Colorectal cancer incidence and mortality after negative fecal immunochemical tests by age 70: A prospective observational study.

Limited endoscopy capacity usually represents the main barrier to the extension of screening to subjects older than 70, given the high positivity rate in this age group. We assessed CRC incidence and mortality by number of previous negative fecal immunochemical tests (FIT) among subjects turning 70. We selected persons aged 70 years who had received their last screening invitation when they were 68 or 69 years old within the population-based screening program in the Veneto region of Italy. Subjects with a positive FIT were excluded. We calculated 10-year cumulative CRC incidence and mortality in cohorts of subjects having performed zero, one, two or three negative FITs over the last three screening rounds before turning 70. Out of 117 858 subjects included in the study (46.4% men), 33.7% had never participated in screening (zero negative FITs), 23.3% had had one-negative FIT, 20.1% two-negative FITs and 22.9% three negative FITs. The 10-year cumulative CRC incidence was 29.7 per 1000 subjects with zero FITs, and respectively, 14.5, 11.7 and 9.6 per 1000 subjects with one, two and three negative FITs. The corresponding figures for 10-year cumulative mortality were 9.3, 3.5, 2.2 and 2.1 per 1000 in the four study cohorts. Figures were roughly double for men than for women for all the study cohorts. In order to use more efficiently limited endoscopy resources, and to minimize the potential harms related to false positive results in the elderly, screening among people aged 70 to 74 might be restricted to those with zero previous negative FITs.

Trends in colorectal cancer surgical resection rates during the screening era: a retrospective study in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Faecal immunochemical test (FIT)-based screening is effective in reducing colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence, but its sensitivity for proximal lesions remains low. OBJECTIVES: We compared age-adjusted CRC surgical resection rates across anatomic sites (proximal colon, distal colon, rectum), age groups and sex over 20 years in a large Italian population. We particularly focused on changes in trends following FIT-screening implementation in the target population (50-69 years). DESIGN: This retrospective study analysed data from the Veneto Region's administrative Hospital Discharge Dataset, involving over 54 000 patients aged 40-89 (43.4% female) who underwent CRC surgery between 2002 and 2021. RESULTS: Overall, surgery rates increased until 2007 (annual percentage changes: 2.5% in males, 2.9% in females) and then declined (-4.2% in males, -3.4% in females). This decline was steeper for distal and rectal cancers compared with proximal cancer, suggesting a shift towards more right-sided CRC surgery.In males, the prescreening increase in proximal surgery was reversed after screening implementation (slope change: -6%) while the prescreening decline accelerated for distal (-4%) and rectal (-3%) surgeries. In females, stable prescreening trends shifted downward for all sites (-5% for proximal, -8% for distal and -7% for rectal surgery). However, the change in trends between prescreening and postscreening periods was not different across anatomic sites for either sex (all slope change differences in pairwise comparisons were not statistically significant). CONCLUSION: The shift towards proximal surgery may not be entirely due to the FIT's low sensitivity but may reflect an underlying upward trend in proximal cancers independent of screening.

Cancer incidence in immigrants by geographical area of origin: data from the Veneto Tumour Registry, Northeastern Italy.

Objective: We investigated whether there are differences in cancer incidence by geographical area of origin in North-eastern Italy. Methods: We selected all incident cases recorded in the Veneto Tumour Registry in the period 2015-2019. Subjects were classified, based on the country of birth, in six geographical areas of origin (Italy, Highly Developed Countries-HDC, Eastern Europe, Asia, Africa, South-central America). Age-standardized incidence rates and incidence rate ratio (IRR) were calculated, for all cancer sites and for colorectal, liver, breast and cervical cancer separately. Results: We recorded 159,486 all-site cancer cases; 5.2% cases occurred in subjects born outside Italy, the majority from High Migratory Pressure Countries (HMPC) (74.3%). Incidence rates were significantly lower in subjects born in HMPC in both sexes. Immigrants, in particular born in Asia and Africa, showed lower rates of all site cancer incidence. The lowest IRR for colorectal cancer was observed in males from South-Central America (IRR 0.19, 95%CI 0.09-0.44) and in females from Asia (IRR 0.32, 95%CI 0.18-0.70). The IRR of breast cancer appeared significantly lower than Italian natives in all female populations, except for those coming from HDC. Females from Eastern Europe showed a higher IRR for cervical cancer (IRR 2.02, 95%CI 1.57-2.61). Conclusion: Cancer incidence was found lower in subjects born outside Italy, with differences in incidence patterns depending on geographical area of origin and the cancer type in question. Further studies, focused on the country of birth of the immigrant population, would help to identify specific risk factors influencing cancer incidence.

Quality control on digital cancer registration.

Population-based cancer registration methods are subject to internationally-established rules. To ensure efficient and effective case recording, population-based cancer registries widely adopt digital processing (DP) methods. At the Veneto Tumor Registry (RTV), about 50% of all digitally-identified (putative) cases of cancer are further profiled by means of registrars' assessments (RAs). Taking these RAs for reference, the present study examines how well the registry's DP performs. A series of 1,801 (putative) incident and prevalent cancers identified using DP methods were randomly assigned to two experienced registrars (blinded to the DP output), who independently re-assessed every case. This study focuses on the concordance between the DP output and the RAs as concerns cancer status (incident versus prevalent), topography, and morphology. The RAs confirmed the cancer status emerging from DP for 1,266/1,317 incident cancers (positive predictive value [PPV] = 96.1%) and 460/472 prevalent cancers (PPV = 97.5%). This level of concordance ranks as "optimal", with a Cohen's K value of 0.91. The overall prevalence of false-positive cancer cases identified by DP was 2.9%, and was affected by the number of digital variables available. DP and the RAs were consistent in identifying cancer topography in 88.7% of cases; differences concerned different sites within the same anatomo-functional district (according to the International Agency for Research on Cancer [IARC]) in 9.6% of cases. In short, using DP for cancer case registration suffers from only trivial inconsistencies. The efficiency and reliability of digital cancer registration is influenced by the availability of good-quality clinical information, and the regular interdisciplinary monitoring of a registry's DP performance.

Colorectal cancer screening: The surgery rates they are a-changing. A nationwide study on surgical resections in Italy.

BACKGROUND: Growing evidence suggests that colorectal cancer (CRC) screening based on the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) reduces CRC incidence and surgical resection rates. AIMS: To compare trends in surgery for proximal and distal CRC among Italian regions at different stages of screening implementation. METHODS: From the National Hospital Discharge Database we selected hospitalizations with CRC resection of residents aged 50-74 years during 2002-2014, and computed surgery rates for the 8 most populous Italian regions with/without a screening program. RESULTS: In regions with screening, implemented around 2006-2007, the annual percent change (APC) of distal CRC resection was +1.7 (95% confidence interval -1.0, 4.4) during 2002-2007 and -9.1 (-10.6, -7.7) during 2007-2014. No significant change was observed in regions without screening. The APC for proximal colon resection in regions with screening was +5.8 (2.5, 9.0) during 2002-2007 and -4.1 (-5.8, -2.4) during 2007-2014, while in regions without screening surgical rates increased through the whole study period. Compared to 2002, in 2014 distal CRC resection rates were greatly reduced in regions with screening, reaching values similar to proximal CRC resection. CONCLUSION: Following the implementation of screening programs surgery rates steeply decreased, confirming the deep impact of FIT-based screening on the burden of CRC.