[Regional differences in cardiovascular mortality transition in Brazil, 1980 to 2012]. / Diferenças regionais na transição da mortalidade por doenças cardiovasculares no Brasil, 1980 a 2012.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the time trend of cardiovascular mortality from 1980 to 2012. METHODS: We performed an ecological time series study of cardiovascular mortality in Brazil. Data regarding deaths were obtained from the Mortality Information System and divided into two groups: deaths from ischemic heart disease (IHD) and deaths from cerebrovascular disorders (CBVD). RESULTS: A -34.73% variation in IHD standardized mortality rates was recorded for Brazil. Concerning specific regions, an increase was observed in the Northeast (117.98%%) and the Midwest (10.26%). IHD mortality rates fell in the Southeast (-53.08%), South (-44.56%) and North (-4.39%). For CBVD, the overall variation was -48.10%. Mortality rates were reduced in most regions: -61.99% in the Southeast, -55.49% in the South, -26.91% in the Midwest, and -20.78% in the North. Only the Northeast recorded an increase in CBVD mortality (13.77%). CONCLUSIONS: We observed an overall declining trend for IHD and CBVD mortality in Brazil from 1980 to 2012, with strong regional variation. Mortality rates were highest in the Southeast and South for both groups of disorders, and lowest in the North and Northeast. Surveillance efforts should take into account the regional differences in epidemiological profile.

PANCREATIC CANCER MORTALITY TRENDS AND CORRELATION WITH HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (HDI) IN BRAZIL OVER 40 YEARS.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer mortality is greater in countries with a high Human Development Index (HDI). This study analyzed pancreatic cancer mortality rates trends, and their correlation with HDI in Brazil over 40 years. METHODS: Data on pancreatic cancer mortality in Brazil between 1979 and 2019 were obtained from the Mortality Information System (SIM). Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and Annual Average Percent Change (AAPC) were calculated. Pearson's correlation test was applied to compare mortality rates and HDI for three periods: 1986-1995 was correlated with HDI of 1991, 1996-2005 with HDI of 2000, and 2006-2015 with HDI of 2010; and to the correlation of AAPC versus the percentage change in HDI from 1991 to 2010. RESULTS: A total of 209,425 deaths from pancreatic cancer were reported in Brazil, with an annual increase of 1.5% in men and 1.9% in women. There was an upward trend for mortality in most Brazilian states, with the highest trends observed in the North and Northeast states. A positive correlation between pancreatic mortality and HDI was observed over the three decades (r>0.80, P<0.05) and also between AAPC and HDI improvement by sex (r=0.75 for men and r=0.78 for women, P<0.05). CONCLUSION: There was an upward trend in pancreatic cancer mortality in Brazil for both sexes, but rates among women were higher. Mortality trends were higher in states with a higher percentage improvement in HDI, such as the North and Northeast states.

Prostate cancer mortality in Brazil 1990-2019: geographical distribution and trends.

INTRODUCTION: To analyze the trend of prostate cancer mortality in the Brazilian population of 40 years of age and above. METHODS: Time series ecological study of the mortality rates due to prostate cancer in men of 40 years of age and above, using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD). Age-standardized mortality rates were calculated, as well as the age-standardized rates by the GBD for the global population, per 100,000 inhabitants, for Brazil and its States, from 1990 to 2019. The annual average percent change (AAPC) was calculated to identify the mortality trends in Brazil, through linear regression using the Joinpoint Regression Program. RESULTS: The standardized rates of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil were 76.89 in 1990 and 74.96 deaths for every 100 thousand men ≥ 40 years of age in 2019, with a stability trend. By age group, it was observed a decreasing trend up to 79 years of age, and an increasing trend as of 80 years of age. The state of Bahia showed the highest increase in mortality in the period (1.2%/year), followed by Maranhão and Pernambuco (1.0 and 0.9%/year). A decrease of prostate cancer mortality was found in the Federal District, Goiás, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul, Roraima, Santa Catarina, São Paulo, and Sergipe. CONCLUSIONS: In Brazil, the standardized mortality rates show a trend toward stability from 1990 to 2019 and no pattern was observed for the trends according to the Brazilian States.

Incidence and mortality rates of lip, oral cavity, and pharynx cancers in Brazil: time-trend and age-period-cohort analysis from the last 30 years, Global Burden of Disease Study.

INTRODUCTION: Cancers are the second main cause of morbidity worldwide, but robust information on lip, oral cavity, and pharynx cancers in Brazil is lacking. This study aimed to analyze the trends of incidence and mortality caused by lip, oral cavity, and pharynx cancers and age-period-cohort effects in the Brazilian population of 30 years of age and over, in the period of 1990 to 2019. METHODS: A time series study of the incidence and mortality rates for oral cavity and pharynx cancer ("Lip and oral cavity cancer", "Nasopharynx cancer", and "Other pharynx cancer") was conducted, with corrected data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. Age-standardized rates per 100,000 inhabitants, for the global population, were gathered according to the individuals' sex. The annual average percentage change (AAPC) was estimated, as was the age-period-cohort effects. RESULTS: The incidence and mortality rates were higher for men in the studied anatomical regions. The cancers tended to decrease for men, except for nasopharynx cancer, which increased in individuals of both sexes. Mortality tended to present a decline in most of the groups studied. For men and women, the age-period-cohort model presented a better adjustment for both incidence and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence and mortality caused by the main head and neck cancers showed a tendency to decline over the past 30 years in Brazil, except for nasopharynx cancer, which showed an increase in incidence and mortality in some segments of the population. Higher rates were found for lip and oral cavity cancers in men.

Monitoring the goals of the plans for coping with Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases: results of the National Health Survey, Brazil, 2013 and 2019. / Monitoramento das metas dos planos de enfrentamento das Doenças Crônicas Não Transmissíveis: resultados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde, 2013 e 2019.

OBJECTIVE: To monitor the achievement of the action plans for the prevention and control of Non-Communicable Diseases agreed-upon targets. METHODS: Cross-sectional study, with data from the 2013 and 2019 National Health Survey. The following targets, up to 2025, were evaluated: physical inactivity, alcohol consumption, salt/sodium, tobacco use, high blood pressure, diabetes, overweight, obesity, cervical cytology testing, and drug therapy and counseling. To check whether the targets were achieved, the prevalence ratio was calculated (PR). RESULTS: 60,202 individuals were assessed in 2013, and 88,531 in 2019. The targets for physical inactivity (PR = 0.88; 95%CI 0.86;0.90) and cervical cytology coverage (79.4%; 95%CI 78.3;80.3) were achieved. Tobacco use was reduced, albeit below the target. The prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, overweight, obesity and alcohol consumption increased, and the targets will not be attained. CONCLUSION: Two indicators reached the agreed targets, however it is necessary to advance in actions and policies to meet the others.

Effects of age, period, and birth cohort on homicide mortality in the city of São Paulo, Brazil, from 1996 to 2015.

Although São Paulo is the most populous city in Brazil - one of the world's most violent countries - a significant reduction in its homicide mortality rate (HMR) has been detected. This study aims to estimate the effects of age, period, and birth cohort on the trend of homicide mortality according to sex in the city of São Paulo, from 1996 to 2015. An ecological study was undertaken with data on deaths by homicide for both sexes, in all age brackets, in the city of São Paulo. Poisson models were adjusted for each sex to estimate the age-period-cohort effects. In total, 61,833 deaths by homicide were recorded among males and 5,109 among females. Regardless of the period, the highest HMR occurred in the 20-24 age bracket. Higher HMRs were found in those born in the 1970s and 1980s. The complete model, with age-period-cohort effects, were the best fit to the data. The risk of death by homicide declined over the periods, with lower intensity in the final five years (2011-2015), for both males (RR = 0.48; 95%CI: 0.46; 0.49) and females (RR = 0.52; 95%CI: 0.47; 0.57). A reduction was found in the risk of homicide, regardless of the sex or age bracket, and also in recent cohorts. However, the intensity of such reductions has been decreasing over time, which suggests that the public policies adopted have limited potential to maintain these achievements.

ESOPHAGEAL CANCER MORTALITY IN BRAZIL: A TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS FROM THE GLOBAL BURDEN OF DISEASE STUDY.

BACKGROUND: In the world, around 450,000 new cases of esophageal cancer are diagnosed each year. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the trend of esophageal cancer mortality rates in Brazil between 1990-2017. METHODS: A time series study using data on mortality from esophageal cancer in residents ≥30 years in Brazil from 1990 to 2017. Data was estimated by the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study and analyzed according to sex, age group and federal unit of Brazil. The standardized rates according to age were calculated by the direct method using the standard GBD world population. Annual average percentage change and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were calculated for mortality by Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: The age-standardized mortality rate in males was 20.6 in 1990 and 17.6/100,000 in 2017, increasing according to age, being 62.4 (1990) and 54.7 (2017) for ≥70 years. In women, the age-standardized mortality rate was 5.9 in 1990 and 4.2/100,000 in 2017. There was a reduction in mortality rates in all age groups and both sexes with great variation among the states. CONCLUSION: Despite the high mortality rates for esophageal cancer in Brazil, the trend was decreasing, but with regional differences. Mortality was around four times higher in men.

Health insurance coverage in Brazil: analyzing data from the National Health Survey, 2013 and 2019. / Cobertura de plano de saúde no Brasil: análise dos dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde 2013 e 2019.

This paper aimed to describe health insurance coverage in Brazil. Data from the 2013 and 2019 editions of the National Health Survey (PNS) were analyzed. The medical or dental health insurance coverage was analyzed according to demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, work status, urban/rural area, and Federation Unit. Coverage of medical or dental health insurance was 27.9% (95% CI: 27.1-28.8) for 2013 and 28.5% (95% CI: 27.8-29.2) for 2019. The results show coverage is still concentrated in large urban centers, in the Southeast and South, among those with better socioeconomic status and some formal employment. In 2019, only 30.7% of formal workers reported the monthly payment is made directly to the providers, while 72.7% of informal workers reported this information. About 92% of medical health insurance covers hospitalization, and almost 20% of women with health insurance are not covered for labor. Only 11.7% of women aged between 15 and 44 are covered for childbirth by health insurance. The results show the health insurance coverage is still quite unequal, reinforcing the Unified Health System (SUS) importance for the Brazilian population.

Este artigo objetivou descrever a cobertura de plano de saúde no Brasil. Foram analisados dados das edições de 2013 e 2019 da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde. A cobertura de plano de saúde médico ou odontológico foi analisada segundo características sociodemográficas, econômicas, de trabalho, situação censitária e Unidade da Federação. A cobertura de plano de saúde médico ou odontológico foi 27,9% (IC95%: 27,1-28,8) para 2013 e 28,5% (IC95%: 27,8-29,2) para 2019. Os resultados mostram que a cobertura continua concentrada nos grandes centros urbanos, nas regiões Sudeste e Sul, entre aqueles com melhor nível socioeconômico e aqueles que possuem algum vínculo de trabalho formal. Em 2019, dentre os trabalhadores formalizados, somente 30,7% relatou que o pagamento da mensalidade é feito diretamente a operadora, sendo 72,7% dentre os trabalhadores informais. Cerca de 92% dos planos de saúde médico cobrem internação e dentre as mulheres com plano de saúde, quase 20% delas não possuem cobertura para o parto. Apenas 11,7% das mulheres com idade entre 15 e 44 anos possuem cobertura para o parto através do plano de saúde. Os resultados mostram que a cobertura por plano de saúde mantém-se bastante desigual, reforçando a importância do Sistema Único de Saúde para a população brasileira.

Temporal trend of overweight and obesity prevalence among Brazilian adults, according to sociodemographic characteristics, 2006-2019. / Tendência temporal da prevalência do excesso de peso e obesidade na população adulta brasileira, segundo características sociodemográficas, 2006-2019.

OBJETIVO: To analyze the temporal trend of overweight and obesity prevalence rates among adults in the Brazilian state capitals and Federal District between 2006 and 2019. METHODS: This was a time series study using data from the Surveillance System for Risk and Protective Factors for Chronic Diseases by Telephone Survey, 2006-2019 (n=730,309). Prevalence of overweight and obesity for each of the years was analyzed, according to combined sex, age, and schooling. Temporal variation trend was analyzed using Prais-Winsten regression. RESULTS: Variations in overweight prevalence were observed, mainly among males 18-24 years old with up to 8 years of schooling (3.17%/year) and among women between 18-24 years old with more than 12 or more years of schooling (6.81% /year). Variations in obesity prevalence were found mainly among women 18-24 years old with more than 12 years of schooling (10.79%/year). CONCLUSION: There was an increase in overweight and obesity in most of the socio-demographic strata studied, especially among more educated young people.

National Health Survey 2019: history, methods and perspectives. / Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde 2019: histórico, métodos e perspectivas.

This article presents the history and construction of the National Health Survey (PNS) 2019, a household survey conducted in partnership with the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics. The objective of PNS 2019 was to provide the country with information on the health determinants, conditionants and needs of the Brazilian population. The expected sample was 108,525 households, considering a 20% non-response rate. The questionnaire had three parts, covering: (i) the household; (ii) all residents of the household, focusing on collection of socioeconomic and health information; and (iii) the selected resident (15 years old or more) for whom lifestyles, chronic diseases, violence, among other topics were investigated, as well as their anthropometric measurements (subsample). The information provided by PNS 2019 will serve as a basis for the (re)formulation of health policies, as well as support for existing actions and programs of the Brazilian National Health System.

Este artigo apresenta o histórico e a construção da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde (PNS) 2019, inquérito de base domiciliar realizado em parceria com o Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. O objetivo da PNS 2019 foi dotar o país de informações sobre os determinantes, condicionantes e necessidades de saúde da população brasileira. A amostra prevista foi de 108.525 domicílios particulares, considerando-se uma taxa de não resposta de 20%. Seu questionário continha três partes, orientadas para (i) o domicílio, (ii) todos os moradores do domicílio, com enfoque na coleta de informações socioeconômicas e de saúde, e (iii) o morador selecionado (idade ≥15 anos), sendo investigados estilos de vida, doenças crônicas, violências, entre outros temas, e aferidas medidas antropométricas (subamostra). As informações da PNS 2019 servirão de base para a (re)formulação de políticas de saúde e subsídio a ações e programas existentes do Sistema Único de Saúde.

Este artículo presenta la historia y la construcción de la Encuesta Nacional de Salud (PNS) 2019, una encuesta domiciliaria realizada en colaboración con el Instituto Brasileño de Geografía y Estadística. El objetivo de la PNS fue proporcionar al país información sobre los determinantes, las condiciones y las necesidades de salud de la población brasileña. La muestra esperada fue de 108.525 hogares particulares, considerando una tasa de no respuesta del 20%. Su cuestionario contenía tres partes: (i) con respecto al hogar; (ii) dirigido a todos los residentes, centrándose en la recopilación de información socioeconómica y de salud; y (iii) al residente seleccionado (15 años o más) de quien se investigó estilos de vida, enfermedades crónicas, violencia, entre otros temas y se compararon las medidas antropométricas (submuestra). La información de la PNS 2019 servirá como base para la (re)formulación de políticas de salud y para apoyar acciones y programas existentes en el Sistema Único de Salud.

SURVIVAL OF PATIENTS WITH COLORECTAL CANCER IN A CANCER CENTER.

BACKGROUND: Hospital-based studies recently have shown increases in colorectal cancer survival, and better survival for women, young people, and patients diagnosed at an early disease stage. OBJECTIVE: To describe the overall survival and analyze the prognostic factors of patients treated for colorectal cancer at an oncology center. METHODS: The analysis included patients diagnosed with colon and rectal adenocarcinoma between 2000 and 2013 and identified in the Hospital Cancer Registry at A.C.Camargo Cancer Center. Overall 5-year survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and prognostic factors were evaluated in a Cox regression model. Hazard ratios (HR) are reported with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Of 2,279 colorectal cancer cases analyzed, 58.4% were in the colon. The 5-year overall survival rate for colorectal cancer patients was 63.5% (65.6% and 60.6% for colonic and rectal malignancies, respectively). The risk of death was elevated for patients in the 50-74-year (HR=1.24, 95%CI =1.02-1.51) and ≥75-year (HR=3.02, 95%CI =2.42-3.78) age groups, for patients with rectal cancer (HR=1.37, 95%CI =1.11-1.69) and for those whose treatment was started >60 days after diagnosis (HR=1.22, 95%CI =1.04-1.43). The risk decreased for patients diagnosed in recent time periods (2005-2009 HR=0.76, 95%CI =0.63-0.91; 2010-2013 HR=0.69, 95%CI =0.57-0.83). CONCLUSION: Better survival of patients with colorectal cancer improves with early stage and started treatment within 60 days of diagnosis. Age over 70 years old was an independent factor predictive of a poor prognosis. The overall survival increased to all patients treated in the period 2000-2004 to 2010-2013.

Survival trends of patients with oral and oropharyngeal cancer treated at a cancer center in São Paulo, Brazil.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to estimate the overall survival (OS) and conditional survival (CS) in patients diagnosed with oral and oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and to determine their survival trends. METHODS: The study included all consecutive patients treated at the A.C. Camargo Cancer Center for oral or oropharyngeal SCC between 2001 and 2012. Data were obtained from the Hospital Cancer Registry. OS and CS were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method to evaluate the probability of survival with Cox predictor models. RESULTS: Data of 505 oral and 380 oropharyngeal SCC patients obtained in 2001-2006 and 2007-2012 were analyzed. Most of the oral SCC (59%) and oropharyngeal SCC (90%) patients had stages III-IV SCC. The 5-year OS for patients with oral SCC was 51.7%, with no significant difference between the first and second periods. The CS rates in 2007-2012 were 65% after the first year and 86% up to the fifth year. For oropharyngeal SCC, the 5-year OS rate was 45.0% in the first period. The survival rate increased to 49.1% from 2007 to 2012, with a reduction in the risk of death (HR=0.69;0.52-09.2). The CS estimates from 2007 to 2012 were 59% after the first year and 75% up to the fifth year. CONCLUSION: Survival across the two time periods remained stable for oral SCC but showed a significant increase for oropharyngeal SCC, possibly because of improvements in the patients' response to radiotherapy, such as intensity-modulated radiation therapy, and the use of more accurate diagnostic imaging approaches.

Cancer Mortality Among Adolescents and Young Adults (15-29 Years Old) According to the Population Size of Brazilian Municipalities.

Objective: Analyze cancer mortality and trends among adolescents and young adults (AYAs) according to the population size of Brazilian municipalities. Methods: Ecological study on cancer mortality time trends between 1996 and 2012. Brazilian municipalities were stratified according to the number of inhabitants: ≤49,999; 50,000-99,999; 100,000-499,999; and ≥500,000. Death data were collected from the Mortality Information System. Time trends were estimated with the Joinpoint Regression Program. Results: Age-standardized cancer mortality rates for AYAs according to the population size of the municipality were: 4.5/100,000 (1996) and 6.1/100,000 (2012) for municipalities with under 49,999 inhabitants; 5.5/100,000 (1996) and 5.8/100,000 (2012) for municipalities with 50,000-99,999 inhabitants; 6.6/100,000 (1996) and 6.9/100,000 (2012) for municipalities with 100,000-499,999 inhabitants; and 7.3/100,000 (1996) and 7.8/100,000 (2012) for municipalities with ≥500,000 inhabitants. An increasing mortality time trend was detected in municipalities with under 49,999 inhabitants (average annual percentage change [AAPC]: 2.0%) and for the country overall (AAPC: 0.7%). Mortality increased in small municipalities of the North, Northeast, and Midwest regions. Conclusion: Cancer mortality among AYAs, according to the population size of Brazilian municipalities, was high in municipalities with under 49,999 inhabitants and unequal across Brazil for all tumors.

Disparities in Epidemiological Profile of Gastric Adenocarcinoma in Selected Cities of Brazil

Background: Despite decreasing global incidence trends, gastric cancer is still among the five most incident cancers in the world and the third cancer-related cause of death. In Brazil, differences in incidence and mortality exist depending on the geographic region studied. Objective: To describe the incidence, mortality, trends and age-period-cohort of gastric cancer in three cities of Brazil (Sao Paulo, Belem and Fortaleza), in the period 1990-2012. Mortality for gastric cancer in Brazil overall and by region was described. Methods: 33,462 incident cases of gastric cancer were identified from the population-based cancer registries and 23,424 deaths from mortality information system in residents of the three cities and in Brazil were included in the study. Data for incident cases were extracted from the Population Based Cancer Registries from the National Cancer Institute (INCA). Mortality data on gastric cancer were extracted from Information Technology Department of Brazilian Public Health Care System/Health Ministry (DATASUS/MS). Mortality and incidence age standardized rates were calculated. For trends analysis the Joinpoint Regression and age-period-cohort model were applied. Results: Belem presented the highest incidence rates for gastric adenocarcinoma. Decreasing incidence trends were identified in Sao Paulo (-7.8% in men; -6.3% in women) and in Fortaleza (-1.2% in men). Increasing incidence trends were observed for women in Belem (1.8%) and Fortaleza (1.1%). In Belem (Amazon area), there was an increased risk for gastric cancer in women born after the 1960s. Overall in Brazil mortality for gastric cancer is decreasing. Mortality trends showed significant reduction, for both sexes, in the three Brazilian cities. Conclusion: Incidence of gastric cancer is increasing in women born in the sixties in Belem (Amazon region) and Fortaleza (Northeast region). In Brazil there was increase in mortality in Northeast region and decrease in others regions. More update data on incidence for Amazon and Northeast region is needed.

Cancer Incidence in Adolescents and Young Adults in 24 Selected Populations of Latin America.

OBJECTIVE: Describe incidence rates for the most common cancers in Latin American adolescents and young adults (AYA). METHODS: Incidence data were extracted from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents series, available online (IARC). Age-standardized incidence rates and trend analysis were calculated. Trends were calculated by joinpoint regression analysis to obtain average annual percentage change values. RESULTS: There were 22,990 invasive incident cancer cases in AYA between 1998 and 2007, obtained from 24 population-based cancer registries. The most common cancer in males was gonadal germ cell tumor, with incidence rates ranging from 1.7 to 7.0/100,000; in females the most common cancer was thyroid cancer, with rates ranging from 0.9 to 10.0/100,000. Incidence trends were limited to four regional populations and increased for all malignancies, in males from 1.8% to 3.4% and in females from 0.9% to 1.8%. CONCLUSIONS: Cancer incidence rates in Latin American AYA are low. There are few PBCRs with long-term data, and therefore, the results herein presented are a partial view of cancer in Latin American AYA populations.

[Simulation and comparison of techniques for the correction of incomplete data on age to calculate incidence rates]. / Simulação e comparação de técnicas de correção de dados incompletos de idade para o cálculo de taxas de incidência.

The objective was to compare two techniques to estimate age in databases with incomplete records and analyze their application to the calculation of cancer incidence. The study used the database of the Population-Based Cancer Registry from the city of São Paulo, Brazil, containing cases of urinary tract cancer diagnosed from 1997 to 2013. Two techniques were applied to estimate age: correction factor and multiple imputation. Using binomial distribution, six databases were simulated with different proportions of incomplete data on patient's age (from 5% to 50%). The ratio between the incidence rates was calculated, using the complete database as reference, whose standardized incidence was 11.83/100,000; the other incidence rates in the databases, with at least 5% incomplete data for age, were underestimated. By applying the correction factors, the corrected rates did not differ from the standardized rates, but this technique does not allow correcting specific rates. Multiple imputation was useful for correcting the standardized and specific rates in databases with up to 30% of incomplete data, but the specific rates for individuals under 50 years of age were underestimated. Databases with 5% incomplete data or more require correction. Although the implementation of multiple imputation is complex, it proved to be superior to the correction factor. However, it should be used sparingly, since age-specific rates may remain underestimated.

O objetivo foi comparar duas técnicas para estimar idade em bancos de dados com registros incompletos e analisar sua aplicação no cálculo da incidência de câncer. Utilizou-se a base de dados do Registro de Câncer de Base Populacional do Município de São Paulo, Brasil, contendo casos diagnosticados por câncer do trato urinário, entre 1997 e 2013. Foram aplicadas duas técnicas para estimativa de idade: fator de correção e imputação múltipla. Foram simuladas, usando a distribuição binomial, seis bases de dados com diferentes proporções de dados incompletos para idade de 5% até 50%. A razão entre as incidências foi calculada tendo, como referência, a base completa, cuja incidência padronizada foi de 11,83/100 mil; as demais incidências nas bases com 5% ou mais de dados incompletos para idade apresentaram-se subestimadas. Ao aplicar o fator de correção, as taxas corrigidas não apresentaram diferenças em comparação com as padronizadas, entretanto, essa técnica não permite corrigir taxas específicas. A imputação múltipla foi útil na correção das taxas padronizadas e específicas em bancos com até 30% de dados incompletos, entretanto, as taxas específicas para indivíduos com menos de 50 anos apresentaram-se subestimadas. Bases com 5% ou mais de dados incompletos necessitam de aplicação de correção. A imputação múltipla, apesar de complexa em sua execução, mostrou-se superior ao fator de correção. Todavia, deve ser utilizada com parcimônia, pois taxas específicas por idade podem manter-se subestimadas.

El objetivo fue comparar dos técnicas para estimar edad en bancos de datos con registros incompletos y analizar su aplicación en el cálculo de la incidencia de cáncer. Se utilizó la base de datos del Registro de Cáncer de Base Poblacional del municipio de São Paulo, Brasil, conteniendo casos diagnosticados de cáncer del tracto urinario, entre 1997 y 2013. Se aplicaron dos técnicas para la estimativa de edad: factor de corrección e imputación múltiple. Fueron simuladas, usando una distribución binomial, seis bases de datos con diferentes proporciones de datos incompletos para edad desde un 5% hasta el 50%. La razón entre las incidencias se calculó teniendo, como referencia, la base completa, cuya incidencia padronizada fue de 11,83/100.000; las demás incidencias en las bases con un 5% o más de datos incompletos en la edad se presentaron subestimadas. Al aplicar el factor de corrección, las tasas corregidas no presentaron diferencias, en comparación con las estandarizadas, sin embargo, esta técnica no permite corregir tasas específicas. La imputación múltiple fue útil en la corrección de las tasas estandarizadas y específicas en bancos con hasta un 30% de datos incompletos, no obstante, las tasas específicas para individuos con menos de 50 años se presentaron subestimadas. Bases con un 5% o más de datos incompletos necesitan una aplicación de corrección. La imputación múltiple, a pesar de ser compleja en su ejecución, se mostró superior al factor de corrección. Sin embargo, debe ser utilizada con prudencia, puesto que las tasas específicas por edad pueden seguir manteniéndose subestimadas.

Demand for health services or professionals among Brazilian adolescents according to the National School Health Survey 2015. / Procura por serviços ou profissionais de saúde entre adolescentes brasileiros, segundo a Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde do Escolar de 2015.

INTRODUCTION: Knowing the profile of individuals who demand health services or professionals could help in the improvement and reorganization of services. However, this subject is still underexplored among adolescents. This study aimed to describe and identify characteristics related to the demand for health services or professionals by Brazilian students. METHODS: Using data from the 2015 National School Health Survey, the prevalence and respective 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) of the demand for health services or professionals among students were estimated, and Poisson regression adjusted by age and region of residence was used to identify the associated factors. RESULTS: More than half of the students demanded for health services or professionals in the last year, with a higher demand among females. The characteristics associated with the outcome were sociodemographic (female, white, private school), family (maternal schooling of 12 years or more, having meals with parents/guardians and parents' knowledge of the adolescent's activities in their free time), risk behaviors (alcohol consumption and sexual intercourse without a condom) and health-related issues (physical violence, wheezing, toothache, hygiene habits, and attitude to one's own weight). CONCLUSION: Organizing health services in a way that takes the particularities of this population into account may provide a space to deal with subjects related to the risks to which it is exposed.

INTRODUÇÃO: O conhecimento sobre o perfil dos indivíduos que procuram serviços ou profissionais de saúde auxilia na melhoria e na reorganização desses atendimentos, entretanto entre adolescentes este tema ainda é pouco explorado. O objetivo deste estudo foi descrever e identificar características relacionadas à procura por serviços ou profissionais de saúde entre escolares brasileiros. MÉTODOS: Por meio dos dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde do Escolar (PeNSE) de 2015, foram estimadas as prevalências, bem como seus respectivos valores do intervalo de confiança de 95% (IC95%), da procura por serviços ou profissionais de saúde pelos escolares; também foi realizada regressão de Poisson ajustada por idade e Região de residência para identificar os fatores associados. RESULTADOS: Mais da metade dos estudantes procurou serviços ou profissionais de saúde no último ano, sendo maior a procura entre o sexo feminino. Associaram-se ao desfecho as características sociodemográficas (sexo feminino, cor branca, escola privada), os aspectos familiares (mãe com 12 anos ou mais de escolaridade, realizar refeições com os pais e conhecimento destes sobre o que os jovens fazem no tempo livre), os comportamentos de risco (consumo de álcool e relação sexual sem preservativo) e as questões relacionadas à saúde (sofrer violência física, chiado no peito, dor de dente, hábitos de higiene e atitude em relação ao próprio peso). CONCLUSÃO: Organizar os serviços de saúde de modo a considerar as particularidades dessa população pode possibilitar um espaço para tratar de assuntos relacionados aos riscos a que os jovens se expõem.

Tendências de mortalidade por câncer de pâncreas correlacionadas com o índice de desenvolvimento humano (IDH) no Brasil em 40 anos / Pancreatic cancer mortality trends and correlation with human development index (hdi) in brazil over 40 years

ABSTRACT Background Pancreatic cancer mortality is greater in countries with a high Human Development Index (HDI). This study analyzed pancreatic cancer mortality rates trends, and their correlation with HDI in Brazil over 40 years. Methods: Data on pancreatic cancer mortality in Brazil between 1979 and 2019 were obtained from the Mortality Information System (SIM). Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and Annual Average Percent Change (AAPC) were calculated. Pearson's correlation test was applied to compare mortality rates and HDI for three periods: 1986-1995 was correlated with HDI of 1991, 1996-2005 with HDI of 2000, and 2006-2015 with HDI of 2010; and to the correlation of AAPC versus the percentage change in HDI from 1991 to 2010. Results: A total of 209,425 deaths from pancreatic cancer were reported in Brazil, with an annual increase of 1.5% in men and 1.9% in women. There was an upward trend for mortality in most Brazilian states, with the highest trends observed in the North and Northeast states. A positive correlation between pancreatic mortality and HDI was observed over the three decades (r>0.80, P<0.05) and also between AAPC and HDI improvement by sex (r=0.75 for men and r=0.78 for women, P<0.05). Conclusion There was an upward trend in pancreatic cancer mortality in Brazil for both sexes, but rates among women were higher. Mortality trends were higher in states with a higher percentage improvement in HDI, such as the North and Northeast states.

RESUMO Contexto A mortalidade por câncer de pâncreas é maior em países com alto Índice de Desenvolvimento Humano (IDH). Este estudo analisou as taxas e tendências de mortalidade por câncer de pâncreas e correlacionou-as com o IDH no Brasil no período de 40 anos. Métodos: Os dados sobre mortalidade por câncer de pâncreas no Brasil, entre 1979 e 2019, foram extraídos do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (SIM). As taxas de mortalidade padronizadas por idade e variação percentual média anual (AAPC) foram calculadas. O teste de correlação de Pearson foi aplicado para comparar as taxas de mortalidade e IDH em três períodos: 1986-1995 foi correlacionado com o IDH de 1991, 1996-2005 com IDH 2000 e 2006-2015 com IDH 2010; e a correlação da AAPC versus o percentual de variação do IDH de 1991 a 2010. Resultados: Foram notificados 209.425 óbitos por câncer de pâncreas no Brasil no período de 1979 a 2019, com aumento de 1,5% ao ano em homens e de 1,9% em mulheres. Houve tendência de aumento da mortalidade na maioria dos estados brasileiros, com maiores tendências nos estados das regiões Norte e Nordeste. Foi observada uma correlação positiva na mortalidade por câncer de pâncreas e o IDH ao longo de três décadas (r>0,80, P<0,05); também, entre o AAPC e o incremento do IHD entre 1991 e 2010 (r=0,75 para homens e r=0,78 para mulheres, P<0,05). Conclusão: Houve tendência crescente da mortalidade por câncer de pâncreas no Brasil, em ambos os sexos, porém maior entre as mulheres. As tendências de mortalidade foram maiores nos estados com maior percentual de incremento do IDH, como estados das regiões Norte e Nordeste.

Characteristics associated to a poor self-rated health in Brazilian adolescents, National Adolescent School-based Health Survey, 2015. / Características associadas à autoavaliação ruim do estado de saúde em adolescentes brasileiros, Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde do Escolar, 2015.

INTRODUCTION: Health self-assessment (HSA) is a widely studied indicator among adults and the elderly, but not often explored in adolescents. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of poor self-rated health in Brazilian schoolchildren and associated factors. METHODS: Data from the 2015 National Adolescent School-based Health Survey (PeNSE) were analyzed; prevalences and their 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were estimated for poor self-rated health and associated factors. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed. RESULTS: A total of 7.1% (95%CI 7.0 - 7.3) of the schoolchildren reported a poor self-assessed health status. Sociodemographic characteristics, such as female gender, 15 years of age or older, yellow, brown and indigenous race/skin color; risk behaviors such as regular alcohol consumption and drug experimentation, and issues related to physical and emotional health remained positively associated with the outcome studied. Protective factors identified were maternal schooling and demand for health services. CONCLUSION: The impact of risky behaviors on physical and emotional health need to be addressed among students. The school presents itself as a safe and opportune space for promoting a healthy lifestyle.

INTRODUçÃO: A autoavaliação de saúde (AAS) é um indicador muito estudado entre adultos e idosos, mas pouco explorado em adolescentes. O objetivo deste estudo foi estimar a prevalência e os fatores associados à autoavaliação ruim do estado de saúde em escolares brasileiros. MÉTODOS: Foram analisados dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde do Escolar (PeNSE), realizada em 2015; as prevalências e os respectivos valores do intervalo de confiança de 95% (IC95%) do indicador autoavaliação ruim do estado de saúde e dos fatores associados foram estimados. Foi realizada a análise de regressão logística múltipla. RESULTADOS: Entre os escolares, 7,1% (IC95% 7,0 - 7,3) relataram autoavaliação ruim do estado de saúde. As características sociodemográficas, como sexo feminino, idade de 15 anos ou mais e raça/cor da pele amarela, parda e indígena; os comportamentos de risco de consumo regular de álcool e experimentação de drogas; e as questões relacionadas à saúde física e emocional mantiveram-se positivamente associadas ao desfecho estudado. Escolaridade materna e procurar serviços de saúde foram protetores. CONCLUSÃO: O impacto dos comportamentos de risco à saúde física e emocional necessitam ser abordados entre os estudantes. A escola apresenta-se como espaço seguro e oportuno para a promoção do estilo de vida saudável.

Disparities in colorectal cancer mortality across Brazilian States. / Disparidades na mortalidade de câncer colorretal nos estados brasileiros.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the trend of colorectal cancer mortality adjusted for selected indicators, according to sex, by Brazilian federative units and regions, and countrywide from 1996 to 2012. METHODS: This is a temporal time series on colorectal cancer mortality rates, using linear regression analysis, in which the independent variable was the centered year. Models were adjusted for selected indicators. RESULTS: There was an increase in standardized colorectal cancer mortality rates for males in all states and for females in 21 states. In the model adjusted for mortality rate from ill-defined causes, for gross domestic product, and for Gini coefficient, the upward trend remained statistically significant (p < 0.05) countrywide only for men, with 0.17 deaths per 100 thousand inhabitants per year (py). In the States of Piauí (0.09 and 0.20 py), Ceará (0.17 and 0.19 py) and Rio Grande do Sul (0.61 and 0.42 py), there was an increase for both men and women, respectively; only among men in the States of Paraíba (0.16 py), Espírito Santo (0.28 py), São Paulo (0.24 py) and Goiás (0.31 py); and among women in Roraima (0.41 py), Amapá (0.97 P/Y), Maranhão (0.10 py), Sergipe (0.46 P/Y), Mato Grosso do Sul (0.47 py), and the Federal District (0.69 py). CONCLUSION: The increase in colorectal cancer mortality remained significant when assessing Brazil as a whole only among men; in seven States among men, and in nine States among women, regardless of the studied indicators. These differences could be related to the possible increase in incidence and to late access to diagnosis and treatment.

OBJETIVO: Analisar a tendência da mortalidade por câncer colorretal, ajustado por indicadores selecionados, segundo sexo, para unidades federativas, regiões e Brasil, no período de 1996 a 2012. MÉTODOS: Estudo ecológico de série temporal das taxas de mortalidade por câncer colorretal, feita análise de regressão linear, sendo o ano centralizado a variável independente. Os modelos foram ajustados por indicadores selecionados. RESULTADOS: Houve aumento nas taxas de mortalidade padronizadas por câncer colorretal em todos os estados para o sexo masculino e em 21 estados para o sexo feminino. No modelo ajustado por taxa de mortalidade por causas mal definidas, produto interno bruto e coeficiente de Gini, a tendência de aumento foi significativa (p < 0,05) no Brasil, somente para os homens, com 0,17 óbitos por 100 mil habitantes ao ano (aa). Nos estados do Piauí (0,09 e 0,20 aa), Ceará (0,17 e 0,19 aa) e Rio Grande do Sul (0,61 e 0,42 aa) ocorreu aumento em homens e mulheres, respectivamente; somente em homens nos estados da Paraíba (0,16 aa), no Espírito Santo (0,28 aa), em São Paulo (0,24 aa) e Goiás (0,31 aa); e em mulheres nos estados de Roraima (0,41 aa), do Amapá (0,97 aa), Maranhão (0,10 aa), Sergipe (0,46 aa), Mato Grosso do Sul (0,47 aa) e Distrito Federal (0,69 aa). CONCLUSÃO: O aumento da taxa de mortalidade por câncer colorretal manteve-se significativo no Brasil somente entre os homens; em sete estados, entre homens; e em nove estados, entre mulheres, independentemente dos indicadores estudados. Essas diferenças podem estar relacionadas ao possível aumento da incidência e ao acesso tardio ao diagnóstico e tratamento.