Reactive Vasodilation Predicts Mortality in Primary Systemic Light-Chain Amyloidosis.

Rationale: Cardiac involvement and hypotension dominate the prognosis of light-chain amyloidosis (AL). Evidence suggests that there is also peripheral vascular involvement in AL but its prognostic significance is unknown. Objective: To evaluate vascular dysfunction in patients with AL as a potential future area of intervention, we assessed the prognostic utility of flow-mediated dilatation (FMD), a marker of vascular reactivity, which is augmented under conditions of hypotension and autonomic dysfunction. Methods and Results: We prospectively evaluated 115 newly diagnosed untreated AL patients in whom FMD was measured. FMD in AL patients was significantly higher than age-, sex- and risk factors-matched controls (4.0% versus 2.32%; P=0.006) and comparable with control groups at lower cardiovascular risk (P>0.1). Amyloidosis patients presented increased plasma and exhaled markers of the NO pathway while their FMD significantly correlated with augmented sustained vasodilatation after sympathetic stimulation. Increased FMD (≥4.5%) was associated with early mortality (hazard ratio, 4.36; 95% CI, 1.41-13.5; P=0.010) and worse survival (hazard ratio, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.17-3.82; P=0.013), even after adjustment for Mayo stage, nerve involvement and low systolic blood pressure. This finding was confirmed in a temporal validation AL cohort (n=55; hazard ratio, 4.2; 95% CI, 1.45-12.3; P=0.008). FMD provided significant reclassification value over the best prognostic model (continuous Net Reclassification Index, 0.61; P=0.001). Finally, better hematologic response was associated with lower posttreatment FMD. Conclusions: FMD is relatively increased in AL and independently associated with inferior survival with substantial reclassification value. Reactive vasodilation merits further investigation as a novel risk biomarker in AL.Visual Overview: An online visual overview is available for this article.

Opportunistic screening for hypertension in the general population in Greece: International Society of Hypertension May Measurement Month 2019.

Hypertension remains a major public health issue with inadequate control worldwide. The May Measurement Month (MMM) initiative by the International Society of Hypertension was implemented in Greece in 2019 aiming to raise hypertension awareness and control. Adult volunteers (≥18 years) were recruited through opportunistic screening in five urban areas. Information on medical history and triplicate sitting blood pressure (BP) measurements were obtained using validated automated upper-arm devices. Hypertension was defined as systolic BP ≥140 mmHg and/or diastolic ≥90 mmHg, and/or self-reported use of drugs for hypertension. A total of 5727 were analysed [mean age 52.7 (SD 16.6) years, men 46.5%, 88.3% had BP measurement in the last 18 months]. The prevalence of hypertension was (41.6%) and was higher in men and in older individuals. Among individuals with hypertension, 78.7% were diagnosed, 73.1% treated, and 48.3% controlled. Awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension were higher in women and in older individuals. Hypertensives had a higher body mass index (BMI) and were more likely to have diabetes, myocardial infarction and stroke, and less likely to smoke than normotensives (all P < 0.001). Among treated hypertensives, 65.1% were on monotherapy, and with increasing number of antihypertensive drugs the BP levels were higher and hypertension control rates lower. The prevalence of hypertension in Greece is high, with considerable potential for improving awareness, treatment, and control. Screening programmes, such as MMM, need to be widely implemented at the population level, together with training programmes for healthcare professionals aiming to optimise management and control.

Machine-Learning-Derived Model for the Stratification of Cardiovascular risk in Patients with Ischemic Stroke.

Background Stratification of cardiovascular risk in patients with ischemic stroke is important as it may inform management strategies. We aimed to develop a machine-learning-derived prognostic model for the prediction of cardiovascular risk in ischemic stroke patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Two prospective stroke registries with consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients were used as training/validation and test datasets. The outcome assessed was major adverse cardiovascular event, defined as non-fatal stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death during 2-year follow-up. The variables selection was performed with the LASSO technique. The algorithms XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting), Random Forest and Support Vector Machines were selected according to their performance. The evaluation of the classifier was performed by bootstrapping the dataset 1000 times and performing cross-validation by splitting in 60% for the training samples and 40% for the validation samples. RESULTS: The model included age, gender, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, peripheral artery disease, arterial hypertension, statin treatment before stroke onset, prior anticoagulant treatment (in case of atrial fibrillation), creatinine, cervical artery stenosis, anticoagulant treatment at discharge (in case of atrial fibrillation), and statin treatment at discharge. The best accuracy was measured by the XGBoost classifier. In the validation dataset, the area under the curve was 0.648 (95%CI:0.619-0.675) and the balanced accuracy was 0.58 ± 0.14. In the test dataset, the corresponding values were 0.59 and 0.576. CONCLUSIONS: We propose an externally validated machine-learning-derived model which includes readily available parameters and can be used for the estimation of cardiovascular risk in ischemic stroke patients.

Carotid Atherosclerosis and Patent Foramen Ovale in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source.

BACKGROUND: Carotid atherosclerosis and likely pathogenic patent foramen ovale (PFO) are two potential embolic sources in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). The relationship between these two mechanisms among ESUS patients remains unclear. AIM: To investigate the relation between carotid atherosclerosis and likely pathogenic PFO in patients with ESUS. We hypothesized that ipsilateral carotid atherosclerotic plaques are less prevalent in ESUS with likely pathogenic PFO compared to patients with likely incidental PFO or without PFO. METHODS: The presence of PFO was assessed with transthoracic echocardiography with microbubble test and, when deemed necessary, through trans-oesophageal echocardiography. The presence of PFO was considered as likely incidental if the RoPE (Risk of Paradoxical Embolism) score was 0-6 and likely pathogenic if 7-10. RESULTS: Among 374 ESUS patients (median age: 61years, 40.4% women), there were 63 (49.6%) with likely incidental PFO, 64 (50.4%) with likely pathogenic PFO and 165 (44.1%) with ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis. The prevalence of ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis was lower in patients with likely pathogenic PFO (7.8%) compared to patients with likely incidental PFO (46.0%) or patients without PFO (53.0%) (p<0.001). After adjustment for multiple confounders, the prevalence of ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis remained lower in patients with likely pathogenic PFO compared to patients with likely incidental PFO or without PFO (adjusted OR=0.32, 95%CI:0.104-0.994, p=0.049). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of carotid atherosclerosis is inversely related to the presence of likely pathogenic PFO in patients with ESUS.

External Performance of the HAVOC Score for the Prediction of New Incident Atrial Fibrillation.

Background and Purpose- The HAVOC score (hypertension, age, valvular heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, obesity, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease) was proposed for the prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) after cryptogenic stroke. It showed good model discrimination (area under the curve, 0.77). Only 2.5% of patients with a low-risk HAVOC score (ie, 0-4) were diagnosed with new incident AF. We aimed to assess its performance in an external cohort of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. Methods- In the AF-embolic stroke of undetermined source dataset, we assessed the discriminatory power, calibration, specificity, negative predictive value, and accuracy of the HAVOC score to predict new incident AF. Patients with a HAVOC score of 0 to 4 were considered as low-risk, as proposed in its original publication. Results- In 658 embolic stroke of undetermined source patients (median age, 67 years; 44% women), the median HAVOC score was 2 (interquartile range, 3). There were 540 (82%) patients with a HAVOC score of 0 to 4 and 118 (18%) with a score of ≥5. New incident AF was diagnosed in 95 (14.4%) patients (28.8% among patients with HAVOC score ≥5 and 11.3% among patients with HAVOC score 0-4 [age- and sex-adjusted odds ratio, 2.29 (95% CI, 1.37-3.82)]). The specificity of low-risk HAVOC score to identify patients without new incident AF was 88.7%. The negative predictive value of low-risk HAVOC score was 85.1%. The accuracy was 78.0%, and the area under the curve was 68.7% (95% CI, 62.1%-73.3%). Conclusions- The previously reported low rate of AF among embolic stroke of undetermined source patients with low-risk HAVOC score was not confirmed in our cohort. Further assessment of the HAVOC score is warranted before it is routinely implemented in clinical practice.

Lateralization of Insular Ischemic Stroke is Not Associated With Any Stroke Clinical Outcomes: The Athens Stroke Registry.

BACKGROUND: Controversial evidence suggests that right insular stroke may be associated with worse outcomes compared to the left insular ischemic lesion. OBJECTIVES: We investigated whether lateralization of insular stroke is associated with early and late outcome in terms of in-hospital complications, stroke recurrence, cardiovascular events, and death. METHODS: Data were prospectively collected from the Athens Stroke Registry. Insular cortex involvement was identified based on brain CT scans or MRI images. Patients were followed up prospectively at 1, 3, 6 months after hospital discharge and yearly thereafter up to 5-years or until death. The assessed outcomes were in-hospital complications, functional outcome assessed by the modified Rankin Scale, stroke recurrence, cardiovascular events, and death. Cox-regression analysis was performed to estimate the cumulative probability of each outcome according to the lateralization of insular strokes. RESULTS: Among the 1212 patients, 650 had left insular stroke involvement and 562 had right. New onset of in-hospital atrial fibrillation was similar between right and left insular strokes (11.6% versus 12.9%, P = .484). During the 5-year follow-up sudden death occurred in 21 (3.7%) patients with right insular compared to 30 (4.6%) with left insular stroke (P = .476). There was no difference between left and right insular strokes regarding mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: .92, 95% confidence interval [CI]: .80-1.06), stroke recurrence (4.3% versus 4.9%; adjusted OR: .81 95% CI: .58-1.13), cardiovascular events, and sudden death (adjusted OR: .99, 95% CI: .76-1.29) and on death and dependency (adjusted OR: .88, 95% CI: .75-1.02) during a 5-year follow up. CONCLUSIONS: Lateralization of insular ischemic stroke involvement is not associated with stroke outcomes.

Supraventricular Extrasystoles on Standard 12-lead Electrocardiogram Predict New Incident Atrial Fibrillation after Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: The AF-ESUS Study.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of covert atrial fibrillation (AF) remains a major challenge to guide secondary prevention of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). AIMS: We analyzed consecutive ESUS patients from 3 prospective stroke registries to assess whether the presence of supraventricular extrasystoles (SVE) on standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with the detection of AF (primary outcome), stroke recurrence and death (secondary outcomes) during follow-up. METHODS: We measured the number of SVEs in all available ECGs of patients hospitalized for ESUS. Multivariate stepwise regression with forward selection of covariates assessed the association between SVE (classified in 4 groups according to their number per 10 seconds of ECG: no SVE, >0-1SVEs, >1-2SVEs, and >2SVEs) and outcomes during follow-up. The Kaplan-Meier product limit method estimated the 10-year cumulative probabilities of outcomes in each SVE group. We calculated the negative prognostic value (NPV) of the presence of any SVE to predict new AF, defined as the probability that AF will not be detected during follow-up if there is no SVE. RESULTS: Among 853 ESUS patients followed for 2857 patient-years (median age: 67 years, 43.0% women), 226 (26.5%) patients had at least 1 SVE at the standard 12-lead ECGs performed during hospitalization. AF was detected in 125 (14.7%) of patients in the overall population during follow-up: 8.9%, 22.5%, 28.1%, and 48.3% in patients with no SVE, greater than 0-1SVE, greater than 1-2SVE and greater than 2SVE respectively. In multivariate regression analysis, compared to patients with no SVEs, the corresponding hazard-ratios were 1.80 [95% confidence intervals (95%CI):1.06-3.05], 2.26 (95%CI:1.28-4.01) and 3.19 (95%CI:1.93-5.27). The NPV of the presence of any SVE for the prediction of new AF was 91.4%. There was no statistically significant association of SVE with the risk of ischemic stroke recurrence and death. CONCLUSIONS: In ESUS patients without SVEs during hospitalization, the probability that AF will not be detected during a follow-up of 3.4 years is more than 91%.

Comparison of Risk Scores for the Prediction of the Overall Cardiovascular Risk in Patients with Ischemic Stroke: The Athens Stroke Registry.

BACKGROUND: Stratification of overall vascular risk in patients with ischemic stroke is important as it may guide management decisions. Currently available schemes have only modest prognostic accuracy. The TRA2°P score aids in vascular risk stratification in patients with previous myocardial infarction (MI). AIM: We investigated whether the prognostic performance of TRA2°P can be extended in patients with ischemic stroke and whether it can improve the risk stratification made by CHA2DS2VASc and Essen-Stroke-Risk-Score (ESRS). METHODS: We analyzed the Athens Stroke Registry using Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox-regression analyses to assess if TRA2°P (in different categorizations) predicts the composite endpoint of stroke recurrence, MI or cardiovascular death. We compared its incremental predictive value over CHA2DS2-VASc and ESRS and calculated continuous net reclassification indices (cNRI). RESULTS: In 2833 patients (followed for 9278 patient-years) and 776 events, there was decreased survival probability for TRA2°P-based high-risk patients compared to low-risk (log-rank-test P < .001), but the discriminatory power for the occurrence of the composite endpoint was only modest (Harrell's-C:.566, 95% CI:.545-.587). Combined with ESRS, TRA2°P conferred incremental discrimination (Harrell's-C:.544, 95% CI:.513-.574 versus .574, 95% CI:.543-.605 respectively, P = .049) and reclassification value (cNRI = 9.8%, P = .02). Combined with CHA2DS2-VASc, TRA2°P did not improve discrimination (Harell's-C:.578, 95% CI: .547-.608 versus .585, 95% CI:.554-.616, P = .738). CONCLUSION: The currently available prognostic scores have generally low performance to predict the overall cardiovascular risk in ischemic stroke patients. Further research is needed to improve vascular risk stratification in ischemic stroke patients.

Renal Function and Risk Stratification of Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source.

Background and Purpose- We aimed to assess if renal function can aid in risk stratification for ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) recurrence and death in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Methods- We pooled 12 ESUS datasets from Europe and America. Renal function was evaluated using the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and analyzed in continuous, binary, and categorical way. Cox-regression analyses assessed if renal function was independently associated with the risk for ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence and death. The Kaplan-Meier product limit method estimated the cumulative probability of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence and death. Results- In 1530 patients with ESUS followed for 3260 patient-years, there were 237 recurrences (15.9%) and 201 deaths (13.4%), corresponding to 7.3 ischemic stroke/TIA recurrences and 5.6 deaths per 100 patient-years, respectively. Renal function was not associated with the risk for ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence when forced into the final multivariate model, regardless if it was analyzed as continuous (hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.99-1.00 for every 1 mL/min), binary (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.87-1.73) or categorical covariate (likelihood-ratio test 2.59, P=0.63 for stroke recurrence). The probability of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence across stages of renal function was 11.9% for eGFR ≥90, 16.6% for eGFR 60-89, 21.7% for eGFR 45-59, 19.2% for eGFR 30-44, and 24.9% for eGFR <30 (likelihood-ratio test 2.59, P=0.63). The results were similar for the outcome of death. Conclusions- The present study is the largest pooled individual patient-level ESUS dataset, and does not provide evidence that renal function can be used to stratify the risk of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence or death in patients with ESUS.

Clinical and prognostic significance of serum levels of von Willebrand factor and ADAMTS-13 antigens in AL amyloidosis.

Cardiac dysfunction determines prognosis in amyloid light-chain (AL) amyloidosis. The heart is the central organ of the vascular system in which endothelium function is critical for the circulatory homeostasis, but there are limited data on endothelial function in AL amyloidosis. von Willebrand factor (VWF) has been considered as a marker of endothelial activation and dysfunction, whereas a disintegrin and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin type-1 repeats 13 (ADAMTS-13) cleaves VWF multimers, but both have been associated with prognosis in cardiovascular disease. We measured the serum levels of VWF (VWF:Ag) and ADAMTS-13 antigens in 111 newly diagnosed patients with AL amyloidosis. The levels of VWF:Ag were significantly higher than in healthy controls; 76% of patients with AL had VWF:Ag levels higher than the upper levels of controls. There was no significant association of VWF:Ag levels with patterns of organ involvement, free light-chain levels, the levels of cardiac biomarkers, or renal dysfunction but correlated with low systolic blood pressure. VWF:Ag levels ≥230.0 U/dL were associated with higher probability of early death and poor survival independently of cardiac biomarkers and low systolic blood pressure (SBP). Moreover, among patients with Mayo stage III or stage IIIB (that is stage III with N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide [NTproBNP] >8500 pg/mL) disease, VWF:Ag identified subgroups of patients with very poor outcome. Low ADAMTS-13 levels correlated with high levels of NTproBNP but had no independent prognostic significance. In conclusion, high VWF:Ag levels, probably representing endothelial dysfunction, are associated with prognosis in patients with AL amyloidosis, independently of other features of the disease or cardiac biomarkers.

A functional supervised learning approach to the study of blood pressure data.

In this work, a functional supervised learning scheme is proposed for the classification of subjects into normotensive and hypertensive groups, using solely the 24-hour blood pressure data, relying on the concepts of Fréchet mean and Fréchet variance for appropriate deformable functional models for the blood pressure data. The schemes are trained on real clinical data, and their performance was assessed and found to be very satisfactory.

Muscle microcirculation alterations and relation to dipping status in newly diagnosed untreated patients with arterial hypertension-A pilot study.

OBJECTIVE: The importance of abnormalities observed in the microcirculation of patients with arterial hypertension (AH) is being increasingly recognized. The authors aimed to evaluate skeletal muscle microcirculation in untreated, newly diagnosed hypertensive patients with NIRS, a noninvasive method that evaluates microcirculation. METHODS: We evaluated 34 subjects, 17 patients with AH (13 males, 49±13 years, BMI: 26±2 kg/m2 ) and 17 healthy controls (12 males, 49±15 years, BMI: 25±3 kg/m2 ). The thenar muscle StO2 (%) was measured by NIRS before, during and after 3-minutes vascular occlusion to calculate OCR (%/min), EF (%/min), and RHT (minute). The dipping status of hypertensive patients was assessed. RESULTS: The RHT differed between AH patients and healthy subjects (2.6±0.3 vs 2.1±0.3 minutes, P<.001). Dippers had higher EF than nondippers (939±280 vs 710±164%/min, P=.05). CONCLUSIONS: The study suggests an impaired muscle microcirculation in newly diagnosed, untreated AH patients.

Aspirin Versus Clopidogrel for Type 2 Diabetic Patients with First-Ever Noncardioembolic Acute Ischemic Stroke: Ten-Year Survival Data from the Athens Stroke Outcome Project.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Diabetes mellitus is associated with an increased risk of stroke and poor outcome following a stroke event. We assessed the impact of discharge treatment with aspirin versus clopidogrel on the 10-year survival of patients with type 2 diabetes after a first-ever noncardioembolic acute ischemic stroke (AIS). METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis of the Athens Stroke Outcome Project. Study outcomes included death, stroke recurrence, and a composite cardiovascular disease (CVD) end point (recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, coronary revascularization, aortic aneurysm rupture, or sudden death). Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: A total of 304 (93 women) diabetic patients receiving either aspirin (n = 197) or clopidogrel (n = 107) were studied. The 10-year survival was better in clopidogrel-treated patients than in aspirin-treated patients (19 deaths [17.7%] for clopidogrel versus 55 deaths [27.9%] for aspirin; log-rank test: 4.91, P = .027). Similarly, clopidogrel was associated with a favorable impact on recurrent stroke (12 events [11.2%] for clopidogrel versus 39 events [19.7%] for aspirin; log-rank test: 4.46, P = .035) and on the composite CVD end point (21 events [19.6%] for clopidogrel versus 54 events [27.4%] for aspirin; log-rank test: 4.17, P = .041). In the multivariable analysis, the beneficial effect of clopidogrel over aspirin on both primary and secondary end points was independent of age, gender, the presence of CVD or CVD risk factors, and stroke severity. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate a favorable effect of clopidogrel at discharge compared with aspirin in preventing death, recurrent stroke, and CVD events in diabetic patients with a first-ever noncardioembolic AIS.

Risk Stratification for Recurrence and Mortality in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The risk of stroke recurrence in patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) is high, and the optimal antithrombotic strategy for secondary prevention is unclear. We investigated whether congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, and stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA; CHADS2) and CHA2DS2-VASc scores can stratify the long-term risk of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence and death in ESUS. METHODS: We pooled data sets of 11 stroke registries from Europe and America. ESUS was defined according to the Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International Working Group. Cox regression analyses were performed to investigate if prestroke CHADS2 and congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke or TIA, vascular disease, age 65-74 years, sex category (CHA2DS2-VASc) scores were independently associated with the risk of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence or death. The Kaplan-Meier product limit method was used to estimate the cumulative probability of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence and death in different strata of the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. RESULTS: One hundred fifty-nine (5.6% per year) ischemic stroke/TIA recurrences and 148 (5.2% per year) deaths occurred in 1095 patients (median age, 68 years) followed-up for a median of 31 months. Compared with CHADS2 score 0, patients with CHADS2 score 1 and CHADS2 score >1 had higher risk of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence (hazard ratio [HR], 2.38; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41-4.00 and HR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.68-4.40, respectively) and death (HR, 3.58; 95% CI, 1.80-7.12, and HR, 5.45; 95% CI, 2.86-10.40, respectively). Compared with low-risk CHA2DS2-VASc score, patients with high-risk CHA2DS2-VASc score had higher risk of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence (HR, 3.35; 95% CI, 1.94-5.80) and death (HR, 13.0; 95% CI, 4.7-35.4). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of recurrent ischemic stroke/TIA and death in ESUS is reliably stratified by CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Compared with the low-risk group, patients in the high-risk CHA2DS2-VASc group have much higher risk of ischemic stroke recurrence/TIA and death, approximately 3-fold and 13-fold, respectively.

Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source and Detection of Atrial Fibrillation on Follow-Up: How Much Causality Is There?

BACKGROUND: There is increasing debate whether atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes during follow-up in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) are causally associated with the event. AF-related strokes are more severe than strokes of other etiologies. In this context, we aimed to compare stroke severity between ESUS patients diagnosed with AF during follow-up and those who were not. We hypothesized that, if AF episodes detected during follow-up are indeed causally associated with the index event, stroke severity in the AF group should be higher than the non-AF group. METHODS: Dataset was derived from the Athens Stroke Registry. ESUS was defined by the Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International-Working-Group criteria. Stroke severity was assessed by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score. Cumulative probabilities of recurrent stroke or peripheral embolism in the AF and non-AF ESUS groups were estimated by Kaplan-Meier analyses. RESULTS: Among 275 ESUS patients, AF was detected during follow-up in 80 (29.1%), either during repeated electrocardiogram monitoring (18.2%) or during hospitalization for stroke recurrence (10.9%). NIHSS score was similar between the two groups (5 [2-13] versus 5 [2-14], P = .998). More recurrent strokes or peripheral embolisms occurred in the AF group compared with the non-AF group (42.5% versus 13.3%, P = .001). CONCLUSIONS: Stroke severity is similar between ESUS patients who were diagnosed with AF during follow-up and those who were not. Given that AF-related strokes are more severe than strokes of other etiologies, this finding challenges the assumption that the association between ESUS and AF detected during follow-up is as frequently causal as regarded.

Embolic strokes of undetermined source in the Athens stroke registry: a descriptive analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: A new clinical construct termed embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) was recently introduced, but no such population has been described yet. Our aim is to provide a detailed descriptive analysis of an ESUS population derived from a large prospective ischemic stroke registry using the proposed diagnostic criteria. METHODS: The criteria proposed by the Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International Working Group were applied to the Athens Stroke Registry to identify all ESUS patients. ESUS was defined as a radiologically confirmed nonlacunar brain infarct in the absence of (a) extracranial or intracranial atherosclerosis causing ≥50% luminal stenosis in arteries supplying the ischemic area, (b) major-risk cardioembolic source, and (c) any other specific cause of stroke. RESULTS: Among 2735 patients admitted between 1992 and 2011, 275 (10.0%) were classified as ESUS. In the majority of ESUS (74.2%), symptoms were maximal at onset. ESUS were of moderate severity (median National Institute Health Stroke Scale score, 5). The most prevalent risk factor was arterial hypertension (64.7%), and 50.9% of patients were dyslipidemic. Among potential causes of the ESUS, covert atrial fibrillation (AF) was the most prevalent: in 30 (10.9%) patients, AF was diagnosed during hospitalization for stroke recurrence, whereas in 50 (18.2%) patients AF was detected after repeated ECG monitoring during follow-up. Also, covert AF was strongly suggested in 38 patients (13.8%) but never recorded. CONCLUSIONS: About 10% of patients with first-ever ischemic stroke met criteria for ESUS; covert paroxysmal AF seems to be a frequent cause of ESUS.

Embolic Strokes of Undetermined Source in the Athens Stroke Registry: An Outcome Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Information about outcomes in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) patients is unavailable. This study provides a detailed analysis of outcomes of a large ESUS population. METHODS: Data set was derived from the Athens Stroke Registry. ESUS was defined according to the Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International Working Group criteria. End points were mortality, stroke recurrence, functional outcome, and a composite cardiovascular end point comprising recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, aortic aneurysm rupture, systemic embolism, or sudden cardiac death. We performed Kaplan-Meier analyses to estimate cumulative probabilities of outcomes by stroke type and Cox-regression to investigate whether stroke type was outcome predictor. RESULTS: 2731 patients were followed-up for a mean of 30.5±24.1months. There were 73 (26.5%) deaths, 60 (21.8%) recurrences, and 78 (28.4%) composite cardiovascular end points in the 275 ESUS patients. The cumulative probability of survival in ESUS was 65.6% (95% confidence intervals [CI], 58.9%-72.2%), significantly higher compared with cardioembolic stroke (38.8%, 95% CI, 34.9%-42.7%). The cumulative probability of stroke recurrence in ESUS was 29.0% (95% CI, 22.3%-35.7%), similar to cardioembolic strokes (26.8%, 95% CI, 22.1%-31.5%), but significantly higher compared with all types of noncardioembolic stroke. One hundred seventy-two (62.5%) ESUS patients had favorable functional outcome compared with 280 (32.2%) in cardioembolic and 303 (60.9%) in large-artery atherosclerotic. ESUS patients had similar risk of composite cardiovascular end point as all other stroke types, with the exception of lacunar strokes, which had significantly lower risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.52-0.94]). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term mortality risk in ESUS is lower compared with cardioembolic strokes, despite similar rates of recurrence and composite cardiovascular end point. Recurrent stroke risk is higher in ESUS than in noncardioembolic strokes.

The Pathophysiological Mechanism Is an Independent Predictor of Long-Term Outcome in Stroke Patients with Large Vessel Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Etiopathological mechanisms underlying ischemic stroke play a crucial role in long-term prognosis. We aimed to investigate the association between the mechanism of stroke due to large vessel disease, and long-term outcome. METHODS: All consecutive patients registered in the Athens Stroke Registry with atherosclerotic stroke between 1993 and 2010 were included in the analysis. The patients were subdivided into 3 groups according to the presumed underlying mechanism: low-flow infarcts, artery-to-artery embolism, and intrinsic atherosclerosis. They were followed up for up to 10 years or until death. The end points of the study were 10-year all-cause mortality, stroke recurrence, and composite cardiovascular events. RESULTS: Five hundred two patients were classified as follows: 156 (31%) as low-flow (watershed) strokes, 256 (51%) as artery-to-artery embolic strokes, and 90 (18%) as intrinsic atherosclerotic strokes. The cumulative probability of 10-year mortality rate was similar between groups of patients with different stroke mechanisms: 49.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 38.5-61.3) for patients with low-flow mechanism, 47.6% (95% CI, 39.4-55.8) for patients with artery-to-artery embolism, and 48.5% (95% CI, 34.0-63.0) for patients with intrinsic atherosclerosis. Patients in the intrinsic atherosclerosis group had significantly higher risks of recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 2.1; 95% CI, 1.19-3.73) compared with those in the artery-to-artery embolism group. Moreover, patients in the intrinsic atherosclerosis and low-flow groups had significantly higher risks of composite cardiovascular events compared with those in the artery-to-artery embolism group (adjusted HR = 1.94; 95% CI, 1.26-3.00; and adjusted HR = 1.64; 95% CI, 1.13-2.38, respectively). CONCLUSION: Low-flow and intrinsic atherosclerosis strokes are associated with a high risk for future cardiovascular events and stroke recurrence. However, long-term mortality is similar across different subgroups.

External Validation of the Prestroke Independence, Sex, Age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (ISAN) Score for Predicting Stroke-Associated Pneumonia in the Athens Stroke Registry.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The Prestroke Independence, Sex, Age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (ISAN) score was developed recently for predicting stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP), one of the most common complications after stroke. The aim of the present study was to externally validate the ISAN score. METHODS: Data included in the Athens Stroke Registry between June 1992 and December 2011 were used for this analysis. Inclusion criteria were the availability of all ISAN score variables (prestroke independence, sex, age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score). Receiver operating characteristic curves and linear regression analyses were used to determine the discriminatory power of the score and to assess the correlation between actual and predicted pneumonia in the study population. Separate analyses were performed for patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). RESULTS: The analysis included 3204 patients (AIS: 2732, ICH: 472). The ISAN score demonstrated excellent discrimination in patients with AIS (area under the curve [AUC]: .83 [95% confidence interval {CI}: .81-.85]). In the ICH group, the score was less effective (AUC: .69 [95% CI: .63-.74]). Higher-risk groups of ISAN score were associated with an increased relative risk of SAP; risk increase was more prominent in the AIS population. Predicted pneumonia correlated very well with actual pneumonia (AIS group: R(2) = .885; ß-coefficient = .941, P < .001; ICH group: R(2) = .880, ß-coefficient = .938, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In our external validation in the Athens Stroke Registry cohort, the ISAN score predicted SAP very accurately in AIS patients and demonstrated good discriminatory power in the ICH group. Further validation and assessment of clinical usefulness would strengthen the score's utility further.

Quality Indicators and Clinical Outcomes of Acute Stroke: Results from a Prospective Multicenter Registry in Greece (SUN4P).

AIM: The Stroke Units Necessity for Patients (SUN4P) project aims to provide essential data on stroke healthcare in Greece. Herein, we present results on established quality indicators and outcomes after first-ever stroke occurrences. METHODS: This prospective multicenter study included consecutive patients admitted to nine hospitals across Greece in 2019-2021. Descriptive statistics were used to present patients' characteristics, key performance measures and stroke outcomes. RESULTS: Among 892 patients, 755 had ischemic stroke (IS) (mean age 75.6 ± 13.6, 48.7% males) and 137 had hemorrhagic stroke (HS) (mean age 75.8 ± 13.2, 57.7% males). Of those, 15.4% of IS and 8% of HS patients were treated in the acute stroke unit (ASU) and 20.7% and 33.8% were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) or high-dependency unit (HDU), respectively. A total of 35 (4.6%) out of 125 eligible patients received intravenous alteplase with a door-to needle time of 60 min (21-90). The time to first scan for IS patients was 60 min (31-105) with 53.2% undergoing a CT scan within 60 min post presentation. Furthermore, 94.4% were discharged on antiplatelets, 69.8% on lipid-lowering therapy and 61.6% on antihypertensives. Oral anticoagulants (OAC) were initiated in 73.2% of the 153 IS patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Among the 687 IS patients who survived, 85.4% were discharged home, 12% were transferred to rehabilitation centers, 1.2% to nursing homes and 1.3% to another hospital. CONCLUSIONS: The SUN4P Registry is the first study to provide data from a prospectively collected cohort of consecutive patients from nine representative national hospitals. It represents an important step in the evaluation and improvement of the quality of acute stroke care in Greece.