Independent and joint contributions of physical disability and chronic pain to incident opioid use disorder and opioid overdose among Medicaid patients.

BACKGROUND: Chronic pain has been extensively explored as a risk factor for opioid misuse, resulting in increased focus on opioid prescribing practices for individuals with such conditions. Physical disability sometimes co-occurs with chronic pain but may also represent an independent risk factor for opioid misuse. However, previous research has not disentangled whether disability contributes to risk independent of chronic pain. METHODS: Here, we estimate the independent and joint adjusted associations between having a physical disability and co-occurring chronic pain condition at time of Medicaid enrollment on subsequent 18-month risk of incident opioid use disorder (OUD) and non-fatal, unintentional opioid overdose among non-elderly, adult Medicaid beneficiaries (2016-2019). RESULTS: We find robust evidence that having a physical disability approximately doubles the risk of incident OUD or opioid overdose, and physical disability co-occurring with chronic pain increases the risks approximately sixfold as compared to having neither chronic pain nor disability. In absolute numbers, those with neither a physical disability nor chronic pain condition have a 1.8% adjusted risk of incident OUD over 18 months of follow-up, those with physical disability alone have an 2.9% incident risk, those with chronic pain alone have a 3.6% incident risk, and those with co-occurring physical disability and chronic pain have a 11.1% incident risk. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that those with a physical disability should receive increased attention from the medical and healthcare communities to reduce their risk of opioid misuse and attendant negative outcomes.

Long-Term Depressive Symptom Trajectories and Midlife Cognition: The CARDIA Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The nature of associations between depressive symptoms and cognition early in the life course remains unclear, and racial differences in these associations are not well characterized. The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between trajectories of depressive symptom over 20 years, beginning in young adulthood, and cognitive functions in middle-age among Black and White adults. METHODS: We used prospective data from participants of the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study. Depressive symptoms were measured at 5 study visits between 1990 and 2010 using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale. We used latent class group-based modeling to identify 4 trajectories: "persistently low," "persistently medium," "medium decreasing," and "high increasing" depressive symptoms. In 2015, cognitive function was measured using the Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST), Stroop test (reverse coded), and Rey Auditory-Verbal Learning Test (RAVLT).We excluded participants who missed the cognitive battery or had no depressive symptoms measurements, resulting in a total of 3,117 participants. All cognitive tests were standardized, and linear regression was used to relate depressive trajectories with 2015 cognitive functions. RESULTS: The mean [SD] baseline age was 30.1 [3.6] years, and 57% were female. The associations between depressive symptoms and cognition significantly differed by race (p < 0.05). Among Black individuals, compared with having "persistently low," having "medium decreasing," "persistently medium," or "high increasing" depressive symptoms were associated with worse verbal memory, processing speed, and executive function scores (RAVLT persistently medium vs low: ß = -0.30, 95% CI -0.48 to -0.12; and high increasing vs low: ß = -0.49, 95% CI -0.70 to -0.27; DSST persistently medium vs low: ß = -0.28, 95% CI -0.47 to -0.09; and high increasing vs low: ß = -0.64, 95% CI -0.87 to -0.42; Stroop persistently medium vs low: ß = -0.46, 95% CI -0.70 to -0.23; and high increasing vs low: ß = -0.76, 95% CI -1.04 to -0.47). Associations were slightly weaker among White individuals, but we still found that having 'high increasing' depressive symptoms was associated with worse verbal memory and processing speed scores (high increasing vs low: ß = -0.38, 95% CI -0.61 to -0.15; and ß = -0.40, 95% CI -0.63 to -0.18, respectively). DISCUSSION: Prolonged exposure to elevated depressive symptoms beginning in young adulthood may result in worse cognitive function over midlife. This association was stronger among Black adults.

Racial Differences in Employment and Poverty Histories and Health in Older Age.

INTRODUCTION: Black Americans encounter more barriers in the job market and earn less than White Americans. However, the extent to which racial disparities in employment and poverty histories impact health is not fully understood. This study characterized employment‒poverty histories for Black and White middle-aged adults and examined their association with health. METHODS: Respondents born in 1948-1953 and enrolled in the 2004 Health and Retirement Study (NBlack=555, NWhite=2,209) were included. Sequence analysis grouped respondents with similar employment‒poverty trajectories from 2004 to 2016, and confounder-adjusted regression analyses estimated the associations between these trajectories and health in 2018. Analyses were conducted in 2021-2022. RESULTS: More than 23% of Black respondents experienced both employment and poverty fluctuations, including bouts of extreme poverty (<50% of the federal poverty threshold), whereas no trajectory for White respondents included extreme poverty. Adversities in employment‒poverty were associated with worse health. For example, among Black respondents, those who experienced both employment and poverty fluctuations had worse cognition than those employed and not poor (ß= -0.55 standardized units, 95% CI= -0.81, -0.30). Similarly, among White respondents, those who experienced employment fluctuations had worse cognition than those employed (ß= -0.35, 95% CI= -0.46, -0.24). Notably, the employed and not poor trajectory was associated with worse survival among Black respondents than among White respondents. CONCLUSIONS: Employment fluctuations were associated with worse health, especially cognitive function, where the association was stronger among Black Americans who experienced both employment fluctuations and poverty. Findings highlight the importance of enhancing employment stability and of antipoverty programs, especially for Black Americans.

Has the opening of Amazon fulfillment centers affected demand for disability insurance?

An estimated 17.6% of blue-collar, manufacturing jobs were lost in the United States between 1970 and 2016. These jobs, often union-represented, provided relatively generous pay and benefits, creating a path to the middle class for individuals without a four-year college degree. Evidence suggests the closure of manufacturing facilities and resulting decline in economic opportunity increased demand for disability insurance (SSDI) among blue-collar workers. In recent years, the opening of Amazon Fulfillment Centers (FCs) has accelerated around the country, driving a wave of blue-collar job creation. We estimated the extent to which the opening of FCs affected SSDI application rates, including rates of approvals and denials, using a synthetic control group approach. We found that FC openings were associated with a 1.4% reduction in the SSDI application rate over the subsequent three years, translating to 5,528 fewer applications per year across commuting zones with an FC opening. Our findings are consistent with FC openings improving economic opportunities in local labor markets, though our confidence intervals were wide and included the null.

Depressive symptoms mediate the relationship between sustained food insecurity and cognition: a causal mediation analysis.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to investigate the association of change in food insecurity over time with cognitive function in midlife, and whether depressive symptoms mediated that relationship. METHODS: We used longitudinal data from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study. Change in food insecurity in 2000-2005 was coded as "persistently food-secure," "persistently food-insecure," "became food-insecure," and "became food-secure." Depressive symptoms were measured in 2010, and cognitive function was measured in 2015. Multivariable linear regression controlled for sociodemographic and cardiovascular health factors was used. We also conducted causal mediation analysis. RESULTS: Our study population included 2448 participants (57.23% female and 43.18% Black, mean age = 40.31 in 2000). Compared with persistent food security, persistently and became food-insecure were associated with worse cognition, particularly with processing speed (ßpersistent = -0.20 standard unit, 95% CI = -0.36, -0.04; ßbecame = -0.17, 95% CI = -0.31, -0.03), and these associations appeared mediated by depressive symptoms (proportion-mediated = 14% for persistently food-insecure and 18% for became food-insecure). CONCLUSIONS: Persistent and transition to food insecurity were associated with worse cognition, both directly and indirectly through increasing depressive symptoms. Targeting food insecurity or depressive symptoms among persistently or became food-insecure individuals may have the potential to slow premature cognitive aging.

Prevalence estimates of trafficking in persons using statistical definitions: a cross-sectional high-risk community survey in Cape Town, South Africa.

OBJECTIVES: Current research on trafficking in persons (TIP) relies heavily on legal and prosecutorial definitions. A public health approach has called for population-level assessment; however, identification of TIP victims lacks a standardised operational definition. This study applied the Prevalence Reduction Innovation Forum (PRIF) statistical definitions, developed by the US Department of State, to a community survey in Cape Town, South Africa. DESIGNS: A high-risk sampling strategy was used. TIP screening questions from two instruments were matched with PRIF domain indicators to generate prevalence estimates. Sensitivity, specificity and receiver operating characteristics analyses were conducted to assess the performance of the two screeners. SETTING: Cross-sectional survey conducted in Cape Town, South Africa, from January to October 2021. PARTICIPANTS: South Africans and immigrants from other nations residing in Cape Town and its surrounding areas, aged 18 or older, who met the study inclusion criteria for a set of experiences that were identified as TIP risk factors. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome measures were PRIF lifetime and past 12-month TIP positivity. Secondary outcome measures included individual and summary measures from the two screeners. RESULTS: Our PRIF algorithm yielded a TIP lifetime prevalence rate of 17.0% and past 12-month rate of 2.9%. Summary measures from each TIP screener showed an excellent range of predictive utility. The summary screener measures yielded statistically significant differences among some demographic and background categories. Several screener items were shown less predictive of the PRIF statistical definition criteria than others. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence estimates of probable TIP were higher than those reported elsewhere. Our TIP screeners yielded an excellent range of predictive utility for the statistical definitions, promising the potential for wider applications in global and regional TIP research and policymaking. A more systematic sampling strategy is needed even if statistical definitions become widely used.