Non-KREEP origin for Chang'e-5 basalts in the Procellarum KREEP Terrane.

Mare volcanics on the Moon are the key record of thermo-chemical evolution throughout most of lunar history1-3. Young mare basalts-mainly distributed in a region rich in potassium, rare-earth elements and phosphorus (KREEP) in Oceanus Procellarum, called the Procellarum KREEP Terrane (PKT)4-were thought to be formed from KREEP-rich sources at depth5-7. However, this hypothesis has not been tested with young basalts from the PKT. Here we present a petrological and geochemical study of the basalt clasts from the PKT returned by the Chang'e-5 mission8. These two-billion-year-old basalts are the youngest lunar samples reported so far9. Bulk rock compositions have moderate titanium and high iron contents  with KREEP-like rare-earth-element and high thorium concentrations. However, strontium-neodymium isotopes indicate that these basalts were derived from a non-KREEP mantle source. To produce the high abundances of rare-earth elements and thorium, low-degree partial melting and extensive fractional crystallization are required. Our results indicate that the KREEP association may not be a prerequisite for young mare volcanism. Absolving the need to invoke heat-producing elements in their source implies a more sustained cooling history of the lunar interior to generate the Moon's youngest melts.

Novel quantitative immunohistochemistry method using histone H3, family 3B as the internal reference standard for measuring human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 expression in breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Immunohistochemistry (IHC) is an essential technique in surgical and clinical pathology for detecting diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive biomarkers for personalized cancer therapy. However, the lack of standardization and reference controls results in poor reproducibility, and a reliable tool for IHC quantification is urgently required. The objective of this study was to describe a novel approach in which H3F3B (histone H3, family 3B) can be used as an internal reference standard to quantify protein expression levels using IHC. METHODS: The authors enrolled 89 patients who had human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer (BC). They used a novel IHC-based assay to measure protein expression using H3F3B as the internal reference standard. H3F3B was uniformly expressed at the protein level in all tumor regions in cancer tissues. HER2 expression levels were measured with the H-score using HALO software. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that, among patients who had HER2-positive BC in The Cancer Genome Atlas data set and the authors' data set, the subgroup with low HER2 expression had a significantly better prognosis than the subgroup with high HER2 expression. Furthermore, the authors observed that HER2 expression levels were precisely evaluated using the proposed method, which can classify patients who are at higher risk of HER2-positive BC to receive trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy. Dual-color IHC with H3F3B is an excellent tool for internal and external quality control of HER2 expression assays. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed IHC-based quantification method accurately assesses HER2 expression levels and provides insights for predicting clinical prognosis in patients with HER2-positive BC who receive trastuzumab-based adjuvant therapy.

Automated segmentation of liver and hepatic vessels on portal venous phase computed tomography images using a deep learning algorithm.

BACKGROUND: CT-image segmentation for liver and hepatic vessels can facilitate liver surgical planning. However, time-consuming process and inter-observer variations of manual segmentation have limited wider application in clinical practice. PURPOSE: Our study aimed to propose an automated deep learning (DL) segmentation algorithm for liver and hepatic vessels on portal venous phase CT images. METHODS: This retrospective study was performed to develop a coarse-to-fine DL-based algorithm that was trained, validated, and tested using private 413, 52, and 50 portal venous phase CT images, respectively. Additionally, the performance of the DL algorithm was extensively evaluated and compared with manual segmentation using an independent clinical dataset of preoperative contrast-enhanced CT images from 44 patients with hepatic focal lesions. The accuracy of DL-based segmentation was quantitatively evaluated using the Dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC) and complementary metrics [Normalized Surface Dice (NSD) and Hausdorff distance_95 (HD95) for liver segmentation, Recall and Precision for hepatic vessel segmentation]. The processing time for DL and manual segmentation was also compared. RESULTS: Our DL algorithm achieved accurate liver segmentation with DSC of 0.98, NSD of 0.92, and HD95 of 1.52 mm. DL-segmentation of hepatic veins, portal veins, and inferior vena cava attained DSC of 0.86, 0.89, and 0.94, respectively. Compared with the manual approach, the DL algorithm significantly outperformed with better segmentation results for both liver and hepatic vessels, with higher accuracy of liver and hepatic vessel segmentation (all p < 0.001) in independent 44 clinical data. In addition, the DL method significantly reduced the manual processing time of clinical postprocessing (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The proposed DL algorithm potentially enabled accurate and rapid segmentation for liver and hepatic vessels using portal venous phase contrast CT images.

Microwave Ablation for Inoperable Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in Patients Aged ≥70 Years: A Prospective, Single-Center Study.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the safety and survival outcomes of computed tomography-guided microwave ablation (MWA) for medically inoperable Stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in patients aged ≥70 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was a prospective, single-arm, single-center clinical trial. The MWA clinical trial enrolled patients aged ≥70 years with medically inoperable Stage I NSCLC from January 2021 to October 2021. All patients received biopsy and MWA synchronously with the coaxial technique. The primary endpoints were 1-year overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). The secondary endpoint was adverse events. RESULTS: A total of 103 patients were enrolled. Ninety-seven patients were eligible and analyzed. The median age was 75 years (range, 70-91 years). The median diameter of tumors was 16 mm (range, 6-33 mm). Adenocarcinoma (87.6%) was the most common histologic finding. With a median follow-up of 16.0 months, the 1-year OS and PFS rates were 99.0% and 93.7%, respectively. There were no procedure-related deaths in any patient within 30 days after MWA. Most of the adverse events were minor. CONCLUSION: MWA is an effective and safe treatment for patients aged ≥70 years with medically inoperable Stage I NSCLC.

Effects of microwave ablation on cysts and cystic neoplasms with tissue-mimicking model: an ex vivo study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Microwave ablation (MWA) is a promising modality that needs to be further investigated for cystic lesions. The present study aimed to determine the effects of MWA on cysts and cystic neoplasms with a tissue-mimicking model. METHODS: Twenty New Zealand White rabbits were randomly divided into Group A (cyst mimic models, n = 10, φ = 5 cm) and Group B (cystic neoplasm mimicking models, n = 10, φ = 5 cm). For each group, ex vivo rabbit healthy bladder and VX2-implanted tumor bladder were fixed and embedded in agarose gel to mimic cyst and cystic neoplasm. In the MWA experimental subgroups, microwave antennas guided by computed tomography (CT) were introduced into these models. A system thermometer was placed at the outer edge of the bladder wall to monitor temperature changes. Immediately after MWA, ex vivo rabbit healthy bladders and VX2-implanted tumor bladders were harvested for gross anatomy and prepared for pathological evaluation. RESULTS: A total of twenty cyst and cystic neoplasm mimicking models were successfully developed. Ninety percent of the MWA procedures were successful, and no peri-procedural complications were encountered. The temperature of the cystic wall increased with duration in both MWA experimental subgroups and an effective ablation temperature (>60 °C) was achieved. Pathological examination of the cyst and cystic neoplasm mimic models revealed degenerative necrosis of the bladder wall mucosal epithelial cells, loss of bladder wall tissue structure and coagulative necrosis of VX2 tumor cells. CONCLUSION: Our data indicate that MWA could cause thermal damage to the tissue structure of cyst and cystic neoplasm, and it is an effective technique for treating cystic diseases.HIGHLIGHTSex vivo rabbit healthy bladder and VX2-implanted tumor bladder were fixed and embedded in agarose gel to mimic cyst and cystic neoplasm.The temperature of the cystic wall increased with MWA duration and an effective ablation temperature (> 60 °C) was achieved.MWA could cause thermal damage to the tissue structure of the cyst and cystic neoplasm and it is effective in treating cystic diseases, as assessed by histopathology.

[Progress in application of adult endogenous neurogenesis in brain injury repair].

Persistent neurogenesis exists in the subventricular zone (SVZ) of the ventricles and the subgranular zone (SGZ) of the dentate gyrus of the hippocampus in the adult mammalian brain. Adult endogenous neurogenesis not only plays an important role in the normal brain function, but also has important significance in the repair and treatment of brain injury or brain diseases. This article reviews the process of adult endogenous neurogenesis and its application in the repair of traumatic brain injury (TBI) or ischemic stroke, and discusses the strategies of activating adult endogenous neurogenesis to repair brain injury and its practical significance in promoting functional recovery after brain injury.

Anomalous Structural Evolution and Glassy Lattice in Mixed-Halide Hybrid Perovskites.

Hybrid halide perovskites have emerged as highly promising photovoltaic materials because of their exceptional optoelectronic properties, which are often optimized via compositional engineering like mixing halides. It is well established that hybrid perovskites undergo a series of structural phase transitions as temperature varies. In this work, the authors find that phase transitions are substantially suppressed in mixed-halide hybrid perovskite single crystals of MAPbI3-x Brx (MA = CH3 NH3 + and x = 1 or 2) using a complementary suite of diffraction and spectroscopic techniques. Furthermore, as a general behavior, multiple crystallographic phases coexist in mixed-halide perovskites over a wide temperature range, and a slightly distorted monoclinic phase, hitherto unreported for hybrid perovskites, is dominant at temperatures above 100 K. The anomalous structural evolution is correlated with the glassy behavior of organic cations and optical phonons in mixed-halide perovskites. This work demonstrates the complex interplay between composition engineering and lattice dynamics in hybrid perovskites, shedding new light on their unique properties.

δ-Secretase-cleaved Tau stimulates Aß production via upregulating STAT1-BACE1 signaling in Alzheimer's disease.

δ-Secretase, an age-dependent asparagine protease, cleaves both amyloid precursor protein (APP) and Tau and is required for amyloid plaque and neurofibrillary tangle pathologies in Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, whether δ-secretase activation is sufficient to trigger AD pathogenesis remains unknown. Here we show that the fragments of δ-secretase-cleavage, APP (586-695) and Tau(1-368), additively drive AD pathogenesis and cognitive dysfunctions. Tau(1-368) strongly augments BACE1 expression and Aß generation in the presence of APP. The Tau(1-368) fragment is more robust than full-length Tau in binding active STAT1, a BACE1 transcription factor, and promotes its nuclear translocation, upregulating BACE1 and Aß production. Notably, Aß-activated SGK1 or JAK2 kinase phosphorylates STAT1 and induces its association with Tau(1-368). Inhibition of these kinases diminishes stimulatory effect of Tau(1-368). Knockout of STAT1 abolishes AD pathologies induced by δ-secretase-generated APP and Tau fragments. Thus, we show that Tau may not only be a downstream effector of Aß in the amyloid hypothesis, but also act as a driving force for Aß, when cleaved by δ-secretase.

Nerve Injury and Regeneration after Neurolysis: Ethanol Alone versus Ethanol with Brachytherapy in Rabbits.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to prove the hypothesis that neurolysis based on ethanol injection in combination with iodine-125 (125I) radioactive seed implantation could prolong the nerve regeneration time compared with that based on ethanol injection alone. The grade of nerve injury was assessed for both methods. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty female rabbits (mean weight, 2.8 kg ± 0.2) were randomly assigned to group A (neurolysis of the left brachial plexus nerve based on ethanol injection in combination with 125I radioactive seed implantation, n = 10) and group B (neurolysis using ethanol injection alone, n = 10). The right brachial plexus nerve was used as a control. Injury and regeneration of the brachial plexus nerve were analyzed using electromyography. Statistical tests were performed using the Mann-Whitney U test and repeated-measures analysis of variance. The results were verified with histopathological examinations. RESULTS: The overall postprocedural amplitude was significantly lower in group A than in group B (P = .01), particularly in the second month after the procedure (P = .036). However, no statistical difference in latency was observed between the 2 groups (P = .103). Histopathological examination of both groups revealed Sunderland third-degree peripheral nerve injury (PNI), which was mainly characterized by axonal disintegration. The degree of nerve regeneration was significantly lower in group A than in group B. CONCLUSIONS: Neurolysis based on ethanol injection in combination with 125I radioactive seed implantation can prolong the nerve regeneration time compared with that based on ethanol injection alone, although both methods resulted in Sunderland third-degree PNI.

Correlations of RENAL, PADUA and NePhRO Scores With Complications and Outcomes in Patients After CT-Guided Microwave Ablation of Renal Tumors.

OBJECTIVE: This retrospective study aimed to access the correlations of RENAL, PADUA and NePhRO scores with operative complications, chronic kidney disease (CKD) upstaging, and oncologic outcomes after CT-guided percutaneous Microwave Ablation (MWA) of renal tumors in order to determine their status as independent predictors of outcomes after MWA. This study also aimed to generally evaluate the efficacy of MWA in treating renal tumors. METHODS: From January 2017 to December 2019, 18 patients with 27 renal tumors who had undergone simultaneous biopsy and MWA were recruited in this single-center retrospective study. Data collection included tumor characteristics, procedural protocols, complications, CKD upstaging data, local tumor control data and overall survival. All lesions were evaluated using RENAL, PADUA and NePhRO scores, and further analysis was performed to determine whether the scores were correlated with operative complications, CKD upstaging, local tumor control and overall survival. RESULTS: The minor and major complication rates were 16.7% and 0%, respectively. Two patients with solitary kidney experienced CKD upstaging. Local tumor recurrence was identified in one type of tumor (3.7%) in the first year of follow-up. L. parameter (P = .031), longitudinal (polar) location score (P = .011), Ne. parameter (P = .036), number of kidneys (P = .005), and number of lesions (P = .008), were predictive factors significantly associated with the occurrence of complications. Besides, CKD upstaging was associated with A. parameter (P = .032) and urinary collecting system score (P = .028). RENAL, PADUA, and NePhRO scores were significantly correlated with complications, overall survival, and CKD upstaging, respectively (P < .05). CONCLUSION: CT-guided percutaneous MWA was found to be a valuable alternative in the treatment of renal tumors for selected patients. Furthermore, RENAL, PADUA and NePhRO scores were not independent predictors of outcomes of MWA.

[Research progress on muscle spindle morphology].

Muscle spindle is the key proprioceptor in skeletal muscles and plays important roles in many physiological activities, such as maintaining posture, regulating movement and controlling speed variation. It has significant clinical relevance and is emerging as a promising therapeutic target for the treatment of motor functional impairment and metabolic diseases. In this review, we summarized muscle spindle distribution and the mechanism of mechanical signal transmission, and reviewed the research progress on morphological and structural characteristics of muscle spindles.

Computed tomography (CT)-guided percutaneous coaxial biopsy combined with microwave ablation for the treatment of renal masses.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to investigate the feasibility, safety, and efficacy of computed tomography (CT)-guided percutaneous coaxial biopsy combined with microwave ablation (MWA) for the treatment of renal masses. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The clinical data of ten patients (14 tumors) treated with CT-guided percutaneous coaxial biopsy combined with MWA from January 2017 to November 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were followed up for 2-33 months. The outcomes were evaluated with plain and contrast spiral CT scans. Renal function was assessed using the estimated glomerular filtration rate. RESULTS: No severe MWA-related complication was observed. All the tumors were successfully ablated. There was no imaging evidence of local residual tumor, local tumor recurrence, or disease progression during the follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: CT-guided percutaneous coaxial biopsy combined with MWA might be an effective option for the diagnosis and treatment of renal masses in selected patients.

Tau accumulation triggers STAT1-dependent memory deficits by suppressing NMDA receptor expression.

Intracellular tau accumulation forming neurofibrillary tangles is hallmark pathology of Alzheimer's disease (AD), but how tau accumulation induces synapse impairment is elusive. By overexpressing human full-length wild-type tau (termed hTau) to mimic tau abnormality as seen in the brain of sporadic AD patients, we find that hTau accumulation activates JAK2 to phosphorylate STAT1 (signal transducer and activator of transcription 1) at Tyr701 leading to STAT1 dimerization, nuclear translocation, and its activation. STAT1 activation suppresses expression of N-methyl-D-aspartate receptors (NMDARs) through direct binding to the specific GAS element of GluN1, GluN2A, and GluN2B promoters, while knockdown of STAT1 by AAV-Cre in STAT1flox/flox mice or expressing dominant negative Y701F-STAT1 efficiently rescues hTau-induced suppression of NMDAR expression with amelioration of synaptic functions and memory performance. These findings indicate that hTau accumulation impairs synaptic plasticity through JAK2/STAT1-induced suppression of NMDAR expression, revealing a novel mechanism for hTau-associated synapse and memory deficits.

Proton Pump Inhibitors Increase the Risk of Early Biliary Infection After Placement of Percutaneous Transhepatic Biliary Stents.

PURPOSE: To investigate the association between the use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and the risk of early biliary infection (EBI) after the placement of percutaneous transhepatic biliary stents (PTBS) in patients with unresectable malignant biliary obstruction (MBO). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 136 patients with unresectable MBO (82 males and 54 females) treated with PTBS were included in this multicenter retrospective study. PPIs were prescribed to MBO patients with dyspepsia. The risk factors for EBI were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses. The association between the use of PPIs and EBI was assessed by logistic analyses. RESULTS: A total of 72 (53%) patients were regular users of PPIs, and 33 (24%) patients developed EBI after PTBS. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that diabetes (hazard ratio [HR], 20.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 5.6-72.9; P <.001), biliary stones (HR, 20.3; 95% CI, 5.6-72.9; P <.001) and PPIs (HR, 4.0; 95% CI, 1.2-12.8; P =.020) were risk factors for EBI. Further analyses of the correlation between the duration of PPIs use and EBI demonstrated that a prolonged use of PPIs significantly increased the risk of EBI (PPIs for <15 days vs 15-30 days: HR, 10.2; 95% CI, 3.1-33.3; P <.001; and PPIs <15 days vs ≥30 days; HR, 20.4; 95% CI, 2.2-192.3; P <.001). CONCLUSION: The use of PPIs increased the risk of EBI after PTBS in patients with unresectable MBO. Furthermore, the risk of EBI increased with a prolonged duration of PPIs use.

Sintilimab plus Bronchial Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy/Drug-Eluting Embolic Chemoembolization for Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Preliminary Study of 10 Patients.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the short-term efficacy and safety of immunotherapy with sintilimab combined with bronchial arterial infusion (BAI) chemotherapy/drug-eluting embolic (DEE) bronchial arterial chemoembolization (BACE) for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Ten patients with advanced NSCLC were treated with sintilimab plus BAI/DEE-BACE between December 2019 and November 2020 and retrospectively evaluated. The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1 was applied to evaluate the treatment response. The local tumor control duration, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: At 30 days after the last multimodal treatment, complete response, partial response, and stable disease were recorded in 1 (10%), 7 (70%), and 2 (20%) patients, respectively, for an objective response rate of 80% and a disease control rate of 100%. No patient experienced progressive disease. The median duration of local tumor control was 8.0 months (95% CI, 6.2-9.7 months). The median PFS and OS were 11.0 months (95% CI, 6.9-15.1 months) and 8.0 months (95% CI, 5.5-10.5 months), respectively. Two cases of Grade III adverse events related to medications were reported. CONCLUSIONS: Sintilimab combined with BAI/DEE-BACE for patients with advanced NSCLC appears to be safe and feasible. Compared with previous studies on BAI/DEE-BACE, the addition of immunotherapy may improve survival.

A Comparative Study of Cavitary and Noncavitary Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Patients Treated with CT-Guided Microwave Ablation.

PURPOSE: To explore the outcomes of computed tomography‒guided microwave (MW) ablation in patients with cavitary non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and to compare the outcomes of cavitary and noncavitary NSCLC treated with MW ablation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 317 patients with NSCLC (194 men and 123 women) treated with MW ablation were include: 19 patients with cavitary NSCLC and 298 patients with noncavitary NSCLC. Complications, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were evaluated and compared between the 2 groups. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to investigate the correlation of cavity and OS in patients with NSCLC. RESULTS: A total of 364 MW ablation procedures were performed. Adenocarcinoma was the predominant histopathological subtype in patients with cavitary NSCLC (73.7%). Cavitary NSCLC had an incidence rate of 57.9% in overall complications, which was significantly higher than that of 34.6% for noncavitary NSCLC (P = .040). In a mean follow-up of 27.2 months ± 11.9, the median PFS and OS for cavitary NSCLC were 9.0 months ± 8.5 and 14.0 months ± 10.8, respectively, and those for noncavitary NSCLC were 13.0 months ± 10.7 and 17.0 months ± 10.9, respectively. There was no significant difference in PFS (P = .180) or OS (P = .133) between cavitary and noncavitary NSCLC. In addition, the local recurrence rates for cavitary and noncavitary NSCLC were 15.8% and 21.5%, respectively, and no significant difference was found (P = .765). The Kaplan-Meier method revealed no association between the cavity and OS in patients with NSCLC treated with MW ablation. CONCLUSIONS: MW ablation was an effective and safe approach for cavitary NSCLC treatment. Compared with noncavitary NSCLC, cavitary NSCLC manifested with more complications but a comparable outcome after MW ablation.

Survival prediction for non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with CT-guided microwave ablation: development of a prognostic nomogram.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the outcomes of CT-guided percutaneous microwave ablation (MWA) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, and then develop an effective nomogram to predict the survival. METHODS: NSCLC patients treated with MWA were randomly allocated to either the training cohort or the validation cohort (3:1). The primary outcome measurement was overall survival (OS), whose predictors were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses in the training cohort. Then, a predictive nomogram was developed to predict the OS, with the predictive accuracy evaluated by C-statistic and receiver operating characteristic in both the training and validation cohorts. RESULTS: A total of 234 patients (training cohort: n = 176; validation cohort: n = 58) and 271 tumors with a median OS of 17.0 ± 12.2 months were included. The predictors selected into the nomogram included tumor diameter (hazard ratio [HR], 2.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37-3.30; p < 0.001), extrapulmonary metastases (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.06-2.95; p = 0.030), tumor stage (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.07-1.79; p = 0.013), tumor type (HR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.48-2.72; p < 0.001) and post-MWA TKIs (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.34-0.89; p < 0.001), based on the results of univariate and multivariate analyses. The C-statistic showed good predictive performance, with a C-statistic of 0.838 (95% CI, 0.779-0.897) internally and 0.808 (95% CI, 0.695-0.920) externally (training cohort and validation cohort, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram was effective in predicting the OS in NSCLC patients treated with MWA, and could be applied to identify patients who may benefit most from MWA and be helpful for clinical decision making.

Risk prediction of pneumothorax in lung malignancy patients treated with percutaneous microwave ablation: development of nomogram model.

OBJECTIVES: To develop effective nomograms for predicting pneumothorax and delayed pneumothorax after microwave ablation (MWA) in lung malignancy (LM) patients. METHODS: LM patients treated with MWA were randomly allocated to a training or validation cohort at a ratio of 7:3. The predictors of pneumothorax identified by univariate and multivariate analyses in the training cohort were used to develop a predictive nomogram. The C-statistic was used to evaluate predictive accuracy in both cohorts. A second nomogram for predicting delayed pneumothorax was developed and validated using identical methods. RESULTS: A total of 552 patients (training cohort: n = 402; validation cohort: n = 150) were included; of these patients, 27.9% (154/552) developed pneumothorax, with immediate and delayed pneumothorax occurring in 18.8% (104/552) and 9.1% (50/552), respectively. The predictors selected for the nomogram of pneumothorax were emphysema (hazard ratio [HR], 6.543; p < .001), history of lung ablation (HR, 7.841; p= .025), number of pleural punctures (HR, 1.416; p < .050), ablation zone encompassing pleura (HR, 10.225; p < .001) and pulmonary fissure traversed by needle (HR, 10.776; p < .001). The C-statistics showed good predictive performance in the training and validation cohorts (0.792 and 0.832, respectively). Another nomogram for delayed pneumothorax was developed based on emphysema (HR, 2.952; p= .005), ablation zone encompassing pleura (HR, 4.915; p < .001) and pulmonary fissure traversed by needle (HR, 4.348; p = .015). The C-statistics showed good predictive performance in the training cohort, and it had efficacy for prediction in the validation cohort (0.719 and 0.689, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The nomograms could effectively predict the risk of pneumothorax and delayed pneumothorax after MWA.

Risk prediction of pleural effusion in lung malignancy patients treated with CT-guided percutaneous microwave ablation: a nomogram and artificial neural network model.

OBJECTIVES: To develop an effective nomogram and artificial neural network (ANN) model for predicting pleural effusion after percutaneous microwave ablation (MWA) in lung malignancy (LM) patients. METHODS: LM patients treated with MWA were randomly allocated to either the training cohort or the validation cohort (7:3). The predictors of pleural effusion identified by univariable and multivariable analyses in the training cohort were used to develop a nomogram and ANN model. The C-statistic was used to evaluate the predictive accuracy in both the training and validation cohorts. RESULTS: A total of 496 patients (training cohort: n = 357; validation cohort: n = 139) were enrolled in this study. The predictors selected into the nomogram for pleural effusion included the maximum power (hazard ratio [HR], 1.060; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.022-1.100, p = 0.002), the number of pleural punctures (HR, 2.280; 95% CI, 1.103-4.722; p = 0.026) and the minimum distance from needle to pleura (HR, 0.840; 95% CI, 0.775-0.899; p < 0.001). The C-statistic showed good predictive performance in both cohorts, with a C-statistic of 0.866 (95% CI, 0.787-0.945) internally and 0.782 (95% CI, 0.644-0.920) externally (training cohort and validation cohort, respectively). The optimal cutoff value for the risk of pleural effusion was 0.16. CONCLUSIONS: Maximum power, number of pleural punctures and minimum distance from needle to pleura were predictors of pleural effusion after MWA in LM patients. The nomogram and ANN model could effectively predict the risk of pleural effusion after MWA. Patients showing a high risk (>0.16) on the nomogram should be monitored for pleural effusion.

Local progression after computed tomography-guided microwave ablation in non-small cell lung cancer patients: prediction using a nomogram model.

OBJECTIVES: To develop an effective nomogram model for predicting the local progression after computed tomography-guided microwave ablation (MWA) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. METHODS: NSCLC patients treated with MWA were randomly allocated to either the training cohort or the validation cohort (4:1). The predictors of local progression identified by univariable and multivariable analyses in the training cohort were used to develop a nomogram model. The C-statistic was used to evaluate the predictive accuracy in both the training and validation cohorts. RESULTS: A total of 304 patients (training cohort: n = 250; validation cohort: n = 54) were included in this study. The predictors selected into the nomogram for local progression included the tumor subtypes (odds ratio [OR], 2.494; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.415-4.396, p = 0.002), vessels ≥3 mm in direct contact with tumor (OR, 2.750; 95% CI, 1.263-5.988; p = 0.011), tumor diameter (OR, 2.252; 95% CI, 1.034-4.903; p = 0.041) and location (OR, 2.442; 95% CI, 1.201-4.965; p = 0.014). The C-statistic showed good predictive performance in both cohorts, with a C-statistic of 0.777 (95% CI, 0.707-0.848) internally and 0.712 (95% CI, 0.570-0.855) externally (training cohort and validation cohort, respectively). The optimal cutoff value for the risk of local progression was 0.39. CONCLUSIONS: Tumor subtypes, vessels ≥3 mm in direct contact with the tumor, tumor diameter and location were predictors of local progression after MWA in NSCLC patients. The nomogram model could effectively predict the risk of local progression after MWA. Patients showing a high risk (>0.39) on the nomogram should be monitored for local progression.