Cutoff of the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow coma scale for predicting in-hospital mortality in adult patients with trauma: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of patients at risk of potential death and timely transfer to appropriate healthcare facilities are critical for reducing the number of preventable trauma deaths. This study aimed to establish a cutoff value to predict in-hospital mortality using the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG). METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study used data from 23 emergency departments in South Korea between January 2011 and December 2020. The outcome variable was the in-hospital mortality. The relationship between rSIG and in-hospital mortality was plotted using the shape-restricted regression spline method. To set a cutoff for rSIG, we found the point on the curve where mortality started to increase and the point where the slope of the mortality curve changed the most. We also calculated the cutoff value for rSIG using Youden's index. RESULTS: A total of 318,506 adult patients with trauma were included. The shape-restricted regression spline curve showed that in-hospital mortality began to increase when the rSIG value was less than 18.86, and the slope of the graph increased the most at 12.57. The cutoff of 16.5, calculated using Youden's index, was closest to the target under-triage and over-triage rates, as suggested by the American College of Surgeons, when applied to patients with an rSIG of 20 or less. In addition, in patients with traumatic brain injury, when the rSIG value was over 25, in-hospital mortality tended to increase as the rSIG value increased. CONCLUSIONS: We propose an rSIG cutoff value of 16.5 as a predictor of in-hospital mortality in adult patients with trauma. However, in patients with traumatic brain injury, a high rSIG is also associated with in-hospital mortality. Appropriate cutoffs should be established for this group in the future.

Prediction of inappropriate pre-hospital transfer of patients with suspected cardiovascular emergency diseases using machine learning: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to develop a prediction model for transferring patients to an inappropriate hospital for suspected cardiovascular emergency diseases at the pre-hospital stage, using variables obtained from an integrated nationwide dataset, and to assess the performance of this model. METHODS: We integrated three nationwide datasets and developed a two-step prediction model utilizing a machine learning algorithm. Ninety-eight clinical characteristics of patients identified at the pre-hospital stage and 13 hospital components were used as input data for the model. The primary endpoint of the model was the prediction of transfer to an inappropriate hospital. RESULTS: A total of 94,256 transferred patients in the public pre-hospital care system matched the National Emergency Department Information System data of patients with a pre-hospital cardiovascular registry created in South Korea between July 2017 and December 2018. Of these, 1,770 (6.26%) patients failed to be transferred to a capable hospital. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the final predictive model was 0.813 (0.800-0.825), and the area under the receiver precision-recall curve was 0.286 (0.265-0.308). CONCLUSIONS: Our prediction model used machine learning to show favorable performance in transferring patients with suspected cardiovascular disease to a capable hospital. For our results to lead to changes in the pre-hospital care system, a digital platform for sharing real-time information should be developed.

Limiting Neuronal Nogo Receptor 1 Signaling during Experimental Autoimmune Encephalomyelitis Preserves Axonal Transport and Abrogates Inflammatory Demyelination.

We previously identified that ngr1 allele deletion limits the severity of experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) by preserving axonal integrity. However, whether this favorable outcome observed in EAE is a consequence of an abrogated neuronal-specific pathophysiological mechanism, is yet to be defined. Here we show that, Cre-loxP-mediated neuron-specific deletion of ngr1 preserved axonal integrity, whereas its re-expression in ngr1-/- female mice potentiated EAE-axonopathy. As a corollary, myelin integrity was preserved under Cre deletion in ngr1flx/flx , retinal ganglion cell axons whereas, significant demyelination occurred in the ngr1-/- optic nerves following the re-introduction of NgR1. Moreover, Cre-loxP-mediated axon-specific deletion of ngr1 in ngr1flx/flx mice also demonstrated efficient anterograde transport of fluorescently-labeled ChTxß in the optic nerves of EAE-induced mice. However, the anterograde transport of ChTxß displayed accumulation in optic nerve degenerative axons of EAE-induced ngr1-/- mice, when NgR1 was reintroduced but was shown to be transported efficiently in the contralateral non- recombinant adeno-associated virus serotype 2-transduced optic nerves of these mutant mice. We further identified that the interaction between the axonal motor protein, Kinesin-1 and collapsin response mediator protein 2 (CRMP2) was unchanged upon Cre deletion of ngr1 Whereas, this Kinesin-1/CRMP2 association was reduced when NgR1 was re-expressed in the ngr1-/- optic nerves. Our data suggest that NgR1 governs axonal degeneration in the context of inflammatory-mediated demyelination through the phosphorylation of CRMP2 by stalling axonal vesicular transport. Moreover, axon-specific deletion of ngr1 preserves axonal transport mechanisms, blunting the induction of inflammatory demyelination and limiting the severity of EAE.SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT Multiple sclerosis (MS) is commonly induced by aberrant immune-mediated destruction of the protective sheath of nerve fibers (known as myelin). However, it has been shown that MS lesions do not only consist of this disease pattern, exhibiting heterogeneity with continual destruction of axons. Here we investigate how neuronal NgR1 can drive inflammatory-mediated axonal degeneration and demyelination within the optic nerve by analyzing its downstream signaling events that govern axonal vesicular transport. We identify that abrogating the NgR1/pCRMP2 signaling cascade can maintain Kinesin-1-dependent anterograde axonal transport to limit inflammatory-mediated axonopathy and demyelination. The ability to differentiate between primary and secondary mechanisms of axonal degeneration may uncover therapeutic strategies to limit axonal damage and progressive MS.

Emergency short-stay wards and boarding time in emergency departments: A propensity-score matching study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to validate the effectiveness of an emergency short-stay ward (ESSW) and its impact on clinical outcomes. METHODS: This retrospective observational study was performed at an urban tertiary hospital. An ESSW has been operating in this hospital since September 2017 to reduce emergency department (ED) boarding time and only targets patients indicated for admission to the general ward from the ED. Propensity-score matching was performed for comparison with the control group. The primary outcome was ED boarding time, and the secondary outcomes were subsequent intensive care unit (ICU) admission and 30-day in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 7461 patients were enrolled in the study; of them, 1523 patients (20.4%) were admitted to the ESSW. After propensity-score matching, there was no significant difference in the ED boarding time between the ESSW group and the control group (P = 0.237). Subsequent ICU admission was significantly less common in the ESSW group than in the control group (P < 0.001). However, the 30-day in-hospital mortality rate did not differ significantly between the two groups (P = 0.292). When the overall hospital bed occupancy ranged from 90% to 95%, the proportion of hospitalization was the highest in the ESSW group (29%). An interaction effect test using a general linear model confirmed that the ESSW served as an effect modifier with respect to bed occupancy and boarding time (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: An ESSW can alleviate prolonged boarding time observed with hospital bed saturation. Moreover, the ESSW is associated with a low rate of subsequent ICU admission.

Effects of an emergency transfer coordination center on secondary overtriage in an emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Patients who cannot be stabilized at a lower-level emergency department (ED) should be transferred to an upper-level ED by emergency medical services. However, some patients are subsequently discharged after transfer without any intervention or admission, and this secondary overtriage (SO) wastes the limited resources of upper-level EDs. This study aimed to investigate whether an emergency transfer coordination center (ETCC) could reduce the risk of SO among patients who were transferred to a tertiary ED by emergency medical services. METHODS: This retrospective observational study evaluated data from a prospective registry at an urban tertiary ED in Korea (January 2017 to May 2017). The exposure of interest was defined as ETCC approval prior to transfer and the primary outcome was SO. Univariate analyses were used to identify statistically significant variables, which were used for a multivariate logistic regression analysis to estimate the effects of ETCC approval on SO. RESULTS: During the study period, 1270 patients were considered eligible for this study. A total of 291 transfers were approved by the center's ETCC, and the remaining patients were transferred without approval. Compared to cases without ETCC approval, cases with transfer after ETCC approval had a significantly lower risk of SO (odds ratio: 0.624, 95% confidence interval: 0.413-0.944). CONCLUSION: Transfers that were evaluated by an ETCC had a lower risk of SO, which may improve the appropriateness of transfer. Thus, tertiary EDs that have high proportions of transferred patients should have a transfer coordination system that is similar to an ETCC.

Postcontrast Acute Kidney Injury After Computed Tomography Pulmonary Angiography for Acute Pulmonary Embolism.

BACKGROUND: Despite the widespread use of computed tomography pulmonary angiography with contrast media for the diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism, high-quality evidence on risk factors for postcontrast acute kidney injury related to its use is lacking. OBJECTIVE: The present study aimed to investigate whether the level of estimated glomerular filtration rate observed in the emergency department (ED) is significantly associated with the occurrence of postcontrast acute kidney injury in patients undergoing computed tomography pulmonary angiography. METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational study using data automatically collected by a clinical data retrieval system from 1300 patients who underwent computed tomography pulmonary angiography for suspected acute pulmonary embolism in the ED. A total of 632 patients were selected for the study after exclusion. Univariate analyses were performed to identify significant risk factors for postcontrast acute kidney injury (the primary outcome). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to confirm the effect of estimated glomerular filtration rate in the ED on the occurrence of postcontrast acute kidney injury after adjustment for confounding variables. RESULTS: The total incidence rate of postcontrast acute kidney injury was 6.49% (41/632 patients). No statistically significant association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and the risk of postcontrast acute kidney injury was observed. CONCLUSION: Our study findings could serve as useful reference for physicians who are concerned about performing computed tomography pulmonary angiography for fear of renal function deterioration.

Severe Injuries from Low-height Falls in the Elderly Population.

BACKGROUND: Falls from low-height can cause severe injuries in the elderly population. This study was conducted to determine characteristics of injuries from low-height falls. METHODS: We retrospectively review surveillance data on injured patients who presented to six emergency departments from January 2011 to December 2015. Study subjects were divided into severe group and non-severe group based on severity of injury. The general and clinical characteristics were compared between the two groups and analyzed factors related with severe injuries. RESULTS: Of 1,190 elderly patients, severe group comprised 82 patients (7%). The severe group was 2 years younger than the non-severe group. In the severe group, 61% was men and 34% in the non-severe group. In the non-severe, the injuries more commonly occurred at residential facilities and indoors than those in the severe group. Paid work during injury occurrence was 15%, and the more patients presented with non-alert consciousness in the severe group. The most common regions of major injury were head and neck in the severe group. CONCLUSION: Paid work, non-alert consciousness, and major injury to head and neck are relating factors to severe injuries in the elderly population.

Do Emergency Physicians Improve the Appropriateness of Emergency Transfer in Rural Areas?

BACKGROUND: Until recently, there have been few studies on the transfer of patients from emergency departments (EDs) overall, as such studies were limited primarily to trauma patients. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between the specialty of the primary referring physician and the appropriateness of the emergency transfer (AET). METHODS: This was a retrospective, observational study performed at two level-3 EDs in a rural area. A transfer to a higher-level ED for the purpose of patient stabilization was defined as an emergency transfer, and transfers were classified as "appropriate" when the emergency status of the patient could not be resolved by the referring ED. The primary outcome was AET, which was reviewed by an expert panel for reliability. Statistically significant variables were selected as covariates based on the results of a univariate analysis, and a multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) on the AET. RESULTS: A total of 1325 patients underwent transfer to another hospital from the two EDs. Of these, 1003 were classified into the emergency transfer group. In both EDs, the incidence of appropriate emergency transfers was significantly higher when the primary referring physician was an emergency physician (OR 4.005, 95% CI 2.619-6.125 and OR 4.006, 95% CI 1.696-9.459 for each hospital, respectively). CONCLUSION: There was a positive association between the specialty of the primary referring physician and the AET among EDs located in rural areas making patient transfers.

Utility of near-infrared light devices for pediatric peripheral intravenous cannulation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

We investigated the utility of near-infrared (NIR) light devices for peripheral intravenous cannulation (PIVC) in pediatric patients. We searched three databases, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane CENTRAL. Randomized controlled trials that compared PIVC using NIR light devices and the "traditional" method (with no assistive device) were included. The primary outcome was a failure rate at the first attempt, and the effect size was measured by the risk ratio for failure. Subgroup analysis was performed according to control group risk for failure at first attempt as an indicator of difficult procedure (low vs. high). Eleven studies were included in the meta-analysis. There was no significant difference in the primary outcome between the two methods (risk ratio 1.03, confidence interval 0.89-1.20, I 2 = 48 %). In a subgroup analysis, the subgroup difference between subsets of low and high control group risk was significant (I 2 = 83 %). In the subset of the high control group risk, using NIR light devices showed a lower risk for failure than the traditional method (risk ratio 0.81, confidence interval 0.64-1.01, I 2 = 0 %). CONCLUSION: Using NIR light devices did not have an impact on overall failure rate at the first attempt at PIVC in pediatric patients. What is Known: • Near-infrared light devices have been used to help vascular access especially for the pediatric patients. But, their utilities reported in previous studies were conflicting. What is New: • From this study, we could not find out overall benefit of using near-infrared light devices for pediatric peripheral intravenous cannulation. But, this device might be useful for the patients in a difficult condition of successful cannulation.

Neurologic outcome of comatose survivors after hanging: a retrospective multicenter study.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study is to identify the neurologic outcome of hanging patients and prognostic factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively investigated comatose hanging patients who arrived at the emergency departments (EDs) of twelve academic tertiary care centers during a period of seven years (2006-2012). Patients were analyzed separately according to whether out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) occurred or not. The neurologic outcome was evaluated using the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) at the time of hospital discharge. RESULTS: A total of 1118 patients were admitted to the ED after hanging attempts. There were 159 comatose patients who did not experience OHCA. Twelve (7.5%) of 159 patients were discharged from the hospital with a poor neurologic outcome (CPC 3-5). These 12 patients received only conservative management without therapeutic hypothermia. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, mental state upon ED arrival and arterial pH were predicting factors for poor prognosis. One hundred twenty-one patients suffered OHCA and experienced restored spontaneous circulation after cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Among them, only five (4.1%) patients recovered consciousness to the level of CPC 1-2. The initial arterial pH and HCO3(-) were prognostic factors in hanging patients with OHCA. CONCLUSIONS: Even though cardiac arrest did not occur after hanging injuries, 7.5% of patients could not recover consciousness. Therapeutic hypothermia should be considered for such patients. If OHCA occurred after the hanging injury, the proportion of patients with good neurologic outcome was very low at 4.1%.

Predictability of the emergency department triage system during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Background: Emergency department (ED) triage systems are used to classify the severity and urgency of emergency patients, and Korean medical institutions use the Korean Triage and Acuity Scale (KTAS). During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, appropriate treatment for emergency patients was delayed due to various circumstances, such as overcrowding of EDs, lack of medical workforce resources, and increased workload on medical staff. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of the KTAS in predicting the urgency of emergency patients during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: This study retrospectively reviewed patients who were treated in the ED during the pandemic period from January 2020 to June 2021. Patients were divided into COVID-19 screening-negative (SN group) and COVID-19 screening-positive (SP group) groups. We compared the predictability of the KTAS for urgent patients between the two groups. Results: Of 107,480 patients, the SN and SP groups included 62,776 (58.4%) and 44,704 (41.6%) patients, respectively. The odds ratios for severity variables at each KTAS level revealed a more evident discriminatory power of KTAS for severity variables in the SN group (p-value <0.001). The predictability of KTAS for severity variables was higher in the SN group than in the SP group (area under the curve, p-value <0.001). Conclusion: During the pandemic, the KTAS had low accuracy in predicting patients in critical conditions in the ED. Therefore, in future pandemic periods, supplementation of the current ED triage system should be considered in order to accurately classify the severity of patients.

Characteristics of fall-from-height patients: a retrospective comparison of jumpers and fallers using a multi-institutional registry.

OBJECTIVE: Fall from height (FFH) is a major public health problem that can result in severe injury, disability, and death. This study investigated how the characteristics of jumpers and fallers differ. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of FFH patients enrolled in an Emergency Department-based Injury In-depth Surveillance (EDIIS) registry between 2011 and 2018. Depending on whether the injury was intentional, FFH patients who had fallen from a height of at least 1 m were divided into two groups: jumpers and fallers. Patient characteristics, organ damage, and death were compared between the two groups, and factors that significantly affected death were identified using multivariable logistic analysis. RESULTS: Among 39,419 patients, 1,982 (5.0%) were jumpers. Of the jumpers, 977 (49.3%) were male, while 30,643 (81.9%) of fallers were male. The jumper group had the highest number of individuals in their 20s, with the number decreasing as age increased. In contrast, the number of individuals in the faller group rose until reaching their 50s, after which it declined. More thoracoabdominal, spinal, and brain injuries were found in jumpers. The in-hospital mortality of jumpers and fallers was 832 (42.0%) and 1,268 (3.4%), respectively. Intentionality was a predictor of in-hospital mortality, along with sex, age, and fall height, with an odds ratio of 7.895 (95% confidence interval, 6.746-9.240). CONCLUSION: Jumpers and fallers have different epidemiological characteristics, and jumpers experienced a higher degree of injury and mortality than fallers. Differentiated prevention and treatment strategies are needed for jumpers and fallers to reduce mortality in FFH patients.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on emergency department patient volume and flow: Two countries, two hospitals.

OBJECTIVES: COVID-19 greatly disrupted the provision of emergency care across the globe. ED service delivery was urgently redesigned as human and material resources were mobilised, and patients with respiratory symptoms were isolated. This study aimed to compare ED patient volume and flow metrics before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: An observational study was conducted in two large urban EDs in Brisbane, Australia and Seoul, Republic of Korea. Patient volume and flow were quantified using ED presentation numbers and service times, respectively. Daily case numbers, waiting, treatment and admission delay times were compared between 2019 and 2020/2021 using time series plots. Outcomes were further classified by triage category and age group. Trends were examined alongside a timeline of health service and government policies. RESULTS: There were reductions in daily presentations for the least urgent triage categories during the early phase of the pandemic. The caseloads for the most urgent triage categories were unaffected. The trends were similar in both EDs. A reduction in waiting and admission delay times but not treatment times coincided with reduced presentations in Brisbane. This pattern gradually reversed as presentations returned to baseline. In Seoul, admission delay times returned to pre-pandemic levels despite a persistent reduction in presentation numbers. CONCLUSIONS: Total daily presentations varied considerably according to government mandated social restrictions and testing requirements in both EDs. The reductions in waiting and admission delay times corresponded with improvements in hospital capacity.

Severe Systemic Reactions Following Bee Sting Injuries in Korea.

PURPOSE: Most bee sting injuries are benign, although sometimes they can result in life threatening outcomes, such as anaphylaxis and death. The purpose of this study was to investigate the epidemiologic status of bee sting injuries in Korea and to identify risk factors associated with severe systemic reactions (SSRs). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cases were extracted from a multicenter retrospective registry for patients who had visited emergency departments (EDs) for bee sting injuries. SSRs were defined as hypotension or altered mental status upon ED arrival, hospitalization, or death. Patient demographics and injury characteristics were compared between SSR and non-SSR groups. Logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors for bee sting-associated SSRs, and the characteristics of fatality cases were summarized. RESULTS: Among the 9673 patients with bee sting injuries, 537 had an SSR and 38 died. The most frequent injury sites included the hands and head/face. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the occurrence of SSRs was associated with male sex [odds ratio (95% confidence interval); 1.634 (1.133-2.357)] and age [1.030 (1.020-1.041)]. Additionally, the risk of SSRs from trunk and head/face stings was high [2.858 (1.405-5.815) and 2.123 (1.333-3.382), respectively]. Bee venom acupuncture [3.685 (1.408-9.641)] and stings in the winter [4.573 (1.420-14.723)] were factors that increased the risk of SSRs. CONCLUSION: Our findings emphasize the need for implementing safety policies and education on bee sting-related incidents to protect high-risk groups.

Nogo receptor-Fc delivered by haematopoietic cells enhances neurorepair in a multiple sclerosis model.

Nogo receptor 1 is the high affinity receptor for the potent myelin-associated inhibitory factors that make up part of the inflammatory extracellular milieu during experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis. Signalling through the Nogo receptor 1 complex has been shown to be associated with axonal degeneration in an animal model of multiple sclerosis, and neuronal deletion of this receptor homologue, in a disease specific manner, is associated with preserving axons even in the context of neuroinflammation. The local delivery of Nogo receptor(1-310)-Fc, a therapeutic fusion protein, has been successfully applied as a treatment in animal models of spinal cord injury and glaucoma. As multiple sclerosis and experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis exhibit large numbers of inflammatory cell infiltrates within the CNS lesions, we utilized transplantable haematopoietic stem cells as a cellular delivery method of the Nogo receptor(1-310)-Fc fusion protein. We identified CNS-infiltrating macrophages as the predominant immune-positive cell type that overexpressed myc-tagged Nogo receptor(1-310)-Fc fusion protein at the peak stage of experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis. These differentiated phagocytes were predominant during the extensive demyelination and axonal damage, which are associated with the engulfment of the protein complex of Nogo receptor(1-310)-Fc binding to myelin ligands. Importantly, mice transplanted with haematopoietic stem cells transduced with the lentiviral vector carrying Nogo receptor(1-310)-Fc and recovered from the peak of neurological decline during experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis, exhibiting axonal regeneration and eventual remyelination in the white matter tracts. There were no immunomodulatory effects of the transplanted, genetically modified haematopoietic stem cells on immune cell lineages of recipient female mice induced with experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis. We propose that cellular delivery of Nogo receptor(1-310)-Fc fusion protein through genetically modified haematopoietic stem cells can modulate multifocal experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis lesions and potentiate neurological recovery.

Efficacy of VeinViewer in pediatric peripheral intravenous access: a randomized controlled trial.

UNLABELLED: Peripheral venous access in infants and children is technically challenging, because their veins are small and located deep in subcutaneous tissue, which makes them difficult to palpate or visualize. The VeinViewer® (Luminetx Corporation, Memphis, TN, USA) is a near-infrared light device that delineates the running course of subcutaneous veins. In this study, we investigated whether the use of the VeinViewer® in infants and children facilitated peripheral venous access, especially in difficult cases. This study was a randomized, controlled trial of a convenience sample of pediatric patients between the ages of 1 month and 16 years who required peripheral venous access in the pediatric ward. Prior to randomization, difficult intravenous access (DIVA) score, a four-variable clinical prediction rule for first-attempt success, was estimated. We compared the first-attempt success rates and procedural times between the VeinViewer® group and a control group. We evaluated 111 patients: 54 in the VeinViewer® group and 57 in the control group. Patient demographics and factors related to the success of vein access were similar for both groups. The overall first-attempt success rate was 69.4%: i.e., 77/111 in the VeinViewer® group and 38/57 in the control group, a difference that was not statistically significant. However, the first-attempt success rate increased from 5/20 in the control group to 14/24 in the VeinViewer® group for difficult veins with a DIVA score greater than 4 (p=0.026). There were no significant differences in procedural time between the two groups. CONCLUSION: The VeinViewer® facilitated peripheral venous access for pediatric patients with difficult veins, which enhanced first-attempt success rates.

Usefulness of complete blood count parameters to predict poor outcomes in cancer patients with febrile neutropenia presenting to the emergency department.

INTRODUCTION: Febrile neutropenia (FN) is one of the major complications with high mortality rates in cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy. The Multinational Association for Supportive Care in Cancer (MASCC) risk-index score has limited applicability for routine use in the emergency department (ED). This study aimed to develop simplified new nomograms that can predict 28-day mortality and the development of serious medical complications in patients with FN by using a combination of complete blood count (CBC) parameters with quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA). METHODS: In this retrospective observational study, various models comprising qSOFA score and individual CBC parameters (red cell distribution width, delta neutrophil index, mean platelet volume (MPV)) were evaluated for association with outcomes by a multivariate logistic analysis. Subsequently, nomograms were developed for outcome prediction. The primary outcome was mortality at 28 days from ED presentation; the secondary outcome was the development of serious medical complications. RESULTS: A total of 378 patients were included. Among the CBC parameters, only MPV was significantly associated with 28-day mortality and serious medical complications in patients with FN. The nomogram developed to predict 28-day mortality and serious medical complications showed good discrimination with area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.729 and 0.862 (95% CI, 0.780-0.943), respectively, which were not different from those of the MASCC score (0.814, 95% CI, 0.705-0.922; p = .07 and 0.921, 95% CI, 0.863-0.979; p = .11, respectively) in the validation set. The calibration of both nomograms demonstrated good agreement in the validation set. CONCLUSION: In this study, a novel prognostic nomogram using qSOFA score and MPV to identify cancer patients with FN with high risk of 28-day mortality and serious medical complications was verified and validated. Prompt management of fatal complications of FN can be possible through early prediction of poor outcomes with these new nomograms.KEY MESSAGESAmong the evaluated CBC parameters, only mean platelet volume was associated with 28-day mortality and serious medical complications in cancer patients with febrile neutropenia.A novel and rapid prognostic nomogram was developed using quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and mean platelet volume to identify cancer patients with febrile neutropenia having high risk of 28-day mortality and serious medical complications.The nomogram developed to predict 28-day mortality and serious medical complications in patients with febrile neutropenia showed good discrimination and provides rapid patient evaluation that is especially applicable in the emergency department.

Development of a machine-learning algorithm to predict in-hospital cardiac arrest for emergency department patients using a nationwide database.

In this retrospective observational study, we aimed to develop a machine-learning model using data obtained at the prehospital stage to predict in-hospital cardiac arrest in the emergency department (ED) of patients transferred via emergency medical services. The dataset was constructed by attaching the prehospital information from the National Fire Agency and hospital factors to data from the National Emergency Department Information System. Machine-learning models were developed using patient variables, with and without hospital factors. We validated model performance and used the SHapley Additive exPlanation model interpretation. In-hospital cardiac arrest occurred in 5431 of the 1,350,693 patients (0.4%). The extreme gradient boosting model showed the best performance with area under receiver operating curve of 0.9267 when incorporating the hospital factor. Oxygen supply, age, oxygen saturation, systolic blood pressure, the number of ED beds, ED occupancy, and pulse rate were the most influential variables, in that order. ED occupancy and in-hospital cardiac arrest occurrence were positively correlated, and the impact of ED occupancy appeared greater in small hospitals. The machine-learning predictive model using the integrated information acquired in the prehospital stage effectively predicted in-hospital cardiac arrest in the ED and can contribute to the efficient operation of emergency medical systems.

Characteristics of crashes and injuries on delivery motorcycles: A retrospective cohort study.

Objectives: The food delivery market is growing rapidly. As most delivery riders use motorcycles, motorcycle crashes will increase along with the growing delivery market size. This study aimed at examining the proportions of motorcycle crashes and characteristics of injuries incurred while using motorcycles for occupational purposes.Methods: This retrospective analysis included motorcycle crash patients aged 16 years or older, who were treated in 23 emergency rooms in Korea, between 2014 and 2018. Patients were divided into two groups: delivery riders (delivery group) and others (nondelivery group). Crash and injury characteristics were compared between the two groups. In addition, trends of patients in the delivery group were compared from 2014 to 2018.Results: This study examined 26,982 motorcycle crash patients, including 3894 (14.43%) patients in the delivery group and 23,088 (85.57%) in the nondelivery group. The number of patients in the delivery group increased drastically from 583 in 2014 to 1029 in 2018, whereas the number of patients in the nondelivery group did not considerably increase (4411 in 2014 and 4462 in 2018). The delivery group had a higher proportion of crashes caused by collisions with cars or other motorcycles (p < 0.001); however, injury severity was lower. The delivery group had a lower proportion of head and face injuries but a higher proportion of extremity injuries. Furthermore, 39.9% of all crashes in this group occurred between 17:00 and 21:00. Over time, there were neither any changes in the injury severities, nor any changes in the characteristics of the delivery group, with the exception of increases in both the proportion of motorist insurance and the proportion of wearing a helmet.Conclusions: The results indicated differences in characteristics between delivery motorcycle crashes and other motorcycle crashes. Although delivery motorcycle crash severity was low compared to other motorcycle crashes, the number of patients increased significantly. Therefore, to prevent crashes, it is necessary to improve the working environment. In addition, to prevent the extremity injuries of delivery riders, the policy of wearing extremity protective gears should be considered.

Predisposing Factors and Neurologic Outcomes of Patients with Elevated Serum Amylase and/or Lipase after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

This study investigated the patient outcomes, incidence, and predisposing factors of elevated pancreatic enzyme levels after OHCA. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients treated with targeted temperature management (TTM) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Elevation of pancreatic enzyme levels was defined as serum amylase or lipase levels that were at least three times the upper limit of normal. The factors associated with elevated pancreatic enzyme levels and their association with neurologic outcomes and mortality 28 days after OHCA were analyzed. Among the 355 patients, 166 (46.8%) patients developed elevated pancreatic enzyme levels. In the multivariable analysis (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval), initial shockable rhythm (0.62, 0.39−0.98, p = 0.04), time from collapse to return of spontaneous circulation (1.02, 1.01−1.04, p < 0.001), and history of coronary artery disease (1.7, 1.01−2.87, p = 0.046) were associated with elevated pancreatic enzyme levels. After adjusting for confounding factors, elevated pancreatic enzyme levels were associated with neurologic outcomes (5.44, 3.35−8.83, p < 0.001) and mortality (3.74, 2.39−5.86, p < 0.001). Increased pancreatic enzyme levels are common in patients treated with TTM after OHCA and are associated with unfavorable neurologic outcomes and mortality at 28 days after OHCA.