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1.
Environ Res ; 252(Pt 1): 118803, 2024 Jul 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38565417

RESUMO

Climate change is causing serious damage to natural and social systems, as well as having an impact on human health. Among the direct effects of climate change is the rise in global surface temperatures and the increase in the frequency, duration, intensity and severity of heat waves. In addition, understanding of the adaptation process of the exposed population remains limited, posing a challenge in accurately estimating heat-related morbidity and mortality. In this context, this study seeks to establish a conceptual framework that would make it easier to understand and organise knowledge about human adaptation to heat and the factors that may influence this process. An inductive approach based on grounded theory was used, through the analysis of case studies connecting concepts. The proposed conceptual framework is made up of five components (climate change, vulnerability, health risks of heat, axes of inequality and health outcomes), three heat-adaptation domains (physiological, cultural and political), two levels (individual and social), and the pre-existing before a heat event. The application of this conceptual framework facilitates the assistance of decision-makers in planning and implementing effective adaptation measures. Recognizing the importance of addressing heat adaptation as a health problem that calls for political solutions and social changes. Accordingly, this requires a multidisciplinary approach that would foster the participation and collaboration of multiple actors for the purpose of proposing effective measures to address the health impact of the rise in temperature.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Temperatura Alta , Humanos , Temperatura Alta/efeitos adversos , Adaptação Fisiológica
2.
Rev Esp Enferm Dig ; 2023 Jun 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37314144

RESUMO

Eosinophilic esophagitis is a chronic inflammatory disease characterized by esophageal dysfunction and progression to fibrosis. Its incidence is increasing in our setting with deep regional variations. To corroborate this hypothesis, a longitudinal, retrospective, multicenter observational study was carried out of patients who received a diagnosis of eosinophilic esophagitis from 2008 to 2022 at public hospitals in the province of Zaragoza. The annual incidence rates and mean incidence rate were calculated using the data for the reference population. A total of 104 patients were included. The mean incidence rate was 5.1 cases per 100,000 inhabitants < 15 years old/year (0.75-11.2). In the first five-year period (2008-2012) the rate was 1.2 cases per 100,000 inhabitants/year, compared with a rate of 6 cases per 100,000 inhabitants/year in the second 5-year period (2013-2017), [OR 5,68 (IC 95% 2,55 - 12,67, p < 0,05]; and 8.1 cases per 100,000 inhabitants/year in the third five-year period (2018-2022), [OR 7,74 (IC 95% 3,52 - 16,99, p < 0,05] It is concluded that eosinophilic esophagitis incidence has increased among the child population of Zaragoza over the past 15 years, with a 7-fold higher risk of having the condition in the third five-year period compared with the first one.

3.
Plant Foods Hum Nutr ; 78(2): 426-431, 2023 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37314593

RESUMO

The calyxes of Hibiscus sabdariffa present multiple pharmacological effects primarily attributed to their high anthocyanin content; however, little is known about their phytoestrogenic effect. Ovarian hypofunction (OH) is a process characterized by the rapid detention of the production of ovarian hormones, which compromises reproductive and cognitive functions. Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) efficiently compensates for OH; nevertheless, questions have been raised on its secondary effects and safety. One of the alternatives to tackling OH involves using phytoestrogens such as anthocyanins for their structural similarity to natural estrogens. In a Wistar rat model of ovariectomy (OVX), we recently reported the beneficial properties of an anthocyanin-rich extract prepared from the calyces of H. sabdariffa (HSE) in hindering the adverse effects of OH on memory performance and highlighted a possible phytoestrogenic impact through the modulation of estrogen receptor (ER) expression. We now report that HSE and estradiol differentially affected the expression of ERα and ERß. ERα was more sensitive to HSE; meanwhile, estradiol preferentially modulated ERß. Thus, our study leads to further research on using H. sabdariffa as a nutrition-based alternative to HRT.


Assuntos
Hibiscus , Fitoestrógenos , Ratos , Animais , Feminino , Fitoestrógenos/farmacologia , Ratos Wistar , Receptor alfa de Estrogênio/metabolismo , Antocianinas/farmacologia , Hibiscus/química , Receptor beta de Estrogênio/metabolismo , Estradiol/farmacologia , Extratos Vegetais/farmacologia , Extratos Vegetais/química
4.
Epilepsia ; 63(5): 1266-1275, 2022 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35174498

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Levetiracetam (LEV) is an antiseizure medication prescribed to women during childbearing age. The impact of LEV on placental transporters is poorly understood. This study aimed to assess the effect of LEV exposure on the messenger RNA (mRNA) expression of placental transporters for hormones and nutrients and to correlate their expression with the drug's serum concentration in pregnant mice. METHODS: Studies were conducted on gestational days (GD) 13 and 18, following oral treatment with 100 mg/kg LEV or the vehicle every 24 h after weaning. Serum LEV measurements were performed by High-performance liquid chromatography with a UV detector (HPLC-UV). The weight, height, and width of the fetuses were also analyzed. In addition, the placental expression of transporters xCt, Lat1, Oatp4a1, Fr-α, Rfc, and Snat4 was evaluated through semi-quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). The Kruskal-Wallis and the Mann-Whitney U tests were used to determine the statistical significance (p < .05). The correlation between serum LEV concentration and placental gene expression was evaluated using the Spearman test. RESULTS: The weight, height, and width were lower in the fetuses exposed to LEV compared with the control group (p < .05). The number of fetuses was lower in the LEV-exposed group than in the control GD 13 group (p < .001). No significant differences were detected in the mRNA expression level at GD 13. At GD 18, the expression of Lat1, Oatp4a1, xCT, and Snat4 was higher in the group treated with LEV compared with the control group (p < .05), whereas the expression of Rfc was lower (p < .05). No correlation was identified between serum LEV concentrations and gene expression levels. SIGNIFICANCE: The repression of the Rfc transcript by LEV at GD 18 suggests that the protein expression would be abolished contributing to the observed intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR). Furthermore, the significant increase in mRNA of xCt, Snat4, Oatp4a1, and Lat1 might be a compensatory mechanism for fetal survival at GD 18.


Assuntos
Proteínas de Membrana Transportadoras , Placenta , Animais , Anticonvulsivantes/uso terapêutico , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Feminino , Expressão Gênica , Humanos , Levetiracetam/farmacologia , Proteínas de Membrana Transportadoras/metabolismo , Camundongos , Placenta/metabolismo , Gravidez , RNA Mensageiro/metabolismo
5.
Environ Res ; 214(Pt 1): 113709, 2022 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35779622

RESUMO

Adverse health effects from extreme heat remain a major risk, especially in a changing climate. Several European countries have implemented heat health action plans (HHAPs) to prevent ill health and excess mortality from heat. This paper assesses the state of implementation of HHAPs in the WHO European Region and discusses barriers and successes since the early 2000s. The results are based on a web-based survey among 53 member states on the current national and federal HHAPs in place. Guided by the eight core elements of HHAPs as outlined by the WHO Regional Office for Europe guidance from 2008, we analyzed which elements were fully or partially implemented and which areas of improvement countries identified. HHAP adaptations to account for COVID-19 were sought via literature search and expert consultations. 27 member states provided information, of which 17 countries reported having a HHAP. Five out of eight core elements, namely agreement on a lead body, accurate and timely alert systems, heat-related health information plans, strategies to reduce health exposure, and care for vulnerable groups, were at least partially implemented in all 17 plans. Alert systems were implemented most often at 94%. The least often implemented items were real-time surveillance, long-term urban planning, and preparedness of health and social systems. Five countries had published COVID-19 guidance online. Our findings suggest a progressive improvement in the development and rollout of HHAPs overall and awareness of vulnerable population groups in WHO/Europe, while integration of HHAPs into long-term climate change and health planning remains a challenge.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Planejamento em Saúde , Temperatura Alta , Humanos , Políticas , Estados Unidos , Organização Mundial da Saúde
6.
Nutr Neurosci ; 25(4): 670-680, 2022 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32787648

RESUMO

Ovarian hypofunction is characterized by decay in brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), a neurotrophin associated with cognitive and memory function. Hormone replacement therapy is the most common treatment to counteract the negative effects of ovarian insufficiency; however, this therapy may increase the odds of endometrial cancer, blood clots, stroke, and breast cancer. Therefore, a safer alternative to synthetic estrogens is needed. One possible candidate may be phytoestrogens. Hibiscus sabdariffa L. (Malvaceae) is a source of natural food colorants; the calyces and leaves of the plant are consumed in drinks and culinary preparations and are recognized for several health benefits related to their high content of anthocyanins. In the present study, we used an ovariectomized rat model to assess the phytoestrogenic effect of H. sabdariffa, and evaluated spatial memory and BDNF expression. Ninety-day-old female Wistar rats were randomly separated into six groups. Rats from four groups were ovariectomized and injected with a physiological dose of estradiol, or given, in drinking water, an extract prepared from calyces of H. sabdariffa at doses of 50 or 100 mg/kg body weight. Both Intact and Sham groups were included as controls. At day 42, short- and long-term memories were assessed by the Barnes maze test, and hippocampal BDNF expression was evaluated by RT-qPCR and Western blot. Ovariectomy significantly decreased memory performance and BDNF expression, compared with controls. However, administration of H. sabdariffa extract reversed the negative effect of ovariectomy on short- and long-term memory parameters and BDNF expression. A stronger effect was observed at a lower dose of the extract. In conclusion, the extract from H. sabdariffa acted as a phytoestrogen in ovariectomized rats, improving spatial memory performance and hippocampal BDNF expression. Based on these promising results, further clinical experimentation is recommended to study the benefits of H. sabdariffa as an alternative hormonal therapy in patients with ovarian hypofunction.


Assuntos
Hibiscus , Animais , Antocianinas/farmacologia , Fator Neurotrófico Derivado do Encéfalo/genética , Fator Neurotrófico Derivado do Encéfalo/metabolismo , Feminino , Hibiscus/metabolismo , Hipocampo/metabolismo , Humanos , Extratos Vegetais/metabolismo , Extratos Vegetais/farmacologia , Ratos , Ratos Wistar , Memória Espacial
7.
J Theor Biol ; 508: 110459, 2021 01 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32890554

RESUMO

As a complement to the experimental work, mathematical models are extensively used to study the functional properties of ionic channels. Even though it is generally assumed that the gating of ionic channels is a Markovian phenomenon, reports based on non-traditional analyses of experimental recordings suggest that non-Markovian processes might be also present. While the stochastic Markov models are by far the most adopted approach for the modeling of ionic channels, a model based on the idea of a deterministic process underlying the gating of ionic channels was proposed by Liebovitch and Toth (Liebovitch, L.S. and Toth, T.I., 1991. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 148(2), pp.243-267.) Here, by using a voltage-dependent K+ channel as a first approximation, we propose a modified version of the deterministic model of Liebovitch and Toth that, in addition to reproducing the single-channel currents simulated by a two-states Markov model, it is capable of reproducing the whole-cell currents produced by a population of K+ channels.


Assuntos
Ativação do Canal Iônico , Canais Iônicos
8.
Environ Res ; 196: 110435, 2021 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33197422

RESUMO

Climate change has important population health impacts, and cities are often on the frontlines. However, health is reported to be less active in climate adaptation than other sectors. To contribute to better understanding urban health adaptation efforts and identifying gaps we developed a City Climate Health Adaptation Typology and tested it with adaptation actions of 106 large world cities (population > 1 million) reported to a major publicly-available adaptation database. We found two-thirds of actions of these 'active adapter' cities were health-associated. Half were health information activities (e.g., hazard mapping, early warnings); and nearly one-third addressed climate-relevant health determinants in the urban built environment (e.g., green space). Forty percent of cities were in low- or middle-income countries. Our proposed typology provides a systematic framework for monitoring and comparing city health adaptation actions. Reported city actions are suggestive of increasing depth and breadth of urban health-associated adaptation. However, even among these adaptation-engaged cities, a health adaptation gap was apparent in key climate health services (e.g., mental health), and in climate-related public health governance and capacity building. The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated pressing need for strong public health institutions. We recommend better integration of public health agencies into local climate action planning, enhanced modes of collaboration between health and non-health agencies and with non-governmental actors, and strengthening of city public health adaptive capacity including through networking.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Saúde da População Urbana , Cidades , Planejamento de Cidades , Mudança Climática , Humanos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2
9.
Environ Res ; 195: 110766, 2021 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33497680

RESUMO

Research that analyzes the effect of different environmental factors on the impact of COVID-19 focus primarily on meteorological variables such as humidity and temperature or on air pollution variables. However, noise pollution is also a relevant environmental factor that contributes to the worsening of chronic cardiovascular diseases and even diabetes. This study analyzes the role of short-term noise pollution levels on the incidence and severity of cases of COVID-19 in Madrid from February 1 to May 31, 2020. The following variables were used in the study: daily noise levels averaged over 14 days; daily incidence rates, average cumulative incidence over 14 days; hospital admissions, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admissions and mortality due to COVID-19. We controlled for the effect of the pollutants PM10 and NO2 as well as for variables related to seasonality and autoregressive nature. GLM models with Poisson regressions were carried out using significant variable selection (p < 0.05) to calculate attributable RR. The results of the modeling using a single variable show that the levels of noise (leq24 h) were related to the incidence rate, the rate of hospital admissions, the ICU admissions and the rate of average cumulative incidence over 14 days. These associations presented lags, and the first association was with incidence (lag 7 and lag 10), then with hospital admissions (lag 17) and finally ICU admissions (lag 22). There was no association with deaths due to COVID-19. In the results of the models that included PM10, NO2, Leq24 h and the control variables simultaneously, we observed that only Leq24 h went on to become a part of the models using COVID-19 variables, including the 14-day average cumulative incidence. These results show that noise pollution is an important environmental variable that is relevant in relation to the incidence and severity of COVID-19 in the Province of Madrid.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , COVID-19 , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/toxicidade , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/análise , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Humanos , Incidência , Ruído/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/análise , Material Particulado/toxicidade , SARS-CoV-2
10.
Haemophilia ; 26(2): 290-297, 2020 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32141696

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Development of inhibitors is the most serious complication in patients with haemophilia (PWH). The prevalence of inhibitors in patients with severe haemophilia A (HA) is approximately 25%-30%. Inhibitor prevalence differs among populations. Some studies report a prevalence of almost twice in Hispanic as compared to Caucasian patients. Most data available, on the prevalence of inhibitors and their predisposing factors, originate from centres in developed countries. AIM: Establish the prevalence of inhibitors of FVIII and FIX in Mexico. METHODS: This was an observational, cross-sectional and descriptive study. The records of all patients diagnosed with haemophilia A (HA) or B (HB), with and without inhibitors, were included. Clinical and demographical characteristics of patients with inhibitors were assessed. Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS version 22. The Ethics Committees of the various participating institutions approved this study. RESULTS: A total of 1455 patients from the 20 participating centres were recruited, from which 1208 (83.02%) had HA and 247 (16.97%) were diagnosed with HB. The presence of inhibitors in severe HA was reported in 93/777(11.96%), and 10/162 (6.17%) in severe HB. Of them, 91.7% exhibited high titres in HA and 100% in HB. CONCLUSION: In Mexico, the general prevalence of inhibitors varies considerably among centres. This study established a basis of comparison for future development and advances in the treatment and follow-up of patients. These findings also augment our understanding of risk factors related to inhibitor development.


Assuntos
Hemofilia A/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , América Latina , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Adulto Jovem
11.
Environ Res ; 182: 109107, 2020 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32069750

RESUMO

The Mediterranean Basin is undergoing a warming trend with longer and warmer summers, an increase in the frequency and the severity of heat waves, changes in precipitation patterns and a reduction in rainfall amounts. In this unique populated region, which is characterized by significant gaps in the socio-economic levels particularly between the North (Europe) and South (Africa), parallel with population growth and migration, increased water demand and forest fires risk - the vulnerability of the Mediterranean population to human health risks increases significantly. Indeed, climatic changes impact the health of the Mediterranean population directly through extreme heat, drought or storms, or indirectly by changes in water availability, food provision and quality, air pollution and other stressors. The main health effects are related to extreme weather events (including extreme temperatures and floods), changes in the distribution of climate-sensitive diseases and changes in environmental and social conditions. The poorer countries, particularly in North Africa and the Levant, are at highest risk. Climate change affects the vulnerable sectors of the region, including an increasingly older population, with a larger percentage of those with chronic diseases, as well as poor people, which are therefore more susceptible to the effects of extreme temperatures. For those populations, a better surveillance and control systems are especially needed. In view of the climatic projections and the vulnerability of Mediterranean countries, climate change mitigation and adaptation become ever more imperative. It is important that prevention Health Action Plans will be implemented, particularly in those countries that currently have no prevention plans. Most adaptation measures are "win-win situation" from a health perspective, including reducing air pollution or providing shading solutions. Additionally, Mediterranean countries need to enhance cross-border collaboration, as adaptation to many of the health risks requires collaboration across borders and also across the different parts of the basin.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Saúde Pública , África do Norte , Europa (Continente) , Humanos , Região do Mediterrâneo , África do Sul , Populações Vulneráveis
12.
J Am Chem Soc ; 141(50): 19616-19624, 2019 Dec 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31747756

RESUMO

It is well-established that the inclusion of small atomic species such as boron (B) in powder metal catalysts can subtly modify catalytic properties, and the associated changes in the metal lattice imply that the B atoms are located in the interstitial sites. However, there is no compelling evidence for the occurrence of interstitial B atoms, and there is a concomitant lack of detailed structural information describing the nature of this occupancy and its effects on the metal host. In this work, we use an innovative combination of high-resolution 11B magic-angle-spinning (MAS) and 105Pd static solid-state NMR nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR), synchrotron X-ray diffraction (SXRD), in situ X-ray pair distribution function (XPDF), scanning transmission electron microscopy-annular dark field imaging (STEM-ADF), electron ptychography, and electron energy loss spectroscopy (EELS) to investigate the B atom positions, properties, and structural modifications to the palladium lattice of an industrial type interstitial boron doped palladium nanoparticle catalyst system (Pd-intB/C NPs). In this study, we report that upon B incorporation into the Pd lattice, the overall face centered cubic (FCC) lattice is maintained; however, short-range disorder is introduced. The 105Pd static solid-state NMR illustrates how different types (and levels) of structural strain and disorder are introduced in the nanoparticle history. These structural distortions can lead to the appearance of small amounts of local hexagonal close packed (HCP) structured material in localized regions. The short-range lattice tailoring of the Pd framework to accommodate interstitial B dopants in the octahedral sites of the distorted FCC structure can be imaged by electron ptychography. This study describes new toolsets that enable the characterization of industrial metal nanocatalysts across length scales from macro- to microanalysis, which gives important guidance to the structure-activity relationship of the system.

13.
Phys Rev Lett ; 122(6): 066101, 2019 Feb 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30822049

RESUMO

Understanding nanostructures down to the atomic level is the key to optimizing the design of advanced materials with revolutionary novel properties. This requires characterization methods capable of quantifying the three-dimensional (3D) atomic structure with the highest possible precision. A successful approach to reach this goal is to count the number of atoms in each atomic column from 2D annular dark field scanning transmission electron microscopy images. To count atoms with single atom sensitivity, a minimum electron dose has been shown to be necessary, while on the other hand beam damage, induced by the high energy electrons, puts a limit on the tolerable dose. An important challenge is therefore to develop experimental strategies to optimize the electron dose by balancing atom-counting fidelity vs the risk of knock-on damage. To achieve this goal, a statistical framework combined with physics-based modeling of the dose-dependent processes is here proposed and experimentally verified. This model enables an investigator to theoretically predict, in advance of an experimental measurement, the optimal electron dose resulting in an unambiguous quantification of nanostructures in their native state with the highest attainable precision.

14.
Environ Res ; 176: 108548, 2019 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31247429

RESUMO

High temperatures have periodically affected large areas in Europe and urban settings. In particular, the deadly 2003 summer heat waves precipitated a multitude of national and subnational health prevention and research efforts. Building on these and other international experiences the WHO Regional Office for Europe developed and published in 2008 a comprehensive framework for prevention, the heat-health action plans (HHAPs). This provided a blueprint used by several national and subnational authorities to design their prevention efforts. A decade after the publication of the WHO guidance, a wealth of new evidence and acquired implementation experience has emerged around HHAP effectiveness; heat exposure; acclimatization and adaptation; heat-health governance and stakeholder involvement; and the role of urban design and greening interventions in prevention. This evidence and experience can guide the strategies to tackle current and upcoming challenges in protecting health from heat under a warming climate.


Assuntos
Clima , Política Ambiental , Política de Saúde , Temperatura Alta , Mudança Climática , Europa (Continente) , Estações do Ano
15.
Nano Lett ; 18(11): 6850-6855, 2018 11 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30257093

RESUMO

Imaging the complete atomic structure of materials, including light elements, with minimal beam-induced damage of the sample is a long-standing challenge in electron microscopy. Annular bright-field scanning transmission electron microscopy is often used to image elements with low atomic numbers, but due to its low efficiency and high sensitivity to precise imaging parameters it comes at the price of potentially significant beam damage. In this paper, we show that electron ptychography is a powerful technique to retrieve reconstructed phase images that provide the full structure of beam-sensitive materials containing light and heavy elements. Due to its much higher efficiency, we can reduce the beam currents used down to the subpicoampere range. Electron ptychography also allows residual lens aberrations to be corrected at the postprocessing stage, which avoids the need for fine-tuning of the probe that would result in further beam damage and provides aberration-free reconstructed phase images. We have used electron ptychography to obtain structural information from aberration-free reconstructed phase images in the technologically relevant lithium-rich transition metal oxides at different states of charge. We can unambiguously determine the position of the lithium and oxygen atomic columns while amorphization of the surface, formation of beam-induced surface reconstruction layers, or migration of transition metals to the alkali layers are drastically reduced.

16.
Environ Res ; 166: 384-393, 2018 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29936286

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Direct health effects of extreme temperatures are a significant environmental health problem in Lithuania, and could worsen further under climate change. This paper attempts to describe the change in environmental temperature conditions that the urban population of Vilnius could experience under climate change, and the effects such change could have on excess heat-related and cold-related mortality in two future periods within the 21st century. METHODS: We modelled the urban climate of Vilnius for the summer and winter seasons during a sample period (2009-2015) and projected summertime and wintertime daily temperatures for two prospective periods, one in the near (2030-2045) and one in the far future (2085-2100), under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5. We then analysed the historical relationship between temperature and mortality for the period 2009-2015, and estimated the projected mortality in the near future and far future periods under a changing climate and population, assuming alternatively no acclimatisation and acclimatisation to heat and cold based on a constant-percentile threshold temperature. RESULTS: During the sample period 2009-2015 in summertime we observed an increase in daily mortality from a maximum daily temperature of 30 °C (the 96th percentile of the series), with an average of around 7 deaths per year. Under a no acclimatisation scenario, annual average heat-related mortality would rise to 24 deaths/year (95% CI: 8.4-38.4) in the near future and to 46 deaths/year (95% CI: 16.4-74.4) in the far future. Under a heat acclimatisation scenario, mortality would not increase significantly in the near or in the far future. Regarding wintertime cold-related mortality in the sample period 2009-2015, we observed increased mortality on days on which the minimum daily temperature fell below - 12 °C (the 7th percentile of the series), with an average of around 10 deaths a year. Keeping the threshold temperature constant, annual average cold-related mortality would decrease markedly in the near future, to 5 deaths/year (95% CI: 0.8-7.9) and even more in the far future, down to 0.44 deaths/year (95% C: 0.1-0.8). Assuming a "middle ground" between the acclimatisation and non-acclimatisation scenarios, the decrease in cold-related mortality will not compensate the increase in heat-related mortality. CONCLUSION: Thermal extremes, both heat and cold, constitute a serious public health threat in Vilnius, and in a changing climate the decrease in mortality attributable to cold will not compensate for the increase in mortality attributable to heat. Study results reinforce the notion that public health prevention against thermal extremes should be designed as a dynamic, adaptive process from the inception.


Assuntos
Temperatura Baixa/efeitos adversos , Temperatura Alta/efeitos adversos , Mortalidade , Cidades , Mudança Climática , Humanos , Lituânia/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Estações do Ano
19.
Rev Panam Salud Publica ; 42: e148, 2018.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31093176

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The Perinatal Information System (SIP) represents a milestone in the use of systematized information in the Region of the Americas. What has been learned from the system has contributed to the development of a model based on a set of core indicators (SCI). The objective of the study was to describe the historical and methodological process involved in the development, implementation, and territorial scaling-up of an SCI to monitor and evaluate women's and perinatal health policies, programs, and services geared to management (SIP-GESTIÓN). METHODS: The study was conducted in two stages: 1) a four-phase validation of an SCI in a hospital network: a) construction of the theoretical indicator model, b) operations research, c) final selection of the indicators, and d) the definition of reference standards; and 2) territorial scaling-up. RESULTS: A total of 17 indicator models were identified. The initial model included 177 indicators divided into seven dimensions (context, habits, accessibility, use of services, quality of care, maternal and fetal impact, and maternal and neonatal impact), with 21 indicators remaining after three Delphi rounds. The final model (SIP-GESTIÓN), which included 40 indicators, was then used to study 240,021 (79.1%) of the 303,559 deliveries attended in 122 selected maternity facilities in 24 jurisdictions (100%) in Argentina. The information is presented in national terms and by health region, province, and hospital. CONCLUSIONS: This model has made it possible to achieve high levels of information coverage and quality and territorial scaling-up and is useful for management, research, and the reorientation of programs and policies.


OBJETIVO: O Sistema de Informação Perinatal (SIP) é um marco no uso de informação sistematizada na Região das Américas. A experiência obtida contribuiu para o desenvolvimento de um modelo baseado em um conjunto mínimo de indicadores (CMI). O objetivo do estudo foi descrever o processo histórico e metodológico do desenvolvimento, implementação e dimensionamento territorial do CMI para monitorar e avaliar políticas, programas e serviços de saúde materna e perinatal orientado à gestão (SIP-gestão). MÉTODOS: O estudo foi realizado em duas etapas. A primeira etapa consistiu da validação em quatro fases de um CMI em uma rede de hospitais: a) construção do modelo teórico de indicadores, b) implementação da pesquisa operacional, c) seleção final dos indicadores e d) definição dos padrões de referência. A segunda etapa consistiu da determinação da escala territorial. RESULTADOS: Foram identificados 17 modelos de indicadores. O modelo inicial incluiu 177 indicadores agrupados em sete dimensões (contexto, hábitos, acessibilidade, utilização de serviços, qualidade do atendimento, impacto materno-fetal e impacto materno-neonatal) que foram reduzidas a 21 após três rodadas de aplicação da técnica Delphi. O modelo final (SIP-gestão) inclui 40 indicadores. Foram analisados 240.021 partos (79,1%) de um número total de 303.559 casos atendidos nas 122 maternidades selecionadas em 24 jurisdições (100%) da Argentina. Os dados são apresentados ao nível nacional e desagregados por região de saúde, província e hospital. CONCLUSÕES: O modelo desenvolvido atingiu altos níveis de cobertura e qualidade da informação e determinação da escala territorial, e pode ser usado na gestão, pesquisa e reorientação de programas e políticas.

20.
J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr ; 64(3): e65-e70, 2017 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27262137

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the present study was to assess reproducibility and inter-rater reliability of 2 nutritional screening tools (NST): Screening Tool for Risk on Nutritional Status and Growth (STRONGkids) and Screening Tool for the Assessment of Malnutrition in Paediatrics (STAMP). METHODS: Prospective observational multicentre study. Patients ages 1 month or older admitted to paediatric or surgical wards were tested within 24 hours of admission by 2 independent observers: experts specialized in paediatric nutrition (physicians or dieticians) and clinical staff nonexpert in nutrition. Diagnosis on admission, underlying diseases, and length of stay were registered. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Kappa index (κ) to evaluate agreement between observers. RESULTS: A total of 223 patients were included (53.4% boys), with mean age of 5.59 (95% confidence interval 4.94-6.22) years. Experts classified 9.9% of patients at high risk with STRONGkids and 19.7% using STAMP, whereas nonexpert staff assigned 6.7% of patients to the high-risk category with STRONGkids and 21.9% with STAMP. Agreement between expert and nonexpert staff was good: 94.78% for STRONGkids (κ 0.72 [P < 0.001]); 92.55% for STAMP (κ 0.74 [P < 0.001]). The rate of malnutrition was significantly higher among high-risk patients with both NST, independent of examiner experience. After adjusting for age, both STRONGkids and STAMP high-risk scores predicted longer length of stay, whether assessed by experts or nonexperts, although differences were higher with STRONGkids. CONCLUSIONS: Agreement between experts and nonexpert staff in nutrition was good, producing a similar high-risk patient profile. Our results demonstrate that these NSTs are appropriate for nutritional screening in settings in which users have no previous experience in the field.


Assuntos
Desnutrição/diagnóstico , Avaliação Nutricional , Adolescente , Criança , Fenômenos Fisiológicos da Nutrição Infantil , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Estado Nutricional , Variações Dependentes do Observador , Estudos Prospectivos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Medição de Risco
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