Variation and Correlation of Potential Unintended Consequences of Antipsychotic Reduction in Ontario Nursing Homes Over Time.

BACKGROUND: Potentially inappropriate antipsychotic use has declined in nursing homes over the past decade; however, increases in the documentation of relevant clinical indications (eg, delusions) and the use of other psychotropic medications have raised concerns about diagnosis upcoding and medication substitution. Few studies have examined how these trends over time vary across and within nursing homes, information that may help to support antipsychotic reduction efforts. OBJECTIVE: To jointly model facility-level time trends in potentially inappropriate antipsychotic use, antidepressant use, and the indications used to define appropriate antipsychotic use. RESEARCH DESIGN: We conducted a repeated cross-sectional study of all nursing homes in Ontario, Canada between April 1, 2010 and December 31, 2019 using linked health administrative data (N=649). Each nursing home's quarterly prevalence of potentially inappropriate antipsychotic use, antidepressant use, and relevant indications were measured as outcome variables. With time as the independent variable, multivariate random effects models jointly estimated time trends for each outcome across nursing homes and the correlations between time trends within nursing homes. RESULTS: We observed notable variations in the time trends for each outcome across nursing homes, especially for the relevant indications. Within facilities, we found no correlation between time trends for potentially inappropriate antipsychotic and antidepressant use ( r =-0.0160), but a strong negative correlation between time trends for potentially inappropriate antipsychotic use and relevant indications ( r =-0.5036). CONCLUSIONS: Nursing homes with greater reductions in potentially inappropriate antipsychotics tended to show greater increases in the indications used to define appropriate antipsychotic use-possibly leading to unmonitored use of antipsychotics.

Changes in the Initiation of Antipsychotics and Trazodone Over Time: A Cohort Study of New Admissions to Nursing Homes in Ontario, Canada.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether trazodone is being initiated in lieu of antipsychotics following antipsychotic reduction efforts, this study described changes in medication initiation over time. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of new admissions to nursing homes in Ontario, Canada between April 2010 and December 2019 using health administrative data (N = 61,068). The initiation of antipsychotic and trazodone use was compared by year of admission using discrete time survival analysis and stratified by history of dementia. RESULTS: Relative to residents admitted in 2014, antipsychotic initiation significantly decreased in later years (e.g., 2017 admission year hazard odds ratio [HOR2017]=0.72 [95% confidence interval (95%CI)=0.62-0.82]) while trazodone initiation modestly increased (e.g., HOR2017=1.09 [95%CI=0.98-1.21]). The relative increase in trazodone initiation was larger among residents with dementia (e.g., HOR2017Dem =1.22 [95%CI=1.07-1.39]). CONCLUSIONS: Differences in which medications were started following nursing home admission were observed and suggest trazodone may be initiated in lieu of antipsychotics.

Risks of late mortality and morbidity among survivors of childhood acute leukemia with Down syndrome: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Children with leukemia and Down syndrome (DS) are at higher risk of acute treatment toxicities than those without DS. Whether late toxicity risks are also elevated is unknown. METHODS: The authors identified all patients diagnosed with leukemia before the age of 18 years in Ontario, Canada between 1987 and 2013 and who survived greater than 5 years since their last pediatric cancer event. Survivors were divided into those with and without DS, matched by birth year, sex, leukemia type, and receipt of radiation. DS survivors were matched to individuals with DS without childhood cancer (DS controls) in a 1:10 ratio. Outcomes were identified through linkage to population-based health services databases. RESULTS: DS survivors (n = 79) experienced inferior overall survival compared to non-DS survivors (n = 231) (20-year overall survival, 81.7% ± 6.8% vs 98.3% ± 1.2%; hazard ratio [HR], 12.8; P < .0001) and to DS controls (n = 790; 96.3% ± 1.2%; HR, 5.4 P < .0001). Pulmonary and infectious deaths were noted among DS survivors. There was no difference in the incidence of congestive heart failure between DS survivors and either control cohort, nor of hearing loss or dementia between DS survivors and DS controls. CONCLUSIONS: DS survivors were at substantially higher risk of late mortality than non-DS survivors or DS controls. This excess risk was not attributable to cardiac- or subsequent malignant neoplasm-related late effects, historically main causes of premature death among non-DS survivors. Chronic morbidities associated with DS were not increased compared to DS controls. DS-specific surveillance guidelines may be warranted.

Quantifying cancer risk from exposures to medical imaging in the Risk of Pediatric and Adolescent Cancer Associated with Medical Imaging (RIC) Study: research methods and cohort profile.

PURPOSE: The Risk of Pediatric and Adolescent Cancer Associated with Medical Imaging (RIC) Study is quantifying the association between cumulative radiation exposure from fetal and/or childhood medical imaging and subsequent cancer risk. This manuscript describes the study cohorts and research methods. METHODS: The RIC Study is a longitudinal study of children in two retrospective cohorts from 6 U.S. healthcare systems and from Ontario, Canada over the period 1995-2017. The fetal-exposure cohort includes children whose mothers were enrolled in the healthcare system during their entire pregnancy and followed to age 20. The childhood-exposure cohort includes children born into the system and followed while continuously enrolled. Imaging utilization was determined using administrative data. Computed tomography (CT) parameters were collected to estimate individualized patient organ dosimetry. Organ dose libraries for average exposures were constructed for radiography, fluoroscopy, and angiography, while diagnostic radiopharmaceutical biokinetic models were applied to estimate organ doses received in nuclear medicine procedures. Cancers were ascertained from local and state/provincial cancer registry linkages. RESULTS: The fetal-exposure cohort includes 3,474,000 children among whom 6,606 cancers (2394 leukemias) were diagnosed over 37,659,582 person-years; 0.5% had in utero exposure to CT, 4.0% radiography, 0.5% fluoroscopy, 0.04% angiography, 0.2% nuclear medicine. The childhood-exposure cohort includes 3,724,632 children in whom 6,358 cancers (2,372 leukemias) were diagnosed over 36,190,027 person-years; 5.9% were exposed to CT, 61.1% radiography, 6.0% fluoroscopy, 0.4% angiography, 1.5% nuclear medicine. CONCLUSION: The RIC Study is poised to be the largest study addressing risk of childhood and adolescent cancer associated with ionizing radiation from medical imaging, estimated with individualized patient organ dosimetry.

Prescription Pathways from Initial Medication Use to Triple Therapy in Older COPD Patients: A Real-World Population Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Triple therapy with an inhaled corticosteroid (ICS), a long-acting ß2-agonist bronchodilator (LABA) and a long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) is recommended as step-up therapy for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients who continue to have persistent symptoms and increased risk of exacerbation despite treatment with dual therapy. We sought to evaluate different treatment pathways through which COPD patients were escalated to triple therapy. METHODS: We used population health databases from Ontario, Canada to identify individuals aged 66 or older with COPD who started triple therapy between 2014 and 2017. Median time from diagnosis to triple therapy was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. We classified treatment pathways based on treatments received prior to triple therapy and evaluated whether pathways differed by exacerbation history, blood eosinophil counts or time period. RESULTS: Among 4108 COPD patients initiating triple therapy, only 41.2% had a COPD exacerbation in the year prior. The three most common pathways were triple therapy as initial treatment (32.5%), LAMA to triple therapy (29.8%), and ICS + LABA to triple therapy (15.4%). Median time from diagnosis to triple therapy was 362 days (95% confidence interval:331-393 days) overall, but 14 days (95% CI 12-17 days) in the triple therapy as initial treatment pathway. This pathway was least likely to contain patients with frequent or severe exacerbations (22.0% vs. 31.5%, p < 0.001) or with blood eosinophil counts ≥300 cells/µL (18.9% vs. 22.0%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Real-world prescription of triple therapy often does not follow COPD guidelines in terms of disease severity and prior treatments attempted.

Stroke Incidence by Sex Across the Lifespan.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We evaluated the influence of age on the association between sex and the incidence of stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) using a population-based cohort from Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We followed a cohort of adults (≥18 years) without prior stroke from January 1, 2003 (cohort start date) to March 31, 2018, to identify incident events. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs), in women compared to men, of incident stroke or TIA, adjusted for demographics and comorbidities, overall and stratified by stroke type. We calculated piecewise adjusted HRs for each decade of age to evaluate the effect of age on sex differences in stroke incidence. RESULTS: We followed 9.2 million adults for a median of 15 years and observed 280,197 incident stroke or TIA events. Compared with men, women had an overall lower adjusted hazard of stroke or TIA (HR, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.82-0.83]), with similar findings across all stroke types except for subarachnoid hemorrhage (HR, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.24-1.33]). We found a U-shaped association between age and sex differences in the incidence of stroke or TIA: compared with men, the hazard of stroke was higher in women among those aged ≤30 years (HR, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.10-1.45]), lower among those between ages 40 and 80 years (eg, age 50-59, HR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.68-0.70]), and similar among those aged ≥80 years (HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.98-1.01]). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, women have a lower hazard of stroke than men, but this association varies by age and across stroke types. Recognition of age-sex variations in stroke incidence can help guide prevention efforts to reduce stroke incidence in both men and women.

Morbidity and mortality associated with prescription cannabinoid drug use in COPD.

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory-related morbidity and mortality were evaluated in relation to incident prescription oral synthetic cannabinoid (nabilone, dronabinol) use among older adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). METHODS: This was a retrospective, population-based, data-linkage cohort study, analysing health administrative data from Ontario, Canada, from 2006 to 2016. We identified individuals aged 66 years and older with COPD, using a highly specific, validated algorithm, excluding individuals with malignancy and those receiving palliative care (n=185 876 after exclusions). An equivalent number (2106 in each group) of new cannabinoid users (defined as individuals dispensed either nabilone or dronabinol, with no dispensing for either drug in the year previous) and controls (defined as new users of a non-cannabinoid drug) were matched on 36 relevant covariates, using propensity scoring methods. Cox proportional hazard regression was used. RESULTS: Rate of hospitalisation for COPD or pneumonia was not significantly different between new cannabinoid users and controls (HR 0.87; 95% CI 0.61-1.24). However, significantly higher rates of all-cause mortality occurred among new cannabinoid users compared with controls (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.14-2.39). Individuals receiving higher-dose cannabinoids relative to controls were observed to experience both increased rates of hospitalisation for COPD and pneumonia (HR 2.78; 95% CI 1.17-7.09) and all-cause mortality (HR 3.31; 95% CI 1.30-9.51). CONCLUSIONS: New cannabinoid use was associated with elevated rates of adverse outcomes among older adults with COPD. Although further research is needed to confirm these observations, our findings should be considered in decisions to use cannabinoids among older adults with COPD.

High prevalence of comorbidities at diagnosis in immigrants with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) has been associated with certain comorbidities in general population studies, but it is unknown how comorbidity may affect immigrants with MS. OBJECTIVE: To compare prevalence of comorbidities in immigrants and long-term residents at MS diagnosis, and in matched control populations without MS. METHODS: We identified incident MS cases using a validated definition applied to health administrative data in Ontario, Canada, from 1994 to 2017, and categorized them as immigrants or long-term residents. Immigrants and long-term residents without MS (controls) were matched to MS cases 3:1 on sex, age, and geography. RESULTS: There were 1534 immigrants and 23,731 long-term residents with MS matched with 4585 and 71,193 controls, respectively. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), diabetes, hypertension, ischemic heart disease, migraine, epilepsy, mood/anxiety disorders, schizophrenia, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), and rheumatoid arthritis were significantly more prevalent among immigrants with MS compared to their controls. Prevalence of these conditions was generally similar comparing immigrants to long-term residents with MS, although COPD, epilepsy, IBD, and mood/anxiety disorders were less prevalent in immigrants. CONCLUSION: Immigrants have a high prevalence of multiple comorbidities at MS diagnosis despite the "healthy immigrant effect." Clinicians should pay close attention to identification and management of comorbidity in immigrants with MS.

Incidence and prevalence of giant cell arteritis in Ontario, Canada.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate trends in the incidence and prevalence of GCA over time in Canada. METHODS: We performed a population-based study of Ontario health administrative data using validated case definitions for GCA. Among Ontario residents ≥50 years of age we estimated the annual incidence and prevalence rates between 2000 and 2018. We performed sensitivity analyses using alternative validated case definitions to provide comparative estimates. RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2018 there was a relatively stable incidence over time with 25 new cases per 100 000 people >50 years of age. Age-standardized incidence rates were significantly higher among females than males [31 cases (95% CI: 29, 34) vs 15 cases (95% CI: 13, 18) per 100 000 in 2000]. Trends in age-standardized incidence rates were stable among females but increased among males over time. Incidence rates were highest among those ≥70 years of age. Standardized prevalence rates increased from 125 (95% CI 121, 129) to 235 (95% CI 231, 239) cases per 100 000 from 2000 to 2018. The age-standardized rates among males rose from 76 (95% CI 72, 81) cases in 2000 to 156 (95% CI 151, 161) cases per 100 000 population in 2018. Between 2000 and 2018, the age-standardized rates among females similarly increased over time, from 167 (95% CI 161, 173) to 304 (95% CI 297, 310) cases per 100 000 population. CONCLUSION: The incidence and prevalence of GCA in Ontario is similar to that reported in the USA and northern Europe and considerably higher than that reported for southern Europe and non-European populations.

Impact of a Comprehensive Guideline Dissemination Strategy on Diabetes Diagnostic Test Rates: an Interrupted Time Series.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes Canada launched a comprehensive Dissemination and Implementation (D&I) strategy to optimize uptake of their 2013 Clinical Practice Guidelines; the strategy involved continuing professional development courses, webinars, an interactive website, applications for mobile devices, point-of-care decision support tools, and media awareness campaigns. It included a focus on promoting HbA1c as the recommended diagnostic test for diabetes. OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of Diabetes Canada's 2013 D&I strategy on physician test-ordering behavior, specifically HbA1c testing, for the diagnosis of diabetes, using provincial healthcare administrative data. DESIGN: Population-based interrupted time series. SETTING: Ontario, Canada. PARTICIPANTS: Ontario residents aged 40-79 not previously diagnosed with diabetes. MEASUREMENTS: For each quarter between January 2005 and December 2014, we conducted an interrupted time series analysis on the first-order difference of the proportion of patients receiving HbA1c tests per quarter with an autoregressive integrated moving average model with the intervention step occurring in quarter 2 of 2013. Subgroup analyses by rurality, physician graduation year, and practice size were also conducted. RESULTS: There were 32 quarters pre-intervention and 6 post-intervention; average sample size per quarter was 5,298,686 individuals. Pre-intervention, the quarter-to-quarter growth was 1.51 HbA1c tests per quarter per 1000 people. Post-intervention, the quarter-to-quarter growth increased by 8.45 tests per 1000 people (p < 0.005). Growth of HbA1c ordering differed significantly by region, years since physician graduation, and practice size. LIMITATIONS: Incomplete data collection, inadequate stratification, and other unidentified confounders. CONCLUSION: The D&I strategy resulted in a significant increase in the growth of HbA1c tests. The successful uptake of this recommendation may be due to its simplicity; guideline developers should consider this when drafting recommendations. Furthermore, differential uptake by user groups suggests that future strategies should include targeted barrier analysis and interventions to these groups.

Temporal Trends in Mental Health Service Utilization across Outpatient and Acute Care Sectors: A Population-Based Study from 2006 to 2014.

OBJECTIVE: Although evidence suggests that treatment seeking for mental illness has increased over time, little is known about how the health system is meeting the increasing demand for services. We examined trends in physician-based mental health service use across multiple sectors. METHOD: In this population-based study, we used linked health-administrative databases to measure annual rates of mental health-related outpatient physician visits to family physicians and psychiatrists, emergency department visits, and hospitalizations in adults aged 16+ from 2006 to 2014. We examined absolute and relative changes in visit rates, number of patients, and frequency of visits per patient, and assessed temporal trends using linear regressions. RESULTS: Among approximately 11 million Ontario adults, age- and sex-standardized rates of mental health-related outpatient physician visits declined from 604.8 to 565.5 per 1000 population over the study period ( Ptrend = 0.04). Over time, the rate of visits to family physicians/general practitioners remained stable ( Ptrend = 0.12); the number of individuals served decreased, but the number of visits per patient increased. The rate of visits to psychiatrists declined ( Ptrend < 0.001); the number of individuals served increased, but the number of visits per patient decreased. Concurrently, visit rates to emergency departments and hospitals increased (16.1 to 19.7, Ptrend < 0.001 and 5.6 to 6.0, Ptrend = 0.01, per 1000 population, respectively). Increases in acute care service use were greatest for anxiety and addictions. CONCLUSIONS: The increasing acute care service use coupled with the reduction in outpatient visits suggest, overall, an increase in demand for mental health care that is not being met in ambulatory care settings.

Antipsychotic Discontinuation and New Trazodone Use in Ontario Nursing Homes: Evidence of Medication Substitution.

OBJECTIVES: An unintended consequence of efforts to reduce antipsychotic medications in nursing homes is the increase in use of other psychotropic medications; however, evidence of substitution remains limited. Our objective was to measure individual-level prescribing patterns consistent with substitution of trazodone for antipsychotics. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Residents of Ontario nursing homes aged 66-105 years with an admission assessment between April 1, 2010, and March 31, 2019, who were receiving an antipsychotic and had no antidepressant medication use at admission to the nursing home. METHODS: We used linked health administrative data to examine changes in medication use over three quarterly assessments following admission. Antipsychotic and trazodone use were measured at each assessment. The rate of trazodone initiation was compared between residents no longer dispensed an antipsychotic (discontinued) and those with an ongoing antipsychotic (continued) using discrete time survival analysis, controlling for baseline resident characteristics. RESULTS: We identified 13,306 residents dispensed an antipsychotic with no antidepressant use at admission (mean age 84 years, 61.5% women, 82.8% with dementia). As of the first quarterly assessment, nearly 20% of residents no longer received an antipsychotic and 9% received a new trazodone medication. Over time, residents who discontinued antipsychotics had a rate of trazodone initiation that was 82% higher compared to residents who continued (adjusted hazard ratio 1.82, 95% CI 1.66-2.00). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Residents admitted to a nursing home with antipsychotic use had a higher rate of trazodone initiation if they discontinued (vs continued) an antipsychotic. These findings suggest antipsychotic substitution with trazodone after entering a nursing home.

The impact of referring hospital resources on interfacility overtriage: A population-based analysis.

BACKGROUND: Nearly half of patients transferred from non-trauma to trauma centres have minor injuries. The transfer of patients with minor injuries to trauma centres is not associated with any known patient benefit and represents an opportunity to reduce healthcare costs and improve patient experience. In this study, we evaluated the relationship between hospital resources and overtriage, with the objective of identifying targets for system-level intervention. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study of adults, age ≥ 16, presenting with minor injuries to non-trauma centres in Ontario, Canada (2009-2020). The primary outcome was overtriage, defined as transfer to a trauma centre. Hierarchical logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between hospital resources and a patient's likelihood of being overtriaged, adjusting for case-mix. RESULTS: amongst 165,302 patients with minor injuries, 15,641 (9.5 %) were transferred to a trauma centre (overtriage). Presence of a CT scanner, surgical support, or intensive care unit had no impact on a patient's likelihood of overtriage. Relative to community hospitals, presentation to a teaching hospital was independently associated with greater odds of overtriage (OR 2.97, 95 % CI: 1.26-7.00). Accounting for case-mix and resources, the median difference in a patient's odds of overtriage varied 3.7-fold across non-trauma centres (MOR 3.76). CONCLUSIONS: There is significant variability in overtriage across non-trauma centres, even after adjusting for case-mix and hospital resources. These finding suggests that some centres have developed processes to minimize overtriage independent of available resources. Broad implementation of these processes may represent an opportunity for system-wide quality improvement.

Internal and external validation of an updated ICD-10-CA to AIS-2005 update 2008 algorithm.

BACKGROUND: Administrative data are a powerful tool for population-level trauma research but lack the trauma-specific diagnostic and injury severity codes needed for risk-adjusted comparative analyses. The objective of this study was to validate an algorithm to derive Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS-2005 update 2008) severity scores from Canadian International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10-CA) diagnostic codes in administrative data. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study using data from the 2009 to 2017 Ontario Trauma Registry for the internal validation of the algorithm. This registry includes all patients treated at a trauma center who sustained a moderate or severe injury or were assessed by a trauma team. It contains both ICD-10-CA codes and injury scores assigned by expert abstractors. We used Cohen's kappa (𝜅) coefficient to compare AIS-2005 Update 2008 scores assigned by expert abstractors to those derived using the algorithm and the intraclass correlation coefficient to compare assigned and derived Injury Severity Scores. Sensitivity and specificity for detection of a severe injury (AIS score, ≥ 3) were then calculated. For the external validation of the algorithm, we used administration data to identify adults who either died in an emergency department or were admitted to hospital in Ontario secondary to a traumatic injury (2009-2017). Logistic regression was used to evaluate the discriminative ability and calibration of the algorithm. RESULTS: Of 41,869 patients in the Ontario Trauma Registry, 41,793 (99.8%) had at least one diagnosis matched to the algorithm. Evaluation of AIS scores assigned by expert abstractors and those derived using the algorithm demonstrated a high degree of agreement in identification of patients with at least one severe injury (𝜅 = 0.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.76). Likewise, algorithm-derived scores had a strong ability to rule in or out injury with AIS ≥ 3 (specificity, 78.5%; 95% CI, 77.7-79.4; sensitivity, 95.1; 95% CI, 94.8-95.3). There was strong correlation between expert abstractor-assigned and crosswalk-derived Injury Severity Score (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.80-0.81). Among the 130,542 patients identified using administrative data, the algorithm retained its discriminative properties. CONCLUSION: Our ICD-10-CA to AIS-2005 update 2008 algorithm produces reliable estimates of injury severity and retains its discriminative properties with administrative data. Our findings suggest that this algorithm can be used for risk adjustment of injury outcomes when using population-based administrative data. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic Tests/Criteria; Level II.

A population-based study of the direct longitudinal health care costs of upper extremity trauma in patients aged 18-65 years.

BACKGROUND: Upper extremity (UE) trauma represents a common reason for emergency department visits, but the longitudinal economic burden of this public health issue is unknown. This study assessed the 3-year attributable health care use and expenditure after UE trauma requiring acute surgical intervention, with specific focus on injuries that affect function of the hand and wrist. METHODS: We conducted an incidence-based, propensity score-matched cohort study (2006-2014) in Ontario, Canada, using linked administrative health care data to identify case patients and matched control patients. We matched adults with hand, wrist and UE nerve trauma requiring surgery 1:4 to control patients. We compared total direct health care costs, including 1-year pre-index costs, between case and control patients using a differences-in-difference methodology. The primary outcome was attributable health care costs within 3 years of injury. RESULTS: We matched patients with trauma (n = 26 123) to noninjured patients (n = 104 353). Mean direct health care costs attributable to UE trauma were $9210 (95% confidence interval [CI] 8880 to 9550) within 3 years. Patients with trauma had significantly more emergency department visits (≥ 3 visits: 25% v. 12%; p < 0.001), mental health visits (34% v. 28%; p < 0.05) and secondary surgeries (25% v. 5%; p < 0.001). Specific patient populations had significantly greater attributable costs: patients requiring post-traumatic mental health visits ($11 360 v. $7090; p < 0.001), inpatient surgery ($14 060 v. $5940, p < 0.001) and complex injuries ($13 790 v. $7930; p < 0.001). INTERPRETATION: Health care expenditure increased more than fivefold in the year after UE trauma surgery and remained greater than the matched cohort for the subsequent 2 years. Those with more serious injuries and post-injury visits for mental health were associated with higher costs, requiring further study for this public health issue. The mean 1-year pre-injury and 1-year post-injury total costs were $1710 and $9350, respectively.

The Burden of Surviving Childhood Medulloblastoma: A Population-Based, Matched Cohort Study in Ontario, Canada.

PURPOSE: Survivors of childhood medulloblastoma suffer from substantial late effects. We characterized these sequelae using real-world health services data in a population-based cohort of medulloblastoma survivors. METHODS: All 5-year medulloblastoma survivors diagnosed age < 18 years between 1987 and 2015 in Ontario, Canada, were identified and matched 1:5 with population controls. Index date was 5 years from latest pediatric cancer event. Linkage to provincial administrative health data allowed for comparison of cumulative incidences of several adverse outcomes. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty survivors, 81.3% of whom had received craniospinal irradiation, were matched with 1,150 controls. The 10-year postindex cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was 7.9% (95% CI, 3.9 to 11.8) in survivors versus 0.6% (95% CI, 0.1 to 1.1) in controls (hazard ratio [HR], 21.5; 95% CI, 9.8 to 54.0). The cumulative incidence of stroke was higher in survivors (4.8%; 95% CI, 2.2 to 9.0) compared with controls (0.1; 95% CI, 0.01 to 0.7; HR, 45.6; 95% CI, 12.8 to 289.8). Hearing loss requiring an amplification device was present in 24.9% (95% CI, 18.8 to 31.4) of survivors versus 0.3% (95% CI, 0.1 to 1.0) of controls (HR, 96.3; 95% CI, 39.7 to 317.3). Disability support prescription claims were submitted by 44.5% (95% CI, 37.1 to 51.6) of survivors versus 5.5% (95% CI, 4.2 to 7.1) of controls (HR, 10.0; 95% CI, 7.3 to 13.6). Female survivors were significantly less likely to deliver a liveborn child compared with controls (HR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1 to 0.7). CONCLUSION: Survivors of medulloblastoma have significant long-term medical sequelae, increased all-cause mortality, and are frequently dependent on disability supports. Efforts to reduce the toxicity of current therapy, specifically incorporating molecularly informed risk stratification to spare low- and intermediate-risk survivors the toxicity of treatment, are urgently needed. These findings should prompt a re-evaluation of our current treatment approaches where research focused on late-effect interventions should be prioritized.

The impact of the early COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare system resource use and costs in two provinces in Canada: An interrupted time series analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of our study was to assess the initial impact of COVID-19 on total publicly-funded direct healthcare costs and health services use in two Canadian provinces, Ontario and British Columbia (BC). METHODS: This retrospective repeated cross-sectional study used population-based administrative datasets, linked within each province, from January 1, 2018 to December 27, 2020. Interrupted time series analysis was used to estimate changes in the level and trends of weekly resource use and costs, with March 16-22, 2020 as the first pandemic week. Also, in each week of 2020, we identified cases with their first positive SARS-CoV-2 test and estimated their healthcare costs until death or December 27, 2020. RESULTS: The resources with the largest level declines (95% confidence interval) in use in the first pandemic week compared to the previous week were physician services [Ontario: -43% (-49%,-37%); BC: -24% (-30%,-19%) (both p<0.001)] and emergency department visits [Ontario: -41% (-47%,-35%); BC: -29% (-35%,-23%) (both p<0.001)]. Hospital admissions declined by 27% (-32%,-23%) in Ontario and 21% (-26%,-16%) in BC (both p<0.001). Resource use subsequently rose but did not return to pre-pandemic levels. Only home care and dialysis clinic visits did not significantly decrease compared to pre-pandemic. Costs for COVID-19 cases represented 1.3% and 0.7% of total direct healthcare costs in 2020 in Ontario and BC, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Reduced utilization of healthcare services in the overall population outweighed utilization by COVID-19 patients in 2020. Meeting the needs of all patients across all services is essential to maintain resilient healthcare systems.