Validation of the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator in older patients with colorectal cancer undergoing elective surgery.

BACKGROUND: For clinical decision making it is important to identify patients at risk for adverse outcomes after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery, especially in the older population. Because the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) surgical risk calculator is potentially useful in clinical practice, we performed an external validation in a Dutch multicenter cohort of patients ≥70 years undergoing elective non-metastatic CRC surgery. METHODS: We compared the ACS NSQIP calculator mean predicted risk to the overall observed rate of anastomotic leakage, return to operation room, pneumonia, discharge not to home, and readmission in our cohort using a one-sample Z-test. Calibration plots and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine the calculator's performance. RESULTS: Six hundred eighty-two patients were included. Median age was 76.2 years. The ACS NSQIP calculator accurately predicted the overall readmission rate (predicted: 8.6% vs. observed: 7.8%, p = 0.456), overestimated the rate of discharge not to home (predicted:11.2% vs. observed: 7.0% p = 0.005) and underestimated the observed rate of all other outcomes. The calibration plots showed poor calibration for all outcomes. The ROC-curve showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.67-0.83) for pneumonia and 0.70 (0.62-0.78) for discharge not to home. The AUC for all other outcomes was poor. CONCLUSIONS: The ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator had a poor individual risk prediction (calibration) for all outcomes and only a fair discriminative ability (discrimination) to predict pneumonia and discharge not to home. The calculator might be considered to identify patients at high risk of pneumonia and discharge not to home to initiate additional preoperative interventions.

The impact of colorectal surgery on health-related quality of life in older functionally dependent patients with cancer - A longitudinal follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Older patients who are functionally compromised or frail may be at risk for loss of quality of life (QoL) after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery. We prospectively studied health-related QoL (HRQoL) and its association with functional dependency on multiple time points before and after CRC surgery. METHODS: Included were patients aged 70 years and older who underwent elective CRC surgery between 2014 and 2015 in combination with an oncogeriatric care path. HRQoL (EORTC QLQ-C30 and CR38) and activities of daily living (ADL, Barthel Index) were measured at four time-points; prior to (T0) and at 3 (T3), 6 (T6), and 12 (T12) months after surgery. Functional dependency was defined as a Barthel Index <19. Using mixed-model regression analysis associations between dependency, time and HRQoL outcomes were tested and corrected for confounders. RESULTS: Response rate was 67% (n = 106) to two or more questionnaires; 26 (25%) patients were functionally dependent. Overall, functionally independent patients experienced a higher HRQoL than dependent patients. Compared to T0, significant and clinically relevant improvements in HRQoL after surgery were observed in functionally dependent patients: better role functioning, a higher global health, a higher summary score, less fatigue and less gastrointestinal problems (p < .05). In functional independent patients, we observed no clinically relevant change in HRQoL. CONCLUSION: Colorectal surgery embedded in geriatric-oncological care has a positive impact on HRQoL in older functionally dependent patients with cancer. Moderate functional dependency should not be considered a generic reason for withholding surgical treatment. Information derived from this study could be used in shared decision making.