Persisting mortality gap in systemic lupus erythematosus; a population-based study on juvenile- and adult-onset SLE in Norway 1999-2022.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate mortality and survival rates of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in a contemporary, population-based setting and assess potential influences by time, sex, ethnicity, classification criteria and age at diagnosis. METHODS: We assessed mortality and survival in the Nor-SLE cohort, which includes all chart-review confirmed SLE cases resident in Southeast Norway (population 2.9 million) 1999-2017. Study end was at death, emigration, or 1 October 2022. We defined juvenile SLE by age <16 years at diagnosis. For standardized mortality rate (SMR) estimates, we applied 15 population controls per case, all matched for age, sex, residency, and ethnicity. We analyzed survival by Kaplan-Meier and risk factors by cox regression. RESULTS: The Nor-SLE cohort included 1558 SLE cases, of whom 749 were incident and met the 2019 European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology and American College of Rheumatology (2019-EA) classification criteria. SMR was increased to 1.8 (95% CI 1.6-2.2) in incident adult-onset SLE but did not differ between females and males. Survival rates at 5-, 10-, 15 and 20-years were lower in incident adult-onset SLE than in matched controls. In multivariable analysis, lupus nephritis associated with decreased survival, while sex did not. Separate, long-term mortality analyses in the total Nor-SLE cohort showed that SMR peaked at 7.2 (95% CI 3.3-14) in juvenile-onset SLE (n = 93) and fell gradually by increasing age at SLE diagnosis. CONCLUSION: This study shows persistence of a mortality gap between adult-onset SLE and controls at population level and provides indications of worryingly high mortality in juvenile-onset SLE.

Variants in BANK1 are associated with lupus nephritis of European ancestry.

The genetic background of lupus nephritis (LN) has not been completely elucidated. We performed a case-only study of 2886 SLE patients, including 947 (33%) with LN. Renal biopsies were available from 396 patients. The discovery cohort (Sweden, n = 1091) and replication cohort 1 (US, n = 962) were genotyped on the Immunochip and replication cohort 2 (Denmark/Norway, n = 833) on a custom array. Patients with LN, proliferative nephritis, or LN with end-stage renal disease were compared with SLE without nephritis. Six loci were associated with LN (p < 1 × 10-4, NFKBIA, CACNA1S, ITGA1, BANK1, OR2Y, and ACER3) in the discovery cohort. Variants in BANK1 showed the strongest association with LN in replication cohort 1 (p = 9.5 × 10-4) and proliferative nephritis in a meta-analysis of discovery and replication cohort 1. There was a weak association between BANK1 and LN in replication cohort 2 (p = 0.052), and in the meta-analysis of all three cohorts the association was strengthened (p = 2.2 × 10-7). DNA methylation data in 180 LN patients demonstrated methylation quantitative trait loci (meQTL) effects between a CpG site and BANK1 variants. To conclude, we describe genetic variations in BANK1 associated with LN and evidence for genetic regulation of DNA methylation within the BANK1 locus. This indicates a role for BANK1 in LN pathogenesis.

Interaction between the STAT4 rs11889341(T) risk allele and smoking confers increased risk of myocardial infarction and nephritis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate how genetics influence the risk of smoking-related systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) manifestations. METHODS: Patients with SLE (ndiscovery cohort=776, nreplication cohort=836) were genotyped using the 200K Immunochip single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) Array (Illumina) and a custom array. Sixty SNPs with SLE association (p<5.0×10-8) were analysed. Signal transducer and activator of transcription 4 (STAT4) activation was assessed in in vitro stimulated peripheral blood mononuclear cells from healthy controls (n=45). RESULTS: In the discovery cohort, smoking was associated with myocardial infarction (MI) (OR 1.96 (95% CI 1.09 to 3.55)), with a greater effect in patients carrying any rs11889341 STAT4 risk allele (OR 2.72 (95% CI 1.24 to 6.00)) or two risk alleles (OR 8.27 (95% CI 1.48 to 46.27)).Smokers carrying the risk allele also displayed an increased risk of nephritis (OR 1.47 (95% CI 1.06 to 2.03)). In the replication cohort, the high risk of MI in smokers carrying the risk allele and the association between the STAT4 risk allele and nephritis in smokers were confirmed (OR 6.19 (95% CI 1.29 to 29.79) and 1.84 (95% CI 1.05 to 3.29), respectively).The interaction between smoking and the STAT4 risk allele resulted in further increase in the risk of MI (OR 2.14 (95% CI 1.01 to 4.62)) and nephritis (OR 1.53 (95% CI 1.08 to 2.17)), with 54% (MI) and 34% (nephritis) of the risk attributable to the interaction. Levels of interleukin-12-induced phosphorylation of STAT4 in CD8+ T cells were higher in smokers than in non-smokers (mean geometric fluorescence intensity 1063 vs 565, p=0.0063).Lastly, the IL12A rs564799 risk allele displayed association with MI in both cohorts (OR 1.53 (95% CI 1.01 to 2.31) and 2.15 (95% CI 1.08 to 4.26), respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Smoking in the presence of the STAT4 risk gene variant appears to increase the risk of MI and nephritis in SLE. Our results also highlight the role of the IL12-STAT4 pathway in SLE-cardiovascular morbidity.

Molecular pathways in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus revealed by gene-centred DNA sequencing.

OBJECTIVES: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease with extensive heterogeneity in disease presentation between patients, which is likely due to an underlying molecular diversity. Here, we aimed at elucidating the genetic aetiology of SLE from the immunity pathway level to the single variant level, and stratify patients with SLE into distinguishable molecular subgroups, which could inform treatment choices in SLE. METHODS: We undertook a pathway-centred approach, using sequencing of immunological pathway genes. Altogether 1832 candidate genes were analysed in 958 Swedish patients with SLE and 1026 healthy individuals. Aggregate and single variant association testing was performed, and we generated pathway polygenic risk scores (PRS). RESULTS: We identified two main independent pathways involved in SLE susceptibility: T lymphocyte differentiation and innate immunity, characterised by HLA and interferon, respectively. Pathway PRS defined pathways in individual patients, who on average were positive for seven pathways. We found that SLE organ damage was more pronounced in patients positive for the T or B cell receptor signalling pathways. Further, pathway PRS-based clustering allowed stratification of patients into four groups with different risk score profiles. Studying sets of genes with priors for involvement in SLE, we observed an aggregate common variant contribution to SLE at genes previously reported for monogenic SLE as well as at interferonopathy genes. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that pathway risk scores have the potential to stratify patients with SLE beyond clinical manifestations into molecular subsets, which may have implications for clinical follow-up and therapy selection.

Mortality and causes of death across the systemic connective tissue diseases and the primary systemic vasculitides.

Objectives: Studies assessing relative mortality risks across the spectrum of systemic inflammatory rheumatic diseases are largely missing. In this study, we wanted to estimate standard mortality ratios (SMRs) and causes of death in an ethnically homogeneous cohort covering all major CTDs and primary systemic vasculitides (PSVs). Methods: We prospectively followed all incident CTD and PSV cases included in the Norwegian CTD and vasculitis registry (NOSVAR) between 1999 and 2015. Fifteen controls for each patient matched for sex and age were randomly drawn from the Norwegian National Population Registry. Causes of death were obtained from the National Cause of Death Register, death certificates and hospital charts. Results: The cohort included 2140 patients (1534 with CTD, 606 with PSV). During a mean follow-up time of 9 years, 279 of the patients (13%) died, compared with 2864 of 32 086 (9%) controls (P < 0.001). Ten years after diagnosis, the lowest survival was 60% in dcSSc, 73% in anti-synthetase syndrome (ASS) and 75% in lcSSc. In the CTD group, the highest SMRs were observed in dcSSc (SMR 5.8) and ASS (SMR 4.1). In the PSV group, Takayasu arteritis (SMR 2.5) and ANCA-associated vasculitis (SMR 1.5) had the highest SMRs. Major causes of death were cardiovascular disease (CTD 27%, PSV 28%), neoplasms (CTD 25%, PSV 27%), chronic respiratory disease (CTD 20%, PSV10%) and infections (CTD 9%, PSV 16%). Conclusion: We observed premature deaths across the spectrum of CTDs and PSVs, with highest SMRs in dcSSc and ASS. The overall mortality was highest in the CTD group.

Sensitivity of classification criteria from time of diagnosis in an incident systemic lupus erythematosus cohort: a population-based study from Norway.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the sensitivity of 2019 European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology/American College of Rheumatology (EULAR/ACR) classification criteria against 1997 ACR criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), for incident SLE cases in the presumably complete population-based Nor-SLE cohort from Southeast Norway (2.9 million inhabitants). METHODS: All cases International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) coded as SLE during 2000-2017 were individually reviewed. Those with a confirmed SLE diagnosis by expert clinical assessment were included in the Nor-SLE cohort. Core clinical data were recorded, and the cases were classified according to 2019 EULAR/ACR and 1997 ACR criteria. Juvenile SLE was defined as <16 years at diagnosis and adult SLE was defined as ≥16 years at diagnosis. RESULTS: We included 737 incident SLE cases (701 adults, 36 juveniles). At diagnosis, 2019 EULAR/ACR criteria were more sensitive than 1997 ACR criteria for adults (91.6% vs 77.3%; p<0.001), but not for juveniles (97.2% vs 88.9%). The 2019 EULAR/ACR counts at diagnosis differed by age group and ethnicity, being higher in young cases and those originating from Asia. From time of diagnosis to study end the fulfilment rate of 2019 EULAR/ACR criteria for the adult cohort increased from 92.5% and 86.5% to 94.6% and 91.0%, respectively, for females and males (mean disease duration of 7.5 years). CONCLUSION: Showing 92% criteria fulfilment already at time of SLE diagnosis by 2019 EULAR/ACR criteria versus 77% by 1997 ACR criteria, the results from this population-based study suggest that the 2019 EULAR/ACR criteria will achieve its goal of capturing more early-SLE cases for clinical trials.

Declining Incidence of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in Norway 1999-2017: Data From a Population Cohort Identified by International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision Code and Verified by Classification.

OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study was to provide complete, robust data on annual systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) incidence rates over nearly two decades from the Southeast Norway area (2.9 million inhabitants) and assess accuracy of SLE-specific International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for SLE diagnosis. METHODS: From administrative databases, we identified all cases International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) coded as SLE during 1999 through 2017 in Southeast Norway. We manually reviewed the chart of every case ICD-10 coded as SLE to either confirm or reject SLE diagnosis. Using SLE classification criteria, we classified all cases with confirmed SLE. We estimated annual incidence rates of classified SLE, and subsets, defined by age at diagnosis, sex, and parental country of birth. The chi-square test was applied for linear time-trend analyses of incidence. RESULTS: Among the 3,488 cases ICD-10 coded as SLE, chart reviews confirmed SLE diagnosis in 1,558 (45%), of which 797 had new-onset disease during 1999 through 2017. Annual SLE incidence rates fell during 1999 to 2017. The fall was most pronounced in female persons 50 to 59 years old at diagnosis, in whom incidence fell from 3.4 to 1.1 per 100,000 persons (P trend < 0.001). Concurrent ecological data from the study area showed a 74% reduction in prescriptions of menopausal hormone treatment. Accuracy of ICD-10 codes for incident SLE diagnosis was acceptable in juveniles and young adults (up to 20 years) but otherwise low. CONCLUSION: In a presumably complete population-based cohort, we identified decreasing incidence of SLE, especially among female persons 50 to 59 years old. Although reasons for declining incidence are not clear, ecological data indicate a possible role of environmental factors, for example, menopausal hormone treatments.

Prevalence and target attainment of traditional cardiovascular risk factors in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a cross-sectional study including 3401 individuals from 24 countries.

BACKGROUND: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is characterised by increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality risk. We aimed to examine the prevalence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and their control in an international survey of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus. METHODS: In this multicentre, cross-sectional study, cardiovascular risk factor data from medical files of adult patients (aged ≥18) with SLE followed between Jan 1, 2015, and Jan 1, 2020, were collected from 24 countries, across five continents. We assessed the prevalence and target attainment of cardiovascular risk factors and examined potential differences by country income level and antiphospholipid syndrome coexistence. We used the Systemic Coronary Risk Evaluation algorithm for cardiovascular risk estimation, and the European Society of Cardiology guidelines for assessing cardiovascular risk factor target attainment. People with lived experience were not involved in the research or writing process. FINDINGS: 3401 patients with SLE were included in the study. The median age was 43·0 years (IQR 33-54), 3047 (89·7%) of 3396 patients were women, 349 (10.3%) were men, and 1629 (48·1%) of 3390 were White. 556 (20·7%) of 2681 patients had concomitant antiphospholipid syndrome. We found a high cardiovascular risk factor prevalence (hypertension 1210 [35·6%] of 3398 patients, obesity 751 [23·7%] of 3169 patients, and hyperlipidaemia 650 [19·8%] of 3279 patients), and suboptimal control of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (blood pressure [target of <130/80 mm Hg], BMI, and lipids) in the entire SLE group. Higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors but a better blood pressure (target of <130/80 mm Hg; 54·9% [1170 of 2132 patients] vs 46·8% [519 of 1109 patients]; p<0·0001), and lipid control (75·0% [895 of 1194 patients] vs 51·4% [386 of 751 patients], p<0·0001 for high-density lipoprotein [HDL]; 66·4% [769 of 1158 patients] vs 60·8% [453 of 745 patients], p=0·013 for non-HDL; 80·9% [1017 of 1257 patients] vs 61·4% [486 of 792 patients], p<0·0001 for triglycerides]) was observed in patients from high-income versus those from middle-income countries. Patients with SLE with antiphospholipid syndrome had a higher prevalence of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors, and significantly lower attainment of BMI and lipid targets (for low-density lipoprotein and non-HDL) than patients with SLE without antiphospholipid syndrome. INTERPRETATION: High prevalence and inadequate cardiovascular risk factor control were observed in a large multicentre and multiethnic SLE cohort, especially among patients from middle-income compared with high-income countries and among those with coexistent antiphospholipid syndrome. Increased awareness of cardiovascular disease risk in SLE, especially in the above subgroups, is urgently warranted. FUNDING: None.

B cell polygenic risk scores associate with anti-dsDNA antibodies and nephritis in systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: B cell function and autoantibodies are important in SLE pathogenesis. In this work, we aimed to investigate the impact of cumulative SLE B cell genetics on SLE subphenotype and autoantibody profile. METHODS: Female patients with SLE (n=1248) and healthy controls (n=400) were genotyped using Illumina's Global Screening Array. Two polygenic risk scores (PRSs), one representing B cell genes and the other B cell activation genes, were calculated for each individual using risk loci for SLE in genes assigned to B cell-related pathways according to the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes, Gene Ontology and Reactome Databases. RESULTS: Double-stranded DNA (dsDNA) antibodies were more prevalent among patients with a high compared with a low SLE B cell PRS (OR 1.47 (1.07 to 2.01), p=0.018), and effect sizes were augmented in patients with human leucocyte antigen (HLA) risk haplotypes HLA-DRB1*03:01 and HLA-DRB1*15:01 (DRB1*03/15 -/- (OR 0.99 (0.56 to 1.77), p=0.98; DRB1*03/15 +/- or -/+ (OR 1.64 (1.06 to 2.54), p=0.028; and DRB1*03/15 +/+ (OR 4.47 (1.21 to 16.47), p=0.024). Further, a high compared with a low B cell PRS was associated with low complement levels in DRB1*03/15 +/+ patients (OR 3.92 (1.22 to 12.64), p=0.022). The prevalence of lupus nephritis (LN) was higher in patients with a B cell activation PRS above the third quartile compared with patients below (OR 1.32 (1.00 to 1.74), p=0.048). CONCLUSIONS: High genetic burden related to B cell function is associated with dsDNA antibody development and LN. Assessing B cell PRSs may be important in order to determine immunological pathways influencing SLE and to predict clinical phenotype.

Differences between rheumatologists and other internists regarding diagnosis and treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the diagnostics and treatment of SLE patients in the care of rheumatologists with patients in the care of other specialities within a geographically complete cohort. METHODS: Nine different sources were used to identify SLE patients resident in Oslo between 1999 and 2008. Only SLE patients fulfilling four or more of the updated 1997 ACR criteria were included. Data were extracted from medical records. The patients were classified into three groups according to each patient's responsible doctor's speciality. RESULTS: A total of 325 SLE patients were included in the study. Of these, 227 had solely been in the care of rheumatologists (rheumatology group), 34 had solely been in the care of nephrologists, haematologists or infectious disease specialists (non-rheumatology group) and 64 had been in the care of both rheumatologists and other specialists (multidisciplinary group). Even though patients in the non-rheumatology group and multidisciplinary group showed similar disease characteristics, patients in the non-rheumatology group were less often tested for aPLs (68 vs 94%; P = 0.001) and less often treated with HCQ (12 vs 78%; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to rheumatologists, non-rheumatologists do not routinely test all SLE patients for aPLs, and rarely prescribe HCQ. These findings indicate that more communication between different specialists caring for SLE is needed, and highlights an area in need of agreement.

A randomized, phase II study of sequential belimumab and rituximab in primary Sjögren's syndrome.

BACKGROUNDPrimary Sjögren's syndrome (pSS) is characterized by B cell hyperactivity and elevated B-lymphocyte stimulator (BLyS). Anti-BLyS treatment (e.g., belimumab) increases peripheral memory B cells; decreases naive, activated, and plasma B cell subsets; and increases stringency on B cell selection during reconstitution. Anti-CD20 therapeutics (e.g., rituximab) bind and deplete CD20-expressing B cells in circulation but are less effective in depleting tissue-resident CD20+ B cells. Combined, these 2 mechanisms may achieve synergistic effects.METHODSThis 68-week, phase II, double-blind study (GSK study 201842) randomized 86 adult patients with active pSS to 1 of 4 arms: placebo, s.c. belimumab, i.v. rituximab, or sequential belimumab + rituximab.RESULTSOverall, 60 patients completed treatment and follow-up until week 68. The incidence of adverse events (AEs) and drug-related AEs was similar across groups. Infections/infestations were the most common AEs, and no serious infections of special interest occurred. Near-complete depletion of minor salivary gland CD20+ B cells and a greater and more sustained depletion of peripheral CD19+ B cells were observed with belimumab + rituximab versus monotherapies. With belimumab + rituximab, reconstitution of peripheral B cells occurred, but it was delayed compared with rituximab. At week 68, mean (± standard error) total EULAR Sjögren's syndrome disease activity index scores decreased from 11.0 (1.17) at baseline to 5.0 (1.27) for belimumab + rituximab and 10.4 (1.36) to 8.6 (1.57) for placebo.CONCLUSIONThe safety profile of belimumab + rituximab in pSS was consistent with the monotherapies. Belimumab + rituximab induced enhanced salivary gland B cell depletion relative to the monotherapies, potentially leading to improved clinical outcomes.TRIAL REGISTRATIONClinicalTrials.gov NCT02631538.FUNDINGFunding was provided by GSK.

Long-Term Outcome in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus; Knowledge from Population-Based Cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Accurate knowledge of outcomes in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) is crucial to understanding the true burden of the disease. The main objective of this systematic review was to gather all population-based studies on mortality, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and cancer in SLE. METHOD: We performed a systematic literature search in two electronic databases (MEDLINE and Embase) to identify all population-based articles on SLE and survival, mortality, ESRD and cancer. The SLE diagnosis had to be verified. We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines (PRISMA). RESULTS: We included 40/1041 articles on mortality (27), ESRD (11) and cancer (3), of which six were defined as inception studies. In the total SLE cohort, the standardized mortality ratio ranged from 1.9 to 4.6. Cardiovascular disease was the most frequent cause of death in studies with follow-up times over 15 years. SLE progressed to ESRD in 5-11% of all SLE patients. There are no data supporting increased cancer incidence from population-based inception cohorts. CONCLUSION: There is a need for more population-based studies on outcomes of SLE, especially inception studies, with the use of control groups and follow-up times over 15 years.

[Lupus-nephritis--diagnosis and treatment]. / Lupusnefritt--diagnostikk og behandling.

BACKGROUND: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune, multiorgan disease that usually affects young women. The kidneys are affected (lupus nephritis) in close to one fifth of the patients. Over the past decade earlier diagnosis and improved treatment of lupus nephritis has resulted in substantial improvement of renal function and patient survival. Despite these advances, 10 - 15 % of SLE patients with lupus nephritis progress to end-stage renal disease, requiring dialysis or renal transplantation. The article outlines main principles for diagnosing and treating lupus nephritis, according to current practice at Oslo University Hospital. MATERIAL AND METHODS: National and international guidelines (on treatment of lupus nephritis), literature identified through a non-systematic search in PubMed and our own clinical experience form the basis for the article. RESULTS: In lupus nephritis, low-dose cyclophosphamide and corticosteroids are topical treatment for induction therapy, and mycophenolate mofetil is an alternative treatment. We recommend maintenance treatment with azathioprine or mycophenolate mofetil for at least two years. Treatment with rituximab may be considered in patients with refractory lupus nephritis. INTERPRETATION: Subtypes and activity of the renal disease are decisive for choice of treatment.