Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccines Over Time Against Clinical and Radiologic Outcomes Related to Severe SARS-CoV-2 Infection.

Background The impact of waning vaccine effectiveness on the severity of COVID-19-related findings discovered with radiologic examinations remains underexplored. Purpose To evaluate the effectiveness of vaccines over time against severe clinical and radiologic outcomes related to SARS-CoV-2 infections. Materials and Methods This multicenter retrospective study included patients in the Korean Imaging Cohort of COVID-19 database who were hospitalized for COVID-19 between June 2021 and December 2022. Patients who had received at least one dose of a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine were categorized based on the time elapsed between diagnosis and their last vaccination. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to estimate vaccine effectiveness against a composite of severe clinical outcomes (invasive ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or in-hospital death) and severe radiologic pneumonia (≥25% of lung involvement), and odds ratios (ORs) were compared between patients vaccinated within 90 days of diagnosis and those vaccinated more than 90 days before diagnosis. Results Of 4196 patients with COVID-19 (mean age, 66 years ± 17 [SD]; 2132 [51%] women, 2064 [49%] men), the ratio of severe pneumonia since their most recent vaccination was as follows: 90 days or less, 18% (277 of 1527); between 91 and 120 days, 22% (172 of 783); between 121 and 180 days, 27% (274 of 1032); between 181 and 240 days, 32% (159 of 496); and more than 240 days, 31% (110 of 358). Patients vaccinated more than 240 days before diagnosis showed increased odds of severe clinical outcomes compared with patients vaccinated within 90 days (OR = 1.94 [95% CI: 1.16, 3.24]; P = .01). Similarly, patients vaccinated more than 240 days before diagnosis showed increased odds of severe pneumonia on chest radiographs compared with patients vaccinated within 90 days (OR = 1.65 [95% CI: 1.13, 2.40]; P = .009). No difference in odds of severe clinical outcomes (P = .13 to P = .68) or severe pneumonia (P = .15 to P = .86) were observed between patients vaccinated 91-240 days before diagnosis and those vaccinated within 90 days of diagnosis. Conclusion Vaccine effectiveness against severe clinical outcomes and severe pneumonia related to SARS-CoV-2 infection gradually declined, with increased odds of both observed in patients vaccinated more than 240 days before diagnosis. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Wells in this issue.

Diffusing capacity as an independent predictor of acute exacerbations in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

A weak correlation between diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) and emphysema has been reported. This study investigated whether impaired DLCO in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with increased risk of acute exacerbation independent of the presence or extent of emphysema. This retrospective cohort study included patients with COPD between January 2004 and December 2019. The participants were divided into four groups based on visually detected emphysema and impaired DLCO. Among 597 patients with COPD, 8.5% had no emphysema and impaired DLCO whereas 36.3% had emphysema without impaired DLCO. Among the four groups, patients with impaired DLCO and emphysema showed a higher risk of moderate-to-severe or severe exacerbation than those with normal DLCO. Impaired DLCO was an independent risk factor for severe exacerbation (hazard ratio, 1.524 [95% confidence interval 1.121-2.072]), whereas the presence of emphysema was not. The risk of moderate-to-severe or severe exacerbation increases with the severity of impaired DLCO. After propensity-score matching for the extent of emphysema, impaired DLCO was significantly associated with a higher risk of moderate-to-severe (p = 0.041) or severe exacerbation (p = 0.020). In patients with COPD and heterogeneous parenchymal abnormalities, DLCO can be considered an independent biomarker of acute exacerbation.

Acute Exacerbation and Longitudinal Lung Function Change of Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry.

Background: Preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) is a heterogeneous disease entity. Limited data are available regarding its prevalence, clinical course, or prognosis. We aimed to evaluate the longitudinal clinical course of patients with PRISm compared with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Methods: A retrospective study enrolled PRISm and COPD patients who underwent chest computed tomography and longitudinal pulmonary function tests between January 2013 and December 2020. We compared the incidence of acute exacerbations and lung function changes between PRISm and COPD patients. Results: Of the 623 patients, 40 and 583 had PRISm and COPD, respectively. Compared to COPD patients, PRISm patients were younger, more likely to be female and have a history of tuberculosis, and less likely to be smokers. They also had less severe comorbidities, lower forced vital capacity (FVC) and diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide (DLCO). The clinical course was not significantly different between the PRISm and COPD patients in terms of the risk of moderate-to-severe acute exacerbations or proportion of frequent exacerbators. During follow-up, PRISm patients had a significantly slower annual decline of forced expiratory volume in 1 second, FVC, and DLCO than COPD patients. Conclusion: PRISm patients had no significant difference in the risk of acute exacerbations, but a significantly slower decline of lung function during longitudinal follow-up, compared with COPD patients.

Mucus Plugs as Precursors to Exacerbation and Lung Function Decline in COPD Patients.

BACKGROUND: Mucus plugs identified through chest computed tomography (CT) scans have emerged as potential prognostic factors in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This 5-year longitudinal study investigated their impact on exacerbations and FEV1 decline. METHODS: COPD patients with baseline chest CT and spirometric assessments were categorized based on mucus plug presence. Propensity-score matching yielded balanced groups. Exacerbation rates, time to exacerbation events, hazard ratio (HR) for exacerbations, and annual rates of FEV1 decline were evaluated. Sensitivity analysis was performed with stratification according to mucus plug scores of 0, 1-2, and ≥3. RESULTS: Among 623 eligible patients, the mucus plug group was 44.3%. Through 1:1 propensity-score matching, each group was comprised of 187 individuals with balanced covariates. The mucus plug group showed higher rates of moderate-to-severe (0.51/year vs. 0.58/year, P=0.035), severe exacerbations (0.21/year vs. 0.24/year, P=0.032), and non-eosinophilic exacerbations (0.45/year vs. 0.52/year, P=0.008). Mucus plugs were associated with increased hazard of moderate-to-severe (adjusted HR=1.502 [95% CI 1.116-2.020]), severe (adjusted HR=2.106 [95% CI, 1.429-3.103]), and non-eosinophilic exacerbations (adjusted HR=1.551 [95% CI, 1.132-2.125]). Annual FEV1 decline was accelerated in the mucus plug group (ß-coefficient=-62 [95% CI, -120 to -5], P=0.035). Sensitivity analysis showed higher risk of exacerbations and accelerated FEV1 decline in mucus plug score ≥3 compared to score 0. CONCLUSIONS: Mucus plugs are associated with increased risks of exacerbations, particularly non-eosinophilic, and accelerated FEV1 declines over 5 years. Our study identified the potential prognostic value of mucus plugs on future exacerbation risks and lung function decline trajectories.

Cluster analysis of thoracic muscle mass using artificial intelligence in severe pneumonia.

Severe pneumonia results in high morbidity and mortality despite advanced treatments. This study investigates thoracic muscle mass from chest CT scans as a biomarker for predicting clinical outcomes in ICU patients with severe pneumonia. Analyzing electronic medical records and chest CT scans of 778 ICU patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia from January 2016 to December 2021, AI-enhanced 3D segmentation was used to assess thoracic muscle mass. Patients were categorized into clusters based on muscle mass profiles derived from CT scans, and their effects on clinical outcomes such as extubation success and in-hospital mortality were assessed. The study identified three clusters, showing that higher muscle mass (Cluster 1) correlated with lower in-hospital mortality (8% vs. 29% in Cluster 3) and improved clinical outcomes like extubation success. The model integrating muscle mass metrics outperformed conventional scores, with an AUC of 0.844 for predicting extubation success and 0.696 for predicting mortality. These findings highlight the strong predictive capacity of muscle mass evaluation over indices such as APACHE II and SOFA. Using AI to analyze thoracic muscle mass via chest CT provides a promising prognostic approach in severe pneumonia, advocating for its integration into clinical practice for better outcome predictions and personalized patient management.

Automatic Mechanical Ventilation vs Manual Bag Ventilation During CPR: A Pilot Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: There is insufficient evidence supporting the theory that mechanical ventilation can replace the manual ventilation method during CPR. RESEARCH QUESTION: Is using automatic mechanical ventilation (MV) feasible and comparable to the manual ventilation method during CPR? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This pilot randomized controlled trial compared MV and manual bag ventilation (BV) during CPR after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Patients with medical OHCA arriving at the ED were randomly assigned to two groups: an MV group using a mechanical ventilator and a BV group using a bag valve mask. Primary outcome was any return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Secondary outcomes were changes of arterial blood gas analysis results during CPR. Tidal volume, minute volume, and peak airway pressure were also analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 60 patients were enrolled, and 30 patients were randomly assigned to each group. There were no statistically significant differences in basic characteristics of OHCA patients between the two groups. The rate of any return of spontaneous circulation was 56.7% in the MV group and 43.3% in the BV group, indicating no significant (P = .439) difference between the two groups. There were also no statistically significant differences in changes of PH, Pco2, Po2, bicarbonate, or lactate levels during CPR between the two groups (P values = .798, 0.249, .515, .876, and .878, respectively). Significantly lower tidal volume (P < .001) and minute volume (P = .009) were observed in the MV group. INTERPRETATION: In this pilot trial, the use of MV instead of BV during CPR was feasible and could serve as a viable alternative. A multicenter randomized controlled trial is needed to create sufficient evidence for ventilation guidelines during CPR. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT05550454; URL: www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov.