Searching for LINCS to Stress: Using Text Mining to Automate Reference Chemical Curation.

Adaptive stress response pathways (SRPs) restore cellular homeostasis following perturbation but may activate terminal outcomes like apoptosis, autophagy, or cellular senescence if disruption exceeds critical thresholds. Because SRPs hold the key to vital cellular tipping points, they are targeted for therapeutic interventions and assessed as biomarkers of toxicity. Hence, we are developing a public database of chemicals that perturb SRPs to enable new data-driven tools to improve public health. Here, we report on the automated text-mining pipeline we used to build and curate the first version of this database. We started with 100 reference SRP chemicals gathered from published biomarker studies to bootstrap the database. Second, we used information retrieval to find co-occurrences of reference chemicals with SRP terms in PubMed abstracts and determined pairwise mutual information thresholds to filter biologically relevant relationships. Third, we applied these thresholds to find 1206 putative SRP perturbagens within thousands of substances in the Library of Integrated Network-Based Cellular Signatures (LINCS). To assign SRP activity to LINCS chemicals, domain experts had to manually review at least three publications for each of 1206 chemicals out of 181,805 total abstracts. To accomplish this efficiently, we implemented a machine learning approach to predict SRP classifications from texts to prioritize abstracts. In 5-fold cross-validation testing with a corpus derived from the 100 reference chemicals, artificial neural networks performed the best (F1-macro = 0.678) and prioritized 2479/181,805 abstracts for expert review, which resulted in 457 chemicals annotated with SRP activities. An independent analysis of enriched mechanisms of action and chemical use class supported the text-mined chemical associations (p < 0.05): heat shock inducers were linked with HSP90 and DNA damage inducers to topoisomerase inhibition. This database will enable novel applications of LINCS data to evaluate SRP activities and to further develop tools for biomedical information extraction from the literature.

Probabilistic Reference and 10% Effect Concentrations for Characterizing Inhalation Non-cancer and Developmental/Reproductive Effects for 2,160 Substances.

Chemicals assessment and management frameworks rely on regulatory toxicity values, which are based on points of departure (POD) identified following rigorous dose-response assessments. Yet, regulatory PODs and toxicity values for inhalation exposure (i.e., reference concentrations [RfCs]) are available for only ∼200 chemicals. To address this gap, we applied a workflow to determine surrogate inhalation route PODs and corresponding toxicity values, where regulatory assessments are lacking. We curated and selected inhalation in vivo data from the U.S. EPA's ToxValDB and adjusted reported effect values to chronic human equivalent benchmark concentrations (BMCh) following the WHO/IPCS framework. Using ToxValDB chemicals with existing PODs associated with regulatory toxicity values, we found that the 25th %-ile of a chemical's BMCh distribution (PODp25BMCh) could serve as a suitable surrogate for regulatory PODs (Q2 ≥ 0.76, RSE ≤ 0.82 log10 units). We applied this approach to derive PODp25BMCh for 2,095 substances with general non-cancer toxicity effects and 638 substances with reproductive/developmental toxicity effects, yielding a total coverage of 2,160 substances. From these PODp25BMCh, we derived probabilistic RfCs and human population effect concentrations. With this work, we have expanded the number of chemicals with toxicity values available, thereby enabling a much broader coverage for inhalation risk and impact assessment.

High-Throughput Transcriptomics of Water Extracts Detects Reductions in Biological Activity with Water Treatment Processes.

The presence of numerous chemical contaminants from industrial, agricultural, and pharmaceutical sources in water supplies poses a potential risk to human and ecological health. Current chemical analyses suffer from limitations, including chemical coverage and high cost, and broad-coverage in vitro assays such as transcriptomics may further improve water quality monitoring by assessing a large range of possible effects. Here, we used high-throughput transcriptomics to assess the activity induced by field-derived water extracts in MCF7 breast carcinoma cells. Wastewater and surface water extracts induced the largest changes in expression among cell proliferation-related genes and neurological, estrogenic, and antibiotic pathways, whereas drinking and reclaimed water extracts that underwent advanced treatment showed substantially reduced bioactivity on both gene and pathway levels. Importantly, reclaimed water extracts induced fewer changes in gene expression than laboratory blanks, which reinforces previous conclusions based on targeted assays and improves confidence in bioassay-based monitoring of water quality.

tcplfit2: an R-language general purpose concentration-response modeling package.

SUMMARY: Many applications of chemical screening are performed in concentration or dose-response mode, and it is necessary to extract appropriate parameters, including whether the chemical/assay pair is active and if so, what are concentrations where activity is seen. Typically, multiple mathematical models or curve shapes are tested against the data to assess the best fit. There are several commercial programs used for this purpose as well as open-source libraries. A widely used system for managing high-throughput screening (HTS) concentration-response data is tcpl (ToxCast Pipeline). The current implementation of tcpl has the concentration-response modeling code tightly integrated with the data management and databasing aspects of HTS data processing. Tcplfit2 is a stand-alone version of the curve-fitting and hitcalling core of tcpl that has been extended to include a large number of standard curve classes and to use benchmark dose modeling. This package will be useful for HTS concentration-response data such as high-throughput whole genome transcriptomics. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: tcplfit2 is written in R and is available from CRAN.

Combining phenotypic profiling and targeted RNA-Seq reveals linkages between transcriptional perturbations and chemical effects on cell morphology: Retinoic acid as an example.

The United States Environmental Protection Agency has proposed a tiered testing strategy for chemical hazard evaluation based on new approach methods (NAMs). The first tier includes in vitro profiling assays applicable to many (human) cell types, such as high-throughput transcriptomics (HTTr) and high-throughput phenotypic profiling (HTPP). The goals of this study were to: (1) harmonize the seeding density of U-2 OS human osteosarcoma cells for use in both assays; (2) compare HTTr- versus HTPP-derived potency estimates for 11 mechanistically diverse chemicals; (3) identify candidate reference chemicals for monitoring assay performance in future screens; and (4) characterize the transcriptional and phenotypic changes in detail for all-trans retinoic acid (ATRA) as a model compound known for its adverse effects on osteoblast differentiation. The results of this evaluation showed that (1) HTPP conducted at low (400 cells/well) and high (3000 cells/well) seeding densities yielded comparable potency estimates and similar phenotypic profiles for the tested chemicals; (2) HTPP and HTTr resulted in comparable potency estimates for changes in cellular morphology and gene expression, respectively; (3) three test chemicals (etoposide, ATRA, dexamethasone) produced concentration-dependent effects on cellular morphology and gene expression that were consistent with known modes-of-action, demonstrating their suitability for use as reference chemicals for monitoring assay performance; and (4) ATRA produced phenotypic changes that were highly similar to other retinoic acid receptor activators (AM580, arotinoid acid) and some retinoid X receptor activators (bexarotene, methoprene acid). This phenotype was observed concurrently with autoregulation of the RARB gene. Both effects were prevented by pre-treating U-2 OS cells with pharmacological antagonists of their respective receptors. Thus, the observed phenotype could be considered characteristic of retinoic acid pathway activation in U-2 OS cells. These findings lay the groundwork for combinatorial screening of chemicals using HTTr and HTPP to generate complementary information for the first tier of a NAM-based chemical hazard evaluation strategy.

Navigating Transcriptomic Connectivity Mapping Workflows to Link Chemicals with Bioactivities.

Screening new compounds for potential bioactivities against cellular targets is vital for drug discovery and chemical safety. Transcriptomics offers an efficient approach for assessing global gene expression changes, but interpreting chemical mechanisms from these data is often challenging. Connectivity mapping is a potential data-driven avenue for linking chemicals to mechanisms based on the observation that many biological processes are associated with unique gene expression signatures (gene signatures). However, mining the effects of a chemical on gene signatures for biological mechanisms is challenging because transcriptomic data contain thousands of noisy genes. New connectivity mapping approaches seeking to distinguish signal from noise continue to be developed, spurred by the promise of discovering chemical mechanisms, new drugs, and disease targets from burgeoning transcriptomic data. Here, we analyze these approaches in terms of diverse transcriptomic technologies, public databases, gene signatures, pattern-matching algorithms, and statistical evaluation criteria. To navigate the complexity of connectivity mapping, we propose a harmonized scheme to coherently organize and compare published workflows. We first standardize concepts underlying transcriptomic profiles and gene signatures based on various transcriptomic technologies such as microarrays, RNA-Seq, and L1000 and discuss the widely used data sources such as Gene Expression Omnibus, ArrayExpress, and MSigDB. Next, we generalize connectivity mapping as a pattern-matching task for finding similarity between a query (e.g., transcriptomic profile for new chemical) and a reference (e.g., gene signature of known target). Published pattern-matching approaches fall into two main categories: vector-based use metrics like correlation, Jaccard index, etc., and aggregation-based use parametric and nonparametric statistics (e.g., gene set enrichment analysis). The statistical methods for evaluating the performance of different approaches are described, along with comparisons reported in the literature on benchmark transcriptomic data sets. Lastly, we review connectivity mapping applications in toxicology and offer guidance on evaluating chemical-induced toxicity with concentration-response transcriptomic data. In addition to serving as a high-level guide and tutorial for understanding and implementing connectivity mapping workflows, we hope this review will stimulate new algorithms for evaluating chemical safety and drug discovery using transcriptomic data.

The Tox21 10K Compound Library: Collaborative Chemistry Advancing Toxicology.

Since 2009, the Tox21 project has screened ∼8500 chemicals in more than 70 high-throughput assays, generating upward of 100 million data points, with all data publicly available through partner websites at the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (NCATS), and National Toxicology Program (NTP). Underpinning this public effort is the largest compound library ever constructed specifically for improving understanding of the chemical basis of toxicity across research and regulatory domains. Each Tox21 federal partner brought specialized resources and capabilities to the partnership, including three approximately equal-sized compound libraries. All Tox21 data generated to date have resulted from a confluence of ideas, technologies, and expertise used to design, screen, and analyze the Tox21 10K library. The different programmatic objectives of the partners led to three distinct, overlapping compound libraries that, when combined, not only covered a diversity of chemical structures, use-categories, and properties but also incorporated many types of compound replicates. The history of development of the Tox21 "10K" chemical library and data workflows implemented to ensure quality chemical annotations and allow for various reproducibility assessments are described. Cheminformatics profiling demonstrates how the three partner libraries complement one another to expand the reach of each individual library, as reflected in coverage of regulatory lists, predicted toxicity end points, and physicochemical properties. ToxPrint chemotypes (CTs) and enrichment approaches further demonstrate how the combined partner libraries amplify structure-activity patterns that would otherwise not be detected. Finally, CT enrichments are used to probe global patterns of activity in combined ToxCast and Tox21 activity data sets relative to test-set size and chemical versus biological end point diversity, illustrating the power of CT approaches to discern patterns in chemical-activity data sets. These results support a central premise of the Tox21 program: A collaborative merging of programmatically distinct compound libraries would yield greater rewards than could be achieved separately.

Exposure and Toxicity Characterization of Chemical Emissions and Chemicals in Products: Global Recommendations and Implementation in USEtox.

PURPOSE: Reducing chemical pressure on human and environmental health is an integral part of the global sustainability agenda. Guidelines for deriving globally applicable, life cycle based indicators are required to consistently quantify toxicity impacts from chemical emissions as well as from chemicals in consumer products. In response, we elaborate the methodological framework and present recommendations for advancing near-field/far-field exposure and toxicity characterization, and for implementing these recommendations in the scientific consensus model USEtox. METHODS: An expert taskforce was convened by the Life Cycle Initiative hosted by UN Environment to expand existing guidance for evaluating human toxicity impacts from exposure to chemical substances. This taskforce evaluated advances since the original release of USEtox. Based on these advances, the taskforce identified two major aspects that required refinement, namely integrating near-field and far-field exposure and improving human dose-response modeling. Dedicated efforts have led to a set of recommendations to address these aspects in an update of USEtox, while ensuring consistency with the boundary conditions for characterizing life cycle toxicity impacts and being aligned with recommendations from agencies that regulate chemical exposure. The proposed framework was finally tested in an illustrative rice production and consumption case study. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: On the exposure side, a matrix system is proposed and recommended to integrate far-field exposure from environmental emissions with near-field exposure from chemicals in various consumer product types. Consumer exposure is addressed via submodels for each product type to account for product characteristics and exposure settings. Case study results illustrate that product-use related exposure dominates overall life cycle exposure. On the effect side, a probabilistic dose-response approach combined with a decision tree for identifying reliable points of departure is proposed for non-cancer effects, following recent guidance from the World Health Organization. This approach allows for explicitly considering both uncertainty and human variability in effect factors. Factors reflecting disease severity are proposed to distinguish cancer from non-cancer effects, and within the latter discriminate reproductive/developmental and other non-cancer effects. All proposed aspects have been consistently implemented into the original USEtox framework. CONCLUSIONS: The recommended methodological advancements address several key limitations in earlier approaches. Next steps are to test the new characterization framework in additional case studies and to close remaining research gaps. Our framework is applicable for evaluating chemical emissions and product-related exposure in life cycle assessment, chemical alternatives assessment and chemical substitution, consumer exposure and risk screening, and high-throughput chemical prioritization.

Selecting a minimal set of androgen receptor assays for screening chemicals.

Screening certain environmental chemicals for their ability to interact with endocrine targets, including the androgen receptor (AR), is an important global concern. We previously developed a model using a battery of eleven in vitro AR assays to predict in vivo AR activity. Here we describe a revised mathematical modeling approach that also incorporates data from newly available assays and demonstrate that subsets of assays can provide close to the same level of predictivity. These subset models are evaluated against the full model using 1820 chemicals, as well as in vitro and in vivo reference chemicals from the literature. Agonist batteries of as few as six assays and antagonist batteries of as few as five assays can yield balanced accuracies of 95% or better relative to the full model. Balanced accuracy for predicting reference chemicals is 100%. An approach is outlined for researchers to develop their own subset batteries to accurately detect AR activity using assays that map to the pathway of key molecular and cellular events involved in chemical-mediated AR activation and transcriptional activity. This work indicates in vitro bioactivity and in silico predictions that map to the AR pathway could be used in an integrated approach to testing and assessment for identifying chemicals that interact directly with the mammalian AR.

Identification of potential endocrine disrupting chemicals using gene expression biomarkers.

Recent technological advances have moved the field of toxicogenomics from reliance on microarray platforms to high-throughput transcriptomic (HTTr) technologies that measure global gene expression. Gene expression biomarkers are emerging as useful tools for interpreting gene expression profiles to identify perturbations of targets of xenobiotic chemicals including those that act as endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs). Gene expression biomarkers are lists of similarly-regulated genes identified in global gene expression comparisons of cells or tissues 1) exposed to known agonists or antagonists of the transcription factor (TF) and 2) after expression of the TF itself is knocked down/knocked out or overexpressed. Estrogen receptor α (ERα) and androgen receptor (AR) biomarkers have been shown to be very accurate at identifying both agonists (94-97%) and antagonists (93-98%) in microarray data derived from human breast or prostate cancer cell lines. Importantly, the biomarkers have been shown to accurately replicate the results of computational models that predict ERα or AR modulation using multiple ToxCast HT screening assays. An integrated screening strategy using sets of biomarkers that simultaneously predict various EDC targets in relevant cell lines should simplify chemical screening without sacrificing accuracy. The biomarker predictions can be put into the context of the adverse outcome pathway framework to help prioritize chemicals with the greatest risk of potential adverse outcomes in the endocrine systems of animals and people.

Progress in data interoperability to support computational toxicology and chemical safety evaluation.

New approach methodologies (NAMs) in chemical safety evaluation are being explored to address the current public health implications of human environmental exposures to chemicals with limited or no data for assessment. For over a decade since a push toward "Toxicity Testing in the 21st Century," the field has focused on massive data generation efforts to inform computational approaches for preliminary hazard identification, adverse outcome pathways that link molecular initiating events and key events to apical outcomes, and high-throughput approaches to risk-based ratios of bioactivity and exposure to inform relative priority and safety assessment. Projects like the interagency Tox21 program and the US EPA ToxCast program have generated dose-response information on thousands of chemicals, identified and aggregated information from legacy systems, and created tools for access and analysis. The resulting information has been used to develop computational models as viable options for regulatory applications. This progress has introduced challenges in data management that are new, but not unique, to toxicology. Some of the key questions require critical thinking and solutions to promote semantic interoperability, including: (1) identification of bioactivity information from NAMs that might be related to a biological process; (2) identification of legacy hazard information that might be related to a key event or apical outcomes of interest; and, (3) integration of these NAM and traditional data for computational modeling and prediction of complex apical outcomes such as carcinogenesis. This work reviews a number of toxicology-related efforts specifically related to bioactivity and toxicological data interoperability based on the goals established by Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, and Reusable (FAIR) Data Principles. These efforts are essential to enable better integration of NAM and traditional toxicology information to support data-driven toxicology applications.

Ensemble QSAR Modeling to Predict Multispecies Fish Toxicity Lethal Concentrations and Points of Departure.

QSAR modeling can be used to aid testing prioritization of the thousands of chemical substances for which no ecological toxicity data are available. We drew on the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's ECOTOX database with additional data from ECHA to build a large data set containing in vivo test data on fish for thousands of chemical substances. This was used to create QSAR models to predict two types of end points: acute LC50 (median lethal concentration) and points of departure similar to the NOEC (no observed effect concentration) for any duration (named the "LC50" and "NOEC" models, respectively). These models used study covariates, such as species and exposure route, as features to facilitate the simultaneous use of varied data types. A novel method of substituting taxonomy groups for species dummy variables was introduced to maximize generalizability to different species. A stacked ensemble of three machine learning methods-random forest, gradient boosted trees, and support vector regression-was implemented to best make use of a large data set with many descriptors. The LC50 and NOEC models predicted end points within 1 order of magnitude 81% and 76% of the time, respectively, and had RMSEs of roughly 0.83 and 0.98 log10(mg/L), respectively. Benchmarks against the existing TEST and ECOSAR tools suggest improved prediction accuracy.

Development of a prioritization method for chemical-mediated effects on steroidogenesis using an integrated statistical analysis of high-throughput H295R data.

Synthesis of 11 steroid hormones in human adrenocortical carcinoma cells (H295R) was measured in a high-throughput steroidogenesis assay (HT-H295R) for 656 chemicals in concentration-response as part of the US Environmental Protection Agency's ToxCast program. This work extends previous analysis of the HT-H295R dataset and model by examining the utility of a novel prioritization metric based on the Mahalanobis distance that reduced these 11-dimensional data to 1-dimension via calculation of a mean Mahalanobis distance (mMd) at each chemical concentration screened for all hormone measures available. Herein, we evaluated the robustness of mMd values, and demonstrate that covariance and variance of the hormones measured appear independent of the chemicals screened and are inherent to the assay; the Type I error rate of the mMd method is less than 1%; and, absolute fold changes (up or down) of 1.5 to 2-fold have sufficient power for statistical significance. As a case study, we examined hormone responses for aromatase inhibitors in the HT-H295R assay and found high concordance with other ToxCast assays for known aromatase inhibitors. Finally, we used mMd and other ToxCast cytotoxicity data to demonstrate prioritization of the most selective and active chemicals as candidates for further in vitro or in silico screening.

Integrating data gap filling techniques: A case study predicting TEFs for neurotoxicity TEQs to facilitate the hazard assessment of polychlorinated biphenyls.

The application of toxic equivalency factors (TEFs) or toxic units to estimate toxic potencies for mixtures of chemicals which contribute to a biological effect through a common mechanism is one approach for filling data gaps. Toxic Equivalents (TEQ) have been used to express the toxicity of dioxin-like compounds (i.e., dioxins, furans, and dioxin-like polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs)) in terms of the most toxic form of dioxin: 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (2,3,7,8-TCDD). This study sought to integrate two data gap filling techniques, quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSARs) and TEFs, to predict neurotoxicity TEQs for PCBs. Simon et al. (2007) previously derived neurotoxic equivalent (NEQ) values for a dataset of 87 PCB congeners, of which 83 congeners had experimental data. These data were taken from a set of four different studies measuring different effects related to neurotoxicity, each of which tested overlapping subsets of the 83 PCB congeners. The goals of the current study were to: (i) evaluate an alternative neurotoxic equivalent factor (NEF) derivations from an expanded dataset, relative to those derived by Simon et al. and (ii) develop QSAR models to provide NEF estimates for the large number of untested PCB congeners. The models used multiple linear regression, support vector regression, k-nearest neighbor and random forest algorithms within a 5-fold cross validation scheme and position-specific chlorine substitution patterns on the biphenyl scaffold as descriptors. Alternative NEF values were derived but the resulting QSAR models had relatively low predictivity (RMSE ∼0.24). This was mostly driven by the large uncertainties in the underlying data and NEF values. The derived NEFs and the QSAR predicted NEFs to fill data gaps should be applied with caution.

Predicting estrogen receptor activation by a group of substituted phenols: An integrated approach to testing and assessment case study.

Traditional approaches for chemical risk assessment cannot keep pace with the number of substances requiring assessment. Thus, in a global effort to expedite and modernize chemical risk assessment, New Approach Methodologies (NAMs) are being explored and developed. Included in this effort is the OECD Integrated Approaches for Testing and Assessment (IATA) program, which provides a forum for OECD member countries to develop and present case studies illustrating the application of NAM in various risk assessment contexts. Here, we present an IATA case study for the prediction of estrogenic potential of three target phenols: 4-tert-butylphenol, 2,4-di-tert-butylphenol and octabenzone. Key features of this IATA include the use of two computational approaches for analogue selection for read-across, data collected from traditional and NAM sources, and a workflow to generate predictions regarding the targets' ability to bind the estrogen receptor (ER). Endocrine disruption can occur when a chemical substance mimics the activity of natural estrogen by binding to the ER and, if potency and exposure are sufficient, alters the function of the endocrine system to cause adverse effects. The data indicated that of the three target substances that were considered herein, 4-tert-butylphenol is a potential endocrine disruptor. Further, this IATA illustrates that the NAM approach explored is health protective when compared to in vivo endpoints traditionally used for human health risk assessment.

tcpl: the ToxCast pipeline for high-throughput screening data.

Motivation: Large high-throughput screening (HTS) efforts are widely used in drug development and chemical toxicity screening. Wide use and integration of these data can benefit from an efficient, transparent and reproducible data pipeline. Summary: The tcpl R package and its associated MySQL database provide a generalized platform for efficiently storing, normalizing and dose-response modeling of large high-throughput and high-content chemical screening data. The novel dose-response modeling algorithm has been tested against millions of diverse dose-response series, and robustly fits data with outliers and cytotoxicity-related signal loss. Availability and Implementation: tcpl is freely available on the Comprehensive R Archive Network under the GPL-2 license. Contact: martin.matt@epa.gov.

Predicting in vivo effect levels for repeat-dose systemic toxicity using chemical, biological, kinetic and study covariates.

In an effort to address a major challenge in chemical safety assessment, alternative approaches for characterizing systemic effect levels, a predictive model was developed. Systemic effect levels were curated from ToxRefDB, HESS-DB and COSMOS-DB from numerous study types totaling 4379 in vivo studies for 1247 chemicals. Observed systemic effects in mammalian models are a complex function of chemical dynamics, kinetics, and inter- and intra-individual variability. To address this complex problem, systemic effect levels were modeled at the study-level by leveraging study covariates (e.g., study type, strain, administration route) in addition to multiple descriptor sets, including chemical (ToxPrint, PaDEL, and Physchem), biological (ToxCast), and kinetic descriptors. Using random forest modeling with cross-validation and external validation procedures, study-level covariates alone accounted for approximately 15% of the variance reducing the root mean squared error (RMSE) from 0.96 log10 to 0.85 log10 mg/kg/day, providing a baseline performance metric (lower expectation of model performance). A consensus model developed using a combination of study-level covariates, chemical, biological, and kinetic descriptors explained a total of 43% of the variance with an RMSE of 0.69 log10 mg/kg/day. A benchmark model (upper expectation of model performance) was also developed with an RMSE of 0.5 log10 mg/kg/day by incorporating study-level covariates and the mean effect level per chemical. To achieve a representative chemical-level prediction, the minimum study-level predicted and observed effect level per chemical were compared reducing the RMSE from 1.0 to 0.73 log10 mg/kg/day, equivalent to 87% of predictions falling within an order-of-magnitude of the observed value. Although biological descriptors did not improve model performance, the final model was enriched for biological descriptors that indicated xenobiotic metabolism gene expression, oxidative stress, and cytotoxicity, demonstrating the importance of accounting for kinetics and non-specific bioactivity in predicting systemic effect levels. Herein, we generated an externally predictive model of systemic effect levels for use as a safety assessment tool and have generated forward predictions for over 30,000 chemicals.

Development and Validation of a Computational Model for Androgen Receptor Activity.

Testing thousands of chemicals to identify potential androgen receptor (AR) agonists or antagonists would cost millions of dollars and take decades to complete using current validated methods. High-throughput in vitro screening (HTS) and computational toxicology approaches can more rapidly and inexpensively identify potential androgen-active chemicals. We integrated 11 HTS ToxCast/Tox21 in vitro assays into a computational network model to distinguish true AR pathway activity from technology-specific assay interference. The in vitro HTS assays probed perturbations of the AR pathway at multiple points (receptor binding, coregulator recruitment, gene transcription, and protein production) and multiple cell types. Confirmatory in vitro antagonist assay data and cytotoxicity information were used as additional flags for potential nonspecific activity. Validating such alternative testing strategies requires high-quality reference data. We compiled 158 putative androgen-active and -inactive chemicals from a combination of international test method validation efforts and semiautomated systematic literature reviews. Detailed in vitro assay information and results were compiled into a single database using a standardized ontology. Reference chemical concentrations that activated or inhibited AR pathway activity were identified to establish a range of potencies with reproducible reference chemical results. Comparison with existing Tier 1 AR binding data from the U.S. EPA Endocrine Disruptor Screening Program revealed that the model identified binders at relevant test concentrations (<100 µM) and was more sensitive to antagonist activity. The AR pathway model based on the ToxCast/Tox21 assays had balanced accuracies of 95.2% for agonist (n = 29) and 97.5% for antagonist (n = 28) reference chemicals. Out of 1855 chemicals screened in the AR pathway model, 220 chemicals demonstrated AR agonist or antagonist activity and an additional 174 chemicals were predicted to have potential weak AR pathway activity.

Predictive Structure-Based Toxicology Approaches To Assess the Androgenic Potential of Chemicals.

We present a practical and easy-to-run in silico workflow exploiting a structure-based strategy making use of docking simulations to derive highly predictive classification models of the androgenic potential of chemicals. Models were trained on a high-quality chemical collection comprising 1689 curated compounds made available within the CoMPARA consortium from the US Environmental Protection Agency and were integrated with a two-step applicability domain whose implementation had the effect of improving both the confidence in prediction and statistics by reducing the number of false negatives. Among the nine androgen receptor X-ray solved structures, the crystal 2PNU (entry code from the Protein Data Bank) was associated with the best performing structure-based classification model. Three validation sets comprising each 2590 compounds extracted by the DUD-E collection were used to challenge model performance and the effectiveness of Applicability Domain implementation. Next, the 2PNU model was applied to screen and prioritize two collections of chemicals. The first is a small pool of 12 representative androgenic compounds that were accurately classified based on outstanding rationale at the molecular level. The second is a large external blind set of 55450 chemicals with potential for human exposure. We show how the use of molecular docking provides highly interpretable models and can represent a real-life option as an alternative nontesting method for predictive toxicology.

In Silico Prediction of Physicochemical Properties of Environmental Chemicals Using Molecular Fingerprints and Machine Learning.

There are little available toxicity data on the vast majority of chemicals in commerce. High-throughput screening (HTS) studies, such as those being carried out by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) ToxCast program in partnership with the federal Tox21 research program, can generate biological data to inform models for predicting potential toxicity. However, physicochemical properties are also needed to model environmental fate and transport, as well as exposure potential. The purpose of the present study was to generate an open-source quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) workflow to predict a variety of physicochemical properties that would have cross-platform compatibility to integrate into existing cheminformatics workflows. In this effort, decades-old experimental property data sets available within the EPA EPI Suite were reanalyzed using modern cheminformatics workflows to develop updated QSPR models capable of supplying computationally efficient, open, and transparent HTS property predictions in support of environmental modeling efforts. Models were built using updated EPI Suite data sets for the prediction of six physicochemical properties: octanol-water partition coefficient (logP), water solubility (logS), boiling point (BP), melting point (MP), vapor pressure (logVP), and bioconcentration factor (logBCF). The coefficient of determination (R2) between the estimated values and experimental data for the six predicted properties ranged from 0.826 (MP) to 0.965 (BP), with model performance for five of the six properties exceeding those from the original EPI Suite models. The newly derived models can be employed for rapid estimation of physicochemical properties within an open-source HTS workflow to inform fate and toxicity prediction models of environmental chemicals.