Prevalence and associated risk factors of chlamydia and gonorrhoea infections among men who have sex with men in Durban, South Africa.

Despite significant research on the prevalence of STIs in South African men who have sex with men (MSM), recent data on the prevalence and risk factors for curable STI infections among this key populations are limited. This study determined the prevalence of and risk factors associated with Neisseria gonorrhoeae and Chlamydia trachomatis infections among MSM. The sample consisted of 200 MSM resident in Durban. Data were collected using a self-administered questionnaire, and urine samples were collected and tested for N. gonorrhoeae and C. trachomatis. The prevalence of N. gonorrhoeae and C. trachomatis were 3.0% and 6.0%, respectively. Younger age was significantly associated with testing positive for C. trachomatis (p=0.037). Being between the ages of 30-39 years old reduced the risk of acquiring C. trachomatis infection (OR: 0.10, 95% CI: 0.0120-0.7564, p=0.026). In addition, being circumcised reduced the risk of contracting C. trachomatis (adjusted OR: 0.01, 95% CI: 0.0005-0.3516, p=0.01). However, having between 2-4 sex partners increased the risk of testing positive for C. trachomatis (adjusted OR: 107.45, 95% CI: 1.3467-8573.3130, p=0.036). The following factors were significantly associated (p<0.05) with testing positive for N. gonorrhoeae infection: cohabiting with sex partner, engaging in group sex, and drug use. Fear and stigma were the main barriers to accessing health care in the studied population. This study provided evidence of high rates of C. trachomatis infection among MSM resident in Durban. Based on the results, South African MSM, especially the young MSM population, should be given priority when delivering intervention programs to prevent STIs.

Malgré des recherches importantes sur la prévalence des IST chez les hommes sud-africains ayant des rapports sexuels avec des hommes (HSH), les données récentes sur la prévalence et les facteurs de risque d'infections IST curables parmi ces populations clés sont limitées. Cette étude a déterminé la prévalence et les facteurs de risque associés aux infections à Neisseria gonorrhoeae et à Chlamydia trachomatis chez les HARSAH. L'échantillon était composé de 200 HSH résidant à Durban. Les données ont été collectées à l'aide d'un questionnaire auto-administré et des échantillons d'urine ont été collectés et testés pour N. gonorrhoeae et C. trachomatis. La prévalence de N. gonorrhoeae et de C. trachomatis était respectivement de 3,0 % et 6,0 %. Un âge plus jeune était significativement associé à un test positif pour C. trachomatis (p = 0,037). Le fait d'être âgé de 30 à 39 ans réduisait le risque de contracter une infection à C. trachomatis (OR : 0,10, IC à 95 % : 0,0120-0,7564, p = 0,026). De plus, être circoncis réduisait le risque de contracter C. trachomatis (OR ajusté : 0,01, IC à 95 % : 0,0005-0,3516, p=0,01). Cependant, avoir entre 2 et 4 partenaires sexuels augmentait le risque d'être testé positif pour C. trachomatis (OR ajusté : 107,45, IC à 95 % : 1,3467-8573,3130, p=0,036). Les facteurs suivants étaient significativement associés (p < 0,05) au test positif pour l'infection à N. gonorrhoeae : cohabitation avec un partenaire sexuel, participation à des relations sexuelles en groupe et consommation de drogues. La peur et la stigmatisation étaient les principaux obstacles à l'accès aux soins de santé dans la population étudiée. Cette étude a mis en évidence des taux élevés d'infection à C. trachomatis parmi les HSH résidant à Durban. Sur la base des résultats, les HSH sud-africains, en particulier la jeune population HSH, devraient être prioritaires lors de la mise en œuvre de programmes d'intervention visant à prévenir les IST.

An analysis of the relationship between HIV risk self-perception with sexual behaviour and HIV status in South African older adults.

Objective: To examine how older adults perceive their own risk of acquiring HIV; and how this perception correlates with their sexual behaviour and HIV status.Methods: We used cross-sectional survey data for 435 adults aged 50 years and older from South Africa. All participants completed a questionnaire on their basic socio-demographic and economic factors, self-reported health, sexual behaviour, HIV knowledge and attitudes, and self-perceived risk of HIV acquisition. In addition, anthropometrical measurements (weight, height, blood pressure, cholesterol) and HIV testing were conducted. Multinomial logistic regressions were used to determine the association between self-perceived HIV risk (categorised as "not at risk", at "low risk", at "high risk" and "didn't know") and being sexually active and testing HIV-positive, controlling for socio-demographic, behavioural and health-related factors.Results: Of the 435 respondents, 9.4% perceived themselves as at high risk of HIV infection, 18.9% as at low risk and 53.6% believed they were not at risk of HIV. Most respondent who perceived themselves as at low risk or not-at-risk at all of HIV were not sexually active. Older adults that were sexually active were more likely to consider themselves as at high risk of acquiring HIV (relative risk ratio [RRR] 2.05; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-4.00; p = 0.036), as well as to test HIV positive (RRR 10.5; 95% CI 3.8-29.1; p < 0.001). Self-perceived HIV risk was significantly associated with age, sex, population group, and a greater awareness about HIV and how it is transmitted.Conclusions: Older persons who perceived themselves as at high risk of HIV were closely associated with sexual activity and testing HIV positive. Therefore, there is an urgent need for older persons, particularly those who remain sexually active, to screen and test for HIV routinely. Furthermore, there should be policy and programme interventions, such as the development of a simple risk-assessment tool for older adults to determine their risk for HIV. Older persons have been neglected in sexual health and HIV programmes. There is, therefore, a need to encourage older persons to take up appropriate HIV risk reduction and prevention behaviours.

Prevalent Herpes Simplex Virus-2 Increases the Risk of Incident Bacterial Vaginosis in Women from South Africa.

Studies have shown that women diagnosed with herpes simplex virus-2 (HSV-2) have a higher risk for bacterial vaginosis (BV) infection. We investigated the presence of HSV-2 infections as a risk factor for incident BV infections in high risk, Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) uninfected women enrolled in a HIV prevention trial in Durban, South Africa. The Vaginal and Oral Interventions to Control the Epidemic trial was a multicentre, double blinded, randomized controlled trial which was designed to estimate the effectiveness of daily treatment with vaginal tenofovir gel, oral tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and oral Truvada in preventing HIV-1 infection in women. Women provided samples for the diagnosis of HSV-2 and BV. The presence of HSV-2 antibodies was detected using HerpeSelect™ ELISA IgG. Bacterial vaginosis was diagnosed using the Nugent scoring system. To assess the risk of BV incidence, modelled as a time-dependent variable, we used the Andersen-Gill model with robust variance estimation and Efron methods for ties. Overall, 2750 women were enrolled in the VOICE trial at our study sites. Women who had a HSV-2 infection at enrolment were shown to be at increased risk for incident BV infections (adjusted hazard ratio 1.17, 95% CI 1.08, 1.27, p ≤ 0.001). In addition, being of a young age, being unmarried and having a partner that has other partners were significantly associated with subsequent BV infection. Our findings therefore advocate the need for strengthening STI prevention efforts among women in high burden STI settings.

"A frightening experience, especially at our age": Examining the neglect and abuse of older persons in HIV prevention and care programs.

Background: As the global population ages and the HIV pandemic matures, a growing number of older persons aged ≥50 years are becoming increasingly vulnerable to acquiring HIV. Unfortunately, older persons are often neglected and left out of sexual health programs and services. This study explored the experiences of older persons living with and without HIV in accessing prevention and care services and how those experiences translate into the neglect and abuse of older persons. The study also explored older people's perspectives on community responses to HIV in older people. Methods: This qualitative analysis used data from 37 individuals who participated in focus group discussions conducted in 2017/2018 across two communities in Durban, South Africa. Using an interview guide and thematic content analysis, salient themes regarding attitudes to HIV in older persons and factors of access to HIV prevention and cares services for older persons were analyzed. Results: The study participant's mean age was 59.6 years. Major themes emerging from the data included factors impacting HIV prevention and transmission in older people; community responses to HIV contributing to the abuse of older people, and structural drivers of abuse in older people living with HIV (OPLHIV). Knowledge about HIV and how to protect themselves from HIV was limited among participants. Older persons were frightened to acquire HIV at an older age as they feared judgment and discrimination for getting HIV at that age. OPLHIV reported frequently experiencing community stigma and poor staff attitudes and practices at health facilities, such as a triage health delivery system that fueled community stigma. Participants also experienced neglect, verbal and emotional abuse at healthcare facilities. Conclusion: Although there were no reports of physical and sexual abuse of older persons in this study, this study shows that despite decades of HIV programs in the country, HIV-related stigma, discrimination, and disrespect of older persons remain pervasive in the community and at health facilities. As an increasing number of people age and live longer with HIV, the neglect and outright abuse of older persons need urgent policy and program interventions.

An economic incentive package to support the wellbeing of caregivers of adolescents living with HIV during the COVID-19 pandemic in South Africa: a feasibility study protocol for a pilot randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: The mental and financial strain linked to unpaid caregiving has been amplified during the COVID-19 pandemic. In sub-Saharan Africa, carers of adolescents living with HIV (ALHIV) are critical for maintenance of optimum HIV treatment outcomes. However, the ability of caregivers to provide quality care to ALHIV is undermined by their ability to maintain their own wellbeing due to multiple factors (viz. poverty, stigma, lack of access to social support services) which have been exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Economic incentives, such as cash incentives combined with SMS reminders, have been shown to improve wellbeing. However, there is a lack of preliminary evidence on the potential of economic incentives to promote caregiver wellbeing in this setting, particularly in the context of a pandemic. This protocol outlines the design of a parallel-group pilot randomised trial comparing the feasibility and preliminary effectiveness of an economic incentive package versus a control for improving caregiver wellbeing. METHODS: Caregivers of ALHIV will be recruited from public-sector HIV clinics in the south of the eThekwini municipality, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Participants will be randomly assigned to one of the following groups: (i) the intervention group (n = 50) will receive three cash payments (of ZAR 350, approximately 23 USD), coupled with a positive wellbeing message over a 3-month period; (ii) the control group (n = 50) will receive a standard message encouraging linkage to health services. Participants will be interviewed at baseline and at endline (12 weeks) to collect socio-demographic, food insecurity, health status, mental health (stigma, depressive symptoms) and wellbeing data. The primary outcome measure, caregiver wellbeing, will be measured using the CarerQoL instrument. A qualitative study will be conducted alongside the main trial to understand participant views on participation in the trial and their feedback on study activities. DISCUSSION: This study will provide scientific direction for the design of a larger randomised controlled trial exploring the effects of an economic incentive for improving caregiver wellbeing. The feasibility of conducting study activities and delivering the intervention remotely in the context of a pandemic will also be provided. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PACTR202203585402090. Registry name: Pan African Clinical Trials Registry (PACTR); URL: https://pactr.samrc.ac.za/ ; Registration. date: 24 March 2022 (retrospectively registered); Date first participant enrolled: 03 November 2021.

An investigation of factors associated with the health and well-being of HIV-infected or HIV-affected older people in rural South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Despite the severe impact of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa, the health of older people aged 50+ is often overlooked owing to the dearth of data on the direct and indirect effects of HIV on older people's health status and well-being. The aim of this study was to examine correlates of health and well-being of HIV-infected older people relative to HIV-affected people in rural South Africa, defined as participants with an HIV-infected or death of an adult child due to HIV-related cause. METHODS: Data were collected within the Africa Centre surveillance area using instruments adapted from the World Health Organization (WHO) Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE). A stratified random sample of 422 people aged 50+ participated. We compared the health correlates of HIV-infected to HIV-affected participants using ordered logistic regressions. Health status was measured using three instruments: disability index, quality of life and composite health score. RESULTS: Median age of the sample was 60 years (range 50-94). Women HIV-infected (aOR 0.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.08-0.29) and HIV-affected (aOR 0.20, 95% CI 0.08-0.50), were significantly less likely than men to be in good functional ability. Women's adjusted odds of being in good overall health state were similarly lower than men's; while income and household wealth status were stronger correlates of quality of life. HIV-infected participants reported better functional ability, quality of life and overall health state than HIV-affected participants. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: The enhanced healthcare received as part of anti-retroviral treatment as well as the considerable resources devoted to HIV care appear to benefit the overall well-being of HIV-infected older people; whereas similar resources have not been devoted to the general health needs of HIV uninfected older people. Given increasing numbers of older people, policy and programme interventions are urgently needed to holistically meet the health and well-being needs of older people beyond the HIV-related care system.

Disability, a priority area for health research in South Africa: an analysis of the burden of disease study 2017.

PURPOSE: Disabilities are increasing globally, which is attributed to the overall ageing of populations in affluent countries. This trend may differ in low and middle-income countries. This paper assesses the change over time in Years Lived with Disability (YLD) for South Africa and how this compares to regional and global trends. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This secondary analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 dataset describes the observed contribution of YLD to Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) per 100 000 people over the period 1990-2016, and forecast to 2030 using simple linear prediction. South African trends are compared to global and sub-Saharan African (SSA) trends to highlight the effect of HIV and policy implications. RESULTS: Globally, the contribution of YLD to DALYs has increased from ±21.7% in 1990 to ±34% by 2016, with high socio-demographic index countries having a higher contribution (49%). HIV, mental health, musculoskeletal, neurological, and sense organ disorders are the five main contributors to YLD in South Africa (54%). Removing the effects of HIV/AIDS and sexually transmitted infections on YLD, South Africa's trend appears similar to the global trend, yet opposite to the SSA trend. CONCLUSION: Our analysis shows there is a growing burden of disability in South Africa. Differences in trends with the regional and global patterns can be attributed to the high burden of HIV and non-communicable diseases in South Africa. Therefore, strategies are urgently needed to increase integration of disability and rehabilitation services into chronic HIV and non-communicable disease management. This calls for disability screening to identify functional limitations in routine data collection and case management.IMPLICATIONS FOR REHABILITATIONSouth Africa has experienced an increase in disability prevalence over time.This requires strengthening of services such as mental health interventions, physiotherapy, optometry, and audiology, and linking major disease clusters, such as HIV and the NCDs, to rehabilitation services.The greatest contributors towards disability adjusted life years in South Africa are currently mental disorders (13.8%), HIV and sexually transmitted infections (11.8%), musculoskeletal disorders (10.4%), neurological disorders (8.2%), and sense organ diseases (7.5%).Routine data collection and case management needs to include disability screening to identify developing functional limitations.

Assessment of cardiovascular disease risks using Framingham risk scores (FRS) in HIV-positive and HIV-negative older adults in South Africa.

The relationship between HIV and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remains complex. The aim of this study was to estimate the 10-year CVD risk among HIV-positive and HIV-negative people. The validated Framingham Risk Score (FRS) based on the Framingham Heart study was used to predict the CVD risk. Data for this analysis came from a 2016 cross-sectional study of South African community-dwelling older adults (≥50 years). Logistic regression models were constructed to assess the association between CVD risk and HIV. 403 respondents with a mean age 60 (SD = 6.7) years were enrolled, of whom 70% were female, 75% black African, 21.9% smokers, 77.2% never did any vigorous physical activity, and 17% were HIV-positive. The average 10-year CVD risk was 17%; significantly higher in men than women (23.2 vs 14.3%, p < 0.001). Overall, 33% had low CVD risk (FRS < 10%), 39% intermediate (FRS 10-19%) and 28% high risk (FRS ≥ 20%). Furthermore, participants who were HIV-positive were less likely than HIV-negative participants to have high CVD risk (aOR 0.27, 95% CI 0.11-0.66, p = 0.004). These findings of HIV-positive respondents having lower CVD risk than HIV-negative respondents could be due to three issues i) HIV-positive people having lesser cardio-metabolic disease risk factors; ii) possibly higher health care utilization by HIV-positive people; and/or iii) the neglect of HIV-negative people in HIV focused health systems. Periodic cardiovascular disease monitoring using tools like the Framingham Risk Scores is needed. Furthermore, studies with more robust designs are needed to further elucidate the relationship between HIV and CVD risks in HIV endemic sub-Saharan Africa.

Herpes simplex virus-2 infections in pregnant women from South Africa: Evaluation of the ImmunoFLOW rapid test.

The diagnostic performance of ImmunoFLOW, a rapid test for detecting herpes simplex virus type-2 (HSV-2) infections, was investigated in 248 antenatal women. Approximately one hundred and seventy-seven (71%) of the enrolled women were infected with HSV-2. Sero-positivity was associated with older age ([≥ 30 years] 104/177, 58%), having a secondary level of education but not tertiary level of education (125/177, 70.6%), and being unmarried (150/177, 84.7%). The sensitivity of the ImmunoFLOW test in relation to the HerpeSelect HSV-2 enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was 89.7% and specificity was 96.2%. The ImmunoFLOW therefore can serve as a valuable test in screening for HSV-2 infections in pregnant women.

Health expenditure and catastrophic spending among older adults living with HIV.

INTRODUCTION: The burden of HIV is increasing among adults aged over 50, who generally experience increased risk of cormorbid illnesses and poorer financial protection. We compared patterns of health utilisation and expenditure among HIV-positive and HIV-negative adults over 50. METHODS: Data were drawn from the Study on global AGEing and adult health in South Africa with analysis focusing on individual and household-level data of 147 HIV-positive and 2725 HIV-negative respondents. RESULTS: HIV-positive respondents reported lower utilisation of private health-care facilities (11.8%) than HIV-negative respondents (25.0%) (p = .03) and generally had more negative attitudes towards health system responsiveness than HIV-negative counterparts. Less than 10% of HIV-positive and HIV-negative respondents experienced catastrophic health expenditure (CHE). Women (OR 1.8; p < .001) and respondents from rural settings (OR 2.9; p < .01) had higher odds of CHE than men or respondents in urban settings. Over half the respondents in both groups indicated that they had received free health care. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that although HIV-positive and HIV-negative older adults in South Africa are protected to some extent from CHE, inequalities still exist in access to and quality of care available at health-care services - which can inform South Africa's development of a national health insurance scheme.

Decreased chronic morbidity but elevated HIV associated cytokine levels in HIV-infected older adults receiving HIV treatment: benefit of enhanced access to care?

BACKGROUND: The association of HIV with chronic morbidity and inflammatory markers (cytokines) in older adults (50+years) is potentially relevant for clinical care, but data from African populations is scarce. OBJECTIVE: To examine levels of chronic morbidity by HIV and ART status in older adults (50+years) and subsequent associations with selected pro-inflammatory cytokines and body mass index. METHODS: Ordinary, ordered and generalized ordered logistic regression techniques were employed to compare chronic morbidity (heart disease (angina), arthritis, stroke, hypertension, asthma and diabetes) and cytokines (Interleukins-1 and -6, C-Reactive Protein and Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha) by HIV and ART status on a cross-sectional random sample of 422 older adults nested within a defined rural South African population based demographic surveillance. RESULTS: Using a composite measure of all morbidities, controlling for age, gender, BMI, smoking and wealth quintile, HIV-infected individuals on ART had 51% decreased odds (95% CI:0.26-0.92) of current morbidity compared to HIV-uninfected. In adjusted regression, compared to HIV-uninfected, the proportional odds (aPOR) of having elevated inflammation markers of IL6 (>1.56 pg/mL) was nearly doubled in HIV-infected individuals on (aPOR 1.84; 95%CI: 1.05-3.21) and not on (aPOR 1.94; 95%CI: 1.11-3.41) ART. Compared to HIV-uninfected, HIV-infected individuals on ART had >twice partial proportional odds (apPOR=2.30;p=0.004) of having non-clinically significant raised hsCRP levels(>1 ug/mL); ART-naïve HIV-infected individuals had >double apPOR of having hsCRP levels indicative of increased heart disease risk(>3.9 ug/mL;p=0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Although HIV status was associated with increased inflammatory markers, our results highlight reduced morbidity in those receiving ART and underscore the need of pro-actively extending these services to HIV-uninfected older adults, beyond mere provision at fixed clinics. Providing health services through regular community chronic disease screening would ensure health care reaches all older adults in need.

Health, wellbeing, and disability among older people infected or affected by HIV in Uganda and South Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To describe and compare the health status, emotional wellbeing, and functional status of older people in Uganda and South Africa who are HIV infected or affected by HIV in their families. METHODS: Data came from the general population cohort and Entebbe cohort of the Medical Research Council/Uganda Virus Research Institute, and from the Africa Centre Demographic Information System through cross-sectional surveys in 2009/10 using instruments adapted from the World Health Organization (WHO) Study on Global Ageing and Adult Health (SAGE). Analysis was based on 932 people aged 50 years or older (510 Uganda, 422 South Africa). RESULTS: Participants in South Africa were slightly younger (median age - 60 years in South Africa, 63 in Uganda), and more were currently married, had no formal education, were not working, and were residing in a rural area. Adjusting for socio-demographic factors, older people in South Africa were significantly less likely to have good functional ability [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.72, 95% CI 0.53-0.98] than those in Uganda, but were more likely to be in good subjective wellbeing (aOR 2.15, 95% CI 1.60-2.90). South Africans were more likely to be obese (aOR 5.26, 95% CI 3.46-8.00) or to be diagnosed with hypertension (aOR 2.77, 95% CI 2.06-3.73). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: While older people's health problems are similar in the two countries, marked socio-demographic differences influence the extent to which older people are affected by poorer health. It is therefore imperative when designing policies to improve the health and wellbeing of older people in sub-Saharan Africa that the region is not treated as a homogenous entity.

Gender differentials in the impact of parental death: Adolescent's sexual behaviour and risk of HIV infection in rural South Africa.

Using data from a longitudinal surveillance study from rural South Africa, we investigated the odds of sexual debut, pregnancy and HIV infection of 15- to 19-year-old adolescents by parental survival. Using descriptive statistics and logistic regressions, we examine the relative risk of orphans compared with non-orphans to have ever had sex, being pregnant and being HIV infected, adjusting for age, sex, socio-economic status, education, being employed and residency. Of 8274 adolescents, 42% were orphaned (one or both parents died). Over 80% of adolescents remained in school, but orphans were significantly more likely to lag behind in grade for age. Female adolescent maternal (aOR 1.32, 95% CI 1.071.62), paternal (aOR 1.26, 95% CI 1.061.49) and dual (aOR 1.37, 95% CI 1.051.78) orphans were significantly more likely than non-orphaned females to have ever had sex; among males it was only paternal (aOR 1.27, 95% CI 1.051.53) orphans. Maternal (aOR 1.49, 95% CI 1.032.15) and dual (aOR 1.74, 95% CI 1.112.73) female orphans relative to non-orphaned females were significantly more likely to be HIV infected; male paternal (aOR 3.41, 95% CI 1.378.46) and dual (aOR 3.54, 95% CI 1.0611.86) orphans had over three-fold the odds of being infected. There was strong evidence that death of mother for girls was associated with increased vulnerability to earlier sexual debut and HIV infection, while fathers appeared to play a significant role in both their son's and daughter's lives.

Adjusting HIV prevalence for survey non-response using mortality rates: an application of the method using surveillance data from Rural South Africa.

BACKGROUND: The main source of HIV prevalence estimates are household and population-based surveys; however, high refusal rates may hinder the interpretation of such estimates. The study objective was to evaluate whether population HIV prevalence estimates can be adjusted for survey non-response using mortality rates. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Data come from the longitudinal Africa Centre Demographic Information System (ACDIS), in rural South Africa. Mortality rates for persons tested and not tested in the 2005 HIV surveillance were available from routine household surveillance. Assuming HIV status among individuals contacted but who refused to test (non-response) is missing at random and mortality among non-testers can be related to mortality of those tested a mathematical model was developed. Non-parametric bootstrapping was used to estimate the 95% confidence intervals around the estimates. Mortality rates were higher among untested (16.9 per thousand person-years) than tested population (11.6 per thousand person-years), suggesting higher HIV prevalence in the former. Adjusted HIV prevalence for females (15-49 years) was 31.6% (95% CI 26.1-37.1) compared to observed 25.2% (95% CI 24.0-26.4). For males (15-49 years) adjusted HIV prevalence was 19.8% (95% CI 14.8-24.8), compared to observed 13.2% (95% CI 12.1-14.3). For both sexes (15-49 years) combined, adjusted prevalence was 27.5% (95% CI 23.6-31.3), and observed prevalence was 19.7% (95% CI 19.6-21.3). Overall, observed prevalence underestimates the adjusted prevalence by around 7 percentage points (37% relative difference). CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: We developed a simple approach to adjust HIV prevalence estimates for survey non-response. The approach has three features that make it easy to implement and effective in adjusting for selection bias than other approaches. Further research is needed to assess this approach in populations with widely available HIV treatment (ART).

Mortality levels and trends by HIV serostatus in rural South Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To examine mortality differentials in HIV-infected and uninfected adults by demographic characteristics and the effect of non-testing on the level and pattern of age-sex specific mortality. METHODS: Three annual prospective population-based HIV surveys between 2003 and 2006 provide information regarding individual adult HIV status; households were visited twice a year to collect information about births, deaths, migrations and other demographic, health and socioeconomic data. Deaths and person-years of exposure were aggregated for each calendar year between 2004 and 2006, from which mortality rates were derived. The association between risk factors and mortality was assessed using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: The observed rate of mortality in individuals who did not consent to HIV testing was four to seven times higher, and that in HIV-infected adults 11-19 times higher than mortality in HIV-negative individuals. After adjusting for age, sex and socioeconomic status, HIV-infected individuals had a ninefold greater hazard of dying than uninfected individuals. Mortality rates increased with age and peak in the 45-54 years age group, irrespective of HIV status. Multivariably, age and sex were significantly associated with the hazard of dying, but place of residency and socioeconomic status were not. Overall mortality declined from 71 to 48 deaths per 1000 person-years between 2005 and 2006. CONCLUSION: The substantial decline in mortality after 2004 is likely to be largely attributable to the increasing availability of antiretroviral therapy. Detailed investigation of the characteristics of the not-tested individuals is needed to understand their impact on mortality patterns.