Predicting ERCP procedure time - the SWedish Estimation of ERCP Time (SWEET) tool.

BACKGROUND: The duration of an endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is influenced by a multitude of factors. The aim of this study was to describe the factors influencing ERCP time and to create a tool for preintervention estimation of ERCP time. METHODS: Data from 74 248 ERCPs performed from 2010 to 2019 were extracted from the Swedish National Quality Registry (GallRiks) to identify variables predictive for ERCP time using linear regression analyses and root mean squared error (RMSE) as a loss function. Ten variables were combined to create an estimation tool for ERCP duration. The tool was externally validated using 9472 ERCPs from 2020 to 2021. RESULTS: Mean (SD) ERCP time was 36.8 (25.3) minutes. Indications with the strongest influence on ERCP time were primary sclerosing cholangitis and chronic pancreatitis. Hilar and intrahepatic biliary strictures and interventions on the pancreatic duct were the anatomic features that most strongly affected ERCP time. The procedure steps with most influence were intraductal endoscopy, lithotripsy, dilation, and papillectomy. Based on these results, we built and validated the SW: edish E: stimation of E: RCP T: ime (SWEET) tool, which is based on a 10-factor scoring system (e.g. 5 minutes for bile duct cannulation and 15 minutes for pancreatic duct cannulation) and predicted ERCP time with an average difference between actual and predicted duration of 17.5 minutes during external validation. CONCLUSIONS: Based on new insights into the factors affecting ERCP time, we created the SWEET tool, the first specific tool for preintervention estimation of ERCP time, which is easy-to-apply in everyday clinical practice, to guide efficient ERCP scheduling.

Comparison of two different methods for CA19-9 antigen determination.

BACKGROUND: This study was designed to investigate the clinical performance of the Access GI Monitor (Beckman Coulter) on the UniCel DxI 800, a method for CA19-9 antigen determination, and to compare with CA19-9 assay on the AxSYM system (Abbott). METHODS: 1,063 serum samples from unselected patients with different underlying diagnoses were tested with both methods. Passing-Bablok regression analysis and Bland Altman analysis was performed. In addition, using ROC analysis, the distribution of Access GI Monitor and AxSYM CA19-9 antigen levels was tested in patients with pancreatic cancer (n = 50), acute inflammatory disease (n = 20), and with chronic inflammation of the pancreatic gland (n = 18). Furthermore, four patients with pancreatic cancer were monitored individually in their courses of the disease (before, during, and after therapeutic procedures) to compare their CA19-9 values with regard to inter-method concordance. RESULTS: Passing-Bablok analysis showed a systematic difference with R = 0.93, slope 0.75, and intercept -1.0. Bland Altman analysis showed a wide scatter of relative differences between both methods, especially in the low end measuring range. In the selected group of patients with pancreatic diseases the analysis of concordance revealed 95.5 % agreement between both methods with a comparable area under the ROC curves (0.73 vs. 0.76). A clear concordance was found for all four selected patients. CONCLUSIONS: Although we found significant systematic measuring variations in the global analysis, the two different automated methods for the quantitative determination of CA19-9 antigen were comparable with respect to their clinical accuracy and applicability to support decision making in the management of pancreatic cancer.

Prevalence of Fabry disease in patients with cryptogenic stroke: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Strokes are an important cause of morbidity and mortality in young adults. However, in most cases the cause of the stroke remains unclear. Anderson-Fabry disease is an X-linked recessive lysosomal storage disease resulting from deficient alpha-galactosidase and causes an endothelial vasculopathy followed by cerebral ischaemia. To determine the importance of Fabry disease in young people with stroke, we measured the frequency of unrecognised Fabry disease in a cohort of acute stroke patients. METHODS: Between February, 2001, and December, 2004, 721 German adults aged 18 to 55 years suffering from acute cryptogenic stroke were screened for Fabry disease. The plasma alpha-galactosidase activity in men was measured followed by sequencing of the entire alpha-GAL gene in those with low enzyme activity. By contrast, the entire alpha-GAL gene was genetically screened for mutations in women even if enzyme activity was normal. FINDINGS: 21 of 432 (4.9%) male stroke patients and seven of 289 (2.4%) women had a biologically significant mutation within the alpha-GAL gene. The mean age at onset of symptomatic cerebrovascular disease was 38.4 years (SD 13.0) in the male stroke patients and 40.3 years (13.1) in the female group. The higher frequency of infarctions in the vertebrobasilar area correlated with more pronounced changes in the vertebrobasilar vessels like dolichoectatic pathology (42.9%vs 6.8%). INTERPRETATION: We have shown a high frequency of Fabry disease in a cohort of patients with cryptogenic stroke, which corresponds to about 1.2% in young stroke patients. Fabry disease must be considered in all cases of unexplained stroke in young patients, especially in those with the combination of infarction in the vertebrobasilar artery system and proteinuria.