A multi-tissue, splicing-based joint transcriptome-wide association study identifies susceptibility genes for breast cancer.

Splicing-based transcriptome-wide association studies (splicing-TWASs) of breast cancer have the potential to identify susceptibility genes. However, existing splicing-TWASs test the association of individual excised introns in breast tissue only and thus have limited power to detect susceptibility genes. In this study, we performed a multi-tissue joint splicing-TWAS that integrated splicing-TWAS signals of multiple excised introns in each gene across 11 tissues that are potentially relevant to breast cancer risk. We utilized summary statistics from a meta-analysis that combined genome-wide association study (GWAS) results of 424,650 women of European ancestry. Splicing-level prediction models were trained in GTEx (v.8) data. We identified 240 genes by the multi-tissue joint splicing-TWAS at the Bonferroni-corrected significance level; in the tissue-specific splicing-TWAS that combined TWAS signals of excised introns in genes in breast tissue only, we identified nine additional significant genes. Of these 249 genes, 88 genes in 62 loci have not been reported by previous TWASs, and 17 genes in seven loci are at least 1 Mb away from published GWAS index variants. By comparing the results of our splicing-TWASs with previous gene-expression-based TWASs that used the same summary statistics and expression prediction models trained in the same reference panel, we found that 110 genes in 70 loci that are identified only by the splicing-TWASs. Our results showed that for many genes, expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) did not show a significant impact on breast cancer risk, whereas splicing quantitative trait loci (sQTL) showed a strong impact through intron excision events.

A joint transcriptome-wide association study across multiple tissues identifies candidate breast cancer susceptibility genes.

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified more than 200 genomic loci for breast cancer risk, but specific causal genes in most of these loci have not been identified. In fact, transcriptome-wide association studies (TWASs) of breast cancer performed using gene expression prediction models trained in breast tissue have yet to clearly identify most target genes. To identify candidate genes, we performed a GWAS analysis in a breast cancer dataset from UK Biobank (UKB) and combined the results with the GWAS results of the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC) by a meta-analysis. Using the summary statistics from the meta-analysis, we performed a joint TWAS analysis that combined TWAS signals from multiple tissues. We used expression prediction models trained in 11 tissues that are potentially relevant to breast cancer from the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) data. In the GWAS analysis, we identified eight loci distinct from those reported previously. In the TWAS analysis, we identified 309 genes at 108 genomic loci to be significantly associated with breast cancer at the Bonferroni threshold. Of these, 17 genes were located in eight regions that were at least 1 Mb away from published GWAS hits. The remaining TWAS-significant genes were located in 100 known genomic loci from previous GWASs of breast cancer. We found that 21 genes located in known GWAS loci remained statistically significant after conditioning on previous GWAS index variants. Our study provides insights into breast cancer genetics through mapping candidate target genes in a large proportion of known GWAS loci and discovering multiple new loci.

Expression- and splicing-based multi-tissue transcriptome-wide association studies identified multiple genes for breast cancer by estrogen-receptor status.

BACKGROUND: Although several transcriptome-wide association studies (TWASs) have been performed to identify genes associated with overall breast cancer (BC) risk, only a few TWAS have explored the differences in estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) and estrogen receptor-negative (ER-) breast cancer. Additionally, these studies were based on gene expression prediction models trained primarily in breast tissue, and they did not account for alternative splicing of genes. METHODS: In this study, we utilized two approaches to perform multi-tissue TWASs of breast cancer by ER subtype: (1) an expression-based TWAS that combined TWAS signals for each gene across multiple tissues and (2) a splicing-based TWAS that combined TWAS signals of all excised introns for each gene across tissues. To perform this TWAS, we utilized summary statistics for ER + BC from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC) and for ER- BC from a meta-analysis of BCAC and the Consortium of Investigators of Modifiers of BRCA1 and BRCA2 (CIMBA). RESULTS: In total, we identified 230 genes in 86 loci that were associated with ER + BC and 66 genes in 29 loci that were associated with ER- BC at a Bonferroni threshold of significance. Of these genes, 2 genes associated with ER + BC at the 1q21.1 locus were located at least 1 Mb from published GWAS hits. For several well-studied tumor suppressor genes such as TP53 and CHEK2 which have historically been thought to impact BC risk through rare, penetrant mutations, we discovered that common variants, which modulate gene expression, may additionally contribute to ER + or ER- etiology. CONCLUSIONS: Our study comprehensively examined how differences in common variation contribute to molecular differences between ER + and ER- BC and introduces a novel, splicing-based framework that can be used in future TWAS studies.

Predicting pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer using a machine learning approach.

BACKGROUND: For patients with breast cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT), most of the existing prediction models of pathologic complete response (pCR) using clinicopathological features were based on standard statistical models like logistic regression, while models based on machine learning mostly utilized imaging data and/or gene expression data. This study aims to develop a robust and accessible machine learning model to predict pCR using clinicopathological features alone, which can be used to facilitate clinical decision-making in diverse settings. METHODS: The model was developed and validated within the National Cancer Data Base (NCDB, 2018-2020) and an external cohort at the University of Chicago (2010-2020). We compared logistic regression and machine learning models, and examined whether incorporating quantitative clinicopathological features improved model performance. Decision curve analysis was conducted to assess the model's clinical utility. RESULTS: We identified 56,209 NCDB patients receiving NACT (pCR rate: 34.0%). The machine learning model incorporating quantitative clinicopathological features showed the best discrimination performance among all the fitted models [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC): 0.785, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.778-0.792], along with outstanding calibration performance. The model performed best among patients with hormone receptor positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer (AUC: 0.817, 95% CI: 0.802-0.832); and by adopting a 7% prediction threshold, the model achieved 90.5% sensitivity and 48.8% specificity, with decision curve analysis finding a 23.1% net reduction in chemotherapy use. In the external testing set of 584 patients (pCR rate: 33.4%), the model maintained robust performance both overall (AUC: 0.711, 95% CI: 0.668-0.753) and in the HR+/HER2- subgroup (AUC: 0.810, 95% CI: 0.742-0.878). CONCLUSIONS: The study developed a machine learning model ( https://huolab.cri.uchicago.edu/sample-apps/pcrmodel ) to predict pCR in breast cancer patients undergoing NACT that demonstrated robust discrimination and calibration performance. The model performed particularly well among patients with HR+/HER2- breast cancer, having the potential to identify patients who are less likely to achieve pCR and can consider alternative treatment strategies over chemotherapy. The model can also serve as a robust baseline model that can be integrated with smaller datasets containing additional granular features in future research.

Polygenic risk scores for prediction of breast cancer risk in women of African ancestry: a cross-ancestry approach.

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are useful for predicting breast cancer risk, but the prediction accuracy of existing PRSs in women of African ancestry (AA) remains relatively low. We aim to develop optimal PRSs for the prediction of overall and estrogen receptor (ER) subtype-specific breast cancer risk in AA women. The AA dataset comprised 9235 cases and 10 184 controls from four genome-wide association study (GWAS) consortia and a GWAS study in Ghana. We randomly divided samples into training and validation sets. We built PRSs using individual-level AA data by a forward stepwise logistic regression and then developed joint PRSs that combined (1) the PRSs built in the AA training dataset and (2) a 313-variant PRS previously developed in women of European ancestry. PRSs were evaluated in the AA validation set. For overall breast cancer, the odds ratio per standard deviation of the joint PRS in the validation set was 1.34 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.27-1.42] with the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.581. Compared with women with average risk (40th-60th PRS percentile), women in the top decile of the PRS had a 1.98-fold increased risk (95% CI: 1.63-2.39). For PRSs of ER-positive and ER-negative breast cancer, the AUCs were 0.608 and 0.576, respectively. Compared with existing methods, the proposed joint PRSs can improve prediction of breast cancer risk in AA women.

Multi-tissue transcriptome-wide association studies identified 235 genes for intrinsic subtypes of breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Although genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of breast cancer (BC) identified common variants which differ between intrinsic subtypes, genes through which these variants act to impact BC risk have not been fully established. Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) have identified genes associated with overall BC risk, but subtype-specific differences are largely unknown. METHODS: We performed two multi-tissue TWAS for each BC intrinsic subtype, including an expression-based approach that collated TWAS signals from expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) across multiple tissues and a novel splicing-based approach that collated signals from splicing QTLs (sQTLs) across intron clusters and subsequently across tissues. We used summary statistics for five intrinsic subtypes including Luminal A-like, Luminal B-like, Luminal B/HER2-negative-like, HER2-enriched-like, and triple-negative BC, generated from 106 278 BC cases and 91 477 controls in the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. RESULTS: Overall, we identified 235 genes in 88 loci that were associated with at least one of the five intrinsic subtypes. Most genes were subtype-specific, and many have not been reported in previous TWAS. We discovered common variants that modulate expression of CHEK2 confer increased risk to Luminal A-like BC, in contrast to the viewpoint that CHEK2 primarily harbors rare, penetrant mutations. Additionally, our splicing-based TWAS provided population-level support for MDM4 splice variants that increased the risk of triple-negative BC. CONCLUSION: Our comprehensive, multi-tissue TWAS corroborated previous GWAS loci for overall BC risk and intrinsic subtypes, while underscoring how common variation that impacts expression and splicing of genes in multiple tissue types can be used to further elucidate the etiology of BC.