m6A-enriched lncRNA LINC00839 promotes tumor progression by enhancing TAF15-mediated transcription of amine oxidase AOC1 in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Dysregulation of long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) contributes to tumorigenesis by modulating specific cancer-related pathways, but the roles of N6-methyladenosine (m6A)-enriched lncRNAs and underlying mechanisms remain elusive in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Here, we reanalyzed the previous genome-wide analysis of lncRNA profiles in 18 pairs of NPC and normal tissues as well as in ten paired samples from NPC with or without post-treatment metastases. We discerned that an oncogenic m6A-enriched lncRNA, LINC00839, which was substantially upregulated in NPC and correlated with poor clinical prognosis, promoted NPC growth and metastasis both in vitro and in vivo. Mechanistically, by using RNA pull-down assay combined with mass spectrometry, we found that LINC00839 interacted directly with the transcription factor, TATA-box binding protein associated factor (TAF15). Besides, chromatin immunoprecipitation and dual-luciferase report assays demonstrated that LINC00839 coordinated the recruitment of TAF15 to the promoter region of amine oxidase copper-containing 1 (AOC1), which encodes a secreted glycoprotein playing vital roles in various cancers, thereby activating AOC1 transcription in trans. In this study, potential effects of AOC1 in NPC progression were first proposed. Moreover, ectopic expression of AOC1 partially rescued the inhibitory effect of downregulation of LINC00839 in NPC. Furthermore, we showed that silencing vir-like m6A methyltransferase-associated (VIRMA) and insulin-like growth factor 2 mRNA-binding proteins 1 (IGF2BP1) attenuated the expression level and RNA stability of LINC00839 in an m6A-dependent manner. Taken together, our study unveils a novel oncogenic VIRMA/IGF2BP1-LINC00839-TAF15-AOC1 axis and highlights the significance and prognostic value of LINC00839 expression in NPC carcinogenesis.

Neural substrates of L2-L1 transfer effects on phonological awareness in young Chinese-English bilingual children.

The growing trend of bilingual education between Chinese and English has contributed to a rise in the number of early bilingual children, who were exposed to L2 prior to formal language instruction of L1. The L2-L1 transfer effect in an L1-dominant environment has been well established. However, the threshold of L2 proficiency at which such transfer manifests remains unclear. This study investigated the behavioral and neural processes involved when manipulating phonemes in an auditory phonological task to uncover the transfer effect in young bilingual children. Sixty-two first graders from elementary schools in Taiwan were recruited in this study (29 Chinese monolinguals, 33 Chinese-English bilinguals). The brain activity was measured using fNIRS (functional near-infrared spectroscopy). Bilingual children showed right lateralization to process Chinese and left lateralization to process English, which supports more on the accommodation effect within the framework of the assimilation-accommodation hypothesis. Also, compared to monolinguals, bilingual children showed more bilateral frontal activation in Chinese, potentially reflecting a mixed influence from L2-L1 transfer effects and increased cognitive load of bilingual exposure. These results elucidate the developmental adjustments in the neural substrates associated with early bilingual exposure in phonological processing, offering valuable insights into the bilingual learning process.

Thyroid dysfunction in Chinese nasopharyngeal carcinoma after anti-PD-1 therapy and its association with treatment response.

BACKGROUND: Programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) blockade therapies have demonstrated efficacy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Thyroid dysfunction is among the most common immune-related adverse events. This study aimed to explore the clinical pattern of thyroid dysfunction and its relationship with survival marker in nonmetastatic NPC after immunotherapy. METHODS: From January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2021, 165 pairs of nonmetastatic NPC patients (165 with and 165 without anti-PD-1 immunotherapy) matched by the propensity score matching method were included in this study. Thyroid function was assessed retrospectively before the first treatment and during each immunotherapy cycle. RESULTS: The spectrum of thyroid dysfunction was different between the immunotherapy and control groups (P < 0.001). Compared with the control group, patients in the immunotherapy group developed more hypothyroidism (14.545% vs. 7.273%), less hyperthyroidism (10.909% vs. 23.636%), and a distinct pattern, biphasic thyroid dysfunction (3.030% vs. 0%). Immunotherapy also accelerates the onset of hypothyroidism, which was earlier with a median onset time difference of 32 days (P < 0.001). Patients who acquired thyroid dysfunction during immunotherapy had better complete biological response to treatment (OR, 10.980; P = 0.042). CONCLUSIONS: For nonmetastatic NPC, thyroid dysfunction was associated with better response to treatment in immunotherapy but not in routine treatment. Thyroid function could be used as a predictor for survival and should be under regular and intensive surveillance in clinical practice of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy for nonmetastatic NPC.

Cisplatin-based concurrent chemoradiotherapy improved the survival of locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma after induction chemotherapy by reducing early treatment failure.

PURPOSE: The aims of this study focusing on Locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) were mainly two-fold: on the one hand, to establish a cut-off value to differentiate early and late failure based on prognosis after recurrence or metastasis; and on the other hand, to investigate the duration of concurrent cisplatin benefit over follow-up time. The results of our study have the potential to guide clinical practice and follow-up. METHODS: In total, 3123 patients with stage III-IVa NPC receiving Induction chemotherapy followed by concurrent cisplatin or not were analysed. The cut-off value of treatment failure was calculated using the minimum P-value approach. Random survival forest (RSF) model was to simulate the cumulative probabilities of treatment failure (locoregional recurrence and /or distant metastasis) over-time, as well as the monthly time-specific, event-occurring probabilities, for patients at different treatment groups. RESULTS: Based on subsequent prognosis, early locoregional failure (ELRF) should be defined as recurrence within 14 months (P = 1.47 × 10 - 3), and early distant failure (EDF) should be defined as recurrence within 20 months (P = 1.95 × 10 - 4). A cumulative cisplatin dose (CCD) > 200 mg/m2 independently reduced the risk of EDF (hazard ratio, 0.351; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.169-0.732; P = 0.005). Better failure-free survival (FFS) and overall survival (OS) were observed in concurrent chemotherapy settings ([0 mg/m2 vs. 1-200 mg/m2 vs. >200 mg/m2]: FFS: 70.4% vs. 74.4% vs. 82.6%, all P < 0.03; OS: 79.5% vs. 83.8% vs. 90.8%, all P < 0.01). In the monthly analysis, treatment failure mainly occurred during the first 4 years, and the risk of distant failure in patients treated with concurrent chemotherapy never exceeded that of patients without concurrent chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: Locoregional failure that developed within 14 months and/or distant failure within 20 months had poorer subsequent survival. Concurrent chemotherapy provides a significant FFS benefit, primarily by reducing EDF, translating into a long-term OS benefit.

Liquid biopsy posttreatment surveillance in endemic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a cost-effective strategy to integrate circulating cell-free Epstein-Barr virus DNA.

BACKGROUND: The optimal posttreatment surveillance strategy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remains unclear. Circulating cell-free Epstein-Barr virus (cfEBV) DNA has been recognized as a promising biomarker to facilitate early detection of NPC recurrence. Therefore, we aim to determine whether integrating circulating cfEBV DNA into NPC follow-up is cost-effective. METHODS: For each stage of asymptomatic nonmetastatic NPC patients after complete remission to primary NPC treatment, we developed a Markov model to compare the cost-effectiveness of the following surveillance strategies: routine follow-up strategy, i.e., (1) routine clinical physical examination; routine imaging strategies, including (2) routine magnetic resonance imaging plus computed tomography plus bone scintigraphy (MRI + CT + BS); and (3) routine 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT); cfEBV DNA-guided imaging strategies, including (4) cfEBV DNA-guided MRI + CT + BS and (5) cfEBV DNA-guided PET/CT. Clinical probabilities, utilities, and costs were derived from published studies or databases. Sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: For all disease stages, cfEBV DNA-guided imaging strategies demonstrated similar survival benefits but were considerably more economical than routine imaging strategies. They only required approximately one quarter of the number of imaging studies compared with routine imaging strategies to detect one recurrence. Specifically, cfEBV DNA-guided MRI + CT + BS was most cost-effective for stage II (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio [ICER] $57,308/quality-adjusted life-year [QALY]) and stage III ($46,860/QALY) patients, while cfEBV DNA-guided PET/CT was most cost-effective for stage IV patients ($62,269/QALY). However, routine follow-up was adequate for stage I patients due to their low recurrence risk. CONCLUSIONS: The cfEBV DNA-guided imaging strategies are effective and cost-effective follow-up methods in NPC. These liquid biopsy-based strategies offer evidence-based, stage-specific surveillance modalities for clinicians and reduce disease burden for patients.

Prognostic potential of liquid biopsy tracking in the posttreatment surveillance of patients with nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The current study was performed to investigate whether circulating cell-free Epstein-Barr virus DNA (cfEBV DNA) would be useful for posttreatment surveillance in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: The authors identified a total of 1984 nondisseminated NPC patients from an institutional big-data research platform. Blood samples were collected within 3 months of the completion of radiotherapy and every 3 to 12 months thereafter for cfEBV DNA analysis. Patients were followed until disease recurrence was detected or for a median of 60 months. Diagnostic performance was assessed by calculating the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy based on the clinical detection of disease recurrence by conventional surveillance modalities (imaging scans and pathological examination). RESULTS: During follow-up, a total of 767 patients (38.7%) had detectable cfEBV DNA. The recurrence rate among these patients was 63.8% (489 of 767 patients), which was significantly higher than that in patients with undetectable cfEBV DNA (8.6%; 105 of 1217 patients). cfEBV DNA sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 68.8%, 80.0%, and 78.2%, respectively, for local recurrence; 80.2%, 80.0%, and 85.9%, respectively, for regional recurrence; and 91.1%, 80.0%, and 92.8%, respectively, for distant metastasis. cfEBV DNA was found to have higher sensitivity for the detection of extrapulmonary metastases (94.9%-96.5%) compared with pulmonary metastases (78.4%). It is interesting to note that among the patients with disease recurrence with detectable cfEBV DNA, positive cfEBV DNA results preceded radiological and/or clinical evidence of disease recurrence by a median of 2.3 months (interquartile range, 0.1-9.5 months). In addition, of the 278 cfEBV DNA-positive patients who did not develop disease recurrence, 227 (81.7%) had transiently positive cfEBV DNA that fell to undetectable levels during long-term monitoring. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma cfEBV DNA in patients with NPC appears to be an early sign of tumor recurrence, especially extrapulmonary metastases.

Prognostic Value of Circulating Lipoprotein in Patients with Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Lipoproteins have been reported to be associated with prognosis in various cancers; however, the prognostic value of lipoproteins in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remains largely unknown. We aim to asses the role of circulating lipoproteins in locoregionally advanced NPC patients. METHODS: Between October 2009 and August 2012, a total of 1,081 patients with stage III-IVB NPC were included in the analysis. Circulating high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) are the two key lipoproteins, which were measured at baseline. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate different cut-off points for lipoproteins. Actuarial rates were performed using Kaplan-Meier methods and the log-rank test. RESULTS: The cutoff points of HDL, LDL, and LDL/HDL ratio were 1.17 mmol/L, 3.75 mmol/L, and 2.73, respectively. At 5 years, high HDL (> 1.17 mmol/L) was significantly associated with better overall survival (OS, 86.6% vs. 78.9%; P=0.004), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS, 86.9% vs. 80.8%; P=0.004), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS, 90.8% vs. 85.4%; P=0.010), and progression-free survival (PFS, 79.1% vs. 70.2%; P= 0.001) than low HDL (≤1.17 mmol/L). In contrast, high LDL (> 3.75 mmol/L) tend to be inferior OS (79.1% vs. 84.9%; P= 0.016) in compassion with low LDL (≤3.75 mmol/L). Likewise, patients with high LDL/HDL ratio (> 2.73) tend to be inferior OS (79.3% vs. 86.9%; P=0.001), DMFS (81.9% vs. 86.5%; P=0.030), and PFS (72.6% vs. 77.8%; P= 0.034) than those of low LDL/HDL ratio (≤2.73). In multivariate analysis, baseline HDL was found to be a significant prognostic factor for LRFS (HR= 0.65; 95% CI, 0.45-0.93; P= 0.019) and PFS (HR=0.75; 95% CI, 0.58-0.98; P= 0.034). CONCLUSIONS: Circulating HDL is significantly associated with treatment outcomes in patients with locoregionally advanced NPC. We suggest that HDL measurements will be of great clinical significance in the management of NPC.

Establishment of a risk stratification model based on the combination of post-treatment serum squamous cell carcinoma antigen levels and FIGO stage of cervical cancer for treatment and surveillance decision-making.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a risk stratification model based on the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) staging combined with squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCC-Ag) for the classification of patients with cervical squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) into different risk groups. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the data of 664 women with stage IIA-IVB CSCC according to the 2018 FIGO staging system who received definitive radiotherapy from March 2013 to December 2017 at the department of radiation oncology of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. Cutoff values for continuous variables were estimated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) modeling, overall survival was predicted based on the prognostic factors determined via Cox regression analysis. The predictive performance of the RPA model was assessed using the consistency index (C-index). Intergroup survival differences were determined and compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log-rank test. RESULTS: Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified post-treatment SCC-Ag (< 1.35 ng/mL and > 1.35 ng/mL; hazard ratio (HR), 4.000; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.911-5.496; P < 0.0001) and FIGO stage (II, III, and IV; HR, 2.582, 95% CI, 1.947-3.426; P < 0.0001) as the independent outcome predictors for overall survival. The RPA model based on the above prognostic factors divided the patients into high-, intermediate-, and low-risk groups. Significant differences in overall survival were observed among the three groups (5-year overall survival: low vs. intermediate vs. high, 91.3% vs. 76.7% vs. 29.5%, P < 0.0001). The predictive performance of the RPA model (C-index, 0.732; 95% CI, 0.701-0.763) was prominently superior to that of post-treatment SCC-Ag (C-index, 0.668; 95% CI, 0.635-0.702; P < 0.0001) and FIGO stage (C-index, 0.663; 95% CI, 0.631-0.695; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The RPA model based on FIGO staging and post-treatment SCC-Ag can predict the overall survival of patients with CSCC, thereby providing a guide for the formulation of risk-adaptive treatment and individualized follow-up strategies.

[Seasonal Variation Characteristics and Pollution Assessment of Heavy Metals in Water and Sediment of Taipu River].

Taipu River is a river spanning two provinces and one city in a demonstration area in the Yangtze River Delta on an ecologically friendly developmentand an important water source in the upper reaches of the Huangpu River in Shanghai. To understand the multi-media distribution characteristics, pollution status, and ecological risk of heavy metals in the Taipu River, the contents of heavy metals (As, Cd, Co, Cr, Cu, Mn, Ni, Pb, Sb, and Zn) in the sediments of Taipu River were analyzed, and the pollution status and potential ecological risk were evaluated using the Nemerow comprehensive pollution index, geo-accumulation index, and potential ecological risk index methods. In addition, the health risk assessment model was used to assess the health risk of heavy metals in surface water of Taipu River. The results showed that the concentrations of Cd, Cr, Mn, and Ni in the surface water of Taipu River exceeded the class Ⅲ water limit at the upstream point in spring; the concentrations of Sb exceeded the class Ⅲ water limit at all points in winter; the average value of As exceeded the class Ⅲ water limit in overlying water during the wet season; and the average values of As and Cd exceeded the class Ⅲ water limit in pore water during the wet season. The health risk assessment of surface water implied that both adults and children had higher health risk in spring and lower health risk in other seasons. The health risk of children was significantly higher than that of adults, and it mainly came from chemical carcinogenic heavy metal elements As, Cd, and Cr. The average contents of Co, Mn, Sb, and Zn in Taipu River sediments in the four seasons all exceeded the Shanghai soil baseline; the average contents of As, Cr, and Cu in summer, autumn, and winter exceeded the Shanghai soil baseline; and the average contents of Cd, Ni, and Pb in summer and winter exceeded the Shanghai soil baseline. The evaluation results of the Nemerow comprehensive pollution index and geo-accumulation index showed that the pollution degree of the middle reaches of Taipu River was higher than that of the upper and lower reaches, and the Sb pollution was more serious. The potential ecological risk index method revealed that the Taipu River sediment was at a low risk. Cd had a high contribution in both the wet and dry seasons and could be regarded as the main heavy metal of potential ecological risk in the Taipu River sediment.

Clinical research promotes development of nephrology in China: an analysis of 20 years of scientific publications.

BACKGROUND: To study the trend of clinical and basic research output in the field of nephrology in China during the past 20 years. METHODS: The journals listed in the "Urology and Nephrology" category of Science Citation Index Expanded (SCIE) subject categories were selected. The papers were retrieved by searching the PubMed database. Mainland China (ML), Hong Kong (HK), and Taiwan (TW) were chosen as investigative regions compared with other developed countries. Geographical difference in publications in ML was analyzed. The change between clinical and basic research papers was compared. The accumulated or average impact factor (IF) and the number of papers published in the 10 most impacted journals were calculated to determine the quality of papers. RESULTS: The research output in the field of nephrology in ML developed markedly in the last 7 years (an average annual increase of 54% from 2004); ML exceeded TW and HK since 2008. The research output born in ML was mainly from five cities, for example, Beijing, Shanghai, Nanjing, Guangzhou, and Hangzhou, which accounted for 72% of the total. Since 2001, clinical research papers increased yearly by 11.55, and the basic research papers increased by 4.55. However, clinical trials were still limited. In 2010, ML had the highest accumulated IF and the lowest average IF. ML had the second highest number of publications in the 10 top-ranking nephrology journals among the three regions. CONCLUSIONS: China has made a remarkable progress in the field of nephrology. Clinical researches have promoted the development of nephrology. The quality of research papers in China needs further improvement.

Contribution of insurance status to the association between marital status and cancer-specific survival: a mediation analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the extent to which marriage influences cancer-specific survival (CSS) by influencing the insurance status among patients with common solid cancers and the feasibility of reducing the survival gap caused by marriage by increasing private insurance coverage for unmarried patients. SETTING: A retrospective cohort study with patients retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results programme. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with nine common solid cancers diagnosed between 2007 and 2016 were included. Patients were excluded if their marital status, insurance status, socioeconomical status, stage or cause of death was unavailable, if survival time was less than 1 month, or if they were younger than 18 years at the time of diagnosis. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was CSS, which was compared between married and unmarried individuals. Mediation analyses were conducted to determine the contribution of insurance status to the association between marriage and CSS. RESULTS: Married patients had better CSS than those unmarried (time ratio 1.778; 95% CI 1.758 to 1.797). Private health insurance was a key factor mediating the association between marital status and CSS (proportion mediated (PM), 17%; 95% CI 17% to 17.1%). The PM ranges from 10.7% in prostate cancer to 20% in kidney cancer. The contribution of private insurance to the association between marital status and CSS was greater among women than among men (PM 18.5% vs 16.7%). The mediating effect of private insurance was the greatest for the comparison between married and separated individuals (PM 25.6%; 95% CI 25.3% to 25.8%) and smallest for the comparison between married and widowed individuals (PM 11.0%; 95% CI 10.9% to 11.1%). CONCLUSIONS: 17% of the marital disparities in CSS are mediated by private insurance coverage. Increasing private insurance coverage for unmarried patients may reduce the survival gap related to marital status and sex. However, it is unclear whether better publicly funded insurance would have the same effect.

Prognostic value of radiation interruption in different periods for nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients in the intensity-modulated radiation therapy era.

We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of radiation interruptions at different times on the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma receiving intensity-modulated radiation therapy. Totally, 4510 patients were identified from a well-established big-data intelligence platform. Optimal interruption thresholds were identified using Recursive partitioning analyses. Actuarial rates were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method and were compared using the log-rank test. Patients with preceding interruptions ≥1 d (5-year OS, 89.6% vs. 85.7%, p < 0.001; 5-year DFS, 81.4% vs. 76.4%, p < 0.001), or latter interruptions ≥4 d (88.4% vs. 82.3%, p < 0.001; 79.2% vs. 75.1%, p = 0.006) showed significant detrimental effects on OS and DFS than patients without those interruptions. However, no significant lower survival was identified in latter interruptions ≥1 d (5-year OS: 89.0% vs. 86.7%, p = 0.053; 5-year DFS, 80.2% vs. 77.8%, p = 0.080). Latter interruptions ≥4 d was an independent unfavorable prognostic factor for OS (HR, 1.404; 95% CI, 1.143-1.723, p = 0.001) and DFS (HR, 1.351; 95% CI, 1.105-1.652, p = 0.003) in multivariate analysis. Radiation interruptions longer than 3 days that occurred in the latter period of treatment with IMRT were independent factors in poorer survival. Efforts are needed to minimize radiation interruptions and improve the timely provision of treatment.

Development of a Nomogram Model for Treatment of Elderly Patients with Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

(1) Purpose: This study aims to explore risk-adapted treatment for elderly patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) according to their pretreatment risk stratification and the degree of comorbidity. (2) Methods: A total of 583 elderly LA-NPC patients diagnosed from January 2011 to January 2018 are retrospectively studied. A nomogram for disease-free survival (DFS) is constructed based on multivariate Cox regression analysis. The performance of the model is evaluated by using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve and Harrell concordance index (C-index). Then, the entire cohort is divided into different risk groups according to the nomogram cutoff value determined by X-tile analysis. The degree of comorbidities is assessed by the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Finally, survival rates are estimated and compared by the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. (3) Results: A nomogram for DFS is constructed with T/N classification, Epstein-Barr virus DNA and albumin. The nomogram shows well prognostic performance and significantly outperformed the tumor-node-metastasis staging system for estimating DFS (AUC, 0.710 vs. 0.607; C-index, 0.668 vs. 0.585; both p < 0.001). The high-risk group generated by nomogram has significantly poorer survival compared with the low-risk group (3-year DFS, 76.7% vs. 44.6%, p < 0.001). For high-risk patients with fewer comorbidities (CCI = 2), chemotherapy combined with radiotherapy is associated with significantly better survival (p < 0.05) than radiotherapy alone. (4) Conclusion: A prognostic nomogram for DFS is constructed with generating two risk groups. Combining risk stratification and the degree of comorbidities can guide risk-adapted treatment for elderly LA-NPC patients.

Individualized elective irradiation of the clinically node-negative neck in definitive radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Oral cavity (OC), oropharyngeal (OP), hypopharyngeal (HP), and laryngeal (LA) squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) have a high incidence of regional lymph node metastasis (LNM). Elective irradiation for clinically node-negative neck is routinely administered to treat lymph nodes harboring occult metastasis. However, the optimal elective irradiation schemes are still inconclusive. In this study, we aimed to establish individualized elective irradiation schemes for the ipsilateral and contralateral node-negative neck of these four types of cancer. METHODS: From July 2005 to December 2018, 793 patients with OC-SCC, 464 with OP-SCC, 413 with HP-SCC, and 645 with LA-SCC were recruited retrospectively. Based on the actual incidence of LNM and the tumor characteristics, risk factors for contralateral LNM, as well as node level coverage schemes for elective irradiation, were determined using logistic regression analysis. Additionally, we developed a publicly available online tool to facilitate the widespread clinical use of these schemes. RESULTS: For the ipsilateral node-negative neck, elective irradiation at levels I-III for OC-SCC and levels II-IVa for OP-, HP- and LA-SCC are generally recommended. In addition, level VIIa should be included in patients with OP-SCC. Multivariate analyses revealed that posterior hypopharyngeal wall and post-cricoid region involvement were independently associated with level VIIa metastasis in HP-SCC (all P < 0.05). For the contralateral node-negative neck, multivariate analyses revealed that ipsilateral N2b2-N3, tumors with body midline involvement, and degree of tumor invasion were the independent factors for contralateral LNM (all P < 0.05). In patients who require contralateral neck irradiation, levels I-II are recommended for OC-SCC, and additional level III is recommended for patients with ipsilateral N3 disease. Levels II-III are recommended for OP-, HP-, and LA-SCC, and additional level IVa is recommended for patients with advanced T or ipsilateral N classifications. Furthermore, additional level VIIa is recommended only for OP-SCC with T4 and ipsilateral N3 disease. CONCLUSION: Based on our findings, we suggest that individualized and computer-aided elective irradiation schemes could reduce irradiation volumes in OC-, OP- and HP-SCC patients, as compared to current guidelines, and could thus positively impact the patients' quality of life after radiotherapy.

Normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models for predicting temporal lobe injury after intensity-modulated radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A large registry-based retrospective study from China.

PURPOSE: To develop predictive models with dosimetric and clinical variables for temporal lobe injury (TLI) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) after intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data of 8194 NPC patients who received IMRT-based treatment were retrospectively reviewed. TLI was diagnosed by magnetic resonance imaging. Dosimetric factors were selected by penalized regression and machine learning, with area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) calculated. Cox proportional hazards models containing the most predictive dosimetric factor with/without clinical variables were performed. A nomogram was generated as a visualization of Cox regression for predicting TLI-free survival. RESULTS: During median follow-up of 66.8 months (interquartile range [IQR] 54.2-82.2 months), 12.1% of patients (989/8194) developed TLI. Median latency from IMRT to TLI was 36 months (IQR 28-47 months). D0.5cc (dose delivered to 0.5-cm3 temporal-lobe volume) was the most predictive dosimetric factor (AUC: 0.799). Tolerance dose for 5% and 50% probabilities to develop TLI in 5 years were 65.06 Gy (95% confidence interval [CI]: 64.19-65.92) and 89.75 Gy (95% CI: 87.39-92.11), respectively. A nomogram comprising age, T stage, and D0.5cc significantly outperformed the model with only D0.5cc in predicting TLI (C-index: 0.78 vs. 0.737 in train set; 0.775 vs. 0.73 in test set; both P < 0.001). The nomogram-defined high-risk group had worse 5-year TLI-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: D0.5cc of 65.06 Gy was the tolerance dose of the temporal lobe. Reducing D0.5cc decreased risk of TLI, especially in older patients with advanced T stage. The nomogram could predict TLI precisely and allow individualized follow-up management.

Development of a risk classification system combining TN-categories and circulating EBV DNA for non-metastatic NPC in 10,149 endemic cases.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to construct a risk classification system integrating cell-free Epstein-Barr virus (cfEBV) DNA with T- and N- categories for better prognostication in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: Clinical records of 10,149 biopsy-proven, non-metastatic NPC were identified from two cancer centers; this comprised a training (N = 9,259) and two validation cohorts (N = 890; including one randomized controlled phase 3 trial cohort). Adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) method using a two-tiered stratification by cfEBV DNA and TN-categories was applied to generate the risk model. Primary clinical endpoint was overall survival (OS). Performances of the models were compared against American Joint Committee on Cancer/Union for International Cancer Control (AJCC/UICC) 8th edition TNM-stage classification and two published recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) models, and were validated in the validation cohorts. RESULTS: We chose a cfEBV DNA cutoff of ⩾2,000 copies for optimal risk discretization of OS, disease-free survival (DFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) in the training cohort. AHR modeling method divided NPC into six risk groups with significantly disparate survival (p < 0.001 for all): AHR1, T1N0; AHR2A, T1N1/T2-3N0 cfEBV DNA < 2,000 (EBVlow); AHR2B, T1N1/T2-3N0 cfEBV DNA ⩾ 2,000 (EBVhigh) and T1-2N2/T2-3N1 EBVlow; AHR3, T1-2N2/T2-3N1 EBVhigh and T3N2/T4N0 EBVlow; AHR4, T3N2/T4 N0-1 EBVhigh and T1-3N3/T4N1-3 EBVlow; AHR5, T1-3N3/T4 N2-3 EBVhigh. Our AHR model outperformed the published RPA models and TNM stage with better hazard consistency (1.35 versus 3.98-12.67), hazard discrimination (5.29 versus 6.69-13.35), explained variation (0.248 versus 0.164-0.225), balance (0.385 versus 0.438-0.749) and C-index (0.707 versus 0.662-0.700). In addition, our AHR model was superior to the TNM stage for risk stratification of OS in two validation cohorts (p < 0.001 for both). CONCLUSION: Herein, we developed and validated a risk classification system that combines the AJCC/UICC 8th edition TN-stage classification and cfEBV DNA for non-metastatic NPC. Our new clinicomolecular model provides improved OS prediction over the current staging system.

Development and validation of a web-based calculator to predict individualized conditional risk of site-specific recurrence in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: Analysis of 10,058 endemic cases.

BACKGROUND: Conditional survival (CS) provides dynamic prognostic estimates by considering the patients existing survival time. Since CS for endemic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is lacking, we aimed to assess the CS of endemic NPC and establish a web-based calculator to predict individualized, conditional site-specific recurrence risk. METHODS: Using an NPC-specific database with a big-data intelligence platform, 10,058 endemic patients with non-metastatic stage I-IVA NPC receiving intensity-modulated radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy between April 2009 and December 2015 were investigated. Crude CS estimates of conditional overall survival (COS), conditional disease-free survival (CDFS), conditional locoregional relapse-free survival (CLRRFS), conditional distant metastasis-free survival (CDMFS), and conditional NPC-specific survival (CNPC-SS) were calculated. Covariate-adjusted CS estimates were generated using inverse probability weighting. A prediction model was established using competing risk models and was externally validated with an independent, non-metastatic stage I-IVA NPC cohort undergoing intensity-modulated radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy (n = 601) at another institution. RESULTS: The median follow-up of the primary cohort was 67.2 months. The 5-year COS, CDFS, CLRRFS, CDMFS, and CNPC-SS increased from 86.2%, 78.1%, 89.8%, 87.3%, and 87.6% at diagnosis to 87.3%, 87.7%, 94.4%, 96.0%, and 90.1%, respectively, for an existing survival time of 3 years since diagnosis. Differences in CS estimates between prognostic factor subgroups of each endpoint were noticeable at diagnosis but diminished with time, whereas an ever-increasing disparity in CS between different age subgroups was observed over time. Notably, the prognoses of patients that were poor at diagnosis improved greatly as patients survived longer. For individualized CS predictions, we developed a web-based model to estimate the conditional risk of local (C-index, 0.656), regional (0.667), bone (0.742), lung (0.681), and liver (0.711) recurrence, which significantly outperformed the current staging system (P < 0.001). The performance of this web-based model was further validated using an external validation cohort (median follow-up, 61.3 months), with C-indices of 0.672, 0.736, 0.754, 0.663, and 0.721, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We characterized the CS of endemic NPC in the largest cohort to date. Moreover, we established a web-based calculator to predict the CS of site-specific recurrence, which may help to tailor individualized, risk-based, time-adapted follow-up strategies.

Evaluation of urban comprehensive carrying capacity in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area based on regional collaboration.

The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) is the most prominent urban agglomeration in China, with plans for further development. Using the regional collaboration theoretical framework for assessing urban comprehensive carrying capacity (UCC), the improved entropy method is applied to establish an index system based on a social, economic, environment, and transportation perspective to compare UCCs of the GBA's 11 cities for 2000-2016. Results show that the social subsystem is central to the evaluation system. Cities' performances vary significantly, with six becoming overloaded in 2016 and the other five remaining loadable. Guangzhou performed best, with a rising UCC; Shenzhen rebounded after a long period of decline; Hong Kong's capacity rose slightly, with some fluctuation; and Macao performed worse and continues to slide, with no signs of improvement. Overall, the UCC of the urban agglomeration showed a downward trend, with only a few cities continuing to improve. The spatial distribution for UCC was high in the north and low in the south, showing scope for improvement. The study enriches regional collaboration theory and proposes policy implications for GBA development.

Individualized cumulative cisplatin dose for locoregionally-advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients receiving induction chemotherapy and concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

OBJECTIVES: To screen subgroup potentially benefiting from cumulative cisplatin dose (CCD) ≥ 200 mg/m2 during concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) of patients with locoregionally-advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) receiving induction chemotherapy (IC) and CCRT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In total, 2 063 patients with non-disseminated LA-NPC diagnosed from 2009 to 2015 receiving IC plus CCRT were enrolled. Patients were restaged based on proposed stage groupings and risk groupings was established. After propensity score matching, survival outcomes were compared within different risk groupings with 200 mg/m2 CCD. Post-IC gross primary tumor (GTVp) and lymph node (GTVnd) volumes were calculated from planning computed tomography. The role of risk groupings and post-IC tumor volume to CCD was explored. RESULTS: Compared with the low-risk group, the high-risk group showed poor survival outcomes in terms of 5-year progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS). CCD ≥ 200 mg/m2 improved survival in terms of 5-year PFS, OS and DMFS in the high-risk group but not in the low-risk group. High-risk patients with unfavorable response to IC benefited from CCD ≥ 200 mg/m2 with respect to PFS and DMFS; while those in low-risk group or with favorable response to IC didn't. CONCLUSIONS: Risk groupings was effective for risk stratification. Combining risk groupings and post-IC tumor volume is a simple and useful method to guide individualized CCD treatment of CCRT for patients with LA-NPC receiving IC and CCRT. CCD ≥ 200 mg/m2 may be indicated for high-risk patients with unfavorable response to IC.

Establishing M1 stage subdivisions by incorporating radiological features and Epstein-Barr virus DNA for metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Significance of plasma Epstein-Barr virus deoxyribonucleic acid (EBV DNA)-a proven robust indicator for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC)-is not yet clarified in risk stratification of metastatic NPC (mNPC). We aim to establish effective M1 stage subdivisions in mNPC by integrating radiological features and EBV DNA at diagnosis of metastasis (mEBV DNA). METHODS: The study comprised 1,007 mNPC patients, including 817 metachronous mNPC (mmNPC) patients randomized into training (n=613) and internal validation (n=204) cohorts, and 190 synchronous mNPC (smNPC) patients defined as smNPC validation cohort. Primary clinical end-point was overall survival (OS). Covariate inclusion to recursive partitioning analysis (RPA)-generated risk stratification was qualified by a multivariable two-sided P<0.05. Performances of different models were compared using area under ROC curve (AUC), Harrell's concordance index (c-index) and Akaike information criterion (AIC). RESULTS: Compared with other simply image-based models, the ultimate RPA-EBV-stage presented a best performance [c-index =0.68 (training), 0.70 (internal validation), 0.64 (smNPC validation); AUC =0.69 (training), 0.72 (internal validation), 0.70 (smNPC validation)]: M1a (low mEBV DNA + oligo lesion), M1b (low mEBV DNA + multiple lesions), M1c (high mEBV DNA + no liver involvement), and M1d (high mEBV DNA + liver involvement). Corresponding 3-year OS rates were 49.9%, 33.4%, 22.6%, and 6.7%, respectively (P<0.001). In mmNPC patients, compared with chemotherapy alone, addition of local treatment demonstrated superiority in M1a and M1b; systemic therapy combined with targeted therapy conferred benefit on patients of M1c and M1d (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This RPA-EBV-stage provided favorable prognostic value for survival outcomes and could assist clinical and investigative management. Low-risk patients are considered suitable candidate for curative local treatment, and high-risk patients are recommended to undergo intensive systemic treatment.