A Comparison of Predictive Performances between Old versus New Criteria in a Risk-Based Screening Strategy for Gestational Diabetes Mellitus.

Background: The definition of the high-risk group for gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) defined by the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists was changed from the criteria composed of five historic/demographic factors (old criteria) to the criteria consisting of 11 factors (new criteria) in 2017. To compare the predictive performances between these two sets of criteria. Methods: This is a secondary analysis of a large prospective cohort study of non-diabetic Korean women with singleton pregnancies designed to examine the risk of GDM in women with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Maternal fasting blood was taken at 10 to 14 weeks of gestation and measured for glucose and lipid parameters. GDM was diagnosed by the two-step approach. Results: Among 820 women, 42 (5.1%) were diagnosed with GDM. Using the old criteria, 29.8% (n=244) of women would have been identified as high risk versus 16.0% (n=131) using the new criteria. Of the 42 women who developed GDM, 45.2% (n=19) would have been mislabeled as not high risk by the old criteria versus 50.0% (n=21) using the new criteria (1-sensitivity, 45.2% vs. 50.0%, P>0.05). Among the 778 patients who did not develop GDM, 28.4% (n=221) would have been identified as high risk using the old criteria versus 14.1% (n=110) using the new criteria (1-specificity, 28.4% vs. 14.1%, P<0.001). Conclusion: Compared with the old criteria, use of the new criteria would have decreased the number of patients identified as high risk and thus requiring early GDM screening by half (from 244 [29.8%] to 131 [16.0%]).

Metabolic Biomarkers In Midtrimester Maternal Plasma Can Accurately Predict Adverse Pregnancy Outcome in Patients with SLE.

Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are at increased risk for adverse pregnancy outcome (APO). Accurate prediction of APO is critical to identify, counsel, and manage these high-risk patients. We undertook this study to identify novel biomarkers in mid-trimester maternal plasma to identify pregnant patients with SLE at increased risk of APOs. The study population consisted of pregnant women whose plasma was taken in mid-trimester and available for metabolic signature: (1) SLE and normal pregnancy outcome (Group 1, n = 21); (2) SLE with APO (Group 2, n = 12); and (3) healthy pregnant controls (Group 3, n = 10). Mid-trimester maternal plasma was analyzed for integrative profiles of primary metabolite and phospholipid using gas chromatography time-of-flight mass spectrometry (GC-TOF MS) and liquid chromatography Orbitrap mass spectrometry (LC-Orbitrap MS). For performance comparison and validation, plasma samples were analyzed for sFlt-1/PlGF ratio. In the study population, APO developed in 12 of 33 women with SLE (36%). Metabolite profiling of mid-trimester maternal plasma samples identified a total of 327 metabolites using GC-TOF MS and LC-Orbitrap MS. Partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) showed clear discrimination among the profiles of SLE groups and healthy pregnant controls (Groups 1/2 vs. 3). Moreover, direct comparison between Groups 1 and 2 demonstrated that 4 primary metabolites and 13 lipid molecules were significantly different. Binary logistic regression analysis suggested a potential metabolic biomarker model that could discriminate Groups 1 and 2. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed the best predictability for APO with the combination model of two metabolites (LysoPC C22:5 and tryptophan) with AUC of 0.944, comparable to the AUC of sFlt-1/PlGF (AUC 0.857). In conclusion, metabolic biomarkers in mid-trimester maternal plasma can accurately predict APO in patients with SLE.