Hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected patients with low hepatitis B surface antigen and high hepatitis B core-related antigen titers have a high risk of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: Although the viral markers hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B core-related antigen (HbcrAg) could reflect intrahepatic hepatitis B virus (HBV) replication activity and constitute important biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the value of using these two markers in combination for assessing HCC risk has not been clarified in detail. METHODS: Four hundred and forty-nine consecutive patients with chronic HBV infection were included in the study and the association of HBsAg and HBcrAg with HCC risk was investigated cross-sectionally, as well as longitudinally. RESULTS: When the high value cut-offs of HBsAg and HBcrAg were defined as 3.0 log IU/mL and 3.0 log U/mL, respectively, patients with a history of HCC were found frequently in the low HBsAg group (P = 0.002) and high HBcrAg group (P < 0.001). When HBsAg and HBcrAg were combined, an HCC history was most frequent in the subset with low HBsAg and high HBcrAg, among the HBeAg-negative patients (odds ratio [OR], 7.83; P < 0.001), irrespective of nucleos(t) ide analogue (NA) therapy (NA: OR, 4.76; P < 0.001; non-NA: OR, 9.60; P < 0.001). In a longitudinal analysis of the subsequent development of HCC, carried out on the 338 patients without an HCC history at enrollment, HCC developed significantly more frequently in the low HBsAg/high HBcrAg group (P = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with low HBsAg/high HBcrAg values are at high risk of developing HBV-related HCC, according to this cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis, indicating that the combination of HBsAg and HBcrAg values is an excellent biomarker for assessing HCC risk.

Induction of IFN-λ3 as an additional effect of nucleotide, not nucleoside, analogues: a new potential target for HBV infection.

OBJECTIVE: The clinical significance of polymorphisms in the interleukin-28B gene encoding interferon (IFN)-λ3, which has antiviral effects, is known in chronic HCV but not in HBV infection. Thus, we measured IFN-λ3 levels in patients with HBV and investigated its clinical significance and association with nucleos(t)ide (NUC) analogue administration. DESIGN: Serum IFN-λ3 level was measured in 254 patients with HBV with varying clinical conditions using our own high sensitivity method. The resulting values were compared with various clinical variables. In addition, cell lines originating from various organs were cultured with NUCs, and the production of IFN-λ3 was evaluated. RESULTS: Higher serum IFN-λ3 levels were detected in the patients treated with nucleotide analogues (adefovir or tenofovir) compared with those treated with nucleoside analogues (lamivudine or entecavir). There were no other differences in the clinical background between the two groups. A rise in the serum IFN-λ3 levels was observed during additional administration of the nucleotide analogues. In vitro experiments showed that the nucleotide analogues directly and dose-dependently induced IFN-λ3 production only in colon cancer cells. Furthermore, the supernatant from cultured adefovir-treated colon cancer cells significantly induced IFN-stimulated genes (ISGs) and inhibited hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) production in hepatoma cells, as compared with the supernatant from entecavir-treated cells. CONCLUSIONS: We discovered that the nucleotide analogues show an additional pharmacological effect by inducing IFN-λ3 production, which further induces ISGs and results in a reduction of HBsAg production. These findings provide novel insights for HBV treatment and suggest IFN-λ3 induction as a possible target.

Deep sequencing and phylogenetic analysis of variants resistant to interferon-based protease inhibitor therapy in chronic hepatitis induced by genotype 1b hepatitis C virus.

UNLABELLED: Because of recent advances in deep sequencing technology, detailed analysis of hepatitis C virus (HCV) quasispecies and their dynamic changes in response to direct antiviral agents (DAAs) became possible, although the role of quasispecies is not fully understood. In this study, to clarify the evolution of viral quasispecies and the origin of drug-resistant mutations induced by interferon (IFN)-based protease inhibitor therapy, the nonstructural-3 (NS3) region of genotype 1b HCV in 34 chronic hepatitis patients treated with telaprevir (TVR)/pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN)/ribavirin (RBV) was subjected to a deep sequencing study coupled with phylogenetic analysis. Twenty-six patients (76.5%) achieved a sustained viral response (SVR), while 8 patients did not (non-SVR; 23.5%). When the complexity of the quasispecies was expressed as the mutation frequency or Shannon entropy value, a significant decrease in the IFNL3 (rs8099917) TT group and a marginal decrease in the SVR group were found soon (12 h) after the introduction of treatment, whereas there was no decrease in the non-SVR group and no significant decrease in mutation frequency in the IFNL3 TG/GG group. In the analysis of viral quasispecies composition in non-SVR patients, major populations greatly changed, accompanied by the appearance of resistance, and the compositions were unlikely to return to the pretreatment composition even after the end of therapy. Clinically TVR-resistant variants were observed in 5 non-SVR patients (5/8, 62.5%), all of which were suspected to have acquired resistance by mutations through phylogenetic analysis. In conclusion, results of the study have important implications for treatment response and outcome in interferon-based protease inhibitor therapy. IMPORTANCE: In the host, hepatitis C virus (HCV) consists of a variety of populations (quasispecies), and it is supposed that dynamic changes in quasispecies are closely related to pathogenesis, although this is poorly understood. In this study, recently developed deep sequencing technology was introduced, and changes in quasispecies associated with telaprevir (TVR)/pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN)/ribavirin (RBV) triple therapy and their clinical significance were investigated extensively by phylogenetic tree analysis. Through this study, the associations among treatment response, changes in viral quasispecies complexity in the early stage of treatment, changes in the quasispecies composition, and origin of TVR-resistant variant HCV were elucidated.

Liver stiffness measurement for risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: Liver fibrosis is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but at what fibrotic stage the risk for HCC is increased has been poorly investigated quantitatively. This study aimed to determine the appropriate cut-off value of liver stiffness for HCC concurrence by FibroScan, and its clinical significance in hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV) and non-B, non-C (NBNC) liver disease. METHODS: Subjects comprised 1002 cases (246 with HCC and 756 without HCC) with chronic liver disease (HBV, 104; HCV, 722; and NBNC, 176). RESULTS: Liver stiffness was significantly greater in all groups with HCC, and the determined cut-off value for HCC concurrence was more than 12.0 kPa in those with HCV, more than 8.5 kPa in those with HBV and more than 12.0 kPa in those with NBNC. Liver stiffness of more than 12.0 kPa was an independent risk factor for new HCC development in HCV. For HCV, risk factors for HCC concurrence were old age, male sex, low albumin, low platelets and liver stiffness, while for HBV they were old age, low platelets and liver stiffness, and for NBNC they were old age, elevated α-fetoprotein and liver stiffness. CONCLUSION: Liver stiffness cut-off values and their association with HCC concurrence were different depending on the etiology. In HCV, liver stiffness of more than 12.0 kPa was an independent risk factor for new HCC development. Collectively, determining the fibrotic cut-off values for HCC concurrence would be important in evaluating HCC risks.

Semiannual Imaging Surveillance Is Associated with Better Survival in Patients with Non-B, Non-C Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Since it remains elusive whether and how the imaging surveillance affects the survival in patients with non-B, non-C hepatocellular carcinoma (NBNC-HCC), we conducted this retrospective study which investigated the association between the semiannual surveillance prior to HCC diagnosis and the survival in patients with the initial diagnosis of HCC induced by hepatitis B virus (HBV) and/or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections (N = 141) and non-B, non-C etiology (N = 30). It was demonstrated that surveillance was less frequently performed in the NBNC-HCC patients compared to that in HCC patients with HBV and/or HCV infections (B/C-HCC patients), and the survival was unfavorable in NBNC-HCC patients. On the other hand, the survival of NBNC-HCC patients with semiannual surveillance was significantly favorable than those patients without semiannual surveillance, and the survival was similar between B/C-HCCs and NBNC-HCCs with semiannual surveillance. In conclusion, though NBNC-HCC patients compared to B/C-HCC patients had poorer prognosis overall, these NBNC-HCC patients with semiannual surveillance had a better survival almost equivalent to the survival of B/C-HCC patients with semiannual surveillance, demonstrating the clinical utility of the semiannual imaging surveillance program for NBNC-HCCs.

[Host factors and viral factors in hepatitis C treatment].

In the interferon-based therapy for hepatitis C, host factors such as age, gender, liver fibrosis and steatosis are important as a therapeutic effect predictor, and viral factors such as HCV genotype, HCV viral load, HCV gene (IL28B, ITPA) are also important. In addition in genotype 1b, ISDR/IRRDR and core amino acid substitution are important. Also in the DAA treatment, viral factors are also important at the view of therapeutic effect and difficulty of acquisition of drug resistance mutation. In addition, the goal of treatment of hepatitis C are suppression of liver fibrosis progression and liver cancer and improvement of quality of life due to this (quality of life: QOL) and life prognosis, it is important to understand the host factors and HCV viral factors.

Deep-sequencing analysis of the association between the quasispecies nature of the hepatitis C virus core region and disease progression.

Variation of core amino acid (aa) 70 of hepatitis C virus (HCV) has been shown recently to be closely correlated with liver disease progression, suggesting that the core region might be present as a quasispecies during persistent infection and that this quasispecies nature might have an influence on the progression of disease. In our investigation, the subjects were 79 patients infected with HCV genotype 1b (25 with chronic hepatitis [CH], 29 with liver cirrhosis [LC], and 25 with hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC]). Deep sequencing of the HCV core region was carried out on their sera by using a Roche 454 GS Junior pyrosequencer. Based on a plasmid containing a cloned HCV sequence (pCV-J4L6S), the background error rate associated with pyrosequencing, including the PCR procedure, was calculated as 0.092 ± 0.005/base. Deep sequencing of the core region in the clinical samples showed a mixture of "mutant-type" Q/H and "wild-type" R at the core aa 70 position in most cases (71/79 [89.9%]), and the ratio of mutant residues to R in the mixture increased as liver disease advanced to LC and HCC. Meanwhile, phylogenetic analysis of the almost-complete core region revealed that the HCV isolates differed genetically depending on the mutation status at core aa 70. We conclude that the core aa 70 mixture ratio, determined by deep sequencing, reflected the status of liver disease, demonstrating a significant association between core aa 70 and disease progression in CH patients infected with HCV genotype 1b.

Deep sequencing analysis of variants resistant to the non-structural 5A inhibitor daclatasvir in patients with genotype 1b hepatitis C virus infection.

AIM: Daclatasvir, a non-structural (NS)5A replication complex inhibitor, is a potent and promising direct antiviral agent (DAA) for hepatitis C virus (HCV), being most effective in genotype 1b infection. Although it is known that genotype 1b viruses with Y93H and/or L31M/V/F mutations have strong resistance to daclatasvir, it is not known whether there are some clinical background conditions that favor the occurrence of HCV carrying those NS5A mutations. METHODS: In this study, we carried out deep sequencing analysis of stored sera to determine the presence and significance of daclatasvir-resistant mutants in 110 genotype 1b HCV-infected patients with no previous daclatasvir treatment. RESULTS: Deep sequencing analysis revealed that the NS5A L31M/V/F and Y93H mutations were present in 13 (11.8%) and 34 (30.9%) of the 110 patients, respectively, and significantly more frequently than in the control plasmid. Simultaneous L31M/V/F and Y93H mutations were detected in four of the 110 patients (3.6%). When the clinical relevance of NS5A resistance was investigated, Y93H was significantly correlated with the IL28B major (TT) genotype of the host (P = 0.042). CONCLUSION: Y93H was detected frequently by deep sequencing in daclatasvir treatment-naïve patients. Importantly, it seems that the IL28B status of the patients may influence the presence of Y93H mutations, resulting in different treatment responses to daclatasvir.

Hepatocellular carcinoma risk assessment using gadoxetic acid-enhanced hepatocyte phase magnetic resonance imaging.

AIM: To investigate whether the patients with hypovascular liver nodules determined on the arterial phase and hypointensity on the hepatocyte phase gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (hypovascular hypointense nodules) are at increased risk of hepatocarcinogenesis, we assessed subsequent typical hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development at any sites of the liver with and without such nodules. METHODS: One hundred and twenty-seven patients with chronic hepatitis B or C and without a history of HCC, including 68 with liver cirrhosis, were divided into those with (non-clean liver group, n = 18) and without (clean liver group, n = 109) hypovascular hypointense nodules. All the patients were followed up for 3 years, and HCC development rates and risk factors were analyzed with the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox proportional hazard model, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 17 patients (10 in the non-clean liver group and seven in the clean liver group) developed typical HCC. Cumulative 3-year rates of HCC development were 55.5% in the non-clean liver group and 6.4% in the clean liver group (P < 0.001), and those at the different sites from the initial nodules was also higher in the non-clean liver group (22.2%) than the clean liver group (6.4%) (P = 0.003). Multivariate analysis identified older age (P = 0.024), low platelet counts (P = 0.017) and a non-clean liver (P < 0.001) as independent risk factors for subsequent HCC development. CONCLUSION: Patients with hypovascular hypointense liver nodules are at a higher risk for HCC development at any sites of the liver than those without such nodules.

Model incorporating the ITPA genotype identifies patients at high risk of anemia and treatment failure with pegylated-interferon plus ribavirin therapy for chronic hepatitis C.

This study aimed to develop a model for predicting anemia using the inosine triphosphatase (ITPA) genotype and to evaluate its relationship with treatment outcome. Patients with genotype 1b chronic hepatitis C (n = 446) treated with peg-interferon alpha and ribavirin (RBV) for 48 weeks were genotyped for the ITPA (rs1127354) and IL28B (rs8099917) genes. Data mining analysis generated a predictive model for anemia (hemoglobin (Hb) concentration <10 g/dl); the CC genotype of ITPA, baseline Hb <14.0 g/dl, and low creatinine clearance (CLcr) were predictors of anemia. The incidence of anemia was highest in patients with Hb <14.0 g/dl and CLcr <90 ml/min (76%), followed by Hb <14.0 g/dl and ITPA CC (57%). Patients with Hb ≥ 14.0 g/dl and ITPA AA/CA had the lowest incidence of anemia (17%). Patients with two predictors (high-risk) had a higher incidence of anemia than the others (64% vs. 28%, P < 0.0001). At baseline, the IL28B genotype was a predictor of a sustained virological response [adjusted odds ratio 9.88 (95% confidence interval 5.01-19.48), P < 0.0001]. In patients who achieved an early virological response, the IL28B genotype was not associated with a sustained virological response, while a high risk of anemia was a significant negative predictor of a sustained virological response [0.47 (0.24-0.91), P = 0.026]. For high-risk patients with an early virological response, giving >80% of the planned RBV dose increased sustained virological responses by 24%. In conclusion, a predictive model incorporating the ITPA genotype could identify patients with a high risk of anemia and reduced probability of sustained virological response.

Comprehensive analysis for viral elements and interleukin-28B polymorphisms in response to pegylated interferon plus ribavirin therapy in hepatitis C virus 1B infection.

UNLABELLED: To comprehensively characterize the contribution of virological factors as well as interleukin-28B (IL28B) single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in determining treatment responses in pegylated-interferon plus ribavirin (Peg-IFN/RBV) therapy for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV)-1b infection, we undertook a retrospective cohort analysis for the pretreatment dominant complete HCV open reading frame (ORF) amino-acid (aa) sequence study in 103 consecutive HCV-1b Japanese patients. The dominant HCV sequences classified by the response were subjected to systematic sliding-window comparison analysis to characterize response-specific viral sequences, along with IL28B SNP analyses (rs8099917). In each comparison of the patients between with and without rapid viral response (RVR), nonearly viral response (nEVR), sustained virological response (SVR), or relapse, the following regions were extracted as most significantly associated with the different responses respectively: nonstructural protein 5A (NS5A) aa.2224-2248 (P = 1.2E-07); core aa.70 (P = 4E-04); NS5A aa.2340-2382 (P = 7.0E-08); and NS5A aa.2360-2377 (P = 1.1E-05). Those NS5A regions nearly coincided with the interferon (IFN) sensitivity-determining region (NS5A aa.2209-2248) and the IFN/RBV resistance-determining region (NS5A aa.2339-2379). In a multivariate analysis, the IL28B SNP (odds ratio [OR] = 16.8; P = 0.009) and NS5A aa.2340-2382 (OR = 13.8; P = 0.0003) were extracted as the two most-significant independent variables contributing to the final outcome. CONCLUSION: In Peg-IFN/RBV therapy, polymorphisms in IL28B, NS5A aa.2224-2248, core aa.70, and, most important, NS5A aa.2340-2382 have a tremendous influence on treatment response in association with viral kinetics, resulting in significantly different outcomes in chronic HCV-1b infection.

Serum RANTES level influences the response to pegylated interferon and ribavirin therapy in chronic hepatitis C.

AIM: Prediction of treatment responses to pegylated interferon (PEG IFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) therapy is uncertain for genotype 1b chronic hepatitis C. METHODS: In this study, 96 patients were investigated for the correlation between 36 pretreatment serum chemokine/cytokine levels and PEG IFN/RBV treatment efficacy by a sandwich enzyme-linked immunoassay (ELISA) and a bead array. RESULTS: First, chemokines/cytokines were measured semiquantitatively by sandwich ELISA in 31 randomly-selected patients and the serum regulated on activation normal T-cell expressed and secreted (RANTES) level was found to be significantly higher in the sustained virological response (SVR) group than the non-SVR group (P = 0.048). Precise RANTES measurement in all 96 patients using a bead array confirmed this correlation (P = 0.002). However, the genetic RANTES haplotype was not significantly related to the serum level. The serum RANTES level was extracted by multivariate analysis (odds ratio = 4.09, 95% confidence interval = 1.02-16.5, P = 0.048) as an independent variable contributing to SVR. CONCLUSION: The serum RANTES level is an important determinant influencing the virological response to PEG IFN/RBV therapy in chronic hepatitis C.

Data mining model using simple and readily available factors could identify patients at high risk for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Assessment of the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development is essential for formulating personalized surveillance or antiviral treatment plan for chronic hepatitis C. We aimed to build a simple model for the identification of patients at high risk of developing HCC. METHODS: Chronic hepatitis C patients followed for at least 5 years (n=1003) were analyzed by data mining to build a predictive model for HCC development. The model was externally validated using a cohort of 1072 patients (472 with sustained virological response (SVR) and 600 with nonSVR to PEG-interferon plus ribavirin therapy). RESULTS: On the basis of factors such as age, platelet, albumin, and aspartate aminotransferase, the HCC risk prediction model identified subgroups with high-, intermediate-, and low-risk of HCC with a 5-year HCC development rate of 20.9%, 6.3-7.3%, and 0-1.5%, respectively. The reproducibility of the model was confirmed through external validation (r(2)=0.981). The 10-year HCC development rate was also significantly higher in the high-and intermediate-risk group than in the low-risk group (24.5% vs. 4.8%; p<0.0001). In the high-and intermediate-risk group, the incidence of HCC development was significantly reduced in patients with SVR compared to those with nonSVR (5-year rate, 9.5% vs. 4.5%; p=0.040). CONCLUSIONS: The HCC risk prediction model uses simple and readily available factors and identifies patients at a high risk of HCC development. The model allows physicians to identify patients requiring HCC surveillance and those who benefit from IFN therapy to prevent HCC.

Correlation between pretreatment viral sequences and the emergence of lamivudine resistance in hepatitis B virus infection.

The emergence of amino acid or nucleotide substitutions leads to lamivudine resistance in hepatitis B virus (HBV) infected patients. The aim of this study was to investigate whether viral sequences help predict the emergence of lamivudine resistance. The study subjects comprised 59 consecutive patients infected with HBV treated with daily therapy of 100 mg lamivudine. Among those, 32 patients with adequate pretreatment serum preservation were investigated for the correlation between viral amino acid substitutions and the appearance of lamivudine resistance with consideration of clinical background by determining dominant HBV full open reading frames. Viral resistance to lamivudine emerged in 28 of 59 patients (47%) in a median period of 2.45 years. Sequence comparisons of HBV genomes between patients who later developed lamivudine resistance and patients who did not revealed the existence of significant differences between the two groups in the pre-S1 84 (P = 0.042), pre-S2 1 (P = 0.017) and 22 (P = 0.015), and polymerase tp 95 (P = 0.046), judged by a log-rank test. Viral sequence analyses revealed the presence of amino acid substitutions in HBV pre-S1 and pre-S2 that may be associated with the emergence of lamivudine resistance during chronic HBV infection.

[Anti HCV drugs--ribavirin, telaprevir].

The goal of treatment of chronic hepatitis C is the elimination of HCV. Ribavirin and telaprevir are currently used with interferon. In patients with genotype 2 HCV, PEG-IFN+ RBV combination therapy is very effective, but in patients with genotype 1, only SVR can be achieved in only approximately 50%. Furthermore in genotype 1, viral factors i.e. ISDR, IRRDR and/or core amino acid mutations and host factors i.e. IL28B are reported as SVR-related factors. Although the triple therapy with telaprevir resulted in more adverse event it is able to achieve higher SVR by carefully monitoring adverse event and predict to therapeutic effect by previous therapy.

Paleogenomics reveals independent and hybrid origins of two morphologically distinct wolf lineages endemic to Japan.

Little is known about the spatiotemporal dynamics of gray wolves in the Pleistocene across low-latitude regions of Eurasia. In Japan, a small-bodied endemic subspecies of Japanese wolves existed and went extinct in the early 1900s. The fossil record indicates that a giant wolf, which reached 70 cm in body height, inhabited Japan during the Pleistocene, but its evolutionary relationship, if any, with the Japanese wolf remains uncertain. Here, to reveal the genetic origin of the Japanese wolf, we analyzed ancient DNA from remains (recovered in Japan) of one Pleistocene wolf that lived 35,000 years ago and one Holocene wolf from 5,000 years ago. The analysis of the mitochondrial DNA revealed that the Pleistocene wolf was not part of the Japanese wolf clade but rather an earlier-diverging lineage. The analysis of the nuclear DNA of the Holocene Japanese wolf revealed that it was an admixture of the Japanese Pleistocene wolf and continental wolf lineages. These findings suggest that the Japanese wolf originated via waves of colonization of multiple Pleistocene wolf populations at 57-35 and 37-14 ka, respectively, followed by interpopulation hybridization.

Pre-treatment prediction of response to pegylated-interferon plus ribavirin for chronic hepatitis C using genetic polymorphism in IL28B and viral factors.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Pegylated interferon and ribavirin (PEG-IFN/RBV) therapy for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 infection is effective in 50% of patients. Recent studies revealed an association between the IL28B genotype and treatment response. We aimed to develop a model for the pre-treatment prediction of response using host and viral factors. METHODS: Data were collected from 496 patients with HCV genotype 1 treated with PEG-IFN/RBV at five hospitals and universities in Japan. IL28B genotype and mutations in the core and IFN sensitivity determining region (ISDR) of HCV were analyzed to predict response to therapy. The decision model was generated by data mining analysis. RESULTS: The IL28B polymorphism correlated with early virological response and predicted null virological response (NVR) (odds ratio=20.83, p<0.0001) and sustained virological response (SVR) (odds ratio=7.41, p<0.0001) independent of other covariates. Mutations in the ISDR predicted relapse and SVR independent of IL28B. The decision model revealed that patients with the minor IL28B allele and low platelet counts had the highest NVR (84%) and lowest SVR (7%), whereas those with the major IL28B allele and mutations in the ISDR or high platelet counts had the lowest NVR (0-17%) and highest SVR (61-90%). The model had high reproducibility and predicted SVR with 78% specificity and 70% sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: The IL28B polymorphism and mutations in the ISDR of HCV were significant pre-treatment predictors of response to PEG-IFN/RBV. The decision model, including these host and viral factors may support selection of optimum treatment strategy for individual patients.

Sequences in the interferon sensitivity-determining region and core region of hepatitis C virus impact pretreatment prediction of response to PEG-interferon plus ribavirin: data mining analysis.

The aim of the present study was to clarify the significance of viral factors for pretreatment prediction of sustained virological response to pegylated-interferon (PEG-IFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) therapy for chronic hepatitis C using data mining analysis. Substitutions in the IFN sensitivity-determining region (ISDR) and at position 70 of the HCV core region (Core70) were determined in 505 patients with genotype 1b chronic hepatitis C treated with PEG-IFN plus RBV. Data mining analysis was used to build a predictive model of sustained virological response in patients selected randomly (n = 304). The reproducibility of the model was validated in the remaining 201 patients. Substitutions in ISDR (odds ratio = 9.92, P < 0.0001) and Core70 (odds ratio = 1.92, P = 0.01) predicted sustained virological response independent of other covariates. The decision-tree model revealed that the rate of sustained virological response was highest (83%) in patients with two or more substitutions in ISDR. The overall rate of sustained virological response was 44% in patients with a low number of substitutions in ISDR (0-1) but was 83% in selected subgroups of younger patients (<60 years), wild-type sequence at Core70, and higher level of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) (≥ 120 mg/dl). Reproducibility of the model was validated (r(2) = 0.94, P < 0.001). In conclusion, substitutions in ISDR and Core70 of HCV are significant predictors of response to PEG-IFN plus RBV therapy. A decision-tree model that includes these viral factors as predictors could identify patients with a high probability of sustained virological response.

Difference in radiocarbon ages of carbonized material from the inner and outer surfaces of pottery from a wetland archaeological site.

AMS (Accelerator Mass Spectrometry) radiocarbon dates for eight potsherds from a single piece of pottery from a wetland archaeological site indicated that charred material from the inner pottery surfaces (5052 ± 12 BP; N = 5) is about 90 (14)C years older than that from the outer surfaces (4961 ± 22 BP; N = 7). We considered three possible causes of this difference: the old wood effect, reservoir effects, and diagenesis. We concluded that differences in the radiocarbon ages between materials from the inner and outer surfaces of the same pot were caused either by the freshwater reservoir effect or by diagenesis. Moreover, we found that the radiocarbon ages of carbonized material on outer surfaces (soot) of pottery from other wetland archaeological sites were the same as the ages of material on inner surfaces (charred food) of the same pot within error, suggesting absence of freshwater reservoir effect or diagenesis.