High-risk carotid plaques and incident ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Whether carotid artery disease could improve stroke risk stratification tools in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains uncertain. This study was undertaken to investigate the risk of ischemic stroke associated with occlusive and nonocclusive carotid atherosclerotic disease in patients with AF in the prospective population-based Cardiovascular Health Study. METHODS: We included participants aged ≥65 years with AF. We used multivariable Cox regression analysis to explore the risk of ischemic stroke associated with the percentage of carotid stenosis, plaque irregularity, echogenicity, and vulnerability (markedly irregular, ulcerated, or hypoechoic plaques). RESULTS: A total of 1398 participants were included (55.2% female, 61.7% aged 65-74 years). The maximum carotid stenosis was <50%, 50%-99%, and 100% in 94.5%, 5%, and 0.5% of participants, respectively. High-risk plaques based on echogenicity and plaque irregularity were found in 25.6% and 8.9% of participants, respectively. After a median follow-up of 10.9 years (interquartile range = 7.5-15.6), 298 ischemic strokes were recorded. There was no difference in the incidence of ischemic stroke according to the degree of carotid artery stenosis (p = 0.44), plaque echogenicity (low vs. high risk, p = 0.68), plaque irregularity (low vs. high risk, p = 0.55), and plaque vulnerability (p = 0.86). The CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.28, 95% confidence interval = 1.18-1.40, p < 0.001). Both maximum grade of stenosis and plaque vulnerability were not associated with incident ischemic stroke (all p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Neither the degree of carotid stenosis nor the presence of vulnerable plaques was associated with incident ischemic stroke in this cohort of individuals with AF. This suggests that carotid disease was probably not a significant contributor to ischemic stroke in this population.

Task shifting roles, interventions and outcomes for kidney and cardiovascular health service delivery among African populations: a scoping review.

BACKGROUND: Human resources for health (HRH) shortages are a major limitation to equitable access to healthcare. African countries have the most severe shortage of HRH in the world despite rising communicable and non-communicable disease (NCD) burden. Task shifting provides an opportunity to fill the gaps in HRH shortage in Africa. The aim of this scoping review is to evaluate task shifting roles, interventions and outcomes for addressing kidney and cardiovascular (CV) health problems in African populations. METHODS: We conducted this scoping review to answer the question: "what are the roles, interventions and outcomes of task shifting strategies for CV and kidney health in Africa?" Eligible studies were selected after searching MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), CINAHL, ISI Web of Science, and Africa journal online (AJOL). We analyzed the data descriptively. RESULTS: Thirty-three studies, conducted in 10 African countries (South Africa, Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, Cameroon, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, and Uganda) were eligible for inclusion. There were few randomized controlled trials (n = 6; 18.2%), and tasks were mostly shifted for hypertension (n = 27; 81.8%) than for diabetes (n = 16; 48.5%). More tasks were shifted to nurses (n = 19; 57.6%) than pharmacists (n = 6; 18.2%) or community health workers (n = 5; 15.2%). Across all studies, the most common role played by HRH in task shifting was for treatment and adherence (n = 28; 84.9%) followed by screening and detection (n = 24; 72.7%), education and counselling (n = 24; 72.7%), and triage (n = 13; 39.4%). Improved blood pressure levels were reported in 78.6%, 66.7%, and 80.0% for hypertension-related task shifting roles to nurses, pharmacists, and CHWs, respectively. Improved glycaemic indices were reported as 66.7%, 50.0%, and 66.7% for diabetes-related task shifting roles to nurses, pharmacists, and CHWs, respectively. CONCLUSION: Despite the numerus HRH challenges that are present in Africa for CV and kidney health, this study suggests that task shifting initiatives can improve process of care measures (access and efficiency) as well as identification, awareness and treatment of CV and kidney disease in the region. The impact of task shifting on long-term outcomes of kidney and CV diseases and the sustainability of NCD programs based on task shifting remains to be determined.

Atrial fibrillation incidence, prevalence, predictors, and adverse outcomes in acute coronary syndromes: A pooled analysis of data from 8 million patients.

OBJECTIVE: To summarize data on the prevalence/incidence, risk factors and prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). METHODS: MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science were searched to identify all published studies providing relevant data through August 23, 2020. Random-effects meta-analysis method was used to pool estimates. RESULTS: We included 109 studies reporting data from a pooled population of 8 239 364 patients. The prevalence rates were 5.8% for pre-existing AF, 7.3% for newly diagnosed AF, and 11.3% for prevalent (total) AF, in patients with ACS. Predictors of newly diagnosed AF included age (per year increase) (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.05), C-reactive protein (aOR: 1.49), left atrial (LA) diameter (aOR: 1.08), LA dilatation (aOR: 2.32), left ventricular ejection fraction <40% (aOR: 1.82), hypertension (aOR: 1.87), and Killip ˃ 1 (aOR: 1.85), p < .01 in all analyzes. Newly diagnosed AF was associated with an increased risk of acute heart failure (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 3.20), acute kidney injury (aHR: 3.09), re-infarction (aHR: 1.96), stroke (aHR: 2.15), major bleeding (aHR: 2.93), and mortality (aHR: 1.80) in the short term; and with an increased risk of heart failure (aHR: 2.21), stroke (aHR: 1.75), mortality (aHR: 1.67), CV mortality (aHR: 2.09), sudden cardiac death (aHR: 1.53), and a composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (aHR: 1.54) in the long term (beyond 1 month), p < .05 in all analyzes. CONCLUSION: One in nine patients with ACS has AF, with a high proportion of newly diagnosed AF. AF, in particular newly diagnosed AF, is associated with poor short-term and long-term outcomes in patients with ACS.

Sex disparities in enrollment and reporting of outcomes by sex in contemporary clinical trials of atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Underrepresentation of females in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) limits generalizability and quality of the evidence guiding treatment of females. This study aimed to measure the sex disparities in participants' recruitment in RCTs of atrial fibrillation (AF) and determine associated factors, and to describe the frequency of outcomes reported by sex. METHODS: MEDLINE was searched to identify RCTs of AF published between January 1, 2011, and November 20, 2021, in 12 top-tier journals. We measured the enrollment of females using the enrollment disparity difference (EDD) which is the difference between the proportion of females in the trial and the proportion of females with AF in the underlying general population (obtained from the Global Burden of Disease). Random-effects meta-analyses of the EDD were performed, and multivariable meta-regression was used to explore factors associated with disparity estimates. We also determined the proportion of trials that included sex-stratified results. RESULTS: Out of 1133 records screened, 142 trials were included, reporting on a total of 133 532 participants. The random-effects summary EDD was -0.125 (95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.143 to -0.108), indicating that females were under-enrolled by 12.5 percentage points. Female enrollment was higher in trials with higher sample size (<250 vs. >750, adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.065, 95% CI: 1.008-1.125), higher mean participants' age (aOR: 1.006, 95% CI: 1.002-1.009), and lower in trials conducted in North America compared to Europe (aOR: 0.945, 95% CI: 0.898-0.995). Only 36 trials (25.4%) reported outcomes by sex, and of these 29 (80.6%) performed statistical testing of the sex-by-treatment interaction. CONCLUSION: Females remain substantially less represented in RCTs of AF, and sex-stratified reporting of primary outcomes is infrequent. These findings call for urgent action to improve sex equity in enrollment and sex-stratified outcomes' reporting in RCTs of AF.

Addition of direct oral anticoagulants to the World Health Organization model list of essential medicines for the treatment of atrial fibrillation: An African perspective.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major cause of adverse cardiovascular outcomes, and its prevalence is fast rising in Africa. The advent of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) has been a major revolution for the prevention of AF-related stroke and systemic embolism given the significant advantage over vitamin K antagonists in terms of both efficacy, safety, and adherence. However, due to their high cost, equitable access to DOACs has been a challenge, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Therefore, the recent addition of DOACs to the 21st WHO list of essential medicines comes as good news. African governments should take this opportunity to scale up the accessibility to DOACs for African patients with AF. This could be achieved through advocacy, appropriate training of health professionals, task shifting, patient education, strategic partnership to increase availability and quality of low-cost generic drugs, and appropriate medico-economic studies.

Incidence and predictors of sudden cardiac death in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy: a pooled analysis.

AIMS: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC), an inherited heart muscle abnormality, is a major cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD). However, the burden of SCD and risk factors in ARVC are not clearly described. Thus, we estimated the rates and predictors of SCD in ARVC in a meta-analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched through 7 April 2021. Prospective studies reporting SCD from ARVC cohorts were included. Data were independently extracted by two reviewers and pooled in a random-effects meta-analysis. Fifty-two studies (n = 5485 patients) with moderate-to-low risk of bias were included. The pooled annualized rates of SCD were 0.65 per 1000 [95% confidence interval 0.00-6.43, I2 0.00%] in those with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) and 7.21 (2.38-13.79, I2 0.0%) in non-ICD cohorts: 7.14 in probands and 8.44 for 2010 Task Force Criteria (TFC). Multivariable predictors of life-threatening arrhythmic events including SCD were: age at presentation [adjusted hazard ratio 0.98 (0.97-0.99)], male sex [2.08 (1.29-3.36)], right ventricular (RV) dysfunction [6.99 (2.17-22.49)], QRS fragmentation [6.55 (3.33-12.90)], T-wave inversion [1.12 (1.02-1.24)], syncope at presentation [2.83 (2.40-4.08)], previous non-sustained ventricular tachyarrhythmia [2.53 (1.44-4.45)], and the TFC score [1.96 (1.02-3.76)], (P < 0.05). Predictors of appropriate ICD therapy were RV dysfunction, syncope, and inducible ventricular arrhythmia (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis demonstrates a high burden of SCD in ARVC patients, especially among probands and ARVC defined by the modified TFC. Better strategies are required to improve patient management and prevent SCD in ARVC. PROSPERO ID: CRD42020211761.

Associations between adipokines and atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: Although overweight and obesity are associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), the underlying mechanisms are not well characterised. Recent data suggest that this link may be partly due to abnormal adipose tissue-derived cytokines or adipokines. However, this relationship is not well clarified. To evaluate the association between adipokines and AF in a systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SYNTHESIS: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science Core Collection were searched from inception through 1st March 2021. Studies were included if they reported any adipokine and AF, with their quality assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Data were independently abstracted, with unadjusted and multivariable adjusted estimates pooled in a random-effects meta-analysis. Data are presented for overall prevalent or incident AF and AF subtypes (paroxysmal, persistent, or non-paroxysmal AF). A total of 34 studies, with 31,479 patients, were included. The following adipokines were significantly associated with AF in the pooled univariate data - apelin (risk ratio for prevalent AF: 0.05 [0.00-0.50], p = 0.01; recurrent AF: 0.21 [0.11-0.42], p < 0.01) and resistin (incident AF: 2.05 [1.02-4.1], p = 0.04; prevalent AF: 2.62 [1.78-3.85], p < 0.01). Pooled analysis of multivariable adjusted effect size estimates showed adiponectin as the sole independent predictor of AF incidence (1.14 [1.02-1.27], p = 0.02). Moreover, adiponectin was associated with non-paroxysmal AF (persistent AF: 1.45 [1.08-1.94, p = 0.01; non-paroxysmal versus paroxysmal AF: 3.14 [1.87-5.27, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Adipokines, principally adiponectin, apelin, and resistin, are associated with the risk of atrial fibrillation. However, the association is not seen after multivariate adjustment, likely reflecting the lack of statistical power. Future research should investigate these relationships in larger prospective cohorts and how they can refine AF monitoring strategies. PROSPERO ID: CRD42020208879.

Outcomes of patients with HIV and COVID-19 co-infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Data on the association of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection with adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19 are conflicting. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to summarize the available information on the risk of hospitalization, severe disease, and death attributable to HIV in patients with COVID-19. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and SCOPUS were searched through October 25, 2021, to identify relevant studies, without language restriction. A random-effects model was used to pool estimates. RESULTS: We included 44 studies reporting information from 38,971,065 patients with COVID-19. The pooled prevalence of HIV among COVID-19 patients was 26.9 ‰ (95% CI 22.7-31.3) and was significantly higher in studies conducted in Africa compared to those conducted elsewhere (118.5‰ [95% CI 84.8-156.9, 11 studies] vs 10.9‰ [95% CI 8.8-13.2, 27 studies]). In pooled analyses of unadjusted odds ratio, HIV-positive individuals were more likely to be admitted to hospital (OR: 1.49; 95% CI 1.01-2.21, 6 studies) compared to HIV-negative individuals. In the adjusted (for age and sex) analyses, HIV was associated with an increased risk of death (hazard ratio: 1.76, 95% CI 1.31-2.35, 2 studies). However, HIV was not associated with the severity of the disease (OR: 1.28; 95% CI 0.77-2.13, 13 studies), or death (OR: 0.81; 95% CI 0.47; 1.41, 23 studies) in patients with COVID-19 in the meta-analysis of unadjusted odds ratio. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that patients with HIV have an increased risk of hospital admission for COVID-19. HIV seems to be independently associated with increased risk of mortality in COVID-19 patient in adjusted analysis. However, this evidence was derived from only two studies.

Prevalence, correlates and in-hospital outcomes of kidney dysfunction in hospitalized patients with heart failure in Buea-Cameroon.

BACKGROUND: Kidney dysfunction is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and has been associated with poor outcomes. This study aimed to determine the prevalence, correlates, and prognosis of kidney dysfunction in patients with HF in Cameroon, an understudied population. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study in consecutive patients hospitalized with HF between June 2016 and November 2017 in the Buea Regional Hospital, Cameroon. Kidney dysfunction was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min/1.73m2. Prognostic outcomes included death and prolonged hospital stay (> 7 days). We also performed a sensitivity analysis excluding racial considerations. RESULTS: Seventy four patients (86.1% of those eligible) were included. Their median age was 60 (interquartile range: 44-72) years and 46.0% (n = 34) were males. Half of patients (n = 37) had kidney dysfunction. Correlates of kidney dysfunction included previous diagnosis of HF (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]4.3, 95% CI: 1.1-17.5) and left ventricular hypertrophy (aOR3.4, 95% CI: 1.1-9.9). Thirty-six (48.9%) had prolonged hospital stay, and seven (9.5%) patients died in hospital. Kidney dysfunction was not associated with in-hospital death (aOR 0.4, 95% CI: 0.1-2) nor prolonged hospital stay (aOR 2.04, 0.8-5.3). In sensitivity analysis (excluding racial consideration), factors associated with Kidney dysfunction in HF were; anemia (aOR: 3.0, 95% CI: 1.1-8.5), chronic heart failure (aOR: 4.7, 95% CI: 0.9-24.6), heart rate on admission < 90 bpm (aOR: 3.4, 95% CI: 1.1-9.1), left atrial dilation (aOR: 3.2, 95% CI: 1.04-10), and hypertensive heart disease (aOR: 3.1, 95% CI: 1.2-8.4). Kidney dysfunction in HF was associated with hospital stay > 7 days (OR: 2.6, 95% CI: 1-6.8). CONCLUSION: Moderate-to-severe kidney dysfunction was seen in half of the patients hospitalized with HF in our setting, and this was associated with a previous diagnosis of HF and left ventricular hypertrophy. Kidney dysfunction might not be the main driver of poor HF outcomes in this population. In sensitivity analysis, this was associated with anemia, chronic heart failure, heart rate on admission less than 90 bpm, left atrial dilatation, and hypertensive heart disease. Kidney dysfunction was associated with hospital stay > 7 days.

Epidemiology of Sjögren Syndrome in Africa: A Scoping Review.

BACKGROUND: The epidemiology of Sjögren syndrome (SS) has been extensively studied in America, Europe, and Asia. OBJECTIVE: To summarize available data on the epidemiology of SS in Africa. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and African Journals Online were searched from inception up to May 17, 2020, to identify relevant articles. Data gleaned from these reports have been summarized narratively in this review. RESULTS: Twenty-one hospital-based studies were included. These studies reported 744 cases of SS. The mean age at diagnosis varied between 28 and 73.6 years, and the female proportion ranged from 83.3% to 100%. There was no population-based incidence or prevalence. Among people with autoimmune and other rheumatic conditions, the frequency of primary SS was in the range 1.9% to 47.6%, whereas that of rheumatoid arthritis-associated secondary SS was in the range 4.3% to 100%. Sicca symptoms were the commonest features, with most frequently involved organs being joints, lungs, and neurological structures. Main autoantibodies were anti-Ro/SS antigen A, anti-La/SS antigen B, and antinuclear antibodies. CONCLUSIONS: The epidemiology of SS is poorly characterized in Africa. Available data are broadly consistent with those from other populations. Extensive and high-quality research is urgently needed.

Epidemiology of Digital Clubbing and Hypertrophic Osteoarthropathy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT: Digital clubbing and hypertrophic osteoarthropathy (HOA) are long-standing clinical entities, but their prevalence have not been synthesized. We aimed to estimate the prevalence of digital clubbing and HOA in people with existing medical conditions.We comprehensively searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science to select studies addressing HOA or digital clubbing and published through March 23, 2021. Summary estimates of the prevalence were derived through random-effects meta-analysis and narrative synthesis. The review protocol has been registered with PROSPERO, CRD42021243934.Of 3973 records, we included 142 studies. In adults, the pooled prevalence of digital clubbing was 33.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16.6-52.8), 31.3% (95% CI, 22.4-41.1), 27% (95% CI, 9.4-49.5), and 22.8% (95% CI, 10.8-37.6) in subjects with intestinal diseases, interstitial lung diseases, infective endocarditis, and hepatic diseases, respectively. In children and adolescents, the pooled prevalence of digital clubbing was 29.1% (95% CI, 19.4-39.9), 23% (95% CI, 9.0-41.1), 19.5% (95% CI, 4.1-42.4), and 17.1% (95% CI, 9.5-26.5) in subjects with human immunodeficiency virus infection, hemoglobinopathies, cystic fibrosis, and tuberculosis. The pooled prevalence of HOA was 10.1% (95% CI, 2.0-23.1) in adults with cancers, and 5% (95% CI, 2.5-8.2) in children and adolescents with cystic fibrosis.In conclusion, the prevalence of digital clubbing varied across disease groups in both adults and children. Full-spectrum HOA was mostly reported in adults with liver disease and cancers, and in children and adolescents with cystic fibrosis.

Epidemiology of Idiopathic Inflammatory Myopathies in Africa: A Contemporary Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: The epidemiology of idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs) has been extensively studied in America, Europe, and Asia, but remains unclear in Africa. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this review was to summarize available data on the epidemiology of IIMs in Africa. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and African Journals Online for studies published up to December 30, 2020, and reporting epidemiological data on IIMs in Africa. Data were combined through narrative synthesis. The review protocol was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020186781. RESULTS: We included 39 studies reporting 683 cases (71.7% adults) of IIMs. Incidence rates of ~7.5/1,000,000 person-years and 1.2/1,000,000 person-years were estimated for dermatomyositis (DM), whereas polymyositis (PM) had an incidence rate of 8.8/1,000,000 person-years. Prevalence estimates of 11.49/100,000 and 11/100,000 (95% confidence interval, 0-32) were provided for IIMs and the PM subtype, respectively. Mean age at diagnosis ranged from 7.9 to 57.2 years, and 50% to 100% of the patients were females. Main subtypes of adult-onset IIMs were DM (21%-93%) and PM (12%-79%), whereas the commonest juvenile subtype was juvenile DM (5.8%-9%). Skeletal muscle involvement (56%-100%) was the main disease feature, and esophagus was the most commonly affected internal organ (6%-65.2%). Anti-Jo1/histidyl tRNA synthetase (7%-100%) and anti-Mi2 (17%-45%) antibodies were the most frequent myositis specific antibodies. Early mortality was high (7.8%-45%), and main death causes were infections, cancers and organ damage in respiratory and cardiovascular domains. CONCLUSIONS: Apart from a potential younger age at onset of adult IIMs in Africa, current sparse data mostly suggest a similar epidemiology between Africa and other regions. Further high-quality studies are required to validate these findings.

Atrial thrombus detection on transoesophageal echocardiography in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing cardioversion or catheter ablation: A pooled analysis of rates and predictors.

OBJECTIVE: To summarize data on the rates and predictors of left atrial thrombus/left atrial appendage thrombus (LAT/LAAT) detection by transoesophageal echocardiography (TEE) before electrical cardioversion (ECV) or catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: EMBASE, MEDLINE, and Web of Science Core Collection were searched to identify all studies providing relevant data and published by October 7, 2020. A random-effects meta-analysis method was used to pool effect size estimates. RESULTS: A total of 85 studies were included, reporting data from 56 660 patients with AF. In patients undergoing CA and ECV, the pooled prevalence of LAT/LAAT was 1.8% and 7.5% in those not on oral anticoagulation (OAC), 1.8% and 5.5% in those taking OAC, and 1.3% and 4.9% in case of adequate OAC, respectively. According to the type of OAC, the prevalence was 2.0% and 7.6% for vitamin K antagonist, 1.3% and 3.5% for direct oral anticoagulant. Predictors of LAT/LAAT detection were nonparoxysmal AF (odds ratio [OR]: 3.6, 95% confidence interval: 2.4-5.2), hypertension (OR: 2.9, 1.2-7.0), previous stroke (OR: 3.0, 1.6-5.63), heart failure (OR: 4.3, 2.7-6.8), and CHADS2 score ≥2 (OR: 3.3, 1.9-5.8) for patients undergoing CA; and heart failure (OR: 2.8, 1.3-6.2) and the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score (OR: 2.55, 1.5-4.5) for those undergoing ECV. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of LAT/LAAT in AF patients undergoing ECV or CA varies widely, mainly due to differences in patient risk profiles and OAC types. Further research should determine whether the predictors of LAT/LAAT detection identified by this study could be used to select patients who require preprocedural TEE.

A meta-analysis of clinical risk factors for stroke in anticoagulant-naïve patients with atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: The aim of this study is to summarize data from prospective cohort studies on clinical predictors of stroke and systemic embolism in anticoagulant-naïve atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: EMBASE, MEDLINE, Global Index Medicus, and Web of Science were searched to identify all studies published by 28 November 2019. Forty-seven studies reporting data from 1 756 984 participants in 15 countries were included. The pooled incidence of stroke in anticoagulant-naïve AF patients was 23.8 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 19.7-28.2). Older age was associated with incident stroke or systemic embolism, with a pooled hazard ratio (HR) of 2.14 (95% CI 1.85-2.47), 2.83 (95% CI 2.27-3.51), and 6.87 (95% CI 6.33-7.44) for age 65-75, ≥75, and ≥85 years, respectively. Other predictors of stroke or systemic embolism included history of stroke or TIA (HR 2.84, 95% CI 2.19-3.67), hypertension (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.37-1.86), diabetes (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.20-1.37), heart failure (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.11-1.40), peripheral artery disease (pooled HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.04-1.75), vascular disease (pooled HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.06-1.39), and prior myocardial infarction (pooled HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.03-1.14). Female sex was a predictor of thromboembolism in studies outside Asia (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.15-1.59), but not in those done in Asia (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.81-1.10). CONCLUSION: This study confirms age and prior stroke as the strongest predictors of stroke or systemic embolism in anticoagulant-naive AF patients. Other predictors include hypertension, diabetes, heart failure, and vascular disease. Female sex seems not to be universally associated with stroke or systemic embolism.

Rates, Predictors, and Impact of Smoking Cessation after Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Smoking cessation after a first cardiovascular event reduces the risk of recurrent vascular events and mortality. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to summarize data on the rates, predictors, and the impact of smoking cessation in patients after a stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web of Science were searched to identify all published studies providing relevant data through May 20, 2021. Random-effects meta-analysis method was used to pool proportions. Some findings were summarized narratively. RESULTS: Twenty-five studies were included. The pooled smoking cessation rates were 51.0% (8 studies, n = 1738) at 3 months, 44.4% (7 studies, n = 1920) at 6 months, 43.7% (12 studies, n = 1604) at 12 months, and 49.8% (8 studies, n = 2549) at 24 months or more of follow-up. Increased disability and intensive smoking cessation support programs were associated with a higher likelihood of smoking cessation, whereas alcohol consumption and depression had an inverse effect. Two studies showed that patients who quit smoking after a stroke or a TIA had substantially lower risk of recurrent stroke, death, and a composite of stroke, myocardial infarction, and death. CONCLUSION: Smoking cessation in stroke survivors is associated with reduced recurrent vascular events and death. About half of smokers who experience a stroke or a TIA stop smoking afterwards. Those with low post-stroke disability, who consume alcohol, or have depression are less likely to quit. Intensive support programs can increase the likelihood of smoking cessation.

Global Burden of Hepatitis B Infection in People Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: This meta-analysis was conducted to estimate the global burden of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH). METHODS: We searched multiple databases for studies published between January 1990 and December 2017. HBV infection (hepatitis B surface antigen) was diagnosed with serological assays. A random-effects meta-analysis served to pool data. RESULTS: We included 358 studies (834 544 PLWH from 87 countries). The pooled prevalence of HBV infection was 8.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.9%-8.8%), among which 26.8% (95% CI, 22.0%-31.9%) was positive to hepatitis B e antigen. HBV prevalence (with 95% CIs) differed according to region: West and Central Africa, 12.4% (11.0%-13.8%); Middle East and North Africa, 9.9% (6.0%-14.6%); Asia and the Pacific, 9.8% (8.7%-11.0%); Eastern and Southern Africa, 7.4% (6.4%-8.4%); Western and Central Europe and North America, 6.0% (5.5%-6.7%); and Latin America and the Caribbean, 5.1% (4.2%-6.2%) (P < .0001). The prevalence decreased from 10.4% in low-developed to 6.6% in highly developed countries (P < .0001) and increased from 7.3% in countries with HIV prevalence ≤1% to 9.7% in countries with HIV prevalence >1% (P < .0001). Globally, we estimated that there were 3 136 500 (95% CI, 2 952 000-3 284 100) cases of HBV in PLWH, with 73.8% of estimated regional cases from sub-Saharan Africa and 17.1% from Asia and the Pacific. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests a high burden of HBV infection in PLWH, with disparities according to region, level of development, and country HIV prevalence.

A review of the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation in sub-Saharan Africa.

This systematic review summarizes the data on the prevalence, risk factors, complications, and management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Bibliographic databases were searched from inception to 31 May 2019, to identify all published studies providing data on AF in populations living in SSA. A total of 72 studies were included. The community-based prevalence of AF was 4.3% and 0.7% in individuals aged ≥40 years and aged ≥70 years, respectively. The prevalence of AF ranged between 6.7% and 34.8% in patients with ischemic stroke, between 9.5% and 46.8% in those with rheumatic heart disease (RHD), between 5% and 31.5% in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy. The main risk factors for AF were hypertension, affecting at least one-third of patients with AF, and valvular heart disease (12.3%-44.4%) and cardiomyopathy (~20%). Complications of AF included heart failure in about two thirds and stroke in 10% to 15% of cases. The use of anticoagulation for stroke prevention was suboptimal. Rate control was the most frequent therapeutic strategy, used in approximately 65% to 95% of AF patients, with approximately 80% of them achieving rate control. The management of AF was associated with exorbitant cost. In conclusion, AF seems to have a higher prevalence in the general population than previously thought and is mostly associated with hypertension, cardiomyopathy, and RHD in SSA. It is associated with a high incidence of heart failure and stroke. The management of AF is suboptimal in SSA, especially with a low uptake of oral anticoagulation.

Grand multiparity in rural Cameroon: prevalence and adverse maternal and fetal delivery outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Grand multiparity is a major public health concern especially among developing countries and has been associated with higher risk of adverse maternal and fetal outcomes compared with women of lesser parity. There is a dearth of evidence on this subject in Cameroon, especially in the rural areas. We therefore carried out this study to document the prevalence and maternal and fetal delivery outcomes of grand multiparity in a rural Cameroonian setting. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective chart review of delivery records from two health facilities (the Oku District Hospital and Kevu Integrated Health Centre) in the Oku Health District over a period of eight years. Data was entered into and analyzed using Epi-Info version 7.0.8.3. The Chi-squared or Fisher's exact test was used to compare categorical variables. The threshold of statistical significance was set at 5%. RESULTS: A total of 1755 delivery records met our inclusion criteria. The overall prevalence of grand multiparity was 27.0%. We found no significant difference in the rate of selected maternal and fetal delivery outcomes between grand multiparous women and those with lesser parity (p-value> 0.05). However, grand multiparous women were less likely to develop second-fourth degree perineal tears compared to their counterparts with lesser parity (odds ratio = 0.3, 95% confidence interval = 0.2-0.7, p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our study depicts a high prevalence of grand multiparous delivery in this rural community. With the exception of severe perineal tear, grand multipara and their babies are as likely to develop adverse delivery outcomes as their counterparts with lesser parity. There is also the need to enhance existing government policies on reproductive health in rural areas.

Incidence and Risk Factors for Prediabetes and Diabetes Mellitus Among HIV-infected Adults on Antiretroviral Therapy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To summarize evidence on the rates and drivers of progression from normoglycemia to prediabetes and/or diabetes mellitus (hereafter "diabetes") in antiretroviral treatment (ART)-exposed HIV-infected people. METHODS: We searched EMBASE, PubMed, Web of Science, and Global Index Medicus to identify articles published from 1 January 2000 to 30 April 2017. A random-effects model produced a summary estimate of the incidence across studies and heterogeneity was assessed using Cochrane's Q statistic. RESULTS: We included 44 studies, whose methodologic quality was high with only 10 (30%) medium-quality studies and none of low quality. There was substantial heterogeneity between studies in estimates of the incidence of diabetes and prediabetes. The pooled incidence rate of overt diabetes and prediabetes were 13.7 per 1,000 person-years of follow-up (95% CI = 13, 20; I = 98.1%) among 396,496 person-years and 125 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI = 0, 123; I = 99.4) among 1,532 person-years, respectively. The major risk factors for diabetes and prediabetes were aging, family history of diabetes, Black or Hispanic origin, overweight/obesity, central obesity, lipodystrophy/lipoatrophy, dyslipidemia, metabolic syndrome, increased baseline fasting glycemia, and certain ART regimens. CONCLUSIONS: These data highlight the important and fast-increasing burden of diabetes and prediabetes among the ART-exposed HIV-infected population. More research is needed to better capture the interplay between prediabetes/diabetes and ART in HIV-infected patients, considering the increasing number of ART-exposed patients subsequent to the World Health Organization's recommendation of initiating ART at HIV infection diagnosis regardless of CD4 count and age.