Effusion-synovitis worsening mediates the association between body mass index and Kellgren-Lawrence progression in obese individuals: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

OBJECTIVE: Both obesity and synovitis are independently associated with knee osteoarthritis (KOA) progression. We examined whether synovitis mediates the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and KOA radiographic progression in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) cohort. DESIGN: We conducted a case-control study within the OAI. Cases (n = 315) were right knees with an increase of ≥1 Kellgren-Lawrence from baseline to 48 months of follow-up. Controls (n = 315) were right knees with no KL change. Cases and controls were matched by age, sex, race, and baseline KL. MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS) at baseline and at 2 years was used for a semi-quantitative scoring (0-3) of effusion-synovitis and Hoffa-synovitis. Conditional logistic regression estimated associations between BMI and synovitis with KOA progression. Mediation analysis was used to assess the mediating effects of synovitis. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 61 years, 70.8% were women, and 87% were White. KOA progression was associated with higher BMI (adjusted OR 1.05; 95%CI 1.01-1.09) and effusion-synovitis relative to no effusion-synovitis (adjusted OR 2.2; 95%CI 1.6-3.1). Associations between effusion-synovitis worsening and KOA progression were more pronounced among obese individuals (OR 34.1; 95%CI 4.2-274.8; P = 0.001) compared to normal weight (OR 3.2; 95%CI 0.8-12.8, P=0.096) individuals. Effusion-synovitis at 2 years, but not at baseline, mediated the relationship between BMI and KOA progression over a 4-year period. CONCLUSIONS: We found that effusion-synovitis worsening mediated the association between BMI and KOA progression and was associated with increased risk of KOA progression, particularly among obese individuals.

The mediating role of socioeconomic status on the relationship between pregnancy history and later-life cognition.

OBJECTIVE: The association of pregnancy with later-life cognition is not well understood. We examined whether full-term and incomplete pregnancies were associated with cognition in a sample of postmenopausal women, and whether socioeconomic status (SES) factors mediated these relationships. METHODS: A total of 1016 cognitively normal women from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) were examined. Cognitive measures included the Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST), Animal Fluency (AF) and the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease (CERAD) Word Learning (CERAD-WL) and Delayed Recall (CERAD-DR) tasks. Analyses examined the relationship between the number of term and incomplete pregnancies with cognitive performance, as well as the mediating effects of education and the federal income-to-poverty ratio (PIR). RESULTS: A greater number of term pregnancies was associated with worse performance on the DSST (ß = -0.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.12, -0.06), AF (ß = -0.03, 95% CI: -0.07, 0.00) and CERAD-DR (ß = -0.04, 95% CI: -0.08, -0.01). More incomplete pregnancies were associated with better CERAD-DR performance (ß = 0.07, 95% CI: 0.01, 0.13), and 28% (95% CI: 0.17, 0.42) of the association of term pregnancies with the DSST was mediated by the PIR. CONCLUSIONS: A higher number of term pregnancies was associated with worse cognitive performance, whereas a higher number of incomplete pregnancies was associated with better cognitive performance. Results indicate the necessity to consider SES factors when studying the relationship between pregnancy and cognition.