Development and Validation of the American Heart Association's PREVENT Equations.

BACKGROUND: Multivariable equations are recommended by primary prevention guidelines to assess absolute risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, current equations have several limitations. Therefore, we developed and validated the American Heart Association Predicting Risk of CVD EVENTs (PREVENT) equations among US adults 30 to 79 years of age without known CVD. METHODS: The derivation sample included individual-level participant data from 25 data sets (N=3 281 919) between 1992 and 2017. The primary outcome was CVD (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure). Predictors included traditional risk factors (smoking status, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, antihypertensive or statin use, and diabetes) and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Models were sex-specific, race-free, developed on the age scale, and adjusted for competing risk of non-CVD death. Analyses were conducted in each data set and meta-analyzed. Discrimination was assessed using the Harrell C-statistic. Calibration was calculated as the slope of the observed versus predicted risk by decile. Additional equations to predict each CVD subtype (atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure) and include optional predictors (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio and hemoglobin A1c), and social deprivation index were also developed. External validation was performed in 3 330 085 participants from 21 additional data sets. RESULTS: Among 6 612 004 adults included, mean±SD age was 53±12 years, and 56% were women. Over a mean±SD follow-up of 4.8±3.1 years, there were 211 515 incident total CVD events. The median C-statistics in external validation for CVD were 0.794 (interquartile interval, 0.763-0.809) in female and 0.757 (0.727-0.778) in male participants. The calibration slopes were 1.03 (interquartile interval, 0.81-1.16) and 0.94 (0.81-1.13) among female and male participants, respectively. Similar estimates for discrimination and calibration were observed for atherosclerotic CVD- and heart failure-specific models. The improvement in discrimination was small but statistically significant when urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, hemoglobin A1c, and social deprivation index were added together to the base model to total CVD (ΔC-statistic [interquartile interval] 0.004 [0.004-0.005] and 0.005 [0.004-0.007] among female and male participants, respectively). Calibration improved significantly when the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio was added to the base model among those with marked albuminuria (>300 mg/g; 1.05 [0.84-1.20] versus 1.39 [1.14-1.65]; P=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: PREVENT equations accurately and precisely predicted risk for incident CVD and CVD subtypes in a large, diverse, and contemporary sample of US adults by using routinely available clinical variables.

Determinants of the serum phosphate concentration in chronic kidney disease.

If Ccr is creatinine clearance and EP and TRP are rates of phosphate excretion and reabsorption, the serum phosphate concentration (Ps) is the sum of EP/Ccr and TRP/Ccr, i.e., the amounts of phosphate excreted and reabsorbed per volume of filtrate. At equilibrium, influx of phosphate into plasma determines EP, and EP/Ccr quantifies the contribution of phosphate influx to Ps. We used data obtained at 688 clinic visits of 387 patients to analyze the evolution of Ps in chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages G1 - 5 (dialysis excluded). EP/Ccr was calculated as (Pu×crs)/cru and TRP/Ccr as Ps-EP/Ccr (where u is urine, s is serum, and cr is creatinine). Means of these parameters were plotted against CKD stages, and correlations among variables were determined with regression analyses. In comparison to values in CKD stages G1 - 2, EP/Ccr rose and TRP/Ccr fell by the same amount in CKD G3a and G3b, and Ps did not change. In stages G4 and G5, EP/Ccr increased sharply, TRP/Ccr fell minimally, and Ps rose significantly. At estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥45 mL/min/1.73m2, TRP/Ccr was the principal determinant of Ps at eGFR < 45 mL/min/1.73m2, contributions of EP/Ccr and TRP/Ccr to Ps were comparable. Taken together, our results show that in CKD stages G4 and G5, the effect of phosphate reabsorption on Ps changes negligibly while that of phosphate influx increases dramatically. Because the tubular response to rising EP/Ccr is limited, maintenance of stable Ps in advanced CKD requires extreme reduction of phosphate influx into plasma. TRP/Ccr may define the lowest attainable Ps.

Change Over Time in Pre-End-Stage Renal Disease 24-Hour Urine Creatinine as Muscle Mass Surrogate and Post-End-Stage Renal Disease Mortality.

OBJECTIVE: Loss of muscle mass and sarcopenia are common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and sarcopenia can worsen insidiously in patients with advancing CKD. The temporal dynamics of sarcopenia in patients with progressive loss of kidney function, and its association with future outcomes, is unclear. METHODS: In a contemporary national cohort of incident ESRD US veterans, we selected 661 patients who had at least 2 24-hour urine creatinine (24hrUC) measurements, a surrogate of muscle mass, performed during the 3-year prelude period prior to ESRD transition. We estimated 24hrUC slopes in mixed effects models. To assess the temporal dynamics of pre-ESRD changes in 24hrUC and its association with changing eGFR, we separately fitted in mixed effects models a penalized spline regression of 24hrUC on time and on eGFR. We examined the association of 24hrUC slopes with postdialysis all-cause mortality using Cox models adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: The mean slope of 24hrUC versus time was -78 mg/year (95% confidence interval: -102 to -54), with a steeper decline noted in the last year prior to ESRD. More severe decreases in 24hrUC were associated with higher all-cause mortality: a 100 mg/year decrease in 24hrUC was associated with a multivariable adjusted death hazard ratio of 1.41 (95% confidence interval: 1.00-1.98, P = .05). CONCLUSION: Patients with advanced CKD lose a substantial proportion of their muscle mass each year during pre-ESRD prelude. Loss of muscle mass accelerates near ESRD transition, and more loss of muscle mass is associated with higher mortality after ESRD transition.

The ASCEND-NHQ randomized trial found positive effects of daprodustat on hemoglobin and quality of life in patients with non-dialysis chronic kidney disease.

The ASCEND-NHQ trial evaluated the effects of daprodustat on hemoglobin and the Medical Outcomes Study 36-item Short Form Survey (SF-36) Vitality score (fatigue) in a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 3-5, hemoglobin 8.5-10.0 g/dl, transferrin saturation 15% or more, and ferritin 50 ng/ml or more without recent erythropoiesis-stimulating agent use were randomized (1:1) to oral daprodustat or placebo to achieve and maintain target hemoglobin of 11-12 g/dl over 28 weeks. The primary endpoint was the mean change in hemoglobin between baseline and the evaluation period (Weeks 24-28). Principal secondary endpoints were proportion of participants with a 1 g/dl or more increase in hemoglobin and mean change in the Vitality score between baseline and Week 28. Outcome superiority was tested (1-sided alpha level of 0.025). Overall, 614 participants with non-dialysis-dependent CKD were randomized. The adjusted mean change in hemoglobin from baseline to the evaluation period was greater with daprodustat (1.58 vs 0.19 g/dl). The adjusted mean treatment difference (AMD) was significant at 1.40 g/dl (95% confidence interval 1.23, 1.56). A significantly greater proportion of participants receiving daprodustat showed a 1 g/dl or greater increase in hemoglobin from baseline (77% vs 18%). The mean SF-36 Vitality score increased by 7.3 and 1.9 points with daprodustat and placebo, respectively; a clinically and statistically significant 5.4 point Week 28 AMD increase. Adverse event rates were similar (69% vs 71%); relative risk 0.98, (95% confidence interval 0.88, 1.09). Thus, in participants with CKD stages 3-5, daprodustat resulted in a significant increase in hemoglobin and improvement in fatigue without an increase in the overall frequency of adverse events.

Defining measures of kidney function in observational studies using routine health care data: methodological and reporting considerations.

The availability of electronic health records and access to a large number of routine measurements of serum creatinine and urinary albumin enhance the possibilities for epidemiologic research in kidney disease. However, the frequency of health care use and laboratory testing is determined by health status and indication, imposing certain challenges when identifying patients with kidney injury or disease, when using markers of kidney function as covariates, or when evaluating kidney outcomes. Depending on the specific research question, this may influence the interpretation, generalizability, and/or validity of study results. This review illustrates the heterogeneity of working definitions of kidney disease in the scientific literature and discusses advantages and limitations of the most commonly used approaches using 3 examples. We summarize ways to identify and overcome possible biases and conclude by proposing a framework for reporting definitions of exposures and outcomes in studies of kidney disease using routinely collected health care data.

Contemporary laboratory assessment of acute cardiorenal syndrome for early diagnosis: A call for action.

Acute cardiorenal syndrome (CRS), categorized as CRS type 1 and 3, is defined by the interplay of acute kidney injury or dysfunction and acute cardiac disease. For optimized diagnosis and management of CRS, strategies targeting multi-organ dysfunction must be adopted. Early diagnosis of acute CRS is important to enable timely initiation of appropriate treatment to prevent serious morbidity and mortality; however, traditional biomarkers are suboptimal. Over the past 2 decades, numerous biomarkers have been investigated for a better and more rapid diagnosis of CRS. Yet, the uptake of these contemporary biomarkers has been slow, possibly owing to the use of imperfect gold-standard reference tests. We believe that there is now scope for use of contemporary laboratory test panels to improve the diagnosis of acute CRS. In this review, we briefly discuss a proposed set of biomarkers for the diagnosis of type 1 and type 3 CRS.

Triglycerides and Renal Outcomes According to Albuminuria and in Consideration of Other Metabolic Syndrome Components in Diabetic US Veterans.

INTRODUCTION: Hypertriglyceridemia, a component of the metabolic syndrome, is a known independent predictor of albuminuria and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the general population. Previous studies have shown that the relationship of triglycerides (TGs) with outcomes changes across stages of CKD. Our objective was to examine the association of TG independent of other metabolic syndrome components with renal outcomes in diabetic patients with or without CKD. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included diabetic US veteran patients with valid data on TGs, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and albuminuria (urinary albumin/creatinine ratio) between fiscal years 2004 and 2006. Using Cox models adjusted for clinical characteristics and laboratory markers, we evaluated the relationship of TG with incident albuminuria (stratified by eGFR category) and based on eGFR (stratified by baseline albuminuria categories). To evaluate the relationship of TG with time to end-stage renal disease (ESRD), we stratified models by baseline CKD stage (eGFR category) and baseline albuminuria stage ascertained at time of TG measurement. RESULTS: In a cohort of 138,675 diabetic veterans, the mean ± SD age was 65 ± 11 years old and included 3% females and 14% African Americans. The cohort also included 28% of patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2), as well as 28% of patients with albuminuria (≥30 mg/g). The median (IQR) of serum TG was 148 (100, 222) mg/dL. We observed a slight positive linear association between TG and incident CKD after adjustment for Case-Mix and Laboratory variables among non-albuminuric and microalbuminuric patients. The relationship of high TG trended towards a higher risk of ESRD in CKD 3A non-albuminuric patients and in CKD 3A and 4/5 patients with microalbuminuria. CONCLUSION: In a large cohort, we have shown that elevated TGs are associated with all kidney outcomes tested independently of other metabolic syndrome components in diabetic patients with normal eGFR and normal albumin excretion rate, but the association is weaker in some groups of diabetic patients with preexisting renal complications.

Kidney outcomes with finerenone: an analysis from the FIGARO-DKD study.

BACKGROUND: In FIGARO-DKD, finerenone reduced the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and stage 1-4 chronic kidney disease (CKD). In FIDELIO-DKD, finerenone improved kidney and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with advanced CKD. This analysis further explores kidney outcomes in FIGARO-DKD. METHODS: FIGARO-DKD (NCT02545049) included patients with urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) 30-<300 mg/g and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 25-90 mL/min/1.73 m2 or UACR 300-5000 mg/g and eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Outcomes included two composite kidney endpoints, a composite of ≥40% decrease in eGFR from baseline sustained over ≥4 weeks, kidney failure or renal death, and a composite of ≥57% decrease in eGFR from baseline sustained over ≥4 weeks, kidney failure or renal death. Changes in albuminuria and eGFR slope were also analyzed. Kidney and CV outcomes were evaluated by baseline UACR. RESULTS: A lower incidence rate for the eGFR ≥40% kidney composite endpoint was observed with finerenone compared with placebo, but the between-group difference was not significant [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.87; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.76-1.01; P = .069]. A greater treatment effect was observed on the eGFR ≥57% kidney composite endpoint (HR = 0.77; 95% CI: 0.60-0.99; P = 0.041) with a 36% relative risk reduction for end-stage kidney disease. A larger magnitude of effect on kidney outcomes was observed with finerenone versus placebo for patients with severely increased albuminuria than with moderately increased albuminuria. Improvements in UACR, eGFR slope and cardiovascular risk were evident in both subgroups with finerenone. CONCLUSIONS: The present analyses suggest that finerenone protects against kidney disease progression and cardiovascular events in patients with T2D and early- or late-stage CKD.

Association of iron therapy with incidence of chronic kidney disease.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the association of oral iron replacement with the incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a population with normal kidney function to study the effects of iron replacement on the development of new onset CKD. METHODS: In a national cohort of US Veterans with no pre-existing CKD, we identified 33 894 incident new users of oral iron replacement and a comparable group of 112 780 patients who did not receive any iron replacement during 2004-2018. We examined the association of oral iron replacement versus no iron replacement with the incidence of eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and the incidence of urine albumin creatinine ratio (UACR) ≥30 mg/g in competing risk regressions and in Cox models. We used propensity score weighing to account for differences in key baseline characteristics associated with the use of oral iron replacement. RESULTS: In the cohort of 146 674 patients, a total of 18 547 (13%) patients experienced incident eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 , and 16 117 patients (11%) experienced new onset UACR ≥30 mg/g. Oral iron replacement was associated with significantly higher risk of incident eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (subhazard ratio, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.3 [1.22-1.38], p < .001) and incident albuminuria (subhazard ratio, 95% CI: 1.14 [1.07-1.22], p < .001). CONCLUSION: Oral iron replacement is associated with higher risk of new onset CKD. The long-term kidney safety of oral iron replacement should be tested in clinical trials.

Hypoglycemia and Mortality Risk in Incident Hemodialysis Patients.

OBJECTIVE: Hypoglycemia is a frequent occurrence in chronic kidney disease patients due to alterations in glucose and insulin metabolism. However, there are sparse data examining the predictors and clinical implications of hypoglycemia including mortality risk among incident hemodialysis patients. DESIGN AND METHODS: Among 58,304 incident hemodialysis patients receiving care from a large national dialysis organization over 2007-2011, we examined clinical characteristics associated with risk of hypoglycemia, defined as a blood glucose concentration <70 mg/dL, in the first year of dialysis using expanded case-mix + laboratory logistic regression models. We then examined the association between hypoglycemia during the first year of dialysis with all-cause mortality using expanded case-mix + laboratory Cox models. RESULTS: In the first year of dialysis, hypoglycemia was observed among 16.8% of diabetic and 6.9% of nondiabetic incident hemodialysis patients. In adjusted logistic regression models, clinical characteristics associated with hypoglycemia included younger age, female sex, African-American race, presence of a central venous catheter, lower residual renal function, and longer dialysis session length. In the overall cohort, patients who experienced hypoglycemia had a higher risk of all-cause mortality risk (reference: absence of hypoglycemia): adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 1.08 (1.04, 1.13). In stratified analyses, hypoglycemia was also associated with higher mortality risk in the diabetic and nondiabetic subgroups: adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval's) 1.08 (1.04-1.13), and 1.17 (0.94-1.45), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Hypoglycemia was a frequent occurrence among both diabetic and nondiabetic hemodialysis patients and was associated with a higher mortality risk. Further studies are needed to identify approaches that reduce hypoglycemia risk in the hemodialysis population.

Nutritional and Dietary Management of Chronic Kidney Disease Under Conservative and Preservative Kidney Care Without Dialysis.

While dialysis has been the prevailing treatment paradigm for patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD), emphasis on conservative and preservative management in which dietary interventions are a major cornerstone have emerged. Based on high-quality evidence, international guidelines support the utilization of low-protein diets as an intervention to reduce CKD progression and mortality risk, although the precise thresholds (if any) for dietary protein intake vary across recommendations. There is also increasing evidence demonstrating that plant-dominant low-protein diets reduce the risk of developing incident CKD, CKD progression, and its related complications including cardiometabolic disease, metabolic acidosis, mineral and bone disorders, and uremic toxin generation. In this review, we discuss the premise for conservative and preservative dietary interventions, specific dietary approaches used in conservative and preservative care, potential benefits of a plant-dominant low-protein diet, and practical implementation of these nutritional strategies without dialysis.

New Insights Into Dietary Approaches to Potassium Management in Chronic Kidney Disease.

Potassium disorders are one of the most common electrolyte abnormalities in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), contributing to poor clinical outcomes. Maintaining serum potassium levels within the physiologically normal range is critically important in these patients. Dietary potassium restriction has long been considered a core strategy for the management of chronic hyperkalemia in patients with CKD. However, this has been challenged by recent evidence suggesting a paradigm shift toward fostering more liberalized, plant-based dietary patterns. The advent of novel potassium binders and an improved understanding of gastrointestinal processes involved in potassium homeostasis (e.g., gastrointestinal potassium wasting) may facilitate a paradigm shift and incorporation of heart-healthy potassium-enriched food sources. Nevertheless, uncertainty regarding the risk-benefit of plant-based diets in the context of potassium management in CKD remains, requiring well-designed clinical trials to determine the efficacy of dietary potassium manipulation toward improvement of clinical outcomes in patients with CKD.

Novel intestinal dialysis interventions and microbiome modulation to control uremia.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: In patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the gut plays a key role in the homeostasis of fluid and electrolyte balance and the production and disposal of uremic toxins. This review summarizes the current evidence on the gut-targeted interventions to control uremia, fluid overload, hyperkalemia and hyperphosphatemia in CKD. RECENT FINDINGS: Studies have emerged that support the concept of intestinal dialysis, such as colonic perfusion with a Malone antegrade continence enema stoma or colonic irrigation with a rectal catheter, as a promising adjuvant approach to control uremia in CKD, although most findings are preliminary. The use of AST-120, an oral adsorbent, has been shown to reduce circulating levels of indoxyl sulfate and p-cresol sulfate and have potential renoprotective benefits in patients with advanced CKD. Diarrhea or inducing watery stools may modulate fluid retention and potassium and phosphorus load. Accumulating evidence indicates that plant-based diets, low-protein diets, and pre-, pro-, and synbiotic supplementation may lead to favorable alterations of the gut microbiota, contributing to reduce uremic toxin generation. The effects of these gut-targeted interventions on kidney and cardiovascular outcomes are still limited and need to be tested in future studies including clinical trials. SUMMARY: Interventions aimed at enhancing bowel elimination of uremic toxins, fluid and electrolytes and at modulating gut microbiota may represent novel therapeutic strategies for the management of uremia in patients with CKD.

Aldosterone, Mineralocorticoid Receptor Activation, and CKD: A Review of Evolving Treatment Paradigms.

Mineralocorticoid receptor (MR) activation is involved in propagating kidney injury, inflammation, and fibrosis and in the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Multiple clinical studies have defined the efficacy of MR antagonism in attenuating progressive kidney disease, and the US Food and Drug Administration recently approved the nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) finerenone for this indication. In this review, we consider the basic science and clinical applicability of MR antagonism. Because hyperkalemia constitutes a constraint to implementing evidence-based MR blockade, we review MRA-associated hyperkalemia in the context of finerenone and discuss evolving mitigation strategies to enhance the safety and efficacy of this treatment. Although the FIDELIO-DKD and FIGARO-DKD clinical trials focused solely on patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, we propose that MR activation and the resulting inflammation and fibrosis act as a substantive pathogenetic mediator not only in people with diabetic CKD but also in those with CKD without diabetes. We close by briefly discussing both recently initiated and future clinical trials that focus on extending the attributes of MR antagonism to a wider array of nondiabetic kidney disorders, such as patients with nonalbuminuric CKD.

Comparative Effectiveness of Dialysis Modality on Laboratory Parameters of Mineral Metabolism.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorders (CKD-MBD) are prevalent in patients undergoing maintenance dialysis. Yet, there are limited and mixed evidence on the effects of different dialysis modalities involving longer treatment times or higher frequencies on CKD-MBD markers. METHODS: This cohort study used data from 132,523 incident dialysis patients treated with any of the following modalities: conventional thrice-weekly in-center hemodialysis, nocturnal in-center hemodialysis (NICHD), home hemodialysis (HHD), or peritoneal dialysis (PD) from 2007 to 2011. We used marginal structural models fitted with inverse probability weights to adjust for fixed and time-varying confounding and informative censoring. We estimated the average effects of treatments with different dialysis modalities on time-varying serum concentrations of CKD-MBD markers: albumin-corrected calcium, phosphate, parathyroid hormone (PTH), and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) using pooled linear regression. RESULTS: Most of the cohort were exclusively treated with conventional in-center hemodialysis, while few were ever treated with NICHD or HHD. At the baseline, PD patients had the lowest mean and median values of PTH, while NICHD patients had the highest median values. During follow-up, compared to hemodialysis patients, patients treated with NICHD had lower mean serum PTH (19.8 pg/mL [95% confidence interval: 2.8, 36.8] lower), whereas PD and HHD patients had higher mean PTH (39.7 pg/mL [31.6, 47.8] and 51.2 pg/mL [33.0, 69.3] higher, respectively). Compared to hemodialysis patients, phosphate levels were lower for patients treated with NICHD (0.44 mg/dL [0.37, 0.52] lower), PD (0.15 mg/dL [0.12, 0.19] lower), or HHD (0.33 mg/dL [0.27, 0.40] lower). There were no clinically meaningful associations between dialysis modalities and concentrations of calcium or ALP. CONCLUSION: In incident dialysis patients, compared to treatment with conventional in-center hemodialysis, treatments with other dialysis modalities with longer treatment times or higher frequency were associated with different patterns of serum phosphate and PTH. Given the recent growth in the use of dialysis modalities other than hemodialysis, the associations between the treatment and the CKD-MBD markers warrant additional study.

Association of serum globulin with all-cause mortality in incident hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Serum globulin is a major component of total protein and can be elevated in inflammatory disease states. While inflammation is common in hemodialysis patients and associated with mortality and morbidity, the association between serum globulin and mortality has never been examined in hemodialysis patients. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort of 104 164 incident hemodialysis patients treated by a large dialysis organization from 2007 to 2011, we explored the association between baseline serum globulin, albumin: globulin (A:G) ratio and serum protein levels and all-cause, cardiovascular and infection-related mortality with adjustments for demographic variables and laboratory markers of malnutrition and inflammation using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Patients with a globulin concentration >3.8 g/dL had a higher all-cause and infection-related mortality risk {hazard ratio [HR] 1.11 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-1.16] and HR 1.28 [95% CI 1.09-1.51], respectively} in the fully adjusted model when compared with the reference group of 3.0- <3.2 g/dL. In addition, patients with an A:G ratio <0.75 had a 45% higher all-cause mortality hazard [HR 1.45 (95% CI 1.38-1.52)] and patients with total serum protein <5.5 g/dL had a 34% higher risk of death [1.34 (95% CI 1.27-1.42)] when compared with the reference (A:G ratio 1.05- <1.15 and total serum protein 6.5- <7 g/dL). CONCLUSIONS: Among incident hemodialysis patients, a higher globulin level was associated with a higher mortality risk independent of other markers of malnutrition and inflammation, including albumin. A lower A:G ratio and serum protein was also associated with a higher mortality hazard. The mechanisms that contribute to elevated serum globulin should be further explored.

Association of serum potassium with decline in residual kidney function in incident hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Hyperkalemia is associated with kidney function decline in patients with non-dialysis dependent chronic kidney disease, but this relationship is unclear for residual kidney function (RKF) among hemodialysis (HD) patients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 6655 patients, who started HD January 2007 and December 2011 and who had data on renal urea clearance (KRU). Serum potassium levels were stratified into four groups (i.e. ≤4.0, >4.0 to ≤4.5, >4.5 to ≤5.0 and >5.0 mEq/L) and 1-year KRU slope for each group was estimated by a linear mixed-effects model. RESULTS: Higher serum potassium was associated with a greater decline in KRU, and the greatest decrease in KRU (-0.20, 95% confidence interval -0.50 to -0.06) was observed for baseline potassium >5.0 mEq/L in the fully adjusted model. Mediation analysis showed that KRU slope mediated 1.78% of the association between serum potassium and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Hyperkalemia is associated with a decline in RKF amongst incident HD patients. These findings may have important clinical implications in the management of hyperkalemia in advanced CKD if confirmed in additional clinical trials.

Association of pre-ESKD hyponatremia with post-ESKD outcomes among incident ESKD patients.

BACKGROUND: Hyponatremia is one of the most common electrolyte disturbances in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients, and has been shown to be associated with higher mortality risk. However, the relationship between hyponatremia during late-stage CKD and the risk of poor outcomes after ESKD transition is unknown. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 32 257 US veterans transitioning to ESKD from 1 October 2007 to 30 March 2015. We evaluated adjusted associations between the 3-month averaged pre-transition to ESKD serum sodium and all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included cardiovascular (CV) mortality, infection-related mortalities and hospitalization rate. RESULTS: Cohort mean ± standard deviation serum sodium was 139 ± 3 mEq/L, mean age was 67 ± 11 years, 98% were male and 28% were African American. Over a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 702 days (296, 1301) there were 17 162 deaths. Compared with the reference of 135 to <144 mEq/L, the lowest serum sodium group (<130 mEq/L) had a 54% higher all-cause mortality risk [hazard ratio 1.54 (95% confidence interval 1.34-1.76)] in the fully adjusted model. Associations were similar for CV and infection-related mortality, and hospitalization outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Hyponatremia prior to ESKD transition is associated with higher risk of all-cause, CV and infection-related mortalities, and hospitalization rates after ESKD transition. Future studies evaluating management of pre-ESKD hyponatremia may be indicated to improve patient outcomes for those transitioning to ESKD.

Associations between APOL1 genetic variants and blood pressure in African American mothers and children from a U.S. pregnancy cohort: Modification by air pollution exposures.

INTRODUCTION: Carriage of high-risk APOL1 genetic variants is associated with increased risks for kidney diseases in people of African descent. Less is known about the variants' associations with blood pressure or potential moderators. METHODS: We investigated these associations in a pregnancy cohort of 556 women and 493 children identified as African American. Participants with two APOL1 risk alleles were defined as having the high-risk genotype. Blood pressure in both populations was measured at the child's 4-6 years visit. We fit multivariate linear and Poisson regressions and further adjusted for population stratification to estimate the APOL1-blood pressure associations. We also examined the associations modified by air pollution exposures (particulate matter ≤2.5 µ m in aerodynamic diameter [PM2.5] and nitrogen dioxide) and explored other moderators such as health conditions and behaviors. RESULTS: Neither APOL1 risk alleles nor risk genotypes had a main effect on blood pressure in mothers or children. However, each 2-µg/m3 increase of four-year average PM2.5 was associated with a 16.3 (95%CI: 5.7, 26.9) mmHg higher diastolic blood pressure in mothers with the APOL1 high-risk genotype, while the estimated effect was much smaller in mothers with the low-risk genotype (i.e., 2.9 [95%CI: -3.1, 8.8] mmHg; Pinteraction = 0.01). Additionally, the associations of APOL1 risk alleles and the high-risk genotype with high blood pressure (i.e., SBP and/or DBP ≥ 90th percentile) were stronger in girls vs. boys (Pinteraction = 0.02 and 0.005, respectively). CONCLUSION: This study sheds light on the distribution of high blood pressure by APOL1 genetic variants and informs regulatory policy to protect vulnerable population subgroups.

Cohort Study and Bias Analysis of the Obesity Paradox Across Stages of Chronic Kidney Disease.

OBJECTIVE: In advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD), patients with obesity often have better outcomes than patients without obesity, often called the 'obesity paradox'. Yet, in CKD, the prevalence of inflammation increases as CKD progresses. Although a potential confounder, inflammation may be left unaccounted in obesity-mortality studies. We examined the associations of body mass index (BMI) with all-cause and cause-specific mortality across CKD stages, with consideration for uncontrolled confounding due to unmeasured inflammation. METHODS: We investigated 2,703,512 patients with BMI data between 2004 and 2006. We used Cox models to examine the associations of BMI with all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality, (ref: BMI 25-<30 kg/m2), adjusted for clinical characteristics and stratified by CKD stages. To address uncontrolled confounding, we performed bias analysis using a weighted probabilistic model of inflammation given the observed data applied to weighted Cox models. RESULTS: The cohort included 5% females and 14% African Americans. In adjusted analyses, the associations of the BMI with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality showed a reverse J-shape, where a higher BMI (>40 kg/m2) was associated with a higher risk. Conversely, a lower mortality risk was observed with a BMI 30-<35 kg/m2 across all CKD stages and for BMI >40 kg/m2 in CKD stage 4/5. Cancer mortality analyses showed an inverse relationship. Bias analysis for uncontrolled confounding suggested that independent of inflammation, the obesity paradox was present. CONCLUSION: We observed the presence of the obesity paradox in this study. This association was consistent in advanced CKD and in our bias analysis, suggesting that inflammation may not fully explain the observed BMI-mortality associations including in patients with CKD.