Study on Carbon Emission Influencing Factors and carbon emission reduction potential in China's food production industry.

Climate warming has become a global issue of close concern, and China, as a significant agricultural country, has an increasing demand for food, which requires China to increase carbon reduction in this industry. This paper accounts for carbon emissions from the food production industry (CEFI) using the input-output method, then screens the influencing factors of CEFI based on Random Forest (RF), analyzes the heterogeneous effects of the influencing factors on CEFI in different clusters through K-means-SHAP, and finally explores the potential of carbon emissions from this industry for the period 2024-2040. The study's findings are as follows: First, there are apparent inequalities in CEFI, especially between provinces, which are gradually increasing. Second, addressing people's consumption awareness and behaviors is not the fundamental solution to alleviate CEFI; instead, it should focus on sustainable agricultural production transformation and "food miles" in the transportation phase. In addition, attention needs to be paid to the impacts of fertilizer application, transport modes, and livestock management on the CEFI of each cluster. Finally, the study suggests that around 2028, 70% of China's provinces will be at the "carbon peak" and that less developed and more developed regions have more significant potential to reduce emissions. In this regard, this paper encourages a series of policies that are key to promoting the sustainable development of CEFI, such as reducing the volume and efficiency of traditional fertilizers, vigorously developing organic fertilizer inputs, strengthening technological innovation and R&D inputs in the transportation sector, and steadily supporting germplasm innovation in the livestock sector.

Innovation city and low-carbon future: a quasinatural experiment from China.

Using the difference-in-difference model and panel data from 283 Chinese cities from 2006 to 2019, this study assesses the effect on CO2 emissions of an innovative city pilot policy and analyzes its mechanism using the mediation effect model. The findings demonstrate that the pilot policy significantly reduces urban carbon emissions overall, and this finding holds even after conducting several stability tests. Innovative pilot cities can cut carbon emissions by 11.5% compared to nonpilot cities and thus significantly impact carbon reduction. Reducing carbon emissions is possible through three mechanisms. These are the enrichment of cultural resources, the development of technological innovation levels, and the optimization of industrial structure. There is a significant lag in how the innovative city pilot policy affects this reduction. The emission reduction effects of innovative pilot policies on different pollution levels, regions, and cities of various sizes are heterogeneous. In the long run, the scope of pilot projects needs enlargement in an orderly manner, and specific policies should be implemented according to local conditions. Meanwhile, advanced technologies are required in cities of different scales to build innovative development mechanisms for carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, and environmental regulations should be strengthened to implement in urban areas the concept of green and sustainable ecological development.

How climate change affects electricity consumption in Chinese cities-a differential perspective based on municipal monthly panel data.

Addressing the impacts of climate change has become a global public crisis and challenge. China is characterized by a complex and diverse topography and vast territory, which makes it worthwhile to explore the differential impacts of climate change on urban electricity consumption in different zones and economic development conditions. This study examines the differential impact of climate factors on urban electricity consumption in China based on monthly panel data for 282 prefectures from 2011 to 2019 and projects the potential demand for future urban electricity consumption under different climate change scenarios. The results show that (1) temperature changes significantly alter urban electricity consumption, with cooling degree days (CDD) and heating degree days (HDD) contributing positively to urban electricity consumption in areas with different regional and economic development statuses, with elasticity coefficients of 0.1015-0.1525 and 0.0029-0.0077, respectively. (2) The temperature-electricity relationship curve shows an irregular U-shape. Each additional day of extreme weather above 30 °C and below -12 °C increases urban electricity consumption by 0.52% and 1.52% in the north and by 2.67% and 1.32% in the south. Poor cities are significantly more sensitive to extremely low temperatures than rich cities. (3) Suppose the impacts of climate degradation on urban electricity consumption are not halted. In that case, the possible Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1-1.9 (SSP1-1.9), SSP1-2.6, and SSP2-4.5 will increase China's urban electricity consumption by 1621.96 billion kWh, 2960.87 billion kWh, and 6145.65 billion kWh, respectively, by 2090. Finally, this study makes some policy recommendations and expectations for follow-up studies.