Treatment plans and outcomes in elderly patients reaching advanced chronic kidney disease.

Background: Elderly patients with advanced chronic kidney disease require accurate outcome descriptions to make treatment decisions. Methods: The PSPA [Parcours de soins des personnes âgées (Treatment pathways for elderly patients)] prospective multicentre cohort study included 573 such patients with a median age of 82 [interquartile range (IQR) 79-86] years and a median estimated glomerular filtration rate of 14 (IQR 11-17) mL/min/1.73 m2 and studied their 5-year outcomes according to the dialysis component of their treatment plans. Results: Mean follow-up for the overall cohort was 34.5 ± 21 months and the 5-year survival rate was 27%. During follow-up, 288 (50%) patients started dialysis and 237 (42%) died before dialysis. At baseline, the four possible dialysis plans were dialysis when needed (38%), stable without mention of a dialysis plan (40%) and dialysis specifically excluded by the patient's (9%) or nephrologist's decision (12%). These baseline plans were associated with death and dialysis start. Follow-up plans were those decided during the study period: dialysis when needed for 47%, stable without mention of a dialysis plan for 20% and dialysis excluded at any time for 32%. For the subgroup of patients who started dialysis, those whose follow-up plan was dialysis started under better conditions than those who had stable or no dialysis follow-up plans before starting. However, survival afterwards did not differ significantly. Conclusions: These findings indicate that nephrology care should accommodate changes over time in older patients' treatment preferences and plans concerning dialysis. These changes are associated with whether, when and how these patients initiate dialysis but are not necessarily associated with post-dialysis survival.

The PROPKD Score: A New Algorithm to Predict Renal Survival in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease.

The course of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) varies among individuals, with some reaching ESRD before 40 years of age and others never requiring RRT. In this study, we developed a prognostic model to predict renal outcomes in patients with ADPKD on the basis of genetic and clinical data. We conducted a cross-sectional study of 1341 patients from the Genkyst cohort and evaluated the influence of clinical and genetic factors on renal survival. Multivariate survival analysis identified four variables that were significantly associated with age at ESRD onset, and a scoring system from 0 to 9 was developed as follows: being male: 1 point; hypertension before 35 years of age: 2 points; first urologic event before 35 years of age: 2 points; PKD2 mutation: 0 points; nontruncating PKD1 mutation: 2 points; and truncating PKD1 mutation: 4 points. Three risk categories were subsequently defined as low risk (0-3 points), intermediate risk (4-6 points), and high risk (7-9 points) of progression to ESRD, with corresponding median ages for ESRD onset of 70.6, 56.9, and 49 years, respectively. Whereas a score ≤3 eliminates evolution to ESRD before 60 years of age with a negative predictive value of 81.4%, a score >6 forecasts ESRD onset before 60 years of age with a positive predictive value of 90.9%. This new prognostic score accurately predicts renal outcomes in patients with ADPKD and may enable the personalization of therapeutic management of ADPKD.

Low performance of prognostic tools for predicting dialysis in elderly people with advanced CKD.

INTRODUCTION: Clinical decision-making about care plans can be difficult for very elderly people with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). Current guidelines propose the use of prognostic tools predicting end stage renal disease (ESRD) to assist in a patient-centered shared decision-making approach. Our objective was to evaluate the existing risk model scores predicting ESRD, from data collected for a French prospective multicenter cohort of mainly octogenarians with advanced CKD. METHODS: We performed a rapid review to identify the risk model scores predicting ESRD developed from CKD patient cohorts and evaluated them with data from a prospective multicenter French cohort of elderly (> 75 years) patients with advanced CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] < 20 mL/min/1.75m2), followed up for 5 years. We evaluated these scores (in absolute risk) for discrimination, calibration and the Brier score. For scores using the same time frame, we made a joint calibration curve and compared areas under the curve (AUCs). RESULTS: The PSPA cohort included 573 patients; their mean age was 83 years and their median eGFR was 13 mL/min/1.73 m2. At the end of follow-up, 414 had died and 287 had started renal replacement therapy (RRT). Our rapid review found 12 scores that predicted renal replacement therapy. Five were evaluated: the TANGRI 4-variable, DRAWZ, MARKS, GRAMS, and LANDRAY scores. No score performed well in the PSPA cohort: AUCs ranged from 0.57 to 0.65, and Briers scores from 0.18 to 0.25. CONCLUSIONS: The low predictiveness for ESRD of the scores tested in a cohort of octogenarian patients with advanced CKD underlines the need to develop new tools for this population.

[Teledialysis in satellite hospital: 5-year practice in Saint-Brieuc]. / Hémodialyse en unité de dialyse médicalisée télésurveillée: une expérience de cinq années.

The ageing population, the need for patient care delivery closer to home and reducing travel cost and isolation and, not at least, optimising medical team activity lead to adapt treatment by hemodialysis. Telehealth is an alternative now enabled by recent regulatory changes. We summarize here the regulatory and organisational conditions in a monitored Medicalized Dialysis Unit (MDU) and report the local experience of Saint-Brieuc Hospital; the feasibility and functionality over time (5 years) of this approach was demonstrated in clinical practice with selected patients; over short-term and for a still-limited number of patients, its clinical results are comparable to those observed in a MDU running on a traditional regimen (weekly visits and on-call 24 hours on-site 24 of the nephrologist); the degree of patient satisfaction, some of them very old people, is high. Stability of communications mainly depending of the operators and audio-video quality needed for a friendly and efficient exchange, could be improved. Relevant analysis of cost is necessary to adjust compensation and to encourage the deployment of teledialysis. The development of this technique is suitable in order to maintain oldering populations close to home, to assure the fairest access to medical care and to serve its purpose, which is the care in all its dimensions.