First Approved Kinase Inhibitor for AML.

Activating mutations of FLT3 occur in about 30% of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) cases and are associated with relapse and poor prognosis. Midostaurin is the first drug approved for AML since 2000, and the first multi-kinase inhibitor approved for the FLT3-mutant subtype. To view this Bench to Bedside, open or download the PDF.

Asciminib in Newly Diagnosed Chronic Myeloid Leukemia.

BACKGROUND: Patients with newly diagnosed chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) need long-term therapy with high efficacy and safety. Asciminib, a BCR::ABL1 inhibitor specifically targeting the ABL myristoyl pocket, may offer better efficacy and safety and fewer side effects than currently available frontline ATP-competitive tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). METHODS: In a phase 3 trial, patients with newly diagnosed CML were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either asciminib (80 mg once daily) or an investigator-selected TKI, with randomization stratified by European Treatment and Outcome Study long-term survival score category (low, intermediate, or high risk) and by TKI selected by investigators before randomization (including imatinib and second-generation TKIs). The primary end points were major molecular response (defined as BCR::ABL1 transcript levels ≤0.1% on the International Scale [IS]) at week 48, for comparisons between asciminib and investigator-selected TKIs and between asciminib and investigator-selected TKIs in the prerandomization-selected imatinib stratum. RESULTS: A total of 201 patients were assigned to receive asciminib and 204 to receive investigator-selected TKIs. The median follow-up was 16.3 months in the asciminib group and 15.7 months in the investigator-selected TKI group. A major molecular response at week 48 occurred in 67.7% of patients in the asciminib group, as compared with 49.0% in the investigator-selected TKI group (difference, 18.9 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.6 to 28.2; adjusted two-sided P<0.001]), and in 69.3% of patients in the asciminib group as compared with 40.2% in the imatinib group within the imatinib stratum (difference, 29.6 percentage points; 95% CI, 16.9 to 42.2; adjusted two-sided P<0.001). The percentage of patients with a major molecular response at week 48 was 66.0% with asciminib and 57.8% with TKIs in the second-generation TKI stratum (difference, 8.2 percentage points; 95% CI, -5.1 to 21.5). Adverse events of grade 3 or higher and events leading to discontinuation of the trial regimen were less frequent with asciminib (38.0% and 4.5%, respectively) than with imatinib (44.4% and 11.1%) and second-generation TKIs (54.9% and 9.8%). CONCLUSIONS: In this trial comparing asciminib with investigator-selected TKIs and imatinib, asciminib showed superior efficacy and a favorable safety profile in patients with newly diagnosed chronic-phase CML. Direct comparison between asciminib and second-generation TKIs was not a primary objective. (Funded by Novartis; ASC4FIRST ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04971226).

Asciminib Monotherapy as Frontline Treatment of Chronic-Phase Chronic Myeloid Leukemia: Results from the ASCEND Study.

Asciminib is a myristoyl site BCR::ABL1 inhibitor approved for chronic phase chronic myeloid leukaemia (CP-CML) patients failing ≥2 prior lines of therapy. The Australasian Leukaemia & Lymphoma Group (ALLG) conducted the ASCEND study to assess efficacy of asciminib for newly-diagnosed CP-CML. Patients commenced asciminib 40 mg twice daily (BID) and thereafter were managed according to molecular milestones. Patients with treatment failure, defined as BCR::ABL1 >10% (IS) at 3 or 6 months, or >1% at 12 or 18 months, received either imatinib, nilotinib or dasatinib in addition to asciminib. In patients with suboptimal response, defined as levels of 1-10% at 6 months, >0.1-1% at 12 months, or >0.01%-1% at 18 months, the asciminib dose was increased to 80 mg BID. With a median follow-up of 21 months (range 0-36), 82/101 patients continue asciminib. The most frequent reasons for treatment discontinuation were adverse events (6%), loss of response (4%) and withdrawn consent (5%). There were no deaths; one patient developed lymphoid blast crisis at 6 months. The co-primary endpoints were early molecular response (BCR::ABL1 ≤10% at 3 months), achieved in 93% (96% CI 86-97%), and major molecular response by 12 months achieved in 79%; (95% CI 69.7-86.8%), respectively. The cumulative incidence of MR4.5 was 53% by 24 months. One patient had 2 cerebrovascular events; no other arterial occlusive events were reported. Asciminib as frontline therapy in CP-CML produces high rates of molecular response with excellent tolerance and a low rate of discontinuation for toxicity. (ANZ Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12620000851965).

Lineage-specific detection of residual disease predicts relapse in patients with chronic myeloid leukemia stopping therapy.

ABSTRACT: Patients with chronic myeloid leukemia who are eligible for treatment-free remission (TFR) may still relapse after tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) cessation. There is a need for accurate predictors of outcome to enable patients with a favorable profile to proceed while avoiding futile attempts. Sensitive detection of residual disease in total leukocytes at treatment cessation is associated with relapse but is not highly discriminatory, likely because it is a composite measure of residual leukemia derived from different cell lineages, whereas only some lineages are relevant for relapse. We prospectively measured BCR::ABL1 DNA as a predictive yes/no binary test in 5 cellular fractions from 48 patients meeting conventional criteria for TKI discontinuation. The median BCR::ABL1 DNA level was higher in granulocytes and T cells, but not in other lineages, in patients who relapsed. Among the 40 patients undergoing their first TFR attempt, we defined 3 groups with differing relapse risk: granulocyte-positive group (100%), granulocyte-negative/T-cell-positive group (67%), and granulocyte-negative /T-cell-negative group (25%). These data show the critical importance of lineage-specific assessment of residual disease in the selection of patients who can attempt to achieve TFR with a high expectation of success and, concurrently, defer patients who have a high probability of relapse.

Asciminib: a new therapeutic option in chronic-phase CML with treatment failure.

Asciminib, a first-in-class allosteric inhibitor of BCR::ABL1 kinase activity, is now approved for the treatment of patients with chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia who failed 2 lines of therapy or in patients with the T315I mutation. Promising attributes include high specificity and potency against BCR::ABL1, activity against most kinase domain mutations, and potential for combination therapy with ATP-competitive tyrosine kinase inhibitors. Clinicians now have expanded third-line options, which in most cases will involve a choice between asciminib and ponatinib.

Immune modulation in chronic myeloid leukaemia patients treated with nilotinib and interferon-alpha.

The addition of interferon to tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), to improve deep molecular response (DMR) and potentially treatment-free remission (TFR) rates in chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukaemia (CP-CML) patients is under active investigation. However, the immunobiology of this combination is poorly understood. We performed a comprehensive longitudinal assessment of immunological changes in CML patients treated with nilotinib and interferon-alpha (IFN-α) within the ALLG CML11 trial (n = 12) or nilotinib alone (n = 17). We demonstrate that nilotinib+IFN transiently reduced absolute counts of natural killer (NK) cells, compared with nilotinib alone. Furthermore, CD16+ -cytolytic and CD57+ CD62L- -mature NK cells were transiently reduced during IFN therapy, without affecting NK-cell function. IFN transiently increased cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) responses to leukaemia-associated antigens (LAAs) proteinase-3, BMI-1 and PRAME; and had no effect on regulatory T cells, or myeloid-derived suppressor cells. Patients on nilotinib+IFN who achieved MR4.5 by 12 months had a significantly higher proportion of NK cells expressing NKp46, NKp30 and NKG2D compared with patients not achieving this milestone. This difference was not observed in the nilotinib-alone group. The addition of IFN to nilotinib drives an increase in NK-activating receptors, CTLs responding to LAAs and results in transient immune modulation, which may influence earlier DMR, and its effect on long-term outcomes warrants further investigation.

Early BCR-ABL1 kinetics are predictive of subsequent achievement of treatment-free remission in chronic myeloid leukemia.

With treatment-free remission (TFR) rapidly becoming the ultimate goal of therapy in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), there is a need to develop strategies to maximize sustained TFR by improving our understanding of its key determinants. Chronic-phase CML patients attempting TFR were evaluated to identify the impact of multiple variables on the probability of sustained TFR. Early molecular response dynamics were included as a predictive variable, assessed by calculating the patient-specific halving time of BCR-ABL1 after commencing tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy. Overall, 115 patients attempted TFR and had ≥12 months of follow-up. The probability of sustained TFR, defined as remaining in major molecular response off TKI therapy for 12 months, was 55%. The time taken for the BCR-ABL1 value to halve was the strongest independent predictor of sustained TFR: 80% in patients with a halving time of <9.35 days (first quartile) compared with only 4% if the halving time was >21.85 days (last quartile) (P < .001). The e14a2 BCR-ABL1 transcript type and duration of TKI exposure before attempting TFR were also independent predictors of sustained TFR. However, the BCR-ABL1 value measured at 3 months of TKI was not an independent predictor of sustained TFR. A more rapid initial BCR-ABL1 decline after commencing TKI also correlated with an increased likelihood of achieving TFR eligibility. The association between sustained TFR and the time taken for BCR-ABL1 to halve after commencing TKI was validated using an independent dataset. These data support the critical importance of the initial kinetics of BCR-ABL1 decline for long-term outcomes.

A phase 3, open-label, randomized study of asciminib, a STAMP inhibitor, vs bosutinib in CML after 2 or more prior TKIs.

Patients with chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase (CML-CP) resistant/intolerant to ≥2 tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) are at high risk of experiencing poor outcomes because of disease biology and inadequate efficacy and/or safety of current therapies. Asciminib, a first-in-class BCR-ABL1 inhibitor Specifically Targeting the ABL Myristoyl Pocket (STAMP), has the potential to overcome resistance/intolerance to approved TKIs. In this phase 3, open-label study, patients with CML-CP previously treated with ≥2 TKIs were randomized (2:1) to receive asciminib 40 mg twice daily vs bosutinib 500 mg once daily. Randomization was stratified by major cytogenetic response (MCyR) status at baseline. The primary objective was to compare the major molecular response (MMR) rate at week 24 for asciminib vs bosutinib. A total of 233 patients were randomized to asciminib (n = 157) or bosutinib (n = 76). Median follow-up was 14.9 months. The MMR rate at week 24 was 25.5% with asciminib and 13.2% with bosutinib. The difference in MMR rate between treatment arms, after adjusting for MCyR at baseline, was 12.2% (95% confidence interval, 2.19-22.30; 2-sided P = .029). Fewer grade ≥3 adverse events (50.6% vs 60.5%) and adverse events leading to treatment discontinuation (5.8% vs 21.1%) occurred with asciminib than with bosutinib. The study showed a superior efficacy of asciminib compared with that of bosutinib, together with a favorable safety profile. These results support the use of asciminib as a new therapy in patients with CML-CP who are resistant/intolerant to ≥2 prior TKIs. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT03106779.

Molecular response in newly diagnosed chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia: prediction modeling and pathway analysis.

Tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy revolutionized chronic myeloid leukemia treatment and showed how targeted therapy and molecular monitoring could be used to substantially improve survival outcomes. We used chronic myeloid leukemia as a model to understand a critical question: why do some patients have an excellent response to therapy, while others have a poor response? We studied gene expression in whole blood samples from 112 patients from a large phase III randomized trial (clinicaltrials gov. Identifier: NCT00471497), dichotomizing cases into good responders (BCR::ABL1 ≤10% on the International Scale by 3 and 6 months and ≤0.1% by 12 months) and poor responders (failure to meet these criteria). Predictive models based on gene expression demonstrated the best performance (area under the curve =0.76, standard deviation =0.07). All of the top 20 pathways overexpressed in good responders involved immune regulation, a finding validated in an independent data set. This study emphasizes the importance of pretreatment adaptive immune response in treatment efficacy and suggests biological pathways that can be targeted to improve response.

Impact of additional genetic abnormalities at diagnosis of chronic myeloid leukemia for first-line imatinib-treated patients receiving proactive treatment intervention.

The BCR::ABL1 gene fusion initiates chronic myeloid leukemia (CML); however, evidence has accumulated from studies of highly selected cohorts that variants in other cancer-related genes are associated with treatment failure. Nevertheless, the true incidence and impact of additional genetic abnormalities (AGA) at diagnosis of chronic phase (CP)-CML is unknown. We sought to determine whether AGA at diagnosis in a consecutive imatinib-treated cohort of 210 patients enrolled in the TIDEL-II trial influenced outcome despite a highly proactive treatment intervention strategy. Survival outcomes including overall survival, progression-free survival, failure-free survival, and BCR::ABL1 kinase domain mutation acquisition were evaluated. Molecular outcomes were measured at a central laboratory and included major molecular response (MMR, BCR::ABL1 ≤0.1%IS), MR4 (BCR::ABL1 ≤0.01%IS), and MR4.5 (BCR::ABL1 ≤0.0032%IS). AGA included variants in known cancer genes and novel rearrangements involving the formation of the Philadelphia chromosome. Clinical outcomes and molecular response were assessed based on the patient's genetic profile and other baseline factors. AGA were identified in 31% of patients. Potentially pathogenic variants in cancer-related genes were detected in 16% of patients at diagnosis (including gene fusions and deletions) and structural rearrangements involving the Philadelphia chromosome (Ph-associated rearrangements) were detected in 18%. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that the combined genetic abnormalities plus the EUTOS long-term survival clinical risk score were independent predictors of lower molecular response rates and higher treatment failure. Despite a highly proactive treatment intervention strategy, first-line imatinib-treated patients with AGA had poorer response rates. These data provide evidence for the incorporation of genomically-based risk assessment for CML.

The allosteric inhibitor ABL001 enables dual targeting of BCR-ABL1.

Chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) is driven by the activity of the BCR-ABL1 fusion oncoprotein. ABL1 kinase inhibitors have improved the clinical outcomes for patients with CML, with over 80% of patients treated with imatinib surviving for more than 10 years. Second-generation ABL1 kinase inhibitors induce more potent molecular responses in both previously untreated and imatinib-resistant patients with CML. Studies in patients with chronic-phase CML have shown that around 50% of patients who achieve and maintain undetectable BCR-ABL1 transcript levels for at least 2 years remain disease-free after the withdrawal of treatment. Here we characterize ABL001 (asciminib), a potent and selective allosteric ABL1 inhibitor that is undergoing clinical development testing in patients with CML and Philadelphia chromosome-positive (Ph+) acute lymphoblastic leukaemia. In contrast to catalytic-site ABL1 kinase inhibitors, ABL001 binds to the myristoyl pocket of ABL1 and induces the formation of an inactive kinase conformation. ABL001 and second-generation catalytic inhibitors have similar cellular potencies but distinct patterns of resistance mutations, with genetic barcoding studies revealing pre-existing clonal populations with no shared resistance between ABL001 and the catalytic inhibitor nilotinib. Consistent with this profile, acquired resistance was observed with single-agent therapy in mice; however, the combination of ABL001 and nilotinib led to complete disease control and eradicated CML xenograft tumours without recurrence after the cessation of treatment.

Asciminib for chronic myeloid leukaemia: Next questions.

Recent approval of asciminib, a novel "specifically targeting the ABL myristoyl pocket" (STAMP) BCR-ABL1 inhibitor, for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) patients who have either failed ≥2 lines of therapy or have the T315I mutation, has provided clinicians with a wider selection of potentially effective treatment options. Asciminib has the attractive twin attributes of high potency directed against BCR-ABL1 and good tolerability based on its limited off-target effects. However, it is unclear exactly where asciminib will be positioned amongst the other available tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), especially ponatinib which is also available for the same indications. There are many questions yet to be answered with regard to the optimal use of asciminib which include its role in the first- and second-line settings, combination therapy with other TKIs, and effectiveness in advanced phase CML. In this review, we discuss the available data on asciminib while exploring a number of clinical trials in progress. Finally, we provide our opinion based on the current data about where asciminib is most likely to be the optimal choice, which will hopefully assist clinicians with therapy selection.

Asciminib in Chronic Myeloid Leukemia after ABL Kinase Inhibitor Failure.

BACKGROUND: Asciminib is an allosteric inhibitor that binds a myristoyl site of the BCR-ABL1 protein, locking BCR-ABL1 into an inactive conformation through a mechanism distinct from those for all other ABL kinase inhibitors. Asciminib targets both native and mutated BCR-ABL1, including the gatekeeper T315I mutant. The safety and antileukemic activity of asciminib in patients with Philadelphia chromosome-positive leukemia are unknown. METHODS: In this phase 1, dose-escalation study, we enrolled 141 patients with chronic-phase and 9 with accelerated-phase chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) who had resistance to or unacceptable side effects from at least two previous ATP-competitive tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). The primary objective was to determine the maximum tolerated dose or the recommended dose (or both) of asciminib. Asciminib was administered once or twice daily (at doses of 10 to 200 mg). The median follow-up was 14 months. RESULTS: Patients were heavily pretreated; 70% (105 of 150 patients) had received at least three TKIs. The maximum tolerated dose of asciminib was not reached. Among patients with chronic-phase CML, 34 (92%) with a hematologic relapse had a complete hematologic response; 31 (54%) without a complete cytogenetic response at baseline had a complete cytogenetic response. A major molecular response was achieved or maintained by 12 months in 48% of patients who could be evaluated, including 8 of 14 (57%) deemed to have resistance to or unacceptable side effects from ponatinib. A major molecular response was achieved or maintained by 12 months in 5 patients (28%) with a T315I mutation at baseline. Clinical responses were durable; a major molecular response was maintained in 40 of 44 patients. Dose-limiting toxic effects included asymptomatic elevations in the lipase level and clinical pancreatitis. Common adverse events included fatigue, headache, arthralgia, hypertension, and thrombocytopenia. CONCLUSIONS: Asciminib was active in heavily pretreated patients with CML who had resistance to or unacceptable side effects from TKIs, including patients in whom ponatinib had failed and those with a T315I mutation. (Funded by Novartis Pharmaceuticals; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02081378.).

Integrating genetic and epigenetic factors in chronic myeloid leukemia risk assessment: toward gene expression-based biomarkers.

Cancer treatment is constantly evolving from a one-size-fits-all towards bespoke approaches for each patient. In certain solid cancers, including breast and lung, tumor genome profiling has been incorporated into therapeutic decision-making. For chronic phase chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), while tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy is the standard treatment, current clinical scoring systems cannot accurately predict the heterogeneous treatment outcomes observed in patients. Biomarkers capable of segregating patients according to outcome at diagnosis are needed to improve management, and facilitate enrollment in clinical trials seeking to prevent blast crisis transformation and improve the depth of molecular responses. To this end, gene expression (GE) profiling studies have evaluated whether GE signatures at diagnosis are clinically informative. Patient material from a variety of sources has been profiled using microarrays, RNA sequencing and, more recently, single-cell RNA sequencing. However, differences in the cell types profiled, the technologies used, and the inherent complexities associated with the interpretation of genomic data pose challenges in distilling GE datasets into biomarkers with clinical utility. The goal of this paper is to review previous studies evaluating GE profiling in CML, and explore their potential as risk assessment tools for individualized CML treatment. We also review the contribution that acquired mutations, including those seen in clonal hematopoiesis, make to GE profiles, and how a model integrating contributions of genetic and epigenetic factors in resistance to tyrosine kinase inhibitors and blast crisis transformation can define a route to GE-based biomarkers. Finally, we outline a four-stage approach for the development of GE-based biomarkers in CML.

Asciminib monotherapy for newly diagnosed chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase: the ASC4FIRST phase III trial.

Asciminib is the first BCR::ABL1 inhibitor that works by Specifically Targeting the ABL Myristoyl Pocket (STAMP). Asciminib has shown favorable efficacy and safety in patients with chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase without the T315I mutation who have received ≥2 prior tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) in phase I and III clinical trials and in patients with the T315I mutation who have received ≥1 prior TKI in phase I. ASC4FIRST (NCT04971226) is a phase III, multicenter, open-label, randomized study of asciminib versus investigator-selected TKI in patients with newly diagnosed chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase. The primary end point is major molecular response at week 48. Secondary end points include responses at and by scheduled time points, safety, pharmacokinetics and patient-reported outcomes. Clinical Trial Registration: NCT04971226 (ClinicalTrials.gov).

Counterpoint: There is a best duration of deep molecular response for treatment-free remission, but it is patient-specific, and that is the challenge.

There is considerable clinical and scientific interest in identifying reliable predictors of treatment-free remission in chronic myeloid leukaemia. Most predictors have been identified from non-randomized clinical trials or retrospective cohorts that could be subject to bias. The validity of predictive factors, such as duration of treatment or of deep molecular response, has been questioned. We briefly review the relevant data and the potential for bias, arguing that the risk of bias may be overstated, and that accumulating data strongly suggest that depth and duration of molecular response are critical factors to enable us to predict the probability of treatment-free remission.

The effect of co-occurring lesions on leukaemogenesis and drug response in T-ALL and ETP-ALL.

Despite advances in the management of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL), current regimens fail to significantly transform outcomes for patients with high-risk subtypes. Advances in genomic analyses have identified novel lesions including mutations in genes that encode chromatin modifiers and those that influence cytokine and kinase signalling, rendering many of these alterations potentially targetable by tyrosine kinase and epigenetic inhibitors currently in clinical use. Although specific genomic lesions, gene expression patterns, and immunophenotypic profiles have been associated with specific clinical outcomes in some cancers, the application of precision medicine approaches based on these data has been slow. This approach is complicated by the reality that patients often harbour multiple mutations, and in many cases, the precise functional significance and interaction of these mutations in driving leukaemia and drug responsiveness/resistance remains unknown. Given that signalling pathways driving leukaemic pathogenesis could plausibly result from the co-existence of specific lesions and the resultant perturbation of protein interactions, the use of combined therapeutics that target multiple aberrant pathways, according to an individual's mutational profile, might improve outcomes and lower a patient's risk of relapse. Here we outline the genomic alterations that occur in T cell ALL (T-ALL) and early T cell precursor (ETP)-ALL and review studies highlighting the possible effects of co-occurring lesions on leukaemogenesis and drug response.

TARGET: a survey of real-world management of chronic myeloid leukaemia across 33 countries.

Despite the availability of guidelines for the management of chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML), various issues may prevent their successful implementation. The TARGET survey examined real-world management of CML patients compared with international recommendations. This online survey was completed in 2017. Results were discussed by a Steering Committee (SC) of eight international haematologists, challenges were identified and practical solutions developed. Of the 1008 haematologists invited (33 countries), 614 completed the survey. Gaps regarding treatment efficacy and molecular monitoring were identified. Half of the physicians did not perform three-monthly testing of during the initial 12 months of treatment, citing cost as the major barrier, although they know it should be done. Treatment-free remission was not considered a primary treatment goal or as a priority factor influencing treatment decisions. European Leukemia Net guidelines interpretation was generally acceptable, but awareness regarding management of persistent adverse events was poor. Practical solutions proposed by the SC were mostly focused on enhancing physician education and awareness, or encouraging hospitals to work with the government, in order to improve the quality of BCR-ABL testing. Gaps in current CML management were identified compared with international recommendations, which the proposed practical solutions would help to address.

Successful treatment-free remission in chronic myeloid leukaemia and its association with reduced immune suppressors and increased natural killer cells.

There is currently no biomarker that reliably predicts treatment-free remission (TFR) in chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML). We characterised effector and suppressor immune responses at the time of tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) cessation in patients from the CML8 and CML10 clinical studies. Natural killer (NK) cells with increased expression of activating NK receptors were higher in patients who achieved TFR. There was no difference in the proportion of CD4+ or CD8+ T cells. Furthermore, we found that FoxP3+ regulatory T cells (T reg) and monocytic myeloid-derived suppressor cells (Mo-MDSCs) were concomitantly decreased in TFR patients, suggesting that the effector and suppressor arms of the immune system work in concert to mediate TFR. A discovery cohort (CML10) was used to generate a predictive model, using logistic regression. Patients classified into the high-risk group were more likely to relapse when compared with the low-risk group (HR 7·4, 95% CI 2·9-19·1). The model was successfully validated on the independent CML8 cohort (HR 8·3, 95% CI 2·2-31·3). Effective prediction of TFR success may be obtained with an effector-suppressor score, calculated using absolute NK cell, T reg, and Mo-MDSC counts, at TKI cessation, reflecting the contribution of both immune suppressors and effectors in the immunobiology underlying successful TFR.