. Few data on postoperative pain trajectories have been reported after pelvic and sacral tumor surgery. The aim of this pilot study was to determine pain trajectories within the first 2 weeks after surgery and explore the impact on long-term pain outcomes. METHODS: Patients scheduled for pelvic and sacral tumor surgery were prospectively recruited. Worst/average pain scores were evaluated postoperatively using questions adapted from the Revised American Pain Society Patient Outcome Questionnaire (APS-POQ-R) until pain resolution was reached or up to 6 months after surgery. Pain trajectories over the first 2 weeks were compared using the k-means clustering algorithm. Whether pain trajectories were associated with long-term pain resolution and opioid cessation was assessed using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 59 patients were included. Two distinct groups of trajectories for worst and average pain scores over the first 2 weeks were generated. The median pain duration in the high vs low pain group was 120.0 (95% CI [25.0, 215.0]) days vs 60.0 (95% CI [38.6, 81.4]) days (log rank p = 0.037). The median time to opioid cessation in the high vs low pain group was 60.0 (95% CI [30.0, 90.0]) days vs 7.0 (95% CI [4.7, 9.3]) days (log rank p < 0.001). After adjusting for patient and surgical factors, the high pain group was independently associated with prolonged opioid cessation (hazard ratio [HR] 2.423, 95% CI [1.254, 4.681], p = 0.008) but not pain resolution (HR 1.557, 95% CI [0.748, 3.243], p = 0.237). CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative pain is a significant problem among patients undergoing pelvic and sacral tumor surgery. High pain trajectories during the first 2 weeks after surgery were associated with delayed opioid cessation. Research is needed to explore interventions targeting pain trajectories and long-term pain outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT03926858 , 25/04/2019).

Adaptive model training strategy for continuous classification of time series.

The classification of time series is essential in many real-world applications like healthcare. The class of a time series is usually labeled at the final time, but more and more time-sensitive applications require classifying time series continuously. For example, the outcome of a critical patient is only determined at the end, but he should be diagnosed at all times for timely treatment. For this demand, we propose a new concept, Continuous Classification of Time Series (CCTS). Different from the existing single-shot classification, the key of CCTS is to model multiple distributions simultaneously due to the dynamic evolution of time series. But the deep learning model will encounter intertwined problems of catastrophic forgetting and over-fitting when learning multi-distribution. In this work, we found that the well-designed distribution division and replay strategies in the model training process can help to solve the problems. We propose a novel Adaptive model training strategy for CCTS (ACCTS). Its adaptability represents two aspects: (1) Adaptive multi-distribution extraction policy. Instead of the fixed rules and the prior knowledge, ACCTS extracts data distributions adaptive to the time series evolution and the model change; (2) Adaptive importance-based replay policy. Instead of reviewing all old distributions, ACCTS only replays important samples adaptive to their contribution to the model. Experiments on four real-world datasets show that our method outperforms all baselines.

Basiliximab for steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease: A real-world analysis.

Steroid-refractory (SR) acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) is one of the leading causes of early mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). We investigated the efficacy, safety, prognostic factors, and optimal therapeutic protocol for SR-aGVHD patients treated with basiliximab in a real-world setting. Nine hundred and forty SR-aGVHD patients were recruited from 36 hospitals in China, and 3683 doses of basiliximab were administered. Basiliximab was used as monotherapy (n = 642) or in combination with other second-line treatments (n = 298). The cumulative incidence of overall response rate (ORR) at day 28 after basiliximab treatment was 79.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 76.5%-82.3%). The probabilities of nonrelapse mortality and overall survival at 3 years after basiliximab treatment were 26.8% (95% CI 24.0%-29.6%) and 64.3% (95% CI 61.2%-67.4%), respectively. A 1:1 propensity score matching was performed to compare the efficacy and safety between the monotherapy and combined therapy groups. Combined therapy did not increase the ORR; conversely, it increased the infection rates compared with monotherapy. The multivariate analysis showed that combined therapy, grade III-IV aGVHD, and high-risk refined Minnesota aGVHD risk score before basiliximab treatment were independently associated with the therapeutic response. Hence, we created a prognostic scoring system that could predict the risk of having a decreased likelihood of response after basiliximab treatment. Machine learning was used to develop a protocol that maximized the efficacy of basiliximab while maintaining acceptable levels of infection risk. Thus, real-world data suggest that basiliximab is safe and effective for treating SR-aGVHD.

Estimating critical values from electrocardiogram using a deep ordinal convolutional neural network.

BACKGROUND: Critical values are commonly used in clinical laboratory tests to define health-related conditions of varying degrees. Knowing the values, people can quickly become aware of health risks, and the health professionals can take immediate actions and save lives. METHODS: In this paper, we propose a method that extends the concept of critical value to one of the most commonly used physiological signals in the clinical environment-Electrocardiogram (ECG). We first construct a mapping from common ECG diagnostic conclusions to critical values. After that, we build a 61-layer deep convolutional neural network named CardioV, which is characterized by an ordinal classifier. RESULTS: We conduct experiments on a large public ECG dataset, and demonstrate that CardioV achieves a mean absolute error of 0.4984 and a ROC-AUC score of 0.8735. In addition, we find that the model performs better for extreme critical values and the younger age group, while gender does not affect the performance. The ablation study confirms that the ordinal classification mechanism suits for estimating the critical values which contain ranking information. Moreover, model interpretation techniques help us discover that CardioV focuses on the characteristic ECG locations during the critical value estimation process. CONCLUSIONS: As an ordinal classifier, CardioV performs well in estimating ECG critical values that can help people quickly identify different heart conditions. We obtain ROC-AUC scores above 0.8 for all four critical value categories, and find that the extreme values (0 (no risk) and 3 (high risk)) have better model performance than the other two (1 (low risk) and 2 (medium risk)). Results also show that gender does not affect the performance, and the older age group has worse performance than the younger age group. In addition, visualization techniques reveal that the model pays more attention to characteristic ECG locations.

CHEER: Rich Model Helps Poor Model via Knowledge Infusion.

There is a growing interest in applying deep learning (DL) to healthcare, driven by the availability of data with multiple feature channels in rich-data environments (e.g., intensive care units). However, in many other practical situations, we can only access data with much fewer feature channels in a poor-data environments (e.g., at home), which often results in predictive models with poor performance. How can we boost the performance of models learned from such poor-data environment by leveraging knowledge extracted from existing models trained using rich data in a related environment? To address this question, we develop a knowledge infusion framework named CHEER that can succinctly summarize such rich model into transferable representations, which can be incorporated into the poor model to improve its performance. The infused model is analyzed theoretically and evaluated empirically on several datasets. Our empirical results showed that CHEER outperformed baselines by 5.60% to 46.80% in terms of the macro-F1 score on multiple physiological datasets.

Predicting COVID-19 disease progression and patient outcomes based on temporal deep learning.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused health concerns worldwide since December 2019. From the beginning of infection, patients will progress through different symptom stages, such as fever, dyspnea or even death. Identifying disease progression and predicting patient outcome at an early stage helps target treatment and resource allocation. However, there is no clear COVID-19 stage definition, and few studies have addressed characterizing COVID-19 progression, making the need for this study evident. METHODS: We proposed a temporal deep learning method, based on a time-aware long short-term memory (T-LSTM) neural network and used an online open dataset, including blood samples of 485 patients from Wuhan, China, to train the model. Our method can grasp the dynamic relations in irregularly sampled time series, which is ignored by existing works. Specifically, our method predicted the outcome of COVID-19 patients by considering both the biomarkers and the irregular time intervals. Then, we used the patient representations, extracted from T-LSTM units, to subtype the patient stages and describe the disease progression of COVID-19. RESULTS: Using our method, the accuracy of the outcome of prediction results was more than 90% at 12 days and 98, 95 and 93% at 3, 6, and 9 days, respectively. Most importantly, we found 4 stages of COVID-19 progression with different patient statuses and mortality risks. We ranked 40 biomarkers related to disease and gave the reference values of them for each stage. Top 5 is Lymph, LDH, hs-CRP, Indirect Bilirubin, Creatinine. Besides, we have found 3 complications - myocardial injury, liver function injury and renal function injury. Predicting which of the 4 stages the patient is currently in can help doctors better assess and cure the patient. CONCLUSIONS: To combat the COVID-19 epidemic, this paper aims to help clinicians better assess and treat infected patients, provide relevant researchers with potential disease progression patterns, and enable more effective use of medical resources. Our method predicted patient outcomes with high accuracy and identified a four-stage disease progression. We hope that the obtained results and patterns will aid in fighting the disease.

Artificial-Intelligence-Enhanced Mobile System for Cardiovascular Health Management.

The number of patients with cardiovascular diseases is rapidly increasing in the world. The workload of existing clinicians is consequently increasing. However, the number of cardiovascular clinicians is declining. In this paper, we aim to design a mobile and automatic system to improve the abilities of patients' cardiovascular health management while also reducing clinicians' workload. Our system includes both hardware and cloud software devices based on recent advances in Internet of Things (IoT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies. A small hardware device was designed to collect high-quality Electrocardiogram (ECG) data from the human body. A novel deep-learning-based cloud service was developed and deployed to achieve automatic and accurate cardiovascular disease detection. Twenty types of diagnostic items including sinus rhythm, tachyarrhythmia, and bradyarrhythmia are supported. Experimental results show the effectiveness of our system. Our hardware device can guarantee high-quality ECG data by removing high-/low-frequency distortion and reverse lead detection with 0.9011 Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC-AUC) score. Our deep-learning-based cloud service supports 20 types of diagnostic items, 17 of them have more than 0.98 ROC-AUC score. For a real world application, the system has been used by around 20,000 users in twenty provinces throughout China. As a consequence, using this service, we could achieve both active and passive health management through a lightweight mobile application on the WeChat Mini Program platform. We believe that it can have a broader impact on cardiovascular health management in the world.

Life negative events and depressive symptoms: the China longitudinal ageing social survey.

BACKGROUND: Although some studies have reported the association between life negative events and depressive disorders, very limited studies have examined the association between life negative events exposure and depressive symptoms risk among Chinese older adults. METHODS: Data were obtained from the China Longitudinal Ageing Social Survey (CLASS), which was a stratified, multi-stage, probabilistic sampling survey, conducted in 2014. General linear regression and logistic regression were used to examine the association between life negative events exposure and depressive symptoms among Chinese older adults. RESULTS: Life negative events showed statistical dose-response association with depressive symptoms risk after adjustment for the confounding factors (Ptrend < 0.001). Under consideration of life negative events exposure, participants who lived in rural areas, without a spouse or live alone were vulnerable to depressive symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Life negative events played a risk role of depressive symptoms among Chinese older adults, especially among those in rural areas, females or without a spouse. Our current study is valuable for the development of special prevention depressive symptoms programs among elderly individuals, especially those who have experienced negative events.

Addressing Noise and Skewness in Interpretable Health-Condition Assessment by Learning Model Confidence.

Assessing the health condition has a wide range of applications in healthcare, military, aerospace, and industrial fields. Nevertheless, traditional feature-engineered techniques involve manual feature extraction, which are too cumbersome to adapt to the changes caused by the development of sensor network technology. Recently, deep-learning-based methods have achieved initial success in health-condition assessment research, but insufficient considerations for problems such as class skewness, noisy segments, and result interpretability make it difficult to apply them to real-world applications. In this paper, we propose a K-margin-based Interpretable Learning approach for health-condition assessment. In detail, a skewness-aware RCR-Net model is employed to handle problems of class skewness. Furthermore, we present a diagnosis model based on K-margin to automatically handle noisy segments by naturally exploiting expected consistency among the segments associated with each record. Additionally, a knowledge-directed interpretation method is presented to learn domain knowledge-level features automatically without the help of human experts which can be used as an interpretable decision-making basis. Finally, through experimental validation in the field of both medical and aerospace, the proposed method has a better generality and high efficiency with 0.7974 and 0.8005 F1 scores, which outperform all state-of-the-art deep learning methods for health-condition assessment task by 3.30% and 2.99%, respectively.

Medication Usage Record-Based Predictive Modeling of Neurodevelopmental Abnormality in Infants under One Year: A Prospective Birth Cohort Study.

Early identification of children with neurodevelopmental abnormality is a major challenge, which is crucial for improving symptoms and preventing further decline in children with neurodevelopmental abnormality. This study focuses on developing a predictive model with maternal sociodemographic, behavioral, and medication-usage information during pregnancy to identify infants with abnormal neurodevelopment before the age of one. In addition, an interpretable machine-learning approach was utilized to assess the importance of the variables in the model. In this study, artificial neural network models were developed for the neurodevelopment of five areas of infants during the first year of life and achieved good predictive efficacy in the areas of fine motor and problem solving, with median AUC = 0.670 (IQR: 0.594, 0.764) and median AUC = 0.643 (IQR: 0.550, 0.731), respectively. The final model for neurodevelopmental abnormalities in any energy region of one-year-old children also achieved good prediction performance. The sensitivity is 0.700 (IQR: 0.597, 0.797), the AUC is 0.821 (IQR: 0.716, 0.833), the accuracy is 0.721 (IQR: 0.696, 0.739), and the specificity is 0.742 (IQR: 0.680, 0.748). In addition, interpretable machine-learning methods suggest that maternal exposure to drugs such as acetaminophen, ferrous succinate, and midazolam during pregnancy affects the development of specific areas of the offspring during the first year of life. This study established predictive models of neurodevelopmental abnormality in infants under one year and underscored the prediction value of medication exposure during pregnancy for the neurodevelopmental outcomes of the offspring.

Relationship between HLA genetic variations, COVID-19 vaccine antibody response, and risk of breakthrough outcomes.

The rapid global distribution of COVID-19 vaccines, with over a billion doses administered, has been unprecedented. However, in comparison to most identified clinical determinants, the implications of individual genetic factors on antibody responses post-COVID-19 vaccination for breakthrough outcomes remain elusive. Here, we conducted a population-based study including 357,806 vaccinated participants with high-resolution HLA genotyping data, and a subset of 175,000 with antibody serology test results. We confirmed prior findings that single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with antibody response are predominantly located in the Major Histocompatibility Complex region, with the expansive HLA-DQB1*06 gene alleles linked to improved antibody responses. However, our results did not support the claim that this mutation alone can significantly reduce COVID-19 risk in the general population. In addition, we discovered and validated six HLA alleles (A*03:01, C*16:01, DQA1*01:02, DQA1*01:01, DRB3*01:01, and DPB1*10:01) that independently influence antibody responses and demonstrated a combined effect across HLA genes on the risk of breakthrough COVID-19 outcomes. Lastly, we estimated that COVID-19 vaccine-induced antibody positivity provides approximately 20% protection against infection and 50% protection against severity. These findings have immediate implications for functional studies on HLA molecules and can inform future personalised vaccination strategies.

simpleNomo: A Python Package of Making Nomograms for Visualizable Calculation of Logistic Regression Models.

Background: Logistic regression models are widely used in clinical prediction, but their application in resource-poor settings or areas without internet access can be challenging. Nomograms can serve as a useful visualization tool to speed up the calculation procedure, but existing nomogram generators often require the input of raw data, inhibiting the transformation of established logistic regression models that only provide coefficients. Developing a tool that can generate nomograms directly from logistic regression coefficients would greatly increase usability and facilitate the translation of research findings into patient care. Methods: We designed and developed simpleNomo, an open-source Python toolbox that enables the construction of nomograms for logistic regression models. Uniquely, simpleNomo allows for the creation of nomograms using only the coefficients of the model. Further, we also devoloped an online website for nomogram generation. Results: simpleNomo properly maintains the predictive ability of the original logistic regression model and easy to follow. simpleNomo is compatible with Python 3 and can be installed through Python Package Index (PyPI) or https://github.com/Hhy096/nomogram. Conclusion: This paper presents simpleNomo, an open-source Python toolbox for generating nomograms for logistic regression models. It facilitates the process of transferring established logistic regression models to nomograms and can further convert more existing works into practical use.

Self-Supervised Time Series Representation Learning via Cross Reconstruction Transformer.

Since labeled samples are typically scarce in real-world scenarios, self-supervised representation learning in time series is critical. Existing approaches mainly employ the contrastive learning framework, which automatically learns to understand similar and dissimilar data pairs. However, they are constrained by the request for cumbersome sampling policies and prior knowledge of constructing pairs. Also, few works have focused on effectively modeling temporal-spectral correlations to improve the capacity of representations. In this article, we propose the cross reconstruction transformer (CRT) to solve the aforementioned issues. CRT achieves time series representation learning through a cross-domain dropping-reconstruction task. Specifically, we obtain the frequency domain of the time series via the fast Fourier transform (FFT) and randomly drop certain patches in both time and frequency domains. Dropping is employed to maximally preserve the global context while masking leads to the distribution shift. Then a Transformer architecture is utilized to adequately discover the cross-domain correlations between temporal and spectral information through reconstructing data in both domains, which is called Dropped Temporal-Spectral Modeling. To discriminate the representations in global latent space, we propose instance discrimination constraint (IDC) to reduce the mutual information between different time series samples and sharpen the decision boundaries. Additionally, a specified curriculum learning (CL) strategy is employed to improve the robustness during the pretraining phase, which progressively increases the dropping ratio in the training process. We conduct extensive experiments to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed method on multiple real-world datasets. Results show that CRT consistently achieves the best performance over existing methods by 2%-9%. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/BobZwr/Cross-Reconstruction-Transformer.

Estimating causal effects of physical disability and number of comorbid chronic diseases on risk of depressive symptoms in an elderly Chinese population: a machine learning analysis of cross-sectional baseline data from the China longitudinal ageing social survey.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore the causal effects of physical disability and number of comorbid chronic diseases on depressive symptoms in an elderly Chinese population. DESIGN, SETTING AND ANALYSIS: Cross-sectional, baseline data were obtained from the China Longitudinal Ageing Social Survey, a stratified, multistage, probabilistic sampling survey conducted in 2014 that covers 28 of 31 provincial areas in China. The causal effects of physical disability and number of comorbid chronic diseases on depressive symptoms were analysed using the conditional average treatment effect method of machine learning. The causal effects model's adjustment was made for age, gender, residence, marital status, educational level, ethnicity, wealth quantile and other factors. OUTCOME: Assessment of the causal effects of physical disability and number of comorbid chronic diseases on depressive symptoms. PARTICIPANTS: 7496 subjects who were 60 years of age or older and who answered the questions on depressive symptoms and other independent variables of interest in a survey conducted in 2014 were included in this study. RESULTS: Physical disability and number of comorbid chronic diseases had causal effects on depressive symptoms. Among the subjects who had one or more functional limitations, the probability of depressive symptoms increased by 22% (95% CI 19% to 24%). For the subjects who had one chronic disease and those who had two or more chronic diseases, the possibility of depressive symptoms increased by 13% (95% CI 10% to 15%) and 20% (95% CI 18% to 22%), respectively. CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence that the presence of one or more functional limitations affects the occurrence of depressive symptoms among elderly people. The findings of our study are of value in developing programmes that are designed to identify elderly individuals who have physical disabilities or comorbid chronic diseases to provide early intervention.

A Ranking-Based Cross-Entropy Loss for Early Classification of Time Series.

Early classification tasks aim to classify time series before observing full data. It is critical in time-sensitive applications such as early sepsis diagnosis in the intensive care unit (ICU). Early diagnosis can provide more opportunities for doctors to rescue lives. However, there are two conflicting goals in the early classification task-accuracy and earliness. Most existing methods try to find a balance between them by weighing one goal against the other. But we argue that a powerful early classifier should always make highly accurate predictions at any moment. The main obstacle is that the key features suitable for classification are not obvious in the early stage, resulting in the excessive overlap of time series distributions in different time stages. The indistinguishable distributions make it difficult for classifiers to recognize. To solve this problem, this article proposes a novel ranking-based cross-entropy () loss to jointly learn the feature of classes and the order of earliness from time series data. In this way, can help classifier to generate probability distributions of time series in different stages with more distinguishable boundary. Thus, the classification accuracy at each time step is finally improved. Besides, for the applicability of the method, we also accelerate the training process by focusing the learning process on high-ranking samples. Experiments on three real-world datasets show that our method can perform classification more accurately than all baselines at all moments.

Continuous diagnosis and prognosis by controlling the update process of deep neural networks.

Continuous diagnosis and prognosis are essential for critical patients. They can provide more opportunities for timely treatment and rational allocation. Although deep-learning techniques have demonstrated superiority in many medical tasks, they frequently forget, overfit, and produce results too late when performing continuous diagnosis and prognosis. In this work, we summarize the four requirements; propose a concept, continuous classification of time series (CCTS); and design a training method for deep learning, restricted update strategy (RU). The RU outperforms all baselines and achieves average accuracies of 90%, 97%, and 85% on continuous sepsis prognosis, COVID-19 mortality prediction, and eight disease classifications, respectively. The RU can also endow deep learning with interpretability, exploring disease mechanisms through staging and biomarker discovery. We find four sepsis stages, three COVID-19 stages, and their respective biomarkers. Further, our approach is data and model agnostic. It can be applied to other diseases and even in other fields.