[Clustering Analysis of Hydatid Disease in Gansu Province].

The prevalence of hydatid disease in human population and livestock, and the positive rate of echinococcal antigen in canine feces were analyzed with sample clustering method, according to the survey on hydatid disease in 72 counties in Gansu province in the database of the National Survey on Prevalence of Echinococcosis in 2012. The prevalence of hydatid disease in huma and livestock, and the positive rate of echinococcal antigen in canine feces were 0-1.59%, 0-15.22%, and 0-16.87% respectively. Clustering analysis revealed four types of prevalence in the 72 counties. The first type existed only in Dunhuang city, with the three indicators being 0.27%, 15.22% and 16.87%; the second in four counties, with the three indicators being 0.43%, 6.57% and 1.83%; the third in 22 counties, with the three indicators being 0.22%, 1.15% and 1035%; and the fourth in 45 counties, with the three indicators being 0.16%, 0.58% and 1.69%.

Robust fault detection and isolation for uncertain neutral time-delay systems using a geometric approach.

This paper proposes a new geometric fault detection and isolation (FDI) strategy for uncertain neutral time-delay systems (UNTDS). Firstly, the concept of unobservability subspace is extended to the considered system. Subsequently, utilizing the geometric properties of factor space and canonical projection, the fault is divided into different unobservability subspaces. Therefore, an algorithm for constructing the subspace is developed for fault isolation. Finally, a set of observers is designed for the subsystems, and generates a set of structured residuals which is sensitive only to a specific fault. Additionally, the H∞ technique is utilized to suppress the disturbances and error signals due to time-varying delays on the residual. The simulation examples verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Sahara's surface transformation forced an abrupt hydroclimate decline and Neolithic culture transition in northern China.

The remote forcing from land surface changes in the Sahara is hypothesized to play a pivotal role in modulating the intensity of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) through ocean-atmospheric teleconnections. This modulation has far-reaching consequences, particularly in facilitating societal shifts documented in northern China. Here, we present a well-dated lake-level record from the Daihai Lake Basin in northern China, providing quantitative assessments of Holocene monsoonal precipitation and the consequent migrations of the northern boundary of the EASM. Our reconstruction, informed by a water-and-energy balance model, indicates that annual precipitation reached ∼700 mm during 8-5 ka, followed by a rapid decline to ∼550 mm between 5 and 4 ka. This shift coherently aligns with a significant ∼300 km northwestward movement of the EASM northern boundary during the Middle Holocene (MH), in contrast to its current position. Our findings underscore that these changes cannot be entirely attributed to orbital forcing, as corroborated by simulation tests. Climate model simulations deployed in our study suggest that the presence of the Green Sahara during the MH significantly strengthened the EASM and led to a northward shift of the monsoon rainfall belt. Conversely, the Sahara's reversion to a desert landscape in the late Holocene was accompanied by a corresponding southward retraction of monsoon influence. These dramatic hydroclimate changes during ∼5-4 ka likely triggered or at least contributed to a shift in Neolithic cultures and societal transformation in northern China. With decreasing agricultural productivity, communities transitioned from millet farming to a mixed rainfed agriculture and animal husbandry system. Thus, our findings elucidate not only the variability of the EASM but also the profound implications of a remote forcing, such as surface transformations of the Sahara, on climatic changes and cultural evolution in northern China.

Unraveling of permafrost hydrological variabilities on Central Qinghai-Tibet Plateau using stable isotopic technique.

Permafrost degradation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) will substantially alter the surface runoff discharge and generation, which changes the recharge processes and influences the hydrological cycle on the QTP. Hydrological connections between different water bodies and the influence of thawing permafrost (ground ice) are not well understood on the QTP. This study applied water stable isotopic method to investigate the permafrost hydrological variabilities in Beiluhe Basin (BLB) on Central QTP. Isotopic variations of precipitation, river flow, thermokarst lake, and near-surface ground ice were identified to figure out the moisture source of them, and to elaborate the hydrological connections in permafrost region. Results suggested that isotopic seasonalities in precipitation is evident, it is showing more positive values in summer seasons, and negative values in winter seasons. Stable isotopes of river flow are mainly distributed in the range of precipitation which is indicative of important replenishment from precipitation. δ18O, δD of thermokarst lakes are more positive than precipitation, indicating of basin-scale evaporation of lake water. Comparison of δI values in different water bodies shows that hydrology of thermokarst lakes was related to thawing of permafrost (ground ice) and precipitation. Near-surface ground ice in BLB exhibits different isotopic characteristics, and generates a special δD-δ18O relationship (freezing line): δD=5.81δ18O-23.02, which reflects typical freezing of liquid water. From isotopic analysis, it is inferred that near-surface ground ice was mainly recharged by precipitation and active layer water. Stable isotopic and conceptual model is suggestive of striking hydrological connections between precipitation, river flow, thermokarst lake, and ground ice under degrading permafrost. This research provides fundamental comprehensions into the hydrological processes in permafrost regions on QTP, which should be considered in investigating the influence of thawing permafrost on the hydrological cycle on QTP.