Forum on immune digital twins: a meeting report.

Medical digital twins are computational models of human biology relevant to a given medical condition, which are tailored to an individual patient, thereby predicting the course of disease and individualized treatments, an important goal of personalized medicine. The immune system, which has a central role in many diseases, is highly heterogeneous between individuals, and thus poses a major challenge for this technology. In February 2023, an international group of experts convened for two days to discuss these challenges related to immune digital twins. The group consisted of clinicians, immunologists, biologists, and mathematical modelers, representative of the interdisciplinary nature of medical digital twin development. A video recording of the entire event is available. This paper presents a synopsis of the discussions, brief descriptions of ongoing digital twin projects at different stages of progress. It also proposes a 5-year action plan for further developing this technology. The main recommendations are to identify and pursue a small number of promising use cases, to develop stimulation-specific assays of immune function in a clinical setting, and to develop a database of existing computational immune models, as well as advanced modeling technology and infrastructure.

Toward mechanistic medical digital twins: some use cases in immunology.

A fundamental challenge for personalized medicine is to capture enough of the complexity of an individual patient to determine an optimal way to keep them healthy or restore their health. This will require personalized computational models of sufficient resolution and with enough mechanistic information to provide actionable information to the clinician. Such personalized models are increasingly referred to as medical digital twins. Digital twin technology for health applications is still in its infancy, and extensive research and development is required. This article focuses on several projects in different stages of development that can lead to specific-and practical-medical digital twins or digital twin modeling platforms. It emerged from a two-day forum on problems related to medical digital twins, particularly those involving an immune system component. Open access video recordings of the forum discussions are available.

Utilizing Plasma Composition Data to Help Determine Procoagulant Dynamics in Patients with Thermal Injury: A Computational Assessment.

INTRODUCTION: The development of methods that generate individualized assessments of the procoagulant potential of burn patients could improve their treatment. Beyond its role as an essential intermediate in the formation of thrombin, factor (F)Xa has systemic effects as an agonist to inflammatory processes. In this study, we use a computational model to study the FXa dynamics underlying tissue factor-initiated thrombin generation in a small cohort of burn patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Plasma samples were collected upon admission (Hour 0) from nine subjects (five non-survivors) with major burn injuries and then at 48 hours. Coagulation factor concentrations (II, V, VII, VIII, IX, X, TFPI, antithrombin (AT), protein C (PC)) were measured and used in a computational model to generate time course profiles for thrombin (IIa), FXa, extrinsic tenase, intrinsic tenase and prothrombinase complexes upon a 5 pM tissue factor stimulus in the presence of 1 nM thrombomodulin. Parameters were extracted from the thrombin and FXa profiles (including max rate (MaxRIIa and MaxRFXa) and peak level (MaxLIIa and MaxLFXa)). Procoagulant potential was also evaluated by determining the concentration of the complexes at select times. Parameter values were compared between survivors and non-survivors in the burn cohort and between the burn cohort and a simulation based on the mean physiological (100%) concentration for all factor levels. RESULTS: Burn patients differed at Hour 0 (p < 0.05) from 100% mean physiological levels for all coagulation factor levels except FV and FVII. The concentration of FX, FII, TFPI, AT and PC was lower; FIX and FVIII were increased. The composition differences resulted in all nine burn patients at Hour 0 displaying a procoagulant phenotype relative to 100% mean physiological simulation (MaxLIIa (306 ± 90 nM vs. 52 nM), MaxRIIa (2.9 ± 1.1 nM/s vs. 0.3 nM/s), respectively p < 0.001); MaxRFXa and MaxLFXa were also an order of magnitude greater than 100% mean physiological simulation (p < 0.001). When grouped by survival status and compared at the time of admission, non-survivors had lower PC levels (56 ± 18% vs. 82 ± 9%, p < 0.05), and faster MaxRFXa (29 ± 6 pM/s vs. 18 ± 6 pM/s, p < 0.05) than those that survived; similar trends were observed for all other procoagulant parameters. At 48 hours when comparing non-survivors to survivors, TFPI levels were higher (108 ± 18% vs. 59 ± 18%, p < 0.05), and MaxRIIa (1.5 ± 1.4 nM/s vs. 3.6 ± 0.7 nM/s, p < 0.05) and MaxRFXa (13 ± 12 pM/s vs. 35 ± 4 pM/s, p < 0.05) were lower; similar trends were observed with all other procoagulant parameters. Overall, between admission and 48 hours, procoagulant potential, as represented by MaxR and MaxL parameters for thrombin and FXa, in non-survivors decreased while in survivors they increased (p < 0.05). In patients that survived, there was a positive correlation between FX levels and MaxLFXa (r = 0.96) and reversed in mortality (r= -0.91). CONCLUSIONS: Thrombin and FXa generation are increased in burn patients at admission compared to mean physiological simulations. Over the first 48 hours, burn survivors became more procoagulant while non-survivors became less procoagulant. Differences between survivors and non-survivors appear to be present in the underlying dynamics that contribute to FXa dynamics. Understanding how the individual specific balance of procoagulant and anticoagulant proteins contributes to thrombin and FXa generation could ultimately guide therapy and potentially reduce burn injury-related morbidity and mortality.