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BACKGROUND: The prediction of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in heart failure (HF) remains an unmet need. The aim of our study was to assess the prevalence of SCD over 20 years in outpatients with HF managed in a Mediterranean multidisciplinary HF Clinic, and to compare the proportion of SCD (SCD/all-cause death) to the expected proportional occurrence based on the validated Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM) score. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective observational registry study included 2772 outpatients with HF admitted between August 2001 and May 2021. Patients were included when the cause of death was known and SPRM score was available. Over the 20-year study period, 1351 patients (48.7%) died during a median follow-up period of 3.8 years (interquartile range 1.6-7.6). Among these patients, the proportion of SCD out of the total of deaths was 13.6%, whereas the predicted by SPRM was 39.6%. This lower proportion of SCD was observed independently of left ventricular ejection fraction, ischemic etiology, and the presence of an implantable cardiac defibrillator. CONCLUSIONS: In a Mediterranean cohort of outpatients with HF, the proportion of SCD was lower than expected based on the SPRM score. Future studies should investigate to what extend epidemiological and guideline-directed medical therapy patterns influence SCD.
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Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Volume Sistólico , Função Ventricular Esquerda , Fatores de Risco , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/etiologia , Desfibriladores Implantáveis/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) trajectories and functional recovery with current heart failure (HF) management is increasingly recognized. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) leads to a worse prognosis in HF patients. However, it is unknown whether T2D interferes with LVEF trajectories. The aim of this study was to prospectively assess very long-term (up to 15 years) LVEF trajectories in patients with and without T2D and underlying HF. METHODS: Ambulatory patients admitted to a multidisciplinary HF clinic were prospectively evaluated by scheduled two-dimensional echocardiography at baseline, 1 year, and then every 2 years afterwards, up to 15 years. Statistical analyses of LVEF change with time were performed using the linear mixed effects (LME) models, and locally weighted error sum of squares (Loess) curves were plotted. RESULTS: Of the 1921 patients, 461 diabetic and 699 non-diabetic patients with LVEF < 50% were included in the study. The mean number of echocardiography measurements performed in diabetic patients was 3.3 ± 1.6. Early LVEF recovery was similar in diabetic and non-diabetic patients, but Loess curves showed a more pronounced inverted U shape in diabetics with a more pronounced decline after 9 years. LME analysis showed a statistical interaction between T2D and LVEF trajectory over time (p = 0.009), which was statistically significant in patients with ischemic etiologies (p < 0.001). Other variables that showed an interaction between LVEF trajectories and T2D were male sex (p = 0.04) and HF duration (p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: LVEF trajectories in T2D patients with depressed systolic function showed a pronounced inverted U shape with a marked decline after 9 years. Diabetic cardiomyopathy may underlie the functional decline observed.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Cardiomiopatias Diabéticas/etiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/etiologia , Volume Sistólico , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/etiologia , Função Ventricular Esquerda , Idoso , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/fisiopatologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Cardiomiopatias Diabéticas/diagnóstico por imagem , Cardiomiopatias Diabéticas/fisiopatologia , Cardiomiopatias Diabéticas/terapia , Progressão da Doença , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico por imagem , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Intervalo Livre de Progressão , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/diagnóstico por imagem , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/fisiopatologia , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/terapiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is associated with a high rate of readmissions within 30 days post-discharge and in the following year, especially in frail elderly patients. Biomarker data are scarce in this high-risk population. This study assessed the value of early post-discharge circulating levels of ST2, NT-proBNP, CA125, and hs-TnI for predicting 30-day and 1-year outcomes in comorbid frail elderly patients with HF with mainly preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). METHODS: Blood samples were obtained at the first visit shortly after discharge (4.9 ± 2 days). The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause mortality or HF-related rehospitalization at 30 days and at 1 year. All-cause mortality alone at one year was also a major endpoint. HF-related rehospitalizations alone were secondary end-points. RESULTS: From February 2014 to November 2016, 522 consecutive patients attending the STOP-HF Clinic were included (57.1% women, age 82 ± 8.7 years, mean Barthel index 70 ± 25, mean Charlson comorbidity index 5.6 ± 2.2). The composite endpoint occurred in 8.6% patients at 30 days and in 38.5% at 1 year. In multivariable analysis, ST2 [hazard ratio (HR) 1.53; 95% CI 1.19-1.97; p = 0.001] was the only predictive biomarker at 30 days; at 1 year, both ST2 (HR 1.34; 95% CI 1.15-1.56; p < 0.001) and NT-proBNP (HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.02-1.40; p = 0.03) remained significant. The addition of ST2 and NT-proBNP into a clinical predictive model increased the AUC from 0.70 to 0.75 at 30 days (p = 0.02) and from 0.71 to 0.74 at 1 year (p < 0.05). For all-cause death at 1 year, ST2 (HR 1.50; 95% CI 1.26-1.80; p < 0.001), and CA125 (HR 1.41; 95% CI 1.21-1.63; p < 0.001) remained independent predictors in multivariable analysis. The addition of ST2 and CA125 into a clinical predictive model increased the AUC from 0.74 to 0.78 (p = 0.03). For HF-related hospitalizations, ST2 was the only predictive biomarker in multivariable analyses, both at 30 days and at 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: In a comorbid frail elderly population with HFpEF, ST2 outperformed NT-proBNP for predicting the risk of all-cause mortality or HF-related rehospitalization. ST2, a surrogate marker of inflammation and fibrosis, may be a better predictive marker in high-risk HFpEF.
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Causas de Morte/tendências , Idoso Fragilizado , Insuficiência Cardíaca/sangue , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Readmissão do Paciente/tendências , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Biomarcadores/sangue , Antígeno Ca-125/sangue , Comorbidade , Feminino , Seguimentos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Humanos , Masculino , Proteínas de Membrana/sangue , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico/sangue , Fragmentos de Peptídeos/sangue , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) have an increased risk of developing heart failure (HF). Further, DM is associated with poor prognosis in patients with HF. Our aim was to determine whether DM has any impact on the predictive value of a multi-biomarker panel in patients with HF. METHODS: We included 1069 consecutive ambulatory HF patients in the study: age 66.2 ± 12.8 years, 33.5 ± 13.3 left ventricular ejection fraction, 36% diabetic patients. We measured serum concentrations of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT), ST2, galectin-3, high-sensitivity C reactive protein (hs-CRP), cystatin-C, soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR), and neprilysin and followed patients for 4.9 ± 2.8 years. Primary endpoints were all-cause and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: During follow-up, 534 patients died; 283 died of cardiovascular causes. Diabetic subjects had higher mortality (57.7 vs. 45.6%, p < 0.001). NTproBNP (p = 0.07), hs-TnT (p < 0.001), galectin-3 (p < 0.001), and cystatin-C (p = 0.001) concentrations were higher in diabetic patients, whereas sTfR levels were lower (p = 0.005). There were no interactions between DM and NTproBNP, hs-TnT, galectin-3, hs-CRP, cystatin-C, sTfR, and neprilysin relative to risk prediction for all-cause or cardiovascular death. By contrast, ST2 significantly interacted with DM for all-cause (p = 0.02) and cardiovascular (p = 0.03) death. In diabetic patients, HRs for ST2 were 1.27 (95% CI 1.16-1.40, p < 0.001) and 1.23 (95% CI 1.09-1.39, p = 0.001) for all-cause and cardiovascular death, respectively. In nondiabetic patients, HRs for ST2 were 1.53 (95% CI 1.35-1.73, p < 0.001) and 1.64 (95% CI 1.31-2.05, p < 0.001) for all-cause and cardiovascular death, respectively. The multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that hs-TnT and ST2 were the only markers that were independently associated with both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with HF and diabetes. Moreover, in these patients, the combination of these two markers significantly increased discrimination as assessed by the area under the curve. CONCLUSIONS: Biomarkers used in the general population to predict the clinical course of heart failure are also useful in patients with diabetes. In these patients, among all the biomarkers analysed only hs-TnT and ST2 were independently associated with both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Insuficiência Cardíaca/sangue , Proteína 1 Semelhante a Receptor de Interleucina-1/sangue , Troponina T/sangue , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Causas de Morte , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/mortalidade , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Volume Sistólico , Fatores de Tempo , Regulação para Cima , Função Ventricular EsquerdaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Limited data are available on the long-term trajectory of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in patients with chronic heart failure. OBJECTIVES: The authors evaluated eGFR dynamics using the 2009 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation and its prognostic significance in a real-world cohort over a 15-year follow-up. METHODS: A prospective observational registry of ambulatory heart failure outpatients was conducted, with regular eGFR assessments at baseline and on a 3-month schedule for ≤15 years. Urgent kidney function assessments were excluded. Locally weighted error sum of squares curves were plotted for predefined subgroups. Multivariable longitudinal Cox regression analyses were conducted to assess associations with all-cause and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: A total of 2,672 patients were enrolled consecutively between August 2001 and December 2021. The average age was 66.8 ± 12.6 years, and 69.8% were men. Among 40,970 creatinine measurements, 28,634 were used for eGFR analysis, averaging 10.7 ± 8.5 per patient. Over the study period, a significant decline in eGFR was observed in the entire cohort, with a slope of -1.70 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year (95% CI: -1.75 to -1.66 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year). Older patients, those with diabetes, a preserved ejection fraction, a higher baseline eGFR, elevated hospitalization rates, and those who died during follow-up experienced more pronounced decreases in the eGFR. Moreover, the decrease in kidney function correlated independently with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death. CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight the sustained decline in eGFR over 15 years in patients with heart failure, with variations based on clinical characteristics, and emphasize the importance of regular eGFR monitoring in this population.
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Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Masculino , Feminino , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular/fisiologia , Idoso , Seguimentos , Estudos Prospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/mortalidade , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/complicações , Causas de Morte/tendências , Sistema de Registros , Volume Sistólico/fisiologia , Creatinina/sangue , Creatinina/metabolismoRESUMO
Objectives: To describe the characteristics of safety alerts issued by the Spanish Medicines Agency (AEMPS) and the Spanish Pharmacovigilance System over a 7-year period and the regulatory actions they generated. Methods: A retrospective analysis was carried out of drug safety alerts published on the AEMPS website from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2019. Alerts that were not drug-related or were addressed to patients rather than healthcare professionals were excluded. Results: During the study period, 126 safety alerts were issued, 12 of which were excluded because they were not related to drugs or were addressed to patients and 22 others were excluded as they were duplications of previous alerts. The remaining 92 alerts reported 147 adverse drug reactions (ADRs) involving 84 drugs. The most frequent source of information triggering a safety alert was spontaneous reporting (32.6%). Four alerts (4.3%) specifically addressed health issues related to children. ADRs were considered serious in 85.9% of the alerts. The most frequent ADRs were hepatitis (seven alerts) and congenital malformations (five alerts), and the most frequent drug classes were antineoplastic and immunomodulating agents (23%). Regarding the drugs involved, 22 (26.2%) were "under additional monitoring." Regulatory actions induced changes in the Summary of Product Characteristics in 44.6% of alerts, and in eight cases (8.7%), the alert led to withdrawal from the market of medicines with an unfavorable benefit/risk ratio. Conclusion: This study provides an overview of drug safety alerts issued by the Spanish Medicines Agency over a 7-year period and highlights the contribution of spontaneous reporting of ADRs and the need to assess safety throughout the lifecycle of medicines.
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We assessed differences in long-term all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality in heart failure (HF) outpatients based on the etiology of HF. Consecutive patients admitted to the HF Clinic from August 2001 to September 2019 (N = 2587) were considered for inclusion. HF etiology was divided into ischemic heart disease (IHD), dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), hypertensive heart disease, alcoholic cardiomyopathy, drug-induced cardiomyopathy (DICM), valvular heart disease, and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. All-cause death and CV death were the primary end points. Among 2387 patients included in the analysis (mean age 66.5 ± 12.5 years, 71.3% men), 1317 deaths were recorded (731 from CV cause) over a maximum follow-up of 18 years (median 4.1 years, interquartile range (IQR) 2-7.8). Considering IHD as the reference, only DCM had a lower risk of all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56-0.83, p < 0.001), and only DICM had a higher risk of all-cause death (aHR 1.47, 95% CI 1.02-2.11, p = 0.04). However, almost all etiologies had a significantly lower risk of CV death than IHD. Among the studied HF etiologies, DCM and DICM have the lowest and highest risk of all-cause death, respectively, whereas IHD has the highest adjusted risk of CV death.
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BACKGROUND: The impact of increasing temperatures on renal function in heart failure (HF) outpatients has never been specifically analyzed. METHODS: We retrieved creatinine and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values of all HF outpatients followed at a HF clinic and temperature data from 2002 to 2021. For each patient and each year we averaged values of creatinine, eGFR and monthly temperatures during summer and the rest of the year. RESULTS: The study cohort included 2167 HF patients undergoing 25,865 elective visits, with a median of 14 visits for each patient (interquartile range 7-23). At the first visit, patients (70% men) had an age of 67 ± 13 years, and a left ventricular ejection fraction of 35 ± 14%. Creatinine was 1.25 ± 0.51 mg/dL, and eGFR was 65 ± 25 mL/min/1.73 m2. When pooling together all average values of creatinine and eGFR measured during summer or in the rest of the year, creatinine was significantly higher in summer (difference 0.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.04 to 0.05, p < 0.001), and eGFR was slightly lower (difference - 2.0, 95% CI -2.3 to -1.8, p < 0.001). Temperature rise during summer increased from 2002 to 2021. The absolute (Δ) and percent (Δ%) elevation in temperature during summer displayed independent associations with Δ and Δ% creatinine and eGFR after adjusting for age, sex, plasma creatinine, and HF therapies. CONCLUSIONS: The magnitude of temperature elevation during summer has increased over 20 years. This elevation correlates with the decline in renal function during summer. This might be an example of how global warming is affecting human health.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Função Ventricular Esquerda , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Creatinina , Feminino , Aquecimento Global , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Humanos , Rim/fisiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Volume SistólicoRESUMO
AIMS: Prior studies have not fully characterized the haemodynamic effects of the angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI) sacubitril/valsartan in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and pulmonary hypertension (HFpEF-PH). The aim of the Treatment of PH With Angiotensin II Receptor Blocker and Neprilysin Inhibitor in HFpEF Patients With CardioMEMS Device (ARNIMEMS-HFpEF) study is to assess pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) dynamics by means of implanted PAP monitors in patients with HFpEF-PH treated with sacubitril/valsartan. METHODS AND RESULTS: This single-arm, investigator-initiated, interventional study included 14 consecutive ambulatory symptomatic HFpEF-PH patients who underwent CardioMEMS implantation prior to enrolment [mean ejection fraction 60.4 ± 7.2%, baseline mean PAP (mPAP) 33.9 ± 7.6 mmHg]. Daily PAP values were examined during three periods: a 6 week period after CardioMEMS implantation and before sacubitril/valsartan treatment (pre-ARNI), a 6 week period with sacubitril/valsartan treatment (ARNI ON), and a 6 week period of sacubitril/valsartan withdrawal (ARNI OFF). The primary endpoint was change in mPAP with and without sacubitril/valsartan. Secondary endpoints included changes in 6 min walking distance, B-line sum in lung ultrasound, and quality of life (QoL). During the study period, 1717 mPAP measurements were recorded. Between pre-ARNI vs. ARNI ON, mPAP significantly declined by -4.99 mmHg [95% confidence interval (CI) -5.55 to -4.43]. Between ARNI ON vs. ARNI OFF, mPAP significantly increased by +2.84 mmHg [95% CI +2.26 to +3.42]. Between pre-ARNI vs. ARNI ON, we found an improvement in 6 min walking distance, B-lines, and QoL. Mean loop diuretic management did not differ between periods. CONCLUSIONS: Sacubitril/valsartan significantly reduced mPAP in patients with HFpEF-PH, independent of loop diuretic management, together with improvement in functional capacity, lung congestion, and QoL. Sacubitril/valsartan may be a therapeutic alternative in HFpEF-PH.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Hipertensão Pulmonar , Aminobutiratos , Pressão Arterial , Compostos de Bifenilo , Insuficiência Cardíaca/induzido quimicamente , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Hipertensão Pulmonar/tratamento farmacológico , Neprilisina , Qualidade de Vida , Inibidores de Simportadores de Cloreto de Sódio e Potássio , Volume Sistólico , Tetrazóis/efeitos adversos , Valsartana/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
Objectives: Heart failure (HF) management has significantly improved over the past two decades, leading to better survival. This study aimed to assess changes in predicted mortality risk after 12 months of management in a multidisciplinary HF clinic. Materials and Methods: Out of 1,032 consecutive HF outpatients admitted from March-2012 to November-2018, 357 completed the 12-months follow-up and had N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), high sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT), and interleukin-1 receptor-like-1 (known as ST2) measurements available both at baseline and follow-up. Three contemporary risk scores were used: MAGGIC-HF, Seattle HF Model (SHFM), and the Barcelona Bio-HF (BCN Bio-HF) calculator, which incorporates the three above mentioned biomarkers. The predicted risk of all-cause death at 1 and 3 years was calculated at baseline and re-evaluated after 12 months. Results: A significant decline in predicted 1-and 3-year mortality risk was observed at 12 months: MAGGIC ~16%, SHFM ~22% and BCN Bio-HF ~15%. In the HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) subgroup guideline-directed medical therapy led to a complete normalization of left ventricular ejection fraction (≥50%) in almost a third of the patients and to a partial normalization (41-49%) in 30% of them. Repeated risk assessment after 12 months with SHFM and BCN Bio-HF provided adequate discrimination for all-cause 3-year mortality (C-Index: MAGGIC-HF 0.762, SHFM 0.781 and BCN Bio-HF 0.791). Conclusion: Mortality risk declines in patients with HF managed for 12 months in a multidisciplinary HF clinic. Repeating the mortality risk assessment after optimizing the HF treatment is recommended, particularly in the HFrEF subgroup.
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BACKGROUND: Circulating Neprilysin (sNEP) has emerged as a potential prognostic biomarker in heart failure (HF). In PARAGON-HF benefit of sacubitril/valsartan was only observed in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤57%. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of sNEP in outpatients with HF and LVEF >57%, in comparison with patients with LVEF ≤57%. METHODS: Consecutive HF outpatients were included from May-2006 to February-2016. The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization and the main secondary endpoint was the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization. For the later competing risk methods were used. RESULTS: sNEP was measured in 1428 patients (age 67.7±12.7, 70.3% men, LVEF 35.8% ±14), 144 of which had a LVEF >57%. sNEP levels did not significantly differ between LVEF groups (p = 0.31). During a mean follow-up of 6±3.9 years, the primary endpoint occurred in 979 patients and the secondary composite endpoint in 714 (in 111 and 84 of the 144 patients with LVEF >57%, respectively). sNEP was significantly associated with both composite endpoints. Age- and sex- adjusted Cox regression analyses showed higher hazard ratios for sNEP in patients with LVEF >57%, both for the primary (HR 1.37 [1.16-1.61] vs. 1.04 [0.97-1.11]) and the secondary (HR 1.38 [1.21-1.55] vs. 1.11 [1.04-1.18]) composite endpoints. CONCLUSIONS: sNEP prognostic value in patients with HF and LVEF >57% outperforms that observed in patients with lower LVEF. Precision medicine using sNEP may identify HF patients with preserved LVEF that may benefit from treatment with sacubitril/valsartan.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Neprilisina/sangue , Idoso , Aminobutiratos/uso terapêutico , Biomarcadores , Compostos de Bifenilo/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Volume Sistólico/efeitos dos fármacos , Valsartana/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
To assess mortality trends at 1 and 3 years from 2001 to 2018 in a real-life cohort of HF outpatients from different etiologies with depressed and preserved LVEF. A total of 2368 consecutive patients with HF (mean age 66.4 ± 12.9 years, 71% men, 15.4% with preserved LVEF) admitted to a HF clinic from August 2001 to September 2018 were included in the study. Patients were divided into five quintiles (Q) according to the period of admission. Trends for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality from Q1 to Q5 were assessed by linear regression. Patients with LVEF < 50% had a progressive decrease in the rates of all-cause and cardiovascular death at 1 year (12.1% in Q1 to 6.5% in Q5, p = 0.003; and 8.4% in Q1 to 3.8% in Q5, p = 0.007, respectively) and 3 years (30.5% in Q1 to 17.0% in Q5, p = 0.003; and 23.9% in Q1 to 9.8% in Q5, p = 0.003, respectively). These trends remained significant after adjusting for clinical characteristics and risk. No significant trend in mortality was observed in patients with LVEF ≥ 50%. In a cohort of real-life ambulatory patients with HF, mortality progressively declined in patients with LVEF < 50%, but the same trend was not observed in patients with preserved LVEF.
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Assistência Ambulatorial/métodos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade/tendências , Volume Sistólico , Função Ventricular Esquerda , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/patologia , Humanos , Masculino , Prognóstico , Taxa de SobrevidaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The role of lung ultrasound (LUS) in acute heart failure (HF) has been widely studied, but little is known about its usefulness in chronic HF. This study assessed the prognostic value of LUS in a cohort of chronic HF stable ambulatory patients. METHODS: We included consecutive outpatients who attended a scheduled follow-up visit in a HF clinic. LUS was performed in situ. The operators were blinded to clinical data and examined 8 thoracic areas. The sum of B-lines across all lung zones and the quartiles of this addition were used for the analyses. Linear regression and Cox regression analyses were performed. The main clinical outcomes were a composite of all-cause death or hospitalization for HF and mortality from any cause. RESULTS: A total of 577 individuals were included (72% men; 69± 12 years). The mean number of B-lines was 5±6. During a mean follow-up of 31±7 months, 157 patients experienced the main clinical outcome and 111 died. Having ≥ 8 B-lines (Q4) doubled the risk of experiencing the composite primary event (P <.001) and increased the risk of death from any cause by 2.6-fold (P <.001). On multivariate analysis, the total sum of B-lines remained independent predictive factor of the composite endpoint (HR, 1.04; 95%CI, 1.02-1.06; P=.002) and of all-cause death (HR, 1.04; 95%CI, 1.02-1.07; P=.001), independently of whether or not N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was included in the model (P=.01 and P=.008, respectively), with a 3% to 4% increased risk for each 1-line addition. CONCLUSIONS: LUS identified patients with stable chronic HF at high risk of death or HF hospitalization.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Biomarcadores , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico por imagem , Hospitalização , Humanos , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fragmentos de Peptídeos , Prognóstico , UltrassonografiaRESUMO
AIMS: Several heart failure (HF) web-based risk scores are currently used in clinical practice. Currently, we lack head-to-head comparison of the accuracy of risk scores. This study aimed to assess correlation and mortality prediction performance of Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC-HF) risk score, which includes clinical variables + medications; Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM), which includes clinical variables + treatments + analytes; PARADIGM Risk of Events and Death in the Contemporary Treatment of Heart Failure (PREDICT-HF) and Barcelona Bio-Heart Failure (BCN-Bio-HF) risk calculator, which also include biomarkers, like N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1166 consecutive patients with HF from different aetiologies that had NT-proBNP measurement at first visit were included. Discrimination for all-cause mortality was compared by Harrell's C-statistic from 1 to 5 years, when possible. Calibration was assessed by calibration plots and Hosmer-Lemeshow test and global performance by Nagelkerke's R2 . Correlation between scores was assessed by Spearman rank test. Correlation between the scores was relatively poor (rho value from 0.66 to 0.79). Discrimination analyses showed better results for 1-year mortality than for longer follow-up (SHFM 0.817, MAGGIC-HF 0.801, PREDICT-HF 0.799, BCN-Bio-HF 0.830). MAGGIC-HF showed the best calibration, BCN-Bio-HF overestimated risk while SHFM and PREDICT-HF underestimated it. BCN-Bio-HF provided the best discrimination and overall performance at every time-point. CONCLUSIONS: None of the contemporary risk scores examined showed a clear superiority over the rest. BCN-Bio-HF calculator provided the best discrimination and overall performance with overestimation of risk. MAGGIC-HF showed the best calibration, and SHFM and PREDICT-HF tended to underestimate risk. Regular updating and recalibration of online web calculators seems necessary to improve their accuracy as HF management evolves at unprecedented pace.
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Insuficiência Cardíaca , Biomarcadores , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Humanos , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Peptídeos Natriuréticos , Fragmentos de Peptídeos , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
An adverse drug reaction (ADR) is defined as a response to a medicinal product which is noxious and unintended. ADRs are an important cause of morbidity and mortality and increase health costs. The pharmacovigilance systems allow the identification and prevention of the risks associated with use of a drug, especially of recently marketed drugs; they detect signals from data of the global ADR register and also support decisions taken by regulatory agencies in different countries. Only a few drugs are withdrawn from the market, mainly due to hepatotoxicity. Spontaneous notification of ADR is the cheapest, simplest and most used method to recognize new safety drug problems, under-reporting being its main limitation. The future of pharmacovigilance and ADRs will include a higher involvement of patients, doctors, health authorities and pharmaceutical companies, and the use of new technologies.
Assuntos
Efeitos Colaterais e Reações Adversas Relacionados a Medicamentos , Farmacovigilância , Sistemas de Notificação de Reações Adversas a Medicamentos , Efeitos Colaterais e Reações Adversas Relacionados a Medicamentos/classificação , Efeitos Colaterais e Reações Adversas Relacionados a Medicamentos/diagnóstico , Efeitos Colaterais e Reações Adversas Relacionados a Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Efeitos Colaterais e Reações Adversas Relacionados a Medicamentos/prevenção & controle , Previsões , HumanosRESUMO
AIMS: Systolic pulmonary artery pressure (SPAP), tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), and TAPSE/SPAP ratio trajectories are not fully characterized in chronic heart failure (HF). We assessed very long-term longitudinal SPAP, TAPSE and TAPSE/SPAP trajectories in HF patients, and their dynamic changes in outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective, consecutive, observational registry of real-life HF patients, performing echocardiography studies at baseline and according to a prospectively structured schedule after 1 year, and then every 2 years, up to 15 years. Pulmonary hypertension (PH) was defined as SPAP ≥40 mmHg; right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) was defined at TAPSE ≤16 mm; and TAPSE/SPAP ratio was dichotomized at 0.36 mm/mmHg. The clinical endpoints were all-cause death, the composite endpoint of mortality or HF hospitalization and the number of recurrent HF hospitalizations. The study cohort included 1557 patients. Long-term SPAP trajectory Loess curves were U-shaped with a nadir at 7 years. TAPSE Loess curves showed a marked rise during the first year, with stabilization thereafter. TAPSE/SPAP ratio Loess splines were similar to the later with a smooth decline towards the end. Patients who died had higher SPAP, lower TAPSE and lower TAPSE/SPAP ratio in the preceding period than survivors. Baseline PH and/or RVD were independently associated with mortality and HF-related hospitalizations, and the persistence of one or both entities at 1 year conferred a worse long-term prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term trajectories for SPAP, TAPSE and TAPSE/SPAP ratio are reported in patients with chronic HF. An increasing SPAP and declining TAPSE and TAPSE/SPAP ratio in the preceding period is associated with higher mortality.
Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Hipertensão Pulmonar , Disfunção Ventricular Direita , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Humanos , Hipertensão Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Hipertensão Pulmonar/epidemiologia , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Sobreviventes , Disfunção Ventricular Direita/diagnóstico por imagem , Disfunção Ventricular Direita/epidemiologia , Função Ventricular DireitaRESUMO
AIMS: Better management of heart failure (HF) over the past two decades has improved survival, mainly by reducing the incidence of death due to cardiovascular (CV) causes. Deaths due to non-CV causes, particularly cancer, may be increasing. This study explored the modes of death of consecutive patients who attended a HF clinic over 17 years. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 935 deaths were ascertained from 2002 to 2018 among 1876 patients (mean age 65.8 ± 12.5 years, 75% men, left ventricular ejection fraction < 50%) admitted to our HF clinic. Median follow-up was 4.2 years [1.9-7.8]. Mode of death was curated from patient health records and verified by the Catalan and Spanish health system databases. Trends for every mode of death were assessed by polynomial regression. Two trends were observed: a significant reduction in sudden death (P = 0.03) without changes in HF progression as mode of death (P = 0.26), and a significant increase in non-CV modes of death (P < 0.001). Non-CV deaths accounted for 17.4% of deaths in 2002 and 65.8% of deaths in 2018. A total 138 deaths were due to cancer (37% of non-CV deaths). A significant trend was observed towards a progressive increase in cancer deaths over time (P = 0.002). The main mode of cancer mortality was lung cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The modes of death in HF have shifted over the last two decades. Patients with HF die less due to sudden death and more due to non-CV causes, mainly cancer. Whether HF triggers cancer, or cancer develops in HF survivors, deserves further insight.
Assuntos
Morte Súbita/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Mortalidade/tendências , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Espanha/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Long-term trajectories of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in heart failure (HF) patients with preserved EF (HFpEF) remain unclear. Our objective was to assess long-term longitudinal trajectories in consecutive HFpEF patients and the prognostic impact of LVEF dynamic changes over time. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive ambulatory HFpEF patients admitted to a multidisciplinary HF Unit were prospectively evaluated by 2-dimensional echocardiography at baseline and at 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, and 11 years of follow-up. Exclusion criteria were patients having a previous known LVEF <50%, patients undergoing only 1 echocardiogram study, and those with a diagnosis of dilated, noncompaction, alcoholic, or toxic cardiomyopathy. One hundred twenty-six patients (age, 71±13 years; 63% women) were included. The main pathogeneses were valvular disease (36%) and hypertension (28%). Atrial fibrillation was present in 67 patients (53%). The mean number of echocardiographies performed was 3±1.2 per patient. Locally weighted error sum of squares curves showed a smooth decrease of LVEF during the 11-year follow-up that was statistically significant in linear mixed-effects modeling ( P=0.01). Ischemic patients showed a higher decrease than nonischemics. The great majority (88.9%) of patients remained in the HFpEF category during follow-up; 9.5% evolved toward HF with midrange LVEF, and only 1.6% dropped to HF with reduced LVEF. No significant relationship was found between LVEF dynamics in the immediate preceding period and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: LVEF remained ≥50% in the majority of patients with HFpEF for ≤11 years. Only 1.6% of patients evolved to HF with reduced LVEF. Dynamic LVEF changes were not associated with mortality.