Forecasting the Burden of Cardiovascular Disease and Stroke in the United States Through 2050-Prevalence of Risk Factors and Disease: A Presidential Advisory From the American Heart Association.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease and stroke are common and costly, and their prevalence is rising. Forecasts on the prevalence of risk factors and clinical events are crucial. METHODS: Using the 2015 to March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and 2015 to 2019 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, we estimated trends in prevalence for cardiovascular risk factors based on adverse levels of Life's Essential 8 and clinical cardiovascular disease and stroke. We projected through 2050, overall and by age and race and ethnicity, accounting for changes in disease prevalence and demographics. RESULTS: We estimate that among adults, prevalence of hypertension will increase from 51.2% in 2020 to 61.0% in 2050. Diabetes (16.3% to 26.8%) and obesity (43.1% to 60.6%) will increase, whereas hypercholesterolemia will decline (45.8% to 24.0%). The prevalences of poor diet, inadequate physical activity, and smoking are estimated to improve over time, whereas inadequate sleep will worsen. Prevalences of coronary disease (7.8% to 9.2%), heart failure (2.7% to 3.8%), stroke (3.9% to 6.4%), atrial fibrillation (1.7% to 2.4%), and total cardiovascular disease (11.3% to 15.0%) will rise. Clinical CVD will affect 45 million adults, and CVD including hypertension will affect more than 184 million adults by 2050 (>61%). Similar trends are projected in children. Most adverse trends are projected to be worse among people identifying as American Indian/Alaska Native or multiracial, Black, or Hispanic. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of many cardiovascular risk factors and most established diseases will increase over the next 30 years. Clinical and public health interventions are needed to effectively manage, stem, and even reverse these adverse trends.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association.

BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs). METHODS: The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains. RESULTS: Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics. CONCLUSIONS: The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Dysanapsis Genetic Risk Predicts Lung Function Across the Lifespan.

Rationale Dysanapsis refers to a mismatch between airway tree caliber and lung size arising early in life. Dysanapsis assessed by computed tomography (CT) is evident by early adulthood and associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) risk later in life. Objective By examining the genetic factors associated with CT-assessed dysanapsis, we aimed to elucidate its molecular underpinnings and physiological significance across the lifespan. Methods We performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of CT-assessed dysanapsis in 11,951 adults, including individuals from two population-based and two COPD-enriched studies. We applied colocalization analysis to integrate GWAS and gene expression data from whole blood and lung. Genetic variants associated with dysanapsis were combined into a genetic risk score that was applied to examine association with lung function in children from a population-based birth cohort (n=1,278) and adults from the UK Biobank (n=369,157). Measurements and Main Results CT-assessed dysanapsis was associated with genetic variants from 21 independent signals in 19 gene regions, implicating HHIP, DSP, and NPNT as potential molecular targets based on colocalization of their expression. Higher dysanapsis genetic risk score was associated with obstructive spirometry among 5 year old children and among adults in the 5th, 6th and 7th decades of life. Conclusions CT-assessed dysanapsis is associated with variation in genes previously implicated in lung development and dysanapsis genetic risk is associated with obstructive lung function from early life through older adulthood. Dysanapsis may represent an endo-phenotype link between the genetic variations associated with lung function and COPD.

Rheumatoid arthritis and cardiovascular complications during delivery: a United States inpatient analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Persons with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have an increased risk of obstetric-associated complications, as well as long-term cardiovascular (CV) risk. Hence, the aim was to evaluate the association of RA with acute CV complications during delivery admissions. METHODS: Data from the National Inpatient Sample (2004-2019) were queried utilizing ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes to identify delivery hospitalizations and a diagnosis of RA. RESULTS: A total of 12 789 722 delivery hospitalizations were identified, of which 0.1% were among persons with RA (n = 11 979). Individuals with RA, vs. those without, were older (median 31 vs. 28 years, P < .01) and had a higher prevalence of chronic hypertension, chronic diabetes, gestational diabetes mellitus, obesity, and dyslipidaemia (P < .01). After adjustment for age, race/ethnicity, comorbidities, insurance, and income, RA remained an independent risk factor for peripartum CV complications including preeclampsia [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.37 (95% confidence interval 1.27-1.47)], peripartum cardiomyopathy [aOR 2.10 (1.11-3.99)], and arrhythmias [aOR 2.00 (1.68-2.38)] compared with no RA. Likewise, the risk of acute kidney injury and venous thromboembolism was higher with RA. An overall increasing trend of obesity, gestational diabetes mellitus, and acute CV complications was also observed among individuals with RA from 2004-2019. For resource utilization, length of stay and cost of hospitalization were higher for deliveries among persons with RA. CONCLUSIONS: Pregnant persons with RA had higher risk of preeclampsia, peripartum cardiomyopathy, arrhythmias, acute kidney injury, and venous thromboembolism during delivery hospitalizations. Furthermore, cardiometabolic risk factors among pregnant individuals with RA rose over this 15-year period.

A historical, evidence-based, and narrative review on commonly used dietary supplements in lipid-lowering.

Dietary supplements augment the nutritional value of everyday food intake and originate from the historical practices of ancient Egyptian (Ebers papyrus), Chinese (Pen Ts'ao by Shen Nung), Indian (Ayurveda), Greek (Hippocrates), and Arabic herbalists. In modern-day medicine, the use of dietary supplements continues to increase in popularity with greater than 50% of the US population reporting taking supplements. To further compound this trend, many patients believe that dietary supplements are equally or more effective than evidence-based therapies for lipoprotein and lipid-lowering. Supplements such as red yeast rice, omega-3 fatty acids, garlic, cinnamon, plant sterols, and turmeric are marketed to and believed by consumers to promote "cholesterol health." However, these supplements are not subjected to the same manufacturing scrutiny by the Food and Drug Administration as pharmaceutical drugs and as such, the exact contents and level of ingredients in each of these may vary. Furthermore, supplements do not have to demonstrate efficacy or safety before being marketed. The holistic approach to lowering atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk makes dietary supplements an attractive option to many patients; however, their use should not come at the expense of established therapies with proven benefits. In this narrative review, we provide a historical and evidence-based approach to the use of some dietary supplements in lipoprotein and lipid-lowering and provide a framework for managing patient expectations.

Optimizing Prepregnancy Cardiovascular Health to Improve Outcomes in Pregnant and Postpartum Individuals and Offspring: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association.

This scientific statement summarizes the available preclinical, epidemiological, and clinical trial evidence that supports the contributions of prepregnancy (and interpregnancy) cardiovascular health to risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes and cardiovascular disease in birthing individuals and offspring. Unfavorable cardiovascular health, as originally defined by the American Heart Association in 2010 and revised in 2022, is prevalent in reproductive-aged individuals. Significant disparities exist in ideal cardiovascular health by race and ethnicity, socioeconomic status, and geography. Because the biological processes leading to adverse pregnancy outcomes begin before conception, interventions focused only during pregnancy may have limited impact on both the pregnant individual and offspring. Therefore, focused attention on the prepregnancy period as a critical life period for optimization of cardiovascular health is needed. This scientific statement applies a life course and intergenerational framework to measure, modify, and monitor prepregnancy cardiovascular health. All clinicians who interact with pregnancy-capable individuals can emphasize optimization of cardiovascular health beginning early in childhood. Clinical trials are needed to investigate prepregnancy interventions to comprehensively target cardiovascular health. Beyond individual-level interventions, community-level interventions must include and engage key stakeholders (eg, community leaders, birthing individuals, families) and target a broad range of antecedent psychosocial and social determinants. In addition, policy-level changes are needed to dismantle structural racism and to improve equitable and high-quality health care delivery because many reproductive-aged individuals have inadequate, fragmented health care before and after pregnancy and between pregnancies (interpregnancy). Leveraging these opportunities to target cardiovascular health has the potential to improve health across the life course and for subsequent generations.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association.

BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs). METHODS: The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains. RESULTS: Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics. CONCLUSIONS: The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Has mortality in the United States returned to pre-pandemic levels? An analysis of provisional 2023 data.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic, which started in 2020, resulted in greater all-cause mortality in 2020 and in subsequent years. Whether all-cause mortality remains elevated in 2023 compared to pre-pandemic numbers is unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: The United States (US) Center for Disease Control Wide-Ranging, Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database was used to compare mortality rates between 2019 and provisional data for 2022 and 2023. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for all-cause as well as top causes of mortality were collected. Mortality based on subgroups by sex, age, and ethnicity was also collected. All-cause AAMRs between 2018 and 2023 per 100,000 individuals were 723.6, 715.2, 835.4, 879.7, (provisionally) 798.8, and (provisionally) 738.3, respectively, with AAMRs in 2023 remaining above 2019 pre-pandemic levels. Similar trends were noted in subgroups based on sex, ethnicity, and most age groups. Mortality attributed directly to COVID-19 peaked in 2021 as the 3rd leading cause of death and dropped to the 10th leading cause in 2023. Provisional mortality rate trends for 2023 suggest that rates for diseases of the heart increased during the pandemic but appear to have returned to or dipped below pre-pandemic levels. CONCLUSION: Provisional 2023 all-cause mortality rates in the US have decreased from the 2021 peak associated with the COVID-19 pandemic but remain above the pre-pandemic baseline. Mortality from some conditions, including diseases of the heart, appears to have recovered from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Association of disproportionate liver fat with markers of heart failure: The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has been linked to heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We sought to understand association between individuals with amounts of liver adiposity greater than would be predicted by their body mass index (BMI) in order to understand whether this disproportionate liver fat (DLF) represents a proxy of metabolic risk shared between liver and heart disease. METHODS: We studied 2,932 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) who received computed tomography (CT) measurements of hepatic attenuation. Quartiles of DLF were compared and multivariable linear regression was performed to evaluate the association of DLF with clinical, echocardiographic, and quality of life metrics. RESULTS: Compared to the lowest quartile of DLF, individuals in the highest quartile of DLF were more likely to be male (52.0% vs 47.1%, P < .001), less likely to be Black or African American (14.8 % vs 38.1% P < .001), have higher rates of dysglycemia (31.9% vs 16.6%, P < .001) and triglycerides (140 [98.0, 199.0] vs 99.0 [72.0, 144.0] mg/dL, P > .001). These individuals had lower global longitudinal strain (-0.13 [-0.25, -0.02], P = .02), stroke volumes (-1.05 [-1.76, -0.33], P < .01), lateral e' velocity (-0.10 [-0.18, -0.02], P = .02), and 6-minute walk distances (-4.25 [-7.62 to -0.88], P = .01). CONCLUSION: DLF is associated with abnormal metabolic profiles and ventricular functional changes known to be associated with HFpEF and may serve as an early metric to assess for those that may progress to clinical HFpEF.

Cardiovascular disease prevention in women - the current state in 2023.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality for women globally. The purpose of this review is to provide an updated overview of CVD prevention in women, focusing on what is currently understood about female-specific or female-predominant CVD risk factors and the importance of tailored strategies for risk assessment and medical interventions. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent studies have demonstrated the need to account for risk factors specific to women in current risk assessment models for CVD, including early menarche, polycystic ovary syndrome, adverse pregnancy outcomes, early menopause, and chronic inflammatory conditions. Incorporation of these findings has led to advancements in sex-specific guidelines, diagnostic tools, and treatment approaches that have led to improvement in the precision of CVD prevention strategies. At-risk women benefit similarly to lipid-lowering and other preventive therapies as men but are less likely to be treated. SUMMARY: CVD prevention in women has made substantial progress over the past decade, marked by increasing awareness among clinicians, improved understanding of sex-specific risk-enhancing factors, and incorporation of sex-specific guidelines for management. However, there remain knowledge gaps that warrant ongoing efforts to optimize CVD prevention strategies in women, which will ultimately lead to improved cardiovascular health outcomes.

Complementing the United States Household Food Security Survey Module with Items Reflecting Social Unacceptability.

BACKGROUND: Social unacceptability of food access is part of the lived experience of food insecurity but is not assessed as part of the United States Household Food Security Survey Module (HFSSM). OBJECTIVES: The objectives were as follows: 1) to determine the psychometric properties of 2 additional items on social unacceptability in relation to the HFSSM items and 2) to test whether these 2 items provided added predictive accuracy to that of the HFSSM items for mental health outcomes. METHODS: Cross-sectional data used were from the Intersection of Material-Need Insecurities and HIV and Cardiovascular Health substudy of the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study/Women's Interagency HIV Study Combined Cohort Study. Data on the 10-item HFSSM and 2 new items reflecting social unacceptability were collected between Fall 2020 and Fall 2021 from 1342 participants from 10 United States cities. The 2 social unacceptability items were examined psychometrically in relation to the HFSSM-10 items using models from item response theory. Linear and logistic regression was used to examine prediction of mental health measured by the 20-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale and the 10-item Perceived Stress Scale. RESULTS: The social unacceptability items were affirmed throughout the range of severity of food insecurity but with increasing frequency at higher severity of food insecurity. From item response theory models, the subconstructs reflected in the HFSSM-10 and the subconstruct of social unacceptability were distinct, not falling into one dimension. Regression models confirmed that social unacceptability was distinct from the subconstructs reflected in the HFSSM-10. The social unacceptability items as a separate scale explained more (∼1%) variation in mental health than when combined with the HFSSM-10 items in a single scale, and the social unacceptability subconstruct explained more (∼1%) variation in mental health not explained by the HFSSM-10. CONCLUSIONS: Two social unacceptability items used as a separate scale along with the HFSSM-10 predicted mental health more accurately than did the HFSSM-10 alone.

Associations between hysterectomy and metabolic syndrome: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic syndrome is linked to an increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. Notable associations exist between hysterectomy with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy and metabolic syndrome. However, there is emerging evidence that even with ovarian conservation, hysterectomy may be independently associated with long-term cardiovascular disease risk. OBJECTIVE: To examine the associations between hysterectomy with ovarian preservation and metabolic syndrome risk in a multiethnic cohort. STUDY DESIGN: We studied 3367 female participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who had data on self-reported history of hysterectomy, oophorectomy, hystero-oophorectomy, and metabolic syndrome at baseline (2000-2002). We used adjusted logistic regression to assess the cross-sectional associations between hysterectomy and or oophorectomy subgroups and prevalent metabolic syndrome at baseline. Furthermore, we investigated 1355 participants free of baseline metabolic syndrome and used adjusted Cox regression models to evaluate incident metabolic syndrome from examinations 2 (2002-2004) to 6 (2016-2018). RESULTS: The mean age was 59.0±9.5 years, with 42% White, 27% Black, 19% Hispanic, and 13% Chinese American participants. 29% and 22% had a history of hysterectomy and oophorectomy, respectively. Over a median follow-up of 10.5 (3.01-17.62) years, there were 750 metabolic syndrome events. Hysterectomy (hazard ratio, 1.32 [95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.73]) and hystero-oophorectomy (hazard ratio, 1.40 [95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.74]) were both associated with incident metabolic syndrome compared with having neither hysterectomy nor oophorectomy. CONCLUSION: Hysterectomy, even with ovarian preservation, may be independently associated with a higher risk of metabolic syndrome. If other studies confirm these findings, screening and preventive strategies focused on females with ovary-sparing hysterectomies and the mechanisms underpinning these associations may be explored.

Pregnancy and Reproductive Risk Factors for Cardiovascular Disease in Women.

Beyond conventional risk factors for cardiovascular disease, women face an additional burden of sex-specific risk factors. Key stages of a woman's reproductive history may influence or reveal short- and long-term cardiometabolic and cardiovascular trajectories. Early and late menarche, polycystic ovary syndrome, infertility, adverse pregnancy outcomes (eg, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, gestational diabetes, preterm delivery, and intrauterine growth restriction), and absence of breastfeeding are all associated with increased future cardiovascular disease risk. The menopause transition additionally represents a period of accelerated cardiovascular disease risk, with timing (eg, premature menopause), mechanism, and symptoms of menopause, as well as treatment of menopause symptoms, each contributing to this risk. Differences in conventional cardiovascular disease risk factors appear to explain some, but not all, of the observed associations between reproductive history and later-life cardiovascular disease; further research is needed to elucidate hormonal effects and unique sex-specific disease mechanisms. A history of reproductive risk factors represents an opportunity for comprehensive risk factor screening, refinement of cardiovascular disease risk assessment, and implementation of primordial and primary prevention to optimize long-term cardiometabolic health in women.

Association of endogenous sex hormone levels with tooth loss due to periodontitis in men and post-menopausal women: The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis.

AIM: To investigate the association between endogenous sex hormone levels and history of tooth loss related to periodontitis in healthy middle-aged to older men and post-menopausal women. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 5649 participants aged 45-84 (mean age, 63 ± 10 years) from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis cohort who had sex hormone levels measured and answered a questionnaire regarding perceived periodontal status at exam 1. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association of sex hormones (exposure) with history of tooth loss (outcome), stratified by sex. RESULTS: Among post-menopausal women, higher free testosterone (per 1SD) was associated with a greater prevalence of tooth loss [OR 1.49 (95% CI, 1.08-2.05)], whereas higher sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) was associated with a lower prevalence of tooth loss [OR 0.74 (0.58-0.94)], after adjustment for cardiometabolic risk factors and reproductive factors. In men, higher free testosterone and lower SHBG were associated with a lower prevalent probability of tooth loss in unadjusted analysis, but these associations lost significance after covariate adjustment. CONCLUSION: A higher androgenic sex hormone profile in post-menopausal women (i.e., increased free testosterone, lower SHBG) was associated with an increased prevalence of tooth loss, after adjusting cardiometabolic risk factors. No such association was found in men. These findings suggest that sex hormones may influence or serve as a marker for periodontal health.

Diabetes Management in Chronic Kidney Disease: Synopsis of the KDIGO 2022 Clinical Practice Guideline Update.

DESCRIPTION: The KDIGO 2022 Clinical Practice Guideline for Diabetes Management in Chronic Kidney Disease is an update of the 2020 guideline from Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO). METHODS: The KDIGO Work Group updated the guideline, which included reviewing and grading new evidence that was identified and summarized. As in the previous guideline, the Work Group used the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach to appraise evidence and rate the strength of recommendations and expert judgment to develop consensus practice points. New evidence led to updating of recommendations in the chapters Comprehensive Care in Patients With Diabetes and CKD (Chapter 1) and Glucose-Lowering Therapies in Patients With T2D and CKD (Chapter 4). New evidence did not change recommendations in the chapters Glycemic Monitoring and Targets in Patients With Diabetes and CKD (Chapter 2), Lifestyle Interventions in Patients With Diabetes and CKD (Chapter 3), and Approaches to Management of Patients With Diabetes and CKD (Chapter 5). RECOMMENDATIONS: The updated guideline includes 13 recommendations and 52 practice points for clinicians caring for patients with diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD). A focus on preserving kidney function and maintaining well-being is recommended using a layered approach to care, starting with a foundation of lifestyle interventions, self-management, and first-line pharmacotherapy (such as sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors) demonstrated to improve clinical outcomes. To this are added additional drugs with heart and kidney protection, such as glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and interventions to control risk factors for CKD progression and cardiovascular events, such as blood pressure, glycemia, and lipids.

Lack of leisure time physical activity and variations in cardiovascular mortality across US communities: a comprehensive county-level analysis (2011-2019).

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the associations between county-level proportions of adults not engaging in leisure-time physical activity (no LTPA) and age-adjusted cardiovascular mortality (AACVM) rates in the overall US population and across demographics. METHODS: Analysing 2900 US counties from 2011 to 2019, we used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) databases to obtain annual AACVM rates. No LTPA data were sourced from the CDC's Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System survey and county-specific rates were calculated using a validated multilevel regression and poststratification modelling approach. Multiple regression models assessed associations with county characteristics such as socioeconomic, environmental, clinical and healthcare access factors. Poisson generalised linear mixed models were employed to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRR) and additional yearly deaths (AYD) per 100 000 persons. RESULTS: Of 309.9 million residents in 2900 counties in 2011, 7.38 million (2.4%) cardiovascular deaths occurred by 2019. County attributes such as socioeconomic, environmental and clinical factors accounted for up to 65% (adjusted R2=0.65) of variance in no LTPA rates. No LTPA rates associated with higher AACVM across demographics, notably among middle-aged adults (standardised IRR: 1.06; 95% CI (1.04 to 1.07)), particularly women (1.09; 95% CI (1.07 to 1.12)). The highest AYDs were among elderly non-Hispanic black individuals (AYD=68/100 000). CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals a robust association between the high prevalence of no LTPA and elevated AACVM rates beyond other social determinants. The most at-risk groups were middle-aged women and elderly non-Hispanic black individuals. Further, county-level characteristics accounted for substantial variance in community LTPA rates. These results emphasise the need for targeted public health measures to boost physical activity, especially in high-risk communities, to reduce AACVM.

Women, lipids, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: a call to action from the European Atherosclerosis Society.

Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death in women and men globally, with most due to atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Despite progress during the last 30 years, ASCVD mortality is now increasing, with the fastest relative increase in middle-aged women. Missed or delayed diagnosis and undertreatment do not fully explain this burden of disease. Sex-specific factors, such as hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, premature menopause (especially primary ovarian insufficiency), and polycystic ovary syndrome are also relevant, with good evidence that these are associated with greater cardiovascular risk. This position statement from the European Atherosclerosis Society focuses on these factors, as well as sex-specific effects on lipids, including lipoprotein(a), over the life course in women which impact ASCVD risk. Women are also disproportionately impacted (in relative terms) by diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and auto-immune inflammatory disease. All these effects are compounded by sociocultural components related to gender. This panel stresses the need to identify and treat modifiable cardiovascular risk factors earlier in women, especially for those at risk due to sex-specific conditions, to reduce the unacceptably high burden of ASCVD in women.

Determinants of Incident Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Events Among Those With Absent Coronary Artery Calcium: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The 2018 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Multisociety cholesterol guideline states that statin therapy may be withheld or delayed among intermediate-risk individuals in the absence of coronary artery calcium (CAC=0). We evaluated whether traditional cardiovascular risk factors are associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events among individuals with CAC=0 over long-term follow-up. METHODS: We included participants with CAC=0 at baseline from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), a prospective cohort study of individuals free of clinical ASCVD at baseline. We used multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models to study the association between cardiovascular risk factors (cigarette smoking, diabetes, hypertension, preventive medication use [aspirin and statin], family history of premature ASCVD, chronic kidney disease, waist circumference, lipid and inflammatory markers) and adjudicated incident ASCVD outcomes. RESULTS: We studied 3416 individuals (mean [SD] age 58 [9] years; 63% were female, 33% White, 31% Black, 12% Chinese American, and 24% Hispanic). Over a median follow-up of 16 years, there were 189 ASCVD events (composite of coronary heart disease and stroke) of which 91 were coronary heart disease, 88 were stroke, and 10 were both coronary heart disease and stroke events. The unadjusted event rates of ASCVD were ≤5 per 1000 person-years among individuals with CAC=0 for most risk factors with the exception of current cigarette smoking (7.3), diabetes (8.9), hypertension (5.4), and chronic kidney disease (6.8). After multivariable adjustment, risk factors that were significantly associated with ASCVD included current cigarette smoking: hazard ratio, 2.12 (95% CI, 1.32-3.42); diabetes: hazard ratio, 1.68 (95% CI, 1.01-2.80); and hypertension: hazard ratio, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.06-2.33). CONCLUSIONS: Current cigarette smoking, diabetes, and hypertension are independently associated with incident ASCVD over a 16-year follow-up among those with CAC=0.

The Association between Inflammation, Testosterone and SHBG in men: A cross-sectional Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

CONTEXT: Earlier studies have investigated the role of obesity-related inflammation and endogenous sex hormones in men. The role of interleukin-6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) with testosterone and sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) levels in men is still debated. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the independent association between levels of high sensitivity CRP (hsCRP) and IL-6 with endogenous sex hormones in men. DESIGN: Cross-sectional observational study using data from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS: A community-based sample of 3212 men aged 45-84 years was included. After exclusions, 3041 men remained for the analyses. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Serum concentrations of testosterone, SHBG, hsCRP, IL-6, and sTNFR were measured from the baseline exam. Multivariable linear regressions were used to examine the association of inflammatory markers with sex hormones. RESULTS: An inverse association was found between levels of hsCRP and levels of testosterone and SHBG, even after adjustment for confounders and IL-6 (Total Testosterone; B = -0.14, Bioavailable Testosterone; B = -0.06, and SHBG; B = -0.66). Similar results were found for IL-6, although a positive association was found for SHBG (B = 0.95). Notably, an inverse association was found for IL-6 with bioavailable testosterone in African Americans and Hispanic Americans aged 45-54 years. No associations were found for sTNFR and endogenous sex hormones. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that inflammatory markers have independent associations with levels of testosterone (total and bioavailable) and furthermore, appear to associate differently with SHBG levels.

Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Adipokine Levels: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) and adipokine levels. Adipokines are hormones implicated in obesity and its cardiometabolic consequences. The concept of ideal CVH was introduced to promote 7 key health factors and behaviors in the general population. Previous studies have found strong associations between obesity and ideal CVH. However, existing literature on the link between CVH and adipokines is scarce. METHODS: We studied 1842 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants free of cardiovascular disease who had 7 CVH metrics (smoking, body mass index, physical activity, diet, total cholesterol, blood pressure, and fasting blood glucose) measured at baseline and serum adipokine levels measured at a median of 2.4 years later. Each CVH metric was assigned a score of 0 (poor), 1 (intermediate), or 2 (ideal), and all scores were summed for a total CVH score (0-14). The total CVH scores of 0 to 8, 9 to 10, and 11 to 14 were considered inadequate, average, and optimal, respectively. We used multivariable linear regression models to assess the nonconcurrent associations between the CVH score and log-transformed adipokine levels. RESULTS: The mean age was 62.1 ± 9.8 years; 50.2% of participants were men. After adjusting for sociodemographic factors, a 1-unit higher CVH score was significantly associated with 4% higher adiponectin and 15% and 1% lower leptin and resistin levels. Individuals with optimal CVH scores had 27% higher adiponectin and 56% lower leptin levels than those with inadequate CVH scores. Similar trends were observed for those with average versus inadequate CVH scores. CONCLUSION: In a multi-ethnic cohort free of cardiovascular disease at baseline, individuals with average and optimal CVH scores had a more favorable adipokine profile than those with inadequate CVH scores.