Deep Learning Models for Predicting Left Heart Abnormalities From Single-Lead Electrocardiogram for the Development of Wearable Devices.

BACKGROUND: Left heart abnormalities are risk factors for heart failure. However, echocardiography is not always available. Electrocardiograms (ECGs), which are now available from wearable devices, have the potential to detect these abnormalities. Nevertheless, whether a model can detect left heart abnormalities from single Lead I ECG data remains unclear.Methods and Results: We developed Lead I ECG models to detect low ejection fraction (EF), wall motion abnormality, left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), left ventricular dilatation, and left atrial dilatation. We used a dataset comprising 229,439 paired sets of ECG and echocardiography data from 8 facilities, and validated the model using external verification with data from 2 facilities. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of our model was 0.913 for low EF, 0.832 for wall motion abnormality, 0.797 for LVH, 0.838 for left ventricular dilatation, and 0.802 for left atrial dilatation. In interpretation tests with 12 cardiologists, the accuracy of the model was 78.3% for low EF and 68.3% for LVH. Compared with cardiologists who read the 12-lead ECGs, the model's performance was superior for LVH and similar for low EF. CONCLUSIONS: From a multicenter study dataset, we developed models to predict left heart abnormalities using Lead I on the ECG. The Lead I ECG models show superior or equivalent performance to cardiologists using 12-lead ECGs.

Impact of mitral intervention on outcomes of patients with mitral valve dysfunction and annulus calcification.

OBJECTIVES: To compare all-cause mortality in patients with mitral annulus calcification (MAC) and severe mitral valve dysfunction (MVD) who received standard mitral intervention versus no intervention. BACKGROUND: Patients with MAC often have high surgical risk due to advanced age, comorbidities, and technical challenges related to calcium. The impact of a mitral intervention on outcomes of patients with MAC and severe MVD is not well known. METHODS: Retrospective review of patients with MAC by transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) in 2015 at a single institution. Patients with severe mitral stenosis (MS) or regurgitation (MR) were analyzed and stratified into two groups: surgical or transcatheter intervention performed <1 year after the index TTE, and no or later intervention. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Of 5502 patients with MAC, 357 had severe MVD (MS = 27%, MR = 73%). Of those, 108 underwent mitral intervention (surgery = 87; transcatheter = 21). They were younger (73 ± 11 vs. 76 ± 11 years, p < 0.01) and less frequently had cardiovascular diseases compared with no-intervention. Frequency in women was similar (45% vs. 50%, p = 0.44). During median follow-up of 3.2 years, the intervention group had higher estimated survival than those without intervention (80% vs. 72% at 1 year and 55% vs. 35% at 4 year, p < 0.01). Adjusted for age, eGFR, LVEF < 50%, and pulmonary hypertension, mitral intervention was an independent predictor of lower mortality (hazard ratio = 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.43-0.99, p = 0.046). CONCLUSION: Patients with MAC and severe MVD who underwent mitral intervention <1 year from index TTE had lower mortality than those without intervention. Mitral intervention was independently associated with lower mortality.

Cryptogenic stroke caused by patent foramen ovale with thrombophilia and accessory tricuspid valve in a teenager.

Accessory tricuspid valve is rare congenital abnormality. We describe a case of cryptogenic stroke in teenager boy caused by patent foramen ovale with thrombophilia and accessory tricuspid valve.

Hemodynamics and Prognostic Impact of Concomitant Mitral Stenosis in Patients Undergoing Surgical or Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement for Aortic Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Mitral stenosis frequently coexists in patients with severe aortic stenosis. Mitral stenosis severity evaluation is challenging in the setting of combined aortic stenosis and mitral stenosis because of hemodynamic interactions between the 2 valve lesions. The impact of aortic valve replacement (AVR) for severe aortic stenosis on mitral stenosis is unknown. This study aimed to assess the effect of AVR on mitral stenosis hemodynamics and the clinical outcomes of patients with severe aortic stenosis with and without mitral stenosis. METHODS: We retrospectively investigated patients who underwent surgical AVR or transcatheter AVR for severe aortic stenosis from 2008 to 2015. Mean transmitral gradient by Doppler echocardiography ≥4 mm Hg was identified as mitral stenosis; patients were then stratified according to mitral valve area (MVA, by continuity equation) as >2.0 cm2 or ≤2.0 cm2. MVA before and after AVR in patients with mitral stenosis were evaluated. Clinical outcomes of patients with and without mitral stenosis were compared using 1:2 matching for age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, method of AVR (surgical AVR versus transcatheter AVR) and year of AVR. RESULTS: Of 190 patients with severe aortic stenosis and mitral stenosis (age 76±9 years, 42% men), 184 were matched with 362 with severe aortic stenosis without mitral stenosis. Among all mitral stenosis patients, the mean MVA increased after AVR by 0.26±0.59 cm2 (from 2.00±0.50 to 2.26±0.62 cm2, P<0.01). MVA increased in 105 (55%) and remained unchanged in 34 (18%). Indexed stroke volume ≤45 mL/m2 (odds ratio [OR] 2.40; 95% CI, 1.15-5.01; P=0.020) and transcatheter AVR (OR, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.17-4.77; P=0.017) were independently associated with increase in MVA. Of 107 with significant mitral stenosis (MVA ≤2.0 cm2), MVA increased to >2.0 cm2 after AVR in 52 (49%, pseudo mitral stenosis) and remained ≤2.0 cm2 in 55 (51%, true mitral stenosis). During follow-up of median 2.9 (0.7-4.9) years, true mitral stenosis was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.20-2.94; P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: MVA improved after AVR in nearly half of patients with severe aortic stenosis and mitral stenosis. MVA remained ≤2.0 cm2 (true mitral stenosis) in nearly half of patients with severe aortic stenosis and significant mitral stenosis; this was associated with worse survival among patients undergoing AVR for severe aortic stenosis.

Fractional Flow Reserve Estimated at Coronary CT Angiography in Intermediate Lesions: Comparison of Diagnostic Accuracy of Different Methods to Determine Coronary Flow Distribution.

Purpose To compare the diagnostic accuracy of different computed tomographic (CT) fractional flow reserve (FFR) algorithms for vessels with intermediate stenosis. Materials and Methods This cross-sectional HIPAA-compliant and human research committee-approved study applied a four-step CT FFR algorithm in 61 patients (mean age, 69 years ± 10; age range, 29-89 years) with a lesion of intermediate-diameter stenosis (25%-69%) at CT angiography who underwent FFR measurement within 90 days. The per-lesion diagnostic performance of CT FFR was tested for three different approaches to estimate blood flow distribution for CT FFR calculation. The first two, the Murray law and the Huo-Kassab rule, used coronary anatomy; the third used contrast material opacification gradients. CT FFR algorithms and CT angiography percentage diameter stenosis (DS) measurements were compared by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to detect FFRs of 0.8 or lower. Results Twenty-five lesions (41%) had FFRs of 0.8 or lower. The AUC of CT FFR determination by using contrast material gradients (AUC = 0.953) was significantly higher than that of the Huo-Kassab (AUC = 0.882, P = .043) and Murray law models (AUC = 0.871, P = .033). All three AUCs were higher than that for 50% or greater DS at CT angiography (AUC = 0.596, P < .001). Correlation of CT FFR with FFR was highest for gradients (Spearman ρ = 0.80), followed by the Huo-Kassab rule (ρ = 0.68) and Murray law (ρ = 0.67) models. All CT FFR algorithms had small biases, ranging from -0.015 (Murray) to -0.049 (Huo-Kassab). Limits of agreement were narrowest for gradients (-0.182, 0.147), followed by the Huo-Kassab rule (-0.246, 0.149) and the Murray law (-0.285, 0.256) models. Conclusion Clinicians can perform CT FFR by using a four-step approach on site to accurately detect hemodynamically significant intermediate-stenosis lesions. Estimating blood flow distribution by using coronary contrast opacification variations may improve CT FFR accuracy. © RSNA, 2017 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Association of Dyslipidemia and Sex With Coronary Artery Calcium Assessed by Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography.

Previous studies reporting that statin increases coronary artery calcium (CAC) were conducted exclusively on patients with statin as a prevention, regardless of the presence or absence of dyslipidemia. The impact of sex on CAC has not been fully evaluated. We aimed to determine the association of dyslipidemia and sex with CAC using 320-row multi-detector computed tomography (MDCT).Of the 356 consecutive patients who underwent coronary MDCT, 251 patients were enrolled, after excluding those with prior stenting and/or coronary bypass grafting or images showing motion artifacts. The primary outcome measures were the percent calcium volume (PCV) and percent atheroma volume (PAV) per coronary vessel.Multivariable analyses indicated that PCV was significantly higher in dyslipidemia patients without statins than in the subjects without dyslipidemia [partial regression coefficient (PRC): 2.59, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.83 to 4.34, P = 0.004]. In contrast, PCV was similar in dyslipidemia patients taking statins and those without dyslipidemia (PRC: -1.09, 95% CI: -2.82 to 0.65, P = 0.22). There was no significant difference in PCV between men and women, although women exhibited a significantly lower PAV (PRC: -2.87, 95% CI: -4.54 to -1.20, P = 0.001).In low-risk patients, these results could be translated into hypotheses, which should be tested in future prospective studies. Furthermore, there was no significant difference in CAC between men and women, but women had lower PAV than men.

Influence of upper and temporal transconjunctival sclerocorneal incision on marginal reflex distance after cataract surgery.

BACKGROUND: Ptosis incidence following cataract surgery is reduced with a recently developed phacoemulsification technique using a small incision. However, it remains uncertain whether an upper transconjunctival sclerocorneal incision can cause minor blepharoptosis. In the present prospective study, patients underwent cataract surgery with either an upper or temporal 2.4-mm transconjunctival sclerocorneal incision. We measured the marginal reflex distance 1 (MRD1) preoperatively and postoperatively, and compared these measurements between the two different incision types. Further we explored the risk factors of the postoperative MRD1 reduction. METHODS: The study population included patients who underwent cataract surgery on both eyes at Aichi Medical University between October 2013 and September 2015. In each patient, one eye was operated using an upper 2.4-mm transconjunctival sclerocorneal incision, and the other with a temporal incision. We prespecified that an MRD1 difference of ≥0.5 mm between the pre- and post-surgical measurements indicated postoperative ptosis, which was a strict criterion. MRD1 was measured using digital photography, and we calculated the difference between the preoperative and postoperative MRD1 values. This change in MRD1 was compared between the groups with different incision locations. The change in MRD1 was analyzed by using the multivariate regression model including incision position (temporal or upper), preoperative MRD1, and preoperative distance between medial and lateral canthi. RESULTS: We assessed data from a total of 34 patients. The mean change in MRD1 from pre-operation to post-operation measurements was -0.26 ± 0.93 with the temporal incision and -0.24 ± 0.86 with the upper incision. The mean difference in the change in MRD1 between the different two incision types was -0.02, with a 95 % CI of -0.24 to 0.20, establishing equivalence between these incision types. The multivariate regression analysis showed that the preoperative MRD1 was significantly associated with the reduction of MRD1 after surgery (p = 0.034). CONCLUSIONS: Cataract surgery using upper and temporal 2.4-mm transconjunctival sclerocorneal incisions are clinically equivalent with regards to change in MRD1, and neither incision type caused critical postoperative ptosis. The longer preoperative MRD1 was significantly associated with the reduction of MRD1 after surgery. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current Controlled Trials UMIN000022310 . Retrospectively registered 14 May 2016.

Familial cryptogenic stroke.

Familial cryptogenic stroke associated with atrial septal defect and patent foramen ovale is rare. The presence of a family history of cryptogenic stroke may lead to the requirement for careful follow-up for younger family members.

Multicenter validation study for automated left ventricular ejection fraction assessment using a handheld ultrasound with artificial intelligence.

We sought to validate the ability of a novel handheld ultrasound device with an artificial intelligence program (AI-POCUS) that automatically assesses left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). AI-POCUS was used to prospectively scan 200 patients in two Japanese hospitals. Automatic LVEF by AI-POCUS was compared to the standard biplane disk method using high-end ultrasound machines. After excluding 18 patients due to infeasible images for AI-POCUS, 182 patients (63 ± 15 years old, 21% female) were analyzed. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) between the LVEF by AI-POCUS and the standard methods was good (0.81, p < 0.001) without clinically meaningful systematic bias (mean bias -1.5%, p = 0.008, limits of agreement ± 15.0%). Reduced LVEF < 50% was detected with a sensitivity of 85% (95% confidence interval 76%-91%) and specificity of 81% (71%-89%). Although the correlations between LV volumes by standard-echo and those by AI-POCUS were good (ICC > 0.80), AI-POCUS tended to underestimate LV volumes for larger LV (overall bias 42.1 mL for end-diastolic volume). These trends were mitigated with a newer version of the software tuned using increased data involving larger LVs, showing similar correlations (ICC > 0.85). In this real-world multicenter study, AI-POCUS showed accurate LVEF assessment, but careful attention might be necessary for volume assessment. The newer version, trained with larger and more heterogeneous data, demonstrated improved performance, underscoring the importance of big data accumulation in the field.

Midterm outcomes of transcatheter aortic valve replacement in patients with active cancer.

OBJECTIVES: The clinical outcomes of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) in patients with aortic stenosis (AS) and concomitant active cancer remain insufficiently explored. This study aimed to assess the midterm outcomes of TAVR in patients diagnosed with AS and active cancer. METHODS: Data from the OCEAN-TAVI, a prospective Japanese registry of TAVR procedures, was analysed to compare prognoses and clinical outcomes in patients with and without active cancer at the time of TAVR. RESULTS: Of the 2336 patients who underwent TAVR from October 2013 to July 2017, 89 patients (3.8%) had active cancer, whereas 2247 did not. Among patients with active cancer, 49 had limited-stage cancer (stage 1 or 2). The prevalent cancers identified before TAVR were colon (21%), prostate (18%), lung (15%), liver (11%) and breast (9%). Although the periprocedural complications and 30-day mortality rates were comparable between the groups, the 3-year survival rate after TAVR was notably lower in patients with active cancer (64.7%) than in those without active cancer (74.7%; p=0.016). Nevertheless, the 3-year survival rate of patients with limited-stage cancer (stage 1 or 2) did not significantly differ from those without cancer (70.6% vs 74.7%, p=0.50). CONCLUSIONS: The patients with active cancer exhibited significantly reduced midterm survival rates. However, no distinct disparity existed in those with limited-stage cancer (stage 1 or 2). Although TAVR is a viable treatment in patients with AS with active cancer, the type and stage of cancer and prognosis should be carefully weighed in the decision-making process.

Congenital abnormalities of heart and kidney.

Patients with congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT) may be at risk for congenital cardiac defects or cardiomyopathies as comorbidities. It is crucial to recognize the coexistence of cardiac abnormalities and CAKUT and recommend screening for cardiac involvement in CAKUT patients using echocardiography.

Unsupervised Machine Learning for Assessment of Left Ventricular Diastolic Function and Risk Stratification.

BACKGROUND: The 2016 American Society of Echocardiography guidelines have been widely used to assess left ventricular diastolic function. However, limitations are present in the current classification system. The aim of this study was to develop a data-driven, unsupervised machine learning approach for diastolic function classification and risk stratification using the left ventricular diastolic function parameters recommended in the 2016 American Society of Echocardiography guidelines; the guideline grading was used as the reference standard. METHODS: Baseline demographics, heart failure hospitalization, and all-cause mortality data were obtained for all adult patients who underwent transthoracic echocardiography at Mayo Clinic Rochester in 2015. Patients with prior mitral valve intervention, congenital heart disease, cardiac transplantation, or cardiac assist device implantation were excluded. Nine left ventricular diastolic function variables (mitral E- and A-wave peak velocities, E/A ratio, deceleration time, medial and lateral annular e' velocities and E/e' ratio, and tricuspid regurgitation peak velocity) were used for an unsupervised machine learning algorithm to identify different phenotype clusters. The cohort average of each variable was used for imputation. Patients were grouped according to the algorithm-determined clusters for Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS: Among 24,414 patients (mean age, 63.6 ± 16.2 years), all-cause mortality occurred in 4,612 patients (18.9%) during a median follow-up period of 3.1 years. The algorithm determined three clusters with echocardiographic measurement characteristics corresponding to normal diastolic function (n = 8,312), impaired relaxation (n = 11,779), and increased filling pressure (n = 4,323), with 3-year cumulative mortality of 11.8%, 19.9%, and 33.4%, respectively (P < .0001). All 10,694 patients (43.8%) classified as indeterminate were reclassified into the three clusters (n = 3,324, n = 5,353, and n = 2,017, respectively), with 3-year mortality of 16.6%, 22.9%, and 34.4%, respectively. The clusters also outperformed guideline-based grade for prognostication (C index = 0.607 vs 0.582, P = .013). CONCLUSIONS: Unsupervised machine learning identified physiologically and prognostically distinct clusters on the basis of nine diastolic function Doppler variables. The clusters can be potentially applied in echocardiography laboratory practice and future clinical trials for simple, replicable diastolic function-related risk stratification.

Prevalence and Natural History of Mitral Annulus Calcification and Related Valve Dysfunction.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence and natural history of mitral annulus calcification (MAC) and associated mitral valve dysfunction (MVD) in patients undergoing clinically indicated echocardiography. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of all adults who underwent echocardiography in 2015. Mitral valve dysfunction was defined as mitral regurgitation or mitral stenosis (MS) of moderate or greater severity. All-cause mortality during 3.0 (0.4 to 4.2) years of follow-up was compared between groups stratified according to the presence of MAC or MVD. RESULTS: Of 24,414 evaluated patients, 5502 (23%) had MAC. Patients with MAC were older (75±10 years vs 60±16 years; P<.001) and more frequently had MVD (MS: 6.6% vs 0.5% [P<.001]; mitral regurgitation without MS: 9.5% vs 6.1% [P<.001]). Associated with MS in patients with MAC were aortic valve dysfunction, female sex, chest irradiation, renal dysfunction, and coronary artery disease. Kaplan-Meier 1-year survival was 76% in MAC+/MVD+, 87% in MAC+/MVD-, 86% in MAC-/MVD+, and 92% in MAC-/MVD-. Adjusted for age, diabetes, renal dysfunction, cancer, chest irradiation, ejection fraction below 50%, aortic stenosis, tricuspid regurgitation, and pulmonary hypertension, MAC was associated with higher mortality during follow-up (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.31 to 1.49; P<.001); MVD was associated with even higher mortality in patients with MAC (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.58 to 2.01; P<.001). There was no significant interaction between MAC and MVD for mortality (P=.10). CONCLUSION: In a large cohort of adults undergoing echocardiography, the prevalence of MAC was 23%. Mitral valve dysfunction was more than twice as prevalent in patients with MAC. Adjusted mortality was increased in patients with MAC and worse with both MAC and MVD.

Clinical Experience of Percutaneous Patent Foramen Ovale Closure Using the Amplatzer PFO Occluder in Japanese Patients to Prevent the Recurrence of Cryptogenic Stroke.

Objective Percutaneous patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure is a procedure widely used to prevent recurrence of cryptogenic stroke. Since December 2019, the Amplatzer PFO occluder device has been available in Japan through medical insurance. However, data on the clinical experience with this device are lacking, as it has been approved for use in only a limited number of institutions. This study assessed the clinical data of Japanese patients who underwent PFO closure using the Amplatzer PFO occluder. Methods Between February and October 2020, 14 patients at our institution underwent percutaneous PFO closure using the Amplatzer PFO occluder. The procedural characteristics, safety, and adverse events were retrospectively analyzed. Results The mean age of the patients was 52.4±13.3 years old, and 57.1% were women. Deep vein thrombosis was revealed in 2 patients, and the risk of paradoxical embolism score was 6.6±1.2 points. The PFO height and tunnel length were 2.3±1.4 mm and 11.5±4.1 mm. All patients had a PFO during the bubble study of grade >3 at the Valsalva maneuver on transthoracic echocardiography or transesophageal echocardiography. The average diameter of the PFO measured using a stiff guidewire and sizing balloon was 5.1±1.3 and 7.9±2.3 mm, respectively. Almost all cases (92.9%) were performed with a 25-mm device and without significant complications within approximately 1 hour. Conclusion Percutaneous closure using Amplatzer PFO occluder is a safe procedure for Japanese patients. However, further investigations with a larger sample and longer follow-up are needed to confirm this result.

Impact of aortic valve replacement for severe aortic stenosis on organic and functional mitral regurgitation.

AIMS: Concurrent mitral regurgitation (MR) influences treatment considerations in patients with severe aortic stenosis (sAS). Limited information exists regarding haemodynamic effects of sAS on MR severity and outcome of these patients. We assessed the impact of aortic valve replacement (AVR) on MR according to mechanism in patients with sAS and MR. METHODS AND RESULTS: In patients with sAS who received surgical or transcatheter AVR from 2008 to 2017, those with effective mitral regurgitant orifice area (ERO) ≥ 10 mm2 prior to AVR were evaluated. The change in MR after AVR was considered significant when there was at least one grade difference. We compared the all-cause mortality of patients with and without improvement in MR. Of 234 patients with sAS and MR (age 80 ± 9 years, 52% male, ERO 19 ± 7 mm2 ), organic and functional MR were present in 166 (71%) and 68 (29%), respectively. MR improved in 136 (58%); improvement occurred with similar frequency in organic versus functional MR (59% and 57%, P = 0.88). Associated determinants were absence of atrial fibrillation in organic MR [odds ratio (OR) 2.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00-4.37; P = 0.049] and indexed aortic valve area (iAVA) ≤ 0.40 cm2 in functional MR (OR 3.28, 95% CI 1.13-9.47; P = 0.028). In the overall cohort, mitral annulus diameter < 3 cm (OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.02-2.97; P = 0.041) and QRS duration < 115 ms (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.00-2.98; P = 0.049) were independently associated with improvement in MR. During median follow-up of 3.5 years, lack of improvement in MR was not associated with higher mortality in the overall cohort of patients with ERO ≥ 20 mm2 [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.71, 95% CI 0.90-3.27; P = 0.10, adjusted for age, New York Heart Association III or IV, diabetes, and creatinine ≥ 2.0 mg/dL]. Lack of improvement in organic MR was associated with higher mortality (adjusted HR 3.36, 95% CI 1.40-8.05; P < 0.01). In patients with functional MR, change in MR was not associated with mortality (HR 1.24, 95% CI 0.44-3.47; P = 0.68). CONCLUSIONS: In nearly 60% of patients with sAS and MR, MR improved after AVR, even in the majority of patients with organic MR. Absence of atrial fibrillation in organic MR, iAVA ≤ 0.40 cm2 in functional MR, and mitral annulus diameter < 3 cm and QRS duration < 115 ms in the overall population were associated with MR improvement. Post-operative improvement in organic MR was associated with better survival.

A Novel Assessment Using Projected Transmitral Gradient Improves Diagnostic Yield of Doppler Hemodynamics in Rheumatic and Calcific Mitral Stenosis.

OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to: 1) develop a formula for projected transmitral gradient (TMG), expected gradient under normal heart rate (HR), and stroke volume (SV); and 2) assess the prognostic value of projected TMG. BACKGROUND: In mitral stenosis (MS), TMG is highly dependent on hemodynamics, often leading to discordance between TMG and mitral valve area. METHODS: All patients with suspected MS based on echocardiography from 2001 to 2017 were analyzed. Data were randomly split (2:1); projected TMG was modeled in the derivation cohort, then tested in the validation cohort. The composite endpoint was death or mitral valve intervention. RESULTS: Of 4,973 patients with suspected MS, severe and moderate MS, defined as mitral valve area ≤1.5 and >1.5 to 2.0 cm2, were present in 437 (9%) and 936 (19%), respectively. In the derivation cohort (n = 3,315; age 73 ± 12 years; 34% male), corresponding gradients were TMG ≥6 and 4 to <6 mm Hg, respectively, under normal hemodynamics. Based on the impact of hemodynamics on TMG, the formula was projected TMG = TMG - 0.07 (HR - 70) - 0.03 (SV - 97) in men and projected TMG = TMG - 0.08 (HR - 72) - 0.04 (SV - 84) in women. In the validation cohort (n = 1,658), projected TMG had better agreement with MS severity than TMG (kappa 0.61 vs. 0.28). Among 281 patients with TMG ≥6 mm Hg, projected TMG ≥6 mm Hg, present in 171 patients (61%), was associated with higher probability of the endpoint versus projected TMG <6 mm Hg (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.8; 95% confidence interval: 1.2 to 2.6; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The novel concept of projected TMG, constructed using the observed impact of HR and SV on TMG, significantly improved the concordance of gradient and valve area in MS and provided better risk stratification than TMG.

The Natural History of Severe Calcific Mitral Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Prevalence of calcific mitral stenosis (MS) increases with age; however, its natural history and relation to cardiac symptoms or comorbidities are not well defined. OBJECTIVES: This study assessed the prevalence of symptoms, comorbidities, and determinants of all-cause mortality in patients with severe calcific MS. METHODS: The authors retrospectively investigated adults with isolated severe calcific MS and mitral valve area ≤1.5 cm2 from July 2003 to December 2017. Inactivity was defined as requirement for assistance with activities of daily living. RESULTS: Of 491 patients with isolated severe MS, calcific MS was present in 200 (41%; age 78 ± 11 years, 18% men, 32% with atrial fibrillation). Charlson Comorbidity Index was 5.1 ± 1.7 and 14 (7%) were inactive. Mitral valve area and transmitral gradient (TMG) were 1.26 ± 0.19 cm2 and 8.1 ± 3.8 mm Hg, respectively. Symptoms were present at baseline in 120 (60%); 20 (10%) developed symptoms during follow-up of 2.8 ± 3.0 years. Kaplan-Meier survival at 1 year was 72% without intervention. Inactivity (hazard ratio [HR]: 6.59; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.54 to 12.3; p < 0.01), Charlson Comorbidity Index >5 (HR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.04 to 2.26; p < 0.01), TMG ≥8 mm Hg (HR: 1.68; 95% CI: 1.12 to 2.51; p = 0.012), and right ventricular systolic pressure ≥50 mm Hg (HR: 2.27; 95% CI: 1.50 to 3.43; p < 0.01) were independently associated with mortality. Symptoms were not associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: Patients with isolated severe calcific MS had a high burden of comorbidities, resulting in high mortality without intervention. Symptoms were reported in 60%, but not associated with mortality. TMG ≥8 mm Hg and right ventricular systolic pressure ≥50 mm Hg were independently associated with mortality.

A Cardiac Computed Tomography-Based Score to Categorize Mitral Annular Calcification Severity and Predict Valve Embolization.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to establish a computed tomography (CT)-based scoring system for grading mitral annular calcification (MAC) severity and potentially aid in predicting valve embolization during transcatheter mitral valve (MV) replacement using balloon-expandable aortic transcatheter heart valves. BACKGROUND: Transcatheter MV replacement is emerging as an alternative treatment for patients with severe MAC who are not surgical candidates. Although cardiac CT is the imaging modality of choice in the evaluation of candidates for valve-in-MAC (ViMAC), a standardized grading system to quantify MAC severity has not been established. METHODS: We performed a multicenter retrospective review of cardiac CT and clinical outcomes of patients undergoing ViMAC. A CT-based MAC score was created using the following features: average calcium thickness (mm), degrees of annulus circumference involved, calcification at one or both fibrous trigones, and calcification of one or both leaflets. Features were assigned points according to severity (total maximum score = 10) and severity grade was assigned based on total points (mild ≤3, moderate 4 to 6, and severe ≥7 points). The association between MAC score and device migration/embolization was evaluated. RESULTS: Of 117 patients in the TMVR in MAC registry, 87 had baseline cardiac CT of adequate quality. Of these, 15 were treated with transatrial access and were not included. The total cohort included 72 (trans-septal = 37, transapical = 35). Mean patient age was 74 ± 12 years, 66.7% were female, and the mean Society of Thoracic Surgery risk score was 15.4 ± 10.5%. The mean MAC score was 7.7 ± 1.4. Embolization/migration rates were lower in higher scores: Patients with a MAC score of 7 had valve embolization/migration rate of 12.5%, MAC score ≥8 had a rate of 8.7%, and a MAC score of ≥9 had zero (p = 0.023). Patients with a MAC score of ≤6 had 60% embolization/migration rate versus 9.7% in patients with a MAC score ≥7 (p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, a MAC score ≤6 was in independent predictor of valve embolization/migration (odds ratio [OR]: 5.86 [95% CI: 1.00 to 34.26]; p = 0.049). CONCLUSIONS: This cardiac CT-based score provides a systematic method to grade MAC severity which may assist in predicting valve embolization/migration during trans-septal or transapical ViMAC procedures.