Post-trial monitoring of a randomised controlled trial of intensive glycaemic control in type 2 diabetes extended from 10 years to 24 years (UKPDS 91).

BACKGROUND: The 20-year UK Prospective Diabetes Study showed major clinical benefits for people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes randomly allocated to intensive glycaemic control with sulfonylurea or insulin therapy or metformin therapy, compared with conventional glycaemic control. 10-year post-trial follow-up identified enduring and emerging glycaemic and metformin legacy treatment effects. We aimed to determine whether these effects would wane by extending follow-up for another 14 years. METHODS: 5102 patients enrolled between 1977 and 1991, of whom 4209 (82·5%) participants were originally randomly allocated to receive either intensive glycaemic control (sulfonylurea or insulin, or if overweight, metformin) or conventional glycaemic control (primarily diet). At the end of the 20-year interventional trial, 3277 surviving participants entered a 10-year post-trial monitoring period, which ran until Sept 30, 2007. Eligible participants for this study were all surviving participants at the end of the 10-year post-trial monitoring period. An extended follow-up of these participants was done by linking them to their routinely collected National Health Service (NHS) data for another 14 years. Clinical outcomes were derived from records of deaths, hospital admissions, outpatient visits, and accident and emergency unit attendances. We examined seven prespecified aggregate clinical outcomes (ie, any diabetes-related endpoint, diabetes-related death, death from any cause, myocardial infarction, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, and microvascular disease) by the randomised glycaemic control strategy on an intention-to-treat basis using Kaplan-Meier time-to-event and log-rank analyses. This study is registered with the ISRCTN registry, number ISRCTN75451837. FINDINGS: Between Oct 1, 2007, and Sept 30, 2021, 1489 (97·6%) of 1525 participants could be linked to routinely collected NHS administrative data. Their mean age at baseline was 50·2 years (SD 8·0), and 41·3% were female. The mean age of those still alive as of Sept 30, 2021, was 79·9 years (SD 8·0). Individual follow-up from baseline ranged from 0 to 42 years, median 17·5 years (IQR 12·3-26·8). Overall follow-up increased by 21%, from 66 972 to 80 724 person-years. For up to 24 years after trial end, the glycaemic and metformin legacy effects showed no sign of waning. Early intensive glycaemic control with sulfonylurea or insulin therapy, compared with conventional glycaemic control, showed overall relative risk reductions of 10% (95% CI 2-17; p=0·015) for death from any cause, 17% (6-26; p=0·002) for myocardial infarction, and 26% (14-36; p<0·0001) for microvascular disease. Corresponding absolute risk reductions were 2·7%, 3·3%, and 3·5%, respectively. Early intensive glycaemic control with metformin therapy, compared with conventional glycaemic control, showed overall relative risk reductions of 20% (95% CI 5-32; p=0·010) for death from any cause and 31% (12-46; p=0·003) for myocardial infarction. Corresponding absolute risk reductions were 4·9% and 6·2%, respectively. No significant risk reductions during or after the trial for stroke or peripheral vascular disease were observed for both intensive glycaemic control groups, and no significant risk reduction for microvascular disease was observed for metformin therapy. INTERPRETATION: Early intensive glycaemic control with sulfonylurea or insulin, or with metformin, compared with conventional glycaemic control, appears to confer a near-lifelong reduced risk of death and myocardial infarction. Achieving near normoglycaemia immediately following diagnosis might be essential to minimise the lifetime risk of diabetes-related complications to the greatest extent possible. FUNDING: University of Oxford Nuffield Department of Population Health Pump Priming.

Trajectories of clinical characteristics, complications and treatment choices in data-driven subgroups of type 2 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: This study aimed to explore the added value of subgroups that categorise individuals with type 2 diabetes by k-means clustering for two primary care registries (the Netherlands and Scotland), inspired by Ahlqvist's novel diabetes subgroups and previously analysed by Slieker et al. METHODS: We used two Dutch and Scottish diabetes cohorts (N=3054 and 6145; median follow-up=11.2 and 12.3 years, respectively) and defined five subgroups by k-means clustering with age at baseline, BMI, HbA1c, HDL-cholesterol and C-peptide. We investigated differences between subgroups by trajectories of risk factor values (random intercept models), time to diabetes-related complications (logrank tests and Cox models) and medication patterns (multinomial logistic models). We also compared directly using the clustering indicators as predictors of progression vs the k-means discrete subgroups. Cluster consistency over follow-up was assessed. RESULTS: Subgroups' risk factors were significantly different, and these differences remained generally consistent over follow-up. Among all subgroups, individuals with severe insulin resistance faced a significantly higher risk of myocardial infarction both before (HR 1.65; 95% CI 1.40, 1.94) and after adjusting for age effect (HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.46, 2.02) compared with mild diabetes with high HDL-cholesterol. Individuals with severe insulin-deficient diabetes were most intensively treated, with more than 25% prescribed insulin at 10 years of diagnosis. For severe insulin-deficient diabetes relative to mild diabetes, the relative risks for using insulin relative to no common treatment would be expected to increase by a factor of 3.07 (95% CI 2.73, 3.44), holding other factors constant. Clustering indicators were better predictors of progression variation relative to subgroups, but prediction accuracy may improve after combining both. Clusters were consistent over 8 years with an accuracy ranging from 59% to 72%. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Data-driven subgroup allocations were generally consistent over follow-up and captured significant differences in risk factor trajectories, medication patterns and complication risks. Subgroups serve better as a complement rather than as a basis for compressing clustering indicators.

Patient journey and costs through a brain health clinic compared with a memory clinic: a costing study.

BACKGROUND: Dementia and Alzheimer's disease are the leading cause of death in England, with prevalence estimated to rise with an ageing population. 2021 cost estimates were £25 billion, rising to an estimated £47 billion in 2050. Brain health clinics (BHC) offer patients with memory concerns access to higher quality memory assessment and imaging than memory clinics, which are the usual care. BHCs aim to offer patients a more accurate and timely diagnosis, resulting in more specific treatment options. BHCs also offer patients the opportunity to take part in research. We aimed to compare the cost of a patient journey through a BHC and a memory clinic as part of an evaluation of the BHC model. METHODS: For this costing study, we consulted staff from one BHC and one memory clinic in the south of England in March 2023, to identify the patient journey and estimate clinical and research resources, time, and costs. We estimated personnel costs using time-per-task estimations multiplied by staff salary and verified with full-time-equivalent estimations for clinical and research tasks overall. BHC costs included both the BHC appointment and a follow-up appointment of reduced duration at the memory clinic. Memory clinic costs included a memory clinic appointment of normal duration. We estimated costs for both clinical (memory clinics and BHC) and research (BHC) tasks (not shown here). FINDINGS: BHC costs were 3·5 times more expensive (£1428) than memory clinic costs (£414). Approximately 150 patients are seen in BHCs yearly (total cost £214 200) compared with 600 patients seen in memory clinics yearly (total cost £248 400). BHC patients re-entering the memory clinic pathway required shorter appointments, thus offering cost savings of £230 per appointment in the memory clinic. INTERPRETATION: BHC costs were higher due to a lower throughput of patients and higher cost of high-quality imaging and assessment compared with memory clinics. However, these costs might prove to provide value for money when considering the gains in quality of life for patients and carers. Future work is planned to gather further outcome data to understand the added value of BHCs. Limitations include only assessing costs for one BHC and one memory clinic; further cost estimates are preferrable. FUNDING: None.

Examining the impact of structural uncertainty across ten type 2 diabetes models: Results from the 2022 Mount Hood Challenge.

OBJECTIVE: The Mount Hood Diabetes Challenge Network aimed to examine the impact of model structural uncertainty on the estimated cost-effectiveness of interventions for type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Ten independent modelling groups completed a blinded simulation exercise to estimate the cost-effectiveness of three interventions in two type 2 diabetes populations. Modelling groups were provided with a common baseline population, cost and utility values associated with different model health states, and instructions regarding time horizon and discounting. We collated the results to identify variation in predictions of net monetary benefit (NMB), and the drivers of those differences. RESULTS: Overall, modelling groups agreed which interventions had a positive NMB (i.e. were cost-effective), though estimates of NMB varied substantially- by up to £23,696 for one intervention. Variation was mainly driven through differences in risk equations for complications of diabetes and their implementation between models. The number of modelled health states was also a significant predictor of NMB. CONCLUSIONS: This exercise demonstrates that structural uncertainty between different health economic models impacts cost-effectiveness estimates. Whilst it is reassuring that a decision maker would likely reach similar conclusions on which interventions were cost-effective using most models, the range in numerical estimates generated across different models would nevertheless be important for price-setting negotiations with intervention developers. Minimising the impact of structural uncertainty on healthcare decision making therefore remains an important priority. Model registries, which record and compare the impact of structural assumptions, offer one potential avenue to improve confidence in the robustness of health economic modelling.

Health-related quality of life and healthcare costs of symptoms and cardiovascular disease events in patients with atrial fibrillation: a longitudinal analysis of 27 countries from the EURObservational Research Programme on Atrial Fibrillation general long-term registry.

AIMS: We examine the effects of symptoms and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events on health-related quality of life (HRQOL) and healthcare costs in a European population with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS AND RESULTS: In the EURObservational Research Programme on AF long-term general registry, AF patients from 250 centres in 27 European countries were enrolled and followed for 2 years. We used fixed effects models to estimate the association of symptoms and CVD events on HRQOL and annual healthcare costs. We found significant decrements in HRQOL in AF patients in whom ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) [-0.075 (95% confidence interval -0.144, -0.006)], angina or non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) [-0.037 (-0.071, -0.003)], new-onset/worsening heart failure [-0.064 (-0.088, -0.039)], bleeding events [-0.031 (-0.059, -0.003)], thromboembolic events [-0.071 (-0.115, -0.027)], mild symptoms [0.037 (-0.048, -0.026)], or severe/disabling symptoms [-0.090 (-0.108, -0.072)] occurred during the follow-up. During follow-up, annual healthcare costs were associated with an increase of €11 718 (€8497, €14 939) in patients with STEMI, €5823 (€4757, €6889) in patients with angina/NSTEMI, €3689 (€3219, €4158) in patients with new-onset or worsening heart failure, €3792 (€3315, €4270) in patients with bleeding events, and €3182 (€2483, €3881) in patients with thromboembolic events, compared with AF patients without these events. Healthcare costs were primarily driven by inpatient costs. There were no significant differences in HRQOL or healthcare resource use between EU regions or by sex. CONCLUSION: Symptoms and CVD events are associated with a high burden on AF patients and healthcare systems throughout Europe.

Economic burden of cardiovascular diseases in the European Union: a population-based cost study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) impacts significantly health and social care systems as well as society through premature mortality and disability, with patients requiring care from relatives. Previous pan-European estimates of the economic burden of CVD are now outdated. This study aims to provide novel, up-to-date evidence on the economic burden across the 27 European Union (EU) countries in 2021. METHODS: Aggregate country-specific resource use data on morbidity, mortality, and health, social and informal care were obtained from international sources, such as the Statistical Office of the European Communities, enhanced by data from the European Society of Cardiology Atlas programme and patient-level data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. Country-specific unit costs were used, with cost estimates reported on a per capita basis, after adjustment for price differentials. RESULTS: CVD is estimated to cost the EU €282 billion annually, with health and long-term care accounting for €155 billion (55%), equalling 11% of EU-health expenditure. Productivity losses accounted for 17% (€48 billion), whereas informal care costs were €79 billion (28%). CVD represented a cost of €630 per person, ranging from €381 in Cyprus to €903 in Germany. Coronary heart disease accounted for 27% (€77 billion) and cerebrovascular diseases for 27% (€76 billion) of CVD costs. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides contemporary estimates of the wide-ranging impact of CVD on all aspects of the economy. The data help inform evidence-based policies to reduce the impact of CVD, promoting care access and better health outcomes and economic sustainability.

Predicting response to immune checkpoint blockade in NSCLC with tumour-only RNA-seq.

BACKGROUND: Targeted RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) from FFPE specimens is used clinically in cancer for its ability to estimate gene expression and to detect fusions. Using a cohort of NSCLC patients, we sought to determine whether targeted RNA-seq could be used to measure tumour mutational burden (TMB) and the expression of immune-cell-restricted genes from FFPE specimens and whether these could predict response to immune checkpoint blockade. METHODS: Using The Cancer Genome Atlas LUAD dataset, we developed a method for determining TMB from tumour-only RNA-seq and showed a correlation with DNA sequencing derived TMB calculated from tumour/normal sample pairs (Spearman correlation = 0.79, 95% CI [0.73, 0.83]. We applied this method to targeted sequencing data from our patient cohort and validated these results against TMB estimates obtained using an orthogonal assay (Spearman correlation = 0.49, 95% CI [0.24, 0.68]). RESULTS: We observed that the RNA measure of TMB was significantly higher in responders to immune blockade treatment (P = 0.028) and that it was predictive of response (AUC = 0.640 with 95% CI [0.493, 0.786]). By contrast, the expression of immune-cell-restricted genes was uncorrelated with patient outcome. CONCLUSION: TMB calculated from targeted RNA sequencing has a similar diagnostic ability to TMB generated from targeted DNA sequencing.

Rehabilitation versus surgical reconstruction for non-acute anterior cruciate ligament injury (ACL SNNAP): a pragmatic randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) rupture is a common debilitating injury that can cause instability of the knee. We aimed to investigate the best management strategy between reconstructive surgery and non-surgical treatment for patients with a non-acute ACL injury and persistent symptoms of instability. METHODS: We did a pragmatic, multicentre, superiority, randomised controlled trial in 29 secondary care National Health Service orthopaedic units in the UK. Patients with symptomatic knee problems (instability) consistent with an ACL injury were eligible. We excluded patients with meniscal pathology with characteristics that indicate immediate surgery. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) by computer to either surgery (reconstruction) or rehabilitation (physiotherapy but with subsequent reconstruction permitted if instability persisted after treatment), stratified by site and baseline Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-4 domain version (KOOS4). This management design represented normal practice. The primary outcome was KOOS4 at 18 months after randomisation. The principal analyses were intention-to-treat based, with KOOS4 results analysed using linear regression. This trial is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN10110685, and ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02980367. FINDINGS: Between Feb 1, 2017, and April 12, 2020, we recruited 316 patients. 156 (49%) participants were randomly assigned to the surgical reconstruction group and 160 (51%) to the rehabilitation group. Mean KOOS4 at 18 months was 73·0 (SD 18·3) in the surgical group and 64·6 (21·6) in the rehabilitation group. The adjusted mean difference was 7·9 (95% CI 2·5-13·2; p=0·0053) in favour of surgical management. 65 (41%) of 160 patients allocated to rehabilitation underwent subsequent surgery according to protocol within 18 months. 43 (28%) of 156 patients allocated to surgery did not receive their allocated treatment. We found no differences between groups in the proportion of intervention-related complications. INTERPRETATION: Surgical reconstruction as a management strategy for patients with non-acute ACL injury with persistent symptoms of instability was clinically superior and more cost-effective in comparison with rehabilitation management. FUNDING: The UK National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment Programme.

Evidence for a lack of inotropic and chronotropic effects of glucagon and glucagon receptors in the human heart.

BACKGROUND: Glucagon is thought to increase heart rate and contractility by stimulating glucagon receptors and increasing 3',5'-cyclic adenosine monophosphate (cAMP) production in the myocardium. This has been confirmed in animal studies but not in the human heart. The cardiostimulatory effects of glucagon have been correlated with the degree of cardiac dysfunction, as well as with the enzymatic activity of phosphodiesterase (PDE), which hydrolyses cAMP. In this study, the presence of glucagon receptors in the human heart and the inotropic and chronotropic effects of glucagon in samples of failing and nonfailing (NF) human hearts were investigated. METHODS: Concentration‒response curves for glucagon in the absence and presence of the PDE inhibitor IBMX were performed on samples obtained from the right (RA) and left atria (LA), the right (RV) and left ventricles (LV), and the sinoatrial nodes (SNs) of failing and NF human hearts. The expression of glucagon receptors was also investigated. Furthermore, the inotropic and chronotropic effects of glucagon were examined in rat hearts. RESULTS: In tissues obtained from failing and NF human hearts, glucagon did not exert inotropic or chronotropic effects in the absence or presence of IBMX. IBMX (30 µM) induced a marked increase in contractility in NF hearts (RA: 83 ± 28% (n = 5), LA: 80 ± 20% (n = 5), RV: 75 ± 12% (n = 5), and LV: 40 ± 8% (n = 5), weaker inotropic responses in the ventricular myocardium of failing hearts (RV: 25 ± 10% (n = 5) and LV: 10 ± 5% (n = 5) and no inotropic responses in the atrial myocardium of failing hearts. IBMX (30 µM) increased the SN rate in failing and NF human hearts (27.4 ± 3.0 beats min-1, n = 10). In rat hearts, glucagon induced contractile and chronotropic responses, but only contractility was enhanced by 30 µM IBMX (maximal inotropic effect of glucagon 40 ± 8% vs. 75 ± 10%, in the absence or presence of IBMX, n = 5, P < 0.05; maximal chronotropic response 77.7 ± 6.4 beats min-1 vs. 73 ± 11 beats min-1, in the absence or presence of IBMX, n = 5, P > 0.05). Glucagon receptors were not detected in the human heart samples. CONCLUSIONS: Our results conflict with the view that glucagon induces inotropic and chronotropic effects and that glucagon receptors are expressed in the human heart.

Haematic antegrade repriming to enhance recovery after cardiac surgery from the perfusionist side.

Background: New era of cardiac surgery aims to provide an enhanced postoperative recovery through the implementation of every step of the process. Thus, perfusion strategy should adopt evidence-based measures to reduce the impact of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). Hematic Antegrade Repriming (HAR) provides a standardized procedure combining several measures to reduce haemodilutional priming to 300 mL. Once the safety of the procedure in terms of embolic release has been proven, the evaluation of its beneficial effects in terms of transfusion and ICU stay should be assessed to determine if could be considered for inclusion in Enhanced Recovery After Cardiac Surgery (ERACS) programs. Methods: Two retrospective and non-randomized cohorts of high-risk patients, with similar characteristics, were assessed with a propensity score matching model. The treatment group (HG) (n = 225) received the HAR. A historical cohort, exposed to conventional priming with 1350 mL of crystalloid confirmed the control group (CG) (n = 210). Results: Exposure to any transfusion was lower in treated (66.75% vs. 6.88%, p < 0.01). Prolonged mechanical ventilation (>10 h) (26.51% vs. 12.62%; p < 0.01) and extended ICU stay (>2 d) (47.47% vs. 31.19%; p < 0.01) were fewer for treated. HAR did not increase early morbidity and mortality. Related savings varied from 581 to 2741.94 $/patient, depending on if direct or global expenses were considered. Discussion: By reducing the gaseous and crystalloid emboli during CPB initiation, HAR seems to have a beneficial impact on recovery and reduces the overall transfusion until discharge, leading to significant cost savings per process. Due to the preliminary and retrospective nature of the research and its limitations, our findings should be validated by future prospective and randomized studies.

Incidence and predictors of sternal surgical wound infection in cardiac surgery: A prospective study.

Sternal surgical wound infection (SSWI) in cardiac surgery is associated with increased morbidity. We investigated the incidence of SSWI, the main germs implicated and predictors of SSWI. Prospective study including patients undergoing full median sternotomy between January 2017 and December 2019. Patients were followed-up for 3 months after hospital discharge. All sternal wound infections up to 90 days after discharge were considered SSWI. 1004 patients were included. During follow-up, 68 (6.8%) patients presented SSWI. Patients with SSWI had a higher incidence of postoperative renal failure (29.4% vs 17.1%, P = .007), a higher incidence of early postoperative reoperation for non-infectious causes (42.6% vs 9.1%, P < .001), longer ICU stay (3 [2-9] days vs 2 [2-4] days, P = .006), and longer hospital stay (24.5 [14.8-38.3] days vs 10 [7-18] days, P < .001). Gram-positive germs were presented in 49% of the cultures, and gram-negative bacteria in 35%. Early reoperation for non-infectious causes (OR 4.90, 95% CI 1.03-23.7), and a longer ICU stay (OR 1.37 95% CI 1.10-1.72) were independent predictors of SSWI. SSWI is rare but leads to more postoperative complications. The need for early reoperation because of non-infectious cause and a longer ICU stay were independently associated with SSWI.

A Gene Expression Signature to Select Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients for Liver Transplantation.

OBJECTIVE: To propose a new decision algorithm combining biomarkers measured in a tumor biopsy with clinical variables, to predict recurrence after liver transplantation (LT). BACKGROUND: Liver cancer is one of the most frequent causes of cancer-related mortality. LT is the best treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients but the scarcity of organs makes patient selection a critical step. In addition, clinical criteria widely applied in patient eligibility decisions miss potentially curable patients while selecting patients that relapse after transplantation. METHODS: A literature systematic review singled out candidate biomarkers whose RNA levels were assessed by quantitative PCR in tumor tissue from 138 HCC patients submitted to LT (>5 years follow up, 32% beyond Milan criteria). The resulting 4 gene signature was combined with clinical variables to develop a decision algorithm using machine learning approaches. The method was named HepatoPredict. RESULTS: HepatoPredict identifies 99% disease-free patients (>5 year) from a retrospective cohort, including many outside clinical criteria (16%-24%), thus reducing the false negative rate. This increased sensitivity is accompanied by an increased positive predictive value (88.5%-94.4%) without any loss of long-term overall survival or recurrence rates for patients deemed eligible by HepatoPredict; those deemed ineligible display marked reduction of survival and increased recurrence in the short and long term. CONCLUSIONS: HepatoPredict outperforms conventional clinical-pathologic selection criteria (Milan, UCSF), providing superior prognostic information. Accurately identifying which patients most likely benefit from LT enables an objective stratification of waiting lists and information-based allocation of optimal versus suboptimal organs.

The WISDOM self-management intervention: A cost-effectiveness analysis to support the transformation of type 2 diabetes care in England.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the cost-effectiveness of the WISDOM self-management intervention for type 2 diabetes compared with care as usual. DESIGN: We performed a difference-in-differences analysis to estimate differences in risk factors for diabetes complications between people in the WISDOM group (n = 25, 276) and a control group (n = 15, 272) using GP records. A decision analytic model was then used to extrapolate differences in risk factors into costs and outcomes in the long term. SETTING: Participating GP practices in West Hampshire and Southampton, UK. PARTICIPANTS: All people diagnosed with type 2 diabetes between January 1990 and March 2020 (n = 40,548). OUTCOMES: Diabetes-related complications, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs to the English National Health Service at 5 years and lifetime. INTERVENTIONS: The WISDOM intervention included risk stratification, self-management education programme to professionals and people with type 2 diabetes, and monitoring of key treatment targets. RESULTS: WISDOM was associated with less atrial fibrillation [p = 0.001], albuminuria [p = 0.002] and blood pressure [p = 0.098]. Among all people in the intervention group, WISDOM led to 51 [95%CI: 25; 76] QALYs gained and saved £278,036 [95%CI: -631,900; 176,392] in the first 5 years after its implementation compared with care as usual. During those people' lifetime, WISDOM led to 253 [95%CI: 75; 404] QALYs gained and cost saving of £126,380 [95%CI: -1,466,008; 1,339,628]. The gains in QALYs were a result of reduced diabetes-related complications through improved management of the associated risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: The WISDOM risk-stratification and education intervention for type 2 diabetes appear to be cost-effective compared to usual care by reducing diabetes complications.

Health-related quality of life for normal glycaemia, prediabetes and type 2 diabetes mellitus: Cross-sectional analysis of the ADDITION-PRO study.

AIMS: We estimated and compared health-related quality of life for individuals with normal glucose tolerance, prediabetes and diabetes. METHODS: Participants in the ADDITION-PRO study, Denmark, who attended a health assessment between 2009 and 2011, and who completed the 3-level EuroQoL 5-dimensions (EQ-5D-3L) questionnaire were included. For the present study, they were classified as normal glucose tolerance, prediabetes and diabetes (screen-detected and known) using the 2019 American Diabetes Association criteria. Prediabetes was defined as impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance or HbA1c between 5.7-6.4% (39-47 mmol/mol). EQ-5D-3L data were converted into utility scores using Danish and UK values, where '1' equals full health and '0' equals death. Regression models estimated the association between utility and the different glucose health states. RESULTS: The mean EQ-5D-3L score in the sample population was 0.86 ± 0.17 (median 0.85, interquartile range 0.76 to 1) using UK values. Almost half of the sample (48%) reported full health with an EQ-5D score of '1'. Individuals with known diabetes reported the lowest EQ-5D-3L utility scores (0.81 ± 0.20), followed by individuals with screen-detected diabetes (0.85 ± 0.19), prediabetes (0.86 ± 0.17) and normal glucose tolerance (0.90 ± 0.15). The differences were statistically significant for normal glucose and known diabetes relative to prediabetes, after adjusting for sex, age, smoking, BMI and physical activity. These findings also held using Danish values albeit the differences were of smaller magnitude. CONCLUSIONS: Having prediabetes and diabetes was significantly associated with lower health-related quality of life relative to normal glucose tolerance. Our estimates will be useful to inform the value of interventions to prevent diabetes or prediabetes.

Hospital costs associated with adverse events in people with diabetes in the UK.

AIM: To estimate the annual hospital costs associated with a range of adverse events for people with diabetes in the UK. METHODS: Annual hospital costs (2019/2020) were derived from 15 436 ASCEND participants from 2005 to 2017 (120 420 person-years). The annual hospital costs associated with cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, transient ischaemic attack [TIA], ischaemic stroke, heart failure), bleeding (gastrointestinal [GI] bleed, intracranial haemorrhage, other major bleed), cancer (GI tract cancer, non-GI tract cancer), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), lower limb amputation and death (vascular, non-vascular) were estimated using a generalized linear model following adjustment for participants' sociodemographic and clinical factors. RESULTS: In the year of event, ESRD was associated with the largest increase in annual hospital cost (£20 954), followed by lower limb amputation (£17 887), intracranial haemorrhage (£12 080), GI tract cancer (£10 160), coronary revascularization (£8531 if urgent; £8302 if non-urgent), heart failure (£8319), non-GI tract cancer (£7409), ischaemic stroke (£7170), GI bleed (£5557), myocardial infarction (£4913), other major bleed (£3825) and TIA (£1523). In subsequent years, most adverse events were associated with lasting but smaller increases in hospital costs, except for ESRD, where the additional cost remained high (£20 090). CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides robust estimates of annual hospital costs associated with a range of adverse events in people with diabetes that can inform future cost-effectiveness analyses of diabetes interventions. It also highlights the potential cost savings that could be derived from prevention of these costly complications.

Decrements in health-related quality of life associated with adverse events in people with diabetes.

AIM: To estimate the decrements in health-related quality of life (QoL) associated with a range of adverse events to inform assessments of the effects of diabetes treatments on QoL in contemporary clinical practice. METHODS: Participants' QoL utility measures were derived from the five-level EuroQoL five-dimensional (EQ-5D-5L) questionnaires completed by 11 683 ASCEND participants (76% of 15 480 recruited). EQ-5D utility decrements associated with cardiovascular (myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, transient ischaemic attack [TIA], ischaemic stroke, heart failure), bleeding (gastrointestinal [GI] bleed, intracranial haemorrhage, other major bleed), cancer (GI tract cancer, non-GI tract cancer), and microvascular events (end-stage renal disease [ESRD], amputation) were estimated using a linear regression model following adjustment for participants' sociodemographic and clinical risk factors. RESULTS: Amputation was associated with the largest EQ-5D utility decrement (-0.206), followed by heart failure (-0.185), intracranial haemorrhage (-0.164), GI bleed (-0.091), other major bleed (-0.096), ischaemic stroke (-0.061), TIA (-0.057), and non-GI tract cancer (-0.026). We were unable to detect decrements in EQ-5D utility associated with myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, GI tract cancer, or ESRD. EQ-5D utility was lower at older age, independent of other factors. CONCLUSION: These estimated decrements in QoL associated with cardiovascular, bleeding, cancer, and other adverse events can inform assessments of the overall value of treatments in patients with diabetes.

Performance of the UK Prospective Diabetes Study Outcomes Model 2 in a Contemporary UK Type 2 Diabetes Trial Cohort.

OBJECTIVES: The UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Outcomes Model (UKPDS-OM) developed using 30-year (1977-2007) data from the UKPDS is widely used for health outcomes' projections and economic evaluations of therapies for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Nevertheless, its reliability for contemporary UK T2D populations is unclear. We assessed the performance of version 2 of the model (UKPDS-OM2) using data from A Study of Cardiovascular Events in Diabetes (ASCEND), which followed participants with diabetes in the UK between 2005 and 2017. METHODS: The UKPDS-OM2 was used to predict the occurrence of myocardial infarction (MI), other ischemic heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular (CV) death, and other death among the 14 569 participants with T2D in ASCEND, all without previous CV disease at study entry. Calibration (comparison of predicted and observed year-on-year cumulative incidence over 10 years) and discrimination (c-statistics) of the model were assessed for each endpoint. The percentage error in event rates at year 7 (mean duration of follow up) was used to quantify model bias. RESULTS: The UKPDS-OM2 substantially overpredicted MI, stroke, CV death, and other death over the 10-year follow-up period (by 149%, 42%, 269%, and 52%, respectively, at year 7). Discrimination of the model for MI and other ischemic heart disease (c-statistics 0.58 and 0.60, respectively) was poorer than that for other outcomes (c-statistics ranging from 0.66 to 0.72). CONCLUSIONS: The UKPDS-OM2 substantially overpredicted risks of key CV outcomes and death in people with T2D in ASCEND. Appropriate adjustments or a new model may be required for assessments of long-term effects of treatments in contemporary T2D cohorts.

Hysteroscopic Access and Uterine Cavity Evaluation 12 Months after Endometrial Ablation with the Cerene Cryotherapy Device.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether physical access and the ability to systematically assess the postablation uterine cavity were preserved at 12 months after endometrial ablation with the Cerene cryotherapy device (ChannelMedsystems, Emeryville, CA). DESIGN: A prospective, multicenter, single-arm study. SETTING: In the clinic at 8 US sites and outpatient hospital setting at 2 sites in Canada and 1 site in Mexico. PATIENTS: A total of 230 (of 242) subjects continued in the study at the Month 12 visit after ablation. Two hundred twenty-three subjects were available for a diagnostic hysteroscopic evaluation. INTERVENTIONS: Subjects who had previously been treated with a 2.5-minute cryoablation of the endometrium utilizing the Cerene device underwent a diagnostic hysteroscopy at the Month 12 follow-up visit. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The uterine cavity was accessible in 220 of 223 subjects (98.7%) and not accessible in 3 (1.3%) because of pain (n = 2) and cervical stenosis (n = 1). Visualization of the uterine cavity was possible in 204 of 220 subjects (92.7%) with one or both tubal ostia identified in 89.2% (182 of 204) of subjects. Both tubal ostia were visible in 160 of 204 subjects (78.4%) and one ostium in 22 of 204 subjects (10.8%). The cavity was not visualized in the remaining 16 of 220 subjects (7.2%) because of intrauterine adhesions (n = 14), technical difficulties (n = 1), or menstruation (n = 1). In 95.6% (195 of 204) of subjects where the cavity was visualized, the hysteroscopic view was judged adequate to evaluate the uterine cavity for pathologic change. No significant complications occurred during the hysteroscopic evaluations. CONCLUSION: This is the largest study to date conducted to hysteroscopically evaluate the postablation uterine cavity. Uterine cavity assessment with in-office hysteroscopy 1 year after the use of the Cerene cryotherapy device is attainable, enabling both diagnostic and therapeutic procedures within the endometrial cavity.

Estimating the Economic Value of Automated Virtual Reality Cognitive Therapy for Treating Agoraphobic Avoidance in Patients With Psychosis: Findings From the gameChange Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: An automated virtual reality cognitive therapy (gameChange) has demonstrated its effectiveness to treat agoraphobia in patients with psychosis, especially for high or severe anxious avoidance. Its economic value to the health care system is not yet established. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to estimate the potential economic value of gameChange for the UK National Health Service (NHS) and establish the maximum cost-effective price per patient. METHODS: Using data from a randomized controlled trial with 346 patients with psychosis (ISRCTN17308399), we estimated differences in health-related quality of life, health and social care costs, and wider societal costs for patients receiving virtual reality therapy in addition to treatment as usual compared with treatment as usual alone. The maximum cost-effective prices of gameChange were calculated based on UK cost-effectiveness thresholds. The sensitivity of the results to analytical assumptions was tested. RESULTS: Patients allocated to gameChange reported higher quality-adjusted life years (0.008 QALYs, 95% CI -0.010 to 0.026) and lower NHS and social care costs (-£105, 95% CI -£1135 to £924) compared with treatment as usual (£1=US $1.28); however, these differences were not statistically significant. gameChange was estimated to be worth up to £341 per patient from an NHS and social care (NHS and personal social services) perspective or £1967 per patient from a wider societal perspective. In patients with high or severe anxious avoidance, maximum cost-effective prices rose to £877 and £3073 per patient from an NHS and personal social services perspective and societal perspective, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: gameChange is a promising, cost-effective intervention for the UK NHS and is particularly valuable for patients with high or severe anxious avoidance. This presents an opportunity to expand cost-effective psychological treatment coverage for a population with significant health needs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN Registry ISRCTN17308399; https://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN17308399. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR2-10.1136/bmjopen-2019-031606.

Accessory left atrial cords: A case report and literature review.

INTRODUCTION: Accessory left atrial cords are fibroelastic structures found in the left atrium. Left atrial cords may be associated with mitral valve disease, atrial fibrillation, stroke, and other congenital left-side anomalies. METHODS: We presented the case of a man with severe Mitral Regurgitation and two accessories left atrial cords attached to P2 scallop by a single tendon and performed a literature review using PUBMED/MEDLINE, Web of Science, and EMBASE databases on December 4, 2021. RESULTS: According to our review, accessory left atrial cords were found more frequently in women (36 patients, 62%), more frequently attached to the mitral valve (66% of reports) and mitral regurgitation was the most frequently reported pattern of mitral valve disease (64.2%). No other cases of double left atrial cords attached to P2 segment were found. CONCLUSION: Accessory left atrial chords may be related to mitral valve disease and other left-side congenital abnormalities. These structures were found more frequently in females and A2 insertion was the most frequently observed pattern in the review.