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OBJECTIVES: To establish a risk prediction model for in-hospital death in acute stroke patients based on nutritional risk scores. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed including 268 acute stroke patients. The Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS2002) and modified Nutritional Risk in the Critically Ill (mNUTRIC) score were used to evaluate the nutritional status of patients with acute stroke after admission to the neurological intensive care unit (NICU), and laboratory parameters and clinical characteristics were collected. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to screen the risk factors for in-hospital death in acute stroke patients, and a nomogram for predicting death based on the nutritional risk score was established. RESULTS: The mortality of acute stroke in the NICU was 25.8%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the mNUTRIC score, female sex, lymphocyte count, pulmonary infection and mechanical ventilation were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in acute stroke patients (P < 0.001 or 0.05). The above indexes were used to establish a prediction model of the in-hospital death risk for acute stroke patients. The area under the ROC curve, sensitivity, and specificity of the prediction model were 0.891 (95% CI = 0.853-0.928), 82.5%, and 81.7%, respectively. The nomogram was established and then internally validated using bootstrap repeat sampling 2000 times, the C-index was 0.880, and the predicted values of the calibration curve were in agreement with the measured values. CONCLUSION: The mNUTRIC-based nomogram model can be used as a reliable tool to predict the in-hospital mortality risk of acute stroke patients.
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Nomogramas , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Estado Terminal , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/complicaçõesRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Few studies have addressed the effects of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) alleles on different clinical sub-phenotypes in childhood steroid-sensitive nephrotic syndrome (SSNS), including SSNS without recurrence (SSNSWR) and steroid-dependent nephrotic syndrome/frequently relapse nephrotic syndrome (SDNS/FRNS). In this study, we investigated the relationship between HLA system and children with SSNSWR and SDNS/FRNS and clarified the value of HLA allele detection for precise typing of childhood SSNS. METHODS: A total of 241 Chinese Han individuals with SSNS were genotyped using GenCap-WES Capture Kit, and four-digit resolution HLA alleles were imputed from available Genome Wide Association data. The distribution and carrying frequency of HLA alleles in SSNSWR and SDNS/FRNS were investigated. Additionally, logistic regression and mediating effects were used to examine the relationship between risk factors for disease process and HLA system. RESULTS: Compared with SSNSWR, significantly decreased serum levels of complement 3 (C3) and complement 4 (C4) at onset were detected in SDNS/FRNS (C3, P < 0.001; C4, P = 0.018). The average time to remission after sufficient initial steroid treatment in SDNS/FRNS was significantly longer than that in SSNSWR (P = 0.0001). Low level of C4 was further identified as an independent risk factor for SDNS/FRNS (P = 0.008, odds ratio = 0.174, 95% confidence interval 0.048-0.630). The HLA-A*11:01 allele was independently associated with SSNSWR and SDNS/FRNS (P = 0.0012 and P = 0.0006, respectively). No significant HLA alleles were detected between SSNSWR and SDNS/FRNS. In addition, a mediating effect among HLA-I alleles (HLA-B*15:11, HLA-B*44:03 and HLA-C*07:06), C4 level and SDNS/FRNS was identified. CONCLUSIONS: HLA-I alleles provide novel genetic markers for SSNSWR and SDNS/FRNS. HLA-I antigens may be involved in steroid dependent or frequent relapse in children with SSNS as mediators of immunoregulation.
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Síndrome Nefrótica , Alelos , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Humanos , Síndrome Nefrótica/diagnóstico , Síndrome Nefrótica/tratamento farmacológico , Síndrome Nefrótica/genética , Fenótipo , Recidiva , Esteroides/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
We aimed to explore the associations between the age at which children undergo surgery for hypospadias and a range of social and clinical factors in a single center. Our aim was to promote the early surgical treatment of children with hypospadias. For a 6-year period, social and clinical data were collected from all children undergoing surgery to repair hypospadias in Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University (Chongqing, China), located in southwest of China. We analyzed the correlations between age at surgery and a range of social and clinical factors. A total of 1611 eligible cases were recruited, with a mean age of 54.3 months and a median age of 42 months: 234 cases (14.5%) were classified into a "timely operation" group, 419 (26.0%) cases into a "subtimely operation" group, and 958 (59.5%) cases into a "delayed operation" group. According to multivariate regression analyses, the higher the regional economic level, the closer the urethral opening to the perineum, and the higher the educational level of the guardians was, the younger the children were when they underwent the initial surgery for hypospadias; this was also the case for families without other children. Our subgroup analysis showed that the primary educational level of the guardians was a risk factor for subtimely surgery in their children (odds ratio [OR] = 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-2.15, P < 0.05). A lower regional economic level (OR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.26-2.78, P < 0.01), a lower educational level of the guardians (OR = 3.84, 95% CI: 2.31-6.41, P < 0.01), and an anterior-segment urethral opening (OR1 [vs middle hypospadias] = 2.07, 95% CI: 1.42-3.03; OR2 [vs posterior hypospadias] = 2.63, 95% CI: 1.75-3.95; P < 0.01) were all risk factors for delayed surgery in children.
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Fatores Etários , Hipospadia/terapia , Tempo para o Tratamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China , Humanos , Hipospadia/classificação , Lactente , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an emerging, rapidly evolving disease that spreads through the respiratory system and is highly contagious. In March 2020, the World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 outbreak a pandemic. In China, the pandemic was controlled after 2 mo through effective policies and containment measures. Describing the detailed policies and containment measures used to control the epidemic in Chongqing will provide a reference for the prevention and control of COVID-19 in other areas of the world. AIM: To explore the effects of different policies and containment measures on the control of the COVID-19 epidemic in Chongqing. METHODS: Epidemiological data on COVID-19 in Chongqing were prospectively collected from January 21 to March 15, 2020. The policies and prevention measures implemented by the government during the epidemic period were also collected. Trend analysis was performed to explore the impact of the main policy measures on the effectiveness of the control of COVID-19 in Chongqing. RESULTS: As of March 15, the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in Chongqing was 1.84/100000 (576 cases) and the infection fatality rate was 1.04% (6/576). The spread of COVID-19 was controlled by effective policies that involved establishing a group for directing the COVID-19 epidemic control effort; strengthening guidance and supervision; ensuring the supply of daily necessities and medical supplies and equipment to residents; setting up designated hospitals; implementing legal measures; and enhancing health education. Medical techniques were implemented to improve the recovery rate and control the epidemic. Policies such as "the lockdown of Wuhan", "initiating a first-level response to major public health emergencies", and "implementing the closed management of residential communities" significantly curbed the spread of COVID-19. Optimizing the diagnosis process, shortening the diagnosis time, and constructing teams of clinical experts facilitated the provision of "one team of medical experts for each patient" treatment for severe patients, which significantly improved the recovery rate and reduced the infection fatality rate. CONCLUSION: The prevention policies and containment measures implemented by the government and medical institutions are highly effective in controlling the spread of the epidemic and increasing the recovery rate of COVID-19 patients.
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PURPOSE: We hypothesize delayed perihematomal edema (DHE) leads to secondary injury after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) with a poor prognosis. Hence, we need to investigate the risk factors of DHE and identify whether DHE will predict the poor outcome of sICH. METHODS: We retrospectively recruited 121 patients with sICH admitted to the Department of Neurology from January 2014 to August 2018. After dividing all these patients into DHE group and non-DHE group, we analyzed the potential risk factors and outcome of DHE using a multivariate logistic regression model. RESULTS: We conclude DHE after sICH associates with age, hospitalization time, hematoma shape, blood pressure upon admission, alcohol consumption, blood sodium level, and baseline hematoma volume within 24 hours after symptom onset, among which differences were statistically significant (P < .05). Logistic regression analysis finally identified that age (OR = 0.958, 95% CI = 0.923-0.995) and the baseline hematoma volume (OR = 1.161, 95% CI = 1.089-1.238) were the most significant risk factors for DHE, and moreover, the DHE (OR = 3.062, 95% CI = 1.196-7.839) was also a risk factor for poor prognosis in sICH patients. CONCLUSION: We suggest DHE is a clinical predictor of secondary injury following sICH and poor prognosis. In addition, age and baseline hematoma volume are considered significant high-risk factors for DHE in patients with sICH.