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1.
Nature ; 615(7954): 813-816, 2023 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36991189

RESUMO

The proton is one of the main building blocks of all visible matter in the Universe1. Among its intrinsic properties are its electric charge, mass and spin2. These properties emerge from the complex dynamics of its fundamental constituents-quarks and gluons-described by the theory of quantum chromodynamics3-5. The electric charge and spin of protons, which are shared among the quarks, have been investigated previously using electron scattering2. An example is the highly precise measurement of the electric charge radius of the proton6. By contrast, little is known about the inner mass density of the proton, which is dominated by the energy carried by gluons. Gluons are hard to access using electron scattering because they do not carry an electromagnetic charge. Here we investigated the gravitational density of gluons using a small colour dipole, through the threshold photoproduction of the J/ψ particle. We determined the gluonic gravitational form factors of the proton7,8 from our measurement. We used a variety of models9-11 and determined, in all cases, a mass radius that is notably smaller than the electric charge radius. In some, but not all cases, depending on the model, the determined radius agrees well with first-principle predictions from lattice quantum chromodynamics12. This work paves the way for a deeper understanding of the salient role of gluons in providing gravitational mass to visible matter.

2.
Nature ; 590(7847): 561-565, 2021 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33627814

RESUMO

The fundamental building blocks of the proton-quarks and gluons-have been known for decades. However, we still have an incomplete theoretical and experimental understanding of how these particles and their dynamics give rise to the quantum bound state of the proton and its physical properties, such as its spin1. The two up quarks and the single down quark that comprise the proton in the simplest picture account only for a few per cent of the proton mass, the bulk of which is in the form of quark kinetic and potential energy and gluon energy from the strong force2. An essential feature of this force, as described by quantum chromodynamics, is its ability to create matter-antimatter quark pairs inside the proton that exist only for a very short time. Their fleeting existence makes the antimatter quarks within protons difficult to study, but their existence is discernible in reactions in which a matter-antimatter quark pair annihilates. In this picture of quark-antiquark creation by the strong force, the probability distributions as a function of momentum for the presence of up and down antimatter quarks should be nearly identical, given that their masses are very similar and small compared to the mass of the proton3. Here we provide evidence from muon pair production measurements that these distributions are considerably different, with more abundant down antimatter quarks than up antimatter quarks over a wide range of momenta. These results are expected to revive interest in several proposed mechanisms for the origin of this antimatter asymmetry in the proton that had been disfavoured by previous results4, and point to future measurements that can distinguish between these mechanisms.

3.
N Engl J Med ; 388(21): 1942-1955, 2023 May 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37224196

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: An effective, affordable, multivalent meningococcal conjugate vaccine is needed to prevent epidemic meningitis in the African meningitis belt. Data on the safety and immunogenicity of NmCV-5, a pentavalent vaccine targeting the A, C, W, Y, and X serogroups, have been limited. METHODS: We conducted a phase 3, noninferiority trial involving healthy 2-to-29-year-olds in Mali and Gambia. Participants were randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio to receive a single intramuscular dose of NmCV-5 or the quadrivalent vaccine MenACWY-D. Immunogenicity was assessed at day 28. The noninferiority of NmCV-5 to MenACWY-D was assessed on the basis of the difference in the percentage of participants with a seroresponse (defined as prespecified changes in titer; margin, lower limit of the 96% confidence interval [CI] above -10 percentage points) or geometric mean titer (GMT) ratios (margin, lower limit of the 98.98% CI >0.5). Serogroup X responses in the NmCV-5 group were compared with the lowest response among the MenACWY-D serogroups. Safety was also assessed. RESULTS: A total of 1800 participants received NmCV-5 or MenACWY-D. In the NmCV-5 group, the percentage of participants with a seroresponse ranged from 70.5% (95% CI, 67.8 to 73.2) for serogroup A to 98.5% (95% CI, 97.6 to 99.2) for serogroup W; the percentage with a serogroup X response was 97.2% (95% CI, 96.0 to 98.1). The overall difference between the two vaccines in seroresponse for the four shared serogroups ranged from 1.2 percentage points (96% CI, -0.3 to 3.1) for serogroup W to 20.5 percentage points (96% CI, 15.4 to 25.6) for serogroup A. The overall GMT ratios for the four shared serogroups ranged from 1.7 (98.98% CI, 1.5 to 1.9) for serogroup A to 2.8 (98.98% CI, 2.3 to 3.5) for serogroup C. The serogroup X component of the NmCV-5 vaccine generated seroresponses and GMTs that met the prespecified noninferiority criteria. The incidence of systemic adverse events was similar in the two groups (11.1% in the NmCV-5 group and 9.2% in the MenACWY-D group). CONCLUSIONS: For all four serotypes in common with the MenACWY-D vaccine, the NmCV-5 vaccine elicited immune responses that were noninferior to those elicited by the MenACWY-D vaccine. NmCV-5 also elicited immune responses to serogroup X. No safety concerns were evident. (Funded by the U.K. Foreign, Commonwealth, and Development Office and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03964012.).


Assuntos
Epidemias , Nível de Saúde , Meningite , Vacinas Meningocócicas , Vacinas Conjugadas , Humanos , Gâmbia/epidemiologia , Mali/epidemiologia , Vacinas Conjugadas/administração & dosagem , Vacinas Conjugadas/efeitos adversos , Vacinas Conjugadas/uso terapêutico , Vacinas Meningocócicas/administração & dosagem , Vacinas Meningocócicas/efeitos adversos , Vacinas Meningocócicas/uso terapêutico , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Imunogenicidade da Vacina , Injeções Intramusculares , Meningite/epidemiologia , Meningite/prevenção & controle , Epidemias/prevenção & controle
4.
Plant Cell ; 35(5): 1334-1359, 2023 04 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36691724

RESUMO

Gynandropsis gynandra (Cleomaceae) is a cosmopolitan leafy vegetable and medicinal plant, which has also been used as a model to study C4 photosynthesis due to its evolutionary proximity to C3 Arabidopsis (Arabidopsis thaliana). Here, we present the genome sequence of G. gynandra, anchored onto 17 main pseudomolecules with a total length of 740 Mb, an N50 of 42 Mb and 30,933 well-supported gene models. The G. gynandra genome and previously released genomes of C3 relatives in the Cleomaceae and Brassicaceae make an excellent model for studying the role of genome evolution in the transition from C3 to C4 photosynthesis. Our analyses revealed that G. gynandra and its C3 relative Tarenaya hassleriana shared a whole-genome duplication event (Gg-α), then an addition of a third genome (Th-α, +1×) took place in T. hassleriana but not in G. gynandra. Analysis of syntenic copy number of C4 photosynthesis-related gene families indicates that G. gynandra generally retained more duplicated copies of these genes than C3T. hassleriana, and also that the G. gynandra C4 genes might have been under positive selection pressure. Both whole-genome and single-gene duplication were found to contribute to the expansion of the aforementioned gene families in G. gynandra. Collectively, this study enhances our understanding of the polyploidy history, gene duplication and retention, as well as their impact on the evolution of C4 photosynthesis in Cleomaceae.


Assuntos
Arabidopsis , Brassicaceae , Magnoliopsida , Duplicação Gênica , Magnoliopsida/genética , Brassicaceae/genética , Arabidopsis/genética , Fotossíntese/genética , Evolução Molecular
5.
CA Cancer J Clin ; 69(5): 402-429, 2019 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31283845

RESUMO

Mesothelioma affects mostly older individuals who have been occupationally exposed to asbestos. The global mesothelioma incidence and mortality rates are unknown, because data are not available from developing countries that continue to use large amounts of asbestos. The incidence rate of mesothelioma has decreased in Australia, the United States, and Western Europe, where the use of asbestos was banned or strictly regulated in the 1970s and 1980s, demonstrating the value of these preventive measures. However, in these same countries, the overall number of deaths from mesothelioma has not decreased as the size of the population and the percentage of old people have increased. Moreover, hotspots of mesothelioma may occur when carcinogenic fibers that are present in the environment are disturbed as rural areas are being developed. Novel immunohistochemical and molecular markers have improved the accuracy of diagnosis; however, about 14% (high-resource countries) to 50% (developing countries) of mesothelioma diagnoses are incorrect, resulting in inadequate treatment and complicating epidemiological studies. The discovery that germline BRCA1-asssociated protein 1 (BAP1) mutations cause mesothelioma and other cancers (BAP1 cancer syndrome) elucidated some of the key pathogenic mechanisms, and treatments targeting these molecular mechanisms and/or modulating the immune response are being tested. The role of surgery in pleural mesothelioma is controversial as it is difficult to predict who will benefit from aggressive management, even when local therapies are added to existing or novel systemic treatments. Treatment outcomes are improving, however, for peritoneal mesothelioma. Multidisciplinary international collaboration will be necessary to improve prevention, early detection, and treatment.


Assuntos
Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/uso terapêutico , Biomarcadores Tumorais/análise , Mesotelioma/terapia , Neoplasias Pleurais/terapia , Pneumonectomia/métodos , Amianto/efeitos adversos , Austrália/epidemiologia , Biomarcadores Tumorais/genética , Biomarcadores Tumorais/metabolismo , Carcinogênese/induzido quimicamente , Carcinogênese/genética , Carcinogênese/patologia , Terapia Combinada/métodos , Erros de Diagnóstico , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Mutação em Linhagem Germinativa , Carga Global da Doença , Humanos , Incidência , Exposição por Inalação/efeitos adversos , Cooperação Internacional , Mesotelioma/diagnóstico , Mesotelioma/epidemiologia , Mesotelioma/etiologia , Terapia de Alvo Molecular/métodos , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Pleura/efeitos dos fármacos , Pleura/patologia , Pleura/cirurgia , Neoplasias Pleurais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pleurais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pleurais/etiologia , Prognóstico , Proteínas Supressoras de Tumor/genética , Proteínas Supressoras de Tumor/metabolismo , Ubiquitina Tiolesterase/genética , Ubiquitina Tiolesterase/metabolismo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
6.
Lancet ; 403(10436): 1554-1562, 2024 Apr 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38555928

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Enteric fever caused by Salmonella enterica Typhi and Salmonella Paratyphi A is an important public health problem, especially in low-income and middle-income countries with limited access to safe water and sanitation. We present results from, to our knowledge, the first ever human study of a bivalent paratyphoid A-typhoid conjugate vaccine (Sii-PTCV). METHODS: In this double-blind phase 1 study, 60 healthy Indian adults were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive a single intramuscular dose of either Sii-PTCV or typhoid conjugate vaccine (Typbar-TCV). Safety was assessed by observing solicited adverse events for 1 week, unsolicited events for 1 month, and serious adverse events (SAEs) over 6 months. Immunogenicity at 1 month and 6 months was assessed by measuring anti-capsular polysaccharide antigen Vi (anti-Vi) IgG and IgA against Salmonella Typhi and anti-lipopolysaccharide (LPS) IgG against Salmonella Paratyphi A by ELISA, and functional antibodies using serum bactericidal assay (SBA) against Salmonella Paratyphi A. This study is registered with Clinical Trial Registry-India (CTRI/2022/06/043608) and is completed. FINDINGS: 60 participants were enrolled. Of these 60 participants, 57 (95%) participants were male and three (5%) participants were female. Solicited adverse events were observed in 27 (90%) of 30 participants who received Sii-PTCV and 26 (87%) of 30 participants who received Typbar-TCV. The most common local solicited event was pain in 27 (90%) participants who received Sii-PTCV and in 23 (77%) participants who received Typbar-TCV. The most common solicited systemic event was myalgia in five (17%) participants who received Sii-PTCV, whereas four (13%) participants who received Typbar-TCV had myalgia and four (13%) had headache. No vaccine-related unsolicited adverse events or SAEs were reported. The seroconversion rates on day 29 were 96·7% (95% CI 82·8-99·9) with Sii-PTCV and 100·0% (88·4-100·0) with Typbar-TCV for anti-Vi IgG; 93·3% (77·9-99·2) with Sii-PTCV and 100·0% (88·4-100·0) with Typbar-TCV for anti-Vi IgA; 100·0% (88·4-100·0) with Sii-PTCV and 3·3% (0·1-17·2) with Typbar-TCV for anti-LPS (paratyphoid); and 93·3% (77·9-99·2) with Sii-PTCV and 0% (0·0-11·6) with Typbar-TCV for SBA titres (paratyphoid). Paratyphoid anti-LPS immune responses were sustained at day 181. INTERPRETATION: Sii-PTCV was safe and immunogenic for both typhoid and paratyphoid antigens indicating its potential for providing comprehensive protection against enteric fever. FUNDING: Serum Institute of India.


Assuntos
Salmonella enterica , Febre Tifoide , Vacinas Tíficas-Paratíficas , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Antibacterianos , Imunoglobulina A , Imunoglobulina G , Mialgia , Salmonella typhi , Febre Tifoide/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Combinadas , Vacinas Conjugadas , Método Duplo-Cego
7.
Lancet ; 403(10426): 533-544, 2024 02 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38310910

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recently, we found that a new malaria vaccine, R21/Matrix-M, had over 75% efficacy against clinical malaria with seasonal administration in a phase 2b trial in Burkina Faso. Here, we report on safety and efficacy of the vaccine in a phase 3 trial enrolling over 4800 children across four countries followed for up to 18 months at seasonal sites and 12 months at standard sites. METHODS: We did a double-blind, randomised, phase 3 trial of the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine across five sites in four African countries with differing malaria transmission intensities and seasonality. Children (aged 5-36 months) were enrolled and randomly assigned (2:1) to receive 5 µg R21 plus 50 µg Matrix-M or a control vaccine (licensed rabies vaccine [Abhayrab]). Participants, their families, investigators, laboratory teams, and the local study team were masked to treatment. Vaccines were administered as three doses, 4 weeks apart, with a booster administered 12 months after the third dose. Half of the children were recruited at two sites with seasonal malaria transmission and the remainder at standard sites with perennial malaria transmission using age-based immunisation. The primary objective was protective efficacy of R21/Matrix-M from 14 days after third vaccination to 12 months after completion of the primary series at seasonal and standard sites separately as co-primary endpoints. Vaccine efficacy against multiple malaria episodes and severe malaria, as well as safety and immunogenicity, were also assessed. This trial is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04704830, and is ongoing. FINDINGS: From April 26, 2021, to Jan 12, 2022, 5477 children consented to be screened, of whom 1705 were randomly assigned to control vaccine and 3434 to R21/Matrix-M; 4878 participants received the first dose of vaccine. 3103 participants in the R21/Matrix-M group and 1541 participants in the control group were included in the modified per-protocol analysis (2412 [51·9%] male and 2232 [48·1%] female). R21/Matrix-M vaccine was well tolerated, with injection site pain (301 [18·6%] of 1615 participants) and fever (754 [46·7%] of 1615 participants) as the most frequent adverse events. Number of adverse events of special interest and serious adverse events did not significantly differ between the vaccine groups. There were no treatment-related deaths. 12-month vaccine efficacy was 75% (95% CI 71-79; p<0·0001) at the seasonal sites and 68% (61-74; p<0·0001) at the standard sites for time to first clinical malaria episode. Similarly, vaccine efficacy against multiple clinical malaria episodes was 75% (71-78; p<0·0001) at the seasonal sites and 67% (59-73; p<0·0001) at standard sites. A modest reduction in vaccine efficacy was observed over the first 12 months of follow-up, of similar size at seasonal and standard sites. A rate reduction of 868 (95% CI 762-974) cases per 1000 children-years at seasonal sites and 296 (231-362) at standard sites occurred over 12 months. Vaccine-induced antibodies against the conserved central Asn-Ala-Asn-Pro (NANP) repeat sequence of circumsporozoite protein correlated with vaccine efficacy. Higher NANP-specific antibody titres were observed in the 5-17 month age group compared with 18-36 month age group, and the younger age group had the highest 12-month vaccine efficacy on time to first clinical malaria episode at seasonal (79% [95% CI 73-84]; p<0·001) and standard (75% [65-83]; p<0·001) sites. INTERPRETATION: R21/Matrix-M was well tolerated and offered high efficacy against clinical malaria in African children. This low-cost, high-efficacy vaccine is already licensed by several African countries, and recently received a WHO policy recommendation and prequalification, offering large-scale supply to help reduce the great burden of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa. FUNDING: The Serum Institute of India, the Wellcome Trust, the UK National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, and Open Philanthropy.


Assuntos
Vacinas Antimaláricas , Malária , Nanopartículas , Saponinas , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Anticorpos Antivirais , Burkina Faso , Método Duplo-Cego , Imunização , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Vacinas Antimaláricas/efeitos adversos
8.
Ann Surg ; 279(1): 147-153, 2024 01 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37800338

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study compared outcomes in patients with solid tumor treated for pericardial effusion with surgical drainage versus interventional radiology (IR) percutaneous drainage and compared incidence of paradoxical hemodynamic instability (PHI) between cohorts. BACKGROUND: Patients with advanced-stage solid malignancies may develop large pericardial effusions requiring intervention. PHI is a fatal and underreported complication that occurs following pericardial effusion drainage. METHODS: Clinical characteristics and outcomes were compared between patients with solid tumors who underwent s urgical drainage or IR percutaneous drainage for pericardial effusion from 2010 to 2020. RESULTS: Among 447 patients, 243 were treated with surgical drainage, of which 27 (11%) developed PHI, compared with 7 of 204 patients (3%) who were treated with IR percutaneous drainage ( P =0.002); overall incidence of PHI decreased during the study period. Rates of reintervention (30-day: 1% vs 4%; 90-day: 4% vs 6%, P =0.7) and mortality (30-day: 21% vs 17%, P =0.3; 90-day: 39% vs 37%, P =0.7) were not different between patients treated with surgical drainage and IR percutaneous drainage. For both interventions, OS was shorter among patients with PHI than among patients without PHI (surgical drainage, median [95% confidence interval] OS, 0.89 mo [0.33-2.1] vs 6.5 mo [5.0-8.9], P <0.001; IR percutaneous drainage, 3.7 mo [0.23-6.8] vs 5.0 mo [4.0-8.1], P =0.044). CONCLUSIONS: With a coordinated multidisciplinary approach focusing on prompt clinical and echocardiographic evaluation, triage with bias toward IR percutaneous drainage than surgical drainage and postintervention intensive care resulted in lower incidence of PHI and improved outcomes.


Assuntos
Neoplasias , Derrame Pericárdico , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Torácicos , Doenças Vasculares , Humanos , Derrame Pericárdico/etiologia , Derrame Pericárdico/cirurgia , Neoplasias/complicações , Doenças Vasculares/etiologia , Drenagem/métodos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Hemodinâmica
9.
Ann Surg ; 2024 Oct 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39351678

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To generate a prediction model for selection of treatment modality for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) and minimally invasive surgery (MIS) are used in the local treatment of early-stage NSCLC. However, selection of patients for either SBRT or MIS remains challenging, due to the multitude of factors influencing the decision-making process. METHODS: We analyzed 1291 patients with clinical stage I NSCLC treated with intended MIS or SBRT from January 2020 to July 2023. A prediction model for selection for SBRT was created based on multivariable logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis stratified the cohort into 3 treatment-related risk categories. Post-procedural outcomes, recurrence and overall survival (OS) were investigated to assess the performance of the model. RESULTS: In total, 1116 patients underwent MIS and 175 SBRT. The prediction model included age, performance status, previous pulmonary resection, MSK-Frailty score, FEV1 and DLCO, and demonstrated an area-under-the-curve of 0.908 (95%CI, 0.876-0.938). Based on the probability scores (n=1197), patients were stratified into a low-risk (MIS, n=970 and SBRT, n=28), intermediate-risk (MIS, n=96 and SBRT, n=53) and high-risk category (MIS, n=10 and SBRT, n=40). Treatment modality was not associated with OS (HR of SBRT, 1.67 [95%CI: 0.80-3.48]; P=0.20). CONCLUSION: Clinical expertise can be translated into a robust predictive model, guiding the selection of stage I NSCLC patients for MIS versus SBRT and effectively categorizing them into three distinct risk groups. Patients in the intermediate category could benefit most from multidisciplinary evaluation.

10.
Ann Surg ; 2024 May 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38726663

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess the performance of a lower predicted postoperative (ppo) forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) or diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) (ppoFEV1/ppoDLCO) threshold to predict cardiopulmonary complications after minimally invasive surgery (MIS) lobectomy. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Although MIS is associated with better postoperative outcomes than open surgery, MIS uses risk-assessment algorithms developed for open surgery. Moreover, several different definitions of cardiopulmonary complications are used for assessment. METHODS: All patients who underwent MIS lobectomy for clinical stage I-II lung cancer from 2018 to 2022 at our institution were considered. The performance of a ppoFEV1/ppoDLCO threshold of <45% was compared against that of the current guideline threshold of <60%. Three different definitions of cardiopulmonary complications were compared: Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS), European Society of Thoracic Surgeons (ESTS), and Berry et al. RESULTS: In 946 patients, the ppoFEV1/ppoDLCO threshold of <45% was associated with a higher proportion correctly classified (79% [95% CI, 76%-81%] vs. 65% [95% CI, 62%-68%]; P<0.001). The complication with the biggest difference in incidence between ppoFEV1/ppoDLCO of 45%-60% and >60% was prolonged air leak (33 [13%] vs. 34 [6%]; P<0.001). The predicted probability curves for cardiopulmonary complications were higher for the STS definition than for the ESTS or Berry definitions across ppoFEV1 and ppoDLCO values. CONCLUSIONS: The ppoFEV1/ppoDLCO threshold of <45% more accurately classified patients for cardiopulmonary complications after MIS lobectomy, emphasizing the need for updated risk-assessment guidelines for MIS lobectomy to optimize additional cardiopulmonary function evaluation.

11.
N Engl J Med ; 384(22): 2115-2123, 2021 06 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34077644

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Neisseria meningitidis serogroups A, B, C, W, X, and Y cause outbreaks of meningococcal disease. Quadrivalent conjugate vaccines targeting the A, C, W, and Y serogroups are available. A pentavalent vaccine that also includes serogroup X (NmCV-5) is under development. METHODS: We conducted a phase 2, observer-blinded, randomized, controlled trial involving Malian children 12 to 16 months of age. Participants were assigned in a 2:2:1 ratio to receive nonadjuvanted NmCV-5, alum-adjuvanted NmCV-5, or the quadrivalent vaccine MenACWY-D, administered intramuscularly in two doses 12 weeks apart. Participants were followed for safety for 169 days. Immunogenicity was assessed with an assay for serum bactericidal antibody (SBA) with rabbit complement on days 0, 28, 84, and 112. RESULTS: A total of 376 participants underwent randomization, with 150 assigned to each NmCV-5 group and 76 to the MenACWY-D group; 362 participants received both doses of vaccine. A total of 1% of the participants in the nonadjuvanted NmCV-5 group, 1% of those in the adjuvanted NmCV-5 group, and 4% of those in the MenACWY-D group reported local solicited adverse events; 6%, 5%, and 7% of the participants, respectively, reported systemic solicited adverse events. An SBA titer of at least 128 was seen in 91 to 100% (for all five serotypes) of the participants in the NmCV-5 groups and in 36 to 99% (excluding serogroup X) of those in the MenACWY-D group at day 84 (before the second dose); the same threshold was met in 99 to 100% (for all five serotypes) of the participants in the NmCV-5 groups and in 92 to 100% (excluding serogroup X) of those in the MenACWY-D group at day 112. Immune responses to the nonadjuvanted and adjuvanted NmCV-5 formulations were similar. CONCLUSIONS: No safety concerns were identified with two doses of NmCV-5. A single dose of NmCV-5 elicited immune responses that were similar to those observed with two doses of MenACWY-D. Adjuvanted NmCV-5 provided no discernible benefit over nonadjuvanted NmCV-5. (Funded by the U.K. Foreign, Commonwealth, and Development Office; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03295318.).


Assuntos
Imunogenicidade da Vacina , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Meningocócicas/imunologia , Adjuvantes Imunológicos , Compostos de Alúmen , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Injeções Intramusculares , Masculino , Mali , Vacinas Meningocócicas/efeitos adversos , Neisseria meningitidis , Sorogrupo , Método Simples-Cego , Vacinas Conjugadas/imunologia
12.
Small ; 20(32): e2311064, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38396219

RESUMO

Visual sensing of humidity and temperature by solids plays an important role in the everyday life and in industrial processes. Due to their hydrophobic nature, most covalent organic framework (COF) sensors often exhibit poor optical response when exposed to moisture. To overcome this challenge, the optical response is set out to improve, to moisture by incorporating H-bonding ionic functionalities into the COF network. A highly sensitive COF, consisting of guanidinium and diformylpyridine linkers (TG-DFP), capable of detecting changes in temperature and moisture content is fabricated. The hydrophilic nature of the framework enables enhanced water uptake, allowing the trapped water molecules to form a large number of hydrogen bonds. Despite the presence of non-emissive building blocks, the H-bonds restrict internal bond rotation within the COF, leading to reversible fluorescence and solid-state optical hydrochromism in response to relative humidity and temperature.

13.
Mod Pathol ; 37(7): 100520, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38777035

RESUMO

The new grading system for lung adenocarcinoma proposed by the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) defines prognostic subgroups on the basis of histologic patterns observed on surgical specimens. This study sought to provide novel insights into the IASLC grading system, with particular focus on recurrence-specific survival (RSS) and lung cancer-specific survival among patients with stage I adenocarcinoma. Under the IASLC grading system, tumors were classified as grade 1 (lepidic predominant with <20% high-grade patterns [micropapillary, solid, and complex glandular]), grade 2 (acinar or papillary predominant with <20% high-grade patterns), or grade 3 (≥20% high-grade patterns). Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, pathologic features, and genomic profiles were investigated for patients whose disease was reclassified into a higher grade under the IASLC grading system on the basis of the hypothesis that they would strongly resemble patients with predominant high-grade tumors. Overall, 423 (29%) of 1443 patients with grade 1 or 2 tumors classified based on the predominant pattern-based grading system had their tumors upgraded to grade 3 based on the IASLC grading system. The RSS curves for patients with upgraded tumors were significantly different from those for patients with grade 1 or 2 tumors (log-rank P < .001) but not from those for patients with predominant high-grade patterns (P = .3). Patients with upgraded tumors had a similar incidence of visceral pleural invasion and spread of tumor through air spaces as patients with predominant high-grade patterns. In multivariable models, the IASLC grading system remained significantly associated with RSS and lung cancer-specific survival after adjustment for aggressive pathologic features such as visceral pleural invasion and spread of tumor through air spaces. The IASLC grading system outperforms the predominant pattern-based grading system and appropriately reclassifies tumors into higher grades with worse prognosis, even after other pathologic features of aggressiveness are considered.


Assuntos
Adenocarcinoma de Pulmão , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Gradação de Tumores , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/classificação , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidade , Adenocarcinoma de Pulmão/patologia , Adenocarcinoma de Pulmão/mortalidade , Adenocarcinoma de Pulmão/classificação , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico
14.
Mod Pathol ; 37(3): 100420, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38185249

RESUMO

9p21 deletions involving MTAP/CDKN2A genes are detected in diffuse pleural mesotheliomas (DPM) but are absent in benign mesothelial proliferations. Loss of MTAP expression by immunohistochemistry (IHC) is well accepted as a surrogate for 9p21 deletion to support a diagnosis of DPM. Accurate interpretation can be critical in the diagnosis of DPM, but variations in antibody performance may impact interpretation. The objectives of this study were to compare the performance of MTAP monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) EPR6893 and 1813 and to compare MTAP expression by IHC with 9p21 copy number status in DPM. Cytoplasmic expression of MTAP IHC with mAbs EPR6893 (ab126770; Abcam) and 1813 (NBP2-75730, Novus Biologicals) was evaluated in 56 DPM (47 epithelioid, 7 biphasic, and 2 sarcomatoid) profiled by targeted next-generation sequencing. 9p21 Copy number status was assessed by Fraction and Allele-Specific Copy Number Estimates from Tumor Sequencing (FACETS) analysis and also by CDKN2A fluorescence in situ hybridization in discrepant cases when material was available. MTAP mAb 1813 showed stronger immunoreactivity, more specific staining, and no equivocal interpretations compared to mAb EPR6893 which showed equivocal staining in 19 (34%) of cases due to weak or heterogenous immunoreactivity, lack of definitive internal positive control, and/or nonspecific background staining. MTAP expression with mAb 1813 showed near perfect agreement with 9p21 copy number by combined FACETS/fluorescence in situ hybridization calls (κ = 0.85; 95% CI, 0.71-0.99; P < .001). MTAP IHC with mAb 1813 was 96% sensitive, 86% specific, and 93% accurate for 9p21 homozygous deletion. The findings of this study suggest that interpretation of MTAP IHC is improved with mAb 1813 because mAb EPR6893 was often limited by equivocal interpretations. We show that MTAP IHC and molecular assays are complementary in detecting 9p21 homozygous deletion. MTAP IHC may be particularly useful for low tumor purity samples and in low-resource settings.


Assuntos
Mesotelioma Maligno , Mesotelioma , Neoplasias Pleurais , Humanos , Biomarcadores Tumorais/análise , Inibidor p16 de Quinase Dependente de Ciclina/genética , Sequenciamento de Nucleotídeos em Larga Escala , Homozigoto , Imuno-Histoquímica , Hibridização in Situ Fluorescente , Mesotelioma/diagnóstico , Mesotelioma/genética , Mesotelioma/patologia , Mesotelioma Maligno/genética , Neoplasias Pleurais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pleurais/genética , Neoplasias Pleurais/patologia , Deleção de Sequência , Ubiquitina Tiolesterase/genética
15.
Eur Radiol ; 2024 Aug 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39143249

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The current clinical staging of pleural mesothelioma (PM) is often discordant with the pathologic staging. This study aimed to identify clinical and radiological features that could help predict unresectability in PM. METHODS: Twenty-two descriptive radiologic features were retrospectively evaluated on preoperative computed tomography (CT) and/or positron emission tomography/CT (PET/CT) performed in patients with presumably resectable PM who underwent surgery. Measurements of maximum and sum pleural thickness at three levels of the thorax (upper, middle, and lower) were taken and stratified based on the cutpoints provided by the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC). Clinical and radiological features, including clinical-stage, were compared between resectable and unresectable tumors by univariate analysis and logistic regression modeling. RESULTS: Of 133 patients, 69/133 (52%) had resectable and 64/133 (48%) had unresectable PM. Asbestos exposure (p = 0.005), neoadjuvant treatment (p = 0.001), clinical T-stage (p < 0.0001), all pleural thickness measurements (p < 0.05), pleural thickness pattern (p < 0.0001) and degree (p = 0.033), lung invasion (p = 0.004), extrapleural space obliteration (p < 0.0001), extension to subphrenic space (p = 0.0004), and two combination variables representing extensive diaphragmatic contact and/or chest wall involvement (p = 0.002) and mediastinal invasion (p < 0.0001) were significant predictors at univariate analysis. At multivariable analysis, all models achieved a strong diagnostic performance (area under the curve (AUC) > 0.8). The two best-performing models were one that included the upper-level maximum pleural thickness, extrapleural space obliteration, and mediastinal infiltration (AUC = 0.876), and another that integrated clinical variables and radiological assessment through the clinical T-stage (AUC = 0.879). CONCLUSION: Selected clinical and radiologic features, including pleural thickness measurements, appear to be strong predictors of unresectability in PM. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: A more accurate prediction of unresectability in the preoperative assessment of patients with pleural mesothelioma may avoid unnecessary surgery and prompt initiation of nonsurgical treatments. KEY POINTS: About half of pleural mesothelioma patients are reported to receive an incorrect disease stage preoperatively. Eleven features identified as predictors of unresectability were included in strongly performing predictive models. More accurate preoperative staging will help clinicians and patients choose the most appropriate treatments.

16.
Br J Clin Pharmacol ; 90(9): 2236-2255, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38863280

RESUMO

AIMS: This study evaluated the use of machine learning to leverage drug absorption, distribution, metabolism and excretion (ADME) data together with physicochemical and pharmacological data to develop a novel anticholinergic burden scale and compare its performance to previously published scales. METHODS: Experimental and in silico ADME, physicochemical and pharmacological data were collected for antimuscarinic activity, blood-brain barrier penetration, bioavailability, chemical structure and P-glycoprotein (P-gp) substrate profile. These five drug properties were used to train an unsupervised model to assign anticholinergic burden scores to drugs. The model performance was evaluated through 10-fold cross-validation and compared with the clinical Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden (ACB) scale and nonclinical Anticholinergic Toxicity Scores (ATS) scale, which is based primarily on muscarinic binding affinity. RESULTS: In silico software (ADMET Predictor) used for screening drugs for their blood-brain barrier (BBB) penetration correctly identified some drugs that do not cross the BBB. The mean area under the curve for the unsupervised and ACB scale based on the five selected variables was 0.76 and 0.64, respectively. The unsupervised model agreed with the ACB scale on the classification of more than half of the drugs (49 of 88) agreed on the classification of less than half the drugs in the ATS scale (12 of 25). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the commonly used ACB scale may misclassify certain drugs due to their inability to cross the BBB. By contrast, the ATS scale would misclassify drugs solely depending on muscarinic binding affinity without considering other drug properties. Machine learning models can be trained on these features to build classification models that are easy to update and have greater generalizability.


Assuntos
Barreira Hematoencefálica , Antagonistas Colinérgicos , Simulação por Computador , Aprendizado de Máquina , Humanos , Barreira Hematoencefálica/efeitos dos fármacos , Barreira Hematoencefálica/metabolismo , Antagonistas Colinérgicos/efeitos adversos , Antagonistas Colinérgicos/farmacocinética , Cognição/efeitos dos fármacos , Disponibilidade Biológica , Antagonistas Muscarínicos/farmacocinética , Antagonistas Muscarínicos/efeitos adversos , Modelos Biológicos , Membro 1 da Subfamília B de Cassetes de Ligação de ATP/metabolismo
17.
Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol ; 63(2): 164-172, 2024 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37519089

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Most of the published literature on selective fetal growth restriction (sFGR) has focused on monochorionic twin pregnancies. The aim of this systematic review was to report on the outcome of dichorionic diamniotic (DCDA) twin pregnancies complicated by sFGR. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE and The Cochrane Library databases were searched. The inclusion criteria were DCDA twin pregnancies complicated by sFGR. The outcomes explored were intrauterine death (IUD), neonatal death and perinatal death (PND), survival of at least one and both twins, preterm birth (PTB) (either spontaneous or iatrogenic) prior to 37, 34, 32 and 28 weeks' gestation, pre-eclampsia (PE) or gestational hypertension, neurological, respiratory and infectious morbidity, Apgar score < 7 at 5 min, necrotizing enterocolitis, retinopathy of prematurity and admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). A composite outcome of neonatal morbidity, defined as the occurrence of respiratory, neurological or infectious morbidity, was also evaluated. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to analyze the data, and results are reported as pooled proportion or odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI. RESULTS: Thirteen studies reporting on 1339 pregnancies with sFGR and 6316 pregnancies without sFGR were included. IUD occurred in 2.6% (95% CI, 1.1-4.7%) of fetuses from DCDA pregnancies with sFGR and 0.6% (95% CI, 0.3-9.7%) of those from DCDA pregnancies without sFGR, while the respective values for PND were 5.2% (95% CI, 3.5-7.3%) and 1.7% (95% CI, 0.1-5.7%). Spontaneous or iatrogenic PTB before 37 weeks complicated 84.1% (95% CI, 55.6-99.2%) of pregnancies with sFGR and 69.1% (95% CI, 45.4-88.4%) of those without sFGR. The respective values for PTB before 34, 32 and 28 weeks were 18.4% (95% CI, 4.4-38.9%), 13.0% (95% CI, 9.5-17.1%) and 1.5% (95% CI, 0.6-2.3%) in pregnancies with sFGR and 10.2% (95% CI, 3.1-20.7%), 7.8% (95% CI, 6.8-9.0%) and 1.8% (95% CI, 1.3-2.4%) in those without sFGR. PE or gestational hypertension complicated 19.9% (95% CI, 12.4-28.6%) of pregnancies with sFGR and 12.8% (95% CI, 10.4-15.4%) of those without sFGR. Composite morbidity occurred in 28.2% (95% CI, 7.8-55.1%) of fetuses from pregnancies with sFGR and 13.9% (95% CI, 6.5-23.5%) of those from pregnancies without sFGR. When stratified according to the sFGR status within a twin pair, composite morbidity occurred in 39.0% (95% CI, 11.1-71.5%) of growth-restricted fetuses and 29.9% (95% CI, 3.5-65.0%) of appropriately grown fetuses (OR, 1.9 (95% CI, 1.7-3.1)), while the respective values for PND were 3.0% (95% CI, 1.8-4.5%) and 1.6% (95% CI, 0.9-2.6%) (OR, 2.1 (95% CI, 1.0-4.1)). On risk analysis, DCDA pregnancies complicated by sFGR had a significantly higher risk of IUD (OR, 5.2 (95% CI, 3.2-8.6)) and composite morbidity or admission to the NICU (OR, 3.2 (95% CI, 1.9-5.6)) compared to those without sFGR, while there was no difference in the risk of PTB before 34 weeks (P = 0.220) or PE/gestational hypertension (P = 0.210). CONCLUSIONS: DCDA twin pregnancies complicated by sFGR are at high risk of perinatal morbidity and mortality. The findings of this systematic review are relevant for counseling and management of complicated DCDA twin pregnancies, in which twin-specific, rather than singleton, outcome data should be used. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.


Assuntos
Hipertensão Induzida pela Gravidez , Morte Perinatal , Nascimento Prematuro , Gravidez , Feminino , Recém-Nascido , Humanos , Gravidez de Gêmeos , Retardo do Crescimento Fetal/epidemiologia , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia , Nascimento Prematuro/etiologia , Morte Fetal/etiologia , Morte Perinatal/etiologia , Natimorto , Idade Gestacional , Doença Iatrogênica , Resultado da Gravidez/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
18.
Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol ; 63(2): 189-197, 2024 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37550962

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Twin pregnancy is associated with increased perinatal mortality and morbidity, but long-term neurodevelopmental outcome remains underinvestigated. The primary objective of this study was to investigate the incidence of adverse neurodevelopment after 1 year of age in complicated monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) twin pregnancies compared with uncomplicated twin pregnancies. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study conducted at St George's University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK. Women with a twin pregnancy culminating in at least one surviving child, aged between 12 and 60 months (corrected for prematurity) at the time of assessment, were invited to complete the relevant Ages and Stages Questionnaire® version 3 (ASQ-3) test. The two study groups were: (1) complicated MCDA twin pregnancies, including those with twin-twin transfusion syndrome, twin anemia-polycythemia sequence, selective fetal growth restriction, twin reversed arterial perfusion sequence and/or single intrauterine demise; and (2) uncomplicated MCDA and dichorionic diamniotic twin pregnancies. The primary outcome measure was an abnormal ASQ-3 score, defined as a score of more than 2 SD below the mean in any one of the five domains. Mixed-effects multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine whether a complicated MCDA twin pregnancy was associated independently with an abnormal ASQ-3 score. RESULTS: The study included 174 parents who completed the questionnaire for one or both twins; therefore, 327 ASQ-3 questionnaires were available for analysis. Of those, 117 (35.8%) were complicated MCDA twin pregnancies and 210 (64.2%) were controls. The overall rate of an abnormal ASQ-3 score in children born of a complicated MCDA twin pregnancy was nearly double that of those from uncomplicated twin pregnancies (14.5% vs 7.6%; P = 0.056). Children born of a complicated MCDA twin pregnancy had a significantly higher rate of impairment in the gross-motor domain compared with the control group (8.5% vs 2.9%; P = 0.031). Complicated MCDA twin pregnancies that underwent prenatal intervention had a significantly higher rate of abnormal ASQ-3 score compared with those that did not undergo prenatal intervention (28.1% vs 1.7%; P < 0.001). On multilevel logistic regression analysis, complicated MCDA twin pregnancy was an independent predictor of abnormal ASQ-3 score (adjusted odds ratio, 3.28 (95% CI, 3.27-3.29); P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that survivors of complicated MCDA twin pregnancies have a higher rate of adverse neurodevelopmental outcome, independently of prematurity. Long-term neurodevelopmental follow-up in these pregnancies can ensure timely and optimal management of those affected. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.


Assuntos
Transfusão Feto-Fetal , Complicações na Gravidez , Gravidez , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Pré-Escolar , Gravidez de Gêmeos , Estudos Prospectivos , Gêmeos , Transfusão Feto-Fetal/complicações , Transfusão Feto-Fetal/epidemiologia , Retardo do Crescimento Fetal , Idade Gestacional , Resultado da Gravidez , Estudos Retrospectivos
19.
Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol ; 64(4): 513-520, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38642338

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Twin pregnancies are at higher risk of stillbirth compared to singletons. Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is a major cause of perinatal mortality, but its impact on twins vs singletons remains unclear. The primary objective of this study was to investigate the association of FGR and small-for-gestational age (SGA) with stillbirth in twin compared with singleton pregnancies. A secondary objective was to assess these associations stratified by gestational age at delivery. Furthermore, we aimed to compare the associations of FGR and SGA with stillbirth in twin pregnancies using twin-specific vs singleton birth-weight charts, stratified by chorionicity. METHODS: This was a retrospective cross-sectional study of pregnancies receiving obstetric care and giving birth between 1999 and 2022 at St George's Hospital, London, UK. The exclusion criteria included triplet and higher-order pregnancies, those resulting in miscarriage or live birth at ≤ 23 + 6 weeks, termination of pregnancy and missing data regarding birth weight or gestational age at birth. Birth-weight data were collected and FGR and SGA were defined as birth weight <5th and <10th centiles, respectively. While standard logistic regression was used for singleton pregnancies, the association of FGR and SGA with stillbirth in twin pregnancies was investigated using mixed-effects logistic regression models. For twin pregnancies, intercepts were allowed to vary for twin pairs to account for intertwin dependency. Analyses were stratified by gestational age at delivery and chorionicity. Statistical significance was set at P ≤ 0.001. RESULTS: The study included 95 342 singleton and 3576 twin pregnancies. There were 494 (0.52%) stillbirths in singleton and 41 (1.15%) stillbirths in twin pregnancies (17 dichorionic and 24 monochorionic). SGA and FGR were associated significantly with stillbirth in singleton pregnancies across all gestational ages at delivery: the odds ratios (ORs) for SGA and FGR were 2.36 ((95% CI, 1.78-3.13), P < 0.001) and 2.67 ((95% CI, 2.02-3.55), P < 0.001), respectively, for delivery before 32 weeks; 2.70 ((95% CI, 1.71-4.31), P < 0.001) and 2.82 ((95% CI, 1.78-4.47), P < 0.001), respectively, for delivery between 32 and 36 weeks; and 3.85 ((95% CI, 2.83-5.21), P < 0.001) and 4.43 ((95% CI, 3.16-6.12), P < 0.001), respectively, for delivery after 36 weeks. In twin pregnancies, when stratified by gestational age at delivery, both SGA and FGR determined by twin-specific birth-weight charts were associated with increased odds of stillbirth for those delivered before 32 weeks (SGA: OR, 3.87 (95% CI, 1.56-9.50), P = 0.003 and FGR: OR, 5.26 (95% CI, 2.11-13.01), P = 0.001), those delivered between 32 and 36 weeks (SGA: OR, 6.67 (95% CI, 2.11-20.41), P = 0.001 and FGR: OR, 9.54 (95% CI, 3.01-29.40), P < 0.001) and those delivered beyond 36 weeks (SGA: OR, 12.68 (95% CI, 2.47-58.15), P = 0.001 and FGR: OR, 23.84 (95% CI, 4.62-110.25), P < 0.001). However, the association of stillbirth with SGA and FGR in twin pregnancies was non-significant when diagnosis was based on singleton charts (before 32 weeks: SGA, P = 0.014 and FGR, P = 0.005; 32-36 weeks: SGA, P = 0.036 and FGR, P = 0.008; after 36 weeks: SGA, P = 0.080 and FGR, P = 0.063). CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates that SGA and, especially, FGR are associated significantly with an increased risk of stillbirth across all gestational ages in singleton pregnancies, and in twin pregnancies when twin-specific birth-weight charts are used. © 2024 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.


Assuntos
Retardo do Crescimento Fetal , Idade Gestacional , Recém-Nascido Pequeno para a Idade Gestacional , Gravidez de Gêmeos , Natimorto , Humanos , Feminino , Natimorto/epidemiologia , Retardo do Crescimento Fetal/epidemiologia , Gravidez , Gravidez de Gêmeos/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos Transversais , Adulto , Recém-Nascido , Peso ao Nascer , Londres/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco
20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38805609

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To develop a prediction model for hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HDP) and gestational diabetes (GDM) in twin pregnancies utilizing characteristics at the prenatal care entry level. METHODS: Cross-sectional study using the US national live birth data between 2016 and 2021. The association of all prenatal candidate variables with HDP and GDM was tested with uni- and multi-variable logistic regression analyses. Prediction models were built with generalized linear models using the logit link function and classification and regression tree approach (XGboost) machine learning (ML) algorithm. Performance was assessed with repeated 2-fold cross-validation and performance metrics we considered were area under the curve (AUC). P value <0.001 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: A total of 707,198 twin pregnancies were included in the HDP analysis and 723,882 twin pregnancies for the GDM analysis. The incidence of HDP and GDM significantly increased from 12.2% in 2016 to 15.4% in 2021 and from 8.1% in 2016 to 10.7% in 2021, respectively. Factors that increase the risk of HDP in twin gestations are maternal age <20, age≥35, infertility, prepregnancy DM, non-Hispanic Black population, obesity, and those with Medicaid insurance (p<0.001). Factors that more than doubled the risk are obesity class II and III (p<0.001). Factors that increase the risk of GDM in twin gestations are age <25, age≥30, history of infertility, prepregnancy hypertension, non-Hispanic Asian population, non-US nativity, and obesity (p<0.001). Factors that more than doubled the risk are maternal age ≥ 30 years, non-Hispanic Asian, and class I, II, and III maternal obesity ( p<0.001). For both HDP and GDM, the performance of the ML and logistic regression model was mostly similar with negligible difference in terms of all tested performance domains. The AUC of the final ML model for HDP and GDM were 0.62±0.004, and 0.67±0.004, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of HDP and GDM in twin gestations is increasing. The predictive accuracy of the machine learning model for both HDP and GDM in twin gestations is similar to that of the logistic regression model. Both models had modest performance, well-calibrated, and neither had a poor fit. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

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