Progressive Early Interstitial Lung Abnormalities in Persons At-Risk for Familial Pulmonary Fibrosis: A Prospective Cohort Study.

RATIONALE: Relatives of patients with familial pulmonary fibrosis (FPF) are at increased risk to develop FPF. Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) are a radiologic biomarker of subclinical disease, but the implications of very mild abnormalities remain unclear. OBJECTIVES: To quantify the progression risk among FPF relatives with abnormalities below the threshold for ILAs as described by the Fleischner Society and to describe the characteristics of participants with new or progressive ILAs during observation. METHODS: Asymptomatic FPF relatives undergo serial screening high-resolution chest CT (HRCT). For this analysis, Early ILAs (no minimum threshold of lung involvement) were sub-classified as Mild (all interstitial abnormalities involve <5% of a lung zone) or Moderate (any abnormality involves >5%). Identification of new or progressive ILAs on HRCT, or development of Pulmonologist-diagnosed clinical FPF were defined as progression. Covariate-adjusted logistic regression identified progression-associated characteristics. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: From 2008-2023, 273 participants in follow-up procedures were 53.2 9.4 years old at enrollment, 95 (35%) were male, and 73/268 (27%) were ever-smokers. During a mean follow-up of 6.2 3.0 years, progression occurred among 31/211 (15%) of those with absence of ILAs at enrollment, 32/49 (65%) of Mild ILAs, and 10/13 (77%) of Moderate ILAs. Mild ILAs had 9.15 (95% CI 4.40-19.00, p<0.0001) times and Moderate ILAs had 17.14 (95% CI 4.42-66.49, p<0.0001) times the odds of progression as subjects without ILAs. CONCLUSIONS: In persons at-risk for FPF, minor interstitial abnormalities, including reticulation that is unilateral or involves <5% of a lung zone, frequently represent subclinical disease.

Deep Learning Classification of Usual Interstitial Pneumonia Predicts Outcomes.

Rationale: Computed tomography (CT) enables noninvasive diagnosis of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP), but enhanced image analyses are needed to overcome the limitations of visual assessment. Objectives: Apply multiple instance learning (MIL) to develop an explainable deep learning algorithm for prediction of UIP from CT and validate its performance in independent cohorts. Methods: We trained an MIL algorithm using a pooled dataset (n = 2,143) and tested it in three independent populations: data from a prior publication (n = 127), a single-institution clinical cohort (n = 239), and a national registry of patients with pulmonary fibrosis (n = 979). We tested UIP classification performance using receiver operating characteristic analysis, with histologic UIP as ground truth. Cox proportional hazards and linear mixed-effects models were used to examine associations between MIL predictions and survival or longitudinal FVC. Measurements and Main Results: In two cohorts with biopsy data, MIL improved accuracy for histologic UIP (area under the curve, 0.77 [n = 127] and 0.79 [n = 239]) compared with visual assessment (area under the curve, 0.65 and 0.71). In cohorts with survival data, MIL-UIP classifications were significant for mortality (n = 239, mortality to April 2021: unadjusted hazard ratio, 3.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.96-4.91; P < 0.001; and n = 979, mortality to July 2022: unadjusted hazard ratio, 3.64; 95% CI, 2.66-4.97; P < 0.001). Individuals classified as UIP positive by the algorithm had a significantly greater annual decline in FVC than those classified as UIP negative (-88 ml/yr vs. -45 ml/yr; n = 979; P < 0.01), adjusting for extent of lung fibrosis. Conclusions: Computerized assessment using MIL identifies clinically significant features of UIP on CT. Such a method could improve confidence in radiologic assessment of patients with interstitial lung disease, potentially enabling earlier and more precise diagnosis.

Quantification of Emphysema Progression at CT Using Simultaneous Volume, Noise, and Bias Lung Density Correction.

Background CT attenuation is affected by lung volume, dosage, and scanner bias, leading to inaccurate emphysema progression measurements in multicenter studies. Purpose To develop and validate a method that simultaneously corrects volume, noise, and interscanner bias for lung density change estimation in emphysema progression at CT in a longitudinal multicenter study. Materials and Methods In this secondary analysis of the prospective Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPDGene) study, lung function data were obtained from participants who completed baseline and 5-year follow-up visits from January 2008 to August 2017. CT emphysema progression was measured with volume-adjusted lung density (VALD) and compared with the joint volume-noise-bias-adjusted lung density (VNB-ALD). Reproducibility was studied under change of dosage protocol and scanner model with repeated acquisitions. Emphysema progression was visually scored in 102 randomly selected participants. A stratified analysis of clinical characteristics was performed that considered groups based on their combined lung density change measured by VALD and VNB-ALD. Results A total of 4954 COPDGene participants (mean age, 60 years ± 9 [SD]; 2511 male, 2443 female) were analyzed (1329 with repeated reduced-dose acquisition in the follow-up visit). Mean repeatability coefficients were 30 g/L ± 0.46 for VALD and 14 g/L ± 0.34 for VNB-ALD. VALD measurements showed no evidence of differences between nonprogressors and progressors (mean, -5.5 g/L ± 9.5 vs -8.6 g/L ± 9.6; P = .11), while VNB-ALD agreed with visual readings and showed a difference (mean, -0.67 g/L ± 4.8 vs -4.2 g/L ± 5.5; P < .001). Analysis of progression showed that VNB-ALD progressors had a greater decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (-42 mL per year vs -32 mL per year; Tukey-adjusted P = .002). Conclusion Simultaneously correcting volume, noise, and interscanner bias for lung density change estimation in emphysema progression at CT improved repeatability analyses and agreed with visual readings. It distinguished between progressors and nonprogressors and was associated with a greater decline in lung function metrics. Clinical trial registration no. NCT00608764 © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Goo in this issue.

Local heterogeneity of normal lung parenchyma and small airways disease are associated with COPD severity and progression.

BACKGROUND: Small airways disease (SAD) is a major cause of airflow obstruction in COPD patients and has been identified as a precursor to emphysema. Although the amount of SAD in the lungs can be quantified using our Parametric Response Mapping (PRM) approach, the full breadth of this readout as a measure of emphysema and COPD progression has yet to be explored. We evaluated topological features of PRM-derived normal parenchyma and SAD as surrogates of emphysema and predictors of spirometric decline. METHODS: PRM metrics of normal lung (PRMNorm) and functional SAD (PRMfSAD) were generated from CT scans collected as part of the COPDGene study (n = 8956). Volume density (V) and Euler-Poincaré Characteristic (χ) image maps, measures of the extent and coalescence of pocket formations (i.e., topologies), respectively, were determined for both PRMNorm and PRMfSAD. Association with COPD severity, emphysema, and spirometric measures were assessed via multivariable regression models. Readouts were evaluated as inputs for predicting FEV1 decline using a machine learning model. RESULTS: Multivariable cross-sectional analysis of COPD subjects showed that V and χ measures for PRMfSAD and PRMNorm were independently associated with the amount of emphysema. Readouts χfSAD (ß of 0.106, p < 0.001) and VfSAD (ß of 0.065, p = 0.004) were also independently associated with FEV1% predicted. The machine learning model using PRM topologies as inputs predicted FEV1 decline over five years with an AUC of 0.69. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that V and χ of fSAD and Norm have independent value when associated with lung function and emphysema. In addition, we demonstrated that these readouts are predictive of spirometric decline when used as inputs in a ML model. Our topological PRM approach using PRMfSAD and PRMNorm may show promise as an early indicator of emphysema onset and COPD progression.

Central Role of CT in Management of Pulmonary Fibrosis.

With the approval of antifibrotic medications to treat patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and progressive pulmonary fibrosis, radiologists have an integral role in diagnosing these entities and guiding treatment decisions. CT features of early pulmonary fibrosis include irregular thickening of interlobular septa, pleura, and intralobular linear structures, with subsequent progression to reticular abnormality, traction bronchiectasis or bronchiolectasis, and honeycombing. CT patterns of fibrotic lung disease can often be reliably classified on the basis of the CT features and distribution of the condition. Accurate identification of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) or probable UIP patterns by radiologists can obviate the need for a tissue sample-based diagnosis. Other entities that can appear as a UIP pattern must be excluded in multidisciplinary discussion before a diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is made. Although the imaging findings of nonspecific interstitial pneumonia and fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis can overlap with those of a radiologic UIP pattern, these entities can often be distinguished by paying careful attention to the radiologic signs. Diagnostic challenges may include misdiagnosis of fibrotic lung disease due to pitfalls such as airspace enlargement with fibrosis, paraseptal emphysema, recurrent aspiration, and postinfectious fibrosis. The radiologist also plays an important role in identifying complications of pulmonary fibrosis-pulmonary hypertension, acute exacerbation, infection, and lung cancer in particular. In cases in which there is uncertainty regarding the clinical and radiologic diagnoses, surgical biopsy is recommended, and a multidisciplinary discussion among clinicians, radiologists, and pathologists can be used to address diagnosis and management strategies. This review is intended to help radiologists diagnose and manage pulmonary fibrosis more accurately, ultimately aiding in the clinical management of affected patients. ©RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article.

Deep Learning Assessment of Progression of Emphysema and Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Abnormality.

Rationale: Although studies have evaluated emphysema and fibrotic interstitial lung abnormality individually, less is known about their combined progression. Objectives: To define clinically meaningful progression of fibrotic interstitial lung abnormality in smokers without interstitial lung disease and evaluate the effects of fibrosis and emphysema progression on mortality. Methods: Emphysema and pulmonary fibrosis were assessed on the basis of baseline and 5-year follow-up computed tomography scans of 4,450 smokers in the COPDGene Study using deep learning algorithms. Emphysema was classified as absent, trace, mild, moderate, confluent, or advanced destructive. Fibrosis was expressed as a percentage of lung volume. Emphysema progression was defined as an increase by at least one grade. A hybrid distribution and anchor-based method was used to determine the minimal clinically important difference in fibrosis. The relationship between progression and mortality was evaluated using multivariable shared frailty models using an age timescale. Measurements and Main Results: The minimal clinically important difference for fibrosis was 0.58%. On the basis of this threshold, 2,822 (63%) had progression of neither emphysema nor fibrosis, 841 (19%) had emphysema progression alone, 512 (12%) had fibrosis progression alone, and 275 (6.2%) had progression of both. Compared with nonprogressors, hazard ratios for mortality were 1.42 (95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.82) in emphysema progressors, 1.49 (1.14-1.94) in fibrosis progressors, and 2.18 (1.58-3.02) in those with progression of both emphysema and fibrosis. Conclusions: In smokers without known interstitial lung disease, small changes in fibrosis may be clinically significant, and combined progression of emphysema and fibrosis is associated with increased mortality.

Incidence and Progression of Fibrotic Lung Disease in an At-Risk Cohort.

Rationale: Relatives of patients with familial interstitial pneumonia (FIP) are at increased risk for pulmonary fibrosis and develop preclinical pulmonary fibrosis (PrePF). Objectives: We defined the incidence and progression of new-onset PrePF and its relationship to survival among first-degree relatives of families with FIP. Methods: This is a cohort study of family members with FIP who were initially screened with a health questionnaire and chest high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) scan, and approximately 4 years later, the evaluation was repeated. A total of 493 asymptomatic first-degree relatives of patients with FIP were evaluated at baseline, and 296 (60%) of the original subjects participated in the subsequent evaluation. Measurements and Main Results: The median interval between HRCTs was 3.9 years (interquartile range, 3.5-4.4 yr). A total of 252 subjects who agreed to repeat evaluation were originally determined not to have PrePF at baseline; 16 developed PrePF. A conservative estimate of the annual incidence of PrePF is 1,023 per 100,000 person-years (95% confidence interval, 511-1,831 per 100,000 person-years). Of 44 subjects with PrePF at baseline, 38.4% subjects had worsening dyspnea compared with 15.4% of those without PrePF (P = 0.002). Usual interstitial pneumonia by HRCT (P < 0.0002) and baseline quantitative fibrosis score (P < 0.001) are also associated with worsening dyspnea. PrePF at the initial screen is associated with decreased survival (P < 0.001). Conclusions: The incidence of PrePF in this at-risk population is at least 100-fold higher than that reported for sporadic idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Although PrePF and IPF represent distinct entities, our study demonstrates that PrePF, like IPF, is progressive and associated with decreased survival.

Heterogeneity and Progression of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Emphysema-Predominant and Non-Emphysema-Predominant Disease.

While variation in emphysema severity between patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is well-recognized, clinically applicable definitions of the emphysema-predominant disease (EPD) and non-emphysema-predominant disease (NEPD) subtypes have not been established. To study the clinical relevance of the EPD and NEPD subtypes, we tested the association of these subtypes with prospective decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and mortality among 3,427 subjects with Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) spirometric grade 2-4 COPD at baseline in the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) Study, an ongoing national multicenter study that started in 2007. NEPD was defined as airflow obstruction with less than 5% computed tomography (CT) quantitative densitometric emphysema at -950 Hounsfield units, and EPD was defined as airflow obstruction with 10% or greater CT emphysema. Mixed-effects models for FEV1 demonstrated larger average annual FEV1 loss in EPD subjects than in NEPD subjects (-10.2 mL/year; P < 0.001), and subtype-specific associations with FEV1 decline were identified. Cox proportional hazards models showed higher risk of mortality among EPD patients versus NEPD patients (hazard ratio = 1.46, 95% confidence interval: 1.34, 1.60; P < 0.001). To determine whether the NEPD/EPD dichotomy is captured by previously described COPDGene subtypes, we used logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to predict NEPD/EPD membership using these previous subtype definitions. The analysis generally showed excellent discrimination, with areas under the ROC curve greater than 0.9. The NEPD and EPD COPD subtypes capture important aspects of COPD heterogeneity and are associated with different rates of disease progression and mortality.

Pirfenidone in fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis: a double-blind, randomised clinical trial of efficacy and safety.

BACKGROUND: Fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (FHP) is an irreversible lung disease with high morbidity and mortality. We sought to evaluate the safety and effect of pirfenidone on disease progression in such patients. METHODS: We conducted a single-centre, randomised, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial in adults with FHP and disease progression. Patients were assigned in a 2:1 ratio to receive either oral pirfenidone (2403 mg/day) or placebo for 52 weeks. The primary end point was the mean absolute change in the per cent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%). Secondary end points included progression-free survival (PFS, time to a relative decline ≥10% in FVC and/or diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO), acute respiratory exacerbation, a decrease of ≥50 m in the 6 min walk distance, increase or introduction of immunosuppressive drugs or death), change in FVC slope and mean DLCO%, hospitalisations, radiological progression of lung fibrosis and safety. RESULTS: After randomising 40 patients, enrolment was interrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. There was no significant between-group difference in FVC% at week 52 (mean difference -0.76%, 95% CI -6.34 to 4.82). Pirfenidone resulted in a lower rate of decline in the adjusted FVC% at week 26 and improved PFS (HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.12 to 0.60). Results for other secondary end points showed no significant difference between groups. No deaths occurred in the pirfenidone group and one death (respiratory) occurred in the placebo group. There were no treatment-emergent serious adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: The trial was underpowered to detect a difference in the primary end point. Pirfenidone was found to be safe and improved PFS in patients with FHP. TRIAL REGISTRATION MUMBER: NCT02958917.

Quantitative CT Evaluation of Emphysema Progression over 10 Years in the COPDGene Study.

Background Long-term studies of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) can evaluate emphysema progression. Adjustment for differences in equipment and scanning protocols of individual CT examinations have not been studied extensively. Purpose To evaluate emphysema progression in current and former smokers in the COPDGene cohort over three imaging points obtained at 5-year intervals accounting for individual CT parameters. Materials and Methods Current and former cigarette smokers enrolled between 2008 and 2011 from the COPDGene study were prospectively followed for 10 years between 2008 and 2020. Extent of emphysema as adjusted lung density (ALD) from quantitative CT was measured at baseline and at 5- and 10-year follow-up. Linear mixed models adjusted for CT technical characteristics were constructed to evaluate emphysema progression. Mean annual changes in ALD over consecutive 5-year study periods were estimated by smoking status and baseline emphysema. Results Of 8431 participants at baseline (mean age, 60 years ± 9 [SD]; 3905 female participants), 4913 were at 5-year follow-up and 1544 participants were at 10-year follow-up. There were 4134 (49%) participants who were current smokers, and 4449 (53%) participants had more than trace emphysema at baseline. Current smokers with more than trace emphysema showed the largest decline in ALD, with mean annual decreases of 1.4 g/L (95% CI: 1.2, 1.5) in the first 5 years and 0.9 g/L (95% CI: 0.7, 1.2) in the second 5 years. Accounting for CT noise, field of view, and scanner model improved model fit for estimation of emphysema progression (P < .001 by likelihood ratio test). Conclusion Evaluation at CT of emphysema progression in the COPDGene study showed that, during the span of 10 years, participants with pre-existing emphysema who continued smoking had the largest decline in ALD. Adjusting for CT equipment and protocol factors improved these longitudinal estimates. Clinical trial registration no. NCT00608764 © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See the editorial by Parraga and Kirby in this issue.

Extent of fibrosis and lung function decline in patients with systemic sclerosis and interstitial lung disease: data from the SENSCIS trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess associations between the extent of fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) and forced vital capacity (FVC) at baseline and change in FVC over 52 weeks in patients with systemic sclerosis-associated ILD (SSc-ILD) in the SENSCIS trial. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We used generalized additive models, which involve few assumptions and allow for interaction between non-linear effects, to assess associations between the extent of fibrotic ILD on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT), and the interplay of extent of fibrotic ILD on HRCT and FVC % predicted, at baseline and FVC decline over 52 weeks. RESULTS: In the placebo group (n = 288), there was weak evidence of a modest association between a greater extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline and a greater decline in FVC % predicted at week 52 [r: -0.09 (95% CI -0.2, 0.03)]. Higher values of both the extent of fibrotic ILD and FVC % predicted at baseline tended to be associated with greater decline in FVC % predicted at week 52. In the nintedanib group (n = 288), there was no evidence of an association between the extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline and decline in FVC % predicted at week 52 [r: 0.01 (95% CI: -0.11, 0.12)] or between the interplay of extent of fibrotic ILD and FVC % predicted at baseline and decline in FVC % predicted at week 52. CONCLUSIONS: Data from the SENSCIS trial suggest that patients with SSc-ILD are at risk of ILD progression and benefit from nintedanib largely irrespective of their extent of fibrotic ILD at baseline. STUDY REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, https://clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02597933.

Deep Learning-based Outcome Prediction in Progressive Fibrotic Lung Disease Using High-Resolution Computed Tomography.

Rationale: Reliable outcome prediction in patients with fibrotic lung disease using baseline high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) data remains challenging. Objectives: To evaluate the prognostic accuracy of a deep learning algorithm (SOFIA [Systematic Objective Fibrotic Imaging Analysis Algorithm]), trained and validated in the identification of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP)-like features on HRCT (UIP probability), in a large cohort of well-characterized patients with progressive fibrotic lung disease drawn from a national registry. Methods: SOFIA and radiologist UIP probabilities were converted to Prospective Investigation of Pulmonary Embolism Diagnosis (PIOPED)-based UIP probability categories (UIP not included in the differential, 0-4%; low probability of UIP, 5-29%; intermediate probability of UIP, 30-69%; high probability of UIP, 70-94%; and pathognomonic for UIP, 95-100%), and their prognostic utility was assessed using Cox proportional hazards modeling. Measurements and Main Results: In multivariable analysis adjusting for age, sex, guideline-based radiologic diagnosis, anddisease severity (using total interstitial lung disease [ILD] extent on HRCT, percent predicted FVC, DlCO, or the composite physiologic index), only SOFIA UIP probability PIOPED categories predicted survival. SOFIA-PIOPED UIP probability categories remained prognostically significant in patients considered indeterminate (n = 83) by expert radiologist consensus (hazard ratio, 1.73; P < 0.0001; 95% confidence interval, 1.40-2.14). In patients undergoing surgical lung biopsy (n = 86), after adjusting for guideline-based histologic pattern and total ILD extent on HRCT, only SOFIA-PIOPED probabilities were predictive of mortality (hazard ratio, 1.75; P < 0.0001; 95% confidence interval, 1.37-2.25). Conclusions: Deep learning-based UIP probability on HRCT provides enhanced outcome prediction in patients with progressive fibrotic lung disease when compared with expert radiologist evaluation or guideline-based histologic pattern. In principle, this tool may be useful in multidisciplinary characterization of fibrotic lung disease. The utility of this technology as a decision support system when ILD expertise is unavailable requires further investigation.

Emphysema Progression at CT by Deep Learning Predicts Functional Impairment and Mortality: Results from the COPDGene Study.

Background Visual assessment remains the standard for evaluating emphysema at CT; however, it is time consuming, is subjective, requires training, and is affected by variability that may limit sensitivity to longitudinal change. Purpose To evaluate the clinical and imaging significance of increasing emphysema severity as graded by a deep learning algorithm on sequential CT scans in cigarette smokers. Materials and Methods A secondary analysis of the prospective Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPDGene) study participants was performed and included baseline and 5-year follow-up CT scans from 2007 to 2017. Emphysema was classified automatically according to the Fleischner emphysema grading system at baseline and 5-year follow-up using a deep learning model. Baseline and change in clinical and imaging parameters at 5-year follow-up were compared in participants whose emphysema progressed versus those who did not. Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox regression were used to assess the relationship between emphysema score progression and mortality. Results A total of 5056 participants (mean age, 60 years ± 9 [SD]; 2566 men) were evaluated. At 5-year follow-up, 1293 of the 5056 participants (26%) had emphysema progression according to the Fleischner grading system. This group demonstrated progressive airflow obstruction (forced expiratory volume in 1 second [percent predicted]: -3.4 vs -1.8), a greater decline in 6-minute walk distance (-177 m vs -124 m), and greater progression in quantitative emphysema extent (adjusted lung density: -1.4 g/L vs 0.5 g/L; percentage of lung voxels with CT attenuation less than -950 HU: 0.6 vs 0.2) than those with nonprogressive emphysema (P < .001 for each). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed a higher mortality rate in the group with emphysema progression, with an estimated hazard ratio of 1.5 (95% CI: 1.2, 1.8; P < .001). Conclusion An increase in Fleischner emphysema grade on sequential CT scans using an automated deep learning algorithm was associated with increased functional impairment and increased risk of mortality. ClinicalTrials.gov registration no. NCT00608764 © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Grenier in this issue.

Sex Differences in Airways at Chest CT: Results from the COPDGene Cohort.

Background The prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in women is fast approaching that in men, and women experience greater symptom burden. Although sex differences in emphysema have been reported, differences in airways have not been systematically characterized. Purpose To evaluate whether structural differences in airways may underlie some of the sex differences in COPD prevalence and clinical outcomes. Materials and Methods In a secondary analyses of a multicenter study of never-, current-, and former-smokers enrolled from January 2008 to June 2011 and followed up longitudinally until November 2020, airway disease on CT images was quantified using seven metrics: airway wall thickness, wall area percent, and square root of the wall thickness of a hypothetical airway with internal perimeter of 10 mm (referred to as Pi10) for airway wall; and lumen diameter, airway volume, total airway count, and airway fractal dimension for airway lumen. Least-squares mean values for each airway metric were calculated and adjusted for age, height, ethnicity, body mass index, pack-years of smoking, current smoking status, total lung capacity, display field of view, and scanner type. In ever-smokers, associations were tested between each airway metric and postbronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1)-to-forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio, modified Medical Research Council dyspnea scale, St George's Respiratory Questionnaire score, and 6-minute walk distance. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were created to evaluate the sex-specific association between each airway metric and mortality. Results In never-smokers (n = 420), men had thicker airway walls than women as quantified on CT images for segmental airway wall area percentage (least-squares mean, 47.68 ± 0.61 [standard error] vs 45.78 ± 0.55; difference, -1.90; P = .02), whereas airway lumen dimensions were lower in women than men after accounting for height and total lung capacity (segmental lumen diameter, 8.05 mm ± 0.14 vs 9.05 mm ± 0.16; difference, -1.00 mm; P < .001). In ever-smokers (n = 9363), men had greater segmental airway wall area percentage (least-squares mean, 52.19 ± 0.16 vs 48.89 ± 0.18; difference, -3.30; P < .001), whereas women had narrower segmental lumen diameter (7.80 mm ± 0.05 vs 8.69 mm ± 0.04; difference, -0.89; P < .001). A unit change in each of the airway metrics (higher wall or lower lumen measure) resulted in lower FEV1-to-FVC ratio, more dyspnea, poorer respiratory quality of life, lower 6-minute walk distance, and worse survival in women compared with men (all P < .01). Conclusion Airway lumen sizes quantified at chest CT were smaller in women than in men after accounting for height and lung size, and these lower baseline values in women conferred lower reserves against respiratory morbidity and mortality for equivalent changes compared with men. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Plasma sRAGE levels strongly associate with centrilobular emphysema assessed by HRCT scans.

BACKGROUND: There is a strong need for biomarkers to better characterize individuals with COPD and to take into account the heterogeneity of COPD. The blood protein sRAGE has been put forward as promising biomarker for COPD in general and emphysema in particular. Here, we measured plasma sRAGE levels using quantitative LC-MS and assessed whether the plasma sRAGE levels associate with (changes in) lung function, radiological emphysema parameters, and radiological subtypes of emphysema. METHODS: Three hundred and twenty-four COPD patients (mean FEV1: 63%predicted) and 185 healthy controls from the COPDGene study were selected. Plasma sRAGE was measured by immunoprecipitation in 96-well plate methodology to enrich sRAGE, followed by targeted quantitative liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. Spirometry and HRCT scans (inspiration and expiration) with a 5-year follow-up were used; both subjected to high quality control standards. RESULTS: Lower sRAGE values significantly associated with the presence of COPD, the severity of airflow obstruction, the severity of emphysema on HRCT, the heterogeneous distribution of emphysema, centrilobular emphysema, and 5-year progression of emphysema. However, sRAGE values did not associate with airway wall thickness or paraseptal emphysema. CONCLUSIONS: Rather than being a general COPD biomarker, sRAGE is especially a promising biomarker for centrilobular emphysema. Follow-up studies should elucidate whether sRAGE can be used as a biomarker for other COPD phenotypes as well.

Quantitative computed tomography predicts outcomes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Prediction of disease course in patients with progressive pulmonary fibrosis remains challenging. The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of lung fibrosis extent quantified at computed tomography (CT) using data-driven texture analysis (DTA) in a large cohort of well-characterized patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) enrolled in a national registry. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included participants in the Australian IPF Registry with available CT between 2007 and 2016. CT scans were analysed using the DTA method to quantify the extent of lung fibrosis. Demographics, longitudinal pulmonary function and quantitative CT metrics were compared using descriptive statistics. Linear mixed models, and Cox analyses adjusted for age, gender, BMI, smoking history and treatment with anti-fibrotics were performed to assess the relationships between baseline DTA, pulmonary function metrics and outcomes. RESULTS: CT scans of 393 participants were analysed, 221 of which had available pulmonary function testing obtained within 90 days of CT. Linear mixed-effect modelling showed that baseline DTA score was significantly associated with annual rate of decline in forced vital capacity and diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, greater extent of lung fibrosis was associated with poorer transplant-free survival (hazard ratio [HR] 1.20, p < 0.0001) and progression-free survival (HR 1.14, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: In a multi-centre observational registry of patients with IPF, the extent of fibrotic abnormality on baseline CT quantified using DTA is associated with outcomes independent of pulmonary function.

Quantitative imaging analysis detects subtle airway abnormalities in symptomatic military deployers.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to inhalational hazards during post-9/11 deployment to Southwest Asia and Afghanistan puts military personnel at risk for respiratory symptoms and disease. Pulmonary function and qualitative chest high resolution computed tomography (HRCT) are often normal in "deployers" with persistent respiratory symptoms. We explored the utility of quantitative HRCT imaging markers of large and small airways abnormalities, including airway wall thickness, emphysema, and air trapping, in symptomatic deployers with clinically-confirmed lung disease compared to controls. METHODS: Chest HRCT images from 45 healthy controls and 82 symptomatic deployers with asthma, distal lung disease or both were analyzed using Thirona Lung quantification software to calculate airway wall thickness (by Pi10), emphysema (by percentage of lung volume with attenuation < -950 Hounsfield units [LAA%-950]), and three parameters of air trapping (expiratory/inspiratory total lung volume and mean lung density ratios, and LAA%-856). SAS v.9.4 was used to compare demographic and clinical characteristics between deployers and controls using Chi-Square, Fisher Exact or t-tests. Linear regression was used to assess relationships between pulmonary function and quantitative imaging findings. RESULTS: Gender and smoking status were not statistically significantly different between groups, but deployers were significantly younger than controls (42 vs 58 years, p < 0.0001), had higher body mass index (31 vs 28 kg/m2, p = 0.01), and had fewer total smoking pack-years (8 vs. 26, p = 0.007). Spirometric measures were not statistically significantly different between groups. Pi10 and LAA%-950 were significantly elevated in deployers compared to controls in unadjusted analyses, with the emphysema measure remaining significantly higher in deployers after adjustment for age, sex, smoking, BMI, and expiratory total lung volume. Air trapping parameters were more common in control images, likely due to differences in age and smoking between groups. Among deployers, LAA%-950 and Pi10 were significantly correlated with spirometric markers of obstruction based on ratio of forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) and/or percent predicted FEV1. CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative chest HRCT imaging analysis identifies emphysema in deployers with asthma and distal lung disease, and may be useful in detecting and monitoring deployment-related lung disease in a population where spirometry is typically normal.

Persistent, Progressive Pulmonary Fibrosis and Epithelial Remodeling in Mice.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive fibrotic interstitial lung disease with underlying mechanisms that have been primarily investigated in mice after intratracheal instillation of a single dose of bleomycin. However, the model has significant limitations, including transient fibrosis that spontaneously resolves and its failure to fully recapitulate the epithelial remodeling in the lungs of patients with IPF. Thus, there remains an unmet need for a preclinical model with features that more closely resemble the human disease. Repetitive intratracheal instillation of bleomycin has previously been shown to recapitulate some of these features, but the instillation procedure is complex, and the long-term consequences on epithelial remodeling and fibrosis persistence and progression remain poorly understood. Here, we developed a simplified repetitive bleomycin instillation strategy consisting of three bi-weekly instillations that leads to persistent and progressive pulmonary fibrosis. Lung histology demonstrates increased collagen deposition, fibroblast accumulation, loss of type I and type II alveolar epithelial cells within fibrotic areas, bronchiolization of the lung parenchyma with CCSP+ cells, remodeling of the distal lung into cysts reminiscent of simple honeycombing, and accumulation of hyperplastic transitional KRT8+ epithelial cells. Micro-computed tomographic imaging demonstrated significant traction bronchiectasis and subpleural fibrosis. Thus, the simplified repetitive bleomycin instillation strategy leads to progressive fibrosis and recapitulates the histological and radiographic characteristics of IPF. Compared with the single bleomycin instillation model, we suggest that the simplified repetitive instillation model may be better suited to address mechanistic questions about IPF pathogenesis and preclinical studies of antifibrotic drug candidates.

Fleischner Society Visual Emphysema CT Patterns Help Predict Progression of Emphysema in Current and Former Smokers: Results from the COPDGene Study.

Background The correlation between visual emphysema patterns and subsequent progression of disease may provide a way to enrich a study population for treatment trials of emphysema. Purpose To evaluate the potential relationship between emphysema visual subtypes and progression of emphysema and gas trapping. Materials and Methods Current and former smokers with and without chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) enrolled in the prospective Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) study (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02445183) between 2008 and 2011 had their Fleischner Society visual CT scores assessed at baseline, quantitative inspiratory, and expiratory CT and at 5 years. They also underwent pulmonary function testing at baseline CT and at 5 years. The dependent variables were inspiratory lung density at 15th percentile (adjusted for lung volume) as a measure of emphysema and percentage of lung volume with attenuation less than -856 HU at expiratory CT as a measure of air trapping. Statistical analysis used a linear mixed model, adjusted for age, height, sex, race, smoking status, and scanner make. Results A total of 4166 participants (mean age, 60 years ± 9 [standard deviation]; 2091 [50%] men) were evaluated. In participants with COPD (1655 participants, 40%), those with visual presence of mild, moderate, and confluent emphysema at baseline CT showed a mean decline in lung density of 4.6 g/L ± 1.1 (P < .001), 6.7 g/L ± 1.1 (P < .001), and 6.4 g/L ± 1.2 (P < .001), respectively, compared with 2.4 g/L ± 1.3 (P < .001) for those with trace emphysema. For participants without COPD, those with visual presence of mild and moderate emphysema at baseline CT showed a mean decline in lung density of 3.6 g/L ± 1.0 (P < .001) and 3.1 g/L ± 1.6 (P < .001), respectively, compared with 1.8 g/L ± 1.0 (P < .001) for those with trace emphysema. Conclusion The pattern of parenchymal emphysema at baseline CT was an independent predictor of subsequent progression of emphysema in participants who are current or former cigarette smokers with and without chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. © RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Relationship between Emphysema Progression at CT and Mortality in Ever-Smokers: Results from the COPDGene and ECLIPSE Cohorts.

Background The relationship between emphysema progression and long-term outcomes is unclear. Purpose To determine the relationship between emphysema progression at CT and mortality among participants with emphysema. Materials and Methods In a secondary analysis of two prospective observational studies, COPDGene (clinicaltrials.gov, NCT00608764) and Evaluation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate End-points (ECLIPSE; clinicaltrials.gov, NCT00292552), emphysema was measured at CT at two points by using the volume-adjusted lung density at the 15th percentile of the lung density histogram (hereafter, lung density perc15) method. The association between emphysema progression rate and all-cause mortality was analyzed by using Cox regression adjusted for ethnicity, sex, baseline age, pack-years, and lung density, baseline and change in smoking status, forced expiratory volume in 1 second, and 6-minute walk distance. In COPDGene, respiratory mortality was analyzed by using the Fine and Gray method. Results A total of 5143 participants (2613 men [51%]; mean age, 60 years ± 9 [standard deviation]) in COPDGene and 1549 participants (973 men [63%]; mean age, 62 years ± 8) in ECLIPSE were evaluated, of which 2097 (40.8%) and 1179 (76.1%) had emphysema, respectively. Baseline imaging was performed between January 2008 and December 2010 for COPDGene and January 2006 and August 2007 for ECLIPSE. Follow-up imaging was performed after 5.5 years ± 0.6 in COPDGene and 3.0 years ± 0.2 in ECLIPSE, and mortality was assessed over the ensuing 5 years in both. For every 1 g/L per year faster rate of decline in lung density perc15, all-cause mortality increased by 8% in COPDGene (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.16; P = .03) and 6% in ECLIPSE (HR, 1.06; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.13; P = .045). In COPDGene, respiratory mortality increased by 22% (HR, 1.22; 95% CI: 1.13, 1.31; P < .001) for the same increase in the rate of change in lung density perc15. Conclusion In ever-smokers with emphysema, emphysema progression at CT was associated with increased all-cause and respiratory mortality. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Lee and Park in this issue.